1.Population-attributable risk assessment and risk prediction model of cardiovascular disease risk factors
Yumei QIN ; Guiqi CAO ; Shiying JIANG ; Yizhang XIAO
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(1):74-78
Objective To explore the “contribution” of different exposures to cardiovascular diseases at the population level and to construct a risk prediction model for the effective allocation of prevention resources. Methods The CHNS (China Health and Nutrition Survey) database was used. In 2009, 2011 and 2015, 9 899 permanent residents aged 35 to 75 years in 10 provinces and cities in the central and eastern regions (Beijing, Liaoning, Heilongjiang, Shanghai, Shandong, Henan, Hubei, Hunan, Guangxi and Jiangsu) were selected as the research subjects. A single-factor analysis was conducted to examine the risk factors including sex, age, BMI, marital status, urban/rural area, sleep time, smoking, alcohol consumption, diabetes, education, and health insurance. The multifactor-adjusted population-attributable risk of certain risk factors was also estimated based on logistic regression analysis. The cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction model was developed using a modeling group of 6 927 randomly selected individuals (70%) and a validation group of 2 974 individuals (30%). The model's differentiation and calibration were assessed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. Results The results showed that the adjusted population attributable risk and 95% confidence interval for BMI, sleep time, smoking, drinking and diabetes were 32.20% (27.67%-36.89%), 7.90% (1.68%-16.58%), 18.56% (11.35%-26.24%), 6.47% (0.11%-13.25%) and 5.73% (4.42%-7.03%). The results of multivariate adjusted population attributable risk percentage showed that BMI was the dominant cause of cardiovascular diseases, followed by smoking, sleep time, drinking and diabetes. The low-risk prevalence rate was 18.44%, the higher-risk prevalence rate was 14.19%, and the high-risk prevalence rate was 42.52%. The area under ROC curve AUC was 0.711, P<0.001, and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test showed P=0.257. Conclusion In the future, it is important to focus on high-risk groups , control body mass index to the normal range, and reduce smoking , which is of great significance for the prevention of cardiovascular diseases. The risk prediction model has the value of good differentiation and practicability , and can provide certain prediction ability for the prevention of cardiovascular diseases.
2.Research progresses of endogenous vascular calcification inhibitor BMP-7
Xin ZHOU ; Lu XING ; Peng-Quan LI ; Dong ZHAO ; Hai-Qing CHU ; Chun-Xia HE ; Wei QIN ; Hui-Jin LI ; Jia FU ; Ye ZHANG ; Li XIAO ; Hui-Ling CAO
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2024;40(7):1226-1230
Vascular calcification is a highly regulated process of ectopic calcification in cardiovascular system while no effective intervention can be clinically performed up to date.As vascular calcification undergoes a common regulatory mechanism within bone formation,bone morphogenetic protein 7(BMP-7)main-tains contractile phenotype of vascular smooth muscle cells and further inhibits vascular calcification via promoting the process of osteoblast differentiation,reducing ectopic calcification pressure by increasing bone formation and reducing bone resorption.This work systematically reviews the role of BMP-7 in vascular calcifi-cation and the possible mechanism,and their current clinical application as well.The current proceedings may help develope early diagnostic strategy and therapeutic treatment with BMP-7 as a new molecular marker and potential drug target.The expec-tation could achieve early prevention and intervention of vascular calcification and improve poor prognosis on patients.
