1.Mechanistic Interplay Between Remodeling of The Peritubular Capillary Microenvironment and Renal Fibrosis
Qi-Fa QIN ; Wen-Hui HUANG ; Jun-Yue HUANG ; Guang-Run ZHANG ; Rong XUE ; Rui QIAN ; Li-Li XU ; Li-Ting DONG
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2026;53(10):2647-2664
Renal fibrosis is the common pathological endpoint of many forms of chronic kidney disease (CKD), yet the mechanisms determining effective repair versus persistent fibrotic remodeling remain incompletely understood. Peritubular capillaries (PTCs) are not merely passive targets of fibrotic injury, but form a dynamic vascular microenvironment linking regional perfusion, oxygen delivery, tubular metabolism, endothelial barrier integrity, pericyte support, immune-cell trafficking, and extracellular matrix (ECM) remodeling. We propose that PTC abnormalities should not be interpreted simply as reduced capillary density, but as a multidimensional disturbance of microvascular structure and function. Structural vascular preservation does not necessarily indicate effective microcirculation: anatomically detectable capillaries may still exhibit impaired perfusion, barrier dysfunction, abnormal endothelial-pericyte interactions, disturbed oxygen metabolism, or reduced network connectivity. Conversely, increased angiogenesis does not necessarily signify successful vascular repair if vessels remain immature, poorly perfused, or inadequately integrated into the existing network. To organize these abnormalities, we conceptualize PTC remodeling into four predominant but nonexclusive states: endothelial barrier disruption with inflammatory adhesion; endothelial-pericyte uncoupling with no-reflow; dysregulated angiogenesis with network simplification; and capillary rarefaction with fibrotic matrix locking. These states are not sequential stages of CKD. They may coexist within the same kidney, overlap within the same anatomical region, and vary with disease etiology, injury phase, vascular compartment, and treatment exposure. We further propose six dimensions for evaluating PTC status—structural presence, functional perfusion, barrier integrity, pericyte coupling, oxygen metabolism, and network connectivity—so that vascular quantity, function, and reparative capacity are assessed separately rather than inferred from a single endothelial marker or capillary-density measurement. Mechanistically, these states converge on a bidirectional microvascular-fibrotic feedback loop. Barrier disruption facilitates leukocyte recruitment and alters vascular paracrine signaling. Endothelial-pericyte uncoupling compromises capillary stability, whereas abnormal pericyte contraction may increase local vascular resistance and contribute to no-reflow before overt capillary loss. Dysregulated angiogenesis may generate vessels that fail to mature or connect to an effective perfusion network. Progressive capillary rarefaction compromises oxygen delivery, while sustained tubular transport demand and mitochondrial dysfunction may aggravate regional oxygen supply-demand mismatch. Injured tubules, immune cells, endothelial cells, pericytes, and fibroblasts communicate through soluble mediators, extracellular vesicles, direct cell contact, and cell-matrix signaling. Importantly, fibrosis is not merely a downstream consequence of microvascular injury. Altered ECM may increase diffusion distance, modify mechanotransduction, impair endothelial survival and migration, and restrict capillary reopening and regeneration. We use the term matrix locking to describe this sustained constraint on vascular repair, while emphasizing that current evidence does not establish irreversible disease in humans. This framework also has therapeutic implications. PTC-directed treatment should not be reduced to increasing vessel number or uniformly promoting angiogenesis. Instead, intervention should be matched to the dominant and potentially reversible abnormality: preserving endothelial barrier function; restoring endothelial-pericyte stability and reducing pathological microvascular resistance; normalizing angiogenesis so that vascular growth is accompanied by maturation, barrier competence, network integration, and effective perfusion; and, in advanced rarefaction, relieving matrix-related constraints while supporting vascular regeneration. The context- and time-dependent effects of signaling through VEGF, Tie2, PDGF-B/PDGFRβ, eNOS/NO, and related pathways indicate that the same molecular signal may exert different effects depending on disease context and timing. Therapeutic efficacy should therefore be evaluated by restoration of effective microcirculation and tissue function rather than by isolated molecular changes or capillary counts alone. Despite increasing mechanistic evidence, the translational basis for this framework remains limited. Most causal and interventional data derive from animal or cell models, whereas human evidence is largely limited to pathological observations, patient-sample associations, and prognostic studies. Currently available circulating and urinary candidate biomarkers generally lack sufficient specificity for PTC injury or state assignment, and no standardized quantitative thresholds have been externally validated. The four-state model should therefore be regarded as a hypothesis-generating analytical framework rather than a clinicopathological classification system. Future studies should integrate spatially resolved tissue phenotyping, blood and urine biomarkers, and dynamic microcirculatory assessment in longitudinal cohorts. They should test reproducibility, assess prognostic value beyond conventional pathology, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and proteinuria, and determine whether changes in PTC status precede or mediate therapeutic benefit. Linking reproducible microvascular phenotypes to defined mechanisms, treatment response, and long-term renal outcomes will be essential to determine whether state-directed assessment and restoration of the PTC microenvironment can ultimately inform patient stratification and therapeutic decision-making.
