1.Mechanism of Shenqi Dihuangtang in Blocking Renal Fibrosis Injury in Diabetic Kidney Disease Mediated by Epithelial-mesenchymal Transition Through Inhibiting TGF-β1/Smad Signaling Axis
Liangjing LIU ; Haolan LIU ; Xiaoling MAO ; Min YU ; Weitong YAN ; Chao LI
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(7):32-45
ObjectiveThis paper aims to study the potential active compound components and action mechanism of Shenqi Dihuangtang in the treatment of diabetic kidney disease (DKD) through network pharmacology and in vivo experimental verification. MethodsUltra-high-performance liquid chromatography-Q-exactive orbitrap mass spectrometry (UPLC-Q-Exactive Orbitrap MS) technology was used to clarify the main active chemical components of Shenqi Dihuangtang, and it was combined with network pharmacology methods such as gene ontology (GO) functional annotations and Kyoto encyclopedia of genes and genome (KEGG) to predict the potential action mechanism of Shenqi Dihuangtang in treating DKD. Subsequently, the DKD model of db/db male mice was established, and the mice were randomly divided into model group, low-dose Shenqi Dihuangtang group (6.10 g·kg-1), medium-dose Shenqi Dihuangtang group (12.19 g·kg-1), high-dose Shenqi Dihuangtang group (24.38 g·kg-1), and daplizin group (1.25 mg·kg-1). During the same period, C57BL/6J male mice were selected into normal group and received drug intervention for 8 weeks, respectively. During this period, the body weight and fasting blood glucose (FBG) of the mice were dynamically monitored, and oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) and insulin tolerance test (ITT) were performed at the end of dosing. The levels of serum creatinine (SCr), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), uric acid (UA), albumin (ALB), and total protein (TP) were measured by an automatic biochemical analyzer, and 24-hour urine protein was measured by a urine protein quantitative kit. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE), periodic-acid Schiff (PAS), and Masson staining were employed to observe the renal histopathology. The expression of nephrotic protein Nephrin was observed by immunohistochemistry. Western blot was used to detect the expression of epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT)-related proteins such as TGF-β1, Smad2/3, α-smooth muscle actin (α-SMA), neural-cadherin (N-Cadherin), and snail protein. ResultsUPLC-Q-Exactive Orbitrap MS identified 384 active compounds in the aqueous extract of Shenqi Dihuangtang. According to oral bioavailability≥30% and the five drug-like principles, 44 key active ingredients were screened out, and 169 intersection targets highly correlated with DKD were matched. Among them, there was a significant interaction relationship between tumor necrosis factor(TNF), interleukin(IL)-6, protein kinase B(Akt)1, Caspase-3, Jun proto-oncogene (JUN), hypoxia inducible factor-1α(HIF-1α), B cell lymphoma-2(Bcl-2), matrix metallopeptidase-9(MMP-9), IL-1β, and TGF-β1. GO functional annotations were significantly enriched in cellular components such as membrane rafts, membrane microdomains, and collagen-containing extracellular matrix, molecular functions such as DNA-binding transcription factor binding, R-Smad binding, and Smad protein binding, as well as biological processes such as reactions to lipopolysaccharides(LPS), reactions to bacteria-derived molecules, and wound healing. The KEGG pathway was significantly enriched in lipids and atherosclerosis, TGF-β signaling pathway, phosphatidylinositol 3 kinase (PI3K)/Akt signaling pathway, etc. In vivo experimental results showed that the high-dose Shenqi Dihuangtang group could significantly reduce FBG levels in db/db mice (P<0.01), improve OGTT (P<0.01) and ITT (P<0.01) levels, reduce SCr (P<0.01), BUN (P<0.01), UA (P<0.01) and 24-hour BUN (P<0.01), and increase ALB (P<0.01) and TP (P<0.01) levels. Pathological staining confirmed that the high-dose Shenqi Dihuangtang group could significantly reduce the glomerular mesangial matrix area and collagen deposition (P<0.01) and upregulate the positive expression rate of Nephrin (P<0.01). Western blot results showed that the high-dose Shenqi Dihuangtang group significantly downregulated the expression of TGF-β1 (P<0.01) and Smad2/3 (P<0.01) signal molecules and inhibited the protein levels of α-SMA (P<0.01), N-Cadherin (P<0.01), and Snail (P<0.01). ConclusionShenqi Dihuangtang can inhibit the TGF-β1/Smad signaling axis and block the renal EMT process, thereby improving DKD renal fibrosis damage. Further analysis of its key active components and clinical transformation pathways is needed in the future.
