1.Epidemiological analysis of bloodstream isolates in hematology departments across Guangdong, 2020-2024
Yexin LIN ; Ximing CHEN ; Yan ZHANG ; Jiong WANG ; Wenwen LIANG ; Qinhong XIE ; Hualiang CHEN ; Qiuxue DENG ; Xu YANG ; Ningjing LIU ; Yijing WANG ; Mingxin LI ; Yangjin CHEN ; Yating ZHAO ; Nanhao HE ; Jiakang CHEN ; Shunian XIAO ; Chao ZHUO
Chinese Journal of Hematology 2025;46(6):521-529
Objective:To investigate the pathogen distribution, temporal trends in the rates of antimicrobial resistance, and susceptibility of bloodstream isolates and comparatively explore the epidemiological characteristics of bloodstream infections in hematology departments across 56 healthcare facilities in Guangdong Province from 2020 to 2024.Methods:A multicenter analysis was conducted to evaluate the constituent ratio of different pathogens isolated from clinical isolate data from bloodstream specimens in hematology, respiratory, and intensive care unit (ICU) departments across 56 healthcare facilities in Guangdong Province (2020-2024), and antimicrobial resistance trends in pathogens with high-detection rate over 5 years were assessed. Carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative organisms (CRO) were randomly sampled for carbapenemase gene detection and in vitro antimicrobial susceptibility tests with novel antimicrobial agents.Results:From 2020 to 2024, a total of 8 968, 6 440, and 25 511 bloodstream isolates were identified in the hematology, respiratory, and ICU departments, respectively, across 56 participating facilities in Guangdong Province, with significant differences in the pathogen constituent ratio among departments ( P<0.001). Notably, the hematology department demonstrated a predominance of Escherichia coli (24.1%), Klebsiella pneumoniae (17.5%), Pseudomonas aeruginosa (11.7%), coagulase-negative Staphylococci (15.2%), and Staphylococcus aureus (5.1%). In the resistance analysis, the rates of meropenem resistance of Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumonia increased from 6.7% and 5.8% (2020) to 14.0% and 15.8% (2024), respectively. Conversely, Pseudomonas aeruginosa exhibited a declining trend in the rate of meropenem resistance (6.2% to 1.9%) and imipenem (10.2% to 6.1%) during the same period. Acinetobacter baumannii demonstrated a biphasic resistance pattern to common antimicrobial agents, characterized by an initial decline, followed by a rebound. In this study, the susceptibility rates to conventional antimicrobial agents were significantly higher in Staphylococcus aureus versus coagulase-negative Staphylococci, with no glycopeptide- or linezolid-resistant strains detected. Notably, the prevalence of vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus faecium increased from 0 in 2020 to 23.1% in 2024. CRO carbapenemase phenotypes through active surveillance revealed that 80% Escherichia coli isolates were carrying blaNDM, 90% Klebsiella pneumoniae isolates were carrying blaKPC, 10% Pseudomonas aeruginosa isolates were carrying blaVIM, and 100% Acinetobacter baumannii were carrying blaOXA-23. The results of the antimicrobial susceptibility test in CRO revealed that carbapenem-resistant Escherichia coli (CRECO) demonstrated a 0 resistance rate to tigecycline, polymyxin B, and aztreonam/avibactam, whereas carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae exhibited a 0 resistance rate to aztreonam/avibactam, ceftazidime/avibactam, and imipenem/relebactam. Carbapenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa exhibited a 95.0% susceptibility rate to amikacin and polymyxin B, with a 45.0% resistance rate to ceftazidime/avibactam. In contrast, carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii demonstrated complete susceptibility (100.0%) to sulbactam/durlobactam (MIC90=2 μg/ml), whereas eravacycline showed MIC50 and MIC90 values of 1 and 2 μg/ml, respectively. Conclusion:The pathogen constituent ratio of bloodstream isolates differed significantly among hematology, respiratory, and ICU departments. Notably, although CRO exhibited an escalating prevalence, it sustained high susceptibility to novel antimicrobial agents.
