1.Development of a nomogram-based risk prediction model for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease incidence in community-dwelling population aged 40 years and above in Shanghai
Yixuan ZHANG ; Yiling WU ; Jinxin ZANG ; Xuyan SU ; Xin YIN ; Jing LI ; Wei LUO ; Minjun YU ; Wei WANG ; Qi ZHAO ; Qin WANG ; Genming ZHAO ; Yonggen JIANG ; Na WANG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(8):669-675
ObjectiveTo develop a nomogram-based risk prediction model for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) incidence among the community-dwelling population aged 40 years old and above, so as to provide targeted references for the screening and prevention of COPD. MethodsBased on a natural population cohort in suburban Shanghai, a total of 3 381 randomly selected participants aged ≥40 years underwent pulmonary function tests between July and October 2021. Cox stepwise regression analysis was used to develop overall and gender-specific risk prediction models, along with the construction of corresponding risk nomograms. Model predictive performance was evaluated using the C-indice, area under the curve (AUC) values, and Brier score. Stability was assessed through 10-fold cross-validation and sensitivity analysis. ResultsA total of 3 019 participants were included, with a median follow-up duration of 4.6 years. The COPD incidence density was 17.22 per 1 000 person-years, significantly higher in males (32.04/1 000 person-years) than that in females (7.38/1 000 person-years) (P<0.001). The overall risk prediction model included the variables such as gender, age, education level, BMI, smoking, passive smoking, and respiratory comorbidities. The male-specific model incorporated the variables such as age, BMI, respiratory comorbidities, and smoking, while the female-specific model included age, marital status, respiratory comorbidities, and pulmonary tuberculosis history. The C-indices for the overall, male-specific, and female-specific models were 0.829, 0.749, and 0.807, respectively. The 5-year AUC values were 0.785, 0.658, and 0.811, with Brier scores of 0.103, 0.176, and 0.059, respectively. Both 10-fold cross-validated C-indices and sensitivity analysis (excluding participants with a follow-up duration of <6 months) yielded C-indices were above 0.740. ConclusionThis study developed concise and practical overall and gender-specific COPD risk prediction models and corresponding nomograms. The models demonstrated robust performance in predicting COPD incidence, providing a valuable reference for identifying high-risk populations and formulating targeted screening and personalized management strategies.
2.Chemical and pharmacological research progress on Mongolian folk medicine Syringa pinnatifolia.
Kun GAO ; Chang-Xin LIU ; Jia-Qi CHEN ; Jing-Jing SUN ; Xiao-Juan LI ; Zhi-Qiang HUANG ; Ye ZHANG ; Pei-Feng XUE ; Su-Yi-le CHEN ; Xin DONG ; Xing-Yun CHAI
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(8):2080-2089
Syringa pinnatifolia, belonging to the family Oleaceae, is a species endemic to China. It is predominantly distributed in the Helan Mountains region of Inner Mongolia and Ningxia of China. The peeled roots, stems, and thick branches have been used as a distinctive Mongolian medicinal material known as "Shan-chen-xiang", which has effects such as suppressing "khii", clearing heat, and relieving pain and is employed for the treatment of cardiovascular and pulmonary diseases and joint pain. Over the past five years, significant increase was achieved in research on chemical constituents and pharmacological effects. There were a total of 130 new constituents reported, covering sesquiterpenoids, lignans, and alkaloids. Its effects of anti-myocardial ischemia, anti-cerebral ischemia/reperfusion, sedation, and analgesia were revealed, and the mechanisms of agarwood formation were also investigated. To better understand its medical value and potential of clinical application, this review updates the research progress in recent five years focusing on the chemical constituents and pharmacological effects of S. pinnatifolia, providing reference for subsequent research on active ingredient and support for its innovative application in modern medicine system.
Medicine, Mongolian Traditional
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Humans
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal/pharmacology*
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Animals
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Syringa/chemistry*
3.Environmental Temperature and the Risk of Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease Transmission in the Yangtze River Region of China.
