1.Comparison of Protein and Polypeptide Components and Antithrombotic Activity In Vitro of Three Preparations Containing Hirudo
Wanling ZHONG ; Yunnan MA ; Jinhong YE ; Xiaoyu FAN ; Huijuan SHEN ; Rui YUAN ; Yaxuan ZHANG ; Zhuyuan LIU ; Shouying DU ; Pengyue LI
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(20):184-194
ObjectiveTo compare the contents and relative molecular weight distributions of proteins and polypeptides in Naoxuekang dropping pills, Huoxue Tongmai capsules and Maixuekang capsules of Hirudo single medicinal preparations, to evaluate the in vitro anticoagulant, antiplatelet and fibrinolytic activities of the three preparations, and to investigate the effects of temperature, pH and digestive enzymes on the anticoagulant activities of the three preparations. MethodsThe contents of soluble proteins and polypeptides in the three preparations were determined by bicinchoninic acid assay(BCA) and Bradford method, and the relative molecular weight distributions of the three preparations were determined by electrophoresis combined with gel chromatography. The antithrombin activity of the three preparations was evaluated by fibrinogen-thrombin time(Fibg-TT) method, and their anticoagulant activities were further assessed by the elongations of activated partial thromboplastin time(APTT), prothrombin time(PT) and thrombin time(TT). The antiplatelet aggregation activities of the three preparations were measured by turbidimetry and the fibrinolytic activities were measured by fibrin plate method. Relative TT was used as index to investigate the effects of temperature, pH and digestive enzyme buffer on anticoagulant activities of the three preparations. ResultsAt the lowest single dosage, the contents of proteins and polypeptides were in the order of Maixuekang capsules>Huoxue Tongmai capsules>Naoxuekang dropping pills. Both Huoxue Tongmai capsules and Maixuekang capsules had 11 electrophoretic bands between 4.0 kDa and 90 kDa, the bands of Maixuekang capsules were more clear in the range of >25 kDa, and there was 1 obvious band at 14 kDa for the two capsules. Huoxue Tongmai capsules had one specific band at 9.0 kDa and Maixuekang capsules had one specific band at 48.0 kDa. Naoxuekang dropping pills only had 2 electrophoretic bands at 6.5 kDa and 8.5 kDa, primarily containing peptides below 2 kDa, most of which were oligopeptides. The anticoagulant activity concentrations of the three preparations exhibited a certain dose-dependent effect. At the lowest single dosage, The anticoagulant activity concentrations were ranked as Naoxuekang dropping pills>Huoxue Tongmai capsules>Maixuekang capsules. The prolongation effect of the three preparations on coagulation time was dose-dependent. At the same concentration, the prolongation effect of Naoxuekang dropping pills and Huoxue Tongmai capsules was APTT prolongation rate>TT prolongation rate>PT prolongation rate, whereas for Maixuekang capsules, the sequence was TT prolongation rate>APTT prolongation rate>PT lengthening rate. At the single minimum dosage, the order of APTT prolongation rate was Maixuekang capsules>Huoxue Tongmai capsules≈Naoxuekang dropping pills, the order of PT prolongation rate was Naoxuekang dropping pills≈Maixuekang capsules>Huoxue Tongmai capsules, and the order of TT prolongation rate was Maixuekang capsules>Huoxue Tongmai capsules>Naoxuekang dropping pills. The three preparations showed dose-dependent effects on platelet aggregation induced by adenosine diphosphate(ADP) and arachidonic acid(AA), and the effect induced by ADP was stronger than that induced by AA. The anti-platelet aggregation effect of Naoxuekang dropping pills was significantly stronger than that of Maixuekang capsules(P<0.01), whereas Huoxue Tongmai capsules had the effect of promoting platelet aggregation. None of the three preparations had the ability to dissolve fibrin. The anticoagulant activity of Naoxuekang dropping pills was least affected by heating, while the activities of the two capsules decreased significantly within 5 min above 80 ℃, and continued to decrease within 2 h. Compared with pure water, the anticoagulant activities of the three preparations could be increased by 1-3 times under strong acidity(pH 1-3). In the pepsin buffer, the anticoagulant activity of Naoxuekang dropping pills could be increased by 1-3 times, while the anticoagulant activities of Huoxue Tongmai capsules and Maxuekang capsules were significantly decreased, the lowest levels were about 60% and 20%, respectively. In trypsin buffer, the anticoagulant activities of Naoxuekang dropping pills, Huoxue Tongmai capsules and Maixuekang capsules decreased significantly, and the lowest levels decreased to about 41%, 41% and 35%, respectively. ConclusionThe contents of proteins and polypeptides and relative molecular weights of the preparations derived from lyophilized fresh Hirudo powder, dried Hirudo powder and reflux extract of Hirudo decrease sequentially, and the anticoagulant activity decrease gradually, but the anticoagulant pathway is different. And the anti-platelet aggregation activity of the reflux extract is significantly enhanced. The heat resistance and gastrointestinal stability of the three preparations increase successively, and the first two are suitable for enteric-soluble preparations, while the latter is suitable for routine oral administration. The above results can provide data reference for the rationality of different preparation methods, active substances, pharmacodynamics and mechanism of Hirudo preparations.