2.Guideline for diagnosis and treatment of infection after internal fixation of closed lower limb fractures in adults (version 2025)
Bobin MI ; Faqi CAO ; Weixian HU ; Wu ZHOU ; Chenchen YAN ; Hui LI ; Yun SUN ; Yuan XIONG ; Jinmi ZHAO ; Qikai HUA ; Xinbao WU ; Xieyuan JIANG ; Dianying ZHANG ; Zhongguo FU ; Dankai WU ; Guangyao LIU ; Guodong LIU ; Tengbo YU ; Jinhai TAN ; Xi CHEN ; Fengfei LIN ; Zhangyuan LIN ; Dongfa LIAO ; Aiguo WANG ; Shiwu DONG ; Gaoxing LUO ; Zhao XIE ; Dong SUN ; Dehao FU ; Yunfeng CHEN ; Changqing ZHANG ; Kun LIU ; Deye SONG ; Yongjun RUI ; Fei WU ; Ximing LIU ; Junwen WANG ; Meng ZHAO ; Biao CHE ; Bing HU ; Chengjian HE ; Guanglin WANG ; Xiao CHEN ; Guandong DAI ; Shiyuan FANG ; Wenchao SONG ; Ming CHEN ; Guanghua GUO ; Yongqing XU ; Lei YANG ; Wenqian ZHANG ; Kun ZHANG ; Xin TANG ; Hua CHEN ; Weiguo XU ; Shuquan GUO ; Yong LIU ; Xiaodong GUO ; Zhewei YE ; Liming XIONG ; Tian XIA ; Hongbin WU ; Qisheng ZHOU ; Mengfei LIU ; Yiqiang HU ; Yanjiu HAN ; Hang XUE ; Kangkang ZHA ; Wei CHEN ; Zhiyong HOU ; Bin YU ; Jiacan SU ; Peifu TANG ; Baoguo JIANG ; Guohui LIU
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2025;41(5):421-432
Postoperative infection of internal fixation of closed fractures the lower limbs in adults represents a devastating complication, characterized by diagnostic challenges, prolonged treatment duration and high disability rates. Current management of these infections faces multiple challenges, such as difficulties in early accurate diagnosis, and various controversies about the treatment plan, leading to poor overall diagnosis and treatment results. To address these issues, based on evidence-based medicine and principles with emphasis on scientific rigor, clinical applicability and innovation, the Trauma Branch of the Chinese Medical Association, Orthopedic Branch of the Chinese Medical Doctor Association, Orthopedics Branch of the Chinese Medical Association, and Trauma Orthopedics and Polytrauma Group of the Resuscitation and Emergency Committee of the Chinese Medical Doctor Association have collaboratively organized a panel of relevant experts to develop the Guideline for diagnosis and treatment of infection after internal fixation of closed lower limb fractures in adults ( version 2025). The guideline proposed 10 recommendations, aiming to provide a foundation for standardized diagnosis and treatment of postoperative infection in adults with closed lower limb fractures.
