1.Establishment and Validation of a Risk Prediction Model for Non-complete Procedural Success in Patients Undergoing Transvenous Lead Extraction
Xinxin ZHANG ; Feng ZE ; Xuebin LI ; Haicheng ZHANG ; Jiangbo DUAN ; Dandan YANG ; Ding LI ; Long WANG ; Jinshan HE
Chinese Circulation Journal 2025;40(8):806-812
Objective:To screen the risk factors for non-complete procedural success of transvenous lead extraction(TLE),and to establish a prediction model based on the results and evaluate its predictive efficacy.Methods:A total of 1 029 patients who underwent TLE in Peking University People's Hospital from January 2014 to December 2020 were enrolled and divided into training set(n=720)and validation set(n=309)using the random number method.There were no statistically significant differences among the variables in the training set and the validation set.The training set was divided into the complete procedural success(CPS)group(n=664)and the non-CPS group(n=56).Univariate analysis was employed to screen the relevant indicators of non-CPS,followed by binary logistic regression analysis to identify the independent risk factors of non-CPS.Subsequently,a predictive model and nomogram were constructed.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis was applied to evaluate the ability of the model to distinguish non-CPS from TLE patients in the training set and validation set.The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test was used to assess the consistency between the predicted risk and the actual risk of the model.Results:Univariate analysis showed that the relevant variables with P<0.1 including the age at the first implantation of the lead,the number of leads extracted,the oldest dwell time of lead extracted,the presence of abandoned leads,non-manual traction for lead extracted,the number of extracted leads>3,bilateral lead implantation,and the indications for TLE.The binary logistic regression analysis revealed that the presence of abandoned leads(OR=2.252,95%CI:1.111-4.564,P=0.024),the oldest dwell time of the extracted leads(OR=1.009,95%CI:1.005-1.012,P<0.001),and the number of extracted leads>3(OR=3.177,95%CI:1.306-7.733,P=0.011)were independent risk factors for non-CPS of TLE.ROC curve analysis revealed that the area under the ROC curve(AUC)of the training set was 0.80(95%CI:0.75-0.85,P<0.001).The AUC of the validation set was 0.81(95%CI:0.72-0.90,P<0.001).The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test indicated that the P values of both the training set(P=0.089)and the validation set(P=0.136)were greater than 0.05.Conclusions:The presence of abandoned leads,the oldest dwell time of lead extracted,and the number of extracted leads>3 are independent risk factors for non-CPS in patients undergoing TLE.The nomogram model based on the above factors has satisfactory predictive ability.
2.Establishment and Validation of a Risk Prediction Model for Non-complete Procedural Success in Patients Undergoing Transvenous Lead Extraction
Xinxin ZHANG ; Feng ZE ; Xuebin LI ; Haicheng ZHANG ; Jiangbo DUAN ; Dandan YANG ; Ding LI ; Long WANG ; Jinshan HE
Chinese Circulation Journal 2025;40(8):806-812
Objective:To screen the risk factors for non-complete procedural success of transvenous lead extraction(TLE),and to establish a prediction model based on the results and evaluate its predictive efficacy.Methods:A total of 1 029 patients who underwent TLE in Peking University People's Hospital from January 2014 to December 2020 were enrolled and divided into training set(n=720)and validation set(n=309)using the random number method.There were no statistically significant differences among the variables in the training set and the validation set.The training set was divided into the complete procedural success(CPS)group(n=664)and the non-CPS group(n=56).Univariate analysis was employed to screen the relevant indicators of non-CPS,followed by binary logistic regression analysis to identify the independent risk factors of non-CPS.Subsequently,a predictive model and nomogram were constructed.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis was applied to evaluate the ability of the model to distinguish non-CPS from TLE patients in the training set and validation set.The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test was used to assess the consistency between the predicted risk and the actual risk of the model.Results:Univariate analysis showed that the relevant variables with P<0.1 including the age at the first implantation of the lead,the number of leads extracted,the oldest dwell time of lead extracted,the presence of abandoned leads,non-manual traction for lead extracted,the number of extracted leads>3,bilateral lead implantation,and the indications for TLE.The binary logistic regression analysis revealed that the presence of abandoned leads(OR=2.252,95%CI:1.111-4.564,P=0.024),the oldest dwell time of the extracted leads(OR=1.009,95%CI:1.005-1.012,P<0.001),and the number of extracted leads>3(OR=3.177,95%CI:1.306-7.733,P=0.011)were independent risk factors for non-CPS of TLE.ROC curve analysis revealed that the area under the ROC curve(AUC)of the training set was 0.80(95%CI:0.75-0.85,P<0.001).The AUC of the validation set was 0.81(95%CI:0.72-0.90,P<0.001).The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test indicated that the P values of both the training set(P=0.089)and the validation set(P=0.136)were greater than 0.05.Conclusions:The presence of abandoned leads,the oldest dwell time of lead extracted,and the number of extracted leads>3 are independent risk factors for non-CPS in patients undergoing TLE.The nomogram model based on the above factors has satisfactory predictive ability.
