1.Causal relationship between age-related macular degeneration and deep vein thrombosis:analysis based on genome-wide association study data
Hongtao LIU ; Xin WU ; Xinyu JIANG ; Fei SHA ; Qi AN ; Gaobiao LI
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(6):1602-1608
BACKGROUND:Age-related macular degeneration and deep vein thrombosis may share common pathophysiological mechanisms,but there is a lack of direct evidence regarding their relationship.Traditional studies are confounded by confounding factors and reverse causation.OBJECTIVE:To investigate the causal relationship between age-related macular degeneration and deep vein thrombosis based on Mendelian randomization design.METHODS:Through a two-way Mendelian randomization analysis,single nucleotide polymorphisms of exposure and outcomes were obtained from publicly available genome-wide association studies,with deep vein thrombosis data from the FinnGen database in a European population with a sample size of 363 612 and 1 048 575 single nucleotide polymorphisms.In addition,we obtained data on age-related macular degeneration from the IEUOpenGWAS project,also from a European population sample of 105 248 cases covering 11 304 110 single nucleotide polymorphisms.In R4.4.1,we used the TwoSampleMR package(version 0.6.8)to explore the causal effects of exposure factors on outcomes.At the same time,we also conducted a sensitivity analysis via MR-Egger regression,weighted median,weighted model and simple model methods to ensure that the assessment results were robust and reliable.In addition,we used the"heterogeneity"function to test for heterogeneity,and the"horizontal pleiotropy"function and the MR-PRESSO test to further assess horizontal pleotropy.The Cochran's Q test was used to determine whether there was statistical heterogeneity between single nucleotide polymorphisms,and the leave-one-out method was used to assess whether single nucleotide polymorphisms would significantly interfere with Mendelian randomization analysis.Funnel plots were drawn to assess the potential bias of single nucleotide polymorphisms.Forest plots were plotted to show the effect estimates of single nucleotide polymorphisms on exposure and outcomes,and their confidence intervals were plotted.Scatter plots were plotted to evaluate the relationship between the potency of single nucleotide polymorphisms and their causal effect size on outcome estimates.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:Both forward and reverse studies showed that there was no causal association between age-related macular degeneration and the occurrence of deep vein thrombosis(P>0.05).Sensitivity analysis showed that the main analysis results were reliable and robust,with no outliers,heterogeneity,and horizontal pleiotropy,and no single nucleotide polymorphism significantly affected the overall effect estimate.Although it is based on European population data,it has methodological reference value for Chinese biomedical research on complex disease associations.In this field,China can carry out multi-center large-sample studies,accurately analyze the internal links between Chinese population-related diseases,and provide a basis for prevention and treatment strategies and clinical practice.
2.Epidemiological characteristics analysis of tuberculosis among college students in Yangzhou during 2020-2024
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(1):109-112
Objective:
To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) among college students in Yangzhou from 2020 to 2024, so as to provide a scientific basis for developing prevention and control strategies.
Methods:
An epidemiological investigation was conducted among 162 college students with PTB, and 7 134 of their contacts were screened. Data were obtained from the tuberculosis information management system and on campus screening records. Using descriptive epidemiological methods, trends in incidence, seasonal distribution, and bacteriological characteristics were analyzed.
Results:
From 2020 to 2024, the annual average incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis among college students in Yangzhou was 29.42 per 100 000, showing an overall fluctuating downward trend ( χ 2=12.36, P <0.01). Cases were mainly concentrated in summer and autumn, with the highest proportion in autumn (41.36%, 67/162), followed by summer (23.46%, 38/162). The proportion of etiologically positive cases increased from 37.21% in 2020 to 71.43% in 2024; among positive cases, the proportion of latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) decreased from 66.67% (10/15) to 26.67% (4/15). The etiological positive rate was higher in females than in males ( χ 2= 11.76 , P <0.01). Comparison of screening methods showed that among index cases, the LTBI detection rate of the recombinant Mycobacterium tuberculosis fusion protein skin test (C-TST) was higher than that of the tuberculin skin test (TST), but the difference was not statistically significant ( χ 2=0.65, P =0.42); among close contacts, the detection rate of TST was higher than that of C-TST (15.1%,10.1%; χ 2=5.23, P <0.05).
