1.Comparative study of SARIMA and seasonal index model in predicting non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning
Wantong HAN ; Yongqiang ZHANG ; Shichang DU ; Wei WANG ; Kai QU ; Xin HE ; Cixian XU ; Xiumei SUN ; Qiran SUN ; Jinyao ZHANG ; Fan BU ; Xingui SUN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(6):12-16
Objective To establish a prediction model for the occurrence of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning events in Beijing, and to provide scientific basis and theoretical support for the prevention and warning of poisoning events. Methods Based on the monitoring data of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning events in Beijing from 2016 to 2024, the seasonal ARIMA model and seasonal index model were established to analyze the data and predict the occurrence of events. Results Between 2016 and 2024, a total of 436 cases of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning were reported in Beijing, showing a downward trend. The established SARIMA model and seasonal index model were SARIMA (1,0,0) (1,1,0) 12, Yt = (-0.0339t+5.8863) × St, and the average relative errors were 65.42% and 29.19%, respectively. In terms of months, the SARIMA model had better predictive performance during April and summer (June to August), while the seasonal index model was superior in other months. By combining the two models, the predicted number of events in 2025 was as follows: 3, 2, 2, 3, 1, 5, 2, 7, 1, 1, 1, and 2. Conclusion The seasonal index model has the best prediction effect on the non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning events in Beijing throughout the year, and the number of summer events predicted by SARIMA model is closer to the actual values. The two models can be combined to predict the trend of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning, which provides a scientific basis for the prevention and control of carbon monoxide poisoning in the future.
2.Electroacupuncture at neuro-arterial stimulation points for post-stroke shoulder-hand syndrome: a randomized controlled trial.
Man ZHANG ; Zhifang XU ; Meidan ZHAO ; Xiumei YIN ; Jiazhu WU ; Zhixin LIU ; Yuanhao DU
Chinese Acupuncture & Moxibustion 2025;45(9):1241-1247
OBJECTIVE:
To compare the clinical efficacy of electroacupuncture (EA) at neuro-arterial stimulation points with topical western medication in treating post-stroke shoulder-hand syndrome (SHS).
METHODS:
A total of 72 patients with post-stroke SHS were randomly assigned to an observation group (n=36, 2 cases dropped out) and a control group (n=36, 3 cases dropped out). Both groups received standard neurological treatment, comprehensive rehabilitation, and physical therapy. The observation group received EA at neuro-arterial stimulation points, including the ipsilateral stellate ganglion point, vagus nerve trunk and auricular branch (left side), and stimulation points of the radial and ulnar arteries, radial nerve, ulnar nerve, and median nerve, once daily for 4 weeks. The control group was treated with topical diclofenac diethylamine emulgel, and mucopolysaccharide polysulfate cream was added for patients with pronounced early-stage edema, twice a day for 4 weeks. The VAS pain score and hand edema volume were recorded before treatment, at 2 and 4 weeks during treatment, and 2 weeks after treatment completion (follow-up). Musculoskeletal ultrasound was used to measure the thickness of the dorsal hand and middle finger skin on the affected side before and after 4 weeks of treatment.
RESULTS:
Compared before treatment, the VAS pain scores and edema volume of the affected hand in both groups were decreased at week 2, week 4, and follow-up (P<0.05). At week 4, both groups showed lower VAS pain scores and edema volume than those at week 2 (P<0.05); during follow-up, both VAS pain scores and edema volume were further reduced compared to those at week 4 (P<0.05). At week 2, week 4, and follow-up, the VAS scores and edema volume of the affected hand in the observation group were lower than those in the control group (P<0.05). Compared before treatment, the dorsal hand skin thickness and middle finger skin thickness on the affected side were decreased in both groups after 4 weeks of treatment (P<0.05). Compared with the control group, the observation group showed thinner dorsal hand and middle finger skin thickness after 4 weeks of treatment (P<0.05).
CONCLUSION
EA at neuro-arterial stimulation points effectively alleviates pain and edema in patients with post-stroke SHS, and demonstrates superior efficacy compared to topical western medication.
