1.Analysis and prediction of globally and Chinese epidemiological trends of inflammatory bowel disease from 1990 to 2021
Xingzhou JIANG ; Chenyang LI ; Honglei ZHOU ; Guoxin ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Digestion 2025;45(4):247-255
Objective:To analyze the changes in the number of patients, incidence, mortality rate, disability-adjusted life year (DALY), years lived with disability (YLD), and years of life lost due to premature mortality (YLL) globally and in China from 1990 to 2021, and to predict future trends in the number of patients and DALY of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) globally and in China.Methods:Descriptive epidemiology was applied. Data on globally and Chinese IBD burden indicators, including prevalence, incidence, mortality, DALY, YLL, and YLD were collected from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 Database from 1990 to 2021, and the trends in the changes and distributions of age and gender were analyzed. The age-standardized rate was standardization based on the world standard population age structure estimated by GBD. Auto-regressive integrated moving average model was used to predict the number of IBD patients and DALY globally and in China from 2022 to 2030.Results:In 1990 and 2021, the global number of IBD patients was 2.170 2 and 3.830 1 million, respectively, while in China which was 62 100 and 168 100, respectively. The global crude incidence rate and age-standardized incidence rate were 3.74/100 000, 4.22/100 000, 4.75/100 000, and 4.45/100 000, respectively. The crude incidence rate and age-standardized incidence rate in China were 0.71/100 000, 0.74/100 000 and 1.75/100 000, 1.40/100 000, respectively. In 1990 and 2021, the global crude mortality rate and age-standardized mortality rate of IBD were 0.40/100 000, 0.60/100 000 and 0.54/100 000, 0.52/100 000, respectively; the crude mortality rate and age-standardized mortality rate in China were 0.37/100 000, 0.75/100 000 and 0.40/100 000, 0.33/100 000, respectively. Compared with those in 1990, the global crude DALY, YLD and YLL of IBD all increased in 2021, which were 1 510.8 thousand person-years vs. 948.9 thousand person-years, 579.2 thousand person-years vs. 330.9 thousand person-years, 931.6 thousand person-years vs. 618.0 thousand person-years; the age-standardized DALY, YLD and YLL all decreased, which were 18.07/100 000 vs. 21.54/100 000, 6.79/100 000 vs. 7.27/100 000, 11.27/100 000 vs. 14.27/100 000, respectively. Compared with those in 1990, the crude YLD and the age-standardized YLD in China both increased (26.9 thousand person-years vs. 10.1 thousand person-years, 1.47/100 000 vs. 0.91/100 000), while the crude DALY, the age-standardized DALY, crude YLL and the age-standardized YLL all decreased (136.9 thousand person-years vs. 162.2 thousand person-years, 7.68/100 000 vs. 18.38/100 000, 110 thousand person-years vs. 152 thousand person-years, 6.21/100 000 vs. 17.47/100 000).From 1990 to 2021, male and female age-standardized incidence and prevalence of IBD were all in upward trend. The difference in the incidence of IBD between males and females was relatively small, and the global age-standardized incidence of IBD in males were slightly higher than those in females, while in China the rates are similar between the two genders. The global and Chinese age-standardized prevalence in females were slightly higher than those in males. From 1990 to 2021, the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) of age-standardized IBD incidence in global and China were 0.24 (95% confidence interval (95% CI): 0.16 to 0.31) and 1.55 (95% CI: 1.25 to 1.86), respectively; the EAPC of age-standardized DALY in global and China were -0.50 (95% CI: -0.58 to -0.41) and -2.71 (95% CI: -2.99 to -2.43), respectively. The age distribution of disease onset shifted towards middle-aged and old population. It was predicted that by 2030, the annual number of new IBD cases in global would increase to 410 100, while in China, it would decrease to 21 184. Furthermore, the global DALY of IBD would increase to 1 670 527 person-year, and in China which would be 140 563 person-year. Conclusions:From 1990 to 2021, the global and Chinese number of patients and the incidence of IBD both sustained increase. The age of IBD onset towards older population. The incidence trend of IBD was aging, with significant gender bias. The global community and China continue to face many severe challenges in IBD.
