1.Comparative study of SARIMA and seasonal index model in predicting non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning
Wantong HAN ; Yongqiang ZHANG ; Shichang DU ; Wei WANG ; Kai QU ; Xin HE ; Cixian XU ; Xiumei SUN ; Qiran SUN ; Jinyao ZHANG ; Fan BU ; Xingui SUN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(6):12-16
Objective To establish a prediction model for the occurrence of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning events in Beijing, and to provide scientific basis and theoretical support for the prevention and warning of poisoning events. Methods Based on the monitoring data of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning events in Beijing from 2016 to 2024, the seasonal ARIMA model and seasonal index model were established to analyze the data and predict the occurrence of events. Results Between 2016 and 2024, a total of 436 cases of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning were reported in Beijing, showing a downward trend. The established SARIMA model and seasonal index model were SARIMA (1,0,0) (1,1,0) 12, Yt = (-0.0339t+5.8863) × St, and the average relative errors were 65.42% and 29.19%, respectively. In terms of months, the SARIMA model had better predictive performance during April and summer (June to August), while the seasonal index model was superior in other months. By combining the two models, the predicted number of events in 2025 was as follows: 3, 2, 2, 3, 1, 5, 2, 7, 1, 1, 1, and 2. Conclusion The seasonal index model has the best prediction effect on the non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning events in Beijing throughout the year, and the number of summer events predicted by SARIMA model is closer to the actual values. The two models can be combined to predict the trend of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning, which provides a scientific basis for the prevention and control of carbon monoxide poisoning in the future.
2.Prediction of pathological complete response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer using contrast-enhanced ultrasound radiomics
Qiong QIN ; Yuquan WU ; Rong WEN ; Xiumei BAI ; Ruizhi GAO ; Yadan LIN ; Jiayi LYU ; Yun HE ; Hong YANG
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2024;33(1):63-70
Objective:To evaluate the diagnostic performance of radiomics model based on contrast-enhanced ultrasound(CEUS) in predicting pathological complete response(pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy(nCRT) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer(LARC).Methods:One hundred and six patients with LARC who underwent total mesorectal excision after nCRT between April 2018 and April 2023 in the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University were retrospectively included, the patients were randomly divided into a training set of 63(14 pCR patients) and a validation set of 43(12 pCR patients) in a 6∶4 ratios. Radiomics features were extracted from the tumors′ region of interest of CEUS images based on PyRadiomics. Intra-class correlation coefficient(ICC), Mann-Whitney U test, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO) algorithms were used to reduce features dimension. Finally, 7 radiomics features relevanted to pCR were selected to construct an ultrasomics model using elastic network regression, based on the R language. A combined model was constructed by jointing clinical feature. The performance of the models was assessed with the area under the ROC curve(AUC). Results:The AUC of the ultrasomics model and the combined model was 0.695(95% CI=0.532-0.859) and 0.726(95% CI=0.584-0.868) respectively in the training set. The AUC of the ultrasomics model and the combined model was 0.763(95% CI=0.625-0.902) and 0.790(95% CI=0.653-0.928) respectively in the validation set. Both univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses showed that CA199( P<0.05) and ultrasomics score( P<0.001) could be an independent predictor of pCR after nCRT in patients with LARC. Conclusions:The CEUS-based radiomics scores has certain predictive value for whether LARC patients achieve pCR after nCRT, and may provide a non-invasive imaging biomarker for predicting LARC patients achieve pCR after nCRT.
3.Research progress on aldosterone synthetase deficiency
Honglin WU ; Xiumei HE ; Xiyu HE
Chinese Journal of Applied Clinical Pediatrics 2024;39(9):715-717
Aldosterone synthetase deficiency (ASD) is a rare autosomal recessive genetic disorder caused by the CYP11B2 gene mutation.The clinical manifestations are mainly repeated vomiting, diarrhea, slow physical growth, hyponatremia, hyperkalemia, and hypovolemia in infants and young children.It is clinically difficult to distinguish it from other infantile salt loss diseases.At present, the diagnosis of ASD mainly depends on the measurement of steroid hormone levels and the analysis of genetic variants.9α-Fluhydrocortisone is the main drug for the treatment of ASD, but the treatment regimens are not yet unified.This article reviews the research progress in the etiology, pathogenesis, clinical phenotype, diagnosis and treatment of ASD in order to improve clinicians′ competence in diagnosing and treating this disease.
