1.Comparative analysis of the predictive value of fried frailty phenotype, liver fraily index and short physical performance battery in the prognosis of patients with liver cirrhosis
Jia LUO ; Dai ZHANG ; Shan SHAN ; Xiaoming WANG ; Xiaojuan OU ; Yu WANG ; Jidong JIA
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(9):1818-1828
ObjectiveTo investigate the value of Fried Frailty Phenotype (FFP), liver frailty index (LFI), and Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB) in predicting 2-year all-cause mortality and decompensation events in patients with liver cirrhosis. MethodsA total of 277 patients with liver cirrhosis who were hospitalized in Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, from December 2020 to December 2021 were enrolled, and FFP, LFI, and SPPB were used to assess the state of frailty. Based on the scores of each tool, these patients were divided into frail and non-frail groups. These three tools were compared in terms of consistency and independent predictive performance. The primary endpoints were 2-year all-cause mortality rate and composite endpoints (death+decompensation events), and the Cox regression analysis, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, net reclassification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) index were used to analyze the predictive value of the three tools. Normally distributed continuous data were compared between two groups using the independent samples t-test, while non-normally distributed continuous data were compared using the Mann-Whitney U test. Categorical data were compared between groups using the chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test. The agreement among different frailty tools was evaluated using Cohen’s Kappa statistic. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve was plotted, and a survival analysis was performed using the log-rank test. ResultsThe prevalence rate of frailty assessed by FFP, LFI, and SPPB was 37.2%, 22.4%, and 20.2%, respectively, with a moderate consistency between FFP and LFI/SPPB (κ=0.57, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.47 — 0.67; κ=0.51, 95%CI: 0.41 — 0.62) and a relatively high consistency between LFI and SPPB (κ=0.87, 95%CI: 0.80 — 0.94). Compared with the non-frailty group, the frailty group had significantly higher all-cause mortality rate and incidence rate of composite endpoints (P0.001). After multivariate adjustment, FFP, LFI, and SPPB had a hazard ratio of 2.42(95%CI: 1.51 — 5.11), 2.21(95%CI: 1.11 — 4.42), and 2.21(95%CI: 1.14 — 4.30), respectively, in predicting all-cause mortality, as well as a hazard ratio of 2.51(95%CI: 1.61 — 3.91), 2.40(95%CI: 1.51 — 3.80), and 2.20(95%CI: 1.39 — 3.47), respectively, in predicting composite endpoints. Compared with Child-Pugh score, FFP had a significantly greater area under the ROC curve (AUC) in predicting all-cause mortality (0.79 vs 0.69, P=0.032) and composite endpoints (0.75 vs 0.68, P=0.044). Frailty assessment tools combined with Child-Pugh score significantly improved the performance in predicting all-cause mortality and composite endpoints, with an AUC of 0.81 — 0.82 and 0.77 — 0.78, respectively (P0.05). NRI and IDI analyses further confirmed the improvement of the combined model in classification (all P0.001). ConclusionFFP, LFI, and SPPB can independently predict adverse outcomes in patients with liver cirrhosis, among which FFP has the best predictive performance, and the combination of frailty assessment tools with Child-Pugh score can significantly enhance the accuracy of prognostic evaluation.
2.Multivariate analysis of psychological health among hospital infection prevention and control practitioners in Tianjin
He LIU ; Chunnan FEI ; Xiaojuan ZHANG ; Jun LIU ; Jia SONG ; Zheng YAN
Chinese Journal of Industrial Hygiene and Occupational Diseases 2024;42(8):594-597
Objective:To understand the occupational stress and mental health status of hospital infection prevention and control practitioner (HIPCPs) in medical institutions, and analyze their main influencing factors.Methods:In November 2021, 550 nosocomial infection managers in Tianjin were randomly selected to conduct a questionnaire survey using the Concise Occupational Stress Questionnaire, Depression Screening Scale (PHQ-9) and Self-Rating Anxiety Scale (SAS). 497 valid questionnaires were obtained, and the total recovery efficiency was 90.36%. Single factor analysis and multivariate logistic regression method were used to analyze the main influencing factors of occupational stress and mental health status of psychiatric managers.Results:The detection rate of anxiety and depression among 497 HIPCPs was 22.73% (113/497) and 58.95% (293/497), respectively. Gender and major were the influencing factors of depression ( P=0.000, 0.001). Average working hours>52 hours per week and night shift days>1 days per week were the influencing factors of anxiety ( P=0.035, 0.014). Average working hours>52 h per week, night shift days >1 d per week and different majors were the influencing factors of occupational stress ( P=0.000, 0.025, 0.010). Multivariate logistic regression results showed that the risk of anxiety in those who worked more than 52 hours per week was 1.753 times that of those who worked less than 52 hours per week ( P=0.038), and the risk of depression in women was 3.071 times that of men ( P=0.006) . Conclusion:Working hours are an important influencing factor for occupational stress and anxiety among HIPCPs. In order to reduce the occurrence of occupational stress and mental health problems, it is necessary to strengthen psychological counseling for HIPCPs and balance work and rest.
