1.Effects of Aqueous Extract of Corn Silk Combined with Training on Exercise Function and Glycolipid Metabolism in Mice with Metabolic Syndrome
Yi-lin LIU ; Zi-ling SONG ; Ting ZHOU ; Ji-ping CHEN ; Zi-han LIN ; Yu-xuan ZHANG ; Ji-qiang ZENG ; Shan-rong ZHANG ; Zhi-peng WU ; Chen LU ; Ying ZHU
Progress in Modern Biomedicine 2025;25(15):2411-2420
Objective:To investigate the effects of combination therapy with aqueous extract of corn silk(CS)and training on exercise capacity and glycolipid metabolism in mice with metabolic syndrome(MS).Methods:In this study,db/db mice were used as the animal model of MS.The mice were administered aqueous extract of CS via gavage and subjected to different intensities of training for 12 weeks(3 months).The specific experimental design was as follows:24 db/db mice were randomly divided into four groups on average:negative control group(NC),aqueous extract of CS group(CS),aqueous extract of CS+moderate-intensity training group(CS+MT),and CS aqueous extract of CS+high-intensity training group(CS+HT).The maximum running speed,forelimb grip strength,body weight and fasting blood glucose of mice were measured before and after treatment.After the intervention,oral glucose tolerance test(OGTT)and insulin tolerance test(ITT)were conducted to assess glucose metabolism,while serum triglyceride(TG),total cholesterol(TC),high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C),and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-C)levels were measured to evaluate lipid metabolism.Results:After 3 months of intervention,there were significant differences in the maximum running speed and forelimb grip strength among the four groups(P<0.05).The maximum running speed and forelimb grip strength of CS group,CS+MT group and CS+HT group were higher than those of NC group(P<0.05).The CS+MT group exhibited higher forelimb grip strength,and the CS+HT group showed higher maximum running speed and forelimb grip strength compared to the CS group(P<0.05),while no significant difference was found between the CS+MT and CS+HT groups(P>0.05).Significant differences in body weight were observed among the four groups after 3 months of intervention(P<0.05).Specifically,the CS+MT and CS+HT groups exhibited significantly lower body weight compared to both the NC and CS groups(P<0.05),with the CS+MT group having the lowest body weight(P<0.05).Fasting blood glucose levels also differed significantly among the groups after 2 and 3 months of intervention(P<0.05).The CS,CS+MT,and CS+HT groups had lower fasting blood glucose levels compared to the NC group(P<0.05),with the CS+MT and CS+HT groups showing the lowest levels(P<0.05).No significant difference was found between the CS+MT and CS+HT groups(P>0.05).After 3 months of intervention,significant differences in the area under the curve(AUC)of OGTT and ITT were observed among the four groups(P<0.05).The AUC of OGTT and ITT were significantly lower in the CS,CS+MT,and CS+HT groups compared to the NC group(P<0.05).The CS+MT and CS+HT groups exhibited the lowest AUC values for both OGTT and ITT(P<0.05),with the CS+MT group showing the lowest AUC for OGTT(P<0.05).Significant differences in serum lipid levels were observed among the four groups after 3 months of intervention(P<0.05).TG,TC,and LDL-C levels were significantly lower,while HDL-C levels were higher in the CS,CS+MT,and CS+HT groups compared to the NC group(P<0.05).The CS+MT group had the lowest TG levels and the highest HDL-C levels compared to the CS+HT group(P<0.05),with no significant differences in TC and LDL-C levels between these two groups(P>0.05).Conclusion:Aqueous extract of CS combined with different intensity training can significantly improve the exercise capacity and glycolipid metabolism of MS mice and reduce body weight,especially CS combined with MT treatment is more effective in improving lipid metabolism.In addition,when combined with HT,aqueous extract of CS can also play an auxiliary role in reducing the side effects of high-intensity exercise and improving the therapeutic effect.
