1.Development and validation of an XGBoost-based prediction model for acute liver injury in statin users
Xianglong MENG ; Yuelin YU ; Yexiang SUN ; Peng SHEN ; Zhiqin JIANG ; Yu ZHU ; Yueqi YIN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Shengfeng WANG
Chinese Journal of Pharmacoepidemiology 2025;34(8):867-876
Objective To develop and validate a prediction model to identify high-risk individuals who are at-risk to develop acute liver injury(ALI)within 180 days in new statin users,and to support early clinical intervention.Methods Data were sourced from the Yinzhou Regional Health Information Platform,covering statin initiators aged 18 years and older from January 1,2010,to October 31,2021.The dataset was divided into a derivation cohort and a temporal validation cohort based on the time of statin initiation.Predictors were selected using LASSO regression,and the model was constructed using the extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)algorithm combined with cost-sensitive learning.Model performance was evaluated using Brier scores,Harrell's C-index,and calibration curves.Results A total of 126,440 statin initiators were included,with 90,542 in the derivation cohort and 35,898 in the validation cohort.Within 180 days of initial statin use,412(0.33%)patients developed ALI,including 305(0.34%)in the derivation cohort and 107(0.30%)in the validation cohort.The final model incorporated 16 predictors,which included demographic characteristics,lifestyle factors,family history,medical history,statin use,and concomitant medication use.The model demonstrated excellent overall performance[Brier score=0.0043,95%CI(0.0038,0.0049)],discrimination[Harrell's C-index=0.761,95%CI(0.725,0.794)],and calibration in internal validation.In temporal validation,the model also performed well[Brier score=0.0044,95%CI(0.0036,0.0052),Harrell's C-index=0.703,95%CI(0.614,0.781)].Conclusion This study develope and validate a prediction model for ALI in statin users,providing clinicians with a reliable tool for individualized risk assessment.This model can help achieve risk stratification and reduce the occurrence of ALI.
2.Distribution characteristics and long-term change trend of body mass index in Chinese older adults aged 65 years and above
Li QI ; Chen CHEN ; Sirui CHEN ; Zhipei LI ; Sixin LIU ; Jinhui ZHOU ; Jiahao CHEN ; Hao QIAN ; Chun TAN ; Xianglong DAI ; Ziyue ZHU ; Jun WANG ; Xi MENG ; Wenhui SHI ; Yuebin LYU ; Xiaoming SHI
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(6):908-915
Objective:To describe the body mass index (BMI) level and long-term trends of Chinese older adults aged 65 and above.Methods:Older adults aged 65 and above from six waves (2002-2018) of the China Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey were selected as the study population. Multiple cross-sectional design with six survey waves conducted in 2002, 2005, 2008, 2011, 2014, and 2018 was adopted, enrolling 15 647, 15 358, 15 622, 9 166, 6 302, and 12 417 participants, respectively. Additionally, a total of 13, 755 participants were included in the cohort study design. Relevant information was collected through questionnaires and physical examinations. The χ2 trend test was used to compare the changes in the rates of underweight and overweight/obesity over the years, and the linear mixed-e?ects model (LMM) was used to fit trajectory curves of BMI changes with advancing age in older adults. Results:The baseline ages of the participants included in 2002, 2005, 2008, 2011, 2014, and 2018 were (85.16±11.26), (84.23±11.83), (84.99±12.16), (81.10±11.86), (78.89±11.30), and (83.08±12.42) years, respectively, with a relatively high proportion of females and rural residents. In the cohort study, the 13 755 participants had a median ( Q1, Q3) follow-up time of 6.5 (5.2, 10.0) years, with a cumulative follow-up duration of 109 041 person-years. In each wave, males had higher BMI than females, urban residents had higher BMI than rural residents, and BMI gradually decreased with increasing age (all P<0.001). The mean BMI of older adults in China increased from (19.37±3.80) kg/m2 in 2002 to (22.04±4.01) kg/m2 in 2018 ( P<0.001). Across all survey years, the prevalence of underweight was consistently higher in women than in men and in rural areas than in urban areas, with an upward trend as age increased (all P<0.001). In 2018, the underweight rates in the 65-79, 80-89, 90-99, and ≥100-year-old age groups were 8.0%, 16.7%, 26.2%, and 35.5%, respectively. Meanwhile, the prevalence of overweight/obesity was higher in men than in women and in urban areas than in rural areas, showing a declining trend with advancing age (all P<0.001). The prevalence of underweight among the older adults decreased significantly from 45.2% in 2002 to 18.9% in 2018 ( P<0.001), while the prevalence of overweight/obesity increased from 11.0% in 1998 to 29.6% in 2018 ( P<0.001). The trajectory curves fitted by the LMM model showed that individuals born in later decades had higher BMI levels at the same age compared to earlier cohorts. Conclusion:From 2002 to 2018, the BMI level among Chinese older adults showed an increasing trend. The prevalence of underweight showed a declining trend, while the rates of obesity and overweight increased. However, the underweight rate remained notably high among the oldest old.