2.Association between the Non-Fasting Triglyceride-Glucose Index and Hyperglycemia in pregnancy during the Third Trimester in High Altitudes
Qingqing WANG ; Hongying HOU ; Ma NI ; Yating LIANG ; Xiaoyu CHEN ; WA Zhuoga DA ; Qiang LIU ; Zhenyan HAN
Journal of Sun Yat-sen University(Medical Sciences) 2025;46(5):861-871
ObjectiveTo investigate the relationship between the non-fasting triglyceride and glucose (TyG) index and hyperglycemia in pregnancy during the third trimester in high altitudes. MethodsThis study selected clinical and laboratory data of 774 Tibetan singleton pregnant women who delivered at Chaya People's Hospital of Qamdo city in Xizang autonomous region, from January 2023 to April 2025. The non-fasting TyG index was calculated from non-fasting triglyceride (TG) and random plasma glucose (PG). Based on the tertiles of the non-fasting TyG index values, the individuals were split into three groups (corresponding to non-fasting TyG index of 8.89 and 9.21, respectively). The baseline clinical characteristics, lipid levels and the occurrence of developing hyperglycemia in pregnancy were compared among the three groups. Statistical analyses were performed using ANOVA, Kruskal-Wallis H test, Chi-square test, or Fisher exact test and the relationship between the non-fasting TyG index and hyperglycemia in pregnancy were examined using multivariate logistic regression models and curve fitting. ResultsA total of 774 Tibetan singleton pregnant women were included, with a average age of 27.3 ± 6.1 years, a pre-delivery body mass index (Pre-BMI) of (25.2±2.3)kg/m2 , a proportion of 26.7% (207/774) primigravid women, the mean non-fasting TyG index was 9.1 ± 0.4。Thirty pregnant women were diagnosed with hyperglycemia in pregnancy, with a detection rate of 3.9% (30/774). Statistically significant differences in serum total cholesterol (TC), TG, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) levels were identified when comparing different non-fasting TyG groups (all P values <0.05). Subsequent trend test analysis indicated that the levels of TC, TG, LDL-C, and PG gradually increased with elevated the non-fasting TyG index ( Ftrend TC=95.61, P<0.001; Ftrend TG=1 051.91, P<0.001; Ftrend LDL-C = 97.20, P < 0.001; Ftrend TG=195.20; P<0.001). After adjustment for maternal age, pre-delivery BMI, altitude, TC, LDL-C, and HDL-C, multivariate Logistic regression models revealed independent positive associations between non-fasting TyG index and hyperglycemia in pregnancy (Model 1: OR=2.72, 95% CI: 1.13-6.53, P=0.026; Model 2: OR=2.56, 95% CI: 1.01-6.50, P=0.048; Model 3: OR=2.72, 95% CI: 1.06-6.97, P=0.037; Model 4: OR=4.02, 95% CI: 1.42-11.40, P=0.009) and the incident of hyperglycemia in pregnancy showed an increasing tendency as increasing with the non-fasting TyG index, however, this association did not statistical significance (P trend >0.05). Curve fitting by restricted cubic splines (RCS) were used to assess linearity between non-fasting TyG and hyperglycemia in pregnancy, and there was a linear dose-response relationship between non-fasting TyG and hyperglycemia in pregnancy (P for non-linear = 0.515). ConclusionNon-fasting TyG index in the third trimester is a risk factor for hyperglycemia in pregnancy among the Tibetan singleton pregnant women at high altitudes and there was a possible linear dose-response relationship between the non-fasting TyG index and hyperglycemia in pregnancy.
3.Effect of moxibustion on small intestinal mucosal immune barrier in rats with diarrhea-predominant irritable bowel syndrome.