3.Correlation between walking exercise guided by walking test and long-term prognosis of acute coronary syndrome in the elderly
Yi MA ; Jing HAN ; Wenhong CHANG ; Shumei ZHENG ; Jianxiu DONG ; Hongxin ZHANG ; Lili HU ; Jianhui WANG ; Xuebin GENG
Chinese Journal of Geriatric Heart Brain and Vessel Diseases 2025;27(6):693-697
Objective To explore the association between walking exercise guided by 6 minute walking test(6MWT)and the incidences of 3-year major adverse cardiovascular event(MACE)in elderly patients with acute coronary syndrome(ACS)after percutaneous coronary intervention(PCI).Methods A total of 628 elderly ACS patients who undergoing PCI and obtaining success-ful coronary revascularization in our department from November 2018 to April 2019 were enrolled,and divided into 6MWT group(n=147)and control group(n=481)based on participa-ting in walking exercise guided by 6MWT or not.All of them were followed up for 3 years.The incidences of MACE[including coronary target vascular restenosis,acute myocardial infarction,heart failure,ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke]and all-cause death were observed.Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional analyses and Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis were employed for data statistical analyses.Results At the end of follow-up,the incidences of target vascular restenosis(6.9%vs 2.0%,P=0.028),heart failure(3.7%vs 0%,P=0.036),stroke(3.7%vs 0%,P=0.036),and total MACE incidence(15.0%vs 4.1%,P=0.000)were statistically higher in the control group than the 6MWT group.Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis showed that the cumulative incidence of MACE was significantly lower in the 6MWT group than the control group(Plog rank=0.001).Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that not participating in walking exercise guided by 6MWT was an independent risk factor for occurrence of 3-year MACE(HR=3.102,95%CI:1.327-7.250,P=0.009).Conclusion Walking exercise guided by 6MWT reduces the incidence of 3-year MACE and improves the long-term prognosis of elderly ACS patients after PCI.