3.Development and validation of an XGBoost-based prediction model for acute liver injury in statin users
Xianglong MENG ; Yuelin YU ; Yexiang SUN ; Peng SHEN ; Zhiqin JIANG ; Yu ZHU ; Yueqi YIN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Shengfeng WANG
Chinese Journal of Pharmacoepidemiology 2025;34(8):867-876
Objective To develop and validate a prediction model to identify high-risk individuals who are at-risk to develop acute liver injury(ALI)within 180 days in new statin users,and to support early clinical intervention.Methods Data were sourced from the Yinzhou Regional Health Information Platform,covering statin initiators aged 18 years and older from January 1,2010,to October 31,2021.The dataset was divided into a derivation cohort and a temporal validation cohort based on the time of statin initiation.Predictors were selected using LASSO regression,and the model was constructed using the extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)algorithm combined with cost-sensitive learning.Model performance was evaluated using Brier scores,Harrell's C-index,and calibration curves.Results A total of 126,440 statin initiators were included,with 90,542 in the derivation cohort and 35,898 in the validation cohort.Within 180 days of initial statin use,412(0.33%)patients developed ALI,including 305(0.34%)in the derivation cohort and 107(0.30%)in the validation cohort.The final model incorporated 16 predictors,which included demographic characteristics,lifestyle factors,family history,medical history,statin use,and concomitant medication use.The model demonstrated excellent overall performance[Brier score=0.0043,95%CI(0.0038,0.0049)],discrimination[Harrell's C-index=0.761,95%CI(0.725,0.794)],and calibration in internal validation.In temporal validation,the model also performed well[Brier score=0.0044,95%CI(0.0036,0.0052),Harrell's C-index=0.703,95%CI(0.614,0.781)].Conclusion This study develope and validate a prediction model for ALI in statin users,providing clinicians with a reliable tool for individualized risk assessment.This model can help achieve risk stratification and reduce the occurrence of ALI.
4.Comparison of clinical outcomes between latissimus dorsi flap with implant and mesh with implant for immediate breast reconstruction: a BREAST-Q assessment
Tinghong XIANG ; Lu YIN ; Tianyi NI ; Yiwen GAO ; Yingying WANG ; Xianglong ZU ; Shujie RUAN ; Wei YAN ; Zhechen ZHU ; Jingping SHI
Chinese Journal of Plastic Surgery 2025;41(7):710-718
Objective:To compare the clinical outcomes of immediate breast reconstruction using latissimus dorsi flap with implant versus mesh with implant based on BREAST-Q evaluation.Methods:From the clinical database of the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, the patients who underwent immediate breast reconstruction after total mastectomy from January 2020 to December 2023 were selected as the research subjects. All breast reconstruction surgeries were performed by the same surgeon. Patients were divided into two groups according to surgical methods: the latissimus dorsi muscle flap combined with implant immediate breast reconstruction group (LD group) and the mesh combined with implant immediate breast reconstruction group (mesh group). Patients were followed up in outpatient clinics or by telephone one year after surgery. The BREAST-Q was used to evaluate the surgical outcomes of both groups from four dimensions: psychosocial well-being, sexual well-being, chest-physical well-being, and breast satisfaction. The score range for each dimension was 0-100, with higher scores indicating greater patient satisfaction with quality of life and surgical outcomes. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS 22.0 software. Normally distributed measurement data were expressed as Mean ± SD, and comparisons between the two groups were performed using independent sample t-test. Count data were expressed as number of cases and percentages, and comparisons between groups were performed using chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test. P<0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results:A total of 123 patients were included, with 59 patients in the LD group and 64 patients in the mesh group. In the LD group, the mean age was (37.7±7.0) years, body mass index (BMI) was (22.6±2.6) kg/m 2, and clinical tumor staging showed 2, 22, 30, and 5 cases for stages 0, Ⅰ, Ⅱ, and Ⅲ, respectively. In the mesh group, the mean age was (39.1±7.0) years, BMI was (22.6±2.8) kg/m 2, and clinical tumor staging showed 1, 25, 38, and 0 cases for stages 0, Ⅰ, Ⅱ, and Ⅲ, respectively. There were no statistically significant differences between the two groups in baseline characteristics including age, BMI, and clinical tumor staging (all P>0.05). One year after surgery, the BREAST-Q result showed no statistically significant differences between the LD group and mesh group in psychosocial well-being [(83.0±19.8) points vs. (80.8±19.3) points] and sexual well-being [(62.1±30.4) points vs. (65.8±25.6) points] (all P>0.05). However, the LD group had lower chest-physical well-being scores than the mesh group [(40.6±9.7) points vs. (45.1±9.6) points, P<0.05], while breast satisfaction scores were higher in the LD group than in the mesh group [(68.0±17.8) points vs. (59.8±12.6) points, P<0.01]. Conclusion:Immediate breast reconstruction by both latissimus dorsi flap with implant and mesh with implant can improve patients’ psychosocial and sexual well-being by enhancing breast appearance. However, LD technique provides better breast satisfaction, while the mesh technique offers advantages in physical well-being of the chest wall and upper body. Surgeons should select the most appropriate breast reconstruction technique based on patients’ anatomical conditions, treatment history, and individual needs to optimize postoperative quality of life and satisfaction.