3.Multivariate analysis of psychological health among hospital infection prevention and control practitioners in Tianjin
He LIU ; Chunnan FEI ; Xiaojuan ZHANG ; Jun LIU ; Jia SONG ; Zheng YAN
Chinese Journal of Industrial Hygiene and Occupational Diseases 2024;42(8):594-597
Objective:To understand the occupational stress and mental health status of hospital infection prevention and control practitioner (HIPCPs) in medical institutions, and analyze their main influencing factors.Methods:In November 2021, 550 nosocomial infection managers in Tianjin were randomly selected to conduct a questionnaire survey using the Concise Occupational Stress Questionnaire, Depression Screening Scale (PHQ-9) and Self-Rating Anxiety Scale (SAS). 497 valid questionnaires were obtained, and the total recovery efficiency was 90.36%. Single factor analysis and multivariate logistic regression method were used to analyze the main influencing factors of occupational stress and mental health status of psychiatric managers.Results:The detection rate of anxiety and depression among 497 HIPCPs was 22.73% (113/497) and 58.95% (293/497), respectively. Gender and major were the influencing factors of depression ( P=0.000, 0.001). Average working hours>52 hours per week and night shift days>1 days per week were the influencing factors of anxiety ( P=0.035, 0.014). Average working hours>52 h per week, night shift days >1 d per week and different majors were the influencing factors of occupational stress ( P=0.000, 0.025, 0.010). Multivariate logistic regression results showed that the risk of anxiety in those who worked more than 52 hours per week was 1.753 times that of those who worked less than 52 hours per week ( P=0.038), and the risk of depression in women was 3.071 times that of men ( P=0.006) . Conclusion:Working hours are an important influencing factor for occupational stress and anxiety among HIPCPs. In order to reduce the occurrence of occupational stress and mental health problems, it is necessary to strengthen psychological counseling for HIPCPs and balance work and rest.
4.Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasound in the Differential Diagnosis of Gallbladder Polypoid Lesions:A Multicenter Study
Ligang JIA ; Xiang FEI ; Xiang JING ; Mingxing LI ; Fang NIE ; Dong JIANG ; Shaoshan TANG ; Wei ZHANG ; Hong DING ; Tao SONG ; Qi ZHOU ; Bei ZHANG ; Zhixia SUN ; Xiaojuan MA ; Nianan HE ; Fang LI ; Yingqiao ZHU ; Wen CHENG ; Yukun LUO
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging 2024;32(11):1147-1154
Purpose To explore the value of contrast-enhanced ultrasound(CEUS)in the differential diagnosis of gallbladder polypoid lesions(GPLs)(diameter≥10 mm).Materials and Methods A prospective enrollment of 229 patients with GPLs who underwent cholecystectomy in 17 hospitals from December 1 2021 to June 30 2024 was conducted to analyze the relationship between general data,conventional ultrasound,CEUS characteristics and the nature of GPLs.Multivariate Logistic regression was employed to identify independent risk factors for neoplastic polyps,the differential diagnostic value of different indicators was compared.Results Among 229 patients with GPLs,there were 108 cases of cholesterol polyps,102 cases of adenoma and 19 cases of gallbladder cancer.Age(Z=-4.476,P<0.001),polyp number(χ2=15.561,P<0.001),diameter(Z=-8.149,P<0.001),echogenicity(χ2=9.241,P=0.010),vascularity(χ2=23.107,P<0.001),enhancement intensity(χ2=47.610,P<0.001),enhancement pattern(χ2=6.468,P=0.011),vascular type(χ2=84.470,P<0.001),integrity of gallbladder wall(χ2=7.662,P=0.006)and stalk width(Z=-9.831,P<0.001)between cholesterol polyps and neoplastic polyps were statistically significant.Age,location,diameter,echogenicity,enhancement pattern,vascular type and stalk width between adenoma and gallbladder cancer were statistically significant(Z=-4.333,-3.902,-5.042,all P<0.05).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that hyper-enhancement,branched vascular type and stalk width were independent risk factors for neoplastic polyps(OR=4.563,5.770,3.075,all P<0.001).The combination of independent risk factors was better than single factor and diameter in the differential diagnosis of cholesterol polyps and neoplastic polyps(all P<0.01).Conclusion CEUS can effectively identify the nature of GPLs and provide a valuable imaging reference for the selection of treatment methods.