3.Design of adjustable medical nursing support
Xiao-Chun JIAO ; Qin ZHOU ; Xiao-Qin CAO ; Meng-Dong LIU ; Bao-Li CHEN ; Jiao XUE
Chinese Medical Equipment Journal 2024;45(8):110-112
Objective To design an adjustable and removable nursing support for dressing patients with lower extremity injuries.Methods The adjustable nursing support was composed of a supporting plate,a cylinder,an upper adjustment mechanism and a lower fixation mechanism.The supporting plate was used to hold the leg of the patient,which had a curved st ruc t u re with a length from 40 to 80 cm;the cylinder was internally snap-fitted with a second slip sleeve to facilitate the adjustment of the support plate;the upper adjustment mechanism mainly consisted of a second sliding bar,a second cross bar and an adjustment plate;the lower fixation mechanism was mainly composed of a first clamping plate and a second clamping plate.Results The adjustable nursing support could be firmly fixed on the sickbed,and its height and angle could be adjusted according to the patient's wound position and subjective comfort.Conclusion The adjustable nursing support gains advantages in safety and patient comfort,and can be used for the dressing of patients with lower extremity injuries.[Chinese Medical Equipment Journal,2024,45(8):110-112]
4.Risk factors and prognosis of pediatric silent lupus nephritis with class Ⅲ to Ⅴ
Tian SHEN ; Qing-Nan HE ; Qin ZHANG ; Yan CAO ; Xi-Qiang DANG ; Xiao-Chuan WU ; Xiao-Yan LI
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2024;26(9):914-920
Objective To study the risk factors and prognostic characteristics of pediatric silent lupus nephritis(SLN)with class Ⅲ to V.Methods A retrospective study was conducted to collect clinical data from 30 children diagnosed with SLN at the Department of Pediatrics,Second Xiangya Hospital,Central South University,from May 2007 to April 2023.Based on renal pathological classification,the patients were divided into a class Ⅱ group(12 cases)and a class Ⅲ to Ⅴ group(18 cases).The risk factors for the occurrence of class Ⅲ to Ⅴ SLN were analyzed,and the prognostic characteristics were summarized.Results Among the 30 SLN patients,the median follow-up time was 61.50 months.There were no statistically significant differences in the proportions of patients who discontinued glucocorticoids or achieved low disease activity status,nor in the annual decline rate of estimated glomerular filtration rate(eGFR)between the class Ⅱ and class Ⅲ to V groups(P>0.05).However,three patients in the class Ⅱ group progressed to stage 1 chronic kidney disease(CKD),while eight patients in the class Ⅲ to Ⅴ group reached stage 1 CKD,and four patients reached stage 2 CKD.Among the 26 female SLN patients,serum complement C3 levels in the class Ⅲ to Ⅴ group were lower than those in the class Ⅱ group(P<0.05).Serum C3 levels in SLN patients,as well as in female SLN patients,were negatively correlated with the fluorescence intensity of IgA,IgG,and C3 immune complexes in the kidneys(P<0.05).Additionally,serum C3 levels in female SLN patients were negatively correlated with the renal pathological activity index(P<0.05).Binary logistic regression analysis indicated that being female and having low serum complement C3 levels were risk factors for the occurrence of class Ⅲ to Ⅴ SLN in children(P<0.05).Conclusions Class Ⅲ to Ⅴ SLN is not uncommon among SLN children,and there remains a risk of long-term renal function progression.Being female and having low serum complement C3 levels are identified as risk factors for class Ⅲ to Ⅴ SLN in children.
5.Disease acceptance in HIV/AIDS patients and related factors
Zi-Qi QIN ; Gui-Ying CAO ; Jian-Ping XIE ; Xiao WANG ; Yi-Xuan LI ; Qiao-Yue LU ; Hong-Hong WANG ; Xue-Ling XIAO
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2024;23(8):1016-1022
Objective To understand the disease acceptance status and related factors in human immunodeficiency virus(HIV)-infected/acquired immunodeficiency syndrom(AIDS)patients,so as to guide the clinical development of intervention measures,and to provide empirical evidence for improving clinical outcomes.Methods Convenience sampling method was used to select 555 HIV-infected/AIDS patients who received treatment in the designated AIDS treatment clinic of a hospital.General data,disease acceptance,disease self-management efficacy and clinical out-comes(such as quality of life,CD4+T lymphocyte count and HIV viral load)of the studied subjects were collected.Results The average disease acceptance of HIV-infected/AIDS patients was(26.08±5.34)points.Multiple linear regression analysis showed that religious belief and self-management efficacy were related factors affecting the di-sease acceptance of patients(both P<0.05),which could explain the 30.4%variation in disease acceptance of HIV-infected/AIDS patients,and the disease acceptance of patients was closely related to their quality of life(P<0.001).Conclusion HIV-infected/AIDS patients have a moderate level of disease acceptance.Medical staff should fully consider patients'religious beliefs and self-management efficacy,so as to formulate targeted intervention mea-sures to improve patients'acceptance of disease,and further promote patients'quality of life.
