Objective:To investigate the differences of the glymphatic system (GS) function between patients with mesial temporal lobe epilepsy with hippocampal sclerosis (mTLE-HS) and healthy controls and between different seizure types by using diffusion tensor imaging along perivascular space (DTI-ALPS), and to analyze the correlation between GS function and the course of disease, as well as the efficacy of predicting the surgical outcome.Methods:This study was a cross-sectional study. A total of 171 patients with mTLE-HS (mTLE-HS group) and 75 healthy volunteers (HC group) were retrospectively enrolled from July 2009 to July 2021 at Jinling Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University. The general information of all subjects, such as seizure type (partial seizure, secondary generalized seizure), surgical outcome, etc., was analyzed. The 3D magnetization prepared rapid gradient echo T 1WI and DTI sequence images were collected. The VBM analysis method was used to segment cerebrospinal fluid and calculate the volume. The ALPS index of the bilateral brain was calculated using the Atlas-based DTI-ALPS method. Independent sample t-test or paired t test were used to compare the ALPS index between the mTLE-HS group and HC group, and between patients with different seizure types. Pearson correlation analysis was used to analyze the correlation between bilateral ALPS index and disease duration in mTLE-HS group. The predictive value of the ALPS index for surgical outcomes was evaluated by receiver operating characteristics curve and area under the curve. Results:Among the 171 mTLE-HS patients, 98 patients were mTLE with left-side HS (mTLE-LHS) and 73 patients were mTLE with right-side HS (mTLE-RHS); 37 patients underwent surgical treatment, including 27 with good prognosis and 10 with poor prognosis. Compared with the HC group, the left-side ALPS index of mTLE-LHS and mTLE-RHS were both decreased ( P<0.05). The right-side ALPS index in mTLE-RHS was lower than that in the HC group ( P<0.001). There was no significant difference in the right-side ALPS index between mTLE-LHS and HC group ( P=0.080). The ALPS index on the affected side of patients with secondary generalized seizures was significantly lower than that of patients with only partial seizures (all P<0.05), but the difference in ALPS index on the healthy side was not statistically significant( P>0.05). The left-side and right-side ALPS index in mTLE-LHS were negatively correlated with disease duration ( r=-0.272, P=0.007; r=-0.307, P=0.002), but no significant correlation was found between the left-side or right-side ALPS index in mTLE-RHS (all P>0.05). The DTI-ALPS index on the affected side in mTLE-HS patients exhibited good diagnostic accuracy for surgical outcome classification, with an area under the curve of 0.778. Conclusions:The patients with mTLE-HS exhibit dysfunction of the GS, and the degree of impairment is related to the type of seizure and the course of epilepsy. The ALPS index, which characterizes the function of GS, demonstrates good diagnostic accuracy for classifying surgical outcomes.

Objective To explore the diagnostic value of electrocardiogram parameters combined with serum microRNA(miR)-322 and miR-568 levels in patients with chronic heart failure(CHF)complicated with ventricular arrhythmias(VA).Methods A total of 230 CHF patients admitted to Zhangjiakou First Hospital from April 2020 to April 2023 were selected as the study objects,including 120 VA patients(VA group)and 110 non VA patients(non VA group),and 110 patients who underwent health examinations in Zhangjiakou First Hospital during the same period as the control group.Compared three sets of general information,electrocardiogram parameters,left ventricular ejection fraction(LVEF),cardiac function grade and serum miR-322 and miR-568 levels.Logistic regression analyzed the influencing factors of VA in CHF patients.Receiver operating characteristic curve(ROC)analyzed electrocardiogram parameters combined with serum miR-322 and miR-568 for the diagnostic value of VA in CHF patients.Results The three groups showed statistically obvious differences in classification of nyha heart function(NYHA)and left ventricular ejection fraction(LVEF)(F=6.033,691.853,all P<0.05).The electrocardiogram parameters of CHF patients,including QT interval dispersion(QTD),QRS wave duration and corrected QT systolic time(QTc)were obviously higher than those in the control group(t=16.539,17.709,14.414),and the VA group were obviously higher than the non VA group(q=10.984,7.794,10.174),and the differences were statistically significan(all P<0.05).The serum levels of miR-322 and miR-568 were obviously lower than those in the control group(t=23.719,17.359).and the VA group were obviously lower than the non VA group(q=10.345,9.941),the differences were statistically significant(all P<0.05).Logistic regression analysis showed that NYHA grading,LVEF,QTD,QRS,wave duration,QTc,serum miR-322 and miR-568 levels were all influencing factors in the complication of VA in patients with CHF(Wald χ2=4.267～9.839,all P<0.05).The combination of electrocardiogram parameters and serum miR-322,miR-568 was better diagnosing CHF patients with concurrent VA that QTD,QRS duration,QTc and serum miR-332,miR-568 were measured separately.Conclusion Serum levels of miR-322 and miR-568 are obviously reduced,and the combination of electrocardiogram parameters with serum miR-322 and miR-568 has high diagnostic value for CHF patients with VA.