2.Analysis of factors influencing right atrial strain in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension
Jin-xin XU ; Jie-xuan ZHENG ; Tao-ran HUANG ; Dong-ling LUO ; Yuan ZHU ; Cao-jin ZHANG ; Hong-wen FEI
Chinese Journal of Interventional Cardiology 2025;33(5):249-259
Objective To analyze the correlation between right atrial strain at various stages and various influencing factors in patients with pulmonary hypertension,and to explore the role of right atrial strain in the assessment of pulmonary hypertension.Methods A total of 239 cases diagnosed with pulmonary hypertension who underwent echocardiography and complete right heart catheterization at hospital from October 2021 to December 2023 were included.Conventional ultrasound parameters such as right heart strain,right atrial area(RA area),inferior vena cava diameter(IVC diameter),and collapse rate of the inferior vena cava(IVC diameter changes)were measured.The heart rate(HR)corresponding to the ultrasound images were recorded.General information such as age and gender,as well as catheter data including mean right atrial pressure(mRAP),mean pulmonary artery pressure(mPAP),and pulmonary vascular resistance(PVR),were collected.The relationship between right atrial strain and its influencing factors was analyzed,and further analysis was conducted by dividing into shunt group and non-shunt group based on the presence or absence of left-to-right shunt disease.Results The correlation with RA reservoir strain(RASr)from high to low is RV global strain(RV4CSL),RV free wall strain(RVFWSL),RA area,IVC diameter,mRAP,age,HR,and PVR;the correlation with RAconduit strain(RAScd)from high to low is RV4CSL,RVFWSL,RA area,IVC diameter,mRAP,age,PVR,and HR;the correlation with RA contraction strain(RASct)from high to low is RA area,RV4CSL,RVFWSL,mRAP,IVC diameter,and HR.The collapse rate of the inferior vena cava is correlated with strain at various stages of the right atrium;gender is correlated with RASr and RASct.Conclusions Right atrial strain can reflect changes in right atrial function,with the highest correlation to right ventricular strain and right atrial area.Right atrial strain can indicate the severity of right ventricular function and right atrial remodeling,serving as an evaluative index for the condition and treatment outcomes of pulmonary arterial hypertension.
3.Analysis of factors influencing right atrial strain in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension
Jin-xin XU ; Jie-xuan ZHENG ; Tao-ran HUANG ; Dong-ling LUO ; Yuan ZHU ; Cao-jin ZHANG ; Hong-wen FEI
Chinese Journal of Interventional Cardiology 2025;33(5):249-259
Objective To analyze the correlation between right atrial strain at various stages and various influencing factors in patients with pulmonary hypertension,and to explore the role of right atrial strain in the assessment of pulmonary hypertension.Methods A total of 239 cases diagnosed with pulmonary hypertension who underwent echocardiography and complete right heart catheterization at hospital from October 2021 to December 2023 were included.Conventional ultrasound parameters such as right heart strain,right atrial area(RA area),inferior vena cava diameter(IVC diameter),and collapse rate of the inferior vena cava(IVC diameter changes)were measured.The heart rate(HR)corresponding to the ultrasound images were recorded.General information such as age and gender,as well as catheter data including mean right atrial pressure(mRAP),mean pulmonary artery pressure(mPAP),and pulmonary vascular resistance(PVR),were collected.The relationship between right atrial strain and its influencing factors was analyzed,and further analysis was conducted by dividing into shunt group and non-shunt group based on the presence or absence of left-to-right shunt disease.Results The correlation with RA reservoir strain(RASr)from high to low is RV global strain(RV4CSL),RV free wall strain(RVFWSL),RA area,IVC diameter,mRAP,age,HR,and PVR;the correlation with RAconduit strain(RAScd)from high to low is RV4CSL,RVFWSL,RA area,IVC diameter,mRAP,age,PVR,and HR;the correlation with RA contraction strain(RASct)from high to low is RA area,RV4CSL,RVFWSL,mRAP,IVC diameter,and HR.The collapse rate of the inferior vena cava is correlated with strain at various stages of the right atrium;gender is correlated with RASr and RASct.Conclusions Right atrial strain can reflect changes in right atrial function,with the highest correlation to right ventricular strain and right atrial area.Right atrial strain can indicate the severity of right ventricular function and right atrial remodeling,serving as an evaluative index for the condition and treatment outcomes of pulmonary arterial hypertension.