6.A quantitative study on the outcome of patients with breast cancer after autologous breast reconstruction and implant breast reconstruction based on multi-scaleon
Qiu-Ping WU ; Jiong WU ; Ke-Da YU ; A-Yong CAO ; Xiao-Yan HUANG ; Sheng CHEN ; Lei WANG ; Jia-Qin GUAN
Fudan University Journal of Medical Sciences 2024;51(1):81-88,127
Objective To evaluate the patient-reported outcome(PRO)of patients with breast cancer who underwent autologous breast reconstruction and implant breast reconstruction.Methods Patients who underwent breast reconstruction in Shanghai Cancer Center,Fudan University from Jan 2020 to Jun 2021 were selected,including 111 patients who underwent autologous breast reconstruction and 108 patients who underwent implant breast reconstruction.Chinese version Breast-Q2.0 scale,breast cancer specificity scale QLQ-BR23 and EORTC quality of life scale QLQ-C30 were used to investigate the PRO of the two groups 18 months after operation.Results The rate of stage Ⅲ breast cancer in the self-weight construction group was higher than that in the implant reconstruction group(64.9%vs.44.4%,P<0.001).The preoperative neoadjuvant therapy and postoperative radiotherapy in the autologous reconstruction group were higher than those in the implant reconstruction group(P<0.001).Postoperative chemotherapy and endocrine therapy in the autologous reconstruction group were lower than those in the implant reconstruction group(P<0.001).The study based on Breast-Q scale showed that the breast satisfaction of autologous reconstruction group was higher than that of implant reconstruction(59.28±17.20 vs.54.94±14.48,P<0.05).The study based on QLQ-BR23 showed that the self-weight construction group was higher than the implant reconstruction group in the field of arm symptoms(20.02±20.80 vs.12.65±16.18,P<0.05).The study based on QLQ-C30 scale showed that there was no significant difference in all functional areas and symptom areas of patients.There was no significant difference in the number and time of social regression between the two groups.Conclusion Breast reconstruction can improve the PRO of breast cancer patients,and oncology factors will affect the choice of breast reconstruction.Patients with autologous breast reconstruction are more satisfied with breast appearance,but upper limb symptoms such as swelling and pain are more obvious than implant reconstruction,which is related to the higher proportion of axillary lymph node dissection in patients with autologous reconstruction.There is no significant difference in quality of life and social regression between the two groups.
7.Spatiotemporal distribution of newly diagnosed echinococcosis patients in Qinghai Province from 2016 to 2022
Xinlu CUI ; Xiao MA ; Na LIU ; Jia LIU ; Wen LEI ; Shusheng WU ; Xianglan QIN ; Chunhua GONG ; Xiaojin MO ; Shijie YANG ; Ting ZHANG ; Li CAO
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2024;36(5):474-480
Objective To investigate the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics and potential influencing factors of newly diagnosed echinococcosis cases in Qinghai Province from 2016 to 2022, so as to provide insights into the formulation of the echinococcosis control strategy in Qinghai Province. Methods The number of individuals screened for echinococcosis, number of newly diagnosed echinococcosis cases, number of registered dogs and number of stray dogs were captured from the annual reports of echinococcosis control program in Qinghai Province from 2016 to 2022, and the detection of newly diagnosed echinococcosis cases was calculated. The number of populations, precipitation, temperature, wind speed, sunshine hours, average altitude, number of year-end cattle stock, number of year-end sheep stock, gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, and number of village health centers in each county (district) of Qinghai Province were captured from the Qinghai Provincial Statistical Yearbook, and county-level electronic maps in Qinghai Province were downloaded from the National Platform for Common Geospatial Information Services. The software ArcGIS 10.8 was used to map the distribution of newly diagnosed echinococcosis cases in Qinghai Province, and the spatial autocorrelation analysis of newly diagnosed echinococcosis cases was performed. In addition, the spacetime scan analyses of number of individuals screened for echinococcosis, number of newly diagnosed echinococcosis cases and geographical coordinates in Qinghai Province