1.Analysis of risk factors for cardiovascular events and construction of a nomogram prediction model in patients undergoing long-term peritoneal dialysis
Xinyuan ZHOU ; Yuxin JIANG ; Xiaoxia WANG ; Xiangjie YANG ; Runzhe ZHOU ; Yuqing MENG ; Dingxin ZHANG ; Jin ZHANG ; Ying WANG
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2026;61(4):748-757
ObjectiveTo analyze the risk factors for long-term cardiovascular events in patients undergoing long-term peritoneal dialysis (PD), and to construct and validate a visual nomogram prediction model based on multiple parameters. MethodsA prospective cohort study was conducted, consecutively enrolling 248 maintenance PD patients (dialysis duration ≥ 3 months). Demographic characteristics, clinical indicators, laboratory parameters, and echocardiographic indices (including left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF], ratio of early diastolic mitral inflow velocity to early diastolic mitral annular velocity (E/e’), etc.) were collected. The composite endpoint was defined as the occurrence of cardiovascular events or cardiovascular death, with non-cardiovascular death as the competing risk and loss to follow-up or the end of follow-up as censoring events. Fine-Gray competing risks model was used to screen independent predictors, based on which a nomogram model was constructed. Internal validation was performed using the Bootstrap method (1 000 resamplings), and the concordance index (C-index) and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (time-dependent ROC) curve were calculated to evaluate the model performance. ResultsWith a median follow-up of 29 months (interquartile range: 24–35 months), 88 patients (35.48%) reached the composite endpoint, including 80 cases of cardiovascular events and 8 cases of cardiovascular death, and 4 patients died of non-cardiovascular causes. Multivariate Fine-Gray analysis revealed that age, diabetes mellitus, hemoglobin (HGB) level and E/e' ratio were independent influencing factors of the composite endpoint. Specifically, each 1-year increase in age was associated with a 3.0% increase in the risk of the composite endpoint (HR=1.030, P=0.006); patients with diabetes mellitus had a 167.9% higher risk compared with non-diabetic patients (HR=2.679, P=0.007); each 1g/L increase in HGB level contributed to a 1.5% reduction in the risk (HR=0.985, P=0.003); and each 0.1 increase in E/e' ratio led to a 7.2% increase in the risk (HR=1.072, P=0.045). The nomogram model had a C-index of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.698–0.820), and the AUC of the time-dependent ROC curve reached 0.849 at 23 months of follow-up. ConclusionIncreased age, complicated with diabetes mellitus, decreased HGB, and elevated E/e' ratio are independent risk factors of long-term occurrence of cardiovascular events and cardiovascular death in patients undergoing long-term PD. The nomogram model constructed based on the above variables has good predictive value and clinical applicability, which can provide a reference for cardiovascular risk stratification and individualized intervention in long-term PD patients.
2.Epidemic characteristics and disease burden of drug-resistant tuberculosis cases in the elderly in Wuhan
Liping ZHANG ; Xiangjie LIU ; Xiaoxia LIU ; Ting WEI ; Yan WANG ; Qian LI
Journal of Clinical Medicine in Practice 2025;29(6):30-33
Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics and disease burden of drug-resistant tuberculosis cases among elderly patients in Wuhan.Methods Clinical data of elderly pa-tients with pulmonary tuberculosis in Wuhan from January 2019 to December 2022 were retrospectively analyzed.Sputum samples were collected for Mycobacterium tuberculosis isolation,and drug suscepti-bility testing was performed using the proportion method.The epidemiological characteristics of drug-resistant tuberculosis and the direct economic burden of the patients were analyzed.Results A total of 972 elderly patients with positive Mycobacterium tuberculosis tests were included.The overall tuberculosis drug resistance rate was 21.19%(206/972).Male,rural residence,lower education level(primary school or below)and retreatment history significantly increased the risk of developing drug-resistant tu-berculosis(P<0.05).The direct economic burden for elderly patients with drug-resistant tuberculosis was 24,101.52(8,283.98,39,598.89)RMB,and the indirect economic burden was 1,858.64(528.66,3,085.26)RMB.Conclusion The incidence of drug resistance in elderly tuberculosis is high,and male,rural residence,low education level and tuberculosis retreatment are the risk factors for drug resistance in elderly tuberculosis,and their economic burden is heavy after drug resistance.