Objective To explore the diagnostic value of electrocardiogram parameters combined with serum microRNA(miR)-322 and miR-568 levels in patients with chronic heart failure(CHF)complicated with ventricular arrhythmias(VA).Methods A total of 230 CHF patients admitted to Zhangjiakou First Hospital from April 2020 to April 2023 were selected as the study objects,including 120 VA patients(VA group)and 110 non VA patients(non VA group),and 110 patients who underwent health examinations in Zhangjiakou First Hospital during the same period as the control group.Compared three sets of general information,electrocardiogram parameters,left ventricular ejection fraction(LVEF),cardiac function grade and serum miR-322 and miR-568 levels.Logistic regression analyzed the influencing factors of VA in CHF patients.Receiver operating characteristic curve(ROC)analyzed electrocardiogram parameters combined with serum miR-322 and miR-568 for the diagnostic value of VA in CHF patients.Results The three groups showed statistically obvious differences in classification of nyha heart function(NYHA)and left ventricular ejection fraction(LVEF)(F=6.033,691.853,all P<0.05).The electrocardiogram parameters of CHF patients,including QT interval dispersion(QTD),QRS wave duration and corrected QT systolic time(QTc)were obviously higher than those in the control group(t=16.539,17.709,14.414),and the VA group were obviously higher than the non VA group(q=10.984,7.794,10.174),and the differences were statistically significan(all P<0.05).The serum levels of miR-322 and miR-568 were obviously lower than those in the control group(t=23.719,17.359).and the VA group were obviously lower than the non VA group(q=10.345,9.941),the differences were statistically significant(all P<0.05).Logistic regression analysis showed that NYHA grading,LVEF,QTD,QRS,wave duration,QTc,serum miR-322 and miR-568 levels were all influencing factors in the complication of VA in patients with CHF(Wald χ2=4.267～9.839,all P<0.05).The combination of electrocardiogram parameters and serum miR-322,miR-568 was better diagnosing CHF patients with concurrent VA that QTD,QRS duration,QTc and serum miR-332,miR-568 were measured separately.Conclusion Serum levels of miR-322 and miR-568 are obviously reduced,and the combination of electrocardiogram parameters with serum miR-322 and miR-568 has high diagnostic value for CHF patients with VA.

Objective:To investigate the differences of the glymphatic system (GS) function between patients with mesial temporal lobe epilepsy with hippocampal sclerosis (mTLE-HS) and healthy controls and between different seizure types by using diffusion tensor imaging along perivascular space (DTI-ALPS), and to analyze the correlation between GS function and the course of disease, as well as the efficacy of predicting the surgical outcome.Methods:This study was a cross-sectional study. A total of 171 patients with mTLE-HS (mTLE-HS group) and 75 healthy volunteers (HC group) were retrospectively enrolled from July 2009 to July 2021 at Jinling Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University. The general information of all subjects, such as seizure type (partial seizure, secondary generalized seizure), surgical outcome, etc., was analyzed. The 3D magnetization prepared rapid gradient echo T 1WI and DTI sequence images were collected. The VBM analysis method was used to segment cerebrospinal fluid and calculate the volume. The ALPS index of the bilateral brain was calculated using the Atlas-based DTI-ALPS method. Independent sample t-test or paired t test were used to compare the ALPS index between the mTLE-HS group and HC group, and between patients with different seizure types. Pearson correlation analysis was used to analyze the correlation between bilateral ALPS index and disease duration in mTLE-HS group. The predictive value of the ALPS index for surgical outcomes was evaluated by receiver operating characteristics curve and area under the curve. Results:Among the 171 mTLE-HS patients, 98 patients were mTLE with left-side HS (mTLE-LHS) and 73 patients were mTLE with right-side HS (mTLE-RHS); 37 patients underwent surgical treatment, including 27 with good prognosis and 10 with poor prognosis. Compared with the HC group, the left-side ALPS index of mTLE-LHS and mTLE-RHS were both decreased ( P<0.05). The right-side ALPS index in mTLE-RHS was lower than that in the HC group ( P<0.001). There was no significant difference in the right-side ALPS index between mTLE-LHS and HC group ( P=0.080). The ALPS index on the affected side of patients with secondary generalized seizures was significantly lower than that of patients with only partial seizures (all P<0.05), but the difference in ALPS index on the healthy side was not statistically significant( P>0.05). The left-side and right-side ALPS index in mTLE-LHS were negatively correlated with disease duration ( r=-0.272, P=0.007; r=-0.307, P=0.002), but no significant correlation was found between the left-side or right-side ALPS index in mTLE-RHS (all P>0.05). The DTI-ALPS index on the affected side in mTLE-HS patients exhibited good diagnostic accuracy for surgical outcome classification, with an area under the curve of 0.778. Conclusions:The patients with mTLE-HS exhibit dysfunction of the GS, and the degree of impairment is related to the type of seizure and the course of epilepsy. The ALPS index, which characterizes the function of GS, demonstrates good diagnostic accuracy for classifying surgical outcomes.