Yan Qing YANG ; Min CHEN ; Jin LI ; Kai Qi LIU ; Xue Yan GUO ; Xin XU ; Qian LIANG ; Xing Lu WU ; Su Wen LEI ; Jing LI
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(3):290-302
OBJECTIVE:
To assess health equity in the Yangtze River region to improve understanding of the correlation between hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) and socioeconomic factors.
METHODS:
From 2014-2016, data on HFMD incidence, population statistics, economic indicators, and meteorology from 26 cities along the Yangtze River were analyzed. A multi-city random-effects meta-analysis was performed to study the relationship between temperature and HFMD transmission, and health equity was assessed with respect to socio-economic impact.
RESULTS:
Over the study period, 919,458 HFMD cases were reported, with Shanghai (162,303) having the highest incidence and Tongling (5,513) having the lowest. Males were more commonly affected (male-to-female ratio, 1.49:1). The exposure-response relationship had an M-shaped curve, with two HFMD peaks occurring at 4 °C and 26 °C. The relative risk had two peaks at 1.30 °C (1.834, 95% CI: 1.204-2.794) and 31.4 °C (1.143, 95% CI: 0.901-1.451), forming an M shape, with the first peak higher than the second. The most significant impact of temperature on HFMD was observed between -2 °C and 18.1 °C. The concentration index (0.2463) indicated moderate concentration differences, whereas the Theil index (0.0418) showed low inequality in distribution.
CONCLUSION
The incidence of HFMD varied across cities, particularly with changes in temperature. Economically prosperous areas showed higher risks, indicating disparities. Targeted interventions in these areas are crucial for mitigating the risk of HFMD.
Female
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Humans
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Male
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China/epidemiology*
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Cities/epidemiology*
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Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease/transmission*
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Incidence
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Risk Factors
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Temperature
4.Research status on bioactivity of Cecropin A and its derivatives
Jing-Ru CHAO ; Chun-Li SU ; Jin-Qiu MO ; Chun-Miao LI ; Xin LI ; Hong-Li LIAO
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2024;40(19):2905-2908
In recent years,natural antimicrobial peptides have become an important direction in the development of novel antibiotics.Cecropin has the characteristics of wide antibacterial spectrum,good tolerance and low adverse drug reactions.As the first antimicrobial peptide discovered in the family of Cecropin,Cecropin A has many important biological activities.In this paper,the research on the antibacterial,antifungal,antiparasitic and antitumor activities of Cecropin A and its derivatives in recent years was reviewed,and its application prospect was prospected,in order to provide reference for further research and development of cecropin.
5.Effect of phillyrin regulating NLRP3 inflammatory pathway on exudates and lung injury in rats with acute pleurisy
Jianling HAO ; Jingjing XIN ; Jing WANG ; Hong TIAN ; Haitao SU
Tianjin Medical Journal 2024;52(2):161-166
Objective To investigate the impacts of phillyrin on exudates and lung injury in rats with acute pleurisy by regulating the NLRP3 inflammatory pathway.Methods Ninety rats were randomly divided into the control group,the model group,the low-dose phillyrin(PH-L,5 mg/kg)group,the medium-dose phillyrin(PH-M,10 mg/kg)group,the high-dose phillyrin(PH-H,20 mg/kg)group and the NLRP3 pathway inhibitor(PJ34,10 mg/kg)group.FVC,FEV 0.1 and FEV 0.3 were detected by lung function analyzer.Electronic balance was used to weigh the mass of chest exudate.The number of white blood cells in exudate was detected by Wright staining.Contents of prostaglandin E2(PGE2),monocyte chemoattractant protein-1(MCP-1),interleukin(IL)-6 and tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α)in exudate were detected by ELISA.Automatic blood gas analyzer was used to detect p(CO2)and p(O2)of rats.HE staining was used to observe pathological changes of lung tissue.The expression levels of NLRP3 and Caspase-1 protein were detected by immunohistochemistry.Western blot assay was used to detect the expression of NLRP3 pathway protein.Results Compared with the control group,the quality of pleural exudate and the number of white blood cells,the contents of PGE2,MCP-1,IL-6,TNF-α,the expression of p(CO2)and NLRP3 pathway proteins in exudate of the model group increased obviously,FVC,FEV 0.1,FEV 0.3 and p(O2)decreased obviously,and the lung tissue showed obvious pathological damage(P<0.05).Compared with the model group,the quality of pleural exudate and the number of white blood cells,the contents of PGE2,MCP-1,IL-6,TNF-α,the expression of p(CO2),NLRP3 pathway proteins in the exudate of rats decreased obviously in the PH group and the PJ34 group,FVC,FEV 0.1,FEV 0.3 and p(O2)increased obviously,the pathological injury of lung tissue was obviously improved(P<0.05).Compared with the PH-H group,there were no significant differences in the above indexes in the PJ34 group(P>0.05).Conclusion PH can improve lung injury induced by acute pleurisy in rats by inhibiting the activation of NLRP3 pathway and inhibiting inflammatory reaction.
