Objective: To compare the predictive performance of the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, the Prophet model, and the Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) model in forecasting the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) , so as to provide a basis for optimizing the early warning system of this disease. Methods: Weekly incidence data of HFMD in Longgang District, Shenzhen City from 2014 to 2024 were collected. The HFMD incidence data from 2014-2019 and 2023 were used as the training set to construct SARIMA, Prophet, and BSTS models, while the data from 2024 were used as the test set to compare and evaluate the predictive performance of the three models. The technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) method was employed to calculate the C-value. This approach integrates multiple evaluation metrics, such as the mean absolute error (MAE), mean squared error (MSE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE), to comprehensively assess model performance. Results: A total of 150 111 cases of HFMD were reported in Longgang District from 2014 to 2024, with an average annual incidence of 400.72/105. The weekly incidence fluctuated between 0 and 63.78/105, exhibiting a bimodal seasonal pattern characterized by a primary peak from May to July and a secondary peak from September to October. In the training set, all three models demonstrated a good fit to the bimodal epidemic trend of HFMD, with the BSTS model achieving the best fit. The BSTS model yielded performance metrics as follows: MAE=0.124, MSE=0.050, RMSE=0.223, SMAPE=0.021, and a C-value of 1.000. In the test set, all three models, including SARIMA, Prophet, and BSTS, performed well for short-term predictions (≤16 weeks), with the Prophet model showing relatively superior predictive performance. However, the prediction accuracy of all models declined as the forecast horizon extended. During the primary peak period (May-July), the Prophet model exhibited better predictive performance, whereas the BSTS model performed relatively better during the secondary peak period (September-October). Conclusions For the short-term forecasting of weekly HFMD incidence, the Prophet model outperformed both the SARIMA and BSTS models. During the primary peak period, the Prophet model demonstrated superior predictive performance, whereas the BSTS model exhibited better accuracy in forecasting the secondary peak period.

BACKGROUND:The mechanisms underlying the occurrence of pressure injuries are complex,and it is not entirely clear which factors play a central role in the development of pressure injuries and how these factors operate. OBJECTIVE:To investigate the relationship between Piezo-type mechanosensitive ion channel component 1(Piezo1)and the occurrence of pressure injuries. METHODS:(1)Cellular experiment:Human immortalized keratinocytes(HaCaT)were treated with Yoda1,a Piezo1 agonist,at different concentrations.Cell viability,calcium ion influx,Piezo1,and apoptosis-related protein expression were detected.(2)Animal experiment:Twelve Sprague-Dawley rats were randomly divided into a control group and three experimental groups,with three rats in each group.The control group was not subjected to pressure,while in the three experimental groups,magnets with a thickness of 1,2,and 3 mm were used to press on both sides of the rats'back for 1 hour,respectively,to establish the animal models of pressure injuries.After modeling,all traumatic tissues were excised and subjected to hematoxylin-eosin,Masson,immunofluorescence staining and western blot assay. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:Cellular experiments:The results of live/dead cell staining showed that HaCaT cell apoptosis increased with the increase of Yoda1 concentration(0,2.5,5,and 10 μmol/L),and calcium ion influx increased with the increase of Yoda1 concentration(0,5,and 10 μmol/L),as well as with the prolongation of treatment time.Western blot assay results showed an increase in the expression of BAX,TG2,and PIEZO1 and a decrease in the expression of the expression of Bcl-2 protein in HaCaT cells in 5 and 10 μmol/L Yoda1 groups compared with the control group(0 μmol/L Yoda1).Animal experiments:The results of hematoxylin-eosin and Masson staining showed that the skin structure of the three experimental groups was damaged at the compression site,there was subcutaneous fat liquefaction and necrosis,and collagen was sparse and disorganized,and damage to the skin structure at the compression site was aggravated with the increase of magnet thickness.Immunofluorescence staining and western blot results showed that compared with the control group,the expression of BAX,TG2,Yap1 and PIEZO1 proteins was elevated,and the expression of Bcl-2 proteins was lowered in the three experimental groups.Moreover,the expression of related proteins showed more significant changes with the increase of magnet thickness(pressure).To conclude,skin compression activates PIEZO1,leading to a significant influx of calcium ions.As the pressure increases,this ultimately results in cell apoptosis due to calcium overload.

The “Technical Guideline for Epidemic Prevention and Control Disinfection in Large-Scale Events”(hereinafter referred to as “the Guideline”), organized and compiled by the National Disease Control and Prevention Administration, was officially released in April 2024. This guideline aims to ensure the effective implementation of large-scale group activities, mitigate the impact of infectious disease outbreaks on such events, and maintain hygiene and safety standards at event venues. During the compilation process, data were systematically collected in alignment with epidemic prevention requirements and disinfection principles, incorporating research findings from domestic and international disinfection practices. Information was gathered through field investigations, expert consultations in epidemiology and disinfection, and roundtable discussions with representatives from organizations responsible for disinfection operations at large-scale events, thereby ensuring the scientific rigor and practical applicability of the content. The Guideline provides comprehensive technical disinfection guidance for relevant authorities and event organizers, addressing critical aspects such as disinfection protocols, operational principles, emergency response strategies, and technical specifications. By standardizing hygiene assurance measures for large-scale events, including considerations of participant demographics, venue characteristics, and event scale, the guideline establishes a framework to proactively minimize the risk of infectious disease transmission.