Mammals exhibit limited heart regeneration ability, which can lead to heart failure after myocardial infarction. In contrast, zebrafish exhibit remarkable cardiac regeneration capacity. Several cell types and signaling pathways have been reported to participate in this process. However, a comprehensive analysis of how different cells and signals interact and coordinate to regulate cardiac regeneration is unavailable. We collected major cardiac cell types from zebrafish and performed high-precision single-cell transcriptome analyses during both development and post-injury regeneration. We revealed the cellular heterogeneity as well as the molecular progress of cardiomyocytes during these processes, and identified a subtype of atrial cardiomyocyte exhibiting a stem-like state which may transdifferentiate into ventricular cardiomyocytes during regeneration. Furthermore, we identified a regeneration-induced cell (RIC) population in the epicardium-derived cells (EPDC), and demonstrated Angiopoietin 4 (Angpt4) as a specific regulator of heart regeneration. angpt4 expression is specifically and transiently activated in RIC, which initiates a signaling cascade from EPDC to endocardium through the Tie2-MAPK pathway, and further induces activation of cathepsin K in cardiomyocytes through RA signaling. Loss of angpt4 leads to defects in scar tissue resolution and cardiomyocyte proliferation, while overexpression of angpt4 accelerates regeneration. Furthermore, we found that ANGPT4 could enhance proliferation of neonatal rat cardiomyocytes, and promote cardiac repair in mice after myocardial infarction, indicating that the function of Angpt4 is conserved in mammals. Our study provides a mechanistic understanding of heart regeneration at single-cell precision, identifies Angpt4 as a key regulator of cardiomyocyte proliferation and regeneration, and offers a novel therapeutic target for improved recovery after human heart injuries.
Humans ; Mice ; Rats ; Cell Proliferation ; Heart/physiology* ; Mammals ; Myocardial Infarction/metabolism* ; Myocytes, Cardiac/metabolism* ; Pericardium/metabolism* ; Single-Cell Analysis ; Zebrafish/metabolism*

Objective:To evaluate the safety and efficacy of endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) in acute anterior circulation large vessel occlusive stroke (ALVOS) and explore the related influencing factors for prognoses in patients with low Alberta Stroke Program Early Computed Tomography Score (ASPECT).Methods:Patients with acute ALVOS who underwent EVT in Yijishan Hospital of Wannan Medical College from January 2019 to June 2022 were sequentially enrolled. (1) Patients were divided into a low ASPECT group (0-5) and a non-low ASPECT group (6-10), and the differences between the two groups were compared with respect to incidence of perioperative complications and good prognosis rate [modified Rankin scale (mRS) score≤2] 90 days after onset. (2) According to the prognoses 90 days after onset, the low ASPECT group was divided into the good prognosis (mRS score≤2) and poor prognosis (mRS score>2) subgroup. Univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to investigate the independent risk factors for prognoses of the low ASPECT patients after EVT.Results:A total of 582 patients [age 26-94(69±11) years, 345 male patients (59.3%)] were enrolled for analysis. The baseline ASPECT score was 8 (7, 10), and the baseline NIHSS score was 14 (11, 18). Among them, 102 (17.5%) patients were in the low ASPECT score group and 480 (82.5%) patients were in the non-low ASPECT score group. In the total cohort, patients in the low ASPECT score group had a higher incidence of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, lower 90-day good prognosis rate, and higher 90-day mortality rate. Further, propensity score matching statistical analysis showed that patients in the low ASPECT score group had a significantly higher incidence of malignant brain edema after EVT treatment (40.0% vs. 17.6%, χ2=9.13, P=0.003), and a significantly lower 90-day good prognosis rate (24.7% vs. 41.6%, χ2=4.96, P=0.026), but there was no significant difference in the incidence of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage and 90-day mortality between the two groups (40.3% vs. 26.0%, χ2=3.55, P=0.060). Among 102 patients with low ASPECT score, 22 (21.6%) patients had good prognosis and 80 (78.4%) had poor prognosis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that history of atrial fibrillation ( OR=4.478, 95% CI 1.186-16.913, P=0.027) was an independent risk factor for poor prognosis of EVT in patients with low ASPECT score, while good collateral circulation (grade 2 vs. grade 0: OR=0.206, 95% CI 0.051-0.842, P=0.028) was a protective factor for good prognosis of EVT in patients with low ASPECT score. Conclusions:Although the 90-day good prognosis rate of EVT treatment for patients with low ASPECT score was lower than that of the non-low ASPECT group, 21.6% patients still benefitted from EVT treatment, especially patients with non-atrial fibrillation and good collateral circulation. Future studies involving more patients are needed to validate our observations.

