1.Comparative study of SARIMA and seasonal index model in predicting non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning
Wantong HAN ; Yongqiang ZHANG ; Shichang DU ; Wei WANG ; Kai QU ; Xin HE ; Cixian XU ; Xiumei SUN ; Qiran SUN ; Jinyao ZHANG ; Fan BU ; Xingui SUN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(6):12-16
Objective To establish a prediction model for the occurrence of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning events in Beijing, and to provide scientific basis and theoretical support for the prevention and warning of poisoning events. Methods Based on the monitoring data of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning events in Beijing from 2016 to 2024, the seasonal ARIMA model and seasonal index model were established to analyze the data and predict the occurrence of events. Results Between 2016 and 2024, a total of 436 cases of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning were reported in Beijing, showing a downward trend. The established SARIMA model and seasonal index model were SARIMA (1,0,0) (1,1,0) 12, Yt = (-0.0339t+5.8863) × St, and the average relative errors were 65.42% and 29.19%, respectively. In terms of months, the SARIMA model had better predictive performance during April and summer (June to August), while the seasonal index model was superior in other months. By combining the two models, the predicted number of events in 2025 was as follows: 3, 2, 2, 3, 1, 5, 2, 7, 1, 1, 1, and 2. Conclusion The seasonal index model has the best prediction effect on the non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning events in Beijing throughout the year, and the number of summer events predicted by SARIMA model is closer to the actual values. The two models can be combined to predict the trend of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning, which provides a scientific basis for the prevention and control of carbon monoxide poisoning in the future.
2.Comparison of treatment regimens for unresectable stage III epidermal growth factor receptor ( EGFR ) mutant non-small cell lung cancer.
Xin DAI ; Qian XU ; Lei SHENG ; Xue ZHANG ; Miao HUANG ; Song LI ; Kai HUANG ; Jiahui CHU ; Jian WANG ; Jisheng LI ; Yanguo LIU ; Jianyuan ZHOU ; Shulun NIE ; Lian LIU
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(14):1687-1695
BACKGROUND:
Durvalumab after chemoradiotherapy (CRT) failed to bring survival benefits to patients with epidermal growth factor receptor ( EGFR ) mutations in PACIFIC study (evaluating durvalumab in patients with stage III, unresectable NSCLC who did not have disease progression after concurrent chemoradiotherapy). We aimed to explore whether locally advanced inoperable patients with EGFR mutations benefit from tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) and the optimal treatment regimen.
METHODS:
We searched the PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and ClinicalTrials.gov databases from inception to December 31, 2022 and performed a meta-analysis based on a Bayesian framework, with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) as the primary endpoints.
RESULTS:
A total of 1156 patients were identified in 16 studies that included 6 treatment measures, including CRT, CRT followed by durvalumab (CRT-Durva), TKI monotherapy, radiotherapy combined with TKI (RT-TKI), CRT combined with TKI (CRT-TKI), and TKI combined with durvalumab (TKI-Durva). The PFS of patients treated with TKI-containing regimens was significantly longer than that of patients treated with TKI-free regimens (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.37, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.20-0.66). The PFS of TKI monotherapy was significantly longer than that of CRT (HR = 0.66, 95% CI, 0.50-0.87) but shorter than RT-TKI (HR = 1.78, 95% CI, 1.17-2.67). Furthermore, the PFS of RT-TKI or CRT-TKI were both significantly longer than that of CRT or CRT-Durva. RT-TKI ranked first in the Bayesian ranking, with the longest OS (60.8 months, 95% CI = 37.2-84.3 months) and the longest PFS (21.5 months, 95% CI, 15.4-27.5 months) in integrated analysis.
CONCLUSIONS:
For unresectable stage III EGFR mutant NSCLC, RT and TKI are both essential. Based on the current evidence, RT-TKI brings a superior survival advantage, while CRT-TKI needs further estimation. Large randomized clinical trials are urgently needed to explore the appropriate application sequences of TKI, radiotherapy, and chemotherapy.
REGISTRATION
PROSPERO; https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/ ; No. CRD42022298490.
Humans
;
Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/therapy*
;
ErbB Receptors/genetics*
;
Lung Neoplasms/drug therapy*
;
Mutation/genetics*
;
Protein Kinase Inhibitors/therapeutic use*
;
Chemoradiotherapy
;
Antibodies, Monoclonal/therapeutic use*
3.Coronary artery stenosis associated with right ventricular dysfunction in acute pulmonary embolism: A case-control study.
