1.Investigation on the current status of blood safety surveillance and management in blood collection and supply institutions in Sichuan, China
Meng LI ; Kefen WANG ; Jialiang GAO ; Lizhou ZHAO ; Yishu WANG ; Yidan ZHANG ; Xuemei FU
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(2):209-216
Objective: Blood safety surveillance is a critical measure for the objective assessment of blood quality and enhancing transfusion safety. This study aims to comprehensively understand the current status of blood safety surveillance and management in blood collection and supply institutions in Sichuan Province, systematically analyze existing problems and vulnerabilities, and provide a basis for optimizing management strategies and improving capabilities to ensure blood safety. Methods: The Blood Safety Surveillance questionnaire was designed, covering adverse donor reaction reporting, management of adverse events, and transfusion adverse reaction feedback. An online survey was conducted via Questionnaire Star platform among 21 blood collection and supply institutions in the province, gathering information on management systems, process implementation, and utilization of monitoring data. The collected data were organized and statistically analyzed using Excel. Results: The questionnaire response rate and validity rate were both 100%. Blood collection and supply institutions in Sichuan Province have generally established a blood safety surveillance system and achieved positive outcomes. Regarding adverse events in blood collection and supply, 95.24% (20 institutions) have established reporting procedures, and 66.67% (14) collect information through multiple channels such as internal reports, external reports, and statistical trend feedback. A total of 90.48% (19) institutions regularly summarize and analyze adverse event data, and 85.71% (18) produce reports with improvement recommendations based on this analysis.71.43% (15) institutions implement reward and penalty measures, and 71.43% (15) report underreporting or omission due to accountability or performance concerns. In terms of monitoring adverse blood donation reactions, all blood collection and supply institutions have established full-process management systems.76.19% (16) collect data through multiple approaches, including on-site donation records, voluntary donor reports, and donor follow-ups. Adverse reactions were followed up in 95.24% (20) of institutions with 65% (13) completing follow-ups within 24 hours.80.95% (17) have established investigation procedures, while 66.67% (14) believe underreporting or omission still occurs. All blood collection and supply institutions regularly compile statistics on adverse donation reactions. Of these, 85.71% (18) institutions providing feedback to management departments and 90.48% (19) analyzing the data and making recommendations.76.19% (16) institutions use monitoring data for return donor management and targeted care, and 71.43% (15 stations) incorporate it into management reviews. Regarding adverse transfusion reactions, 95.24% (20) institutions have established and implemented procedures for isolating, recalling, and tracing of problematic blood units. However, only 42.86% (9) have established feedback mechanisms of adverse transfusion reaction with hospitals, and only 19.05% (4) support direct reporting via information systems.47.62% (10) institutions regularly analyze adverse transfusion reaction data, and 19.05% (4) provide feedback and recommendations to relevant hospitals. All blood collection and supply institutions reported challenges in collecting hospital feedback, citing complexities in data collection and reporting processes. Conclusion: Blood safety surveillance systems have been preliminarily established in Sichuan Province. However, further strengthening is still required, including conducting in-depth data analysis and utilization, standardizing the configuration of emergency medications and equipment, and improving feedback mechanisms for adverse transfusion reactions. To improve the overall level of blood safety management, it is recommended to strengthen closed-loop data management, improve feedback mechanisms between blood collection and supply institutions and hospitals, foster a non-punitive reporting culture, and systematically advance the regionalization and standardization of the monitoring system. These efforts will contribute to sustainably improving the overall effectiveness and sustainability of blood safety management.
