1.Mortality and years of life lost of residents with viral hepatitis among in Pudong New Area of Shanghai in 2003 - 2023
Sen WANG ; Lianghong SUN ; Caixia HU ; Hua CHEN ; Xiaobin QU ; Jiayi SHENG ; Siyue HAN ; Caoyi XUE ; Yichen CHEN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):53-57
Objective To analyze the characteristics of viral hepatitis mortality and life loss among residents in Pudong New Area from 2003 to 2023, and to provide a basis for related prevention and control work. Methods Viral hepatitis mortality data were obtained from the Pudong New Area mortality monitoring system. The crude mortality rate (CMR), standardized mortality rate (SMR), potential years of life lost (PYLL), average years of life lost (AYLL), and standardized potential years of life lost (SPYLL) were calculated to analyze viral hepatitis deaths. The average annual change (AAPC) and annual percentage change (APC) of the mortality rate were calculated by Joinpoint regression analysis to analyze the trend of mortality. Results The CMR and SMR of viral hepatitis among residents in Pudong New Area from 2003 to 2023 were 3.89/100000 and 1.98/100000, respectively. Both CMR and SMR of viral hepatitis showed a decreasing trend over time (CMR:APC=-5.476, t=-13.581, P<0.001; SMR:APC=- 7.624, t= -21.253, P<0.001). The CMR for males was 4.75/100000 and the SMR for males was 2.65/100000; the CMR for females was 3.04/100000 and the SMR for females was 1.32/100000, with a higher mortality rate for males than for females(ZCME=12.094,P<0.001; ZSMR=-14.718,P<0.001). Deaths were concentrated in the age groups of 45-64 years old and 65 years old and above, accounting for 91.62% of the total deaths. The PYLL of deaths due to viral hepatitis among residents in Pudong New Area from 2003 to 2023 was 26912 person-years, with a PYLLR of 0.45% and an AYLL of 8.88 years per person. Conclusion The mortality rate of viral hepatitis among the residents of Pudong New Area in 2003-2023 shows a decreasing trend over time. The mortality rate of males is higher than that of females, and the deaths of middle-aged and elderly people account for a large proportion of the total deaths. Chronic hepatitis B is the main cause of death.
2.An Attention-weighted Tri-modal Ultrasound Network (TUS-Net) for Screening of Atypical Hepatocellular Carcinoma From LR-M Liver Nodules
He-Chong ZHANG ; Liang-Hui HUANG ; Xue-Hua WANG ; Shang-Lin JIANG ; Ying-Ying CHEN ; Ya-Guang ZENG ; Wei ZHENG
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2026;53(5):1485-1498
ObjectiveDiscriminating atypical hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) from other malignancies in liver nodules classified as Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System category M (LR-M) remains a significant diagnostic challenge on conventional ultrasound examination. The LR-M category, originally intended to capture non-HCC malignancies, paradoxically contains up to 63% of atypical HCCs that deviate from classic enhancement patterns, leading to potential misdiagnosis and suboptimal treatment planning. While deep learning has shown promise in HCC diagnosis, most existing models rely exclusively on single-modality ultrasound, overlooking the diagnostic benefits of integrating complementary information from multiple imaging sources. To address this gap, we propose a novel attention-weighted tri-modal ultrasound network (TUS-Net) that integrates contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS), B-mode ultrasound (BUS), and time-intensity curves (TICs) to improve diagnostic accuracy for these clinically challenging lesions. MethodsOur framework incorporates a three-dimensional convolutional neural network (C3D) backbone to extract spatiotemporal features from CEUS videos, capturing dynamic vascular patterns critical for lesion characterization. To effectively fuse complementary modalities, we introduce a dual-channel feature fusion module (DCFFM) that adaptively combines features from CEUS and BUS through channel-wise attention mechanisms, allowing the model to dynamically weigh the contribution of each modality based on diagnostic relevance. Additionally, we propose a temporal intensity feature fusion module (TIFFM) that leverages quantitative hemodynamic information from TICs to guide the model’s attention toward diagnostically critical temporal phases, such as arterial wash-in and portal venous washout. The model is further enhanced by automated lesion localization using YOLOX and class activation mapping for interpretability, ensuring that predictions align with clinically meaningful imaging features. ResultsEvaluated on a tri-modal ultrasound dataset comprising 161 patients with pathologically confirmed LR-M nodules (131 atypical HCC and 30 non-HCC malignancies), our model achieved an accuracy of 