Kuiwu LI ; Haoran CHU ; Ling ZOU ; Jingru RUAN ; Lumin LIAO ; Xiaoyu HAN ; Wenli MA ; Ming FANG ; Jingwei ZHU ; Yucheng FANG ; Ziye WANG ; Tingting TONG
Chinese Acupuncture & Moxibustion 2025;45(7):935-944
OBJECTIVE:
To observe the effect of moxibustion on small intestinal mucosal immune barrier in rats with diarrhea-predominant irritable bowel syndrome (IBS-D) and explore its underlying mechanisms.
METHODS:
Of 38 newborn rats from 4 healthy SPF pregnant rats, 12 neonatal rats were randomly selected in a normal group. IBS-D model was prepared by the combined measures for the rest rats, including neonatal maternal separation, acetic acid enema and chronic restraint stress. Twenty-four successfully-modeled rats were randomized into a model group and a moxibustion group, 12 rats in each one. In the moxibustion group, suspending moxibustion was delivered at bilateral "Tianshu" (ST25) and "Shangjuxu" (ST37), 20 min each time, once daily and for 7 consecutive days. Separately, before acetic acid enema (aged 35 days), after modeling (aged 45 days) and after intervention (aged 53 days), the body mass, loose stool rate (LSR) and and the minimum volume threshold when abdominal withdrawal reflex (AWR) scored 3 were observed in the rats of each group. After intervention (aged 53 days), using HE and PAS staining, the morphology of duodenum was observed, the length of villus and the depth of crypt were measured, the ratio of the length of villus to the depth of crypt was calculated; and the numbers of mucosal intraepithelial lymphocytes (IELs) and goblet cells were counted. With ELISA adopted, the contents of γ-interferon (IFN-γ), interleukin-4 (IL-4) and secretory immunoglobulin A (sIgA) in duodenal mucosa of rats were detected. The proportion of T cell subsets in duodenal mucosa was detected using flow cytometry. The microvilli and tight junctions of duodenal mucosal epithelial cells were observed by transmission electron microscopy, and the integrity of duodenal mucosa observed by scanning electron microscopy.
RESULTS:
Compared with the normal group, for the rats in the model group, the body mass, the minimum volume threshold when AWR scored 3, the length of duodenal villus and the the ratio of the length of villus to the depth of crypt, as well as the proportion of CD8+ T subset were all reduced (P<0.01, P<0.05), the counts of goblet cells in duodenal mucosa decreased (P<0.01); LRS, the proportion of CD4+ T subset and CD4+/CD8+, as well as the contents of IFN-γ, IL-4 and sIgA in duodenal mucosa and IFN-γ/IL-4 were all elevated (P<0.01); and the numbers of IELs rose (P<0.01). The morphology of duodenal mucosa was irregular, the villi got shorter, sparse and scattered, with uneven density. The morphology of epithelial cells was destroyed and the tight junctions damaged, with larger spaces. When compared with the model group, in the moxibustion group, the body mass, the minimum volume threshold when AWR scored 3, the length of duodenal villus and the ratio of the length of villus to the depth of crypt, as well as the counts of goblet cells in duodenal mucosa increased (P<0.01); LRS, the proportion of CD4+ T subset, and CD4+/CD8+, as well as the contents of IFN-γ, IL-4 and sIgA in duodenal mucosa and IFN-γ/IL-4 were reduced (P<0.01); and the numbers of IELs was dropped (P<0.01). The morphology of duodenal mucosa was more regular, the villi were grew, got longer and arranged regularly, with even density. The morphology of epithelial cells was slightly destroyed, and the tight junctions partially damaged.
CONCLUSION
Moxibustion at "Tianshu" (ST25) and "Shangjuxu" (ST37) can reduce visceral hypersensitivity in IBS-D rats and relieve abdominal pain, diarrhea and other symptoms. Its effect mechanism may be related to the repair of small intestinal mucosal immune barrier and the improvement in the immune function in IBS-D.
Animals
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Irritable Bowel Syndrome/immunology*
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Rats
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Moxibustion
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Intestinal Mucosa/immunology*
;
Female
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Diarrhea/therapy*
;
Intestine, Small/immunology*
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Male
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Humans
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Rats, Sprague-Dawley
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Disease Models, Animal
4.Protection efficacy of mRNA-based SARS-CoV-2 variant vaccine in non-human primates.