2.Epidemiological characteristics and trends of non-suicidal self-injury among middle school students in Jiading District of Shanghai from 2015 to 2023
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(9):1282-1286
Objective:
To analyze the epidemiological characteristics and changing trends of non suicidal self injury (NSSI) behaviors among middle school students in Jiading District of Shanghai, from 2015 to 2023, so as to provide a basis for the development of NSSI prevention and control measures among students.
Methods:
Using a stratified cluster random sampling method, a total of five times for Shanghai Adolescent Health Risk Behavior Surveys were conducted for every two years in Jiading District of Shanghai from 2015 to 2023. A total of 5 231 middle school students from junior high schools and senior high schools were selected for questionnaire surveys. Intergroup comparisons were performed using the x 2 test or the χ 2 trend test, and the JointPoint 5.0 software was used to analyze the changing trends, with the annual percent change (APC) used for evaluation. A binary Logistic regression model was employed to analyze the related factors of NSSI behavior among middle school students.
Results:
In 2023, the reported NSSI rate among middle school students in Jiading District was 14.2%. The rate was significantly higher among junior high school students (17.1%) than that among senior high school students (11.1%), and higher among females (19.2%) than that among males (10.0%) ( χ 2=10.04, 23.21, both P <0.01). From 2015 to 2023, the overall reported NSSI rate showed an increasing trend, rising from 8.6% in 2015 to 14.2% in 2023 ( χ 2 trend =22.25), with an APC of 6.64% ( t =3.49), and the APC for girls was 9.79 % ( t =3.20) (all P <0.05). Among students reporting NSSI, the proportion experiencing ≥6 episodes increased from 10.8% in 2015 to 19.2% in 2023 ( χ 2 trend =6.57, P <0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis indicated that girls, junior high school students, those with insomnia, depressive emotion and drinkers had higher risks of NSSI, compared to boys, senior high school students, those without insomnia, non depressive emotion students and non drinkers ( OR =1.71, 1.96, 3.44, 4.76, 1.77, all P < 0.05 ).
Conclusions
The reported rate of NSSI among middle school students in Jiading District of Shanghai, increased annually from 2015 to 2023, and the proportion of repeated NSSI also showed an upward trend. Early intervention measures targeting middle school students, especially junior high school students and females, should be implemented to prevent and control its occurrence and development.
3.Safety of teriflunomide in Chinese adult patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis: A phase IV, 24-week multicenter study.
Chao QUAN ; Hongyu ZHOU ; Huan YANG ; Zheng JIAO ; Meini ZHANG ; Baorong ZHANG ; Guojun TAN ; Bitao BU ; Tao JIN ; Chunyang LI ; Qun XUE ; Huiqing DONG ; Fudong SHI ; Xinyue QIN ; Xinghu ZHANG ; Feng GAO ; Hua ZHANG ; Jiawei WANG ; Xueqiang HU ; Yueting CHEN ; Jue LIU ; Wei QIU
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(4):452-458
BACKGROUND:
Disease-modifying therapies have been approved for the treatment of relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS). The present study aims to examine the safety of teriflunomide in Chinese patients with RMS.
METHODS:
This non-randomized, multi-center, 24-week, prospective study enrolled RMS patients with variant (c.421C>A) or wild type ABCG2 who received once-daily oral teriflunomide 14 mg. The primary endpoint was the relationship between ABCG2 polymorphisms and teriflunomide exposure over 24 weeks. Safety was assessed over the 24-week treatment with teriflunomide.