5.Distribution characteristics and long-term change trend of body mass index in Chinese older adults aged 65 years and above
Li QI ; Chen CHEN ; Sirui CHEN ; Zhipei LI ; Sixin LIU ; Jinhui ZHOU ; Jiahao CHEN ; Hao QIAN ; Chun TAN ; Xianglong DAI ; Ziyue ZHU ; Jun WANG ; Xi MENG ; Wenhui SHI ; Yuebin LYU ; Xiaoming SHI
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(6):908-915
Objective:To describe the body mass index (BMI) level and long-term trends of Chinese older adults aged 65 and above.Methods:Older adults aged 65 and above from six waves (2002-2018) of the China Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey were selected as the study population. Multiple cross-sectional design with six survey waves conducted in 2002, 2005, 2008, 2011, 2014, and 2018 was adopted, enrolling 15 647, 15 358, 15 622, 9 166, 6 302, and 12 417 participants, respectively. Additionally, a total of 13, 755 participants were included in the cohort study design. Relevant information was collected through questionnaires and physical examinations. The χ2 trend test was used to compare the changes in the rates of underweight and overweight/obesity over the years, and the linear mixed-e?ects model (LMM) was used to fit trajectory curves of BMI changes with advancing age in older adults. Results:The baseline ages of the participants included in 2002, 2005, 2008, 2011, 2014, and 2018 were (85.16±11.26), (84.23±11.83), (84.99±12.16), (81.10±11.86), (78.89±11.30), and (83.08±12.42) years, respectively, with a relatively high proportion of females and rural residents. In the cohort study, the 13 755 participants had a median ( Q1, Q3) follow-up time of 6.5 (5.2, 10.0) years, with a cumulative follow-up duration of 109 041 person-years. In each wave, males had higher BMI than females, urban residents had higher BMI than rural residents, and BMI gradually decreased with increasing age (all P<0.001). The mean BMI of older adults in China increased from (19.37±3.80) kg/m2 in 2002 to (22.04±4.01) kg/m2 in 2018 ( P<0.001). Across all survey years, the prevalence of underweight was consistently higher in women than in men and in rural areas than in urban areas, with an upward trend as age increased (all P<0.001). In 2018, the underweight rates in the 65-79, 80-89, 90-99, and ≥100-year-old age groups were 8.0%, 16.7%, 26.2%, and 35.5%, respectively. Meanwhile, the prevalence of overweight/obesity was higher in men than in women and in urban areas than in rural areas, showing a declining trend with advancing age (all P<0.001). The prevalence of underweight among the older adults decreased significantly from 45.2% in 2002 to 18.9% in 2018 ( P<0.001), while the prevalence of overweight/obesity increased from 11.0% in 1998 to 29.6% in 2018 ( P<0.001). The trajectory curves fitted by the LMM model showed that individuals born in later decades had higher BMI levels at the same age compared to earlier cohorts. Conclusion:From 2002 to 2018, the BMI level among Chinese older adults showed an increasing trend. The prevalence of underweight showed a declining trend, while the rates of obesity and overweight increased. However, the underweight rate remained notably high among the oldest old.