Conclusion
From 2020 to 2024, the annual average incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis among college students in Yangzhou showed an overall fluctuating downward trend, with differences in TB infection screening methods and gender.
3.Epidemiological analysis of a cluster outbreak of pulmonary tuberculosis among grade 12 students from a boaring high school in Chongqing
LEI Rongrong, FENG Xinyu, XIA Siyue, JIANG Chuan, ZHANG Ting, WU Chengguo
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(1):113-116
Objective:
To analyze the process of handling a pulmonary tuberculosis(TB) outbreak among senior high school students in a boarding school in Chongqing, as well as to investigate the underlying causes of the outbreak, so as to provide evidence to inform TB prevention and control strategies in school settings.
Methods:
From November 2023 to April 2024, an epidemiological investigation was conducted into the TB outbreak in a grade 12 class from a boarding high school. Suspected cases were screened using symptom screening, tuberculin skin test (TST), and chest X-ray examinations. Confirmed cases underwent individual epidemiological interviews and sputum culture; Cultured positive mycobacterial strains were subjected to whole genome sequencing after identification as Mycobacterium tuberculosis.
Results:
A total of 10 active pulmonary TB cases were identified, all from the same class, yielding a student attack rate of 16.67%. Three isolates were culture positive, as well as all strains were of L2 type,and the WGS analysis of the strains suggested a common transmission chain. Excluding the index case, four additional cases were detected through symptom driven health care visits. Notably, 70% of patients presented with "chest tightness and chest pain" symptoms, and 50% had "cough" symptoms,but none were detected during morning health checks or tracking of absences due to illness. A total of 326 contacts were identified and underwent three rounds of screening and one follow up examination. In the initial screening, 35 close contacts from the same class showed strong TST positivity, corresponding to a strong positivity rate of 55.56%, significantly higher than the 20.76% observed among casual contacts ( χ 2=29.80, P <0.01). Among the 35 strongly TST positivvity close contacts and five individuals with moderate TST positivity whose induration had increased by ≥10 mm over two years, none received timely preventive treatment initially; five of them were subsequently diagnosed with active TB within three months. Following this, 25 individuals initiated preventive therapy, resulting in a preventive treatment initiation rate of 62.50%. Among TST negative classmates who converted to strong positivity on repeat TST testing at three months, 75.00% started preventive treatment, but only 22.22% completed the full course.
Conclusion
Inadequate implementation of morning health checks and cause tracking for absenteeism due to illness, poorly standardized screening procedures, and delayed preventive treatment may have been key factors contributing to the spread of the outbreak.
4.Mechanism of Taishan Panshisan in Inhibiting Oxidative Stress Injury of Trophoblast Cells by Regulating KEAP1/Nrf2/FoxO3 Signaling Pathway
Yangyang DUAN ; Xianglun JI ; Jiahong CHEN ; Jinghang YANG ; Xinyu XIAO ; Shutao CHEN ; Chaorui LIN ; Fan LIN ; Shu JIANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(10):12-22
ObjectiveTo explore the effect and mechanism of Taishan Panshi powder (TSPSP) on inhibiting oxidative stress injury in human chorionic trophoblast cells (HTR-8/SVneo), and to uelucidate the underlying mechanism of TSPSP in the treatment of spontaneous abortion (SA). MethodsGene differential analysis of SA was performed using the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database and correlated with oxidative stress. Network pharmacology was employed to screen the active components of TSPSP, and a "Chinese medicine-component-target-disease" network was constructed to predict the mechanism of action of TSPSP. For in vitro validation experiments, HTR-8/SVneo cells were divided into blank group, model group, TSPSP-containing serum 2.5%, 5%, 10% groups, and nuclear factor E2-related factor 2 (Nrf2) inhibitor group (ML385, 30 μmol·L-1). Except for the blank group, other groups were stimulated with 150 μmol·L-1 H2O2 for 3 h to establish a cell oxidative stress injury model. After successful modeling, the blank group and model group were given 10% blank serum, each TSPSP-containing serum group was treated with the corresponding concentration of drug-containing serum, and the Nrf2 inhibitor group