were performed with the software SaTScan 10.1.2, and the spatial stratified heterogeneity of the detection of newly diagnosed echinococcosis cases was investigated with the software GeoDetector. Results A total of 6 569 426 residents were screened for echinococcosis in Qinghai Province from 2016 to 2022, and 5 924 newly diagnosed echinococcosis cases were found. The detection of newly diagnosed echinococcosis cases appeared a tendency towards a decline over years from 2016 to 2022 (χ2 = 11.107, P < 0.01), with the highest detection in Guoluo Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture in 2017 (82.12/105). There were spatial clusters in the detection of newly diagnosed echinococcosis cases in Qinghai Province from 2016 to 2018 (Moran’s I = 0.34 to 0.65, all Z values > 1.96, all P values < 0.05), and the distribution of newly diagnosed echinococcosis cases appeared random distribution from 2019 to 2022 (Moran’s I = −0.09 to 0.04, all Z values < 1.96, all P values > 0.05). Local spatial autocorrelation analysis showed high-high clusters and low-low clusters in the detection of new diagnosed echinococcosis cases in Qinghai Province from 2016 to 2022, and space-time scan analysis showed that the first most likely cluster areas of newly diagnosed echinococcosis cases in Qinghai Province from 2016 to 2022 were mainly distributed in Yushu Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture and Guoluo Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture. GeoDetector-based analysis of the driving factors for the spatial stratified heterogeneity of detection of newly diagnosed echinococcosis cases in Qinghai Province showed that average altitude, number of village health centers, number of cattle and sheep stock, GDP per capita, annual average sunshine hours, and annual average temperature had a strong explanatory power for the spatial distribution of newly diagnosed echinococcosis cases, with q values of 0.630, 0.610, 0.600, 0.590, 0.588, 0.537 and 0.526, respectively. Conclusions The detection of newly diagnosed echinococcosis cases appeared a tendency towards a decline in Qinghai Province over years from 2016 to 2022, showing spatial clustering. Targeted control measures are required in cluster areas of newly diagnosed echinococcosis cases for further control of the disease.
8.Raman Spectroscopy Analysis of The Temporal Heterogeneity in Lung Cell Carcinogenesis Induced by Benzo(a)pyrene
Hai-Tao ZHOU ; Wei YAO ; Cao-Zhe CUI ; Xiao-Tong ZHOU ; Xi-Long LIANG ; Cheng-Bing QIN ; Lian-Tuan XIAO ; Zhi-Fang WU ; Si-Jin LI
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2024;51(6):1458-1470
ObjectiveTemporal heterogeneity in lung cancer presents as fluctuations in the biological characteristics, genomic mutations, proliferation rates, and chemotherapeutic responses of tumor cells over time, posing a significant barrier to effective treatment. The complexity of this temporal variance, coupled with the spatial diversity of lung cancer, presents formidable challenges for research. This article will pave the way for new avenues in lung cancer research, aiding in a deeper understanding of the temporal heterogeneity of lung cancer, thereby enhancing the cure rate for lung cancer. MethodsRaman spectroscopy emerges as a powerful tool for real-time surveillance of biomolecular composition changes in lung cancer at the cellular scale, thus shedding light on the disease’s temporal heterogeneity. In our investigation, we harnessed Raman spectroscopic microscopy alongside multivariate statistical analysis to scrutinize the biomolecular alterations in human lung epithelial cells across various timeframes after benzo(a)pyrene exposure. ResultsOur findings indicated a temporal reduction in nucleic acids, lipids, proteins, and carotenoids, coinciding with a rise in glucose concentration. These patterns suggest that benzo(a)pyrene induces structural damage to the genetic material, accelerates lipid peroxidation, disrupts protein metabolism, curtails carotenoid production, and alters glucose metabolic pathways. Employing Raman spectroscopy enabled us to monitor the biomolecular dynamics within lung cancer cells in a real-time, non-invasive, and non-destructive manner, facilitating the elucidation of pivotal molecular features. ConclusionThis research enhances the comprehension of lung cancer progression and supports the development of personalized therapeutic approaches, which may improve the clinical outcomes for patients.