6.Dynamic phase transition mechanism of stress granules after ischemic stroke and its impact on neurons
Qing ZHU ; Xianglong ZHAI ; Beibei YAO ; Zhaoyao CHEN ; Wenlei LI ; Yuan ZHU ; Minghua WU
Chinese Journal of Cerebrovascular Diseases 2025;22(5):356-362
During the progression of ischemic stroke,cells experience oxidative stress and intracellular energy depletion,triggering the dynamic assembly and disassembly of stress granules.Stress granules may have a dual role in ischemic stroke.In the ultra-early reperfusion period(6-36 h),under acute stress,the stress granules may inhibit neuronal apoptosis and exert neuroprotective effects through reversible liquid-liquid phase separation.In contrast,in the acute reperfusion period(36 h to 2 weeks),under prolonged stress,pathological stress granules may accumulate through liquid-solid phase transition,leading to neuronal dysfunction and inducing ischemic stroke sequelae such as motor and cognitive impairments.This article reviewed the mechanisms of stress granules dynamic phase transitions during ischemic stroke and their effects on neurons,aiming to provide references and insights for future stress granule-targeted interventions for ischemic stroke and its sequelae.
7.Dynamic phase transition mechanism of stress granules after ischemic stroke and its impact on neurons
Qing ZHU ; Xianglong ZHAI ; Beibei YAO ; Zhaoyao CHEN ; Wenlei LI ; Yuan ZHU ; Minghua WU
Chinese Journal of Cerebrovascular Diseases 2025;22(5):356-362
During the progression of ischemic stroke,cells experience oxidative stress and intracellular energy depletion,triggering the dynamic assembly and disassembly of stress granules.Stress granules may have a dual role in ischemic stroke.In the ultra-early reperfusion period(6-36 h),under acute stress,the stress granules may inhibit neuronal apoptosis and exert neuroprotective effects through reversible liquid-liquid phase separation.In contrast,in the acute reperfusion period(36 h to 2 weeks),under prolonged stress,pathological stress granules may accumulate through liquid-solid phase transition,leading to neuronal dysfunction and inducing ischemic stroke sequelae such as motor and cognitive impairments.This article reviewed the mechanisms of stress granules dynamic phase transitions during ischemic stroke and their effects on neurons,aiming to provide references and insights for future stress granule-targeted interventions for ischemic stroke and its sequelae.
8.Comparison of clinical outcomes between latissimus dorsi flap with implant and mesh with implant for immediate breast reconstruction: a BREAST-Q assessment
Tinghong XIANG ; Lu YIN ; Tianyi NI ; Yiwen GAO ; Yingying WANG ; Xianglong ZU ; Shujie RUAN ; Wei YAN ; Zhechen ZHU ; Jingping SHI
Chinese Journal of Plastic Surgery 2025;41(7):710-718
Objective:To compare the clinical outcomes of immediate breast reconstruction using latissimus dorsi flap with implant versus mesh with implant based on BREAST-Q evaluation.Methods:From the clinical database of the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, the patients who underwent immediate breast reconstruction after total mastectomy from January 2020 to December 2023 were selected as the research subjects. All breast reconstruction surgeries were performed by the same surgeon. Patients were divided into two groups according to surgical methods: the latissimus dorsi muscle flap combined with implant immediate breast reconstruction group (LD group) and the mesh combined with implant immediate breast reconstruction group (mesh group). Patients were followed up in outpatient clinics or by telephone one year after surgery. The BREAST-Q was used to evaluate the surgical outcomes of both groups from four dimensions: psychosocial well-being, sexual well-being, chest-physical well-being, and breast satisfaction. The score range for each dimension was 0-100, with higher scores indicating greater patient satisfaction with quality of life and surgical outcomes. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS 22.0 software. Normally distributed measurement data were expressed as Mean ± SD, and comparisons between the two groups were performed using independent sample t-test. Count data were expressed as number of cases and percentages, and comparisons between groups were performed using chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test. P<0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results:A total of 123 patients were included, with 59 patients in the LD group and 64 patients in the mesh group. In the LD group, the mean age was (37.7±7.0) years, body mass index (BMI) was (22.6±2.6) kg/m 2, and clinical tumor staging showed 2, 22, 30, and 5 cases for stages 0, Ⅰ, Ⅱ, and Ⅲ, respectively. In the mesh group, the mean age was (39.1±7.0) years, BMI was (22.6±2.8) kg/m 2, and clinical tumor staging showed 1, 25, 38, and 0 cases for stages 0, Ⅰ, Ⅱ, and Ⅲ, respectively. There were no statistically significant differences between the two groups in baseline characteristics including age, BMI, and clinical tumor staging (all P>0.05). One year after surgery, the BREAST-Q result showed no statistically significant differences between the LD group and mesh group in psychosocial well-being [(83.0±19.8) points vs. (80.8±19.3) points] and sexual well-being [(62.1±30.4) points vs. (65.8±25.6) points] (all P>0.05). However, the LD group had lower chest-physical well-being scores than the mesh group [(40.6±9.7) points vs. (45.1±9.6) points, P<0.05], while breast satisfaction scores were higher in the LD group than in the mesh group [(68.0±17.8) points vs. (59.8±12.6) points, P<0.01]. Conclusion:Immediate breast reconstruction by both latissimus dorsi flap with implant and mesh with implant can improve patients’ psychosocial and sexual well-being by enhancing breast appearance. However, LD technique provides better breast satisfaction, while the mesh technique offers advantages in physical well-being of the chest wall and upper body. Surgeons should select the most appropriate breast reconstruction technique based on patients’ anatomical conditions, treatment history, and individual needs to optimize postoperative quality of life and satisfaction.