was additionally given 30 μmol·L-1 ML385 on the basis of 10% TSPSP-containing serum. All groups of cells were continuously cultured under the above conditions for 24 h, and then samples were collected for subsequent detection. Cell viability in each group was detected by CCK-8 assay. Cell migration rate was detected by scratch test. The contents of malondialdehyde (MDA), Fe2+, and Glutathione (GSH) were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Intracellular reactive oxygen species (ROS) level was detected by a fluorescent probe (DCF-DA). The protein and mRNA expression levels of Kelch-like ECH-associated protein 1 (KEAP1), Nrf2, and forkhead box protein O3 (FoxO3) in cells were detected by immunofluorescence (IF) and real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction (Real-time PCR). The protein expression levels of KEAP1, Nrf2, FoxO3, Glutathione peroxidase 4 (GPX4), and superoxide dismutase (SOD) in cells were detected by Western blot. ResultsThe GSE76862 and GSE22490 datasets were obtained from the GEO database. Differential gene analyses showed that the KEAP1, Nrf2, and FoxO3 genes were all associated with the disease. After matching with the oxidative stress pathway, nine significantly differential pathways were identified (P<0.05), among which three contained the target genes Nrf2 and FoxO3. A total of 246 active ingredient targets of TSPSP and 2 804 SA-related targets were obtained through network pharmacology, and 154 potential action targets were obtained after taking the intersection. Topological analysis showed that targets such as KEAP1 and Nrf2 exhibited high degree values. GO and KEGG enrichment analyses indicated that the intersection targets were mainly involved in oxidative stress response, FOXO and MAPK signaling pathways, etc. In in vitro experiments, compared with the blank group, the cell viability in the model group was significantly decreased (P<0.01). Compared with the model group, the cell viability in each TSPSP-containing serum group was significantly increased (P<0.01). Compared with the 10% TSPSP-containing serum group, the cell viability in the ML385 group decreased to approximately 70% (P<0.01). Compared with the blank group, the model group showed significantly increased contents of MDA, Fe2+, and ROS, decreased GSH expression (P<0.01), significantly reduced cell migration rate (P<0.01), and increased protein and mRNA expression levels of KEAP1 and FoxO3 (P<0.01), while decreased protein and mRNA expression levels of Nrf2, GPX4, and SOD (P<0.01). Compared with the model group, each TSPSP-containing serum group showed significantly decreased contents of MDA, Fe²⁺, and ROS, increased GSH expression (P<0.01), significantly increased migration rate (P<0.01), significantly decreased protein and mRNA expression levels of KEAP1 and FoxO3 (P<0.05, P<0.01), and significantly increased protein and mRNA expression levels of Nrf2, GPX4, and SOD (P<0.05, P<0.01). Compared with the 10% TSPSP-containing serum group, the ML385 group showed reversed trends in all indicators (P<0.05, P<0.01). ConclusionTSPSP can inhibit H2O2-induced oxidative stress injury of trophoblast cells, and its mechanism of action may be related to the drug activating the KEAP1/Nrf2/FoxO3 signaling pathway.
5.Mechanism of Taishan Panshisan in Inhibiting Oxidative Stress Injury of Trophoblast Cells by Regulating KEAP1/Nrf2/FoxO3 Signaling Pathway
Yangyang DUAN ; Xianglun JI ; Jiahong CHEN ; Jinghang YANG ; Xinyu XIAO ; Shutao CHEN ; Chaorui LIN ; Fan LIN ; Shu JIANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(10):12-22
ObjectiveTo explore the effect and mechanism of Taishan Panshi powder (TSPSP) on inhibiting oxidative stress injury in human chorionic trophoblast cells (HTR-8/SVneo), and to uelucidate the underlying mechanism of TSPSP in the treatment of spontaneous abortion (SA). MethodsGene differential analysis of SA was performed using the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database and correlated with oxidative stress. Network pharmacology was employed to screen the active components of TSPSP, and a "Chinese medicine-component-target-disease" network was constructed to predict the mechanism of action of TSPSP. For in vitro validation experiments, HTR-8/SVneo cells were divided into blank group, model group, TSPSP-containing serum 2.5%, 5%, 10% groups, and nuclear factor E2-related factor 2 (Nrf2) inhibitor group (ML385, 30 μmol·L-1). Except for the blank group, other groups were stimulated with 150 μmol·L-1 H2O2 for 3 h to establish a cell oxidative stress injury model. After successful modeling, the blank group and model group were given 10% blank