RESULTS:
Eighty-two patients were assigned to variant ( n = 42) and wild type groups ( n = 40), respectively. Geometric mean and geometric standard deviation (SD) of pre-dose concentration (variant, 54.9 [38.0] μg/mL; wild type, 49.1 [32.0] μg/mL) and area under plasma concentration-time curve over a dosing interval (AUC tau ) (variant, 1731.3 [769.0] μg∙h/mL; wild type, 1564.5 [1053.0] μg∙h/mL) values at steady state were approximately similar between the two groups. Safety profile was similar and well tolerated across variant and wild type groups in terms of rates of treatment emergent adverse events (TEAE), treatment-related TEAE, grade ≥3 TEAE, and serious adverse events (AEs). No new specific safety concerns or deaths were reported in the study.
CONCLUSION:
ABCG2 polymorphisms did not affect the steady-state exposure of teriflunomide, suggesting a similar efficacy and safety profile between variant and wild type RMS patients.
REGISTRATION
NCT04410965, https://clinicaltrials.gov .
Humans
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Crotonates/adverse effects*
;
Toluidines/adverse effects*
;
Nitriles
;
Hydroxybutyrates
;
Female
;
Male
;
Adult
;
ATP Binding Cassette Transporter, Subfamily G, Member 2/genetics*
;
Middle Aged
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Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/genetics*
;
Prospective Studies
;
Young Adult
;
Neoplasm Proteins/genetics*
;
East Asian People
4.Potential utility of albumin-bilirubin and body mass index-based logistic model to predict survival outcome in non-small cell lung cancer with liver metastasis treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors.
Lianxi SONG ; Qinqin XU ; Ting ZHONG ; Wenhuan GUO ; Shaoding LIN ; Wenjuan JIANG ; Zhan WANG ; Li DENG ; Zhe HUANG ; Haoyue QIN ; Huan YAN ; Xing ZHANG ; Fan TONG ; Ruiguang ZHANG ; Zhaoyi LIU ; Lin ZHANG ; Xiaorong DONG ; Ting LI ; Chao FANG ; Xue CHEN ; Jun DENG ; Jing WANG ; Nong YANG ; Liang ZENG ; Yongchang ZHANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(4):478-480
5.A Retrospective Study of Pregnancy and Fetal Outcomes in Mothers with Hepatitis C Viremia.
Wen DENG ; Zi Yu ZHANG ; Xin Xin LI ; Ya Qin ZHANG ; Wei Hua CAO ; Shi Yu WANG ; Xin WEI ; Zi Xuan GAO ; Shuo Jie WANG ; Lin Mei YAO ; Lu ZHANG ; Hong Xiao HAO ; Xiao Xue CHEN ; Yuan Jiao GAO ; Wei YI ; Yao XIE ; Ming Hui LI
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(7):829-839
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection's effect on gestational liver function, pregnancy and delivery complications, and neonatal development.
METHODS:
A total of 157 HCV antibody-positive (anti-HCV[+]) and HCV RNA(+) patients (Group C) and 121 anti-HCV(+) and HCV RNA(-) patients (Group B) were included as study participants, while 142 anti-HCV(-) and HCV RNA(-) patients (Group A) were the control group. Data on biochemical indices during pregnancy, pregnancy complications, delivery-related information, and neonatal complications were also collected.
RESULTS:
Elevated alanine aminotransferase (ALT) rates in Group C during early, middle, and late pregnancy were 59.87%, 43.95%, and 42.04%, respectively-significantly higher than Groups B (26.45%, 15.70%, 10.74%) and A (23.94%, 19.01%, 6.34%) ( P < 0.05). Median ALT levels in Group C were significantly higher than in Groups A and B at all pregnancy stages ( P < 0.05). No significant differences were found in neonatal malformation rates across groups ( P > 0.05). However, neonatal jaundice incidence was significantly greater in Group C (75.16%) compared to Groups A (42.25%) and B (57.02%) ( χ 2 = 33.552, P < 0.001). HCV RNA positivity during pregnancy was an independent risk factor for neonatal jaundice ( OR = 2.111, 95% CI 1.242-3.588, P = 0.006).
CONCLUSIONS
Chronic HCV infection can affect the liver function of pregnant women, but does not increase the pregnancy or delivery complication risks. HCV RNA(+) is an independent risk factor for neonatal jaundice.
Humans
;
Female
;
Pregnancy
;
Adult
;
Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/epidemiology*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Pregnancy Outcome
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Viremia/virology*
;
Hepatitis C
;
Hepacivirus/physiology*
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Hepatitis C, Chronic/virology*
;
Young Adult
;
Alanine Transaminase/blood*
6.Phenotypic Function of Legionella pneumophila Type I-F CRISPR-Cas.