2.Association of outdoor activity time and sleep duration with screening myopia in primary school students
LIU Xiaoling, LI Tingting, CAO Caiyun, YANG Feng, TAO Shuman, WU Xiaoyan, XU Shaojun, TAO Fangbiao
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(2):279-282
Objective:
To explore the association of outdoor activity time and sleep duration with screening myopia in primary school students, so as to provide strategies for myopia prevention.
Methods:
Through a convenience sampling method, a survey was conducted among 4 248 primary school students aged 7-13 years from three primary schools in Xihu District, Nanchang City, Jiangxi Province from May to July, 2023. The average daily outdoor activity time and sleep duration on both weekdays and weekends were investigated in primary school students by using a self designed questionnaire. Uncorrected visual acuity tests and non cycloplegic autorefraction were measured by professional optometrists. Inter group comparisons were conducted using the Chi square test. Logistic regression model was used to analyze the association of outdoor activity time and sleep duration with screening myopia.
Results:
The detection rate of screening myopia in primary school students was 33.6%, with the rate in boys (32.0%) lower than that in girls (35.3%), and the difference was statistically significant ( χ 2=5.11, P =0.02). The analysis results of Logistic regression showed that after adjusting for factors such as gender, grade and parental education level, both average daily outdoor activity time <2 h on both weekdays and weekends ( OR =1.27, 95% CI =1.11-1.46) and sleep duration <10 h ( OR =1.17, 95% CI =1.01- 1.35 ), as well as their combined effect ( OR =1.57, 95% CI =1.25-1.98), were associated with an increased risk of screening myopia in primary school students(all P <0.05). Subgroup analysis results indicated that compared to boys ( OR =1.46, 95% CI = 1.07 -1.99), girls( OR =1.73, 95% CI =1.22-2.44) with insufficient outdoor activity time and sleep duration had a higher risk of screening myopia(both P <0.05).
Conclusions
There is a negative correlation of outdoor activity time and sleep duration with screening myopia in primary school students. Outdoor activity time and extending sleep duration should be increased to reduce the risk of myopia in primary school students.
3.Two cases of rare K phenotype caused by the KEL c.715G>T mutation
Jing LI ; Jing ZHANG ; Zhixia CHENG ; Jian DU ; Xiaoling ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(4):526-533
Objective: To investigate the serological identification and blood group gene sequencing analysis of two rare cases of K
phenotype producing high-frequency antigen antibodies (anti-Ku), and to study the serological interrelationship between K
cells and the high-frequency antigen antibody anti-KL. Methods: Serological methods were used to identify the antigen phenotypes of the ABO, Rh, and Kell blood group systems and to screen for and identify unexpected antibodies in the two patients. The characteristics of the unexpected antibodies were verified by the indirect antiglobulin test (IAT) using papain or dithiothreitol (DTT) -treated screening cells. The titer of anti-Ku was determined via the tube method using DTT-treated plasma. The Kell blood group genotype was determined by gene sequencing. The distinctive antigenicity of K
cells was validated through their reactivity with anti-KL in IAT, and absorption-elution techniques were employed to corroborate the type of anti-KL. Results: Serological findings: Case 1 was blood group O, CCDee; Case 2 was blood group A, CCDee. Both cases exhibited the Kell phenotype: K-k-, Kp (a-b-). High-frequency antigen antibodies were detected in the plasma of both patients. The reactivity of these antibodies was slightly enhanced with papain-treated screening cells but became negative with DTT-treated cells. The anti-Ku (IgG) titer for Case 1 was 64. For Case 2, the anti-Ku (IgM) titer was<1, and the anti-Ku (IgG) titer was 32. Gene sequencing revealed that both cases harbored a homozygous c.715G>T mutation in the KEL gene, corresponding to the genotype KEL02N.24, consistent with the rare K
phenotype. The unique high expression of the Kx antigen on K
cells was confirmed through the antibody characteristics of anti-KL. Absorption-elution techniques demonstrated that K
cells could separate anti-Km and anti-Kx, thereby supporting the classification of anti-KL. Conclusion: Serological and molecular biological assays identified both patients as having the rare Kell-null (K
) phenotype. If such rare blood types go undetected in transfusion medicine, the administration of standard blood products can readily induce the production of high-frequency antigen antibodies such as anti-Ku, potentially leading to a transfusion crisis due to the subsequent difficulty in finding compatible blood. The serological relationship between K
cells and anti-KL clarified the characteristic high expression of the Kx antigen on K
phenotype erythrocytes and concurrently supported the typological features of the rare high-frequency antibody anti-KL. This represents the first such verified report in China.