2.Comparative study on the pharmacological activities of Angelica sinensis and its fractions in tonifying blood and moistening intestines
Yucun SHI ; Xuemei HOU ; Xiaoli DONG ; Qianqian YANG ; Ziying MENG ; Guotai WU
Chinese Journal of Comparative Medicine 2025;35(10):28-38
Objective To compare differences in the pharmacological activities of Angelica sinensis and its components on hematopoietic and laxative effects.Methods Kunming mice were randomly divided into eight groups,with 12 mice in each group consisting of equal numbers of males and females.These groups included a normal group,a model group,a positive group,a Angelica sinensis(AS)group,an Angelica sinensis water-soluble(AW)group,an Ethanol extract of Angelicae sinensis(AE)group,and an Angelica sinensis essential oil(AO)group.Except for the normal group,all other groups were established as blood deficiency constipation mouse models through subcutaneous injection of N-acetylphenylhydrazine combined with oral administration of loperamide hydrochloride.On the 7th day of modeling,each group received oral administration of the respective test substance once daily for three consecutive days.General condition and body weight changes of the mice were observed,peripheral blood cells were counted,stool morphology and fecal output were recorded,fecal moisture content and colonic tissue moisture content were determined,small intestine propulsion rate was assessed by a charcoal meal method,and serum levels of β-endorphin(β-EP),cholecystokinin octapeptide(CCK-8),substance P(SP),and vasoactive intestinal peptide(VIP)were determined by ELISA.Differences in the pharmacological activities of Angelica sinensis and its components on hematopoietic and laxative effects were analyzed.Results Compared with the normal group,model group mice showed significantly reduced white blood cell(WBC),red blood cell(RBC),hemoglobin(HGB),hematocrit(HCT),and platelet(PLT)counts,and body weight(P<0.05 or P<0.01).Additionally,fecal moisture content,colon moisture content,and small intestine propulsion rate were decreased(P<0.05 or P<0.01)and serum CCK-8 and SP levels were also lower(P<0.01),while serum β-EP and VIP levels increased(P<0.05).Compared with the model group,AS and AW groups had higher WBC,RBC,HGB,HCT,and PLT counts,defecation volume,fecal moisture content,and colon moisture content(P<0.05 or P<0.01).The AE group showed increased WBC,RBC,HGB,HCT,and PLT counts,and colon moisture content(P<0.05 or P<0.01),but defecation volume and fecal moisture content were not significantly altered.The AO group exhibited increased fecal moisture content,colon moisture content,and defecation volume(P<0.05 or P<0.01),but no significant changes in WBC,RBC,HGB,HCT,and PLT counts.The AE group showed no significant changes in defecation volume,fecal moisture content,and colon moisture content.The AS and AO groups had increased small intestine propulsion rates(P<0.01),while there was no significant difference in small intestine propulsion rate between the AW and AE groups.The AS group had elevated serum CCK-8 and SP levels(P<0.01)and decreased serum β-EP and VIP levels(P<0.01).The AO group had increased serum CCK-8 and SP levels(P<0.05),but no significant change in serum β-EP and VIP levels.The AW group had decreased serum VIP levels(P<0.05),but no statistically significant difference in serum CCK-8 and SP levels.Compared with the AS group,the AW group had higher WBC,RBC,HGB,HCT,and PLT counts,while the AO and AE groups had lower levels of these parameters(P<0.05).Both AW and AO groups had increased fecal moisture content(P<0.05),and both AW and AE groups had increased colon moisture content(P<0.05).AO,AE,and AW groups had elevated serum CCK-8 and SP levels and decreased serum β-EP and VIP levels(P<0.05).In summary,the groups were ordered as follows:AE>AO>AS>AW in terms of blood replenishment,AO>AS>AW>AE in terms of promoting bowel movements,and AO>AS>AE>AW in terms of intestinal motility.Conclusions Angelica sinensis and its components have varying degrees of blood replenishing and bowel-promoting activities.The AE component has strong blood replenishing activity,while the AO component has strong bowel-promoting and defecation-stimulating activity.These findings provide a reference for the development of traditional Chinese medicines based on Angelica sinensis components.