3.Comparison of the efficacy of autologous bone grafting or bioceramic bone grafting combined with locked compression plate internal fixation in the treatment of tibial plateau fractures
Ziren XIONG ; Chen ZHANG ; Wenhao YAO ; Yu CHEN ; Le FAN ; Guodong WANG ; Ximing LIU
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedics 2025;45(20):1320-1326
Objective:To compare the clinical efficacy of autologous bone grafting or bioceramic bone grafting combined with locking compression plate (LCP) internal fixation in the treatment of Schatzker type II and III tibial plateau fractures.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 104 patients with Schatzker type II and III tibial plateau fractures who underwent surgical treatment at the Department of Orthopedics, PLA Central Theater Command General Hospital from January 2010 to December 2021. The cohort comprised 55 males and 49 females, with an average age of 49.13±13.80 years (range 18-73 years). All fractures were unilateral: 55 on the left and 49 on the right. According to the Schatzker classification, 59 were Type II and 45 were Type III. Causes of injury included traffic accidents (48 cases), falls from height (3 cases), sprains or falls (45 cases), and other causes (8 cases). During surgery, bioceramic material or allograft bone tissue was implanted into the collapsed tibial plateau region to restore articular surface flatness. Based on graft type, patients were divided into the allograft bone group (63 cases) and the bioceramic group (41 cases). All cases underwent proximal lateral tibial LCP internal fixation. The two groups were compared in terms of operative time, intraoperative blood loss, bone graft volume, length of hospital stay, fracture healing time, and postoperative complications. The Rasmussen radiographic collapse score was used to evaluate fracture reduction, and the Hospital for Special Surgery (HSS) score system was used to assess knee joint function.Results:All patients were followed up for 12(12, 13) months (range 12-16 months). The fracture healing time in the allograft bone group was 13.70±1.36 weeks (range 11-16 weeks), which was significantly shorter than that in the bioceramic group: 14.59±1.73 weeks (range 11-19 weeks) ( t=2.911, P=0.004). The time to full weight-bearing in the allograft group was 15.0(14.0, 17.0) weeks (range 13-23 weeks), which was shorter than the 16.0 (15.5, 18.5) weeks (range 12-24 weeks) in the bioceramic group, showing a statistically significant difference ( Z=-3.019, P=0.002). At 12 months postoperatively, the Rasmussen radiographic collapse score was 1(0, 1) in the bioceramic group, significantly lower than the 1(1, 2) score in the allograft group ( Z=-2.083, P=0.037). No statistically significant differences were observed between the two groups in bone graft volume, surgical duration, intraoperative blood loss, hospitalization duration, or HSS scores at 6 and 12 months postoperatively ( P>0.05). The complication rate was 6.3% (4/63) in the allograft group and 2.4% (1/41) in the bioceramic group, with no statistically significant difference (χ 2=0.830, P=0.362). Conclusions:For Schatzker type II and III tibial plateau fractures, the use of allograft bone or bioceramic combined with LCP internal fixation can achieve good results. Allograft bone has advantages in terms of fracture healing speed and early weight-bearing recovery, while bioceramic is more effective in maintaining joint surface stability.
4.Expert consensus on clinical treatment of acute radiation syndrome from external irradiation
Li LIANG ; Long YUAN ; Changlin YU ; Qingjie LIU ; Yulong LIU ; Wenfeng YANG ; Jin WANG ; Weixu HUANG ; Ying LIU ; Cuiping LEI ; Huifang CHEN ; Ximing FU ; Baoshan CAO ; Mopei WANG ; Zhaohui ZHANG ; Yu XIAO ; Yamei CHEN ; Quanfu SUN
Chinese Journal of Radiological Medicine and Protection 2025;45(9):827-839
China emerges as a major country in nuclear energy development and the application of nuclear and radiologic technology. The diagnosis and treatment of acute radiation syndrom (ARS) caused by external irradiation represent a core function in the country′s medical rescue of nuclear and radiological emergencies. Clinically, ARS manifests hematopoietic, gastrointestinal, cutaneous, and central nervous system syndromes, with specific clinical manifestations, signs, severity, and prognosis strongly correlated with radiation dose. China has established a number of national and provincial centers for treating radiation-induced damage. Nevertheless, most medical staff have limited experience in ARS treatment. This consensus presents a summary of recent experience in treating ARS of China. In combination with recommendations from international organizations such as the World Health Organization (WHO), this consensus proposes key evidence of critical clinical issues of ARS, covering all links in the rescue of external irradiation-induced ARS. Initially, clinical diagnosis, syndromes, and severe degrees should be determined based on clinical symptoms and dose estimates. It is necessary to normalize clinical treatment measures for hematopoietic recovery, gastrointestinal injury treatment, infection control, symptomatic treatment, and multi-organ function preservation. To this end, this consensus offers cautions. This consensus provides principles of treatment with traditional Chinese medicine, psychological intervention, and follow-up. Additionally, it highlights multidisciplinary collaboration. It is recommended that this consensus be applied in relevant treatment centers.