4.Application of modified disposable consumables for flushing in digestive endoscopy
Xiumei DENG ; Li LI ; Zhen DING ; Jinyun HE
Modern Clinical Nursing 2024;23(5):85-88
Objective To explore the effect of application of a modified disposable flushing consumables for sterilised water flushing in digestive endoscopy.Methods Self-comparison method was applied in this study.The traditional flushing device was used in digestive endoscopy prior to December 2019.From January 2020,a modified flushing was applied,of which sterilised flushing water was fed through a disposable flushing pipe and made it free from the reuse of the storage bottle that held the sterilised water in the traditional flushing device.The results of microbial culture,cost of consumables and time required for preparation of the flushing were compared between pre-and post-modification of the flushing device.Results The samples of flushing water before and after the device modification had both passed the microbial culture tests.With the traditional flushing,it took 2 days for collection,cleaning and re-use of a bottle after the proper sterilisation process,and the time required for assembly and disassembly of the modified flushing was about(8.15±1.42)minutes with the cost of consumables at(29.81±4.65)Yuan.While of the modified flushing with disposable consumables,the overall cost of the consumables was(8.15±1.42)Yuan,and it took about(2.00±0.22)minutes for assembly and disassembly the device.The modified flushing was simple to operate and the consumables were readily available.Conclusions The improved disposable consumables for flushing are easy and convenient to handle.They are cost effective and time saving and safe for the digestive endoscopy.
5.Design and application of a new type of switchable semi-closed sputum suction device for transfer
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2024;36(4):422-424
Sputum suction is a necessary measure to remove respiratory secretions and collect sputum specimens, and the traditional sputum suction device includes open and closed methods. However, the open sputum suction device can easily cause sputum splashing during operation, polluting the operator and the surrounding environment. The closed sputum suction device is more expensive than the open sputum suction device. Although it can be used repeatedly, the friction between the protective sleeve and the wall of the suction tube increases after repeated uses, which in turn affects the operation. In addition, the two sputum suction methods need to be connected to a sputum collector when the sputum specimen is collected. This process can easily lead to leakage and contamination of specimens, and at the same time increase the infection risk for patients. In order to overcome the above problems, the medical staff from the department of critical care medicine of the First Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University invented a new type of switchable semi-closed sputum suction device, and obtained the National Utility Model Patent of China (ZL 2020 2 1564712.3). The device is composed of a suction device connection port, a sliding negative pressure switch, an adapter interface, a pipe body, a transparent film protective sleeve, a clip-on connection joint, and a sputum collector. The sliding negative pressure switch at the connection port of the suction device can realize one-person one-handed operation. The sputum collector is connected with the sputum suction device to ensure that the specimen is not exposed. The transparent film protective sleeve covers the sputum suction tube body to ensure that the whole process of sputum suction operation is pollution-free. The clip-on connection joint is connected with the artificial airway interface to avoid sputum splashing during sputum suction, and it is clamped immediately after operation to reduce environmental pollution. Compared with the existing sputum suction device, the new switchable semi-closed sputum suction device has a more reasonable design and lower cost, which is worthy of clinical promotion.
6.Practice and benefit of national standardized management of type 2 diabetes in Yulin City
Jie HU ; Feng ZHANG ; Xingmei LI ; Yanni WANG ; Fuxiang SHI ; Shaojuan FENG ; Puliufang HE ; Xiumei ZHANG ; Hui ZHAO ; Qiaofen YANG ; Rui SONG ; Xiuxiu FENG ; Jiansheng NIU
Journal of Xi'an Jiaotong University(Medical Sciences) 2023;44(5):836-840
【Objective】 To investigate the practice and benefit of national standardized management of type 2 diabetes in Yulin City. 【Methods】 We recruited the adult type 2 diabetes patients who sought medical help at our hospital from May 2020 to October 2022 as subjects. We collected their basic information (sex and age); measured height, weight, waist and hip circumference, and blood pressure; calculated body mass index (BMI); and detected blood glucose, c-peptide, HbA1c, biomarkers, urinary microalbumin, sensory nerve conduction velocity of lower limbs, ABI, and subcutaneous and visceral fat at the time of MMC recruited and the end of six months. T test and Mann-Whitney U rank sum test were used for measurement data and χ2 test or Fisher’s exact probability method for counting data to analyze the data. 【Results】 After 6 months, the levels of fasting blood glucose, postprandial blood glucose, HbA1c, and visceral and subcutaneous fat in all the patients decreased, but the level of fasting c-peptide increased compared with the baseline (all P<0.05). Secondly, compared with the baseline, the control rate of HbA1c (35.21% vs. 13.71% ) and the comprehensive control rate (13.97% vs. 7.26% ) were both significantly increased at six months (P<0.05). Thirdly, after 6 months, the levels of fasting blood glucose, postprandial blood glucose, HbA1c, TG, TC, and UA were decreased more, while the fasting c-peptide and postprandial c-peptide were increased more in the patients of the HbA1c standard group (HbA1c<7% ) than those of the non-standard group. 【Conclusion】 The multiple benefits of blood glucose, blood lipid, uric acid and islet function can be achieved by taking type 2 diabetes patients into MMC. Meanwhile, the rates of HbA1c control and comprehensively reaching the standard are significantly increased. Therefore, MMC can explore a new way for the management of type 2 diabetic patients in this area.