serum, each TSPSP-containing serum group was treated with the corresponding concentration of drug-containing serum, and the Nrf2 inhibitor group was additionally given 30 μmol·L-1 ML385 on the basis of 10% TSPSP-containing serum. All groups of cells were continuously cultured under the above conditions for 24 h, and then samples were collected for subsequent detection. Cell viability in each group was detected by CCK-8 assay. Cell migration rate was detected by scratch test. The contents of malondialdehyde (MDA), Fe2+, and Glutathione (GSH) were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Intracellular reactive oxygen species (ROS) level was detected by a fluorescent probe (DCF-DA). The protein and mRNA expression levels of Kelch-like ECH-associated protein 1 (KEAP1), Nrf2, and forkhead box protein O3 (FoxO3) in cells were detected by immunofluorescence (IF) and real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction (Real-time PCR). The protein expression levels of KEAP1, Nrf2, FoxO3, Glutathione peroxidase 4 (GPX4), and superoxide dismutase (SOD) in cells were detected by Western blot. ResultsThe GSE76862 and GSE22490 datasets were obtained from the GEO database. Differential gene analyses showed that the KEAP1, Nrf2, and FoxO3 genes were all associated with the disease. After matching with the oxidative stress pathway, nine significantly differential pathways were identified (P<0.05), among which three contained the target genes Nrf2 and FoxO3. A total of 246 active ingredient targets of TSPSP and 2 804 SA-related targets were obtained through network pharmacology, and 154 potential action targets were obtained after taking the intersection. Topological analysis showed that targets such as KEAP1 and Nrf2 exhibited high degree values. GO and KEGG enrichment analyses indicated that the intersection targets were mainly involved in oxidative stress response, FOXO and MAPK signaling pathways, etc. In in vitro experiments, compared with the blank group, the cell viability in the model group was significantly decreased (P<0.01). Compared with the model group, the cell viability in each TSPSP-containing serum group was significantly increased (P<0.01). Compared with the 10% TSPSP-containing serum group, the cell viability in the ML385 group decreased to approximately 70% (P<0.01). Compared with the blank group, the model group showed significantly increased contents of MDA, Fe2+, and ROS, decreased GSH expression (P<0.01), significantly reduced cell migration rate (P<0.01), and increased protein and mRNA expression levels of KEAP1 and FoxO3 (P<0.01), while decreased protein and mRNA expression levels of Nrf2, GPX4, and SOD (P<0.01). Compared with the model group, each TSPSP-containing serum group showed significantly decreased contents of MDA, Fe²⁺, and ROS, increased GSH expression (P<0.01), significantly increased migration rate (P<0.01), significantly decreased protein and mRNA expression levels of KEAP1 and FoxO3 (P<0.05, P<0.01), and significantly increased protein and mRNA expression levels of Nrf2, GPX4, and SOD (P<0.05, P<0.01). Compared with the 10% TSPSP-containing serum group, the ML385 group showed reversed trends in all indicators (P<0.05, P<0.01). ConclusionTSPSP can inhibit H2O2-induced oxidative stress injury of trophoblast cells, and its mechanism of action may be related to the drug activating the KEAP1/Nrf2/FoxO3 signaling pathway.
6.Research priorities on physical and mental comorbidity among children and adolescents in Zhejiang Province
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(4):498-501
Objective:
To identify research priorities on physical and mental comorbidity among children and adolescents in Zhejiang Province, so as to provide a theoretical base for improving their physical and mental health.
Methods:
In May 2025, 77 experts in the fields of health and education from 11 cities in Zhejiang Province were selected by convenient sampling method to participate in the first round of expert consultation. In June, 2025, snowball sampling was used to expand to 194 experts for the second round of consultation, and it was convenient to select 21 students from primary schools to high schools in Zhejiang Province and 29 parents to empower the evaluation criteria. It applied the Child Health and Nutrition Research Initiative (CHNRI) method in a structured process, which encompassed the definition of the research field, generation of research ideas, scoring, and quantitative ranking of priorities. Research ideas were evaluated against 6 predefined criteria: effectiveness, safety, answerability, feasibility, sustainability, and scientific significance.