4.Relationship between plasma vitamin B1 deficiency and lactic acidosis in patients with sepsis
Wenjing XU ; Wanqian ZHANG ; Jianping ZHANG ; Xuebin GAO ; Xigang MA ; Lijuan ZHANG ; Yongsheng LUO
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(12):1798-1802
OBJECTIVE To investigate the prevalence of plasma vitamin B1 deficiency in patients with sepsis and analyze the relationship between plasma vitamin B1 levels and lactic acidosis.METHODS A total of 40 patients with sepsis and 42 patients with sepsis shock admitted to the intensive care unit(ICU)of General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University from Nov.2020 to Nov.2022 were selected as the study objects.Volunteers matched by age,gender and body mass index(BMI)were selected as the healthy group.Data on gender,age,BMI,under-lying diseases,sequential organ failure assessment(SOFA)score,acute physiology and chronic health evaluation(APACHE)Ⅱ score,infection site,duration of mechanical ventilation and ICU length of stay were collected.La-boratory tests including blood routine,electrolytes,blood lactate(Lac),alanine aminotransferase(ALT),aspar-tate aminotransferase(AST),blood urea nitrogen(BUN)and serum creatinine(Scr)were performed in both groups.Plasma samples from both disease group and the healthy group were collected.High-performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry(HPLC-MS/MS)was used to measure plasma thiamine(vitamin B1)levels in the disease group on the first,third and fifth days,respectively,as well as in the healthy group.RESULTS On the first day of admission,both the sepsis group and the septic shock group exhibited vitamin B1 de-ficiency.Specifically,6 cases of vitamin B1 deficiency were observed in the patients with sepsis,while 8 cases of vitamin B1 deficiency were noted in the patients with septic shock(P=0.640).By the third and fifth days,the proportions of vitamin B1 deficiency in the sepsis group were 22.50%and 42.50%,respectively,whereas in the septic shock group,these proportions were high at 26.19%and 54.76%,with a statistically significant difference(P<0.05).On the fifth day,in the normal liver function group,vitamin B1 levels showed a negative correlation with lactate(r=-0.590,P=0.005),whereas in the abnormal liver function group,vitamin B1 levels were pos-itively correlated with lactate(r=0.678,P=0.017).The patients in the septic shock group had low K+and ALB levels[(2.60±0.42)mmol/L and(24.56±5.78)g/L,respectively]compared to those in the sepsis group(P<0.05).CONCLUSIONS Plasma vitamin B1 deficiency is prevalent among patients with sepsis.Changes in plasma vitamin B1 levels are closely associated with blood lactate levels in these patients.
5.Evaluation of the Degree of Fibrosis in Chronic Kidney Disease via Clinical Radiomics Nomogram Prediction Model
Xiaomin HU ; Weihan XIAO ; Xuebin LIU ; Chaoxue ZHANG ; Xiachuan QIN
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging 2025;33(3):331-336
Purpose To explore the value of the clinical radiomics nomogram based on ultrasound in evaluating the degree of fibrosis in chronic kidney disease(CKD).Materials and Methods This retrospective study included 350 patients with CKD in Nanchong Central Hospital from January 2014 to July 2022 who underwent renal biopsy.The patients were categorized by the tubule atrophy with interstitial fibrosis(TA/IF)and divided into a training cohort(n=245)and test cohort(n=105).The patient demographics were evaluated to establish a clinical prediction model.The XGBoost machine learning model was constructed by extracting the radiomics features from the ultrasound images.The clinical radiomics nomogram prediction model was constructed by combining the radiomics score(Rad score)and important clinical features.The diagnostic performance of the three models was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.Results Among the 350 patients with CKD,226 had TA/IF 0 and 124 had TA/IF 1.Based on the clinical characteristics and Rad score,the clinical radiomics nomogram prediction model had the highest area under the curve in the training and testing cohorts,with the area under the curve of 0.938(95%CI 0.909-0.969)and 0.933(95%CI 0.891-0.980),respectively.Conclusion The ultrasound-based radiomics prediction model has potential value for the noninvasive diagnosis of TA/IF in CKD.Nomogram prediction models based on renal Rad scores and clinic may help clinicians to manage patients.