9.Oncological outcome of 3D-guided cone-shaped segmentectomy for deep early-stage lung cancer
Wenzheng XU ; Zhihua LI ; Xianglong PAN ; Zhicheng HE ; Jing XU ; Quan ZHU ; Weibing WU ; Liang CHEN
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2024;31(10):1413-1421
Objective To investigate whether 3D-guided cone-shaped segmentectomy can achieve comparable long-term outcomes with lobectomy for deep early-stage lung cancer with diameter≤2 cm. Methods We retrospectively screened patients with deep early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with diameter≤2 cm who underwent lobectomy or segmentectomy in the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from 2012 to 2018. All pulmonary segmentectomy was performed using 3D-guided cone-shaped segmentectomy with segment or subsegment as the resection unit. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed by Cox proportional hazard regression model. The patients who underwent segmentectomy and lobectomy were matched 1∶1 by propensity-score matching analysis. The oncological outcomes of two groups were compared. Results Our cohort was divided into a segmentectomy group (n=222) and a lobectomy group (n=127). The age, total nodule size, solid component size and proportion of pure solid nodule in the lobectomy group were significantly higher than those in the segmentectomy group. The median follow-up time was 49 months. Surgical margins were negative in all patients. The local recurrence rate of segmentectomy was 0.45%. The disease-free survival (DFS) rate and overall survival (OS) rate of patients in the segmentectomy group were significantly better than those in the lobectomy group (5-year DFS rate: 98.64% vs. 89.77%, P<0.001; 5-year OS rate: 99.55% vs. 92.10%, P<0.001). Multivariate regression analysis showed that the differences between two groups were not significant [DFS rate: HR=0.52. 95%CI (0.11, 2.59), P=0.427; OS rate: HR=0.08. 95%CI (0.00, 3.24), P=0.179] after adjusting for other factors. After propensity score matching, 77 patients were preserved in both segmentectomy group and lobectomy group, with the mean nodule size of 1.44 cm and 1.49 cm and the mean consolidation tumor ratio (CTR) of 0.46 and 0.52, respectively. There was no statistical difference in DFS rate (P=0.640) or OS rate (P=0.310) between the two groups. Conclusion 3D-guided cone-shaped segmentectomy can be an acceptable treatment for low-grade malignant NSCLC deep in lung parenchyma with diameter≤2 cm, and its oncology effect is not inferior to lobectomy.
10.Analysis of Breastfeeding Duration and Influencing Factors of Children Aged 0-5 Years in Yunnan Province
Zhonghua AI ; You HUANG ; Xianglong ZHU ; Yanchun GAO ; Songyuan TANG ; Rui PAN
Journal of Kunming Medical University 2024;45(2):112-116
Objective To understand the current situation of breastfeeding duration in children aged 0-5 years in Yunnan Province,and to explore the influencing factors of breastfeeding duration.Methods Using the data of the 6th National Health Service Survey in Yunnan Province,1582 children aged 0~5 years in Yunnan Province were selected as the research subjects,and the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression were used to analyze the influencing factors of breastfeeding duration.Results The mean duration of breastfeeding for children aged 0~5 years in Yunnan Province was 9.29 months,and region,time of complementary food addition,time of suckling and family income were the main factors influencing the duration of breastfeeding.Conclusion The duration of breastfeeding for children aged 0~5 years in Yunnan Province deviates significantly from the recommendations provided by both the World Health Organization(WHO)and China's child breastfeeding guidelines.Given the current situation,the relevant departments must enhance their focus on this issue.

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