6.Current Research Status and Application Technical Progress of Small Molecule Drug Screening Technology
Ruijun WU ; Weiqi LI ; Yang YANG ; Jing WANG ; Xin ZHANG ; Zihan FANG ; Xiaoyi ZHANG ; Yue SU
Herald of Medicine 2024;43(2):255-261
Small molecule drug screening technology is continuously evolving and expanding along with drug discovery,and the innovation in drug screening technology can improve the research and development efficiency and success rate,shorten the cycle time,and reduce the cost.From traditional screening technologies based on known active compounds and high-throughput screening(HTS)to new technologies such as structure-based drug discovery(SBDD),fragment-based drug discovery(FBDD),DNA encoded compound library(DEL)and proteolysis targeting chimeras(PROTAC),small molecule drug screening technologies are continuously broadening the market potential for small molecule drugs.This article will provide an overview of the current status of small molecule drug screening technology,systematically review each technique along with their advantages and disadvantages,and offer essential insights for the development of new small molecule drug screening technologies.
7.Copy number variations of CCND1 gene and chromosome 11 centromere in acral melanoma
Ruiping GUO ; Leyuan YANG ; Juan DU ; Jianfang ZHAO ; Fang SHI ; Xin ZHANG ; Jing SU
Chinese Journal of Pathology 2024;53(6):557-562
Objective:To study the correlation between the copy number variations of CCND1 gene and chromosome 11 and their associations with clinicopathologic features in acral melanoma.Methods:Thirty-three acral melanoma cases diagnosed at the Department of Pathology of Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China from January 2018 to August 2021 were collected. Fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) was used to detect the copy number of CCND1 gene and centromere of chromosome 11. The relationship between the copy numbers of CCND1 and chromosome 11 centromere, and the correlation between CCND1 copy number and clinicopathologic characteristics were analyzed.Results:There were 15 male and 18 female patients, with an age ranging from 22-86 years. 63.6% (21/33) of the patients had an increased CCND1 gene copy number. 21.2% (7/33) of patients with increased CCND1 copy number had an accompanying chromosome 11 centromere copy number increase. 27.3% (9/33) of the cases had a low copy number of CCND1 gene, and 4 of them (4/33, 12.1%) were accompanied by chromosome 11 centromere copy number increase. 36.4% (12/33) of the cases had a high copy number of CCND1 gene, and 3 (3/33, 9.1%) of them were accompanied by chromosome 11 centromere copy number increase. No cases with CCND1 low copy number increase showed CCND1/CEP11 ratio greater than 2.00. The 11 cases with CCND1 high copy number increase showed CCND1/CEP11 ratio greater than or equal to 2.00. However, there was no significant correlation between CCND1 copy number increase and any of the examined clinicopathologic features such as age, sex, histological type, Breslow thickness, ulcer and Clark level.Conclusions:CCND1 copy number increase is a significant molecular alteration in acral melanoma. In some cases, CCND1 copy number increase may be accompanied by the copy number increase of chromosome 11. For these cases the copy number increase in CCND1 gene may be a result of the copy number change of chromosome 11.