Results:
After 2 rounds of structured consultations, 81 research ideas on physical and mental comorbidity among children and adolescents were established and classified into 7 subthemes: epidemiological characteristics and influencing factors, optimization of primary service systems and policies, comprehensive intervention strategies for physical and mental comorbidity, biological mechanisms and clinical research, the impact of education and environment on physical and mental health, special populations and social support, and digital and technology driven disease prevention and intervention. The top 10 research priorities primarily centered on the subdomain of "epidemiological characteristics and influencing factors" (5 items). The top 3 research priorities were "the association between outdoor activity duration and the incidence of common diseases (including mental disorders) among children and adolescents" "the impact of outdoor activity duration on the physical and mental health of adolescents" "comprehensive intervention strategies for myopia, obesity, and their comorbidities among children and adolescents".
Conclusion
The framework of priority issues in the field of psychosomatic comorbidity of children and adolescents in Zhejiang Province based on CHNRI method provides a reference for optimizing the allocation of provincial research resources.
7.Causal relationship between age-related macular degeneration and deep vein thrombosis:analysis based on genome-wide association study data
Hongtao LIU ; Xin WU ; Xinyu JIANG ; Fei SHA ; Qi AN ; Gaobiao LI
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(6):1602-1608
BACKGROUND:Age-related macular degeneration and deep vein thrombosis may share common pathophysiological mechanisms,but there is a lack of direct evidence regarding their relationship.Traditional studies are confounded by confounding factors and reverse causation.OBJECTIVE:To investigate the causal relationship between age-related macular degeneration and deep vein thrombosis based on Mendelian randomization design.METHODS:Through a two-way Mendelian randomization analysis,single nucleotide polymorphisms of exposure and outcomes were obtained from publicly available genome-wide association studies,with deep vein thrombosis data from the FinnGen database in a European population with a sample size of 363 612 and 1 048 575 single nucleotide polymorphisms.In addition,we obtained data on age-related macular degeneration from the IEUOpenGWAS project,also from a European population sample of 105 248 cases covering 11 304 110 single nucleotide polymorphisms.In R4.4.1,we used the TwoSampleMR package(version 0.6.8)to explore the causal effects of exposure factors on outcomes.At the same time,we also conducted a sensitivity analysis via MR-Egger regression,weighted median,weighted model and simple model methods to ensure that the assessment results were robust and reliable.In addition,we used the"heterogeneity"function to test for heterogeneity,and the"horizontal pleiotropy"function and the MR-PRESSO test to further assess horizontal pleotropy.The Cochran's Q test was used to determine whether there was statistical heterogeneity between single nucleotide polymorphisms,and the leave-one-out method was used to assess whether single nucleotide polymorphisms would significantly interfere with Mendelian randomization analysis.Funnel plots were drawn to assess the potential bias of single nucleotide polymorphisms.Forest plots were plotted to show the effect estimates of single nucleotide polymorphisms on exposure and outcomes,and their confidence intervals were plotted.Scatter plots were plotted to evaluate the relationship between the potency of single nucleotide polymorphisms and their causal effect size on outcome estimates.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:Both forward and reverse studies showed that there was no causal association between age-related macular degeneration and the occurrence of deep vein thrombosis(P>0.05).Sensitivity analysis showed that the main analysis results were reliable and robust,with no outliers,heterogeneity,and horizontal pleiotropy,and no single nucleotide polymorphism significantly affected the overall effect estimate.Although it is based on European population data,it has methodological reference value for Chinese biomedical research on complex disease associations.In this field,China can carry out multi-center large-sample studies,accurately analyze the internal links between Chinese population-related diseases,and provide a basis for prevention and treatment strategies and clinical practice.