4.Effect of brain-computer interface combined with upper limb rehabilitation robot on upper limb function of stroke patients
Xuan LIU ; Ling GAO ; Fengming CHU ; Jie CHEN ; Ming ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Rehabilitation Theory and Practice 2025;31(6):703-710
Objective To explore the effect of motor imagery brain-computer interface(BCI)combined with upper limb rehabilita-tion robot on upper limb function of stroke patients.Methods From May to December,2024,45 stroke inpatients from Xuzhou Rehabilitation Hospital and Xuzhou Central Hospital were recruited and randomly divided into BCI group(n=15),robot group(n=15)and combined group(n=15).All the groups received conventional rehabilitation therapy.On this basis,the BCI group received motor imagery based BCI training,the robot group received upper extremity rehabilitation robot training,and the com-bined group received BCI combined with upper extremity rehabilitation robot training.They were assessed with Fugl-Meyer Assessment-Upper Extremities(FMA-UE),Action Research Arm Test(ARAT)and modified Barthel Index(MBI)before and four weeks after treatment,while they were measured delta-alpha ratio(DAR)using the quantitative electroencephalogram.Results The intra-group effect(F>101.870,P<0.001)and interaction effect(F>7.891,P<0.001)were significant in the scores of FMA-UE,ARAT and MBI,and DAR.Post Hoc test showed that all the indexes were better in the combined group than in BCI group and the robot group(P<0.05),and there was no significant difference in the indexes between BCI group and the robot group(P>0.05).Conclusion BCI combined with upper limb rehabilitation robot can promote the recovery of upper limb function and ac-tivities of daily living of stroke patients.
5.Visual Literature Analysis of Research Status and Hot Spots on Medication Pathway
Xuan LUO ; Ziye WANG ; Jie LING ; Jialin ZHANG ; Weihong GE ; Li LI ; Danying LI
Herald of Medicine 2025;44(7):1101-1110
Objective To analyze the literature on drug treatment pathways to sort out the development process,and to present the research status,hotspots,and trends.Methods Researches on drug treatment pathways were retrieved from the WoSCC,CNKI,Wanfang Database,and VIP Chinese Journal Database from the time of database establishment to October 312024.The CiteSpace 6.3.R1 and VOSviewer 1.6.20 were used to generate visual maps,including publications,countries,journals,institutions,authors,and keywords.Results A total of 150 papers were included,45 in Chinese and 105 in English.The number of Chinese and English research publications has increased significantly in the past five years.The United States has the largest number of publications in this field.There is relatively little cooperation among domestic research groups,but international cooperation is closer.In Chinese journals,research topics in this field mainly focus on the whole process from formulation to implementation of drug treatment pathways.Perioperative drug use,chronic drug use,and adjuvant drug use are research hotspots.In recent years,attention to clinical pharmacists and evidence-based pharmacy has increased.English journals mainly focus on cancer treatment-related research,with current research focusing on patient experience and social benefits.Conclusion Research in the field of drug treatment pathways in English journals is developing rapidly,but no core journal area has been formed specifically in this area.At present,the research on drug treatment pathways in Chinese journals is in its initial stage and is advancing rapidly,but the overall number is still relatively small,the research content and diseases involved are limited,and the research system is not perfect.Chinese researchers should pay attention to the research hotspot,broaden the research topic and further improve the quantity and quality of the research in this field.
6.Visual Literature Analysis of Research Status and Hot Spots on Medication Pathway
Xuan LUO ; Ziye WANG ; Jie LING ; Jialin ZHANG ; Weihong GE ; Li LI ; Danying LI
Herald of Medicine 2025;44(7):1101-1110
Objective To analyze the literature on drug treatment pathways to sort out the development process,and to present the research status,hotspots,and trends.Methods Researches on drug treatment pathways were retrieved from the WoSCC,CNKI,Wanfang Database,and VIP Chinese Journal Database from the time of database establishment to October 312024.The CiteSpace 6.3.R1 and VOSviewer 1.6.20 were used to generate visual maps,including publications,countries,journals,institutions,authors,and keywords.Results A total of 150 papers were included,45 in Chinese and 105 in English.The number of Chinese and English research publications has increased significantly in the past five years.The United States has the largest number of publications in this field.There is relatively little cooperation among domestic research groups,but international cooperation is closer.In Chinese journals,research topics in this field mainly focus on the whole process from formulation to implementation of drug treatment pathways.Perioperative drug use,chronic drug use,and adjuvant drug use are research hotspots.In recent years,attention to clinical pharmacists and evidence-based pharmacy has increased.English journals mainly focus on cancer treatment-related research,with current research focusing on patient experience and social benefits.Conclusion Research in the field of drug treatment pathways in English journals is developing rapidly,but no core journal area has been formed specifically in this area.At present,the research on drug treatment pathways in Chinese journals is in its initial stage and is advancing rapidly,but the overall number is still relatively small,the research content and diseases involved are limited,and the research system is not perfect.Chinese researchers should pay attention to the research hotspot,broaden the research topic and further improve the quantity and quality of the research in this field.