7.Analysis of pathogenic bacteria of urinary tract infection in patients with mental disorders of different genders
Lei YUE ; Xiumei ZHU ; Shijing HE ; Shaojing YAN
Sichuan Mental Health 2022;35(3):245-249
ObjectiveTo analyze the gender differences in the pathogen distribution and drug susceptibility of bacteria causing urinary tract infection among psychiatric inpatients in a hospital in Guangzhou, and to provide a basis for clinical diagnosis and rational use of drugs in treatment. MethodsClinical data of 326 psychiatric patients complicating urinary tract infection in a hospital in Guangzhou from 2019 to 2020 were retrospectively analyzed, including 126 males and 200 females. Data including gender, age, identification results of urinary tract pathogens from urine samples and drug susceptibility results were collected. The differences in bacterial distribution and drug resistance rate of urinary tract infection pathogens in patients of different genders were analyzed. ResultsA total of 326 strains of urinary tract infection bacteria were isolated, including 103 strains (31.60%) of multi-drug resistant bacteria. Male and female urinary tract infection in patients with multi-drug resistant bacteria were detected 52 strains (41.27%) and 51 strains (25.50%), the detection rate of multi-drug resistant bacteria in female patients was significantly higher than that in male patients, with statistical difference (χ2=8.895, P<0.01). In terms of bacterial distribution, the composition ratio of Escherichia coli in female patients was higher than that in male patients (χ2=14.794), while the composition ratio of Acinetobacter baumannii and Pseudomonas aeruginosa was lower than that in male patients (χ2=13.665, 4.054), with statistical difference (P<0.05 or 0.01). The drug susceptibility results showed that Escherichia coli isolated from female patients were less resistant to various antibiotics such as ampicillin/sulbactam, aztreonam, cefepime, ceftazidime, levofloxacin, imipenem and meropenem than those from male patients (χ2=5.028~17.680, P<0.05 or 0.01). ConclusionThe prevalence rate and bacterial distribution of psychiatric patients complicating urinary tract infection differ between patients of different genders, furthermore, the rate of drug resistance for Escherichia coli is lower in female patients than that in male patients.
8.Control rate of blood glucose and its influencing factors in type 2 diabetes mellitus patients in Yulin City
Jie HU ; Ling ZHANG ; Feng ZHANG ; Yao HAO ; Wanxia HE ; Xiumei ZHANG ; Fuxiang SHI ; Shaojuan FENG ; Jiansheng NIU
Journal of Xi'an Jiaotong University(Medical Sciences) 2022;43(6):901-904
【Objective】 To investigate the control rate of blood glucose and its influencing factors in type 2 diabetes mellitus patients in Yulin area. 【Methods】 We selected the adult type 2 diabetes patients who visited our hospital from May 2020 to December 2021 as the subjects. Then we collected their basic information (gender, age, household income, type of medical insurance payment, education level, and duration of disease), measured their height and weight, calculated their body mass index (BMI), detected HbA1c, and measured their subcutaneous and visceral fat. The Chi-square test and multivariate Logistic regression methods were used to analyze the influencing factors. 【Results】 The total attainment rate of HbA1c (HbA1c<7%) among 877 adults with type 2 diabetes was 13.34%. The Chi-square test showed that statistical differences in the attainment rate of HbA1c among different ages, family annual income, type of medical insurance, and duration of disease. Further unconditional multivariate Logistic regression analysis model results showed that the HbA1c attainment rate in 18-44 years old group was 0.418 times higher than that in ≥60 years old group (95% CI=0.219-0.799, P=0.008). The HbA1c compliance rate of patients with employees’ medical insurance was 1.744 times that those with residents’ medical insurance (95% CI=1.131-2.782, P=0.013). The HbA1c attainment rate of diabetic patients with an annual family income of 30 000 yuan to 100 000 yuan was 1.873 times (95% CI=1.074-3.266, P=0.027), and with an annual family income of more than 100 000 yuan was 2.649 (95% CI=1.299-5.404, P=0.007) times than that of diabetic patients with less than 30 000 yuan. 【Conclusion】 The blood glucose control rate in adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus in Yulin area is lower compared with the level of the nation and other regions. Age, annual household income, and type of medical insurance payment are independent influencing factors.