4.Analysis of the burden and trends of oral disorders among the elderly in China from 1990 to 2021
LI Zhixiao ; LOU Ting ; BAI Xiaoling ; CHEN Su ; GUO Shihong ; YANG Zengzhen ; XIAO Changliang
Journal of Prevention and Treatment for Stomatological Diseases 2025;33(11):954-967
Objective:
To analyze the disease burden and trends of oral diseases among China’s elderly population (1990-2021) and provide evidence for developing targeted intervention strategies
Methods :
Using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 study, we extracted prevalence, incidence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for oral conditions (permanent dental caries, edentulism, periodontal diseases, and other oral disorders) in individuals aged ≥60 years in China. Due to data limitations, other oral diseases only included DALYs and prevalence. Age-standardized rates (ASR)—including age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), and age-standardized DALYs rate (ASDR)--were calculated. Trends were assessed via Joinpoint regression using average annual percentage change (AAPC), stratified by sex and age groups (60-64, 65-69, 70-74, 75-79, 80-84, 85-89, 90-94, 95+ years).
Results:
From 1990 to 2021, China’s elderly population exhibited distinct trends in oral disease burden. Overall oral diseases showed declining ASDR and ASPR, yet ASIR slightly increased. Permanent dental caries demonstrated significant rises across ASDR, ASIR, and ASPR. Edentulism showed declining ASDR and ASPR alongside stable ASIR. 95+ age group saw rising rates. Periodontal diseases remained largely stable in ASDR and ASPR but experienced a slight ASIR decline. Other oral disorders showed mild ASDR decline and stable ASPR. Notably, sex and age disparities persisted. Women consistently bore higher burdens for overall oral diseases, caries, edentulism, and other oral diseases but lower periodontal disease rates compared to men. 85-89, 90-95, 95+ age group faced rising DALYs and prevalence for overall oral diseases, while all other age groups demonstrated declining trends in both DALYs and prevalence; for permanent caries, the 60-64 age group showed the largest increases in DALY rate, incidence, and prevalence; edentulism demonstrated the most pronounced and sustained rises in DALY rate and prevalence in the 95+ group, while declining most rapidly in the 60-64 age group; for periodontal disease, both DALY rates and prevalence declined in the 90-94 and 95+ age groups, but increased across all measures (DALY rate, incidence, and prevalence) in the 70-74 and 75-79 age group; other oral conditions exhibited relatively stable burden distributions or minor changes, with no significant age-specific shifting trends observed.
Conclusion
From 1990 to 2021, China’s elderly oral disease burden declined overall, but caries surged, edentulism improved, periodontal diseases stabilized, and other oral diseases slightly declined. Prioritizing older women and the adults aged 85+ is critical to addressing evolving oral health needs.
5.Safety and efficacy of Angong Niuhuang Pills in patients with moderate-to-severe acute ischemic stroke (ANGONG TRIAL): A randomized double-blind placebo-controlled pilot clinical trial.
Shengde LI ; Anxin WANG ; Lin SHI ; Qin LIU ; Xiaoling GUO ; Kun LIU ; Xiaoli WANG ; Jie LI ; Jianming ZHU ; Qiuyi WU ; Qingcheng YANG ; Xianbo ZHUANG ; Hui YOU ; Feng FENG ; Yishan LUO ; Huiling LI ; Jun NI ; Bin PENG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(5):579-588
BACKGROUND:
Preclinical studies have indicated that Angong Niuhuang Pills (ANP) reduce cerebral infarct and edema volumes. This study aimed to investigate whether ANP safely reduces cerebral infarct and edema volumes in patients with moderate to severe acute ischemic stroke.
METHODS:
This randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled pilot trial included patients with acute ischemic stroke with National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores ranging from 10 to 20 in 17 centers in China between April 2021 and July 2022. Patients were allocated within 36 h after onset via block randomization to receive ANP or placebo (3 g/day for 5 days). The primary outcomes were changes in cerebral infarct and edema volumes after 14 days of treatment. The primary safety outcome was severe adverse events (SAEs) for 90 days.