9.Correlation between Combined Urinary Metal Exposure and Grip Strength under Three Statistical Models: A Cross-sectional Study in Rural Guangxi
Jian Yu LIANG ; Hui Jia RONG ; Xiu Xue WANG ; Sheng Jian CAI ; Dong Li QIN ; Mei Qiu LIU ; Xu TANG ; Ting Xiao MO ; Fei Yan WEI ; Xia Yin LIN ; Xiang Shen HUANG ; Yu Ting LUO ; Yu Ruo GOU ; Jing Jie CAO ; Wu Chu HUANG ; Fu Yu LU ; Jian QIN ; Yong Zhi ZHANG
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2024;37(1):3-18
Objective This study aimed to investigate the potential relationship between urinary metals copper (Cu), arsenic (As), strontium (Sr), barium (Ba), iron (Fe), lead (Pb) and manganese (Mn) and grip strength. Methods We used linear regression models, quantile g-computation and Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) to assess the relationship between metals and grip strength.Results In the multimetal linear regression, Cu (β=-2.119), As (β=-1.318), Sr (β=-2.480), Ba (β=0.781), Fe (β= 1.130) and Mn (β=-0.404) were significantly correlated with grip strength (P < 0.05). The results of the quantile g-computation showed that the risk of occurrence of grip strength reduction was -1.007 (95% confidence interval:-1.362, -0.652; P < 0.001) when each quartile of the mixture of the seven metals was increased. Bayesian kernel function regression model analysis showed that mixtures of the seven metals had a negative overall effect on grip strength, with Cu, As and Sr being negatively associated with grip strength levels. In the total population, potential interactions were observed between As and Mn and between Cu and Mn (Pinteractions of 0.003 and 0.018, respectively).Conclusion In summary, this study suggests that combined exposure to metal mixtures is negatively associated with grip strength. Cu, Sr and As were negatively correlated with grip strength levels, and there were potential interactions between As and Mn and between Cu and Mn.
10.Risk factors for unplanned readmission after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in cirrhotic patients with esophagogastric variceal bleeding and construction of a nomogram model
Qin YIN ; Zhaorong WU ; Feng ZHANG ; Chunyan JIN ; Yanping CAO ; Jiangqiang XIAO ; Yuzheng ZHUGE ; Qian WANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2024;40(9):1796-1801
Objective To investigate the risk factors for unplanned readmission within 30 days after discharge in cirrhotic patients with esophagogastric variceal bleeding undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt(TIPS),and to construct a nomogram predictive model.Methods A total of 241 cirrhotic patients who underwent TIPS due to esophagogastric variceal bleeding in Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School from January 2020 to June 2023 were enrolled as subjects,and unplanned readmission within 30 days was analyzed.According to the presence or absence of unplanned readmission,they were divided into readmission group with 36 patients and non-readmission group with 198 patients,and related clinical data were collected from all patients.The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups,and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups;the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups.A logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors for unplanned readmission.A nomogram prediction model was constructed,and the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was plotted to assess its discriminatory ability for unplanned readmission;the calibration curve was plotted to evaluate the consistency of the nomogram model in predicting unplanned readmission;the ResourceSelection package of R language was used for the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test to evaluate the degree of fitting of the mode;the decision curve analysis was used to investigate the practicality of the model.Results Age(odds ratio[OR]=2.664,95%confidence interval[CI]:1.139-6.233,P<0.05),CTP score(OR=1.655,95%CI:1.098-2.495,P<0.05),and blood ammonia(OR=1.032,95%CI:1.016-1.048,P<0.05)were independent risk factors for unplanned readmission within 30 days after discharge in the patients undergoing TIPS.The multivariate analysis showed that for the nomogram predictive model constructed in this study,repeated sampling for 1 000 times using the Bootstrap method was performed for internal validation,and the area under the ROC curve was 0.773,which was significantly higher than that of age(0.582),CTP score(0.675),and blood ammonia(0.641).The calibration curve showed good consistency between the probability of unplanned readmission predicted by the nomogram model and the actual probability,and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed good degree of fitting(c2=5.647 3,P=0.686 7).Conclusion Age,CTP score,and blood ammonia are independent risk factors for unplanned readmission within 30 days after TIPS,and the nomogram prediction model constructed based on these factors can help to predict the risk of unplanned readmission in TIPS patients and provide an accurate decision-making basis for early prevention.


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