Dongrong YI ; Yongxin ZHANG ; Jing WANG ; Qian LIU ; Ling MA ; Quanjie LI ; Saisai GUO ; Ruifang ZHENG ; Xiaoyu LI ; Xingong LI ; Yijie DONG ; Shuaiyao LU ; Weiguo ZHANG ; Xiaozhong PENG ; Shan CEN
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(2):934-946
The rapid emergence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants that evade immunity elicited by vaccination has posed a global challenge to the control of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Therefore, developing countermeasures that broadly protect against SARS-CoV-2 and related sarbecoviruses is essential. Herein, we have developed a lipid nanoparticle (LNP)-encapsulated mRNA (mRNA-LNP) encoding the full-length Spike (S) glycoprotein of SARS-CoV-2 (termed RG001), which confers complete protection in a non-human primate model. Intramuscular immunization of two doses of RG001 in Rhesus monkey elicited robust neutralizing antibodies and cellular response against SARS-CoV-2 variants, resulting in significantly protected SARS-CoV-2-infected animals from acute lung lesions and complete inhibition of viral replication in all animals immunized with low or high doses of RG001. More importantly, the third dose of RG001 vaccination elicited effective neutralizing antibodies against current epidemic XBB and JN.1 strains and similar cellular response against SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variants (BA.1, XBB.1.16, and JN.1) were observed in immunized mice. All these results together strongly support the great potential of RG001 in preventing the infection of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOCs).
5.Tranexamic acid-fatty alcohol polyoxyethylene ether conjugation/PVA foam for venous sclerotherapy via vascular damage and inhibiting plasmin system.
Jizhuang MA ; Keda ZHANG ; Wenhan LI ; Yu DING ; Yongfeng CHEN ; Xiaoyu HUANG ; Tong YU ; Di SONG ; Haoran NIU ; Huichao XIE ; Tianzhi YANG ; Xiaoyun ZHAO ; Xinggang YANG ; Pingtian DING
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(6):3291-3304
Venous system diseases mainly include varicose veins and venous malformations of lower limbs and the genital system. Most of them are chronic diseases that cause serious clinical symptoms to patients and affect their health and quality of life. Sclerotherapy has become the first-line therapy for venous system diseases. However, there are problems such as incomplete fibrosis and vascular recanalization after sclerotherapy, and improper operation will cause serious adverse consequences. Therefore, exploring a safe and effective sclerotherapy strategy is essential for developing clinically successful sclerotherapy. To solve the above problems, we proposed a new sclerotherapy strategy with a dual mechanism of "vascular damage and plasmin (PLA) system inhibition." We intended to construct a novel cationic surfactant (AEOx-TA) by reacting tranexamic acid (TA), a parent structure, with fatty alcohol polyoxyethylene ether (AEOx) by ester bonds. AEOx-TA could damage vascular endothelium and initiate a coagulation cascade effect to induce thrombus. Furthermore, AEOx-TA could be degraded by esterase and release the parent drug, TA, which could inhibit the PLA system to inhibit the degradation of thrombus and extracellular matrix and promote the process of vascular fibrosis. In addition, such surfactant-based sclerosants have foam-forming properties, and they can be blended with polyvinyl alcohol (PVA) to prepare a highly stable foam formulation (AEOx-TA/P), which can achieve a precise drug delivery and prolonged drug retention time, thereby improving drug efficacy and reducing the risk of ectopic embolism. Overall, the novel cationic surfactant AEOx-TA provides a new avenue to resolve the bottleneck: surfactant sclerosants' efficiency is relatively low in the current sclerotherapy.
6.Expert consensus on the diagnosis and treatment of cemental tear.