5.Comparison of the efficacy of autologous bone grafting or bioceramic bone grafting combined with locked compression plate internal fixation in the treatment of tibial plateau fractures
Ziren XIONG ; Chen ZHANG ; Wenhao YAO ; Yu CHEN ; Le FAN ; Guodong WANG ; Ximing LIU
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedics 2025;45(20):1320-1326
Objective:To compare the clinical efficacy of autologous bone grafting or bioceramic bone grafting combined with locking compression plate (LCP) internal fixation in the treatment of Schatzker type II and III tibial plateau fractures.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 104 patients with Schatzker type II and III tibial plateau fractures who underwent surgical treatment at the Department of Orthopedics, PLA Central Theater Command General Hospital from January 2010 to December 2021. The cohort comprised 55 males and 49 females, with an average age of 49.13±13.80 years (range 18-73 years). All fractures were unilateral: 55 on the left and 49 on the right. According to the Schatzker classification, 59 were Type II and 45 were Type III. Causes of injury included traffic accidents (48 cases), falls from height (3 cases), sprains or falls (45 cases), and other causes (8 cases). During surgery, bioceramic material or allograft bone tissue was implanted into the collapsed tibial plateau region to restore articular surface flatness. Based on graft type, patients were divided into the allograft bone group (63 cases) and the bioceramic group (41 cases). All cases underwent proximal lateral tibial LCP internal fixation. The two groups were compared in terms of operative time, intraoperative blood loss, bone graft volume, length of hospital stay, fracture healing time, and postoperative complications. The Rasmussen radiographic collapse score was used to evaluate fracture reduction, and the Hospital for Special Surgery (HSS) score system was used to assess knee joint function.Results:All patients were followed up for 12(12, 13) months (range 12-16 months). The fracture healing time in the allograft bone group was 13.70±1.36 weeks (range 11-16 weeks), which was significantly shorter than that in the bioceramic group: 14.59±1.73 weeks (range 11-19 weeks) ( t=2.911, P=0.004). The time to full weight-bearing in the allograft group was 15.0(14.0, 17.0) weeks (range 13-23 weeks), which was shorter than the 16.0 (15.5, 18.5) weeks (range 12-24 weeks) in the bioceramic group, showing a statistically significant difference ( Z=-3.019, P=0.002). At 12 months postoperatively, the Rasmussen radiographic collapse score was 1(0, 1) in the bioceramic group, significantly lower than the 1(1, 2) score in the allograft group ( Z=-2.083, P=0.037). No statistically significant differences were observed between the two groups in bone graft volume, surgical duration, intraoperative blood loss, hospitalization duration, or HSS scores at 6 and 12 months postoperatively ( P>0.05). The complication rate was 6.3% (4/63) in the allograft group and 2.4% (1/41) in the bioceramic group, with no statistically significant difference (χ 2=0.830, P=0.362). Conclusions:For Schatzker type II and III tibial plateau fractures, the use of allograft bone or bioceramic combined with LCP internal fixation can achieve good results. Allograft bone has advantages in terms of fracture healing speed and early weight-bearing recovery, while bioceramic is more effective in maintaining joint surface stability.