Ting MO ; Hong Yu REN ; Xian Xian ZHANG ; Yun Wei LU ; Zhong Qiu TENG ; Xue ZHANG ; Lu Peng DAI ; Ling HOU ; Na ZHAO ; Jia HE ; Tian QIN
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(9):1105-1119
OBJECTIVE:
CRISPR-Cas protects bacteria from exogenous DNA invasion and is associated with bacterial biofilm formation and pathogenicity.
METHODS:
We analyzed the type I-F CRISPR-Cas system of Legionella pneumophila WX48, including Cas1, Cas2-Cas3, Csy1, Csy2, Csy3, and Cas6f, along with downstream CRISPR arrays. We explored the effects of the CRISPR-Cas system on the in vitro growth, biofilm-forming ability, and pathogenicity of L. pneumophila through constructing gene deletion mutants.
RESULTS:
The type I-F CRISPR-Cas system did not affect the in vitro growth of wild-type or mutant strains. The biofilm formation and intracellular proliferation of the mutant strains were weaker than those of the wild type owing to the regulation of type IV pili and Dot/Icm type IV secretion systems. In particular, Cas6f deletion strongly inhibited these processes.
CONCLUSION
The type I-F CRISPR-Cas system may reduce biofilm formation and intracellular proliferation in L. pneumophila.
Legionella pneumophila/pathogenicity*
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CRISPR-Cas Systems
;
Biofilms/growth & development*
;
Phenotype
;
Bacterial Proteins/metabolism*
;
Gene Deletion
7.Influence of blood pressure level on optical coherence tomography angiography parameters in patients with essential hypertension
Jinbao MA ; Kai CAO ; Guohong WANG ; Mingzhao QIN ; Xue JIANG ; Caixia GUO ; Yu HE ; Yongpeng ZHANG ; Qi LIU
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine 2025;32(6):967-972
Objective To analyze the changes in optical coherence tomography angiography (OCTA) parameters in patients with essential hypertension,and to explore the effect of blood pressure on OCTA parameters. Methods A total of 164 patients with essential hypertension were selected and divided into controlled blood pressure group (n=92) and uncontrolled blood pressure group (n=72). OCTA examination was performed on the optic disc and macula of all patients, and the right eyes were selected for analysis. Results There were no significant differences in retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) thickness, radial peripapillary capillary (RPC) total vascular density, RPC total small vessel density, perifovea superficial capillary plexus (SCP) vascular density, and perifovea deep capillary plexus (DCP) vascular density between the two groups of patients. There were no significant differences in foveal avascular zone (FAZ) area, FAZ diameter, and fovea retinal thickness between the two groups of patients. The density of the parafovea SCP, parafovea DCP, and fractal dimension (FD) in the uncontrolled blood pressure group were significantly lower than those in the controlled blood pressure group (P<0.05). Multiple linear regression analysis showed that elevation of blood pressure was a independently related factor of reduced parafovea DCP density (P=0.026), while there was no correlation between the uncontrolled blood pressure and parafovea SCP density and FD level. Conclusions The blood pressure level is correlated with the parafovea DCP density, while has no correlation with other OCTA parameters in hypertension patients.
8.Protective effect of prunetin on cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury in rats by regulating JNK/p38 pathway
Chongyang ZHANG ; Jia LUO ; Xue QIN ; Panxi SUN ; Lili WEI ; Xiushi YU
Journal of Jilin University(Medicine Edition) 2025;51(2):296-306
Objective:To investigate the protective effect of prunetin on the neurons in the rats with cerebral ischemia reperfusion injury(CIRI),and to clarify its possible mechanisms.Methods:Thirty-six SD rats were randomly divided into sham operation group,model group,low dose of prunetin group(3.5 mg·kg-1),medium dose of prunetin group(7.0 mg·kg-1),high dose of prunetin group(14.0 mg·kg-1),and positive drug edaravone(Eda)group(n=6).Zealonga method was used to evaluate the neurological function damage of the rats in various groups;open field experiment was used to evaluate the autonomous motor function;Triphenyltetrazolium chlorde(TTC)staining was used to evaluate the areas of cerebral infarction of the rats in various groups;HE staining and Nissl staining were used to observe the pathomorphology of brain tissue of the rats in various groups.Additionally,twenty-one SD rats were randomly divided into sham operation group,model group,prunetin group,c-Jun N-terminal kinase(JNK)inhibitor group,p38 inhibitor group,JNK inhibitor+prunetin group,and p38 inhibitor+prunetin group(n=3).TUNEL staining was used to detect the positive rates of apoptosis of neurons of the rats in various groups;Western blotting