1.Machine learning-based predictive model for severe pneumonia in children
Qing DU ; Mingzhao HUANG ; Ying LI ; Kai CHEN ; Lianting HU ; Chao XIONG ; Xiaoxia LU
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(10):1716-1724
Objective:To develop and validate a clinical warning model for severe pediatric community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) using electronic health records.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted, analyzing clinical data of 15 750 children hospitalized for CAP at Wuhan Children′s Hospital between January 1, 2019, and December 31, 2023. Patient data were randomly split into training and testing sets at a 7∶3 ratio. Six supervised machine learning models were constructed in the training set, optimized using five-fold cross-validation, and evaluated in the testing set. Model performance was assessed using ROC-AUC, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, calibration curves, and clinical decision curve analysis at optimal thresholds. The best-performing model was selected, and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) were used to interpret feature importance. A program interface was developed based on the model results, enabling integration into clinical decision support systems for automated early warning.Results:A total of 15 750 participants, ranging in age from 28 days to 18 years, were included in the study. The median age was 2 years [interquartile range (IQR): 0-4 years], with 9 555 males (60.67%) and 6 195 females (39.33%). Among them, 2 211 (14.04%) developed severe pneumonia. In the prediction models, XGB outperformed other models with an ROC-AUC of 0.884 (95% CI: 0.870-0.898), sensitivity (0.803, 95% CI: 0.772-0.832), specificity (0.828, 95% CI: 0.816-0.839). Calibration analysis showed strong agreement between predicted and observed risks (Brier score: 0.081, 95% CI: 0.075-0.086). The analysis based on the SHAP method revealed that respiratory rate, heart rate, T-lymphocyte subsets, and red blood cell volume distribution width-SD are predictive factors for severe progression of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in children. Conclusion:An interpretable machine learning model was developed for the early detection and personalized treatment planning of severe CAP in children, providing valuable support to clinicians.
2.Distribution of pathogens isolated from patients with eczema and clinical laboratory test indexes of patients with TCM syndrome type of eczema
Hongye MA ; Xiang GAO ; Xiaoxia HUANG ; Xuanyu WANG ; Chunyan JIANG ; Honglin GUO
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(18):2765-2769
OBJECTIVE To explore the differences in the clinical laboratory test indexes between the patients with two different TCM syndrome types of eczema(dampness-heat infiltration type and non-dampness-heat infiltration type)and observe the distribution and drug resistance rate of pathogens isolated from the skin lesions so as to pro-vide bases for syndrome differentiation and reasonable use of antibiotics.METHODS A total of 180 patients with eczema who were positive for bacterial culture of skin secretions and were treated in Beijing Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine from Jan.2021 to Dec.2023 were enrolled in the study and were divided into the dampness-heat infiltration group with 134 cases and the non-dampness-heat infiltration group with 46 cases.The data of clini-cal laboratory test indexes were collected from the two groups of patients,the secretion specimens were sampled from the skin lesion sites,the isolated pathogens were identified by VITEK 2 Compact automatic microorganism analysis system,and the drug susceptibility testing was performed.RESULTS The direct bilirubin level of the dampness-heat infiltration group was(3.99±1.62)umol/L,higher than(3.46±1.12)umol/L of the non-damp-ness-heat infiltration group(P<0.05),but both were in the normal range;there were no significant differences in other test indexes between the two groups.Totally 180 strains of pathogens were isolated from the 180 patients with eczema,156(86.67%)of which were gram-positive bacteria;Staphylococcus aureus(98 strains),Staphy-lococcus epidermidis(29 strains)and Staphylococcus haemolyticus(15 strains)were the predominant species of the gram-positive bacteria.The gram-negative bacteria accounted for 12.22%(22 strains).The drug resistance rate of the S.aureus strains to penicillin was up to 82.65%,and the isolation rate of methicillin-resistant Staphy-lococcus aureus(MRSA)was 12.24%(12/98);the drug resistance rates of the S.epidermidis strains to penicil-lin and erythromycin were 75.86%,and the drug resistance rate of the S.haemolyticus strains to erythromycin was 100.00%.CONCLUSIONS The gram-positive bacteria(dominated by the S.aureus)are dominant among the pathogens isolated from the skin lesion specimens of the eczema patients and are highly resistant to penicillin and erythromycin.The isolation rate of MRSA is relatuvely low.There is limited clinical significant difference in the direct bilirubin between the two groups.It is necessary to further explore more reliable indexes for syndrome dif-ferentiation.