6.Study on deep learning image reconstruction to improve image quality in dynamic stress myocardial CT perfusion imaging
Chulan OU ; Liqi CAO ; Mengya GUO ; Yuelong YANG ; Junqing YANG ; Chang LIU ; Jiayu CHEN ; Ximing CAO ; Xinyun LI ; Hui LIU
Chinese Journal of Radiology 2025;59(1):27-35
Objective:To explore the capability of deep learning image reconstruction (DLIR) compared to adaptive statistical iterative reconstruction (ASiR-V) in improving the image quality and myocardial edge sharpness of dynamic stress myocardial CT perfusion imaging (CTP).Methods:Thirty subjects who underwent dynamic stress myocardial CTP at Guangdong Provincial People′s Hospital from September 2023 to February 2024 were recruited. Image data of all enrolled patients were reconstructed using ASiR-V 50%, ASiR-V 80%, medium-intensity DLIR(DLIR-M), and high-intensity DLIR(DLIR-H), respectively. Regions of interest were selected in the left ventricular cavity, interventricular septum, and left ventricular lateral wall for measurement of CT values and standard deviations (SD), and calculation of signal to noise ratio (SNR) and contrast to noise ratio (CNR). Matlab was utilized to obtain the differences (d) and slopes (s) of CT value changes at four left ventricular myocardial edges for objective edge sharpness evaluation. Two radiologists subjectively scored the images for noise, natural appearance, and edge sharpness. In case of disagreement between the two radiologists, a third senior radiologist′s score was decisive. Left ventricular myocardial blood flow (MBF) of ASiR-V and DLIR images with lower SD, higher SNR and CNR were calculated, respectively. When the normal distribution was satisfied, the independent sample t test was used for comparison between two groups, and the random block design ANOVA was used for comparison between multiple groups. And analysis was conducted using Friedman test for non-normally distributed data, and Bonferroni correction for pairwise comparisons. Results:There were statistically significant differences in SD, SNR, and CNR among the four images in the interventricular septum and left ventricular lateral wall (all P<0.05), with ASiR-V 80% and DLIR-H demonstrating the lowest SD, highest SNR and CNR, and the subjective image noise score. Statistically significant differences were observed in d and s for the four left ventricular myocardial edges (all P<0.05), with DLIR-M and DLIR-H exhibiting the best objective edge sharpness [5 (5, 5)], and ASiR-V 80% the worst [3.5 (3, 4)]. In the subjective scores for natural appearance, DLIR-M and DLIR-H received the highest scores [5 (5, 5)], while ASiR-V 80% received the lowest scores [3 (3, 4)], with statistically significant differences (all P<0.05). There was no statistically significant difference in MBF values calculated from ASiR-V 80% and DLIR-H images (all P>0.05). Conclusions:The SD value, SNR and CNR of dynamic stress myocardial CTP images reconstructed by DLIR-H are equivalent to ASiR-V 80%, and using DLIR-H can improve the edge sharpness of left ventricular myocardium without affecting the calculation of MBF.
7.Effect of butorphanol on lipopolysaccharide-induced chondrocyte injury by regulating SDF-1α/CXCR4 pathway
Jun FANG ; Ximing LIU ; Zhen LI ; Meng YANG ; Qingyong DONG
Chinese Journal of Comparative Medicine 2025;35(8):94-101
Objective To investigate the effect of butorphanol on lipopolysaccharide-induced chondrocyte injury by regulating the stromal cell-derived factor-1α(SDF-1α)/C-X-C chemokine receptor 4(CXCR4)pathway.Methods Human C28/12 chondrocytes were cultured in vitro and assigned to the following groups:control(normal culture),model(100 μmol/L lipopolysaccharide),model+low-dose butorphanol(100 μmol/L lipopolysaccharide+1μmol/L butorphanol),model+medium-dose butorphanol(100 μmol/L lipopolysaccharide+2 μmol/L butorphanol),model+high-dose butorphanol(100 μmol/L lipopolysaccharide+4 μmol/L butorphanol),and model+high-dose butorphanol+NUCC-390(100 μmol/L lipopolysaccharide+4 μmol/L butorphanol+500 nmol/L CXCR4 agonist NUCC-390).Cell viability,interleukin(IL)-6 and tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α)levels,apoptosis,and SDF-1α/CXCR4 pathway-related proteins were evaluated by MTT assay,enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay,flow cytometry,and Western blot,respectively.Results Chondrocyte survival rate and Bcl-2 protein expression were decreased while TNF-α,IL-6,apoptosis rate,Bax,Cleaved caspase-3,SDF-1α,and CXCR4 proteins were increased in the model group compared with the control group(P<0.05).The above indicators were improved in the model+low-,medium-,and high-dose butorphanol groups compared with the model group,while the result for the model+high-dose butorphanol+NUCC-390 group were opposite to those of the model+high-dose butorphanol group.Conclusions Butorphanol may improve lipopolysaccharide-induced chondrocyte injury induced by inhibiting the SDF-1α/CXCR4 signaling pathway.