Ye LIANG ; Hongrui LIU ; Chengjia XIE ; Yang YU ; Jinlong SHAO ; Chunxu LV ; Wenyan KANG ; Fuhua YAN ; Yaping PAN ; Faming CHEN ; Yan XU ; Zuomin WANG ; Yao SUN ; Ang LI ; Lili CHEN ; Qingxian LUAN ; Chuanjiang ZHAO ; Zhengguo CAO ; Yi LIU ; Jiang SUN ; Zhongchen SONG ; Lei ZHAO ; Li LIN ; Peihui DING ; Weilian SUN ; Jun WANG ; Jiang LIN ; Guangxun ZHU ; Qi ZHANG ; Lijun LUO ; Jiayin DENG ; Yihuai PAN ; Jin ZHAO ; Aimei SONG ; Hongmei GUO ; Jin ZHANG ; Pingping CUI ; Song GE ; Rui ZHANG ; Xiuyun REN ; Shengbin HUANG ; Xi WEI ; Lihong QIU ; Jing DENG ; Keqing PAN ; Dandan MA ; Hongyu ZHAO ; Dong CHEN ; Liangjun ZHONG ; Gang DING ; Wu CHEN ; Quanchen XU ; Xiaoyu SUN ; Lingqian DU ; Ling LI ; Yijia WANG ; Xiaoyuan LI ; Qiang CHEN ; Hui WANG ; Zheng ZHANG ; Mengmeng LIU ; Chengfei ZHANG ; Xuedong ZHOU ; Shaohua GE
International Journal of Oral Science 2025;17(1):61-61
Cemental tear is a rare and indetectable condition unless obvious clinical signs present with the involvement of surrounding periodontal and periapical tissues. Due to its clinical manifestations similar to common dental issues, such as vertical root fracture, primary endodontic diseases, and periodontal diseases, as well as the low awareness of cemental tear for clinicians, misdiagnosis often occurs. The critical principle for cemental tear treatment is to remove torn fragments, and overlooking fragments leads to futile therapy, which could deteriorate the conditions of the affected teeth. Therefore, accurate diagnosis and subsequent appropriate interventions are vital for managing cemental tear. Novel diagnostic tools, including cone-beam computed tomography (CBCT), microscopes, and enamel matrix derivatives, have improved early detection and management, enhancing tooth retention. The implementation of standardized diagnostic criteria and treatment protocols, combined with improved clinical awareness among dental professionals, serves to mitigate risks of diagnostic errors and suboptimal therapeutic interventions. This expert consensus reviewed the epidemiology, pathogenesis, potential predisposing factors, clinical manifestations, diagnosis, differential diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis of cemental tear, aiming to provide a clinical guideline and facilitate clinicians to have a better understanding of cemental tear.
Humans
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Dental Cementum/injuries*
;
Consensus
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Diagnosis, Differential
;
Cone-Beam Computed Tomography
;
Tooth Fractures/therapy*
8.Analysis on Components Absorbed into Blood and Cerebrospinal Fluid of Schisandrae Chinensis Fructus Based on Sequential Metabolism
Shuang YU ; Yanli PAN ; Huining LIU ; Xueyan LI ; Xinyu WANG ; Dongying QI ; Fulu PAN ; Qianqian WANG ; Xiaoyu CHAI ; Guopeng WANG ; Tao MA ; Yang LIU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2024;30(3):114-123
ObjectiveTo identify the prototypical components and metabolites absorbed into blood and cerebrospinal fluid of Schisandrae Chinensis Fructus(SCF) based on sequential metabolism combined with liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry. MethodBlood and cerebrospinal fluid samples of integrated metabolism, intestinal metabolism and hepatic metabolism were collected from male SD rats after gavage and in situ intestinal perfusion administration, and ultra-performance liquid chromatography-quadrupole/electrostatic field orbitrap high-resolution mass spectrometry(UPLC Q-Exactive Orbitrap MS) was used to analyze and compare the differences in the spectra of SCF extract, blank plasma, administered plasma, blank cerebrospinal fluid and administered cerebrospinal fluid with ACQUITY UPLC BEH Shield RP18 column(2.1 mm×100 mm, 1.7 µm), the mobile phase was acetonitrile(A)-0.1% formic acid aqueous solution(B) for gradient elution(0-7 min, 95%B; 7-12 min, 95%-35%B; 12-17 min, 35%-15%B; 17-20 min, 15%-12%B; 20-22 min, 12%-5%B; 22-23 min, 5%B; 23-25 min, 5%-95%B; 25-28 min, 95%B). And heated electrospray ionization(HESI) was used with positive and negative ion modes, the scanning range was m/z 100-1 500. The prototypical constituents and their metabolites absorbed into blood and cerebrospinal fluid of SCF were identified according to the retention time, characteristic fragments, molecular formulae and the information of reference substances. ResultA total of 42 chemical components were identified in the extract of SCF, including lignans, flavonoids, amino acids, tannins, and others, of which lignans were the main ones. A total of 27 prototypical components and 14 metabolites were identified in plasma samples from different sites. A total of 15 prototypical components and 9 metabolites were identified in cerebrospinal fluid. The main metabolic reactions involved in the formation of metabolites were mainly demethylation, methylation, demethoxylation and hydroxylation. ConclusionThrough the systematic identification of the prototypical components and metabolites of SCF in rats, it provides data support for further better exploring the material basis of SCF in the treatment of central nervous system diseases.