Humans
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Electroacupuncture
;
Aged
;
Stroke/complications*
;
Acupuncture Points
;
Adult
;
Reflex Sympathetic Dystrophy/physiopathology*
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Hand
3.Protective Effect of Xuebijing on Lung Injury in Rats with Severe Acute Pancreatitis by Blocking FPRs/NLRP3 Inflammatory Pathway
Guixian ZHANG ; Dawei LIU ; Xia LI ; Xijing LI ; Pengcheng SHI ; Zhiqiao FENG ; Jun CAI ; Wenhui ZONG ; Xiumei ZHAO ; Hongbin LIU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(1):113-120
ObjectiveTo explore the therapeutic effect of Xuebijing injection (XBJ) on severe acute pancreatitis induced acute lung injury (SAP-ALI) by regulating formyl peptide receptors (FPRs)/nucleotide-binding oligomerization domain-like receptor 3 (NLRP3) inflammatory pathway. MethodsSixty rats were randomly divided into a sham group, a SAP-ALI model group, low-, medium-, and high-dose XBJ groups (4, 8, and 12 mL·kg-1), and a positive drug (BOC2, 0.2 mg·kg-1) group. For the sham group, the pancreas of rats was only gently flipped after laparotomy, and then the abdomen was closed, while for the remaining five groups, SAP-ALI rat models were established by retrograde injection of 5% sodium taurocholate (Na-Tc) via the biliopancreatic duct. XBJ and BOC2 were administered via intraperitoneal injection once daily for 3 d prior to modeling and 0.5 h after modeling. Blood was collected from the abdominal aorta 6 h after the completion of modeling, and the expression of interleukin (IL)-1β, IL-6, and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) in plasma was measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). The amount of ascites was measured, and the dry-wet weight ratios of pancreatic and lung tissue were determined. Pancreatic and lung tissue was taken for hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining to observe pathological changes and then scored. The protein expression levels of FPR1, FPR2, and NLRP3 in lung tissue were detected by the immunohistochemical method. Western blot was used to detect the expression of FPR1, FPR2, and NLRP3 in lung tissue. Real-time fluorescence quantitative polymerase chain reaction (Real-time PCR) was used to detect the mRNA expression of FPR1, FPR2, and NLRP3 in lung tissue. ResultsCompared with the sham group, the SAP-ALI model group showed significantly decreased dry-wet weight ratio of lung tissue (P<0.01), serious pathological changes of lung tissue, a significantly increased pathological score (P<0.01), and significantly increased protein and mRNA expression levels of FPR1, FPR2, and NLRP3 in lung tissue (P<0.01). After BOC2 intervention, the above detection indicators were significantly reversed (P<0.01). After treatment with XBJ, the groups of different XBJ doses achieved results consistent with BOC2 intervention. ConclusionXBJ can effectively improve the inflammatory response of the lungs in SAP-ALI rats and reduce damage. The mechanism may be related to inhibiting the expression of FPRs and NLRP3 in lung tissue, which thereby reduces IL-1β and simultaneously antagonize the release of inflammatory factors IL-6 and TNF-α.
4.Expert Consensus on Clinical Diseases Responding Specifically to Traditional Chinese Medicine: Atopic Dermatitis
Junfeng LIU ; Xiumei MO ; Mei MO ; Hongyi LI ; Ying LIN ; Xiaoxiao ZHANG ; Dacan CHEN
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(1):244-252
Atopic dermatitis (AD) is a common pruritic and chronic inflammatory dermatosis in clinical practice and is one of the diseases responding specifically to traditional Chinese medicine (TCM). With the launch of biological agents and small molecule drugs and the development and implementation of guidelines of diagnosis and treatment, clinical pathways of treatment of moderate to severe AD, and consensus on the whole-process management of AD, the clinical efficacy of moderate to severe AD has been significantly improved. However, there are still many unmet clinical needs that require more effective methods to meet. In response to the Opinions of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council on Facilitating the Inheritance, Innovation, and Development of Traditional Chinese Medicine and the spirit of the National Conference on TCM, the China Association of Chinese Medicine organized more than 20 experts in TCM dermatology, Western medicine dermatology, interdisciplinary fields, and industries to discuss the difficulties and advantages of TCM in the treatment of AD. TCM treatment for AD can not only improve rash and relieve itching but also solve many concomitant syndromes. The abundant external treatment methods of TCM have advantages for different special populations and rash characteristics. The concept of treating disease before its onset in TCM is in line with the chronic disease management mode of prevention and treatment of atopic march and prevention of recurrence. In addition, TCM therapy can reduce the use of topical glucocorticoids and has good safety. Regarding the comorbidity of AD, equal emphasis on TCM and Western medicine and multidisciplinary joint treatment should be advocated to achieve maximum benefit for patients. The exchange of TCM and Western medicine has clarified the positioning and advantages of TCM intervention in AD, providing guidance for clinical and scientific research.