3.Clinical characteristics analysis of peptic ulcers caused by eosinophilic gastrointestinal disorders in children
Meng JIN ; Mingran MI ; Wenwen LIU ; Kunyu YAO ; Ran ZHANG ; Xuemei ZHONG
International Journal of Pediatrics 2025;52(4):268-273
Objective:To analyze the clinical characteristics,laboratory tests,endoscopic features,treatment,and follow-up of peptic ulcers caused by eosinophilic gastrointestinal disorders(EGIDs)in children,with the aim of improving the level of understanding,diagnosis and treatment of EGIDs in children with the onset of peptic ulcers.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on children admitted to the Department of Gastroenterology,Capital Center for Children's Health,Capital Medical University from January 1st,2019 to October 31st,2023,who underwent complete endoscopic examination. The first examination showed the presence of peptic ulcers(gastric or duodenal ulcers)under the endoscope,and were ultimately diagnosed with peptic ulcers caused by EGIDs through examination and follow-up. The clinical characteristics,laboratory tests,endoscopic results,and treatment follow-up were analyzed.Results:Thirty-five children were EGIDs,22 males and 13 females.Twenty-two cases(62.9%)had abdominal pain as the main symptom.Laboratory tests:17 cases(48.6%)showed a decrease in hemoglobin,15 cases(42.9%)showed an increase in eosinophil count,20 cases(57.1%)tested gastro positive for food allergen specific IgE,and 17 cases(48.6%)showed thickening of the intestinal wall on gastrointestinal ultrasound. Endoscopic features:8 cases(22.9%)showed gastric antral ulcers,including 7 cases(20.0%)with multiple gastric antral ulcers,and 25 cases(71.4%)showed duodenal bulb ulcers.There were 15 cases(42.9%)showed huge ulcers,and 14 cases(40.0%)were located in the duodenal bulb. Comparison of clinical characteristics between children with EGIDs(EGIDs group)and those with peptic ulcers caused by Helicobacter pylori infection(Hp group):the first clinical symptom in both groups was mainly abdominal pain,but the incidence rate in the EGIDs group was lower(62.9% vs 93.5%),and the weigth for length Z score in the EGIDs group was lower[0(-1.6,0.8)vs 1.1(0,1.9)],with statistical significance(all P<0.05). Comparison of laboratory tests:the EGIDs group showed a statistically significant difference in hemoglobin levels[120(101,124)g/L vs 130(100,138)g/L],eosinophil count[0.28(0.13,0.71)× 10 9/L vs 0.16(0.08,0.22)×10 9/L],a positive rate of food allergen specific IgE detection(57.1% vs 32.3%),and a positive rate of intestinal wall thickening detected by gastrointestinal ultrasound(48.6% vs 16.1%)compared with the Hp group(all P<0.05). Comparison of endoscopic examinations:multiple ulcers in the gastric antrum were more common in the EGIDs group than in the Hp group(20.0% vs 0),and the difference was statistically significant( P<0.05). Conclusion:For children with peptic ulcers with onset of abdominal pain,with anemia or malnutrition,or multiple ulcers in the gastric antrum and huge ulcers in the duodenal bulb detected by endoscopy,it is recommended to perform multi site biopsies to help diagnose EGIDs early.