86.83%, a sensitivity of 92.50%, a specificity of 75.50%, and an AUC of 89.32% in screening atypical HCC. Compared to single-modality baselines, TUS-Net demonstrated superior specificity, a clinically critical metric given the higher risk associated with misclassifying non-HCC malignancies. Ablation studies confirmed the contribution of each module, with the full model outperforming both standard C3D and 3D ResNet backbones integrated with attention mechanisms. A reader study involving junior and senior radiologists further validated the clinical utility of AI assistance, showing consistent improvements in specificity and inter-reader consistency, particularly for less experienced clinicians. ConclusionThese results surpass existing benchmark models and demonstrate the potential of our approach to enhance diagnostic precision in clinically specific cases. By intelligently fusing multi-modal ultrasound data with attention-guided mechanisms, TUS-Net offers a reliable and interpretable tool that holds promise for improving the non-invasive diagnosis of atypical HCC in challenging LR-M liver nodules.
3.An Attention-weighted Tri-modal Ultrasound Network (TUS-Net) for Screening of Atypical Hepatocellular Carcinoma From LR-M Liver Nodules
He-Chong ZHANG ; Liang-Hui HUANG ; Xue-Hua WANG ; Shang-Lin JIANG ; Ying-Ying CHEN ; Ya-Guang ZENG ; Wei ZHENG
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2026;53(5):1485-1498
ObjectiveDiscriminating atypical hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) from other malignancies in liver nodules classified as Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System category M (LR-M) remains a significant diagnostic challenge on conventional ultrasound examination. The LR-M category, originally intended to capture non-HCC malignancies, paradoxically contains up to 63% of atypical HCCs that deviate from classic enhancement patterns, leading to potential misdiagnosis and suboptimal treatment planning. While deep learning has shown promise in HCC diagnosis, most existing models rely exclusively on single-modality ultrasound, overlooking the diagnostic benefits of integrating complementary information from multiple imaging sources. To address this gap, we propose a novel attention-weighted tri-modal ultrasound network (TUS-Net) that integrates contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS), B-mode ultrasound (BUS), and time-intensity curves (TICs) to improve diagnostic accuracy for these clinically challenging lesions. MethodsOur framework incorporates a three-dimensional convolutional neural network (C3D) backbone to extract spatiotemporal features from CEUS videos, capturing dynamic vascular patterns critical for lesion characterization. To effectively fuse complementary modalities, we introduce a dual-channel feature fusion module (DCFFM) that adaptively combines features from CEUS and BUS through channel-wise attention mechanisms, allowing the model to dynamically weigh the contribution of each modality based on diagnostic relevance. Additionally, we propose a temporal intensity feature fusion module (TIFFM) that leverages quantitative hemodynamic information from TICs to guide the model’s attention toward diagnostically critical temporal phases, such as arterial wash-in and portal venous washout. The model is further enhanced by automated lesion localization using YOLOX and class activation mapping for interpretability, ensuring that predictions align with clinically meaningful imaging features. ResultsEvaluated on a tri-modal ultrasound dataset comprising 161 patients with pathologically confirmed LR-M nodules (131 atypical HCC and 30 non-HCC malignancies), our model achieved an accuracy of 86.83%, a sensitivity of 92.50%, a specificity of 75.50%, and an AUC of 89.32% in screening atypical HCC. Compared to single-modality baselines, TUS-Net demonstrated superior specificity, a clinically critical metric given the higher risk associated with misclassifying non-HCC malignancies. Ablation studies confirmed the contribution of each module, with the full model outperforming both standard C3D and 3D ResNet backbones integrated with attention mechanisms. A reader study involving junior and senior radiologists further validated the clinical utility of AI assistance, showing consistent improvements in specificity and inter-reader consistency, particularly for less experienced clinicians. ConclusionThese results surpass existing benchmark models and demonstrate the potential of our approach to enhance diagnostic precision in clinically specific cases. By intelligently fusing multi-modal ultrasound data with attention-guided mechanisms, TUS-Net offers a reliable and interpretable tool that holds promise for improving the non-invasive diagnosis of atypical HCC in challenging LR-M liver nodules.