Objective:To develop a Recurrence Fear Scale for Patients with Atrial Fibrillation after Catheter Ablation and conduct psychometric testing for its reliability and validity.Methods:Based on the common-sense model of self-regulation, the scale was developed through a literature review and semi-structured interviews to construct an item pool. The scale draft was formed through expert consultation and a pre-survey. Using convenience sampling, 361 patients with atrial fibrillation who had undergone catheter ablation and were either hospitalized or attending outpatient follow-up at the Department of Cardiology, Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, between January and March 2024, were selected for questionnaire survey. Item analysis and reliability and validity tests were performed on the scale.Results:Exploratory factor analysis identified five common factors, with a cumulative variance contribution rate of 74.375%. Confirmatory factor analysis showed good model fit. The final scale included five dimensions and 24 items: trigger factors, recurrence risk perception, disease uncertainty, psychological burden, and coping strategies. The content validity index at the scale level was 0.864, and the item-level content validity index ranged from 0.684 to 0.947. The Cronbach's α coefficient of the scale was 0.919, the split-half reliability coefficient was 0.834, and the test-retest reliability coefficient was 0.872.Conclusions:The development of the Recurrence Fear Scale for Patients with Atrial Fibrillation after Catheter Ablation is scientific and standardized, and the scale has good reliability and validity. It can effectively assess the level of recurrence fear in these patients.

This paper summarizes the achievements of China's venous thromboembolism specialized nursing career in the past decade in nursing management, clinical nursing, talent cultivation, and discipline construction, and puts forward the outlook for the future work, with a view to providing reference for promoting the high-quality development of China's venous thromboembolism specialized nursing career.

Objective:To identify latent categories in the developmental trajectories of kinesiophobia among postoperative rotator cuff injury patients and analyze the influencing factors associated with each trajectory.Methods:A convenience sampling method was used to recruit patients who underwent surgery for rotator cuff injury in the Department of Sports Medicine, Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Capital Medical University from April to October 2024. Data were collected using a general information questionnaire, the Tampa Scale for Kinesiophobia-11, Visual Analogue Scale, General Self-Efficacy Scale, Self-rating Anxiety Scale, and Shoulder Pain and Disability Index. Latent class growth model (LCGM) was employed to identify potential categories of kinesiophobia trajectories, and multinomial Logistic regression analysis was used to explore factors influencing the identified trajectory classes.Results:A total of three latent trajectory classes of kinesiophobia were identified among 372 postoperative rotator cuff injury patients: low-level group (26.88%, 100/372), moderate-level group (42.20%, 157/372), and high-level group (30.91%, 115/372). Multinomial Logistic regression analysis showed that education level, employment status, pain, and anxiety were significant influencing factors for the different kinesiophobia trajectory classes ( P<0.05) . Conclusions:The developmental trajectories of kinesiophobia among postoperative rotator cuff injury patients exhibit population heterogeneity. Nursing staff should provide early, targeted interventions based on patients' kinesiophobia trajectories and influencing factors to reduce kinesiophobia levels.

Objective:To investigate the current status of peripherally inserted central catheter (PICC) -associated thrombosis prevention nursing practices among surgical nurses, and to provide a scientific basis for targeted future interventions.Methods:A convenience sampling method was used to select 3 151 surgical nurses from tertiary hospitals in 11 provinces and municipalities who attended the Surgical Nursing Academic Symposium of the Chinese Nursing Association between April and May 2023. The survey utilized a standardized questionnaire assessing current practices in PICC-associated thrombosis prevention among clinical nurses.Results:A total of 3 151 questionnaires were distributed, and 2 341 valid responses were collected, yielding a valid response rate of 74.29% (2 341/3 151) . Among the respondents, the training rate on PICC-associated thrombosis prevention was only 62.45% (1 462/2 341) , and just 1.28% (30/2 341) had received full-time (off-duty) training. The usage rate of standardized procedures for PICC-related thrombosis prevention was 92.40% (2 163/2 341) , and the risk assessment rate was 79.79% (1 868/2 341) . Compared to urology and cardiothoracic surgery departments, breast surgery departments had significantly higher rates of thrombosis risk assessment ( P<0.05) . Additionally, 56.69% (1 327/2 341) of surgical nurses used risk assessment tools specific to PICC-associated thrombosis. Among non-pharmacological prevention measures, the implementation rate of encouraging patients to perform grip strength exercises was only 68.26% (1 598/2 341) . Conclusions:The current level of PICC-associated thrombosis prevention nursing among surgical nurses needs further improvement. Efforts should be strengthened in professional training, implementation of standardized protocols, risk assessment, and non-pharmacological interventions.