7.Effects of Aqueous Extract of Corn Silk Combined with Training on Exercise Function and Glycolipid Metabolism in Mice with Metabolic Syndrome
Yi-lin LIU ; Zi-ling SONG ; Ting ZHOU ; Ji-ping CHEN ; Zi-han LIN ; Yu-xuan ZHANG ; Ji-qiang ZENG ; Shan-rong ZHANG ; Zhi-peng WU ; Chen LU ; Ying ZHU
Progress in Modern Biomedicine 2025;25(15):2411-2420
Objective:To investigate the effects of combination therapy with aqueous extract of corn silk(CS)and training on exercise capacity and glycolipid metabolism in mice with metabolic syndrome(MS).Methods:In this study,db/db mice were used as the animal model of MS.The mice were administered aqueous extract of CS via gavage and subjected to different intensities of training for 12 weeks(3 months).The specific experimental design was as follows:24 db/db mice were randomly divided into four groups on average:negative control group(NC),aqueous extract of CS group(CS),aqueous extract of CS+moderate-intensity training group(CS+MT),and CS aqueous extract of CS+high-intensity training group(CS+HT).The maximum running speed,forelimb grip strength,body weight and fasting blood glucose of mice were measured before and after treatment.After the intervention,oral glucose tolerance test(OGTT)and insulin tolerance test(ITT)were conducted to assess glucose metabolism,while serum triglyceride(TG),total cholesterol(TC),high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C),and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-C)levels were measured to evaluate lipid metabolism.Results:After 3 months of intervention,there were significant differences in the maximum running speed and forelimb grip strength among the four groups(P<0.05).The maximum running speed and forelimb grip strength of CS group,CS+MT group and CS+HT group were higher than those of NC group(P<0.05).The CS+MT group exhibited higher forelimb grip strength,and the CS+HT group showed higher maximum running speed and forelimb grip strength compared to the CS group(P<0.05),while no significant difference was found between the CS+MT and CS+HT groups(P>0.05).Significant differences in body weight were observed among the four groups after 3 months of intervention(P<0.05).Specifically,the CS+MT and CS+HT groups exhibited significantly lower body weight compared to both the NC and CS groups(P<0.05),with the CS+MT group having the lowest body weight(P<0.05).Fasting blood glucose levels also differed significantly among the groups after 2 and 3 months of intervention(P<0.05).The CS,CS+MT,and CS+HT groups had lower fasting blood glucose levels compared to the NC group(P<0.05),with the CS+MT and CS+HT groups showing the lowest levels(P<0.05).No significant difference was found between the CS+MT and CS+HT groups(P>0.05).After 3 months of intervention,significant differences in the area under the curve(AUC)of OGTT and ITT were observed among the four groups(P<0.05).The AUC of OGTT and ITT were significantly lower in the CS,CS+MT,and CS+HT groups compared to the NC group(P<0.05).The CS+MT and CS+HT groups exhibited the lowest AUC values for both OGTT and ITT(P<0.05),with the CS+MT group showing the lowest AUC for OGTT(P<0.05).Significant differences in serum lipid levels were observed among the four groups after 3 months of intervention(P<0.05).TG,TC,and LDL-C levels were significantly lower,while HDL-C levels were higher in the CS,CS+MT,and CS+HT groups compared to the NC group(P<0.05).The CS+MT group had the lowest TG levels and the highest HDL-C levels compared to the CS+HT group(P<0.05),with no significant differences in TC and LDL-C levels between these two groups(P>0.05).Conclusion:Aqueous extract of CS combined with different intensity training can significantly improve the exercise capacity and glycolipid metabolism of MS mice and reduce body weight,especially CS combined with MT treatment is more effective in improving lipid metabolism.In addition,when combined with HT,aqueous extract of CS can also play an auxiliary role in reducing the side effects of high-intensity exercise and improving the therapeutic effect.