5.Effectiveness of the integrated service mode of community cerebrovascular disease specialty and general practice team on stroke management
Xiangyu YANG ; Yaqing ZHANG ; Jiangping WU ; Xiumei LIU
Chinese Journal of General Practitioners 2025;24(5):547-553
Objective:To investigate the management effectiveness of the integrated service mode of community cerebrovascular disease specialty and general practice team on stroke management.Methods:This was a randomized controlled trial. Patients with non-acute stroke who visited Fangzhuang Community Health Service Center in Fengtai District, Beijing between September 2022 and January 2023 were enrolled and randomly assigned to an integrated specialist-primary care group and a control group using a random number table method. Baseline clinical data were collected. Patients in the integrated specialist-primary care group received a collaborative care model combining stroke specialty services and primary care teams, while the control group received routine care. Neurological status, mental status, medical adherence, cognitive function, and psychological status were assessed using standardized scales at baseline, followed by evaluations every 3 months for 1 year, totaling 5 assessments.Results:A total of 142 non-acute stroke patients were included, with 71 in the specialist-primary care integrated service group, aged (69.5±7.6) years, including 43 males (60.56%), and 71 in the control group, aged (68.8±8.5) years, including 38 males (53.52%). There were no statistically significant differences in baseline clinical characteristics such as age, sex, and body mass index between the two groups (all P>0.05). Prior to the intervention, there were no statistically significant differences in the Mini-Mental State Examination scores between the two groups ( P>0.05). However, at 3, 6, 9, and 12 months post-intervention, the scores of the specialist-primary care integrated service group were significantly higher than those of the control group (all P<0.05). Before the intervention, there were no statistically significant differences between the two groups in the scores on Generalized Anxiety Disorder Scale and Patient Health Questionnaire Depression Scale (all P>0.05). At 6, 9, and 12 months post-intervention, the scores on these two scales for the specialist-primary care integrated service group were significantly lower than those of the control group (all P<0.05). There were no statistically significant differences in adherence behavior scores between the two groups before the intervention ( P>0.05), but at 6, 9, and 12 months post-intervention, the adherence behavior scores of the specialist-primary care integrated service group were significantly higher than those of the control group (all P<0.05). Conclusions:The integrated service mode of cerebrovascular disease specialists and general practice teams can effectively improve cognitive function, anxiety, depression, and compliance behavior, and is more conducive to the recovery of stroke patients in the community, which has popularization value.
6.Study on the predictive value of ICH-LR2S2 score and ICH-APS score for stroke-associated pneumonia in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage
Yan LIU ; Xiumei ZOU ; Lishang LIAO ; Jianfei HUANG ; Ling ZHANG ; Yu RAN ; Guangzhen LI
Chongqing Medicine 2025;54(5):1111-1117
Objective To study the predictive value of the Prognostic Assessment Scale for Patients with Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage(ICH-LR2S2)and the Prehospital Risk Assessment Scale for Prehospital Deterioration Risk Assessment Scale(ICH-APS)for the development of stroke-associated pneu-monia(SAP)in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage.Methods A total of 349 patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage who were hospitalized for the first time in this hospital from July 2023 to July 2024 were selected as the research subjects.The general demographic data and medical documentations of the patients were collected,and ICH-LR2S2 score and ICH-APS score were carried out within 48 hours after admission.According to whether pneumonia occurred within 7 days after admission,the patients were divided into the SAP group and the non-SAP group,and the diagnostic efficiency of the ICH-LR2S2 score and ICH-APS score for SAP in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage was evaluated.Results Among the 349 patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage,98 patients(28.08%)had pneumonia.The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age,history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD),nasogastric tube,tracheal intubation,National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale(NIHSS)score,Glasgow Coma Scale(GCS)score,C-reactive protein,fasting blood glucose,dysphagia,ICH-LR2S2 score,ICH-APS-A score,and ICH-APS-B score were independent influencing factors for SAP in patients with spontane-ous intracerebral hemorrhage(P<0.05).The results of the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve showed that the ICH-LR2S2 score had the highest diagnostic efficiency for SAP in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage,with an area under the curve(AUC)of 0.837,a sensitivity of 0.827,a specificity of 0.783,and a Youden index of 0.610.Conclusion ICH-LR2S2 score has a high predictive value for the occur-rence of SAP in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage.