8.Targeted Therapy for Repeat Expansion Diseases
JOURNAL OF RARE DISEASES 2026;5(2):125-133
Repeat expansion diseases(REDs) are a group of genetic disorders caused by the pathological expansion of specific short tandem repeats(STRs) in genomic DNA. They are characterized by significant clinical and genetic heterogeneity. Owing to the complexity of their pathogenesis, effective treatments remain elusive. With the in-depth analysis of the pathogenesis of these diseases, along with the development and innovation of targeting tools in recent years, targeted therapy strategies have become a research hotspot, and some antisense oligonucleotide drugs have entered the clinical trial stage. This article aims to review the latest advances in basic research and clinical trial outcomes of targeted therapy at the DNA, RNA and protein levels. Currently, this field still faces key bottlenecks including a high risk of off-target effects, low delivery efficiency, and challenges in clinical translation. Future efforts should focus on the optimization and refinement of targeting tools and delivery vectors, as well as multilevel collaborative combination therapeutic strategies.Combined with precise clinical classification and staging, this will promote the fundamental transformation of REDs treatment from symptomatic supportive care to etiological intervention.
9.Construction and Application of DRG Cost Accounting Management System in Public Hospitals
Hua JI ; Qi-wen JIANG ; Xinyu SHI
Chinese Health Economics 2025;44(9):73-79
Objective:To construct a complete cost accounting management system of Diagnosis Related Groups(DRG)in public hospitals and promote the development of high quality public hospitals.Methods:The Cost Accounting Management System of DRG in public hospital was established by taking the cancer hospital as an example,the accounting basis,accounting methods,accounting results analysis and reports,accounting information for a comprehensive and specific construction and interpretation,and generate supporting optimization measures.Results:Representative disease groups was selected from the sample hospitals to carry out the cost accounting and analysis of DRG from various dimensions,and effectively standardized the cost accounting process of departments,medical service items and DRG in the sample hospitals.Conclusion:The construction of DRG Cost Accounting Management System in public hospitals from the aspects of cost accounting target,cost accounting method and process,cost ac-counting analysis and report,cost accounting informationization construction will help to give full play to the utility of DRG cost ac-counting to public hospitals in controlling unreasonable expenditure and improving operation efficiency.
10.Predictive Value of Ultrasound Elastography in Acute Pancreatitis:A Prediction Model for Severe Acute Pancreatitis Based on Controlled Attenuation Parameter
Xinyu WEI ; Miaoyan FAN ; Jiangfeng HU ; Yingying LU ; Qiaoli JIANG ; Sumin CHEN
Chinese Journal of Gastroenterology 2025;30(2):65-72
Background:Acute pancreatitis(AP)is a common disease of the digestive system,among which severe acute pancreatitis(SAP)has a high mortality rate.Finding more accurate and convenient methods for early recognition of SAP is one of the major challenges in clinical treatment.Aims:To explore the application value of the controlled attenuation parameter(CAP)of ultrasound elastography in predicting SAP.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted involving 135 AP patients admitted to Jiading Branch of Shanghai General Hospital from February to October 2024.Patients were categorized into non-SAP and SAP groups according to the severity of the disease.Clinical data,local complications,laboratory indicators,and CAP were compared between the two groups.Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent risk factors for SAP.A SAP prediction model based on CAP was constructed according to the identified risk factors and the minimum Akaike information criterion(AIC).ROC curve and Bootstrap method were used to evaluate the efficacy of the prediction model and conduct internal validation,respectively.Results:There were statistically significant differences between the non-SAP group and SAP group in body mass index(BMI),incidence of hyperlipidemia,etiological composition,incidence of pleural and ascitic fluid,length of hospital stay,incidence of peripancreatic effusion,incidence of pancreatic necrosis,white blood cell count(WBC),D-dimer(D-D)level,blood glucose,triglyceride(TG),C-reactive protein(CRP),neutrophil count,procalcitonin(PCT),interleukin-6(IL-6),free triiodothyronine(FT3),and CAP(all P<0.05).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that pancreatic necrosis(OR=13.39,95%CI:3.10-57.94,P<0.001)and CAP(OR=1.01,95%CI:1.01-1.02,P=0.038)were independent risk factors for SAP.The SAP prediction model based on CAP was formulated as:Logit(P)=-5.884+0.010×CAP+2.839×pancreatic necrosis+0.169×D-D+0.132×blood glucose+0.006×CRP.The model showed an area under the curve(AUC)of 0.834 for predicting SAP,which was superior to CAP alone(P<0.05).Internal validation indicated that the prediction model had high stability and accuracy(C-index=0.808).Conclusions:The prediction model constructed based on CAP has good clinical value for predicting SAP,providing a new perspective and tool for early identification and prognostic assessment of AP.


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