6.Profiling of the risk factors and a prediction model for upper arm port related infections
Mengsu ZHANG ; Shengxi XU ; Jie ZHANG ; Guangxin JIN ; Xuebin ZHANG ; Jun PU
Chinese Journal of Infection and Chemotherapy 2025;25(2):140-148
Objective To analyze the risk factors for upper arm ports(UAP)related infections and develop a nomogram for predicting the UAP related infections.Methods Patients(n=6 028)with UAP between 2014 and 2023 in Renji Hospital,Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine were included and assigned to a training set(n=4 219)or a validation set(n=1 809).Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator(LASSO)regression were built and non-zero factors were screened out.Multivariate logistic regression was performed for these non-zero factors to screen significant factors out for constructing a prediction model.The performance of the model was evaluated by the area under curve(AUC)of the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves,calibration curves,the decision curve analysis(DCA)curve,and clinical impact curves(CICs)in both training set and validation set.Results The model incorporated gender,venous access,venous status,catheter-related thrombosis(CRT),and diameter of catheter.The model performed well.The AUC of ROC was 0.801 in the training set and 0.746 in the validation set.The calibration curve was close to the ideal curve,indicating good discriminative ability of the model.The DCA curve suggested that the model could help make beneficial clinical decisions when the risk assessment value was 30%-41%.CICs proved that the model had good clinical value.Conclusions A model was successfully constructed to predict UAP-related infections.The brachial/basilic vein and 5F catheter was proposed as the first choice.Thicker catheter diameter,male,CRT,abnormal venous status,and axillary vein approach may increase the risk of UAP related infection.
7.Correlation between walking exercise guided by walking test and long-term prognosis of acute coronary syndrome in the elderly
Yi MA ; Jing HAN ; Wenhong CHANG ; Shumei ZHENG ; Jianxiu DONG ; Hongxin ZHANG ; Lili HU ; Jianhui WANG ; Xuebin GENG
Chinese Journal of Geriatric Heart Brain and Vessel Diseases 2025;27(6):693-697
Objective To explore the association between walking exercise guided by 6 minute walking test(6MWT)and the incidences of 3-year major adverse cardiovascular event(MACE)in elderly patients with acute coronary syndrome(ACS)after percutaneous coronary intervention(PCI).Methods A total of 628 elderly ACS patients who undergoing PCI and obtaining success-ful coronary revascularization in our department from November 2018 to April 2019 were enrolled,and divided into 6MWT group(n=147)and control group(n=481)based on participa-ting in walking exercise guided by 6MWT or not.All of them were followed up for 3 years.The incidences of MACE[including coronary target vascular restenosis,acute myocardial infarction,heart failure,ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke]and all-cause death were observed.Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional analyses and Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis were employed for data statistical analyses.Results At the end of follow-up,the incidences of target vascular restenosis(6.9%vs 2.0%,P=0.028),heart failure(3.7%vs 0%,P=0.036),stroke(3.7%vs 0%,P=0.036),and total MACE incidence(15.0%vs 4.1%,P=0.000)were statistically higher in the control group than the 6MWT group.Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis showed that the cumulative incidence of MACE was significantly lower in the 6MWT group than the control group(Plog rank=0.001).Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that not participating in walking exercise guided by 6MWT was an independent risk factor for occurrence of 3-year MACE(HR=3.102,95%CI:1.327-7.250,P=0.009).Conclusion Walking exercise guided by 6MWT reduces the incidence of 3-year MACE and improves the long-term prognosis of elderly ACS patients after PCI.
8.Relationship between plasma vitamin B1 deficiency and lactic acidosis in patients with sepsis
Wenjing XU ; Wanqian ZHANG ; Jianping ZHANG ; Xuebin GAO ; Xigang MA ; Lijuan ZHANG ; Yongsheng LUO
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(12):1798-1802