RESULTS:
There were 57 and 60 patients finally included in the ANP and placebo groups, respectively for modified intention-to-treat analysis. The median age was 66.0 years, and the median NIHSS score at baseline was 12.0. The changes in cerebral infarct volume at day 14 were 0.3 mL and 0.4 mL in the ANP and placebo groups, respectively (median difference: -7.1 mL; interquartile range [IQR]: -18.3 to 2.3 mL, P = 0.30). The changes in cerebral edema volume of the ANP and placebo groups on day 14 were 11.4 mL and 4.0 mL, respectively ( median difference: 3.0 mL, IQR: -1.3 to 9.9 mL, P = 0.15). The rates of SAE within 90 days were similar in the ANP (3/57, 5%) and placebo (7/60, 12%) groups ( P = 0.36). Changes in serum mercury and arsenic concentrations were comparable. In patients with large artery atherosclerosis, ANP reduced the cerebral infarct volume at 14 days (median difference: -12.3 mL; IQR: -27.7 to -0.3 mL, P = 0.03).
CONCLUSIONS:
ANP showed a similar safety profile to placebo and non-significant tendency to reduce cerebral infarct volume in patients with moderate-to-severe stroke. Further studies are warranted to assess the efficacy of ANP in reducing cerebral infarcts and improving clinical prognosis.
TRAIL REGISTRATION
Clinicaltrials.gov , No. NCT04475328.
Aged
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Female
;
Humans
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Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Double-Blind Method
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal/adverse effects*
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Ischemic Stroke/drug therapy*
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Pilot Projects
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Stroke/drug therapy*
;
Treatment Outcome
6.Current status of generalized pustular psoriasis: Findings from a multicenter hospital-based survey of 127 Chinese patients.
Haimeng WANG ; Jiaming XU ; Xiaoling YU ; Siyu HAO ; Xueqin CHEN ; Bin PENG ; Xiaona LI ; Ping WANG ; Chaoyang MIAO ; Jinzhu GUO ; Qingjie HU ; Zhonglan SU ; Sheng WANG ; Chen YU ; Qingmiao SUN ; Minkuo ZHANG ; Bin YANG ; Yuzhen LI ; Zhiqiang SONG ; Songmei GENG ; Aijun CHEN ; Zigang XU ; Chunlei ZHANG ; Qianjin LU ; Yan LU ; Xian JIANG ; Gang WANG ; Hong FANG ; Qing SUN ; Jie LIU ; Hongzhong JIN
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(8):953-961
BACKGROUND:
Generalized pustular psoriasis (GPP), a rare and recurrent autoinflammatory disease, imposes a substantial burden on patients and society. Awareness of GPP in China remains limited.
METHODS:
This cross-sectional survey, conducted between September 2021 and May 2023 across 14 hospitals in China, included GPP patients of all ages and disease phases. Data collected encompassed demographics, clinical characteristics, economic impact, disease severity, quality of life, and treatment-related complications. Risk factors for GPP recurrence were analyzed.
RESULTS:
Among 127 patients (female/male ratio = 1.35:1), the mean age of disease onset was 25 years (1st quartile [Q1]-3rd quartile [Q3]: 11-44 years); 29.2% had experienced GPP for more than 10 years. Recurrence occurred in 75.6% of patients, and nearly half reported no identifiable triggers. Younger age at disease onset ( P = 0.021) and transitioning to plaque psoriasis ( P = 0.022) were associated with higher recurrence rates. The median diagnostic delay was 8 months (Q1-Q3: 2-41 months), and 32.3% of patients reported misdiagnoses. Comorbidities were present in 53.5% of patients, whereas 51.1% experienced systemic complications during treatment. Depression and anxiety affected 84.5% and 95.6% of patients, respectively. During GPP flares, the median Dermatology Life Quality Index score was 19.0 (Q1-Q3: 13.0-23.5). This score showed significant differences between patients with and without systemic symptoms; it demonstrated correlations with both depression and anxiety scores. Treatment costs caused financial hardship in 55.9% of patients, underscoring the burden associated with GPP.
CONCLUSIONS
The substantial disease and economic burdens among Chinese GPP patients warrant increased attention. Patients with early onset disease and those transitioning to plaque psoriasis require targeted interventions to mitigate the high recurrence risk.