Objective:To evaluate the benefits and risks of advanced age patients with acute anterior circulation large vessel occlusive stroke (ALVOS) accepted mechanical thrombectomy (MT), and explore the related influencing factors for prognoses in these patients.Methods:Six hundred and eighty patients with acute anterior circulation ALVOS accepted MT in 3 comprehensive stroke centers from January 2014 to December 2020 were sequentially collected. (1) Patients were divided into advanced age group (≥80 years old) and non-advanced age group (<80 years old) according to age, and the differences between the two groups were compared in successful postoperative vascular recanalization rate, incidence of perioperative complications, and good prognosis rate (modified Rankin scale [mRS] scores≤2) and mortality 90 d after onset. (2) Patients were divided into good prognosis group (mRS scores≤2) and poor prognosis group (mRS scores>2) according to the prognoses 90 d after onset; univariate analysis and multivariate Logistic regression analysis were used to investigate the independent factors for prognoses of the patients after MT. (3) According to the prognoses 90 d after onset, the advanced age patients were divided into good prognosis subgroup (mRS scores≤2) and poor prognosis subgroup (mRS scores>2). Univariate analysis and multivariate Logistic regression analysis were used to investigate the independent factors for prognoses of the elderly patients after MT.Results:(1) In these 680 patients, 92 patients (13.5%) were into the advanced age group and 588 patients (86.5%) were in the non-advanced age group; patients in the advanced age group had significantly lower successful recanalization rate (67.4% vs. 77.9%), significantly lower good prognosis rate 90 d after onset (20.7% vs. 50.2%), and statically higher mortality 90 d after onset (40.2% vs. 21.1%) as compared with the non-advanced age group ( P<0.05); however, there was no significant difference between the two groups in the incidences of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH, 15.6% vs. 10.6%) and malignant cerebral edema (MCE, 12.2% vs. 17.6%, P>0.05). The baseline data of the advanced age and non-advanced age patients were further matched with propensity score matching analysis (1:1) and statistically analyzed: the 91 elderly patients had significantly lower good prognosis rate 90 d after onset (20.9% vs. 36.3%) and MCE incidence (12.4% vs. 33.3%) than the 91 non-elderly patients ( P<0.05); there was no significant differences in successful vascular recanalization rate (67.0% vs. 71.4%), sICH incidence (15.7% vs. 17.6%) or mortality 90 d after onset (39.6% vs. 37.4%) between the two groups ( P>0.05). (2) Among the 680 patients, 314 (46.2%) had good prognosis and 366 (53.8%) had poor prognosis. As compared with the good prognosis group, the poor prognosis group had significantly higher proportion of patients at advanced age, significantly lower proportion of male patients, significantly higher proportion of patients with hypertension, diabetes or atrial fibrillation, significantly lower baseline Alberta Stroke early CT (ASPECT) scores, significantly higher baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores, statistically higher proportion of patients with cardiogenic embolism, significantly lower incidence of tandem lesions, significantly shorter time from onset to sheathing, statistically higher proportion of internal carotid artery occlusion, significantly lower proportion of patients with grading 2 collateral circulation, and significantly lower proportion of successful vascular recanalization ( P<0.05). Advanced age ( OR=3.144, 95%CI: 1.675-5.900, P<0.001) was an independent factor for prognoses 90 d after MT, in addition to baseline ASPECT scores, baseline NIHSS scores, diabetes mellitus, successful recanalization, and collateral circulation grading. (3) In the advanced age group, there were 19 patients (20.7%) with good prognosis and 73 patients (79.3%) with poor prognosis. As compared with the good prognosis subgroup, the poor prognosis subgroup had significantly lower proportion of male patients, significantly lower proportion of patients with grading 2 collateral circulation or complete recanalization, and significantly higher baseline NIHSS scores ( P<0.05). Baseline NIHSS score ( OR=1.482, 95%CI: 1.187-1.850, P=0.001) was an independent factor for prognoses 90 d after MT in advanced age patients. Conclusion:Although advanced age is an independent risk factor for prognoses of patients with acute anterior circulation ALVOS accepted MT, there are still some advanced age patients benefiting from MT without increased complications, especially for those with low baseline NIHSS scores.