7.Evaluation of the Applicability of the Dampness Syndrome Scale of Chinese Medicine(DSSCM)in Patients with Atopic Dermatitis
Li'an ZHU ; Liu ZHONG ; Yu ZHANG ; Siqi YE ; Xiumei MO
Journal of Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;42(10):2367-2373
Objective To evaluate the applicability of the Dampness Syndrome Scale of Chinese Medicine(DSSCM)in patients with atopic dermatitis(AD).Methods A cross-sectional study was conducted 204 AD patients.Demographic data and scores of the DSSCM,Patient-Oriented Eczema Measure(POEM),Atopic Dermatitis Control Tool(ADCT),Scoring Atopic Dermatitis(SCORAD),Eczema Area and Severity Index(EASI),and Investigator's Global Assessment(IGA)were collected.SPSS and AMOS were used to analyze the reliability and validity of the DSSCM and then the correlation between dampness syndrome and clinical AD indicators was explored.Results The overall Cronbach's α coefficient of DSSCM was 0.90,and the Spearman-Brown split-half reliability coefficient was 0.81.Content validity results indicated that,except for items DSSCM 25,DSSCM 26,DSSCM 27,DSSCM 28,and DSSCM 29(with correlation coefficients<0.30),all other items showed correlation coefficients>0.40 with their respective dimensions and the total scale score.The success rates of convergent and discriminant validity tests exceeded 80%,and confirmatory factor analysis demonstrated good fit in the indices of x2/df and RMSEA.Correlation analysis revealed that DSSCM scores were significantly correlated with body mass index(BMI),Dermatology Life Quality Index(DLQI)scores,POEM scores,ADCT scores,pruritus scores,sleep scores,or SCORAD scores(P<0.05 or P<0.01).However,no significant correlations were observed between DSSCM scores and disease duration,age,IGA scores,or EASI scores(P>0.05).Conclusion The DSSCM demonstrates good reliability and validity in AD patients and its scores are correlated with clinical AD indicators,making it a suitable tool for assessing dampness syndrome in this population.
8.Effect of UGT8 on colorectal cancer cell proliferation and migration and its correlation with SOX9 expression
Pang YIXIN ; Li WENQING ; Yao QILONG ; Wang YU ; Zhang XIUMEI
Chinese Journal of Clinical Oncology 2025;52(12):595-602
Objective:To investigate the effect of uridine diphosphate ceramide galactosyltransferase 8(UGT8)on colorectal cancer(CRC)cell growth and migration,elucidate an underlying mechanism,and assess the potential regulatory role of SRY-box transcription factor 9(SOX9)on UGT8.Methods:UGT8 and SOX9 mRNA expression levels in CRC tissues,and correlation between their expression levels,were analyzed using GEPIA2,UALCAN,and TIMER 2.0 online databases.UGT8 and SOX9 protein expression in CRC and adjacent tissues was detec-ted using immunohistochemistry,and relationships between their expression and clinicopathological characteristics were analyzed.Impact of UGT8 knockdown on CRC cell proliferation was assessed using a CCK-8 assay,and cell migration was evaluated using Transwell and wound healing assays.Western blot was performed to detect expression of epithelial-mesenchymal transition(EMT)markers(E-cadherin and ZEB1).RT-qPCR and Western blot were used to measure UGT8 mRNA and protein expression levels after SOX9 knockdown.The JASPAR online database was used to assess SOX9 potential for binding to the UGT8 promoter.Results:Bioinformatics analyses revealed significantly higher mRNA expression levels of both UGT8 and SOX9 in CRC tissues than in normal tissues.Positive correlation was observed between expres-sion levels.Immunohistochemistry results showed that tumor UGT8 and SOX9 protein levels were significantly higher than those in adjacent tissues.UGT8 protein level was found to correlates with N stage,and SOX9 protein level correlated with T stage.A positive correlation was observed between UGT8 and SOX9 expression levels.Following UGT8 knockdown,cell proliferation capacity was attenuated and cell migra-tion ability was reduced.E-cadherin expression concurrently increased and ZEB1 expression decreased.RT-qPCR and Western blot results showed that SOX9 knockdown significantly reduced UGT8 mRNA and protein levels.The JASPER website predicts that SOX9 will bind to the UGT8 promoter.Conclusions:UGT8 and SOX9 are highly expressed in CRC tissues,and their expression levels correlate with clinicopatholo-gical features.UGT8 and SOX9 expression levels display significant positive correlation.Mechanistically,UGT8 promotes CRC cell prolifera-tion and migration by facilitating epithelial-mesenchymal transition(EMT).SOX9 enhances UGT8 mRNA and protein expression and may bind to the UGT8 promoter region.