5.Study of spiral CT 3D scanning reconstruction combined with 3D printing in acetabular fracture surgery
Shanshan WANG ; Junqiao NIU ; Jia WANG ; Xiaojuan LI ; Yue HONG ; Li WANG
China Medical Equipment 2024;21(5):59-63
Objective:To explore the clinical application value of spiral computed tomography(CT)three-dimensional(3D)scanning reconstruction combined with 3D printing technique in surgery for acetabular fracture.Methods:A total of 71 patients with acetabular fractures admitted to Xinjiang Uiger Municipal People's Hospital from January 2018 to December 2020,who underwent surgical treatment,were selected as the research objects.According to different treatment methods,they were divided into observation group(38 cases)and control group(33 cases).The observation group adopted spiral CT 3D reconstruction,and 3D printing was used to assist the treatment of internal fixation,and the control group adopted conventionally surgical treatment.And then,the surgical effect and recovery situation of the two groups were compared.Results:The quality score(Malta)of fracture reduction and the hip score of sub-item percentile of observation group were significantly higher than those of the control group,and the intraoperative blood loss,the times of intraoperative fluoroscopy,the operation time and hospitalization time of observation group were significantly lower than those of control group(t=23.426,4.216,3.425,17.783,P<0.05),respectively.There was significant difference in the excellent rate of fracture reduction between two groups(x2=4.059,P<0.05).The pain,function and joint activity scores of hip joint function scores of patients in observation group were significantly higher than those of control group(t=-4.873,-5.776,-6.247,P<0.05),respectively.The incidence of complications in observation group was significantly lower than that in control group(x2=4.059,P<0.05).Conclusion:In the perioperative period,the application of spiral CT 3D reconstruction combined with 3D printing of acetabular fractures can further ensure the safety and feasibility of the operation,and improve the quality and efficiency of the surgery,and promote postoperative recovery.
6.Chinese expert consensus on blood support mode and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma patients (version 2024)
Yao LU ; Yang LI ; Leiying ZHANG ; Hao TANG ; Huidan JING ; Yaoli WANG ; Xiangzhi JIA ; Li BA ; Maohong BIAN ; Dan CAI ; Hui CAI ; Xiaohong CAI ; Zhanshan ZHA ; Bingyu CHEN ; Daqing CHEN ; Feng CHEN ; Guoan CHEN ; Haiming CHEN ; Jing CHEN ; Min CHEN ; Qing CHEN ; Shu CHEN ; Xi CHEN ; Jinfeng CHENG ; Xiaoling CHU ; Hongwang CUI ; Xin CUI ; Zhen DA ; Ying DAI ; Surong DENG ; Weiqun DONG ; Weimin FAN ; Ke FENG ; Danhui FU ; Yongshui FU ; Qi FU ; Xuemei FU ; Jia GAN ; Xinyu GAN ; Wei GAO ; Huaizheng GONG ; Rong GUI ; Geng GUO ; Ning HAN ; Yiwen HAO ; Wubing HE ; Qiang HONG ; Ruiqin HOU ; Wei HOU ; Jie HU ; Peiyang HU ; Xi HU ; Xiaoyu HU ; Guangbin HUANG ; Jie HUANG ; Xiangyan HUANG ; Yuanshuai HUANG ; Shouyong HUN ; Xuebing JIANG ; Ping JIN ; Dong LAI ; Aiping LE ; Hongmei LI ; Bijuan LI ; Cuiying LI ; Daihong LI ; Haihong LI ; He LI ; Hui LI ; Jianping LI ; Ning LI ; Xiying LI ; Xiangmin LI ; Xiaofei LI ; Xiaojuan LI ; Zhiqiang LI ; Zhongjun LI ; Zunyan LI ; Huaqin LIANG ; Xiaohua LIANG ; Dongfa LIAO ; Qun LIAO ; Yan LIAO ; Jiajin LIN ; Chunxia LIU ; Fenghua LIU ; Peixian LIU ; Tiemei LIU ; Xiaoxin LIU ; Zhiwei LIU ; Zhongdi