4.Correlation between body mass index to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio and cerebral small vessel disease in middle-aged and elderly people
Meng CAO ; Cunsheng WEI ; Junying JIANG ; Yingying XUE ; Ying SHE ; Xuemei CHEN
International Journal of Cerebrovascular Diseases 2025;33(5):350-355
Objective:To investigate the correlation between body mass index (BMI)/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) ratio and cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD) in middle-aged and elderly people.Methods:Consecutive middle-aged and elderly patients (aged ≥40 years) who were hospitalized for chronic disease examinations in the Department of Neurology, Jiangning Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing Medical University between February 2022 and May 2024 were included prospectively. According to the overall burden score of CSVD, they were divided into CSVD group (≥1) and non-CSVD group (0). According to age, they divided into middle-aged group (40-59 years old) and elderly group (≥60 years old). The demographic characteristics and clinical data were collected. Binary multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine the independent correlation between BMI/HDL-C ratio and CSVD. Forest plot was used to analyze the correlation between BMI/HDL-C ratio and CSVD in different age groups. Results:A total of 710 patients were included, with an age of 66.0±10.0 years and 361 were males (50.8%). There were 261 patients (36.8%) in the CSVD group and 449 (63.2%) in the non-CSVD group. The BMI/HDL-C ratio in the CSVD group was significantly higher than that in the non-CSVD group (23.60±7.00 vs. 20.78±6.40; P<0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that BMI/HDL-C ratio was an independent risk factor for CSVD in middle-aged and elderly populations (odds ratio 1.046, 95% confidence interval 1.027-1.064; P<0.001). There were 475 patients in the elderly group, of which 198 (41.7%) had CSVD; there were 235 patients in the middle-aged group, of which 63 (26.8%) had CSVD. Forest plot analysis showed that the association between BMI/HDL-C ratio and CSVD still had statistical significance in different age groups, but the effect intensity was higher in the elderly group than in the middle-aged group. Conclusion:The BMI/HDL-C ratio is independently correlated with CSVD in middle-aged and elderly population, particularly significant in the elderly population.
5.Analysis of drug resistance and treatment efficacy of Helicobacter pylori infection in children
Yanfei CHEN ; Xingwei ZHANG ; Li MENG ; Jiao WANG ; Xiaohan ZHU ; Yanling ZHANG ; Xuemei ZHONG
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2025;63(10):1110-1114
Objective:To investigate the antibiotic resistance of Helicobacter pylori (Hp) and to evaluate the eradication efficacy of individualized treatment for Hp in children. Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 227 children who visited the Department of Gastroenterology, Capital Center for Children′s Health, Capital Medical University from June 2022 to December 2023 due to gastrointestinal symptoms. All patients underwent gastroscopy and tested positive on 13C-urea breath testing. They were grouqed according to the Hp culture and drug susceptibility test. Children with positive Hp culture received personalized treatment based on the results of their drug sensitivity tests, while the other children who didn′t undergo Hp culture received empirical treatment. The effects of different treatment groups was compared by chi-square test or Fisher exact probability test. Results:A total of 227 children with Hp infection (121 males and 106 females) were included, with the age of 11.7 (8.9, 13.6) years. Among the 131 samples submitted for testing, 105 cases (80.1%) had positive results. Only 9.5% (10/105) of patients were sensitive to 6 antibiotics. The resistance rates to clarithromycin, metronidazole and levofloxacin were 90.5% (95/105), 86.7% (91/105) and 22.9% (24/105) respectively. The resistance rate to both clarithromycin and metronidazole was 77.1% (81/105). The resistance rate to both levofloxacin and metronidazole was 19.0% (20/105). The resistance rate to both levofloxacin and clarithromycin was 21.9% (23/105). The resistance rate to these three antibiotics was 16.2% (17/105). No strains resistant to furazolidone, amoxicillin or tetracycline hydrochloride were found. Eighty-nine cases were treated with bismuth quadruple therapy based on the drug sensitivity results, and the overall eradication rate was 88.8% (79/89), including 42 treatment-naive cases with a 100% eradication rate (42/42) and 47 retreatment cases with a 78.7% eradication rate (37/47). The eradication rate of empirical treatment was 75.7% (56/74). Among them, 65 patients received amoxicillin, clarithromycin and omeprazole because of negative penicillin skin tests, with a 75.4% (49/65) eradication rate; 9 patients received clarithromycin, metronidazole, omeprazole and bismuth with positive penicillin skin tests, achieving 7/9 eradication rate. The comparison of eradication rates between two treatment groups suggested a statistically significant difference ( P<0.05). No statistically significant difference was found in drug reactions such as nausea, vomiting, and rash between the two groups ( P>0.05). Conclusions:Hp strains had a relatively high dual resistance to clarithromycin and metronidazole, especially clarithromycin. For areas with a high resistance rate to clarithromycin, the bismuth quadruplet of clarithromycin removal combined with bismuth agent can be chosen as empirical treatment. In medical institutions where drug susceptibility test can be conducted, personalized treatment plans are recommended as the first-line treatment.