3.Assessment of rehabilitation of corpus callosum infarction:a case report based on functional near infrared spec-troscopy
Yudong CHEN ; Xiaoxia DU ; Fubiao HUANG ; Changqing YE ; Lin MA ; Yunlei WANG ; Xiaoli WU
Chinese Journal of Rehabilitation Theory and Practice 2025;31(3):365-372
Objective To report the individualized rehabilitation protocol administered to a patient suffering from corpus callosum injury subsequent to cerebral infarction,manifesting clinically as alien hand syndrome,attention deficits,spatial neglect and gait apraxia;and to emphasize the application of functional near infrared spectroscopy(fNIRS)in the assessment of cerebral activation.Methods A 54-year-old male with corpus callosum damage following cerebral infarction was assessed by a comprehen-sive array of neuropsychological assessments,such as Mini-Mental State Examination,Montreal Cognitive As-sessment,Loewenstein Occupational Therapy Cognitive Assessment and Wisconsin Card Sorting Test,etc.Based on these assessments,a personalized rehabilitation program was devised,incorporating physical therapy,occupa-tional therapy,task-oriented training,mirror therapy,computer-assisted cognitive training,as well as Schulte's square attention training,bilateral limb coordination training and transcranial magnetic stimulation(TMS).fNIRS was used to evaluate changes in brain activation before and after rehabilitation.Results After more than a month of comprehensive rehabilitation,the patient experienced significant improvements in Alien hand syndrome,attention deficit and spatial neglect.Gait was normalized,and enhancements were ob-served in motor function,cognition and activity of daily living.fNIRS analysis revealed favorable alterations in cerebral activation patterns.Conclusion For the intricate symptoms associated with corpus callosum injury,a multidisciplinary rehabilitation ap-proach,particularly the incorporation of Schulte's square attention training,bilateral coordination exercises and TMS,alongside fNIRS for monitoring cerebral activation,showed significant rehabilitation effects.
4.The efficacy and safety of nebulized inhalation of recombinant human interferon α1b in the treatment of pediatric respiratory syncytial viral associated lower respiratory tract infections: a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase Ⅲ clinical study
Xiaohui LIU ; Baoping XU ; Yunxiao SHANG ; Han ZHANG ; Zhenkun ZHANG ; Guangyu LIN ; Ju YIN ; Aihua CUI ; Guocheng ZHANG ; Zhaoling SHI ; Liwei GAO ; Chunming JIANG ; Junmei BIAN ; Yongjian HUANG ; Rongfang ZHANG ; Xiaomei LIU ; Xiaoqing YANG ; Yu TANG ; Lili ZHONG ; Hongmei QIAO ; Chuangli HAO ; Yuqing WANG ; Qubei LI ; Ling CAO ; Yungang YANG ; Ling LU ; Rongjun LIN ; Xingzhen SUN ; Wei ZHOU ; Qiang CHEN ; Jikui DENG ; Yuejie ZHENG ; Lin ZHAO ; Tao AI ; Xiaohong LIU ; Xiaoxia LU ; Ning JIANG ; Ming LI
Chinese Journal of Applied Clinical Pediatrics 2025;40(3):180-186