2.Analysis and prediction of globally and Chinese epidemiological trends of inflammatory bowel disease from 1990 to 2021
Xingzhou JIANG ; Chenyang LI ; Honglei ZHOU ; Guoxin ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Digestion 2025;45(4):247-255
Objective:To analyze the changes in the number of patients, incidence, mortality rate, disability-adjusted life year (DALY), years lived with disability (YLD), and years of life lost due to premature mortality (YLL) globally and in China from 1990 to 2021, and to predict future trends in the number of patients and DALY of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) globally and in China.Methods:Descriptive epidemiology was applied. Data on globally and Chinese IBD burden indicators, including prevalence, incidence, mortality, DALY, YLL, and YLD were collected from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 Database from 1990 to 2021, and the trends in the changes and distributions of age and gender were analyzed. The age-standardized rate was standardization based on the world standard population age structure estimated by GBD. Auto-regressive integrated moving average model was used to predict the number of IBD patients and DALY globally and in China from 2022 to 2030.Results:In 1990 and 2021, the global number of IBD patients was 2.170 2 and 3.830 1 million, respectively, while in China which was 62 100 and 168 100, respectively. The global crude incidence rate and age-standardized incidence rate were 3.74/100 000, 4.22/100 000, 4.75/100 000, and 4.45/100 000, respectively. The crude incidence rate and age-standardized incidence rate in China were 0.71/100 000, 0.74/100 000 and 1.75/100 000, 1.40/100 000, respectively. In 1990 and 2021, the global crude mortality rate and age-standardized mortality rate of IBD were 0.40/100 000, 0.60/100 000 and 0.54/100 000, 0.52/100 000, respectively; the crude mortality rate and age-standardized mortality rate in China were 0.37/100 000, 0.75/100 000 and 0.40/100 000, 0.33/100 000, respectively. Compared with those in 1990, the global crude DALY, YLD and YLL of IBD all increased in 2021, which were 1 510.8 thousand person-years vs. 948.9 thousand person-years, 579.2 thousand person-years vs. 330.9 thousand person-years, 931.6 thousand person-years vs. 618.0 thousand person-years; the age-standardized DALY, YLD and YLL all decreased, which were 18.07/100 000 vs. 21.54/100 000, 6.79/100 000 vs. 7.27/100 000, 11.27/100 000 vs. 14.27/100 000, respectively. Compared with those in 1990, the crude YLD and the age-standardized YLD in China both increased (26.9 thousand person-years vs. 10.1 thousand person-years, 1.47/100 000 vs. 0.91/100 000), while the crude DALY, the age-standardized DALY, crude YLL and the age-standardized YLL all decreased (136.9 thousand person-years vs. 162.2 thousand person-years, 7.68/100 000 vs. 18.38/100 000, 110 thousand person-years vs. 152 thousand person-years, 6.21/100 000 vs. 17.47/100 000).From 1990 to 2021, male and female age-standardized incidence and prevalence of IBD were all in upward trend. The difference in the incidence of IBD between males and females was relatively small, and the global age-standardized incidence of IBD in males were slightly higher than those in females, while in China the rates are similar between the two genders. The global and Chinese age-standardized prevalence in females were slightly higher than those in males. From 1990 to 2021, the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) of age-standardized IBD incidence in global and China were 0.24 (95% confidence interval (95% CI): 0.16 to 0.31) and 1.55 (95% CI: 1.25 to 1.86), respectively; the EAPC of age-standardized DALY in global and China were -0.50 (95% CI: -0.58 to -0.41) and -2.71 (95% CI: -2.99 to -2.43), respectively. The age distribution of disease onset shifted towards middle-aged and old population. It was predicted that by 2030, the annual number of new IBD cases in global would increase to 410 100, while in China, it would decrease to 21 184. Furthermore, the global DALY of IBD would increase to 1 670 527 person-year, and in China which would be 140 563 person-year. Conclusions:From 1990 to 2021, the global and Chinese number of patients and the incidence of IBD both sustained increase. The age of IBD onset towards older population. The incidence trend of IBD was aging, with significant gender bias. The global community and China continue to face many severe challenges in IBD.