3.Pathogen genome databases development and application in public health
Ziquan LYU ; Yanbo YANG ; Yu ZHANG ; Xiangjie YAO ; Xuemei LU ; Yulin FU ; Xiran WANG ; Qinghua HU ; Xuan ZOU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(9):1697-1703
Infectious diseases continue to pose a threat to global public health. Successive global shocks caused by emerging and re-emerging pathogens have continuously challenged existing surveillance systems, highlighting the urgent need to build efficient and precise pathogen surveillance networks. Pathogen genomic databases have been developed rapidly in recent two decades, significantly improving the molecular identification, evolutionary analysis, and transmission tracking of pathogens, and changing disease surveillance strategies and patterns. This paper summarizes the developmental history and current state of pathogen genomic databases, and discusses their applications in public health, including pathogen variation surveillance, emerging or suspected pathogen identification, and epidemiological tracing. Furthermore, this paper systematically analyzes the limitations and key challenges faced by current global health prevention and control system, and suggests the focus of the development of online pathogen databases to address existing shortcomings, ultimately improve global infectious disease surveillance and early warning
4.Hemodynamic Analysis of Autologous Arteriovenous Fistula Based on Fluid-Structure Interaction Simulation
Fan WANG ; Jinfeng GUO ; Cheng ZHANG ; Ruixin GUO ; Weina MU ; Xiangjie KONG
Journal of Medical Biomechanics 2025;40(5):1248-1255
Objective To study the hemodynamic characteristics of autologous arteriovenous fistula(AVF)and provide a theoretical basis for reducing its stenosis rate.Methods Bidirectional fluid-structure interaction(FSI)simulations were conducted on a modified AVF model.Flow field and wall shear stress(WSS)distributions in the internal fistula at different periods and angles in a cardiac cycle were analyzed for retrograde flow(confluence)and anterograde flow(shunt)modes in models with varying anastomosis angles.Results Under confluence modes,the WSS<1 Pa area in the 60° anastomosis angle model was the smallest(7.027 mm2),while the 45°,60°,and 90° models showed no significant differences in eddy current size and intensity.Under shunt modes,the 45° anastomosis angle model had the smallest WSS<1 Pa area(9.079 mm2),but the 60° model exhibited the lowest eddy current intensity and distribution area.In addition,the difference in the WSS<1 Pa area between the 60° and 45° models was only 2.661 mm2.Conclusions Under both confluence and shunt flow modes,establishing an AVF with 60° anastomosis angle is conducive to reducing the risk of vascular stenosis in arteriovenous fistula.
5.Pathogen genome databases development and application in public health
Ziquan LYU ; Yanbo YANG ; Yu ZHANG ; Xiangjie YAO ; Xuemei LU ; Yulin FU ; Xiran WANG ; Qinghua HU ; Xuan ZOU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(9):1697-1703
Infectious diseases continue to pose a threat to global public health. Successive global shocks caused by emerging and re-emerging pathogens have continuously challenged existing surveillance systems, highlighting the urgent need to build efficient and precise pathogen surveillance networks. Pathogen genomic databases have been developed rapidly in recent two decades, significantly improving the molecular identification, evolutionary analysis, and transmission tracking of pathogens, and changing disease surveillance strategies and patterns. This paper summarizes the developmental history and current state of pathogen genomic databases, and discusses their applications in public health, including pathogen variation surveillance, emerging or suspected pathogen identification, and epidemiological tracing. Furthermore, this paper systematically analyzes the limitations and key challenges faced by current global health prevention and control system, and suggests the focus of the development of online pathogen databases to address existing shortcomings, ultimately improve global infectious disease surveillance and early warning
6.Hemodynamic Analysis of Autologous Arteriovenous Fistula Based on Fluid-Structure Interaction Simulation
Fan WANG ; Jinfeng GUO ; Cheng ZHANG ; Ruixin GUO ; Weina MU ; Xiangjie KONG
Journal of Medical Biomechanics 2025;40(5):1248-1255
Objective To study the hemodynamic characteristics of autologous arteriovenous fistula(AVF)and provide a theoretical basis for reducing its stenosis rate.Methods Bidirectional fluid-structure interaction(FSI)simulations were conducted on a modified AVF model.Flow field and wall shear stress(WSS)distributions in the internal fistula at different periods and angles in a cardiac cycle were analyzed for retrograde flow(confluence)and anterograde flow(shunt)modes in models with varying anastomosis angles.Results Under confluence modes,the WSS<1 Pa area in the 60° anastomosis angle model was the smallest(7.027 mm2),while the 45°,60°,and 90° models showed no significant differences in eddy current size and intensity.Under shunt modes,the 45° anastomosis angle model had the smallest WSS<1 Pa area(9.079 mm2),but the 60° model exhibited the lowest eddy current intensity and distribution area.In addition,the difference in the WSS<1 Pa area between the 60° and 45° models was only 2.661 mm2.Conclusions Under both confluence and shunt flow modes,establishing an AVF with 60° anastomosis angle is conducive to reducing the risk of vascular stenosis in arteriovenous fistula.