Objective:To evaluate the efficacy and safety of nebulized inhalation of recombinant human interferon (IFN) α1b injection in the treatment of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) associated lower respiratory tract infections (pneumonia and bronchiolitis) in children.Methods:A randomized, double-blind, parallel, placebo-controlled add-on design was used.Children with pneumonia or bronchiolitis aged 2 months to 5 years who tested positive for RSV antigen within 72 hours of onset from 30 clinical trial sites including Beijing Children′s Hospital, Capital Medical University between February 2021 and December 2022 were included in this study and randomly divided into 2 groups at a ratio of 1∶1 based on a stratified-block method.Both groups received basic treatments such as cough control, asthma relieving, expectorant treatment, fever reduction, oxygen therapy, etc.The experimental group received additional nebulized inhalation of IFN α1b injection at a dose of 2.0 μg/(kg·time), twice a day.The control group received nebulized inhalation of placebo twice a day.Clinical efficacy was evaluated based on indicators such as the duration of clinical symptoms and signs, and the Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the median and 95% CI of the duration of clinical symptoms and signs.The Log-rank test was used to compared data between groups.Safety was assessed through the incidence of adverse reactions and laboratory tests, and the Chi-square test was used to analyze the difference between groups. Results:There were 123 children in the experimental group and 122 children in the control group.The median durations of all the 5 clinical symptoms and signs [including shortness of breath, wheezing, dyspnea (visible retractions), decreased transcutaneous oxygen saturation, and abnormal mental state] in the experimental group after treatment were slightly shortened than those in the control group [2.7 d(95% CI: 1.9-3.0 d)] vs.[2.9 d(95% CI: 2.6-3.6 d), P=0.027].The improvement in dyspnea (retractions) was especially pronounced in the experimental group, with a relief rate of 50.0% (0, 100%) on the first day of administration[compared with 0 (0, 50.0%) in the control group ( Z=2.002, P=0.025)].The median duration of dyspnea in the experimental group was nearly 1 day shorter than that in the control group [1.0 d(95% CI: 0.7-1.7 d) vs.1.8 d(95% CI: 1.0-2.5 d), P=0.046].There were no significant difference in hospital stay [6.0(5.0, 8.0) d vs.6.5(5.0, 8.0) d, Z=0.675, P=0.500], oxygen therapy duration [32.0(14.0, 96.3) h vs.39.0 (24.0, 83.2) h, Z=0.094, P=0.925], the recovery rate from clinical symptoms during treatment [(105/106, 99.1%) vs.(96/101, 95.0%)], and recurrence rate [(0/106, 0) vs.(2/101, 2.0%)] between the 2 groups (all P>0.05).However, the above-mentioned four indicators in the experimental group showed a trend of clinical benefits.The quantitative virus detection results showed that the RSV viral load in both groups decreased after treatment compared to before treatment.After 2 days of treatment, the decline rate of RSV viral load from the baseline was 0.90 lg copies/(mL·d) in the experimental group and 0.25 lg copies/(mL·d)in the control group, with a statistically significant difference ( P<0.05).Furthermore, there was no statistically significant difference in the incidence of adverse reactions between the 2 groups ( P>0.05).Importantly, no drug-related serious adverse reactions occurred in both groups. Conclusions:The nebulized inhalation therapy of IFN α1b demonstrates efficacy and safety in treating pediatric RSV associated lower respiratory tract infections.It particularly offers outstanding clinical therapeutic value for severe children.