9.Establishment of a Prediction Model for Menstruation after the First Course of Hormone Replacement Therapy in Premature Ovarian Insufficiency Patients af-ter Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation
Ning ZHANG ; Weizeyu LIU ; Jingjing ZHANG ; Xiaoyu LI ; Fangcan SUN ; Huiyun CHEN ; Xiao MA ; Bing HAN
Journal of Practical Obstetrics and Gynecology 2024;40(7):577-581
Objective:To establish a menstrual prediction model after the first course of hormone replacement therapy(HRT)in premature ovarian insufficiency(POI)patients after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplan-tation(allo-HSCT),and to provide certain reference value for formulating HRT plans.Methods:The retrospective analysis recruited 154 POI patients after allo-HSCT in the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University from Jan-uary 2017 to October 2022.They were divided into ideal menstruation group(n=116)and unideal menstruation group(n=38)according to menstruation after the first course of HRT.Basic characteristics and clinical data were compared in single-factor analysis to select predictive factors.Patients were randomly divided into training set and test set.The menstrual prediction model was developed based on random forest algorithm on the training set and the prediction efficiency was verified by the test set.Finally,we made a user interaction interface and deployed to the server for sharing.Results:The single-factor analysis suggested statistic difference of age of visit,body mass index(BMI),gravidity,parity,hematologic diseases,transplantation age,donor gender,follicle-stimulating hormone(FSH),Luteinizing Hormone(LH),lumbar bone mineral density(BMD)and HRT plan(P<0.05).According to mean decrease accuracy,the predictive factors included visit age,transplantation age,BMI,FSH,HRT plans,gravidity and parity.After the initial establishment of the random forest model,we improved it by adjusting ntree to 500,mtry to 6 and training/test set division to 80%/20% .We also used tenfold cross validation to reduce over-fitting.The area under curve(AUC)of the final constructed menstrual prediction model was 0.768,a sensitiv-ity of 0.695 and a specificity of 0.735.Conclusions:This study successfully established a menstrual prediction model for amenorrhea patients after allo-HSCT when finished the first course of HRT.The false positive rate was low,suggesting that if the prediction result of the model is non-ideal menstruation,we may consider adjusting HRT plans to promote menstruation in time.
10.Establishment of a Prediction Model for Menstruation after the First Course of Hormone Replacement Therapy in Premature Ovarian Insufficiency Patients af-ter Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation
Ning ZHANG ; Weizeyu LIU ; Jingjing ZHANG ; Xiaoyu LI ; Fangcan SUN ; Huiyun CHEN ; Xiao MA ; Bing HAN
Journal of Practical Obstetrics and Gynecology 2024;40(7):577-581
Objective:To establish a menstrual prediction model after the first course of hormone replacement therapy(HRT)in premature ovarian insufficiency(POI)patients after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplan-tation(allo-HSCT),and to provide certain reference value for formulating HRT plans.Methods:The retrospective analysis recruited 154 POI patients after allo-HSCT in the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University from Jan-uary 2017 to October 2022.They were divided into ideal menstruation group(n=116)and unideal menstruation group(n=38)according to menstruation after the first course of HRT.Basic characteristics and clinical data were compared in single-factor analysis to select predictive factors.Patients were randomly divided into training set and test set.The menstrual prediction model was developed based on random forest algorithm on the training set and the prediction efficiency was verified by the test set.Finally,we made a user interaction interface and deployed to the server for sharing.Results:The single-factor analysis suggested statistic difference of age of visit,body mass index(BMI),gravidity,parity,hematologic diseases,transplantation age,donor gender,follicle-stimulating hormone(FSH),Luteinizing Hormone(LH),lumbar bone mineral density(BMD)and HRT plan(P<0.05).According to mean decrease accuracy,the predictive factors included visit age,transplantation age,BMI,FSH,HRT plans,gravidity and parity.After the initial establishment of the random forest model,we improved it by adjusting ntree to 500,mtry to 6 and training/test set division to 80%/20% .We also used tenfold cross validation to reduce over-fitting.The area under curve(AUC)of the final constructed menstrual prediction model was 0.768,a sensitiv-ity of 0.695 and a specificity of 0.735.Conclusions:This study successfully established a menstrual prediction model for amenorrhea patients after allo-HSCT when finished the first course of HRT.The false positive rate was low,suggesting that if the prediction result of the model is non-ideal menstruation,we may consider adjusting HRT plans to promote menstruation in time.

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