8.Associations of reproductive health indicators with lung function and COPD among female community residents aged 40 years and above in Songjiang District,Shanghai
Xin YIN ; Yi-Ling WU ; Shan-Shan HOU ; Jing LI ; Wei LUO ; Min-Jun YU ; Jin-Xin ZANG ; Wei WANG ; Xu-Yan SU ; Qi ZHAO ; Yin-Feng ZHU ; Gen-Ming ZHAO ; Yong-Gen JIANG ; Qing-Wu JIANG ; Na WANG
Fudan University Journal of Medical Sciences 2024;51(6):882-889
Objective To investigate the associations of reproductive health indicators with lung function and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)among women aged 40 years and above.Methods From Jul to Sep,2021,female subjects aged 40 years and above were randomly selected from the Shanghai Suburban Adult Cohort and Biobank for COPD screening.A questionnaire was used to obtain information on demographic characteristics and reproductive health indicators.Linear regression was used to analyze the effects of reproductive health indicators on forced vital capacity(FVC)and forced expiratory volume in the first second(FEV1).Logistic regression was also used to analyze the effects of reproductive health factors on FVC as a percentage of the predicted value(FVC%Pred)and FEV1%Pred as well as on COPD.Results A total of 1876 women aged 40 years and above were enrolled with mean age of(62.1±8.2)years old,among them,78.1%were menopausal,and 40.9%had been pregnant≥3 times.Multivariate analysis showed that FVC and FEV1 decreased in postmenopausal women,but menopause was not associated with a decrease in their percentage of predicted values.Pregnancies≥3 times was a risk factor for COPD(for 3 times,OR=4.92,95%CI:1.48-19.95,P<0.05;for≥4 times,OR=9.06,95%CI:2.32-41.57,P<0.01),while pregnancies of 2 times did not increase the risk of COPD.Conclusion In women aged 40 years and above,menopause is associated with poorer FVC and FEV1,and excessive pregnancy(≥3 times)is a risk factor for COPD.
9.Multicenter evaluation of the diagnostic efficacy of jaundice color card for neonatal hyperbilirubinemia
Guochang XUE ; Huali ZHANG ; Xuexing DING ; Fu XIONG ; Yanhong LIU ; Hui PENG ; Changlin WANG ; Yi ZHAO ; Huili YAN ; Mingxing REN ; Chaoying MA ; Hanming LU ; Yanli LI ; Ruifeng MENG ; Lingjun XIE ; Na CHEN ; Xiufang CHENG ; Jiaojiao WANG ; Xiaohong XIN ; Ruifen WANG ; Qi JIANG ; Yong ZHANG ; Guijuan LIANG ; Yuanzheng LI ; Jianing KANG ; Huimin ZHANG ; Yinying ZHANG ; Yuan YUAN ; Yawen LI ; Yinglin SU ; Junping LIU ; Shengjie DUAN ; Qingsheng LIU ; Jing WEI
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2024;62(6):535-541
Objective:To evaluate the diagnostic efficacy and practicality of the Jaundice color card (JCard) as a screening tool for neonatal jaundice.Methods:Following the standards for reporting of diagnostic accuracy studies (STARD) statement, a multicenter prospective study was conducted in 9 hospitals in China from October 2019 to September 2021. A total of 845 newborns who were admitted to the hospital or outpatient department for liver function testing due to their own diseases. The inclusion criteria were a gestational age of ≥35 weeks, a birth weight of ≥2 000 g, and an age of ≤28 days. The neonate′s parents used the JCard to measure jaundice at the neonate′s cheek. Within 2 hours of the JCard measurement, transcutaneous bilirubin (TcB) was measured with a JH20-1B device and total serum bilirubin (TSB) was detected. The Pearson′s correlation analysis, Bland-Altman plots and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were used for statistic analysis.Results:Out of the 854 newborns, 445 were male and 409 were female; 46 were born at 35-36 weeks of gestational age and 808 were born at ≥37 weeks of gestational age. Additionally, 432 cases were aged 0-3 days, 236 cases were aged 4-7 days, and 186 cases were aged 8-28 days. The TSB level was (227.4±89.6) μmol/L, with a range of 23.7-717.0 μmol/L. The JCard level was (221.4±77.0) μmol/L and the TcB level was (252.5±76.0) μmol/L. Both the JCard and TcB values showed good correlation ( r=0.77 and 0.80, respectively) and agreements (96.0% (820/854) and 95.2% (813/854) of samples fell within the 95% limits of agreement, respectively) with TSB. The JCard value of 12 had a sensitivity of 0.93 and specificity of 0.75 for identifying a TSB ≥205.2?