6.Clinical analysis and follow-up outcomes of 25 pediatric cases with hepatic glycogen storage disease
Wenwen LIU ; Meijuan WANG ; Meng JIN ; Ran ZHANG ; Mingran MI ; Xuemei ZHONG
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2025;33(1):63-69
Objective:To explore the clinical and genetic characteristics and follow-up status of pediatric patients with hepatic glycogen storage disease in order to further improve the prognosis.Methods:The clinical data of hospitalized children diagnosed with hepatic glycogen storage disease in the Department of Gastroenterology at the Children's Hospital of Capital Institute of Pediatrics from January 2010 to April 2023 were collected and retrospectively analyzed. The results of laboratory examination and gene sequencing were analyzed, and the number of cases that exceeded three (n) were grouped according to the genetic results: Group 1 was type Ⅰ ( n=8), Group 2 was type Ⅲ ( n=5), and Group 3 was type Ⅸa ( n=8).The growth, development and prognosis of the children were followed up. The related clinical characteristics of pediatric hepatic glycogen storage disease were summarized. Results:Twenty-five pediatric patients with hepatic glycogen storage disease were enrolled in this study, with fifteen males and ten females. The mean age of diagnosis was (29.1±13.5) months. There were twelve cases (48%) accompanied with varying degrees of hypoglycemia, and two cases (8%) with severe hypoglycemia.There were nineteen cases with stature retardation (76%), four cases with anemia (16%), three cases with proteinuria (12%), and one case with cholestasis (4%).The genetic results showed that there were four cases of type Ⅰa (16%), four cases of type Ⅰb (16%), one case of type Ⅱ (4%), five cases of type Ⅲ (20%), two cases of type Ⅳ (8%), one case of type Ⅵ (4%), and eight cases of type Ⅸ (32%).The three subgroups analysis showed that there were significant statistical differences in uric acid and triglycerides among the three groups ( P<0.05), while there were no statistical significant differences in transaminase levels, fasting blood glucose, lactate, cholesterol, and low-density lipoprotein levels ( P>0.05). The height-for-age Z scores of the three groups were -2.86±1.62, -1.46±1.06, and -1.83±0.98, respectively. The growth and development of groups 2 and 3 were significantly improved compared with group 1 ( P<0.05), with Z scores of -2.28±1.07, 0.20±1.54, and 0.10±1.44 after at least one year of follow-up. All pediatric patients with type Ⅸa had discontinued using raw corn starch after more than one year of follow-up and their transaminases had returned to normal. Four pediatric patients with type Ia were orally administered raw corn starch on a regular basis, and the aminotransferases, uric acid, and lactate were normal, with hypoglycemia being monitored. Among the four cases with type Ⅰb, one had recurrent respiratory tract and intestinal infections, two were combined with Crohn's disease, and one was monitored for hypoglycemia. In four cases of type Ⅲ, raw corn starch was discontinued, and a high-protein, low-carbohydrate diet was adopted, with the exception of the presence of high creatine kinase and normal aminotransferase. Liver failure resulted in the death of one type Ⅵ case, while two were type Ⅳ cases; one died, and one case recently had slightly elevated aminotransferase. Conclusion:When pediatric patients exhibit manifestations such as hepatomegaly, elevated transaminases, fasting hypoglycemia, and delayed growth and development, it is necessary to be alert to hepatic glycogen storage disease. Clinical manifestations and biochemical indicators combined with genetic testing are helpful for the diagnosis of hepatic glycogen storage disease. Simultaneously, targeted nutritional management should be carried out according to the metabolic characteristics of different subtypes, with attention on growth and development status.