Yuejiao MA ; Jieling MA ; Dan LU ; Yinjian YANG ; Chao LIU ; Liting WANG ; Xijie ZHU ; Xianmei LI ; Chunyan CHENG ; Sijin ZHANG ; Jiayong QIU ; Jinghui LI ; Mengyi LIU ; Kai SUN ; Xin JIANG ; Xiqi XU ; Zhi-Cheng JING
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(16):2028-2036
BACKGROUND:
The potential impact of pre-existing coronary artery stenosis (CAS) on right ventricular (RV) function during acute pulmonary embolism (PE) episodes remains underexplored. This study aimed to investigate the association between pre-existing CAS and RV dysfunction in patients with acute PE.
METHODS:
In this multicenter, case-control study, 89 cases and 176 controls matched for age were enrolled at three study centers (Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Fuwai Hospital, and the Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University) from January 2016 to December 2020. The cases were patients with acute PE with CAS, and the controls were patients with acute PE without CAS. Coronary artery assessment was performed using coronary computed tomographic angiography. CAS was defined as ≥50% stenosis of the lumen diameter in any coronary vessel >2.0 mm in diameter. Conditional logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the association between CAS and RV dysfunction.
RESULTS:
The percentages of RV dysfunction (19.1% [17/89] vs. 44.6% [78/176], P <0.001) and elevated systolic pulmonary artery pressure (sPAP) (19.3% [17/89] vs. 39.5% [68/176], P = 0.001) were significantly lower in the case group than those in the control group. In the multivariable logistic regression model, CAS was independently and negatively associated with RV dysfunction (adjusted odds ratio [OR]: 0.367; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.185-0.728; P = 0.004), and elevated sPAP (OR: 0.490; 95% CI: 0.252-0.980; P = 0.035), respectively.
CONCLUSIONS
Pre-existing CAS was significantly and negatively associated with RV dysfunction and elevated sPAP in patients with acute PE. This finding provides new insights into RV dysfunction in patients with acute PE with pre-existing CAS.
Humans
;
Pulmonary Embolism/complications*
;
Case-Control Studies
;
Male
;
Ventricular Dysfunction, Right/physiopathology*
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Coronary Stenosis/complications*
;
Logistic Models
;
Adult
4.Mechanisms of mitochondrial dynamics in ischemic stroke and therapeutic strategies.
Xin-Yue ZHENG ; Ming ZHANG ; Kai-Qi SU ; Zhi-Min DING
Acta Physiologica Sinica 2025;77(3):523-533
As a common neurological disease in China, stroke has an extremely high rate of death and disability, of which 80% is ischemic stroke (IS), causing a serious burden to individuals and society. Neuronal death is an important factor in the pathogenesis of stroke. Studies have shown that mitochondrial dynamics, as a key mechanism regulating intracellular energy metabolism and cell death, plays an important role in the pathogenesis of IS. In recent years, targeting mitochondrial dynamics has become an emerging therapeutic tool to improve neurological impairment after stroke. This paper reviews the research advance in recent years in IS mitochondrial dynamics, summarizing and discussing the overview of mitochondrial dynamics, the role of mitochondrial dynamics in IS, and the studies on mitochondrial dynamics-based treatment of IS. This paper helps to explore the mechanism of the role of mitochondrial dynamics in IS and effective interventions, and provides a theoretical strategy for targeting mitochondrial dynamics to treat IS in the clinic.
Humans
;
Mitochondrial Dynamics/physiology*
;
Ischemic Stroke/metabolism*
;
Mitochondria/physiology*
;
Animals
;
Brain Ischemia/physiopathology*
;
Energy Metabolism
5.Saltwater stir-fried Plantaginis Semen alleviates renal fibrosis by regulating epithelial-mesenchymal transition in renal tubular cells.