LIU ; Hua LU ; Jianfeng LUAN ; Jianjun LUO ; Qun LUO ; Dingfeng LYU ; Qi LYU ; Xianping LYU ; Aijun MA ; Liqiang MA ; Shuxuan MA ; Xainjun MA ; Xiaogang MA ; Xiaoli MA ; Guoqing MAO ; Shijie MU ; Shaolin NIE ; Shujuan OUYANG ; Xilin OUYANG ; Chunqiu PAN ; Jian PAN ; Xiaohua PAN ; Lei PENG ; Tao PENG ; Baohua QIAN ; Shu QIAO ; Li QIN ; Ying REN ; Zhaoqi REN ; Ruiming RONG ; Changshan SU ; Mingwei SUN ; Wenwu SUN ; Zhenwei SUN ; Haiping TANG ; Xiaofeng TANG ; Changjiu TANG ; Cuihua TAO ; Zhibin TIAN ; Juan WANG ; Baoyan WANG ; Chunyan WANG ; Gefei WANG ; Haiyan WANG ; Hongjie WANG ; Peng WANG ; Pengli WANG ; Qiushi WANG ; Xiaoning WANG ; Xinhua WANG ; Xuefeng WANG ; Yong WANG ; Yongjun WANG ; Yuanjie WANG ; Zhihua WANG ; Shaojun WEI ; Yaming WEI ; Jianbo WEN ; Jun WEN ; Jiang WU ; Jufeng WU ; Aijun XIA ; Fei XIA ; Rong XIA ; Jue XIE ; Yanchao XING ; Yan XIONG ; Feng XU ; Yongzhu XU ; Yongan XU ; Yonghe YAN ; Beizhan YAN ; Jiang YANG ; Jiangcun YANG ; Jun YANG ; Xinwen YANG ; Yongyi YANG ; Chunyan YAO ; Mingliang YE ; Changlin YIN ; Ming YIN ; Wen YIN ; Lianling YU ; Shuhong YU ; Zebo YU ; Yigang YU ; Anyong YU ; Hong YUAN ; Yi YUAN ; Chan ZHANG ; Jinjun ZHANG ; Jun ZHANG ; Kai ZHANG ; Leibing ZHANG ; Quan ZHANG ; Rongjiang ZHANG ; Sanming ZHANG ; Shengji ZHANG ; Shuo ZHANG ; Wei ZHANG ; Weidong ZHANG ; Xi ZHANG ; Xingwen ZHANG ; Guixi ZHANG ; Xiaojun ZHANG ; Guoqing ZHAO ; Jianpeng ZHAO ; Shuming ZHAO ; Beibei ZHENG ; Shangen ZHENG ; Huayou ZHOU ; Jicheng ZHOU ; Lihong ZHOU ; Mou ZHOU ; Xiaoyu ZHOU ; Xuelian ZHOU ; Yuan ZHOU ; Zheng ZHOU ; Zuhuang ZHOU ; Haiyan ZHU ; Peiyuan ZHU ; Changju ZHU ; Lili ZHU ; Zhengguo WANG ; Jianxin JIANG ; Deqing WANG ; Jiongcai LAN ; Quanli WANG ; Yang YU ; Lianyang ZHANG ; Aiqing WEN
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2024;40(10):865-881
Patients with severe trauma require an extremely timely treatment and transfusion plays an irreplaceable role in the emergency treatment of such patients. An increasing number of evidence-based medicinal evidences and clinical practices suggest that patients with severe traumatic bleeding benefit from early transfusion of low-titer group O whole blood or hemostatic resuscitation with red blood cells, plasma and platelet of a balanced ratio. However, the current domestic mode of blood supply cannot fully meet the requirements of timely and effective blood transfusion for emergency treatment of patients with severe trauma in clinical practice. In order to solve the key problems in blood supply and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma, Branch of Clinical Transfusion Medicine of Chinese Medical Association, Group for Trauma Emergency Care and Multiple Injuries of Trauma Branch of Chinese Medical Association, Young Scholar Group of Disaster Medicine Branch of Chinese Medical Association organized domestic experts of blood transfusion medicine and trauma treatment to jointly formulate Chinese expert consensus on blood support mode and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma patients ( version 2024). Based on the evidence-based medical evidence and Delphi method of expert consultation and voting, 10 recommendations were put forward from two aspects of blood support mode and transfusion strategies, aiming to provide a reference for transfusion resuscitation in the emergency treatment of severe trauma and further improve the success rate of treatment of patients with severe trauma.