7.Role of cancer-associated fibroblasts autophagy in papillary thyroid cancer
Xuemei ZHANG ; Danyang SUN ; Ning LI ; Qicheng ZHANG ; Ke XU ; Wei ZHENG ; Qiang JIA ; Jian TAN ; Zhaowei MENG
Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism 2025;41(2):135-144
Objective:To investigate the inpact of thyroid cancer-derived cancer-associated fibroblasts(CAF) autophagy on papillary thyroid cancer(PTC).Methods:CAF and normal fibroblasts were isolated from cancerous and adjacent normal thyroid tissues from four PTC patients. Expressions of fibroblast activation protein(FAP) and α-smooth muscle actin in cells were assessed. Conditioned medium of CAF and normal fibroblasts were prepared and used to culture PTC cells. The effects of CAF and normal fibroblasts on survival, proliferation, migration, invasion and iodine uptake of PTC cells were evaluated through cell proliferation assay, cell scratch assay, cell invasion assay, and cell iodine uptake assay. The autophagy level of CAF was also evaluated. Autophagy inhibition and activation were used to regulate the autophagy of CAF, and then their effects on PTC cell proliferation, migration and invasion were further evaluated. The in vivo effect of CAF autophagy on PTC xenograft tumor growth was evaluated.Results:CAF exhibited higher FAP expression and basal autophagy levels. PTC cells co-cultured with CAF-conditioned media showed enhanced proliferation, migration, invasion, and reduced iodine uptake. Autophagy inhibition reduced these effects, while autophagy activation further promoted them. In vivo, inhibiting CAF autophagy suppressed tumor growth.Conclusions:CAF promotes PTC cell malignancy through autophagy activation, enhancing proliferation, migration, and invasion while reducing iodine uptake.
8.The study on the correlation between cognitive impairment of cerebral small vessel disease and white matter hyperintensity grade and cerebral atrophy grade
Ting LIU ; Jin ZHI ; Zhongzhong LIU ; Fang WANG ; Fengzhu MENG ; Xuemei LIN ; Yan WANG
Journal of Practical Radiology 2025;41(1):1-4
Objective To investigate the correlation between cognitive impairment of cerebral small vessel disease(CSVD)and white matter hyperintensity grade and cerebral atrophy grade.Methods The data of 213 patients with CSVD were analyzed retro-spectively.The semi-quantitative Fazekas visual score of brain MR was used to evaluate the white matter hyperintensity,and cerebral atrophy was evaluated by the whole cerebral cortex atrophy grade.Mini-mental state examination(MMSE)and Montreal cognitive assessment(Mo CA)were used to evaluate each patient and to classify according to the results.Results There was a statistically sig-nificant difference in age between male and female patients with CSVD(P=0.04,t=4.288).The mean age of males[(66.5±10.3)years]was less than females[(69.5±10.0)years].There was significant difference between patients with different gender and history of hypertension(P=0.02,t=5.424).There were statistical differences between white matter hyperintensity Fazekes grade and MMSE and Mo CA scores(P<0.001,χ2=5.639;P<0.001,χ2=5.843),and there were statistical differences between whole cerebral cortex atrophy grade and MMSE score(P=0.036,χ2=2.895).Conclusion There is a certain correlation between cognitive impairment of CSVD and head MR imaging evaluation grade.