Humans
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Male
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Female
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Psoriasis/pathology*
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Adult
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Cross-Sectional Studies
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Adolescent
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Child
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Young Adult
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Quality of Life
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Middle Aged
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China/epidemiology*
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Recurrence
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Risk Factors
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Surveys and Questionnaires
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East Asian People
7.Transaminases: high-throughput screening via a ketone-fluorescent probe and applications.
Hongbo YE ; Qingye LI ; Xiaoling TANG ; Renchao ZHENG
Chinese Journal of Biotechnology 2025;41(1):416-426
Transaminases are a class of enzymes that catalyze the transfer of amino between amino acids and keto acids, playing an important role in the biosynthesis of organic amines and the corresponding derivatives. However, natural enzymes often have low catalytic efficiency against non-natural substrates, which limits their widespread applications. Enzyme engineering serves as an effective approach to improve the catalytic properties and thereby expand the application scope of transaminases. In this study, a high-throughput screening method for transaminases was established based on the fluorescent color reaction between methoxy-2-aminobenzoxime (PMA) and ketones. According to the changes in fluorescence intensity, the concentration changes of ketones could be easily monitored. The efficiency, sensitivity, and accuracy of the screening method were improved by optimization of the system. With 4-hydroxy-2-butanone as the substrate, the mutant library of the transaminase from Actinobacteria sp. was established and a mutant with increased activity was successfully obtained, which improved the production efficiency of (R)-3-aminobutanol by enzyme-catalyzed synthesis. This study laid an important foundation for efficient screening, modification, and application of transaminase.
Transaminases/metabolism*
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Fluorescent Dyes/chemistry*
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High-Throughput Screening Assays/methods*
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Ketones/metabolism*
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Actinobacteria/enzymology*
8.Effect and mechanism of HSPA1A on apoptosis of H9c2 cardiomyocytes in hypoxic environment
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2025;60(4):634-641
Objective :
To investigate the effects of heat shock protein 70 ku protein 1A(HSPA1A) on H9c2 inflammation and apoptotic injury in rat cardiomyocytes under hypoxia, and to analyze its mechanism.
Methods:
H9c2 cells were treated with normal oxygen(Nor) and hypoxia(Hyp), and the expression of HSPA1A was detected by RT-qPCR and Western blot. Normal H9c2 cells were divided into Nor group(normoxia culture), sh-HSPA1A+Nor group(cells transfected with HSPA1A shRNA, normoxia culture), Hyp group(hypoxia culture), sh-HSPA1A+Hyp group(cells transfected with HSPA1A SHRNA, hypoxia culture), the expression level of HSPA1A in H9c2 cells in each group was detected by RT-qPCR and Western blot, the morphology of H9c2 cells in each group was observed by inverted microscope, and the activity of H9c2 cells in each group was detected by CCK-8, the contents of inflammatory factors tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α), interleukin(IL)-6, IL-1β and the activities of myocardial injury markers lactate dehydrogenase(LDH), creatine kinase(CK) in the supernatant of H9c2 cells were detected by ELISA, apoptosis rate of H9c2 cells in each group was detected by Annexin V-FITC/PI double staining, the expression levels of TNF receptor-associated factor 2(TRAF2)/nuclear factor κB(NF-κB) pathway-related proteins in H9c2 cells of each group were detected by Western blot.
Results:
Compared with Nor group, the relative expression of HSPA1A mRNA and protein in H9c2 cells in Hyp group after hypoxia induction was significantly up-regulated(P<0.05). Compared with Nor group, the number of H9c2 cells in Hyp group significantly decreased, some cells were wrinkled and disordered, the cell activity significantly decreased(P<0.05), the contents of TNF-α, IL-6, IL-1β and the activities of LDH and CK in supernatant significantly increased(P<0.05), the cell apoptosis rate significantly increased(P<0.05), the relative expressions of TRAF2 protein and the phosphorylation level of p65 and inhibitor of nuclear factor κB alpha(IκBα) were significantly up-regulated(P<0.05); compared with Hyp group, the morphology of H9c2 cells in sh-HSPA1A+Hyp group was improved, the cell arrangement was more dense, the cell activity significantly increased(P<0.05), the contents of TNF-α, IL-6 and IL-1β in supernatant decreased, the activities of LDH and CK significantly decreased(P<0.05), the apoptosis rate significantly decreased(P<0.05), the relative expressions of TRAF2 protein and the phosphorylation level of p65 and IκBα were also significantly down-regulated(P<0.05).