4.Effects of daily mean temperature on sudden death among residents of Pudong New Area, Shanghai: A time-series study
Siyue HAN ; Lianghong SUN ; Hua CHEN ; Xiaobin QU ; Jiayi SHENG ; Caixia HU ; Sen WANG ; Yichen CHEN ; Caoyi XUE
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2026;43(8):959-966
Background The crude mortality rate of sudden death has shown a steady upward trend. Pudong New Area, Shanghai, is a highly urbanized and densely populated district that is substantially affected by the urban heat island effect and has experienced frequent extreme temperature events in recent years. However, evidence on the association between ambient temperatures and sudden death among local residents remains limited. Objective To examine the association between daily mean temperature and sudden death in Pudong New Area, and to provide evidence for reducing temperature-related risks of sudden death. Methods Data on sudden death, meteorological factors (daily average temperature, daily average relative humidity, and daily average air pressure), and air pollutants [inhalable particulate matter (PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and nitrogen dioxide (NO2)] in Pudong New Area from 2016 to 2021 were collected. A distributed lag non-linear model was used to examine the associations of daily mean temperature with total sudden death and sudden death due to cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, including lagged and cumulative effects (lag0, 0-3, 0-7, 0-14, and 0-21 d). Stratified analyses were performed by sex, age, and education level to identify vulnerable populations. The temperature attributable burden of sudden death was assessed by calculating attributable number (AN) and attribute fraction (AF). Results A total of 19458 sudden deaths were reported in Pudong New Area from 2016 to 2021, of which 11082 (56.95%) were due to cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. Both low (P5, 4.6 ℃) and high (P95, 30.2 ℃) temperatures were associated with increased risks of sudden death. The cumulative risks associated with low temperature peaked at lag 0-21 d for both total sudden death and sudden death due to cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. In contrast, the cumulative risks associated with high temperature peaked at lag 0-7 d for total sudden death and at lag 0-3 d for sudden death due to cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. Stratified analyses showed that females, individuals aged ≥65 years, and those with primary school education or below were more sensitive to low temperature; whereas females, individuals aged <65 years, and those with secondary school education or above were more sensitive to high temperature. Using 21.5 ℃ as the minimum mortality temperature, the AN of total sudden deaths attributable to non-optimal temperature was 3791 (95%CI: 1853, 5587), with an AF of 20.41% (95%CI: 9.47%, 28.94%); the AN attributable to low temperature was 3358 (95%CI: 1087, 5062), with an AF of 17.26% (95%CI: 5.89%, 26.01%), whereas the AN attributable to high temperature was 225 (95%CI: −274, 655), with an AF of 2.03% (95%CI: −2.53%, 5.78%). For sudden deaths due to cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, the AN attributable to non-optimal temperature was 2721 (95%CI: 1747, 5575), with an AF of 24.55% (95%CI: 9.59%, 28.65%); the AN attributable to low temperature was 2496 (95%CI: 988, 3562), with an AF of 22.53% (95%CI: 8.97%, 32.41%), whereas the AN attributable to high temperature was 614 (95%CI: −15, 1176), with an AF of 3.15% (95%CI: −0.08%, 6.02%). Conclusions Both low (P5, 4.6 ℃) and high (P95, 30.2 ℃) temperatures are associated with increased risks of sudden death in Pudong New Area, Shanghai. High temperature shows a relative short-term effect, whereas low temperature shows a stronger cumulative effect. Females, people ≥65 years, and individuals with primary school educational attainment or below are more vulnerable to low temperature, while females, people <65 years, and those with secondary school educational attainment or above are more vulnerable to high temperature. The attributable burden of low temperature is greater than that of high temperature. Targeted health protection measures should be strengthened for vulnerable populations during extreme temperature events.