Xin-Lei SHEN ; Qing-Ru ZHU ; Wen-Kai YU ; Li ZHOU ; Qi-Yuan SHAN ; Yi-Hang ZHANG ; Yi-Ni BAO ; Gang CAO
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(5):1195-1208
This study aimed to investigate the effect of saltwater stir-fried Plantaginis Semen(SPS) on renal fibrosis in rats and decipher the underlying mechanism. Thirty-six Sprague-Dawley rats were randomly assigned into control, model, losartan potassium, and low-, medium-, and high-dose(15, 30, and 60 g·kg~(-1), respectively) SPS groups. Rats in other groups except the control group were subjected to unilateral ureteral obstruction(UUO) to induce renal fibrosis, and the modeling and gavage lasted for 14 days. After 14 consecutive days of treatment, the levels of serum creatinine(Scr) and blood urea nitrogen(BUN) in rats of each group were determined by an automatic biochemical analyzer. Hematoxylin-eosin(HE) and Masson staining were used to evaluate pathological changes in the renal tissue. Western blot and immunofluorescence assay were conducted to determine the protein levels of fibronectin(FN), collagen Ⅰ, vimentin, and α-smooth muscle actin(α-SMA) in the renal tissue. The mRNA levels of epithelial-mesenchymal transition(EMT)-associated transcription factors including twist family bHLH transcription factor 1(TWIST1), snail family transcriptional repressor 1(SNAI1), and zinc finger E-box binding homeobox 1(ZEB1), as well as inflammatory cytokines such as interleukin-1β(IL-1β), interleukin-6(IL-6), and tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α), were determined by RT-qPCR. Human renal proximal tubular epithelial(HK2) cells exposed to transforming growth factor-β(TGF-β) for the modeling of renal fibrosis were used to investigate the inhibitory effect of SPS on EMT. Network pharmacology and Western blot were employed to explore the molecular mechanism of SPS in alleviating renal fibrosis. The results showed that SPS significantly reduced Scr and BUN levels and alleviated renal injury and collagen deposition in UUO rats. Moreover, SPS notably down-regulated the protein levels of FN, collagen Ⅰ, vimentin, and α-SMA as well as the mRNA levels of SNAI1, ZEB1, TWIST1, IL-1β, IL-6, and TNF-α in the kidneys of UUO rats and TGF-β-treated HK-2 cells. In addition, compared with Plantaginis Semen without stir-frying with saltwater, SPS showed increased content of specific compounds, which were mainly enriched in the mitogen-activated protein kinase(MAPK) signaling pathway. SPS significantly inhibited the phosphorylation of extracellular signal-regulated kinase(ERK) and p38 MAPK in the kidneys of UUO rats and TGF-β-treated HK2 cells. In conclusion, SPS can alleviate renal fibrosis by attenuating EMT through inhibition of the MAPK signaling pathway.
Animals
;
Epithelial-Mesenchymal Transition/drug effects*
;
Rats, Sprague-Dawley
;
Male
;
Rats
;
Fibrosis/genetics*
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/administration & dosage*
;
Kidney Diseases/pathology*
;
Kidney Tubules/pathology*
;
Humans
6.Evidence mapping of clinical research on traditional Chinese medicine in treatment of renal anemia.
Ke-Xin ZHANG ; Xin LI ; Kai-Li CHEN ; Peng-Tao DONG ; Lu-Yao SHI ; Lin-Qi ZHANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(12):3413-3422
Through evidence mapping, this paper systematically summarized the research evidence on the use of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) in treating renal anemia, displaying the distribution of evidence in this field. A systematic search was conducted across databases, including CNKI, Wanfang, VIP, SinoMed, Springner, PubMed, Engineering Village, and Web of Science, targeting studies published up to June 30, 2024. The research evidence was summarized and displayed through a combination of graphs, tables, and text. A total of 264 interventional studies, 37 observational studies, and 7 systematic reviews were included. The annual publication volumes related to TCM treatment in renal anemia showed an overall upward trend, with most studies involving sample sizes between 60 and 120 participants(224 articles, 74.42%). Intervention measures were categorized into 21 types, with oral TCM decoctions being the most common medicine(171 times, 56.81%). The use of self-made prescriptions was the most common TCM intervention method. The intervention duration was mainly between 8 weeks and 3 months(239 articles, 79.40%). The most frequently reported TCM syndrome was spleen and kidney Qi deficiency. The top 2 outcome indicators were the anemia indicators and renal injury/renal function markers. However, several issues were identified in these studies, such as insufficient attention to the sources, social/geographical information, and temporal continuity of research subjects in observational research. Randomized controlled trials mostly had a high risk of bias, mainly due to issues such as randomization bias, blinding bias, and failure to register research protocols. The methodology quality of systematic reviews was generally low, mainly due to inadequate inclusion of literature, failure to specify funding sources, and lack of pre-registrations. While the report quality of systematic review was acceptable, there were significant gaps in the reporting of protocols, registration, and funds. The results show that these issues affect the quality of research and the reliability of findings on TCM in treating renal anemia, underscoring the need to address them to conduct higher-quality research and provide more reliable medical evidence for TCM in treating renal anemia.