Objective:To identify latent categories in the developmental trajectories of kinesiophobia among postoperative rotator cuff injury patients and analyze the influencing factors associated with each trajectory.Methods:A convenience sampling method was used to recruit patients who underwent surgery for rotator cuff injury in the Department of Sports Medicine, Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Capital Medical University from April to October 2024. Data were collected using a general information questionnaire, the Tampa Scale for Kinesiophobia-11, Visual Analogue Scale, General Self-Efficacy Scale, Self-rating Anxiety Scale, and Shoulder Pain and Disability Index. Latent class growth model (LCGM) was employed to identify potential categories of kinesiophobia trajectories, and multinomial Logistic regression analysis was used to explore factors influencing the identified trajectory classes.Results:A total of three latent trajectory classes of kinesiophobia were identified among 372 postoperative rotator cuff injury patients: low-level group (26.88%, 100/372), moderate-level group (42.20%, 157/372), and high-level group (30.91%, 115/372). Multinomial Logistic regression analysis showed that education level, employment status, pain, and anxiety were significant influencing factors for the different kinesiophobia trajectory classes ( P<0.05) . Conclusions:The developmental trajectories of kinesiophobia among postoperative rotator cuff injury patients exhibit population heterogeneity. Nursing staff should provide early, targeted interventions based on patients' kinesiophobia trajectories and influencing factors to reduce kinesiophobia levels.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the clinical characteristics and genetic variants underlying Hereditary coagulation factor V (FV) deficiency in two Chinese pedigrees. METHODS: Seventeen individuals from three generations of the two pedigrees affected with FV deficiency whom had visited Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province respectively in March and June 2024 were recruited as study subjects. One hundred healthy individuals undergoing physical examinations have served as the controls. Relevant coagulation parameters were measured. Thrombin generation was assessed using the calibrated automated thrombogram (CAT) assay. All exons and flanking regions of the F5 gene were amplified by PCR and directly sequenced. Candidate variants were analyzed for evolutionary conservation and potential pathogenicity, and their effects on protein structure were predicted. This study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province (Ethics No.: 20230722). RESULTS: The FV activity (FV: C) and antigen levels (FV: Ag) of both probands showed concurrent decrease. By thrombin generation assay, both the lag time ratio and time to peak ratio were significantly increased. Genetic analysis revealed that proband A carried compound heterozygous missense variants c.911G>A (p.Gly304Glu) and c.1238T>C (p.Met413Thr), whilst Proband B carried compound heterozygous missense variants c.1258G>T (p.Gly420Cys) and c.1538G>A (p.Arg513Lys) of the F5 gene. Conservation analysis revealed that the amino acid residues p.Gly304, p.Gly420, and p.Arg513 are highly conserved across various species. Online bioinformatics tools predicted that both the p.Gly304Glu and p.Gly420Cys variants are pathogenic. Protein modeling demonstrated that all four variants can result in alterations of protein structure or disruption of hydrogen bonding. CONCLUSION FV deficiency in these two pedigrees can be attributed to the compound heterozygous variants p.Gly304Glu/p.Met413Thr and p.Gly420Cys/p.Arg513Lys of the F5 gene.
Adult ; Female ; Humans ; Male ; Middle Aged ; China/ethnology* ; Factor V/chemistry* ; Factor V Deficiency/genetics* ; Heterozygote ; Pedigree ; East Asian People/genetics*

The “Technical Guideline for Epidemic Prevention and Control Disinfection in Large-Scale Events”(hereinafter referred to as “the Guideline”), organized and compiled by the National Disease Control and Prevention Administration, was officially released in April 2024. This guideline aims to ensure the effective implementation of large-scale group activities, mitigate the impact of infectious disease outbreaks on such events, and maintain hygiene and safety standards at event venues. During the compilation process, data were systematically collected in alignment with epidemic prevention requirements and disinfection principles, incorporating research findings from domestic and international disinfection practices. Information was gathered through field investigations, expert consultations in epidemiology and disinfection, and roundtable discussions with representatives from organizations responsible for disinfection operations at large-scale events, thereby ensuring the scientific rigor and practical applicability of the content. The Guideline provides comprehensive technical disinfection guidance for relevant authorities and event organizers, addressing critical aspects such as disinfection protocols, operational principles, emergency response strategies, and technical specifications. By standardizing hygiene assurance measures for large-scale events, including considerations of participant demographics, venue characteristics, and event scale, the guideline establishes a framework to proactively minimize the risk of infectious disease transmission.