5.Predicting Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using Brightness Change Curves Derived From Contrast-enhanced Ultrasound Images
Ying-Ying CHEN ; Shang-Lin JIANG ; Liang-Hui HUANG ; Ya-Guang ZENG ; Xue-Hua WANG ; Wei ZHENG
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2025;52(8):2163-2172
ObjectivePrimary liver cancer, predominantly hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), is a significant global health issue, ranking as the sixth most diagnosed cancer and the third leading cause of cancer-related mortality. Accurate and early diagnosis of HCC is crucial for effective treatment, as HCC and non-HCC malignancies like intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) exhibit different prognoses and treatment responses. Traditional diagnostic methods, including liver biopsy and contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS), face limitations in applicability and objectivity. The primary objective of this study was to develop an advanced, light-weighted classification network capable of distinguishing HCC from other non-HCC malignancies by leveraging the automatic analysis of brightness changes in CEUS images. The ultimate goal was to create a user-friendly and cost-efficient computer-aided diagnostic tool that could assist radiologists in making more accurate and efficient clinical decisions. MethodsThis retrospective study encompassed a total of 161 patients, comprising 131 diagnosed with HCC and 30 with non-HCC malignancies. To achieve accurate tumor detection, the YOLOX network was employed to identify the region of interest (ROI) on both B-mode ultrasound and CEUS images. A custom-developed algorithm was then utilized to extract brightness change curves from the tumor and adjacent liver parenchyma regions within the CEUS images. These curves provided critical data for the subsequent analysis and classification process. To analyze the extracted brightness change curves and classify the malignancies, we developed and compared several models. These included one-dimensional convolutional neural networks (1D-ResNet, 1D-ConvNeXt, and 1D-CNN), as well as traditional machine-learning methods such as support vector machine (SVM), ensemble learning (EL), k-nearest neighbor (KNN), and decision tree (DT). The diagnostic performance of each method in distinguishing HCC from non-HCC malignancies was rigorously evaluated using four key metrics: area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC), accuracy (ACC), sensitivity (SE), and specificity (SP). ResultsThe evaluation of the machine-learning methods revealed AUC values of 0.70 for SVM, 0.56 for ensemble learning, 0.63 for KNN, and 0.72 for the decision tree. These results indicated moderate to fair performance in classifying the malignancies based on the brightness change curves. In contrast, the deep learning models demonstrated significantly higher AUCs, with 1D-ResNet achieving an AUC of 0.72, 1D-ConvNeXt reaching 0.82, and 1D-CNN obtaining the highest AUC of 0.84. Moreover, under the five-fold cross-validation scheme, the 1D-CNN model outperformed other models in both accuracy and specificity. Specifically, it achieved accuracy improvements of 3.8% to 10.0% and specificity enhancements of 6.6% to 43.3% over competing approaches. The superior performance of the 1D-CNN model highlighted its potential as a powerful tool for accurate classification. ConclusionThe 1D-CNN model proved to be the most effective in differentiating HCC from non-HCC malignancies, surpassing both traditional machine-learning methods and other deep learning models. This study successfully developed a user-friendly and cost-efficient computer-aided diagnostic solution that would significantly enhances radiologists’ diagnostic capabilities. By improving the accuracy and efficiency of clinical decision-making, this tool has the potential to positively impact patient care and outcomes. Future work may focus on further refining the model and exploring its integration with multimodal ultrasound data to maximize its accuracy and applicability.