Humans
;
Anemia/drug therapy*
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/therapeutic use*
;
Medicine, Chinese Traditional
;
Kidney Diseases/drug therapy*
7.Effect of Wenpi Pills on lipid metabolism in mice with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease induced by various diets.
Chen-Fang ZHANG ; Kai LIU ; Chao-Wen FAN ; Mei-Ting TAI ; Xin ZHANG ; Rong ZHANG ; Qin-Wen CHEN ; Zun-Li KE
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(10):2730-2739
The aim of this study was to investigate the improvement effect of Wenpi Pills(WPP) on non-alcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD). The experiment was divided into two parts, using C57BL/6 mouse models induced by a high-fat diet(HFD) and a methionine and choline deficiency diet(MCD). The HFD-induced experiment lasted for 16 weeks, while the MCD-induced experiment lasted for 6 weeks. Mice in both parts were divided into four groups: control group, model group, low-dose WPP group(3.875 g·kg~(-1), WPP_L), and high-dose WPP group(15.5 g·kg~(-1), WPP_H). After sample collection from the HFD-induced mice, lipid content in the serum and liver, liver function indexes in the serum, and hepatic pathology were examined. Real-time fluorescent quantitative reverse transcription PCR(qRT-PCR) was used to detect the expression of lipid-related genes. After sample collection from the MCD-induced mice, serum liver function indexes and inflammatory factors were measured, and hepatic pathology and lipid changes were analyzed by hematoxylin-eosin(HE) staining and widely targeted lipidomic profiling, respectively. The results from the HFD-induced experiment showed that, compared with the HFD group, WPP administration significantly reduced the levels of aspartate aminotransferase(AST), alanine aminotransferase(ALT), triglyceride(TG), and total cholesterol(TC) in the serum, with the WPP_H group showing the most significant improvement. HE staining results indicated that, compared with the HFD group, WPP treatment improved the morphology of white adipocytes, reducing their size, and alleviated hepatic steatosis and lipid droplet accumulation. The qRT-PCR results suggested that WPP might increase the mRNA expression of liver cholesterol-converting genes, such as liver X receptor α(LXRα) and cytochrome P450 family 27 subfamily A member 1(CYP27A1), as well as lipid consumption genes like peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor α(PPARα) and adenosine mono-phosphate-activated protein kinase(AMPK). Meanwhile, WPP decreased the mRNA expression of lipid synthesis genes, including fatty acid synthetase(FAS), stearoyl-CoA desaturase 1(SCD1), and sterol regulatory element-binding protein 1c(SREBP-1c), thereby reducing liver lipid accumulation. The results from the MCD-induced experiment showed that, compared with the MCD group, WPP administration reduced the levels of ALT, AST, and inflammatory factors in the serum, thereby alleviating liver injury and the inflammatory response. HE staining of liver tissue indicated that WPP effectively improved hepatic steatosis. Non-targeted lipidomics analysis showed that WPP improved lipid metabolism disorders in the liver, mainly by affecting the metabolism of TG and cholesterol esters. In conclusion, WPP can improve hepatic lipid accumulation in NAFLD mice induced by both HFD and MCD. This beneficial effect is primarily achieved by alleviating liver injury and inflammation, as well as regulating lipid metabolism.
Animals
;
Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease/genetics*
;
Lipid Metabolism/drug effects*
;
Mice
;
Mice, Inbred C57BL
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/administration & dosage*
;
Male
;
Diet, High-Fat/adverse effects*
;
Liver/drug effects*
;
Humans
;
Disease Models, Animal
;
Methionine
8.Effectiveness of anatomical major nail implant guide in the treatment of senile intertrochanteric fracture with proximal femoral nail antirotation.