8.Expert consensus on clinical treatment of acute radiation syndrome from external irradiation
Li LIANG ; Long YUAN ; Changlin YU ; Qingjie LIU ; Yulong LIU ; Wenfeng YANG ; Jin WANG ; Weixu HUANG ; Ying LIU ; Cuiping LEI ; Huifang CHEN ; Ximing FU ; Baoshan CAO ; Mopei WANG ; Zhaohui ZHANG ; Yu XIAO ; Yamei CHEN ; Quanfu SUN
Chinese Journal of Radiological Medicine and Protection 2025;45(9):827-839
China emerges as a major country in nuclear energy development and the application of nuclear and radiologic technology. The diagnosis and treatment of acute radiation syndrom (ARS) caused by external irradiation represent a core function in the country′s medical rescue of nuclear and radiological emergencies. Clinically, ARS manifests hematopoietic, gastrointestinal, cutaneous, and central nervous system syndromes, with specific clinical manifestations, signs, severity, and prognosis strongly correlated with radiation dose. China has established a number of national and provincial centers for treating radiation-induced damage. Nevertheless, most medical staff have limited experience in ARS treatment. This consensus presents a summary of recent experience in treating ARS of China. In combination with recommendations from international organizations such as the World Health Organization (WHO), this consensus proposes key evidence of critical clinical issues of ARS, covering all links in the rescue of external irradiation-induced ARS. Initially, clinical diagnosis, syndromes, and severe degrees should be determined based on clinical symptoms and dose estimates. It is necessary to normalize clinical treatment measures for hematopoietic recovery, gastrointestinal injury treatment, infection control, symptomatic treatment, and multi-organ function preservation. To this end, this consensus offers cautions. This consensus provides principles of treatment with traditional Chinese medicine, psychological intervention, and follow-up. Additionally, it highlights multidisciplinary collaboration. It is recommended that this consensus be applied in relevant treatment centers.
9.Machine learning model based on contrast enhanced CT images for predicting mitotic index in gastrointestinal stromal tumors: a dual-center study
Wenjun DIAO ; Xiaobo CHEN ; Ximing WANG ; Hexiang WANG ; Xingyu CHEN ; Yanqi HUANG ; Zaiyi LIU
Chinese Journal of Radiology 2025;59(5):549-557
Objective:To develop and validate machine learning-based radiomics models using preoperative CT images for individualized prediction of mitotic index (MI) in patients with gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST).Methods:The study was a case-control study. The data of 348 GIST patients confirmed by pathology were retrospectively collected from two independent medical centers: the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University (center 1) and Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University (center 2), covering the period from January 2013 to June 2018. Patients from center 1 were divided into a training cohort (176 cases) and an internal validation cohort (75 cases) at a ratio of 7∶3 using random sampling. Patients from center 2 served as an independent external validation cohort (97 cases). The primary endpoint was MI, categorized into high MI (145 cases) and low MI (203 cases) groups. Radiomic features were extracted from the portal venous phase images of preoperative contrast-enhanced CT scans. Five machine learning algorithms, including logistic regression, support vector machine, random forest, decision tree, and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost),were employed to construct MI prediction models. The optimal model was identified using receiver operating characteristic curves. An individualized prediction model was developed by integrating the the optimal machine learning model combined with selected independent clinical factors, and the importance of features was visualized using Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) analysis. Patients were followed up, and Kaplan-Meier curves along with log-rank tests were used to evaluate recurrence-free survival (RFS) differences between the predicted high MI and low MI groups.Results:Among the five constructed machine learning models, the XGBoost model demonstrated the best predictive performance, with area under the curve (AUC) of 0.809 (95% CI 0.738-0.872), 0.693 (95% CI 0.571-0.809), and 0.718 (95% CI 0.605-0.822) in the training cohort, internal validation cohort, and external validation cohort, respectively. An individualized prediction model combining the XGBoost model with independent clinical factors (tumor location and tumor size) was developed. The model achieved AUC of 0.843 (95% CI 0.785-0.899), 0.791 (95% CI 0.680-0.894), and 0.777 (95% CI 0.678-0.861) in the training cohort, internal validation cohort, and external validation cohort, respectively. SHAP analysis indicated that radiomic features had the highest predictive impact. In both the training cohort and internal validation cohort, the RFS of patients predicted to be in the high MI group was lower than that of the low MI group, with statistically significant differences ( χ2=14.58, 9.52, both P<0.001). However, there was no statistically significant difference in RFS in the external validation set ( χ2=6.18, P=0.080). Conclusions:The optimal XGBoost model based on radiomic features extracted from preoperative portal venous phase CT images, when combined with clinical factors, can effectively predict the MI of GIST patients.