μmol/L, and a sensitivity of 1.00 and specificity of 0.35 for identifying a TSB ≥342.0?μmol/L. The TcB value of 205.2?μmol/L had a sensitivity of 0.97 and specificity of 0.60 for identifying TSB levels of 205.2 μmol/L, and a sensitivity of 1.00 and specificity of 0.26 for identifying TSB levels of 342.0 μmol/L. The areas under the ROC curve (AUC) of JCard for identifying TSB levels of 153.9, 205.2, 256.5, and 342.0 μmol/L were 0.96, 0.92, 0.83, and 0.83, respectively. The AUC of TcB were 0.94, 0.91, 0.86, and 0.87, respectively. There were both no significant differences between the AUC of JCard and TcB in identifying TSB levels of 153.9 and 205.2 μmol/L (both P>0.05). However, the AUC of JCard were both lower than those of TcB in identifying TSB levels of 256.5 and 342.0 μmol/L (both P<0.05). Conclusions:JCard can be used to classify different levels of bilirubin, but its diagnostic efficacy decreases with increasing bilirubin levels. When TSB level are ≤205.2 μmol/L, its diagnostic efficacy is equivalent to that of the JH20-1B. To prevent the misdiagnosis of severe jaundice, it is recommended that parents use a low JCard score, such as 12, to identify severe hyperbilirubinemia (TSB ≥342.0 μmol/L).
10.Efficacy of different questionnaires in screening COPD in the communities of Songjiang District, Shanghai
Xin YIN ; Yiling WU ; Shanshan HOU ; Jing LI ; Wei LUO ; Minjun YU ; Jinxin ZANG ; Wei WANG ; Xuyan SU ; Qi ZHAO ; Yinfeng ZHU ; Genming ZHAO ; Yonggen JIANG ; Qingwu JIANG ; Na WANG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;36(4):386-392
ObjectiveTo evaluate the efficacy of three screening questionnaires for COPD in the community residents of Songjiang District, Shanghai, and to provide a basis for selecting COPD screening questionnaire and process that are more suitable. MethodsCommunity residents aged 40 years or over were randomly selected from the Shanghai Suburban Adult Cohort and Biobank for the study with screening questionnaires and spirometry. Questionnaires included the COPD screening questionnaire (COPD-SQ), the COPD population screener (COPD-PS) and the revised COPD diagnostic questionnaire (revised-CDQ). Evaluation of the efficacy of these questionnaires was based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the subjects. DeLong test was used to compare the accuracy of different questionnaires; Z test was used to compare the accuracy of different cut-off values for the same questionnaire. ResultsAmong 3 184 community residents, a total of 259 (8.1%) COPD patients were screened by spirometry. AUC values of these 3 screening questionnaires were >0.7 indicating that they were reliable COPD screening tools. The sensitivity and specificity of the questionnaires at the recommended cut-off values were COPD-SQ (63.7% and 72.2%), COPD-PS (12.0% and 96.1%), and revised CDQ (78.8% and 52.7%), with the COPD-SQ having the highest screening accuracy (AUC=0.754). The optimal and recommended cut-off values for the three questionnaires differed in this population, but the difference in accuracy was statistically significant only for COPD-PS. The optimal cut-off values for the three questionnaires differed between male and female, and the sensitivity and accuracy of COPD-SQ and COPD-PS improved when lower cut-off values were used for women. The AUC was greater when two questionnaires were utilized simultaneously for screening, but the differences were not statistically significant. ConclusionThe COPD-SQ is recommended for primary COPD screening; a lower cut-off value for women should be considered. The COPD screening questionnaire needs to be further improved for the early diagnosis and treatment of COPD patients.

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