Yu-Xin YANG ; Shun-Li XU ; Xin WANG ; Cheng-Qi ZHANG ; Kai GUAN
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2025;38(7):668-675
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the application effect of self-developed anatomical main nail insertion guide in proximal femoral nail antirotation (PFNA) internal fixation for the treatment of intertrochanteric fractures (IFF) in elderly patients.
METHODS:
A retrospective analysis was performed on 62 patients with AO31-A2 intertrochanteric fractures who underwent PFNA surgery and met the inclusion criteria from January 2022 to December 2024. They were divided into the conventional PFNA insertion group (conventional operation group) and the anatomical main nail insertion guide-assisted PFNA insertion group(guide group). The conventional operation group (PFNA) included 31 patients, 14 males and 17 females, the age ranged from 64 to 90 with an average of (75.2±11.6) years old;the guide group (PFNA) included 31 patients, 10 males and 21 females, the age ranged fron 67 to 97 with an average of (78.6±13.4) years old. The incision length of the main nail entry, the number of fluoroscopies from satisfactory reduction to before main nail insertion, operation time, intraoperative blood loss, 3-day postoperative VAS score, postoperative hip function Harris score, complications, etc. were observed and compared between the two groups.
RESULTS:
All patients were followed up for a period ranging from 4 to 12 months, with an average follow-up duration of (6.8±1.6) months. Compared with the guide group, the conventional operation group showed significant differences in the following parameters:the entrance length of the main screw was (6.74±3.77) cm vs. (5.13±1.31) cm, the number of fluoroscopies before the insertion of the main screw was (10.32±3.08) times vs. (7.71±2.41) times, the operation time was (150.45±53.47) minutes vs. (127.48±30.37) minutes, and the intraoperative blood loss was (196.77±121.06) ml vs. (140.97±86.00) ml, with P<0.05 indicating statistical significance.There was no statistically significant difference in 3-day postoperative VAS between the two groups (P>0.05). There was a statistically significant difference in the Harris scores between the conventional operation group and the guided operation group one month post-surgery (60.61±6.60) vs. (65.48±5.19) points (P<0.05). and there was no statistically significant difference in hip Harris scores between the two groups at 3 months after operation (P>0.05). During the 3-month follow-up after operation, neither group had incision infection, screw loosening, cutting, pressure sores, deep vein thrombosis, etc., and there was no statistically significant difference in the complication rate between the two groups.
CONCLUSION
It is quickly and accurately to implant PFNA assisted by the anatomical major nail implant guide in treatment of osteoporotic intertrochanteric fracture in the elderly.Compared with the traditional operation, it can shorten the operation time and reduce the surgical and X-ray trauma, and beneficial to the rapid rehabilitation of patients.
Humans
;
Male
;
Female
;
Aged
;
Hip Fractures/surgery*
;
Bone Nails
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Middle Aged
;
Fracture Fixation, Intramedullary/instrumentation*
;
Fracture Fixation, Internal/instrumentation*
9.Clinical efficacy of microscopic varicocelectomy versus laparoscopic varicocelectomy in the treatment of varicocele with male infertility.
Yu PAN ; Ling FU ; Xiao-Jing GUO ; Wen-Xin LI ; Lin QIAN ; Lei YU ; Hong-Qiang WANG ; Kai-Shu ZHANG ; Shen-Qian LI ; Qiang LI ; Pei-Tao WANG ; Han-Shu WANG ; Tao JING
National Journal of Andrology 2025;31(4):333-337
OBJECTIVE:
To compare the clinical efficacy between microscopic varicocelectomy and laparoscopic varicocelectomy in the treatment of varicocele(VC)with male infertility.
METHODS:
A total of 307 patients who were diagnosed with VC complicated with male infertility and admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University from October 2018 to October 2022 were recruited for retrospective analysis. The patients were divided into the microscopic group (180 cases) and laparoscopic group (127 cases) according to the surgery method. The pre- and postoperative clinical data of these two groups were analyzed, including the degree of dilatation and reflux time of internal spermatic vein,hemodynamic parameters of testicular capsular artery,proportion of progressive motility spermatozoa (PR), concentration of spermatozoa, proportion of normal morphology sperm,the pregnancy outcome of spouses and the incidence of complications related with surgery within 2 years postoperatively.