Conclusion
The expression of HSPA1A in rat cardiomyocytes H9c2 is increased by hypoxia, and inhibition of HSPA1A expression can improve the hypoxia-induced inflammatory response of H9c2 cells and reduce apoptosis damage, which may be related to the regulation of TRAF2/NF-κB pathway.
9.Recommendations for the clinical use of anti-amyloid-β monoclonal antibody for Alzheimer's disease(2025)
Nan ZHI ; Jinwen XIAO ; Rujing REN ; Binyin LI ; Jintao WANG ; Jieli GENG ; Wenwei CAO ; Yaying SONG ; Hualong WANG ; Shuguang CHU ; Guoping PENG ; Jun LIU ; Xiaoyun LIU ; Fang YUAN ; Wen WANG ; Ronghua DOU ; Xia LI ; Ling YUE ; Wenshi WEI ; Xiaoling PAN ; Xiangyang ZHU ; Dian HE ; Weinü FAN ; Jingping SHI ; Nan ZHANG ; Hui ZHAO ; Qin CHEN ; Cuibai WEI ; Xiaochun CHEN ; Gang WANG
Journal of Chongqing Medical University 2025;50(9):1133-1140
In recent years,significant breakthroughs have been achieved in the immunotherapy for Alzheimer's disease.In line with global advancements,two anti-amyloid-β monoclonal antibodies have been approved and successfully launched in China for clinical use.Lecanemab and Donanemab were officially used in June 2024 and April 2025 in China,respectively.In order to standardize the rational and safe application of anti-amyloid-β monoclonal antibodies for Alzheimer's disease in China,this article integrates recom-mendations from the clinical trials and real-world experience from the author's team and domestic peers to further update the recom-mendations for the clinical use of anti-amyloid-β monoclonal antibody based on the 2024 version.It includes indications for therapy,pre-treatment evaluation and preparation,administration protocols and safety measures during treatment,and post-treatment monitor-ing strategies.
10.Nomogram prediction model for factors associated with vascular plaques in a physical examination population.
Xiaoling ZHU ; Lei YAN ; Li TANG ; Jiangang WANG ; Yazhang GUO ; Pingting YANG
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(7):1167-1178
OBJECTIVES:
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) poses a major threat to global health. Evaluating atherosclerosis in asymptomatic individuals can help identify those at high risk of CVD. This study aims to establish an individualized nomogram prediction model to estimate the risk of vascular plaque formation in asymptomatic individuals.
METHODS:
A total of 5 655 participants who underwent CVD screening at the Health Management Center of The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, between January 2022 and June 2024 we retrospectively enrolled. Using simple random sampling, participants were divided into a training set (n=4 524) and a validation set (n=1 131) in an 8꞉2 ratio. Demographic and clinical data were collected and compared between groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent factors associated with vascular plaques and to construct a nomogram prediction model. The predictive performance and clinical utility of the model were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA).
RESULTS:
The mean age of participants was 52 years old. There were 3 400 males (60.12%). The overall detection rate of vascular plaque in the screening population was 49.87% (2 820/5 655). No statistically significant differences were observed in clinical indicators between the training and validation sets (all P>0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis identified age, systolic blood pressure, high-density lipoprotein (HDL), low-density lipoprotein (LDL), lipoprotein(a), male sex, smoking history, hypertension history, and diabetes history as independent risk factors for vascular plaque in asymptomatic individuals (all P<0.05). The area under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram model for predicting vascular plaque risk were 0.778 (95% CI 0.765 to 0.791, P<0.001) in the training set and 0.760 (95% CI 0.732 to 0.787, P<0.001) in the validation set. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test indicated good model calibration (training set: P=0.628; validation set: P=0.561). The calibration curve plotted using the Bootstrap method demonstrated good agreement between predicted probabilities and actual probabilities. DCA showed that the nomogram provided a clinical net benefit for predicting vascular plaque risk when the threshold probability ranged from 0.02 to 0.99.
CONCLUSIONS
The nomogram prediction model for vascular plaque risk, constructed using readily available and cost-effective physical examination indicators, exhibited good predictive performance. This model can assist in the early identification and intervention of asymptomatic individuals at high risk for cardiovascular disease.
Humans
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Male
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Middle Aged
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Female
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Nomograms
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Retrospective Studies
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Risk Factors
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Plaque, Atherosclerotic/diagnosis*
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Aged
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Adult
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Physical Examination
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Logistic Models
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Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology*
;
ROC Curve


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