6.Safety of teriflunomide in Chinese adult patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis: A phase IV, 24-week multicenter study.
Chao QUAN ; Hongyu ZHOU ; Huan YANG ; Zheng JIAO ; Meini ZHANG ; Baorong ZHANG ; Guojun TAN ; Bitao BU ; Tao JIN ; Chunyang LI ; Qun XUE ; Huiqing DONG ; Fudong SHI ; Xinyue QIN ; Xinghu ZHANG ; Feng GAO ; Hua ZHANG ; Jiawei WANG ; Xueqiang HU ; Yueting CHEN ; Jue LIU ; Wei QIU
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(4):452-458
BACKGROUND:
Disease-modifying therapies have been approved for the treatment of relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS). The present study aims to examine the safety of teriflunomide in Chinese patients with RMS.
METHODS:
This non-randomized, multi-center, 24-week, prospective study enrolled RMS patients with variant (c.421C>A) or wild type ABCG2 who received once-daily oral teriflunomide 14 mg. The primary endpoint was the relationship between ABCG2 polymorphisms and teriflunomide exposure over 24 weeks. Safety was assessed over the 24-week treatment with teriflunomide.
RESULTS:
Eighty-two patients were assigned to variant ( n = 42) and wild type groups ( n = 40), respectively. Geometric mean and geometric standard deviation (SD) of pre-dose concentration (variant, 54.9 [38.0] μg/mL; wild type, 49.1 [32.0] μg/mL) and area under plasma concentration-time curve over a dosing interval (AUC tau ) (variant, 1731.3 [769.0] μg∙h/mL; wild type, 1564.5 [1053.0] μg∙h/mL) values at steady state were approximately similar between the two groups. Safety profile was similar and well tolerated across variant and wild type groups in terms of rates of treatment emergent adverse events (TEAE), treatment-related TEAE, grade ≥3 TEAE, and serious adverse events (AEs). No new specific safety concerns or deaths were reported in the study.
CONCLUSION:
ABCG2 polymorphisms did not affect the steady-state exposure of teriflunomide, suggesting a similar efficacy and safety profile between variant and wild type RMS patients.
REGISTRATION
NCT04410965, https://clinicaltrials.gov .
Humans
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Crotonates/adverse effects*
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Toluidines/adverse effects*
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Nitriles
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Hydroxybutyrates
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Female
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Male
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Adult
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ATP Binding Cassette Transporter, Subfamily G, Member 2/genetics*
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Middle Aged
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Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting/genetics*
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Prospective Studies
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Young Adult
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Neoplasm Proteins/genetics*
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East Asian People
7.Tanreqing Capsules protect lung and gut of mice infected with influenza virus via "lung-gut axis".