method was used to detect the expression levels of apoptosis-related proteins and JNK/p38 signaling pathway-related proteins in brain tissue of cerebral infarction side of the rats in various groups.Results:Compared with sham operation group,the neurological deficit score of rats in model group was significantly increased(P<0.001),the total motor distance was shortened(P<0.001),and the ratio of cerebral infarction area was increased(P<0.001).In sham group,the neuronal structure in the rat brain tissue was clear and well-organized,with an abundance of Nissl bodies and no apparent pathological changes observed.Compared with model group,the neurological deficit scores of the rats in medium and high doses of prunetin groups were decreased(P<0.05),total motor distances of rats were increased(P<0.05),and the cerebral infarction areas of rats were decreased(P<0.05);the neurons showed disarrayed arrangement,cytoplasmic condensation,nuclear consolidation,and lysing and deletion of Nissl bodies were decreased.Compared with sham operation group,the positive rate of apoptosis of neurons in model group was significantly increased(P<0.001),the expression level of B-cell lymphoma-2(Bcl-2),Bcl-2-associated X protein(Bax)and cleaved Caspase-3 proteins in brain tissue of the rats were significantly increased(P<0.05 or P<0.01).Compared with model group,the positive rats of apoptosis of neurons of the rats in prunetin group were decreased(P<0.05),the expression level of Bcl-2 protein in brain tissue of the rats was increased(P<0.001),and the expression levels of Bax and cleaved Caspase-3 proteins were significantly decreased(P<0.05).Compared with inhibitor groups,the positive rates of apoptosis of neurons in inhibitor+prunetin groups were decreased(P<0.01),and the expression levels of p-JNK and p-p38 proteins in brain tissue of the rats as well as the ratios of p-JNK/JNK and p-p38/p38 were decreased(P<0.05).Conclusion:Prunetin has the effect of reducing the neurological function damage,decreasing the area of cerebral infarction,reducing the pathological damage,and inhibiting neuronal apoptosis in the rats,and its mechanism may be related to inhibiting neuronal apoptosis through regulating the JNK/p38 signaling pathway.
9.Protective effect of TUG-891 on ischemic stroke induced by ischemia and hypoxia and its mechanism
Panxi SUN ; Xue QIN ; Chongyang ZHANG ; Jia LUO ; Yong CHEN ; Lili WEI
Journal of Jilin University(Medicine Edition) 2025;51(4):968-975
Objective:To discuss the protective effect of TUG-891 on ischemic stoke(IS)induced by ischemia-hypoxia,and to clarify its potential mechanism.Methods:A total of 60 healthy male C57BL/6 mice were randomly divided into sham operation group(n=20),model group[distal middle cerebral artery occlusion(dMCAO)group,n=20],and model+TUG-891 group(dMCAO+TUG-891 group,n=20).After modeling,the mice were intraperitoneally injected with TUG-891 solution(35 mg·kg?1·d?1)for 3 consecutive days.Modified neurological severity score(mNSS)and rotarod test were used to evaluate the neurological function of the mice in various groups;2,3,5-triphenyltetrazolium chloride(TTC)staining was used to observe the cerebral infarction volumes of the mice in various groups;biochemical method was used to detect the malondialdehyde(MDA)level and superoxide dismutase(SOD)activity in the supernatant of brain tissue of the mice in various groups;Hematoxylin-Eosin(HE)and NISSL staining were used to observe the pathomerphology of brain tissue of the mice in various groups;terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase dUTP nick-end labeling(TUNEL)staining was used to detect the apoptotic indexes of neuronal cells in brain tissue of the mice in various groups;Western blotting method was used to detect the expression levels of glucose-regulated protein 78(GRP78),protein kinase R-like endoplasmic reticulum kinase(PERK),phosphorylated PERK(p-PERK),and C/EBP homologous protein(CHOP)proteins in brain tissue of the mice in various groups.Results:The mNSS and rotarod test results shoued that compared with sham operation group,the mNSS of the mice in dMCAO group was significantly increased(P<0.01),and the time on the rod was significantly decreased(P<0.01);compared with dMCAO group,the mNSS of the mice in dMCAO+TUG-891 group was decreased(P<0.05),and the time on the rod was increased(P<0.05).The TTC staining results shoued that compared with sham operation group,the volume of white infarct foci in the cerebral cortex of the mice in dMCAO group was increased(P<0.01);compared with dMCAO group,the cerebral infarction volume of the mice in dMCAO+TUG-891 group was significantly decreased(P<0.01).The HE staining results showed that compared with sham operation group,the cortex of the mice in dMCAO group was severely damaged,manifested by disordered arrangement of