9.Clinical characteristics of monogenic and non-monogenic early-onset inflammatory bowel disease
Youzhe GONG ; Yanfei CHEN ; Fuping WANG ; Jiao WANG ; Li MENG ; Xi HE ; Xuemei ZHONG
Chinese Journal of Inflammatory Bowel Diseases 2025;09(2):143-148
Objective:To compare the clinical characteristics of monogenic and non-monogenic early-onset inflammatory bowel disease (EO-IBD) in children and to explore the necessity of genetic analysis in EO-IBD research.Methods:A retrospective analysis of clinical data was conducted on 73 children diagnosed with EO-IBD at the Children's Hospital affiliated with Capital Institute of Pediatrics between January 2017 and December 2023. Genetic analysis was performed utilizing next-generation sequencing technology, with patients stratified into monogenic and non-monogenic groups based on the presence or absence of pathogenic mutations. Subsequently, a comparative analysis of clinical characteristics was conducted between these two cohorts of EO-IBD patients.Results:Among the 73 EO-IBD cases, 27 (37%) were diagnosed as monogenic IBD, and 46 (63%) as non-monogenic IBD. Compared to the non-monogenic group, the monogenic group had an earlier age of onset [1 (0.2, 3.0) months vs. 15 (4.1, 51.3) months, P < 0.001], with a higher incidence within the first month of life (70.4% vs. 13.0%, P < 0.001). Monogenic IBD cases were more likely to present with Crohn's disease (CD) phenotypes (88.9% vs. 52.2%, P = 0.003) and colonic involvement (L2) (91.7% vs. 62.5%, P < 0.001), but were less likely to present with non-penetrating, non-stricturing (B1) disease (87.5% vs. 95.8%, P = 0.019). Children in the monogenic group were more prone to severe malnutrition (74.1% vs. 21.3%, P < 0.001), perianal abscesses (40.7% vs. 8.7%, P < 0.001), perianal tags (22.2% vs. 0%, P = 0.004), fever (74.1% vs. 23.9%, P < 0.001), oral ulcers (44.4% vs. 6.5%, P < 0.001), and skin lesions (33.3% vs. 2.2%, P < 0.001). Regarding treatment, the monogenic group had higher usage of thalidomide (88.9% vs. 54.3%, P = 0.002) and hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) (37.0% vs. 0, P < 0.001) and a higher mortality rate (22.2% vs. 2.2%, P = 0.017) . Conclusions:For children with IBD presenting at an early age, especially within the first month of life, and showing symptoms like fever, oral ulcers, skin lesions, severe malnutrition, and perianal disease, monogenic IBD should be considered. Genetic testing results can aid in guiding treatment decisions.
10.Comparison of predictive performance of three machine learning algorithms for frailty risk in elderly heart failure patients
Xin ZHANG ; Xuemei ZHOU ; Meng LI ; Jiamin TANG ; Danni MA ; Hong HE
Chinese Journal of Geriatric Heart Brain and Vessel Diseases 2025;27(10):1330-1334
Objectives To construct frailty risk prediction models based on logistic regression anal-ysis,decision tree and random forest algorithm in elderly patients with heart failure(HF),and to compare the predictive performance of three models.Methods A total of 426 elderly HF patients hospitalized in the Affiliated Hospital of Nantong University from September 2022 to October 2023 were selected using convenience sampling.Based on the results of frailty assessment,194 of them were classified into the frail group and the other 232 into the non-frail group.The 426 patients were divided into training(299 casses)and testing sets(127 cases)in a 7∶3 ratio.Three prediction models were then constructed in the training set,while the test set was used to validate the results.Area under curve and confusion matrix were used to measure performance of the mod-els.The optimal model was then selected by evaluating the performance on the testing set.Results The area under curve value of the logistic regression model,decision tree model and random forest model in the testing set was 0.898,0.825 and 0.903,with a classification accuracy of 84.25%,77.95%and 83.46%,a sensitivity of 82.76%,68.97%and 82.76%,a specificity of 85.51%,85.51%and 84.06%,a positive predictive value of 82.76%,80.00%and 81.36%,and a negative predictive value of 85.51%,76.62%and 85.29%,respectively.The factors that ultimately affecting frailty in elderly HF patients were age,left atrial diameter,depression,albumin,physical activity level and social support.Conclusion Among the three prediction models,the logistic regression model demonstrates best predictive performance for frailty risk in elderly HF patients than the decision tree and random forest models.

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