Nai-Fan DUAN ; Yuan-Yuan YU ; Yu-Rong HE ; Feng CHEN ; Lin-Qiong ZHOU ; Ya-Lan LI ; Shi-Qi SUN ; Yan XUE ; Xing ZHANG ; Gui-Hua XU ; Yue-Juan ZHENG ; Wei ZHANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(8):2270-2281
This study aims to explore the mechanism of lung and gut protection by Tanreqing Capsules on the mice infected with influenza virus based on "the lung-gut axis". A total of 110 C57BL/6J mice were randomized into control group, model group, oseltamivir group, and low-and high-dose Tanreqing Capsules groups. Ten mice in each group underwent body weight protection experiments, and the remaining 12 mice underwent experiments for mechanism exploration. Mice were infected with influenza virus A/Puerto Rico/08/1934(PR8) via nasal inhalation for the modeling. The lung tissue was collected on day 3 after gavage, and the lung tissue, colon tissue, and feces were collected on day 7 after gavage for subsequent testing. The results showed that Tanreqing Capsules alleviated the body weight reduction and increased the survival rate caused by PR8 infection. Compared with model group, Tanreqing Capsules can alleviate the lung injury by reducing the lung index, alleviating inflammation and edema in the lung tissue, down-regulating viral gene expression at the late stage of infection, reducing the percentage of neutrophils, and increasing the percentage of T cells. Tanreqing Capsules relieved the gut injury by restoring the colon length, increasing intestinal lumen mucin secretion, alleviating intestinal inflammation, and reducing goblet cell destruction. The gut microbiota analysis showed that Tanreqing Capsules increased species diversity compared with model group. At the phylum level, Tanreqing Capsules significantly increased the abundance of Firmicutes and Actinobacteria, while reducing the abundance of Bacteroidota and Proteobacteria to maintain gut microbiota balance. At the genus level, Tanreqing Capsules significantly increased the abundance of unclassified_f_Lachnospiraceae while reducing the abundance of Bacteroides, Eubacterium, and Phocaeicola to maintain gut microbiota balance. In conclusion, Tanreqing Capsules can alleviate mouse lung and gut injury caused by influenza virus infection and restore the balance of gut microbiota. Treating influenza from the lung and gut can provide new ideas for clinical practice.
Animals
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal/administration & dosage*
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Mice
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Lung/metabolism*
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Mice, Inbred C57BL
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Capsules
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Orthomyxoviridae Infections/virology*
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Gastrointestinal Microbiome/drug effects*
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Male
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Humans
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Female
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Influenza A virus/physiology*
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Influenza, Human/virology*
8.Association of Longitudinal Change in Fasting Blood Glucose with Risk of Cerebral Infarction in a Patients with Diabetes.
Tai Yang LUO ; Xuan DENG ; Xue Yu CHEN ; Yu He LIU ; Shuo Hua CHEN ; Hao Ran SUN ; Zi Wei YIN ; Shou Ling WU ; Yong ZHOU ; Xing Dong ZHENG
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(8):926-934
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the association between long-term glycemic control and cerebral infarction risk in patients with diabetes through a large-scale cohort study.
METHODS:
This prospective, community-based cohort study included 12,054 patients with diabetes. From 2006 to 2012, 38,272 fasting blood glucose (FBG) measurements were obtained from these participants. FBG trajectory patterns were generated using latent mixture modelling. Cox proportional hazards models were applied to assess the subsequent risk of cerebral infarction associated with different FBG trajectory patterns.
RESULTS:
At baseline, the mean age of the participants was 55.2 years. Four distinct FBG trajectories were identified based on FBG concentrations and their changes over the 6-year follow-up period. After a median follow-up of 6.9 years, 786 cerebral infarction events were recorded. Different trajectory patterns were associated with significantly varied outcome risks (Log-Rank P < 0.001). Compared with the low-stability group, Hazard Ratio ( HR) adjusted for potential confounders were 1.37 for the moderate-increasing group, 1.23 for the elevated-decreasing group, and 2.08 for the elevated-stable group.
CONCLUSION
Sustained high FBG levels were found to play a critical role in the development of ischemic stroke among patients with diabetes. Controlling FBG levels may reduce the risk of cerebral infarction.