5.Development of an exercise program for patients with osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures
Xiaoqiong PENG ; Li PENG ; Xiaoxia LI ; Yuanyuan LIU ; Yawen HE ; Qiuyan FU ; Ping XIAO ; Tianwen HUANG
Modern Clinical Nursing 2025;24(7):60-67
Objective To develop a rehabilitation exercise program for the patients with osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures.Methods An online search was performed across both Chinese and English databases and websites to retrieve literature on rehabilitation exercises and related therapeutic measures for patients with osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures.Two researchers independently screened the retrieved literature,evaluated the quality,and extracted relevant evidence.Semi-structured interviews were conducted among 15 patients at various rehabilitation phases about the requirements of rehabilitation.A preliminary exercise program was developed and verified for the validity and feasibility using Delphi method.Results A rehabilitation exercise program was formulated.The program included five periods of preoperative period,bedridden period after surgery,ambulation period(1 week after surgery),weeks 2-8 after surgery and weeks 9-12 after surgery covering six domains of exercise type,exercise items,exercise duration,exercise frequency,exercise intensity and exercise safety.The response rate and effective rate over the two rounds of expert consultation were both 100.00%,with an authority coefficient of 0.94.The Kendall's W coefficients for secondary indicators in the two rounds of expert consultation were 0.184 and 0.334,respectively(both P<0.001).Conclusion The exercise program developed in this study for the patients with osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures is scientifically reliable and reasonable.The two features of continuity and staged characteristics in rehabilitation process are fully considered,thereby it offers a guidance for clinical healthcare professionals as well as the patients in development of practical and effective rehabilitation exercise plans.
6.Epidemiological characteristics of marburg virus disease: a systematic review
Tingting TIAN ; Aqian LI ; Xiaoxia HUANG ; Jiandong LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(8):1459-1467
Objective:To analyze the epidemiological characteristics and natural focus distribution of marburg virus disease (MVD), and provide evidence for the prevention and control of MVD.Methods:A systematic literature retrieval was conducted, and descriptive epidemiological method was used to analyze the temporal, spatial, and population distributions of MVD as well as its natural hosts. The case fatality rate of MVD was evaluated through Meta-analysis, and the phylogenetic analysis of viral genomes was done by using software IQ-TREE 2.3.6.Results:Marburg virus has endemic spread in Africa and can be detected in various animals such as primates and bats. The positive rate is higher in Egyptian fruit bats, and the disease epidemic areas continue to expand. The human infections occur frequently. As of December 20, 2024, a total of 18 MVD outbreaks had been reported worldwide, resulting in 722 reported cases and 548 deaths. Meta- analysis showed a case fatality rate of about 65.19% (95% CI: 48.07%-80.50%). Populations are generally susceptible, with a higher proportion of the cases in miners and medical workers. Marburg virus specific antibody can be detected in populations and animals in some countries and regions where no cases have been reported in Africa, indicating the potential of virus transmission. Conclusion:The transmission capacity of Marburg virus shows no significant changes, but the areas affected by the virus transmission expands, indicating increased risk for MVD outbreak.
7.Influencing factors of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in aircrews based on classification tree model
Lei ZHOU ; Ping SONG ; Maodan FAN ; Yinping SI ; Xiaoxia JIANG ; Junyong HUANG ; Xinyu LIU ; Xiaoya GAO ; Guodong SUN
Journal of Navy Medicine 2025;46(9):874-879
Objective To establish a classification tree model for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD)among aircrews,screen for influencing factors of NAFLD,so as to provide scientific basis for prevention and intervention decisions for NAFLD.Methods Aircrews who underwent recuperation at a sanatorium from January 2019 to December 2023 were selected as the research objects.Their annual physical examination data were collected and the NAFLD detection rate was calculated.Age,body mass index(BMI),blood pressure,waist circumference,blood routine,biochemistry indexes,and thyroid function were incorporated,and a NAFLD risk model was constructed using classification regression tree method.The predictive performance of the NAFLD classification tree model was evaluated through model misclassification matrix,risk statistics,and receiver operating characteristic curve.Results A total of 4088 aircrews were included in the study,and NAFLD was detected in 380 persons(380/4088,9.30%).The NAFLD model consisted of three layers,and five explanatory variables affecting the onset of NAFLD were extracted,including BMI,triglycerides(TG),high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C),alanine aminotransferase(ALT),and total bilirubin(TBIL).BMI was located at the top of the classification tree and was the most important risk factor for NAFLD in aircrews.The area under the curve(AUC)of the model was 0.853.The predictive accuracy of NAFLD was 90.9%,indicating that the model has good accuracy and fitting effect.Conclusion In this study,the detection rate of NAFLD in aircrews was 9.30%.BMI,TG,HDL-C,ALT,and TBIL are risk factors for the onset of NAFLD.NAFLD is mainly related to weight gain and lipid metabolism disorders caused by unhealthy lifestyles.