8.Construction of a visual model for predicting the risk of recurrence of thyroid cancer after radical surgery via areola endoscopy
Qing-feng SHI ; Bu-yong ZHANG ; Xuan ZHANG ; Yang BAI ; Ling-bo XUE ; Jie LI
Chinese Journal of Current Advances in General Surgery 2025;28(10):769-775
Objective:To explore the risk factors for recurrence of thyroid cancer after radical resection via areola endoscopy,and to construct a visual risk prediction model.Methods:The clinical data of 350 thyroid cancer patients who underwent radical surgery via areola endoscopy in our hospital from January 2016 to October 2018 were retro-spectively analyzed,and they were randomly divided into the modeling group(233 cases)and the internal validation group(117 cases)in a 2:1 ratio.All patients were followed up for 3 years after surgery,and the patients of modeling group were further divided into recurrent group(51)and non recurrent group(182)according to whether they with or not recurrence.Another 163 patients with thyroid cancer who underwent laparoscopic radical mastectomy at our hos-pital from January 2019 to May 2020 were selected as the external validation group.The risk factors for recurrence of thyroid cancer after radical surgery via areola endoscopy was analyzed by using Cox regression method,and a risk prediction nomogram model was established based on this.Internal validation of the nomogram model was conducted by using the Bootstrap method,and the calibration,predictive efficacy and clinical net benefit of the nomogram model were evaluated by the calibration curve,receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve and decision curve analysis(DCA).The external validation group data was used for external validation.Results:The recurrence rate of thyroid cancer patients after 5 years of radical surgery via areola endoscopy was 21.64%(111/513).The proportions of multiple le-sions,preoperative lymph node metastasis,TNM stages Ⅲ-Ⅳ and maximum tumor diameter,the levels of thyro-globulin(TG),triiodothyronine(T3),thyroxine(T4),free triiodothyronine(FT3),free thyroxine(FT4)and thyroid stimulating hormone(TSH)in the recurrence group were higher than those in the non recurrence group(P<0.05).The Cox regres-sion analysis results showed that the maximum tumor diameter,multiple lesions,preoperative lymph node metasta-sis,TNM stage Ⅲ-Ⅳ and TG,T3,T4,FT3,FT4 and TSH levels were all risk factors for recurrence of thyroid cancer after radical surgery via areola endoscopy(P<0.05).The risk prediction nomogram model of recurrence of thyroid cancer af-ter radical surgery under areola endoscopy was constructed based on the above influencing factors.After internal and external validation,the consistency indices of the modeling group,internal verification group and external verification group were 0.832,0.825 and 0.41 respectively,and the calibration curves of three groups were close to the standard curve.The ROC curve analysis and verification showed that the area under the curve predicted by the nomogram model of the modeling group,internal verification group and external verification group were 0.859,0.847 and 0.853 respectively.The DCA curve showed that the nomogram model had good clinical net benefits when the threshold probability of the modeling group,internal verification group and external verification group were 0.03-0.82,0.02-0.78 and 0.06-0.88 respectively.Conclusion:The maximum tumor diameter,multiple lesions,preoperative lymph node metastasis,TNM staging stage Ⅲ-Ⅳ and levels of TG,T3,T4,FT3,FT4 and TSH are all risk factors for recurrence of thy-roid cancer after radical surgery via areola endoscopy,and the risk prediction visualization nomogram model con-structed based on this is helpful for clinical screening of high-risk patients to guide early intervention and reduce the risk of recurrence.