3.Epidemiological characteristics of cerebral palsy in twelve province in China
Xiaojie LI ; Hongbin QIU ; Zhimei JIANG ; Wei PANG ; Jin GUO ; Liling ZHU ; Zhihai LYU ; Liping WANG ; Qifeng SUN ; Songpo YAO ; Ying SUN ; Lanmin GUO ; Xingzhou LI
Chinese Journal of Applied Clinical Pediatrics 2018;33(5):378-383
Objective To investigate the epidemiological characteristics of cerebral palsy(CP)in children aged 1-6 years in China,including the incidence,prevalence,type of CP,etiology,prevention and rehabilitation status. Methods The survey was carried out by standard questionnaires,multi-center collaboration,stratified-cluster ran-dom sampling method.The surveyed adopted the following principles:streets in the city and villages in the rural areas, and the number of the urban and rural children was the same,and the proportion of children in each age group was balanced.The investigation areas included provinces and autonomous regions,including Heilongjiang,Beijing,Henan, Shandong,Shanxi,Shaanxi,Anhui,Hunan,Guangxi,Guangdong,Chongqing and Qinghai,and 323 858 children were in-vestigated.Results The incidence of CP was 2.48‰(155/62 591 cases),and the prevalence was 2.46‰(797/323 858 cases)(1-6 years old).The prevalence varied in different regions,in which the highest prevalence was 5. 40‰(54/9 998 cases)in Qinghai province,and the lowest prevalence was 1.04‰(47/45 133 cases)in Shandong province.The prevalence of the males(2.64‰,461/174 391 cases)was higher than that of the females(2.25‰, 336/149 467 cases),and the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).The types of CP were spastic type (58.85%,469/797 cases),mixed type(13.17%,105/797 cases),dyskinetic(9.79%,78/797 cases),hypotonic (8.28%,66/797 cases),ataxia(6.25%,52/797 cases)and rigid(3.39%,27/797 cases)respectively in 797 CP children.The first three risk factors for CP were long -term exposure to harmful physical factors during pregnancy, whether there were birth defects among the three generations of relatives of the children,such as children's peers, parents or grandparents,whether there were birth defects among the children's peers,parents or grandparents,and neonatal jaundice or persistent jaundice.Among 797 CP children,79.67% of the children with CP were timely detected and treated in the local hospitals,while the other 19.93% of them were not timely treated.The places which could give them timely detection and early diagnosis and treatment were general hospitals(42.97%),Maternity and Infant Hospitals (27.03%)and Children's Hospitals(20.31%). The main rehabilitation methods for 797 children with CP were 34.58% in the hospitals or rehabilitation centers,31.61% in the communities(including at home),33.80% mainly in the medical institution,and in the communities they could also receive partially rehabilitation services. Conclusions The prevalence of CP in China is coincident with international levels.The prevalence rate of CP in males is higher than that in females.The types of CP distribution are accorded with international distribution characteristics.There were still some children with CP who could not receive timely detection and treatment.Rehabilitation at the medical institutions is the chief way and proper rehabilitation guidance should be carried out in the communities.
4.RELN Gene Single Nucleotide Polymorphism Related with Clinical Features of Autism
Ying SUN ; Zhaoming SHENG ; Mingyuan LIU ; Limin YANG ; Xingzhou LI ; Zhimei JIANG
Chinese Journal of Rehabilitation Theory and Practice 2011;17(5):411-414
Objective To investigate the relationship between RELN gene single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) and childhood autism in Jiamusi, Heilongjiang. Methods Polymerase chain reaction-restricted fragment length polymorphism (PCR-RFLP) was used to determine allele and genotype of SNP (exon 6) of RELN in 30 children with autism and 30 normal children. Autism Behavior Checklist (ABC) was used to evaluate the children. Results There was a significant difference in the distribution of the allelic frequencies and genotype in exon 6 between these groups (P<0.05). There was a significant difference in the communication factors between patients with genotype of A/A and A/G or A/A and G/G (P<0.05), as well as in the total scores of ABC between A/G and G/G (P<0.05). Conclusion The SNP of RELN (exon 6) associated with the childhood autism. There is a more serious communication disorder in children with genotype of G/G, A/G than that of A/A.
5.Effects of Hip Flection and Extension in Supine Position on Lumbar Traction for Prolapse of Lumbar Intervertebral Disc
Qihai HUA ; Chaomin NI ; Xingzhou YAN ; Zhenyu LI ; Yong JIANG
Chinese Journal of Rehabilitation Theory and Practice 2009;15(2):166-167
Objective To compare the curative effects of lumbar traction in supine position with hip flection and extension for prolapse of lumbar intervertebral disc (PLID).Methods 84 PLID patients were all treated by lumbar traction in supine position. But, group A (42 cases) with hip flection and group B (42 cases) with hip extension. Before and after three weeks therapy, all patients were assessed by Fairbank JC index and Visual Analogue Scales (VAS) to observe the symptom and pain condition.Results The scores of Fairbank JC index and VAS scale of the patients in group A were significantly lower than those in the group B (P<0.001).Conclusion Lumbar traction in supine position with hip flection for the PLID can obviously promote the curative effects.


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