OBJECTIVE To investigate the prevalence of plasma vitamin B1 deficiency in patients with sepsis and analyze the relationship between plasma vitamin B1 levels and lactic acidosis.METHODS A total of 40 patients with sepsis and 42 patients with sepsis shock admitted to the intensive care unit(ICU)of General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University from Nov.2020 to Nov.2022 were selected as the study objects.Volunteers matched by age,gender and body mass index(BMI)were selected as the healthy group.Data on gender,age,BMI,under-lying diseases,sequential organ failure assessment(SOFA)score,acute physiology and chronic health evaluation(APACHE)Ⅱ score,infection site,duration of mechanical ventilation and ICU length of stay were collected.La-boratory tests including blood routine,electrolytes,blood lactate(Lac),alanine aminotransferase(ALT),aspar-tate aminotransferase(AST),blood urea nitrogen(BUN)and serum creatinine(Scr)were performed in both groups.Plasma samples from both disease group and the healthy group were collected.High-performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry(HPLC-MS/MS)was used to measure plasma thiamine(vitamin B1)levels in the disease group on the first,third and fifth days,respectively,as well as in the healthy group.RESULTS On the first day of admission,both the sepsis group and the septic shock group exhibited vitamin B1 de-ficiency.Specifically,6 cases of vitamin B1 deficiency were observed in the patients with sepsis,while 8 cases of vitamin B1 deficiency were noted in the patients with septic shock(P=0.640).By the third and fifth days,the proportions of vitamin B1 deficiency in the sepsis group were 22.50%and 42.50%,respectively,whereas in the septic shock group,these proportions were high at 26.19%and 54.76%,with a statistically significant difference(P<0.05).On the fifth day,in the normal liver function group,vitamin B1 levels showed a negative correlation with lactate(r=-0.590,P=0.005),whereas in the abnormal liver function group,vitamin B1 levels were pos-itively correlated with lactate(r=0.678,P=0.017).The patients in the septic shock group had low K+and ALB levels[(2.60±0.42)mmol/L and(24.56±5.78)g/L,respectively]compared to those in the sepsis group(P<0.05).CONCLUSIONS Plasma vitamin B1 deficiency is prevalent among patients with sepsis.Changes in plasma vitamin B1 levels are closely associated with blood lactate levels in these patients.
9.Bilateral macronodular adrenocortical disease: clinical characteristics, genetic variants, and gene expression
Penghu LIAN ; Yongwang SHI ; Yushi ZHANG ; Jianhua DENG ; Wenda WANG ; Xuebin ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Urology 2025;46(7):506-511
Objective:To investigate the genetic mutation characteristics of patients with bilateral macronodular adrenocortical disease(BmacAD)and to analyze the clinical phenotypes and adrenal nodule transcriptomic profiles associated with different genotypes.Methods:This retrospective study analyzed the clinical data of 37 patients diagnosed with BmacAD by clinical and pathological assessment who underwent surgery at Peking Union Medical College Hospital from January 2001 to December 2024. Data included symptoms and signs related to hypercortisolism,24-hour urinary free cortisol,plasma adrenocorticotropic hormone(ACTH),and overnight low-dose dexamethasone suppression test results. Whole-exome sequencing(WES)was performed on frozen adrenal hyperplasia tissue samples from surgical specimens and matched frozen residual blood samples for all patients to screen for germline and somatic mutations. Sanger sequencing was used to validate some of the identified mutations. The relation between genetic mutations and clinical features was analyzed. Transcriptome sequencing of the hyperplastic tissues was conducted,and unsupervised clustering,differential gene expression analysis,and pathway enrichment analysis were used to compare the transcriptomic profiles of patients with different genotypes.Results:A total of 37 cases were included(23 males and 14 females),aged between 31?68 years old. Among the patients with available clinical data,most exhibited signs of hypercortisolism,including hypertension(100.0%,36/36),diabetes(50.0%,18/36),and centripetal obesity(55.9%,19/34),accompanied by relevant endocrine abnormalities such as elevated 24-hour urinary free cortisol(79.4%,27/34),suppressed ACTH(77.8%,28/36),and a positive overnight low-dose dexamethasone suppression test(45.2%,14/31). WES and Sanger sequencing revealed that ARMC5 gene mutations were the most common. Among the 37 patients,33(89.2%)had ARMC5 germline mutations,and 31(83.8%)concurrently harbored ARMC5 somatic mutations,including 3 cases of loss of heterozygosity. Two patients without detectable ARMC5 mutations both carried a somatic p.S45P mutation in the CTNNB1 gene and neither had typical manifestations of hypercortisolism. Transcriptome sequencing results suggested that patients with ARMC5 mutations had an upregulation of pathways related to steroid secretion.Conclusions:The majority of BmacAD patients present with typical manifestations of hypercortisolism,while a minority exhibit only mild autonomous cortisol secretion without obvious symptoms. Biallelic inactivation of the ARMC5 gene is the primary genetic driver of this disease,leading to more severe hypercortisolism by upregulating steroid hormone secretion. CTNNB1 mutations may be involved in the pathogenesis of some patients without ARMC5 mutations.
