1.Association between the perinatal adverse outcomes in acute fatty liver of pregnancy and intraoperative blood transfusion and its prediction model
Guihua DENG ; Huang HUANG ; Pingping WANG ; Xingyan LONG ; Huixing ZHOU ; Yachun SUN ; Yunping XU
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(6):734-742
Objective: To analyze the association between intraoperative blood transfusion and adverse perinatal outcomes(a composite of maternal death, hepatic encephalopathy, etc) in patients with acute fatty liver of pregnancy (AFLP), identify independent risk factors for these outcomes, and develop and validate a risk prediction model for early identification of high-risk patients. Methods: Clinical data of 56 AFLP patients admitted to our hospital from January 2008 to January 2025 were retrospectively analyzed. The chi-square test was used to compare the incidence of adverse perinatal outcomes between the transfusion group and the non-transfusion group. Univariate and multivariate Firth-penalized logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of adverse outcomes. Based on the identified independent risk factors, a combined prediction model was developed. Internal validation was performed using the Bootstrap method (1 000 resamplings) to assess the model′s generalizability. Model performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curves and calibration curves. Finally, a nomogram for predicting adverse perinatal outcomes in AFLP was constructed. Results: Overall, 57.1%(32/56) of the patients received blood product transfusion during the termination of pregnancy. Multivariate Firth-penalized logistic regression analysis showed that, given the limited sample size, intraoperative blood transfusion had no independent statistical effect on adverse outcomes (OR=0.812, 95%CI:0.133-3.698, P=0.797). Mediation analysis also revealed no significant indirect effect. The independent risk factors were decreased preoperative fibrinogen (OR=14.062, 95%CI:2.389-126.656, P=0.003), pregnancy with infection (OR= 4.536, 95%CI:1.143-22.107, P=0.031), and cesarean section (OR=8.691, 95%CI:1.321-90.081, P=0.023). The combined prediction model achieved an AUC of 0.881 (95% CI:0.793-0.969, P<0.001), indicating good discrimination. At the optimal cut-off value, the sensitivity was 65.6%, specificity 95.8%, positive predictive value 95.5%, and negative predictive value 67.6%. Internal validation by the Bootstrap method showed that the predictive model had good discrimination and no obvious overfitting. The calibration curve demonstrated that the model′s predicted risk was consistent with the actual observed risk. Based on this, an AFLP perinatal adverse outcome nomogram model was constructed. Conclusion: Under the limited sample size of this study, no independent statistical effect of intraoperative blood product infusion on adverse perinatal outcomes in AFLP patients was detected. A multivariate Firth-penalized logistic regression model incorporating decreased preoperative fibrinogen, pregnancy with infection, and cesarean delivery demonstrated good discrimination and calibration. The derived nomogram may serve as an exploratory tool for early risk stratification and proactive intervention.
2.Preliminary Study on Influencing Factors of Textbook Outcome After Minimally Invasive Pancreaticoduodenectomy
Long LI ; Yuan LI ; Weijun QI ; Yuntao BING ; Li ZHANG ; Xingyan WANG ; Lei LI ; Zhaolai MA ; Chunhui YUAN ; Dianrong XIU
Chinese Journal of Minimally Invasive Surgery 2025;25(7):405-410
Objective To investigate influencing factors of textbook outcome(TO)in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma undergoing minimally invasive pancreaticoduodenectomy(MIPD).Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 101 cases of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma treated with MIPD in our hospital from January 2020 to December 2022.According to the inclusion and exclusion criteria,89 cases were ultimately included in this study,of which 61 cases reached TO(TO group)and 28 cases did not reach TO(non-TO group).Variables with P<0.05 in univariate analysis were included in multivariate logistic regression analysis to identify independent prognostic factors of TO.Results Univariate analysis showed that there were significant differences in pancreatic duct dilation>3 mm,preoperative neutrophil lymphocyte ratio(NLR),extended hospital stay,postoperative hospitalstay,and drain fluid amylase(DFA)>1100 U/L at1-3 d aftersurgery(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the independent prognostic factors affecting TO were:pancreatic duct dilation>3 mm(OR=7.290,95%CI:1.485-35.786,P=0.014),postoperative hospital stay(OR=0.862,95%CI:0.751-0.989,P=0.034),and the DFA on the first postoperative day>1100 U/L(OR=0.052,95%CI:0.005-0.545,P=0.014).Conclusions The outcome of TO in patients after MIPD is not related to the surgical approach(robot assisted minimally invasive pancreaticoduodenectomy or laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy).Pancreatic duct dilation>3 mm,postoperative hospital stay,and DFA on the first postoperative day>1100 U/L are independent prognostic factors of TO after MIPD in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.
3.Preliminary Study on Influencing Factors of Textbook Outcome After Minimally Invasive Pancreaticoduodenectomy
Long LI ; Yuan LI ; Weijun QI ; Yuntao BING ; Li ZHANG ; Xingyan WANG ; Lei LI ; Zhaolai MA ; Chunhui YUAN ; Dianrong XIU
Chinese Journal of Minimally Invasive Surgery 2025;25(7):405-410
Objective To investigate influencing factors of textbook outcome(TO)in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma undergoing minimally invasive pancreaticoduodenectomy(MIPD).Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 101 cases of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma treated with MIPD in our hospital from January 2020 to December 2022.According to the inclusion and exclusion criteria,89 cases were ultimately included in this study,of which 61 cases reached TO(TO group)and 28 cases did not reach TO(non-TO group).Variables with P<0.05 in univariate analysis were included in multivariate logistic regression analysis to identify independent prognostic factors of TO.Results Univariate analysis showed that there were significant differences in pancreatic duct dilation>3 mm,preoperative neutrophil lymphocyte ratio(NLR),extended hospital stay,postoperative hospitalstay,and drain fluid amylase(DFA)>1100 U/L at1-3 d aftersurgery(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the independent prognostic factors affecting TO were:pancreatic duct dilation>3 mm(OR=7.290,95%CI:1.485-35.786,P=0.014),postoperative hospital stay(OR=0.862,95%CI:0.751-0.989,P=0.034),and the DFA on the first postoperative day>1100 U/L(OR=0.052,95%CI:0.005-0.545,P=0.014).Conclusions The outcome of TO in patients after MIPD is not related to the surgical approach(robot assisted minimally invasive pancreaticoduodenectomy or laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy).Pancreatic duct dilation>3 mm,postoperative hospital stay,and DFA on the first postoperative day>1100 U/L are independent prognostic factors of TO after MIPD in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

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