7.Analysis on consistency between actual measured dose and displayed dose in CT examination on head of children
Yu ZHANG ; Xiangjie MA ; Zhuo HUANG
China Medical Equipment 2025;22(6):19-23
Objective:To assess the consistency between displayed doses and actual doses of the computed tomography(CT)equipment of different manufactories and types through compares the actual measured dose and the displayed dose in CT examination on head of children,so as to provide references for rapid estimation and scientific assessment for the dose in CT examination on head of children.Methods:The CT equipment of two kinds of commonly used brands were selected,which included Brand A(imported equipment,16-slice and 64-slice)and Brand B(domestic equipment,16-slice and 32-slice).A pediatric head phantom was used to conduct scan according to pre-set scan protocol for children at different ages.A ionization chamber that like a pen was adopted to measure CT dose index(CTDI)values of scanning the head of children under various scan parameters,which were compared with the displayed values in equipment.Results:For 16-slices CT of Brand A,the ratio range of actually measured dose to displayed dose was between 1.08 and 1.10.For the 64-slices CT of Brand A,that was between 1.11 and 1.17.For the 16-slices CT of Brand B,that was between 1.00 to 1.04.For the 32-slices CT of Brand B,that was between 1.12 to 1.21.All ratios were slightly higher than 1,but were within a relatively concentrated range.Under the products of different tube voltages(kV)and tube current-time(mAs),the volatility of ratio range of actually measured dose to displayed dose of different ages was less than 5%,which indicated the deviations were stable,and the influence of parameters was less.Conclusion:In CT examinations on head of children,the consistency of the ratio value between actually measured value and displayed value is higher under the acquiescent scan conditions of the scan protocol for head of children at different ages,which can conduct rapidly dose estimation as a certain conversion coefficient.
8.Analysis on consistency between actual measured dose and displayed dose in CT examination on head of children
Yu ZHANG ; Xiangjie MA ; Zhuo HUANG
China Medical Equipment 2025;22(6):19-23
Objective:To assess the consistency between displayed doses and actual doses of the computed tomography(CT)equipment of different manufactories and types through compares the actual measured dose and the displayed dose in CT examination on head of children,so as to provide references for rapid estimation and scientific assessment for the dose in CT examination on head of children.Methods:The CT equipment of two kinds of commonly used brands were selected,which included Brand A(imported equipment,16-slice and 64-slice)and Brand B(domestic equipment,16-slice and 32-slice).A pediatric head phantom was used to conduct scan according to pre-set scan protocol for children at different ages.A ionization chamber that like a pen was adopted to measure CT dose index(CTDI)values of scanning the head of children under various scan parameters,which were compared with the displayed values in equipment.Results:For 16-slices CT of Brand A,the ratio range of actually measured dose to displayed dose was between 1.08 and 1.10.For the 64-slices CT of Brand A,that was between 1.11 and 1.17.For the 16-slices CT of Brand B,that was between 1.00 to 1.04.For the 32-slices CT of Brand B,that was between 1.12 to 1.21.All ratios were slightly higher than 1,but were within a relatively concentrated range.Under the products of different tube voltages(kV)and tube current-time(mAs),the volatility of ratio range of actually measured dose to displayed dose of different ages was less than 5%,which indicated the deviations were stable,and the influence of parameters was less.Conclusion:In CT examinations on head of children,the consistency of the ratio value between actually measured value and displayed value is higher under the acquiescent scan conditions of the scan protocol for head of children at different ages,which can conduct rapidly dose estimation as a certain conversion coefficient.