Objective To investigate the expression level of serum miR-486-5p in patients with pancreatic cancer and the value of serum miR-486-5p combined with carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) in predicting the resectability of pancreatic cancer. Methods A total of 60 patients who were diagnosed with pancreatic cancer in Qingdao Municipal Hospital from September 2018 to December 2020 were enrolled, among whom 32 patients had resectable or borderline resectable pancreatic cancer (operable group) and 28 had unresectable pancreatic cancer (non-operable group), and a benign pancreatic disease group with 30 patients and a healthy control group with 44 individuals were also established. Quantitative real-time PCR was used to measure the serum level of miR-486-5p in each group, and the relative expression level of miR-486-5p was calculated to analyze its association with the clinical features of pancreatic cancer, including age, sex, tumor location, tumor size, TNM stage, lymphatic metastasis, and distant metastasis. The Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous variables between two groups, and the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical variables. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted, and a binary logistic regression analysis was used to calculate the combined predictive value and then investigate the value of serum miR-486-5p combined with CA19-9 in predicting the resectability of pancreatic cancer. Results The relative expression level of serum miR-486-5p in the operable group [2.16 (1.38~3.30)] and the non-operable group [4.65 (2.80~9.90)] was significantly higher than that in the benign pancreatic disease group [1.01 (0.52~1.53)] and the healthy control group [0.99 (0.24~1.01)] (all P < 0.001). There were significant differences in the number of patients with low or high expression of miR-486-5p between the patients with different TNM stages, presence or absence of lymphatic metastasis, and presence or absence of distant metastasis ( χ 2 =13.765, 5.157, and 6.638, all P < 0.05). Compared with CA19-9 alone, miR-486-5p+CA19-9 had a significantly better value in distinguishing the operable group from the benign pancreatic disease group (area under the ROC curve [AUC]=0.87, 95% confidence interval [ CI ]: 0.760-0.942; with a sensitivity of 81.3% and a specificity of 83.3%), distinguishing the operable group from the healthy control group (AUC=0.92, 95% CI : 0.836-0.970; with a sensitivity of 90.6% and a specificity of 86.4%), and distinguishing the operable group from the non-operable group (AUC=0.94, 95% CI : 0.884-0.998; with a sensitivity of 85.7% and a specificity of 93.7%) ( Z =2.841, 2.510, and 2.387, all P < 0.05), and the optimal cut-off values were 3.12, 3.21, and 6.63, respectively. Conclusion MiR-486-5p can be used as a serum biomarker for the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer, and miR-486-5p combined with CA19-9 has a better clinical value than CA19-9 alone in predicting the resectability of pancreatic cancer in the patients with benign pancreatic diseases and the healthy population.