RESULTS:
All the surgeries for the 307 patients in this study were successful. There was no significant difference in operation time, hospitalization time and management expenses between the microscopic group and the laparoscopic group (P>0.05). Compared to the patients in laparoscopic group, the patients in the microscopic group received a better improvement in venous diameter, reflux time of spermatic veins and hemodynamic parameters of testicular capsular artery (P<0.05). Moreover, the semen analysis showed that the PR, spermatozoa concentration and proportion of normal morphology sperm in the microscopic group were also obviously increased than those in the laparoscopic group (P<0.05). During the 2-year follow-up period, the conception rate of spouses in the microscopic group was 67.2%, while only 47.2% in the laparoscopic group, in which the difference was statistically significant (P<0.05). Besides, the time-to-pregnancy ( TTP ) within 2 years postoperatively in the microscopic group was significantly shorter than that in the laparoscopic group(P<0.05). Meanwhile, the incidence of adverse pregnancy outcomes in the microscopic group was also significantly lower than that in the laparoscopic group (P<0.05). It is worth mentioned that the spontaneous conception rate of spouses with successful pregnancy in the microscopic group was also significantly higher than that in the laparoscopic group (P<0.05). Severe complication such as testicular atrophy, bleeding and infection did not appear in both of two groups. However, the incidences of testicular hydrocele and recurrence of VC postoperatively in the laparoscopic group were significantly higher than those in the microscopic group (P<0.05).
CONCLUSION
Both microscopic varicocelectomy and laparoscopic varicocelectomy can be applied to the management of VC combined with male infertility. But microscopic varicocelectomy showed better clinical efficacy in improving the testicular hemodynamic parameters, semen quality, pregnancy outcome and postoperative complications, which is worthy of further clinical applications.
Humans
;
Male
;
Varicocele/complications*
;
Laparoscopy
;
Infertility, Male/etiology*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Adult
;
Microsurgery
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Pregnancy
;
Female
10.Predictive value of bpMRI for pelvic lymph node metastasis in prostate cancer patients with PSA≤20 μg/L.
Lai DONG ; Rong-Jie SHI ; Jin-Wei SHANG ; Zhi-Yi SHEN ; Kai-Yu ZHANG ; Cheng-Long ZHANG ; Bin YANG ; Tian-Bao HUANG ; Ya-Min WANG ; Rui-Zhe ZHAO ; Wei XIA ; Shang-Qian WANG ; Gong CHENG ; Li-Xin HUA
National Journal of Andrology 2025;31(5):426-431
Objective: The aim of this study is to explore the predictive value of biparametric magnetic resonance imaging(bpMRI)for pelvic lymph node metastasis in prostate cancer patients with PSA≤20 μg/L and establish a nomogram. Methods: The imaging data and clinical data of 363 patients undergoing radical prostatectomy and pelvic lymph node dissection in the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from July 2018 to December 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression were used to screen independent risk factors for pelvic lymph node metastasis in prostate cancer, and a nomogram of the clinical prediction model was established. Calibration curves were drawn to evaluate the accuracy of the model. Results: Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed extrocapusular extension (OR=8.08,95%CI=2.62-24.97, P<0.01), enlargement of pelvic lymph nodes (OR=4.45,95%CI=1.16-17.11,P=0.030), and biopsy ISUP grade(OR=1.97,95%CI=1.12-3.46, P=0.018)were independent risk factors for pelvic lymph node metastasis. The C-index of the prediction model was 0.834, which indicated that the model had a good prediction ability. The actual value of the model calibration curve and the prediction probability of the model fitted well, indicating that the model had a good accuracy. Further analysis of DCA curve showed that the model had good clinical application value when the risk threshold ranged from 0.05 to 0.70.Conclusion: For prostate cancer patients with PSA≤20 μg/L, bpMRI has a good predictive value for the pelvic lymph node metastasis of prostate cancer with extrocapusular extension, enlargement of pelvic lymph nodes and ISUP grade≥4.
Humans
;
Male
;
Prostatic Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging*
;
Lymphatic Metastasis
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Nomograms
;
Prostate-Specific Antigen/blood*
;
Lymph Nodes/pathology*
;
Pelvis
;
Predictive Value of Tests
;
Prostatectomy
;
Lymph Node Excision
;
Risk Factors
;
Magnetic Resonance Imaging
;
Logistic Models
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged


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