9.Progress of research on clinical treatment of renal tuberculosis
Xiaoshan LI ; Yuyang ZHANG ; Xiumei LI ; Tiantian HOU ; Panfeng SHANG
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(15):2395-2400
Drug therapy and surgical treatment are the two primary methods for treating renal tuberculosis.With the increase in drug-resistant strains,some novel anti-tuberculosis drugs,such as Delamanid and Bedaquiline,are being developed and gradually applied in clinical practice.Surgical treatment is suitable for patients with poor re-sponses to drug therapy and those who develop complications.Surgical methods include nephrectomy and partial nephrectomy.As the goal of preserving renal function as much as possible becomes more important,minimally in-vasive treatments have been adopted,with significant contributions from percutaneous nephrostomy and ureteral stent placement.Additionally,immunotherapy has emerged as a new direction,with immunomodulators such as interferons and interleukins under investigation.This article discusses the status and research progress in the treat-ment of renal tuberculosis,aiming to provide a theoretical basis for future treatments.
10.Analysis and Prediction of Disease Burden of Depression in Old Age in China from 1990 to 2021
Xiaolin BAO ; Hongjuan WEI ; Xinxin BIAN ; Xiumei MA ; Yin GAO ; Yingyan ZHANG ; Wei LIU ; Yuexian MA ; Weixin ZHANG ; Xuewen YANG
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2025;16(2):361-369
Objective To analyze the trends in disease burden and risk factors of depression among the elderly population in China from 1990 to 2021,and to provide a theoretical basis for the prevention,treatment,and policy-making of geriatric depression in China.Methods Data on the disease burden of geriatric depres-sion in China from 1990 to 2021,including the number of incident cases,disability-adjusted life years(DALYs),incidence rate,and DALY rate,were extracted from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease(GBD)database.The Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the trends by calculating the annual percentage change(APC)and average annual percentage change(AAPC).The autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA)model was employed to predict the disease burden of geriatric depression over the next five years.Population attributable fractions(PAFs)were used to describe the risk factors for geriatric depression in China in 1990 and 2021.Results From 1990 to 2021,the number of incident cases and the incidence rate of geri-atric depression in China showed an overall upward trend.The most significant increase in incidence was ob-served in the 60-64 age group,while the prevalence rate increased notably in the ≥ 95 age group.The DALY rate showed the most pronounced upward trend in the 65-69 age group.The incidence,prevalence,and DALY rates of geriatric depression were higher in women than in men.Major risk factors included child-hood sexual abuse and intimate partner violence,with the impact of intimate partner violence being particular-ly significant among women.The ARIMA model predicted that the incidence,prevalence,and DALY rates of geriatric depression in China would decline over the next five years,with a greater decline observed in women than in men.Conclusions From 1990 to 2021,the incidence,prevalence,and DALY rates of geriatric de-pression in China showed an overall upward trend,with higher rates observed in women than in men.Greater attention should be paid to the elderly female population,with a focus on early prevention to reduce the dis-ease burden of geriatric depression.


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