Objective To assess the clinical value of endoscopic ultrasonography ( EUS ) for predicting esophageal varices ( EV ) progression in patients with hepatitis B virus ( HBV )-related hepatocirrhosis. Methods A retrospective cohort study was performed on 299 HBV-related hepatocirrhosis patients with light EV in Tianjin Second People′s Hospital admitted from September 2014 to September 2015. The diameter and number of peri-esophageal collateral veins ( ECV ) and para-ECV were measured and described by EUS. The first EUS examination time was the starting point, and the follow-up of 24 months or EV progression was the end. Risk factors of EV progression were evaluated by multivariate Cox regression model, and the predictive value of EUS for EV progression was analyzed by receiver operating characteristic ( ROC) curve. Results The cumulative incidence of EV progression was 2. 3％ ( 7/299 ) , 14. 8％( 44/297) , 33. 7％ ( 96/285) and 40. 0％ ( 120/273) at 6 months, 12 months, 18 months and 24 months of follow-up, respectively. The results of multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the diameter of peri-ECV ( P=0. 0112, HR=1. 3232, 95％CI: 1. 0656-1. 6429 ) , the number of peri-ECV ( P=0. 0001, HR=1. 3666, 95％CI:1. 1634-1. 6052) and para-ECV diameter ( P=0. 0002, HR=1. 3641, 95％CI:1. 1558-1. 6100) were risk factors for EV progression. The use of nucleoside analogues treating HBV (P=0. 0020, HR=0. 4969, 95％CI: 0. 3186-0. 7751) and non-selective β-blockers descending portal venous pressure ( P=0. 0765, HR=0. 5732, 95％CI:0. 3097-1. 0611) were the protective factors for EV progression. The results of ROC curve analysis showed that the diameter of peri-ECV[ P<0. 001, area under the curve (AUC)= 0. 850, 95％CI: 0. 804-0. 895], the number of peri-ECV (P<0. 001, AUC=0. 831, 95％CI: 0. 784-0. 878), the diameter of para-ECV (P<0. 001, AUC=0. 924, 95％CI: 0. 895-0. 954) , and the number of para-ECV ( P<0. 001, AUC=0. 761, 95％CI: 0. 704-0. 817 ) had higher predictive value for EV progression;and the optimum cut-off values of each index were 1. 85 mm, 3. 5, 3. 35 mm, and 4. 5, respectively. The accuracies of prediction for EV progression were 76. 60％, 75. 19％, 84. 48％ and 70. 29％, respectively. Conclusion EUS can be used to predict EV progression in HBV-related hepatocirrhosis patients. Peri-ECV diameter>1. 85 mm, number>3. 5, and para-ECV diameter>3. 35 mm, number>4. 5 suggest a high risk of EV progression. For patients with HBV-related hepatocirrhosis complicated with mild EV, nucleoside analogues to anti-HBV and non-selective β-blockers to reduce portal hypertension can prevent EV progression.

Objective: To identify the independent risk factors of esophageal varices (EV) in cirrhosis by endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS), and further to establish a risk assessment model for predicting EV occurrence and evaluate the clinical predictive value of the model. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was used in this study. Data of patients with cirrhosis without varicosity, who were hospitalized in Tianjin Second People's Hospital from September 2014 to March 2017 were collected. The location, diameter, and number of esophageal collateral circulation were measured by EUS. The non-selective beta blocker (NSBB) medication history and antiviral therapy were recorded. The time of the first EUS examination was taken as the starting point and the follow-up period was set up as 18 months. The end point was the occurrence of EV or the end of follow-up. The independent risk factors of EV occurrence were determined by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis, and the risk assessment model of EV occurrence was constructed. The predictive value of evaluation model for disease was studied by ROC analysis. Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit was used to test the fitting efficiency of the evaluation model. Results: A total of 638 subjects were recruited initially, 13 of them were lost in the course of the study. Finally, 625 cases were included in the study. Among them, 369 cases did not develop EV (the non-progress group) and 256 cases developed EV (the progress group). (1) Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that 7 independent risk factors were selected into the risk assessment model of EV occurrence, and were assigned corresponding scores: no NSBB (3 points), no antiviral treatment (2 points), Child-Pugh stage B (1 point), the diameter of peri-ECV>2 mm (1 point), the number of peri-ECV≥5 (3 points), the diameter of para-ECV≥5 mm (4 points), and the number of para-ECV≥5 (4 points). (2) In the risk assessment model, the risk factor scores ranged from 1 to 4 with a total score of 0-18. The predicted incidence of EV increased from 0.003 to 1.000 with the increase of the score. (3) In the risk assessment model, the total risk score ≤2 was assigned into low-risk group, 3-5 into medium-risk group, and ≥6 into high-risk group. The actual EV incidence of each risk stratification was 2.78% in the low-risk group, 36.36% in the medium-risk group and 93.91% in the high-risk group, respectively. (4) The ROC analysis showed that area under curve (AUC) was 0.947 (P<0.05), suggesting that the risk assessment model had a good effect on predicting disease progression. Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that P was 0.450, suggesting that the model fitted well. Conclusion The risk assessment model based on EUS can accurately predict the occurrence of EV, and is simple and easy to use. The model can provide scientific basis for the prevention and rational treatment of EV in liver cirrhosis.