9.Construction of a risk prediction model for poor healing of surgical incisions after removal of thoracic and abdominal drainage tubes
Haiqing ZHOU ; Mingxue WANG ; Chunye WANG ; Enxia ZHU ; He LIU ; Lifei SHI ; Xiumei CHU
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2022;28(1):70-75
Objective:To explore the independent risk factors of poor healing of surgical incisions in patients with drainage tube removal after thoracic and abdominal surgery and establish a risk prediction model for poor healing of surgical incisions.Methods:Using the convenient sampling method, a total of 545 patients who underwent thoracic and abdominal surgery in the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University were selected from July to December 2020. The patients were divided into the poor wound healing group ( n=87) and the non-incision poor healing group ( n=458) according to whether they had poor wound healing. Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the risk factors of poor healing of surgical incisions and build a risk prediction model. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) area under the curve was used to test the model to predict the effect and 230 patients were selected to verify the model prediction effect. Results:In this study, 5 factors including duration of exudation, serum albumin, incision infection, the volume of exudation during catheterization and catheterization time were finally included to construct a risk prediction model. The model formula was Z=4.608+4.855× duration of exudation +3.173× serum albumin +3.739× infection of the incision +2.271×the volume of exudation during catheterization + 0.466× catheterization time. The area under ROC curve of this model was 0.773 (95% CI: 0.678 - 0.868). The maximum value of Youden index was 0.549, the sensitivity was 0.742 and the specificity was 0.807. Conclusions:The risk prediction model of poor incision healing after drainage tube removal for patients undergoing thoracic and abdominal surgery can better predict the risk of poor incision healing and provide a basis for clinical medical staff to take preventive management measures for high-risk patients in time.
10.Summary of the best evidence for the management of endotracheal intubation and extubation in adult mechanically ventilated patients in intensive care unit based on guidelines and randomized controlled trials
Xiumei LIU ; Ping GONG ; Jian KANG ; Surui HE
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2021;33(8):927-932
Objective:To summarize the best evidence for extubation management of adult patients with mechanical ventilation in the intensive care unit (ICU), which will provide practical guidelines for medical staffs.Methods:BMJ best clinical practice, UpToDate clinical consultants, Guidelines International Network (GIN), National Guideline Clearinghouse (NGC), National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE), Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network (SIGN), Registered Nurses' Association of Ontario (RNAO), Medlive guide, Cochrane Library, JBI evidence-based Health Care Center Database, Web of Science, PubMed, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), Ebsco, SinoMed, CNKI, Wanfang Database, etc., were systematically searched. Clinical guidelines, systematic reviews, expert consensus, and randomized controlled trial (RCT) studies were searched from the above database unit August 31st, 2020. Literature quality was evaluated using Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation Ⅱ (AGREEⅡ), JBI quality evaluation tools, and Cochrane risk bias assessment. Two researchers evaluated the quality of the included literature respectively, and then the best evidence of endotracheal intubation and extubation management in ICU adult patients with mechanical ventilation was extracted and summarized.Results:A total of 12 articles were collected, including 2 guidelines, 5 systematic reviews, 2 expert consensus, and 3 RCTs. This paper summarizes 17 best evidences on extubation management of adult patients with mechanical ventilation in ICU, including accurate pre-extubation assessment, personnel and equipment, medication, posture, oxygen therapy, airway management, and post-extubation monitoring.Conclusion:Medical staff should choose the best evidence that meets the requirements of the clinical settings and standardize the management of patients after extubation to reduce the incidence of complications and re-intubation rate to ensure the safety of patients, which will be very important for the management of ICU adult patients with mechanical ventilation after extubation.


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