9.Construction of a visual model for predicting the risk of recurrence of thyroid cancer after radical surgery via areola endoscopy
Qing-feng SHI ; Bu-yong ZHANG ; Xuan ZHANG ; Yang BAI ; Ling-bo XUE ; Jie LI
Chinese Journal of Current Advances in General Surgery 2025;28(10):769-775
Objective:To explore the risk factors for recurrence of thyroid cancer after radical resection via areola endoscopy,and to construct a visual risk prediction model.Methods:The clinical data of 350 thyroid cancer patients who underwent radical surgery via areola endoscopy in our hospital from January 2016 to October 2018 were retro-spectively analyzed,and they were randomly divided into the modeling group(233 cases)and the internal validation group(117 cases)in a 2:1 ratio.All patients were followed up for 3 years after surgery,and the patients of modeling group were further divided into recurrent group(51)and non recurrent group(182)according to whether they with or not recurrence.Another 163 patients with thyroid cancer who underwent laparoscopic radical mastectomy at our hos-pital from January 2019 to May 2020 were selected as the external validation group.The risk factors for recurrence of thyroid cancer after radical surgery via areola endoscopy was analyzed by using Cox regression method,and a risk prediction nomogram model was established based on this.Internal validation of the nomogram model was conducted by using the Bootstrap method,and the calibration,predictive efficacy and clinical net benefit of the nomogram model were evaluated by the calibration curve,receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve and decision curve analysis(DCA).The external validation group data was used for external validation.Results:The recurrence rate of thyroid cancer patients after 5 years of radical surgery via areola endoscopy was 21.64%(111/513).The proportions of multiple le-sions,preoperative lymph node metastasis,TNM stages Ⅲ-Ⅳ and maximum tumor diameter,the levels of thyro-globulin(TG),triiodothyronine(T3),thyroxine(T4),free triiodothyronine(FT3),free thyroxine(FT4)and thyroid stimulating hormone(TSH)in the recurrence group were higher than those in the non recurrence group(P<0.05).The Cox regres-sion analysis results showed that the maximum tumor diameter,multiple lesions,preoperative lymph node metasta-sis,TNM stage Ⅲ-Ⅳ and TG,T3,T4,FT3,FT4 and TSH levels were all risk factors for recurrence of thyroid cancer after radical surgery via areola endoscopy(P<0.05).The risk prediction nomogram model of recurrence of thyroid cancer af-ter radical surgery under areola endoscopy was constructed based on the above influencing factors.After internal and external validation,the consistency indices of the modeling group,internal verification group and external verification group were 0.832,0.825 and 0.41 respectively,and the calibration curves of three groups were close to the standard curve.The ROC curve analysis and verification showed that the area under the curve predicted by the nomogram model of the modeling group,internal verification group and external verification group were 0.859,0.847 and 0.853 respectively.The DCA curve showed that the nomogram model had good clinical net benefits when the threshold probability of the modeling group,internal verification group and external verification group were 0.03-0.82,0.02-0.78 and 0.06-0.88 respectively.Conclusion:The maximum tumor diameter,multiple lesions,preoperative lymph node metastasis,TNM staging stage Ⅲ-Ⅳ and levels of TG,T3,T4,FT3,FT4 and TSH are all risk factors for recurrence of thy-roid cancer after radical surgery via areola endoscopy,and the risk prediction visualization nomogram model con-structed based on this is helpful for clinical screening of high-risk patients to guide early intervention and reduce the risk of recurrence.
10.Study of school influenza epidemic prediction based on Bayesian Structural Time Series model and multi-source data integration
Huiyang SUN ; Qiuying LYU ; Fengjuan CHEN ; Honglin WANG ; Yanpeng CHENG ; Zhigao CHEN ; Zhen ZHANG ; Ling YIN ; Xuan ZOU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(7):1188-1195
Objective:To analyze the spatiotemporal correlation between the surveillance data of influenza in students reported by medical institutions and school absenteeism due to illness, and evaluate the application of Bayesian Structural Time Series model (BSTS) in the prediction of school influenza epidemic.Methods:A total of 13 schools in Dapeng new district of Shenzhen were selected. The incidence data of influenza in schools in Shenzhen from January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2019 were collected from China Disease Control and Prevention Information System and the illness related school absentence data during this period were collected from Shenzhen Student Health Surveillance System, and the spatiotemporal correlation between the data from two systems was analyzed and compared. BSTS was used to make long-term predictions of the monthly incidence of influenza in students in 2019 and short-term predictions of the weekly incidence of influenza in week 1-8 and week 45-52 of 2019 by using the data from two systems.Results:There was a temporal correlation between the data from China Disease Control and Prevention Information System and the data from Shenzhen Student Health Surveillance System ( r=0.93, P<0.001), and the lag of the former one was 1 day ( r=0.73, P<0.001). Influenza outbreaks were randomly distributed in different schools in Shenzhen, and there was no spatial correlation. The root mean square error ( RMSE) and mean absolute error ( MAE) were 0.35 and 0.28, respectively, in the long-term prediction, and the RMSE was 0.33 and 0.34, and the MAE was 0.26 and 0.28, respectively, in the short-term predictions of week 1-8 and week 45-52 of 2019, respectively, showing good prediction accuracy and fitting effect. Conclusion:By analyzing the data from China Disease Control and Prevention Information System and Shenzhen Student Health Surveillance System with BSTS, the dynamics of the school influenza epidemic can be accurately predicted, and effective technical support can be provided for the early warning and prevention and control of influenza epidemic.

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