neuronal cells and obvious nuclear pyknosis in the infarct area,and the morphology of cortical infarct area of the mice in dMCAO+TUG-891 group was improved;the NISSL staining results showed that the Nissl bodies in the cortical infarct area of the mice in dMCAO group became thinner,elongated,and lost more.The pathological damage of brain tissue of the mice in dMCAO+TUG-891 group was significantly improved.Compared with sham operation group,the MDA level in brain tissue of the mice in model group was significantly increased(P<0.01),and the SOD activity was decreased(P<0.01);compared with model group,the MDA level in brain tissue of the mice in TUG-891 group was significantly decreased(P<0.01),and the SOD activity was significantly increased(P<0.01).The TUNEL staining results showed that compared with sham operation group,the apoptotic index of neuronal cells in brain tissue of the mice in dMCAO group was increased(P<0.01);compared with dMCAO group,the apoptotic index of neuronal cells in brain tissue of the mice in dMCAO+TUG-891 group was decreased(P<0.01).Compared with sham operation group,the expression levels of GRP78,p-PERK,and CHOP proteins in brain tissue of the mice in dMCAO group were increased(P<0.05);compared with dMCAO group,the expression levels of GRP78,p-PERK,and CHOP proteins in brain tissue of the mice in dMCAO+TUG-891 group were decreased(P<0.05).Conclusion:TUG-891 can alleviate neurological injury caused by ischemic stroke,and its mechanism may be related to the inhibition of endoplasmic reticulum stress and apoptosis.
10.Construction of a postoperative mortality risk model for patients with acute aortic dissection based on XGBoost-SHAP method
Xin ZHANG ; Min FANG ; Yi CAO ; Ting-Ting LI ; Xian-Kong LIU ; Jia-Yi DANG ; Xue-Sen ZHAO ; Hong-Qin REN ; Jia-Ze GENG ; Kai-Wen WANG ; Tie-Sheng HAN ; Yong-Bo ZHAO ; Dong MA
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(10):1226-1234
Objective To develop a predictive model for postoperative mortality risk in patients with acute aortic dissection(AAD)using the Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost)algorithm combined with Shapley Additive Explanation(SHAP),and to establish a prediction website to serve as a diagnostic and therapeutic support platform for clinicians and patients.Methods A retrospective cohort study design was adopted.Data from 782 AAD patients who underwent surgical treatment at the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2013 to December 2023 were collected,including basic information and initial serum biomarker test results.Patients were randomly divided into training and test sets at a 7:3 ratio.An external validation set consisting of 313 AAD patients admitted to the Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2020 to December 2023 was also established for further model validation.Variables were screened using LASSO regression,and an XGBoost machine learning model was constructed and interpreted using SHAP.The predictive performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis.Using the Shiny package,the XGBoost model was deployed to shinyapps.io to create a prediction website for postoperative mortality risk in AAD patients.One patient was selected by simple random sampling from the test set and the external validation set respectively for the prediction example on the Shiny webpage.Results The XGBoost model demonstrated high predictive performance for postoperative mortality in AAD patients,with area under the ROC curve(AUC)values of 0.928(95%CI 0.901-0.956)in the training set,0.919(95%CI 0.891-0.949)in the test set,and 0.941(95%CI 0.915-0.967)in the external validation set.SHAP values indicated the following order of variable importance in the model(from highest to lowest):"lactate dehydrogenase""blood chlorine""multiple organ injury""carbon dioxide combining power""prothrombin time""α-hydroxybutyric acid""creatine kinase isoenzyme""Stanford classification""combined use of bedside blood purification""gender""acute kidney injury""gastrointestinal bleeding""brain injury"and"shock".A risk prediction website for adverse postoperative outcomes in AAD patients was developed using XGBoost-SHAP method(https://dun-dunxiaolu.shinyapps.io/document/)and validated with examples.One randomly selected patient from each of the test and external validation sets was applied:the predicted mortality risk value for patient 1(who died postoperatively)was 0.9539,and that for patient 2(who survived postoperatively)was 0.0206.Conclusions The XGBoost-SHAP model demonstrates high accuracy in predicting postoperative mortality risk for AAD patients.The online prediction tool established based on this model enhances the identification efficiency of high-risk postoperative mortality patients.


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