7.Progress in drug therapy of Wilson's disease
Wei ZHANG ; Xinyan ZHAO ; Jian HUANG ; Xiaojuan OU ; Jidong JIA
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2024;32(9):783-786
Wilson's disease, also known as hepatolenticular degeneration, is an inherited disorder of copper metabolism caused by homozygous or compound heterozygous variants in the ATP7B gene, which is mainly clinically manifested as liver disease and/or neurological/psychological disorders, and Kayser-Fleischer ring in the peripheral cornea. Patients with Wilson's disease are currently treated with lifelong use of chelating agents that promote copper ion excretion and/or zinc agents that reduce copper absorption, but there is still an unmet clinical need because some patients who receive treatment have poor efficacy, disease progression, or serious adverse drug reactions. In recent years, new therapeutic drugs have been developed rapidly. This article will summarize the advances in drug treatment of Wilson's disease, shedding new light on the treatment of Wilson's disease.
8.Clinical characteristics and genetic analysis of mental retardation disorder with TRIO gene variant
Xiaojuan TIAN ; Xiaohui WANG ; Xiaotun REN ; Tianming JIA ; Guangyu ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2024;62(11):1071-1075
Objective:To summarize the clinical and genetic characteristics of mental retardation disorder (MRD) with TRIO gene variant in children.Methods:Case series study. The data of 9 children with TRIO gene variants were collected retrospectively from August 2019 to March 2024 in Department of Neurology, Beijing Children′s Hospital, Capital Medical University and Department of Pediatrics, the Third Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University. The data included gender, age, intellectual and motor development, appearance, seizures, neuroimaging and genetic results. The clinical features and genotype-phenotype correlations were summarized.Results:Of the 9 children, 6 boys and 3 girls, 4 MRD63 children presented with moderate to severe developmental delays accompanied by macrocephaly; 5 MRD44 children had mild to moderate developmental delays with microcephaly. A total of 5 children had dysmorphic facial features (flat occiput, thick eyebrows, unibrow, large ears, short fingers, pale skin, yellow hair, and strabismus), 2 children experienced seizures (1 child with myoclonic seizure and 1 with absence seizure), 4 children had feeding difficulties, 1 child had congenital cataracts, 1 child had congenital heart disease, 1 child had recurrent infections, and 1 child had tiger-striped changes in the fundus examination. TRIO gene variants carried by the 9 children were all de novo, involving 8 variant sites, including 7 missense variants and 1 frameshift variant, c.3232C>T/p.R1078W (2 cases), c.3920A>G/p.Y1307C, c.4112A>T/p.H1371L, c.4283G>T/p.R1428L, c.4394A>G/p.N1465S, c.6041T>C/p.I2014T, c.6821G>A/p.R2274H, c.7027delC/p.Q2343Sfs*70. Among them, 2 sites are located in the Spectrin domain, 4 sites are in the GEFD1 domain, 2 sites are in the GEFD2 domain, and 1 site (frameshift variant) is in the PH2-SH3 domain. The individual with frameshift variant exhibit absence seizures, mild developmental delay, and the mildest phenotype. The child with myoclonic seizures was treated with valproic acid and levetiracetam for seizure control, while the child with absence epilepsy was treated with valproic acid and lamotrigine for seizure control. All 9 children underwent regular rehabilitation exercises, making slow progress.Conclusions:TRIO gene related MRD is characterized by varying degrees of developmental delay, and often accompanied by macrocephaly or microcephaly, dysmorphic facial features, and with or without seizures. The main variant types are missense variants, which are mostly concentrated in the Spectran domain and GEFD domain. p. R1078W may be a relative hotspot variant. The phenotype caused by the frameshift variant is relatively milder.