Humans
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Cerebral Infarction/blood*
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Middle Aged
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Male
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Female
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Blood Glucose/analysis*
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Fasting/blood*
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Aged
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Prospective Studies
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Risk Factors
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Diabetes Mellitus/blood*
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Adult
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Proportional Hazards Models
9.Value of the new WHO pathological classification of pituitary tumors in diagnosis and treatment of clinically non-functioning pituitary adenomas
Tian SUN ; Xue-Dong ZHANG ; Er-Han ZHENG ; Hao SHEN ; Tao ZHOU ; Xiang-Hui MENG ; Qing-Hua GUO
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(4):387-392
Non-functioning pituitary adenomas(NFPAs)are relatively common.Apart from hyperprolactinemia caused by pituitary compression,they typically lack overt hormonal hypersecretion and usually present with clinical symptoms due to mass effects.Previously considered a uniform entity,NFPAs are actually a highly heterogeneous group of tumors,including aggressive subtypes like silent corticotroph adenomas(SCA)and null cell adenomas.The 2022 WHO new classification of pituitary tumors employs transcription factors[e.g.,pituitary-specific transcription factor 1(PIT-1),T-box transcription factor 19(TBX19,also known as TPIT),steroidogenic factor 1(SF-1)]for detailed categorization,allowing precise subclassification of NFPAs into multiple subtypes derived from distinct cell lineages,including silent gonadotroph adenomas,SCA,and plurihormonal PIT-1-positive adenomas.This helps identify highly invasive subtypes with high recurrence risk,guiding clinical diagnosis and treatment,prognostic assessment,and individualized management.The new classification also provides a theoretical basis for targeted therapies of NFPAs(e.g.,somatostatin analogs and temozolomide).This review comprehensively discusses the latest pathological classification of NFPAs and its clinical implications,aiming to enhance understanding of this disease and offer valuable insights for precise diagnosis,treatment,and prognostic assessment.
10.Mortality Trends and Age-Period-Cohort Model of Pan-creatic Cancer in Shanghai Pudong New Area,2002-2022
Caixia HU ; Jiayi SHENG ; Lianghong SUN ; Hua CHEN ; Xiaobin QU ; Sen WANG ; Siyue HAN ; Yichen CHEN ; Caoyi XUE ; Shaotan XIAO ; Lipeng HAO
China Cancer 2025;34(7):522-529
[Purpose]To analyze the trends in pancreatic cancer mortality and disease burden among residents in Shanghai Pudong New Area from 2002 to 2022,and to investigate the effects of age,period,and birth cohort on mortality risk.[Methods]Data on pancreatic cancer deaths among residents of Pudong New Area from 2002 to 2022 were collected through the Shanghai Population Cause of Death Registration System.The crude mortality rate,age-standardized mortality rate by Chinese standard population(ASMRC),potential years of life lost(PYLL),potential years of life lost rate(PYLLR),and average years of life lost(AYLL)were calculated.Joinpoint regression was applied to calculate the average annual percentage change(AAPC)for analyzing the changing trend of the mortality rate of pancreatic cancer.The age-period-cohort model was applied with R 4.4.1 to analyze the age,period,and cohort effects on the mortality risk of pancreatic cancer.[Results]The crude mortality rate of pancreatic cancer among residents in Pudong New Area increased from 10.42/105 in 2002 to 18.73/105 in 2022,showing a significant upward trend(AAPC=2.90%,P<0.001);the ASMRC was generally stable(AAPC=-0.05%,P=0.775).The crude mortality rate of males(17.09/105)was higher than that of females(13.75/105),and both showed an upward trend(AAPC=3.05%and 2.75%respectively,both P<0.001).After the age of 40,the mortality rate of pancreatic cancer increased significantly with the growth of age in both sexes.The PYLL was 31 347 person-years,showing an upward trend(AAPC=1.83%,P<0.001),and the AYLL was 3.59 years,showing a downward trend(AAPC=-2.45%,P<0.001).The age effect showed that the mortality risk of pan-creatic cancer was increased with age;the period effect showed that the mortality risk decreased from 2002 to 2016 and then increased;the cohort effect showed that the mortality risk increased with the advancement of the birth cohort.[Conclusion]From 2002 to 2022,the crude mortality rate of pancreatic cancer in Pudong New Area showed an upward trend,and the mortality rate of males was higher than that of females.The mortality risk of pancreatic cancer increases with age,and the later the birth year of the residents,the higher the mortality risk.Early screening should be strengthened for men and the elderly,environmental and lifestyle risk factors should be paid attention to in combination with the characteristics of cohort effect,and the prevention and control strategy for the whole population should be optimized.


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