1.Construction and validation of a medication deviation prediction model for hospital-to-home transition period in coronary heart disease patients with initial treatment
Yushuang LI ; Shu LI ; Qianying ZHANG ; Yan HUANG ; Kun LIU ; Xiulin GU ; Huanhuan JIANG
China Pharmacy 2026;37(4):491-496
OBJECTIVE To develope a predictive model for medication deviation risks during the hospital-to-home transition period in coronary heart disease (CHD) patients with initial treatment, aiming to assist medical staff in rapidly identifying high-risk groups for medication deviation. METHODS A total of 462 CHD patients with initial treatment from the Affiliated Hospital of North China University of Science and Technology (hereinafter referred to as “our hospital”) between January and July 2024 were enrolled. The patients were randomly divided into a modeling group and an internal validation group. The modeling group was further categorized into a medication deviation group and a non-medication deviation group based on whether medication deviations occurred. Similarly, 57 CHD patients with initial treatment from the cardiology department of our hospital between June and September 2025 were collected as an external validation group. Univariate analysis was used to screen predictive factors, followed by multivariate Logistic regression to construct the predictive model. Internal validation methods were employed to evaluate model performance, while external validation methods were used to test the model’s generalizability. RESULTS The 462 patients were divided into a modeling group (319 cases) and an internal validation group (143 cases). In the modeling group, the medication deviation group (192 cases, 60.19%) and the non-medication deviation group (127 cases, 39.81%) were identified. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis revealed that age, medication type, medication adherence, and self-efficacy in rational medication use were predictive factors for medication deviations in CHD patients with initial treatment ( P <0.05). The predictive model equation was logit P =ln[ P /(1- P ) ] =1.321+1.732×age+4.091×medication type -4.360×medication adherence -3.081×self-efficacy in rational medication use. The model demonstrated good discrimination, with a Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test P -value of 0.439, an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.870, sensitivity of 0.970, and specificity of 0.607. A risk nomogram with a total score of 350 points and a cutoff value of 110 points was plotted. The internal validation group showed an AUC o f 0.787 and a prediction accuracy of 77.6%, while the external validation group exhibited an AUC of 0.802 and a prediction accuracy of 73.7%. CONCLUSIONS This study successfully developed a predictive model for medication deviation risks during the hospital-to-home transition period in CHD patients with initial treatment. The model demonstrates excellent discrimination and predictive accuracy, effectively identifying high-risk populations for medication deviations. Age (>70 years), number of drug types≥5, poor medication adherence, and poor self-efficacy in rational medication use are independent risk factors for medication deviations.
2.Influence evaluation of pharmaceutical quality control on medication therapy management services by the ECHO model
Kun LIU ; Huanhuan JIANG ; Yushuang LI ; Yan HUANG ; Qianying ZHANG ; Dong CHEN ; Xiulin GU ; Jinhui FENG ; Zijian WANG ; Yunfei CHEN ; Yajuan QI ; Yanlei GE ; Aishuang FU
China Pharmacy 2025;36(9):1123-1128
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the influence of pharmaceutical quality control on the efficiency and outcomes of standardized medication therapy management (MTM) services for patients with coronary heart disease by using Economic, Clinical and Humanistic Outcomes (ECHO) model. METHODS This study collected case data of coronary heart disease patients who received MTM services during January-March 2023 (pre-quality control implementation group, n=96) and June-August 2023 (post-quality control implementation group, n=164). Using propensity score matching analysis, 80 patients were selected from each group. The study subsequently compared the economic, clinical, and humanistic outcome indicators of pharmaceutical services between the two matched groups. RESULTS There were no statistically significant differences in baseline data between the two groups after matching (P>0.05). Compared with pre-quality control implementation group, the daily treatment cost (16.26 yuan vs. 24.40 yuan, P<0.001), cost-effectiveness ratio [23.12 yuan/quality-adjusted life year (QALY) vs. 32.32 yuan/QALY, P<0.001], and the incidence of general adverse drug reactions (2.50% vs. 10.00%, P=0.049) of post-quality control implementation group were decreased significantly; the utility value of the EuroQol Five-Dimensional Questionnaire (0.74± 0.06 vs. 0.71±0.07, P=0.003), the reduction in the number of medication related problems (1.0 vs. 0.5, P<0.001), the medication adherence score ([ 6.32±0.48) points vs. (6.10±0.37) points, P=0.001], and the satisfaction score ([ 92.56±1.52) points vs. (91.95±1.56) points, P=0.013] all showed significant improvements. Neither group experienced serious adverse drug reactions. There was no statistically significant difference in the incidence of new adverse reactions between the two groups (1.25% vs. 3.75%, P=0.310). CONCLUSIONS Pharmaceutical quality control can improve the quality of pharmaceutical care, and the ECHO model can quantitatively evaluate the effect of MTM services, making pharmaceutical care better priced and more adaptable to social needs, thus being worthy of promotion.
3.Economic evaluation of medication therapeutical management services for patients with stable coronary heart disease
Huanhuan JIANG ; Zijian WANG ; Zhixiu WANG ; Xiulin GU ; Shizi LI
China Pharmacy 2022;33(8):981-986
OBJECTIVE To ex plore the economic value of medication therapeutical management (MTM)service for patients with stable coronary disease. METHODS Totally 140 patients with stable coronary disease were divided into a control group and a intervention group ,70 cases in each group. Patients in control group were received routine medical services ,and patients in intervention group additionally received standardized MTM services on this basis. Medication complication ,satisfaction degree , safety indexes and efficacy indexes were compared between 2 groups. From the perspective of the whole society ,the economic value of MTM service for patients with stable coronary disease were evaluated by pharmacists using cost minimization analysis. RESULTS A total of 15 patients did not complete the study ,including 5 cases in intervention group and 10 cases in control group ; there was no death endpoint during the follow-up period. MMAS- 8 score,satisfaction score of drug communication dimension and score of overall satisfactionin of intervention group were obviously higher than control group (P<0.01). There was no significant difference in blood pressure standard rate ,blood lipid standard rate ,the incidence of adverse drug reaction ,and the incidence of acute coronary events between 2 groups(P>0.05). The total cost of intervention group was lower than that of control group (P< 0.01);the results of sensitivity analysis were consistent with those of cost minimization analysis. CONCLUSIONS Pharmacists implement MTM service for patients with stable coronary disease can reduce total cost ,save medical resources and has economic advantages.
4.An experimental study of gene therapy targeted by magnetic nanosphere for occlusive vascular disease
Tiemin ZHANG ; Jun XU ; Hongchi JIANG ; Jinpeng ZHAO ; Lanlan WEI ; Min ZHUANG ; Xiulin CHEN ; Hongxi GU ;
Chinese Journal of General Surgery 2000;0(11):-
Objective To evaluate a new gene therapy for the treatment of experimental occlusive arterial disease Methods Magnetic nanospheres were produced, VEGF gene was cloned for subsequent construction of eukaryotic expression plasmid The magnetic gelatin microspheres used in targeted gene therapy were prepared by emulsion crosslinking method The microspheres were injected intrafemorally in rabbits through contralateral femoral artery, and the ischemic limb was placed in a magnetic field Angiography was performed on day 10 and day 30 respectively The capillary density and the capillary to muscle fiber ratio were determined histochemically Results Compared to the controls there was significant collateral artery development in VEGF transfected group The capillary density and the capillary to muscle fiber ratio were significantly higher for the VEGF transfected group than for the control group. The capillary density of control was (125?23)/mm 2, and in VEGF group was (298?27)/mm 2, P
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