8.Preliminary efficacy and safety analysis of modified SIOPEL-4 protocol for newly diagnosed pediatric hepatoblastoma with lung metastases
Jiaxin PENG ; Can HUANG ; An'an ZHANG ; Yali HAN ; Haishan RUAN ; Xiaoxia WANG ; Min XU ; Yuan XIN ; Liting YU ; Zhibao LYU ; Mingxuan FENG ; Shayi JIANG ; Yijin GAO
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2025;63(12):1343-1348
Objective:To assess the preliminary efficacy and safety of modified Société Internationale d′Oncologie Pédiatrique Epithelial Liver Tumor Study Group (SIOPEL)-4 protocol for pediatric hepatoblastoma (HB) with lung metastases.Methods:This prospective cohort study enrolled 27 newly diagnosed pediatric HB with lung metastases who received the modified SIOPEL-4 protocol at Shanghai Children′s Medical Center, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, and Shanghai Children′s Hospital between January 2020 to December 2023. Clinical characteristics, lung response rates to induction chemotherapy, treatment outcomes, prognostic factors and sever chemotherapy toxicities at different stages were analyzed. Survival analysis was performed by Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate prognostic analysis was conducted by Log-Rank test.Results:Of the 27 patients, there were 17 males and 10 females, with the age of 21 (15, 33) months. During the follow-up of 31 (12, 45) months for 17 continuous complete remission patients, 4 cases disease progression (2 cases death) and 6 cases relapse were observed. The 2-year event free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS) rate was (58±11)% and (89±7)%, respectively. All the 27 patients had response to block 1-3 induction chemotherapy (cisplatin+doxorubicin), with 14 cases (52%) achieving complete response and 13 cases (48%) achieving partial response of lung metastatic lesions, the 2-year EFS rate was (81±12)% and (34±14)%, respectively ( χ 2=6.76, P=0.009), the 2-year OS rate was 100% and (79±13)%, respectively ( χ2=2.12, P=0.145). Patients with caudate lobe tumors or ≥10 pulmonary metastatic nodules had significantly lower EFS rates ( χ2=5.36, 7.84, P=0.021, 0.005, respectively). The incidence of grade 3/4 neutropenia after block 1-3 induction chemotherapy, CD (carboplatin+doxorubicin), and VI (vincristine+irinotecan) consolidation chemotherapy was 90% (73/81), 75% (58/77), and 31% (11/35), respectively. The incidence of grade 3/4 thrombocytopenia was 77% (62/81), 69% (53/77), and 14% (5/35), respectively. The incidence of grade 3/4 infections was 64% (52/81), 25% (19/77), and 20% (7/35), respectively. The differences between the groups were statistically significant ( χ2=43.51, 42.69, 33.00, all P<0.001). Two patients (10%) of the 20 evaluable patients for ototoxicity occurred grade 3 and higher hearing impairment, with 1 patient requiring a hearing aid. Conclusions:The modified SIOPEL-4 regimen shows good preliminary efficacy and safety in treating pediatric HB with lung metastases. The prognosis for patients with residual lesions in the lungs after induction chemotherapy needs to be improved. Attention should be given to the ototoxicity induced by high-dose cisplatin chemotherapy.