10.Machine learning model based on contrast enhanced CT images for predicting mitotic index in gastrointestinal stromal tumors: a dual-center study
Wenjun DIAO ; Xiaobo CHEN ; Ximing WANG ; Hexiang WANG ; Xingyu CHEN ; Yanqi HUANG ; Zaiyi LIU
Chinese Journal of Radiology 2025;59(5):549-557
Objective:To develop and validate machine learning-based radiomics models using preoperative CT images for individualized prediction of mitotic index (MI) in patients with gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST).Methods:The study was a case-control study. The data of 348 GIST patients confirmed by pathology were retrospectively collected from two independent medical centers: the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University (center 1) and Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University (center 2), covering the period from January 2013 to June 2018. Patients from center 1 were divided into a training cohort (176 cases) and an internal validation cohort (75 cases) at a ratio of 7∶3 using random sampling. Patients from center 2 served as an independent external validation cohort (97 cases). The primary endpoint was MI, categorized into high MI (145 cases) and low MI (203 cases) groups. Radiomic features were extracted from the portal venous phase images of preoperative contrast-enhanced CT scans. Five machine learning algorithms, including logistic regression, support vector machine, random forest, decision tree, and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost),were employed to construct MI prediction models. The optimal model was identified using receiver operating characteristic curves. An individualized prediction model was developed by integrating the the optimal machine learning model combined with selected independent clinical factors, and the importance of features was visualized using Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) analysis. Patients were followed up, and Kaplan-Meier curves along with log-rank tests were used to evaluate recurrence-free survival (RFS) differences between the predicted high MI and low MI groups.Results:Among the five constructed machine learning models, the XGBoost model demonstrated the best predictive performance, with area under the curve (AUC) of 0.809 (95% CI 0.738-0.872), 0.693 (95% CI 0.571-0.809), and 0.718 (95% CI 0.605-0.822) in the training cohort, internal validation cohort, and external validation cohort, respectively. An individualized prediction model combining the XGBoost model with independent clinical factors (tumor location and tumor size) was developed. The model achieved AUC of 0.843 (95% CI 0.785-0.899), 0.791 (95% CI 0.680-0.894), and 0.777 (95% CI 0.678-0.861) in the training cohort, internal validation cohort, and external validation cohort, respectively. SHAP analysis indicated that radiomic features had the highest predictive impact. In both the training cohort and internal validation cohort, the RFS of patients predicted to be in the high MI group was lower than that of the low MI group, with statistically significant differences ( χ2=14.58, 9.52, both P<0.001). However, there was no statistically significant difference in RFS in the external validation set ( χ2=6.18, P=0.080). Conclusions:The optimal XGBoost model based on radiomic features extracted from preoperative portal venous phase CT images, when combined with clinical factors, can effectively predict the MI of GIST patients.

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