9.Generation of an induced pluripotent stem cell line from a patient with surfactant metabolism dysfunction carrying ABCA3 mutations
Zhichen TIAN ; Xin XIE ; Jinghan CHI ; Jia CHEN ; Danhua ZHAO ; Yanmei HE ; Xiaojuan YIN
Chinese Journal of Applied Clinical Pediatrics 2024;39(2):98-103
Objective:Induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSCs) cell lines were established using peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) from a patient suffering from neonatal respiratory distress syndrome (NRDS) who carried Adenosine triphosphate-binding cassette transporter A3 ( ABCA3) compound heterozygous mutations. Methods:Cell experimental research.Peripheral venous blood was collected and PBMCs were isolated and cultured in vitro. PBMCs were transfected with non-integrated Sendai vector carrying reprogramming factors.The chromosome karyotypes of the established iPSCs were analyzed.Immunofluorescence and flow cytometry were used to detect pluripotency markers of stem cells and verify their differentiation potential.Sanger sequencing was performed to analyze gene mutations.In addition, short tandem repeat (STR) analysis was performed, polymerase chain reaction(PCR) and agarose gel electrophoresis were used to detect virus residual. Results:Karyotype analysis of established iPSCs cell lines showed normal diploid 46, XY karyotype.Immunofluorescence showed positive staining of stem cell pluripotency markers OCT4, SSEA4, Nanog and Sox2.Flow cytometry was used to detected stem cell pluripotency markers and showed expression of TRA-1-60, SSEA-4 and OCT4.After differentiation into all three germ layers, immunofluorescence was performed to detect ectoderm (Pax-6), mesoderm (Brachyury) and endoderm alpha-fetoprotein markers, and the results showed positive staining, which confirmed that the iPSCs had the potential to differentiate.Sanger sequencing showed c. 3997_3998del and c. 3137C>T compound heterozygous mutations.STR analysis showed they originate from PBMCs, and no Sendai virus residual was detected by PCR and agarose gel electrophoresis.Conclusions:In this study, PBMCs from patient carrying ABCA3 compound heterozygous mutations was used to establish iPSCs cell lines.The research lays a foundation for the study of pathogenesis, therapeutic drug screening and cell therapy of NRDS caused by ABCA3 gene mutations.
10.Hepatocellular carcinoma prediction model performance decreases with long-term antiviral therapy in chronic hepatitis B patients
Xiaoning WU ; Xiaoqian XU ; Jialing ZHOU ; YaMeng SUN ; Huiguo DING ; Wen XIE ; Guofeng CHEN ; Anlin MA ; HongXin PIAO ; Bingqiong WANG ; Shuyan CHEN ; Tongtong MENG ; Xiaojuan OU ; Hwai-I YANG ; Jidong JIA ; Yuanyuan KONG ; Hong YOU
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2023;29(3):747-762
Background/Aims:
Existing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prediction models are derived mainly from pretreatment or early on-treatment parameters. We reassessed the dynamic changes in the performance of 17 HCC models in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) during long-term antiviral therapy (AVT).
Methods:
Among 987 CHB patients administered long-term entecavir therapy, 660 patients had 8 years of follow-up data. Model scores were calculated using on-treatment values at 2.5, 3, 3.5, 4, 4.5, and 5 years of AVT to predict threeyear HCC occurrence. Model performance was assessed with the area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC). The original model cutoffs to distinguish different levels of HCC risk were evaluated by the log-rank test.
Results:
The AUROCs of the 17 HCC models varied from 0.51 to 0.78 when using on-treatment scores from years 2.5 to 5. Models with a cirrhosis variable showed numerically higher AUROCs (pooled at 0.65–0.73 for treated, untreated, or mixed treatment models) than models without (treated or mixed models: 0.61–0.68; untreated models: 0.51–0.59). Stratification into low, intermediate, and high-risk levels using the original cutoff values could no longer reflect the true HCC incidence using scores after 3.5 years of AVT for models without cirrhosis and after 4 years of AVT for models with cirrhosis.
Conclusions
The performance of existing HCC prediction models, especially models without the cirrhosis variable, decreased in CHB patients on long-term AVT. The optimization of existing models or the development of novel models for better HCC prediction during long-term AVT is warranted.

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