9.Machine learning-based predictive model for severe pneumonia in children
Qing DU ; Mingzhao HUANG ; Ying LI ; Kai CHEN ; Lianting HU ; Chao XIONG ; Xiaoxia LU
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(10):1716-1724
Objective:To develop and validate a clinical warning model for severe pediatric community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) using electronic health records.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted, analyzing clinical data of 15 750 children hospitalized for CAP at Wuhan Children′s Hospital between January 1, 2019, and December 31, 2023. Patient data were randomly split into training and testing sets at a 7∶3 ratio. Six supervised machine learning models were constructed in the training set, optimized using five-fold cross-validation, and evaluated in the testing set. Model performance was assessed using ROC-AUC, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, calibration curves, and clinical decision curve analysis at optimal thresholds. The best-performing model was selected, and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) were used to interpret feature importance. A program interface was developed based on the model results, enabling integration into clinical decision support systems for automated early warning.Results:A total of 15 750 participants, ranging in age from 28 days to 18 years, were included in the study. The median age was 2 years [interquartile range (IQR): 0-4 years], with 9 555 males (60.67%) and 6 195 females (39.33%). Among them, 2 211 (14.04%) developed severe pneumonia. In the prediction models, XGB outperformed other models with an ROC-AUC of 0.884 (95% CI: 0.870-0.898), sensitivity (0.803, 95% CI: 0.772-0.832), specificity (0.828, 95% CI: 0.816-0.839). Calibration analysis showed strong agreement between predicted and observed risks (Brier score: 0.081, 95% CI: 0.075-0.086). The analysis based on the SHAP method revealed that respiratory rate, heart rate, T-lymphocyte subsets, and red blood cell volume distribution width-SD are predictive factors for severe progression of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in children. Conclusion:An interpretable machine learning model was developed for the early detection and personalized treatment planning of severe CAP in children, providing valuable support to clinicians.
10.Distribution of pathogens isolated from patients with eczema and clinical laboratory test indexes of patients with TCM syndrome type of eczema
Hongye MA ; Xiang GAO ; Xiaoxia HUANG ; Xuanyu WANG ; Chunyan JIANG ; Honglin GUO
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(18):2765-2769
OBJECTIVE To explore the differences in the clinical laboratory test indexes between the patients with two different TCM syndrome types of eczema(dampness-heat infiltration type and non-dampness-heat infiltration type)and observe the distribution and drug resistance rate of pathogens isolated from the skin lesions so as to pro-vide bases for syndrome differentiation and reasonable use of antibiotics.METHODS A total of 180 patients with eczema who were positive for bacterial culture of skin secretions and were treated in Beijing Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine from Jan.2021 to Dec.2023 were enrolled in the study and were divided into the dampness-heat infiltration group with 134 cases and the non-dampness-heat infiltration group with 46 cases.The data of clini-cal laboratory test indexes were collected from the two groups of patients,the secretion specimens were sampled from the skin lesion sites,the isolated pathogens were identified by VITEK 2 Compact automatic microorganism analysis system,and the drug susceptibility testing was performed.RESULTS The direct bilirubin level of the dampness-heat infiltration group was(3.99±1.62)umol/L,higher than(3.46±1.12)umol/L of the non-damp-ness-heat infiltration group(P<0.05),but both were in the normal range;there were no significant differences in other test indexes between the two groups.Totally 180 strains of pathogens were isolated from the 180 patients with eczema,156(86.67%)of which were gram-positive bacteria;Staphylococcus aureus(98 strains),Staphy-lococcus epidermidis(29 strains)and Staphylococcus haemolyticus(15 strains)were the predominant species of the gram-positive bacteria.The gram-negative bacteria accounted for 12.22%(22 strains).The drug resistance rate of the S.aureus strains to penicillin was up to 82.65%,and the isolation rate of methicillin-resistant Staphy-lococcus aureus(MRSA)was 12.24%(12/98);the drug resistance rates of the S.epidermidis strains to penicil-lin and erythromycin were 75.86%,and the drug resistance rate of the S.haemolyticus strains to erythromycin was 100.00%.CONCLUSIONS The gram-positive bacteria(dominated by the S.aureus)are dominant among the pathogens isolated from the skin lesion specimens of the eczema patients and are highly resistant to penicillin and erythromycin.The isolation rate of MRSA is relatuvely low.There is limited clinical significant difference in the direct bilirubin between the two groups.It is necessary to further explore more reliable indexes for syndrome dif-ferentiation.

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