10.Efficacy analysis of unilateral adrenalectomy plus contralateral partial adrenalectomy for the treatment of 41 cases of bilateral macronodular adrenal cortical disease
Xin ZHAO ; Yushi ZHANG ; Xuebin ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Urology 2025;46(7):517-522
Objective:To investigate the efficacy of unilateral adrenalectomy combined with contralateral partial adrenalectomy in patients with bilateral macronodular adrenal cortical disease(BmacAD).Methods:Retrospective analysis was performed on the clinical data of 41 patients with bilateral macronodular adrenal disease(BmacAD)who underwent unilateral total adrenalectomy plus contralateral partial adrenalectomy at Peking Union Medical College Hospital,Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences,between January 1990 and December 2018. The cohort comprised 27 men(65.9%)and 14 women(34.1%),with a mean age of(48.5 ± 9.3)years. The median disease duration was 60(25,108)months . Twenty-six patients(63.4%)presented with clinical features of Cushing’s syndrome(CS),while 15 patients(36.6%)did not exhibit typical CS symptoms. Endocrine evaluation revealed a median 24-hour urinary free cortisol(24h-UFC)level of 429.1(255.3,799.2)μg/24h. Plasma adrenocorticotropic hormone(ACTH)was normal in 5 patients(12.2%)and suppressed in 36 patients(87.8%). Computed tomography(CT)imaging demonstrated typical multinodular involvement of both adrenal glands in all patients. The mean volume of the left adrenal gland was(57.4 ± 31.8)ml,the mean volume of the right adrenal gland was(48.8 ± 18.0)ml,and the mean total volume was(106.2 ± 42.1)ml. The mean maximum nodule diameter was(2.4 ± 1.0)cm. All 41 patients underwent unilateral total adrenalectomy plus contralateral partial adrenalectomy. Postoperatively,patients were followed up every 3 to 6 months to monitor symptoms and hormonal changes. Residual adrenalectomy was performed if symptoms or hormone levels did not improve or recurred.Results:Of the 41 patients,2 underwent simultaneous unilateral total adrenalectomy plus contralateral partial adrenalectomy,while 39 underwent staged procedures. The median follow-up was 56 months(range 2 to 199 months). During the follow-up period,82.9%(34/41)of patients achieved normalization of clinical symptoms and biochemical markers postoperatively. The median time to improvement of CS symptoms was 19 months. The median 24h-UFC level at 1 week postoperatively was 385.48(219.95,525.04)μg/24h,decreasing to 56.96(37.38,88.70)μg/24h at 3 months postoperatively. All 41 patients received routine glucocorticoid supplementation postoperatively,with gradual tapering until discontinuation. The median duration of hormone replacement was 29 months(3,72)months. Among the 34 patients who did not experience recurrence,30(88.2%)were eventually able to discontinue hormone replacement,with a median duration of supplementation of 24(3,36)months,while 4(11.8%)required long-term hormone replacement. The final outcome showed that 73.2%(30/41)of patients achieved control of CS symptoms with preservation of normal adrenal function following unilateral total adrenalectomy plus contralateral partial adrenalectomy. Seven patients(17.1%)required completion adrenalectomy for residual disease. There were no statistically significant differences( P > 0.05)in preoperative clinical symptoms,hormone levels,adrenal gland volume,or maximum nodule diameter between patients who experienced recurrence after unilateral total adrenalectomy plus contralateral partial adrenalectomy and those who did not. Conclusions:Unilateral adrenalectomy with contralateral partial adrenalectomy represents a feasible treatment strategy for BmacAD,but requires careful patient selection. This approach may offer a balance between therapeutic efficacy and preservation of adrenal function,providing a novel perspective for clinical decision-making.

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