9.Methods for radiation protection testing and evaluation of a self-shielded head and neck radiotherapy system
Xiangjie MA ; Qinghuan JIANG ; Ya LIU ; Yu ZHANG ; Mingsheng LI
Chinese Journal of Radiological Health 2024;33(6):621-625
Objective To establish testing and evaluation methods for radiation shielding performance of a self-shielded radiotherapy system by measuring the radiation levels around the self-shielded head and neck radiotherapy system. Methods A total of 14 monitoring points were selected outside the restricted zone of the system. Under radiation conditions from five different fixed directions, an ion chamber survey meter was used to measure and identify the maximum ambient dose equivalent rate at the 14 points. The time-averaged dose rate was then calculated based on the workload. In accordance with relevant radiation protection standards, an instantaneous dose rate of 10 μSv/h and a time-averaged dose rate of 2.0 μSv/h were proposed as the criteria for shielding protection evaluation. Results Based on the ambient dose equivalent rates at the 14 monitoring points outside the restricted zone, the maximum instantaneous dose rate outside the restricted zone was 7.4 μSv/h. With a workload of 15 patients per day, the maximum time-averaged dose rate was 1.0 μSv/h, which can be used as the criteria for shielding protection evaluation. Conclusion By considering both instantaneous dose rate and time-averaged dose rate, a comprehensive safety assessment of the radiation shielding performance of a self-shielded radiotherapy system can be conducted.
10.A prospective cohort study on the relationship between serum FGF23 and the risk of heart failure and death in end-stage renal disease patients
Xiaoxia WANG ; Xinyuan ZHOU ; Xiangjie YANG ; Runzhe ZHOU ; Yuqing MENG ; Dingxin ZHANG ; Jin ZHANG ; Ying WANG
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2024;59(5):874-880
Objective To explore the correlation between serum fibroblast growth factor-23 (FGF23) concentration and heart failure and all-cause death in patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD).Methods The prospective cohort study design was used in the present study.The ESRD patients who were admitted to the department of ne-phropathy in the Hospital and without heart failure symptoms were recruited in this study.The data of patients was collected through baseline questionnaires, physical examinations, echocardiography, and laboratory examinations.The serum FGF23 levels were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) .The follow-up time was 2 years.The onset of heart failure (ACC/AHA stage C-D) and all-cause death were composite endpoint events.The Cox proportional risk model was used to explore the risk factors of outcome events.Through subgroup analyses and interaction analyses, further exploration was conducted to determine whether there was heterogeneity in the as-sociation between FGF23 and outcome events in different subgroups.Results Ultimately,107 ESRD patients were included in this study, with an average age of (52.00 ± 12.51) years.There were 39 males (36.45%), and the median follow-up time was 23 months (21, 25 months).There were 32 (29.9%) outcome events, of which 22 (20.6%) onset of heart failure and 10 (9.3%) all-cause of deaths.The results of this study showed that the con-centration of FGF23 in the outcome event group was significantly higher than that in the non-event group [ (4.40 ± 1.16) pmol/ml vs (3.85 ± 0.82) pmol/ml,P<0.05].The Cox proportional risk model showed that the elevated FGF23 was associated with increased risk of the composite endpoint events in ESRD patients (HR=1.730 , 95%CI:1.164-2.570 , P=0.007) .Subgroup analyses showed that there was an interactive effect between FGF23 levels and gender on the risk of cardiovascular outcome events.Especially in male ESRD patients, the increased FGF23 level was correlated with a higher risk of cardiovascular events (P-interaction <0.05).Conclusion Elevated serum FGF23 is an independent risk factor for the onset of heart failure and all-cause of mortality in ESRD patients, especially in male patients.


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