1.Construction of a prediction model for muscular invasion in upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma based on preoperative MRI features
Haonan CHEN ; Lingkai CAI ; Hongyuan DING ; Hao JI ; Tianxiao HONG ; Hao YU ; Qikai WU ; Chaoran ZHAO ; Xiao YANG ; Qiang CAO ; Xiancheng ZHAO ; Pengchao LI ; Qiang LYU
Chinese Journal of Urology 2025;46(9):661-668
Objective:To construct a nomogram based on preoperative MRI imaging features for the prediction of muscle-invasive upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma(UTUC)and evaluate its performance.Methods:This retrospective cohort study analyzed the clinical data of 99 UTUC patients treated at the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from April 2018 to May 2024. Among them,69(69.7%)were male and 30(30.3%)were female,with a median age of 67.0 years. All patients underwent preoperative MRI and radical nephroureterectomy. According to postoperative pathology,tumors staged ≥ T 2 were assigned to the muscle-invasive group,and those staged ≤ T 1 were assigned to the non-muscle-invasive group. Baseline data,pathological information,and imaging characteristics were collected and compared between the two groups. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify risk factors for muscle-invasive UTUC,and a nomogram was constructed. The diagnostic performance of the model was assessed using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves,calibration curves,and decision curve analysis(DCA). Results:Among the 99 patients,70(70.7%)were diagnosed with muscle-invasive UTUC,and 29(29.3%)with non-muscle-invasive UTUC. The muscle-invasive group had significantly larger tumor size[4.5(2.8,7.0)cm vs. 3.0(2.3,4.5)cm, P = 0.029],a higher incidence of multifocal tumors[37.1%(26/70)vs. 3.5%(1/29), P < 0.001],patchy tumors[30.0%(21/70)vs. 6.9%(2/29), P = 0.019],spiculated tumor margins[52.9%(37/70)vs. 17.2%(5/29), P = 0.001],tumor compression on renal parenchyma or periureteral/peripelvic fat[68.6%(48/70)vs. 10.3%(3/29), P < 0.001],high-grade pathology[92.9%(65/70)vs. 75.9%(22/29), P = 0.043],lymph node metastasis[28.6%(20/70)vs. 0, P = 0.001],and lymphovascular invasion[42.9%(30/70)vs. 10.3%(3/29), P=0.002]. The apparent diffusion coefficient(ADC)values[0.9(0.8,1.1)× 10 -3 mm2/s vs. 1.1(1.0,1.4)× 10 -3 mm2/s, P < 0.001]and normalized ADC(NADC)values[0.8(0.7,1.0)vs. 0.9(0.8,1.1), P = 0.002]were significantly lower in the muscle-invasive group. Univariate logistic regression identified multifocality,patchy tumor patterns,spiculated tumor margins,tumor compression on renal parenchyma or periureteral/peripelvic fat,and low NADC values as risk factors for muscle-invasive UTUC(all P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed multifocality( OR = 17.903,95% CI 1.650 - 194.253, P = 0.018),tumor compression on renal parenchyma or perirenal / ureteral fat( OR = 14.690,95% CI 3.069 - 70.323, P < 0.001),and low NADC value( OR = 0.016,95% CI 0.001 - 0.471, P = 0.017)as independent risk factors. A nomogram was constructed based on these factors. The area under the ROC curve(AUC)of the model was 0.898(95% CI 0.838 - 0.957),with an optimal cutoff value of 0.639. The model showed an accuracy of 83.8%,sensitivity of 81.4%,and specificity of 89.7%. Calibration curves indicated good calibration,and DCA showed that the model provided substantial clinical net benefit. Conclusions:This study constructed a nomogram based on preoperative MRI features,including tumor multifocality,compression on renal parenchyma or periureteral/peripelvic fat and NADC value,which demonstrates good predictive performances for muscle-invasive UTUC.
2.Construction of a prediction model for muscular invasion in upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma based on preoperative MRI features
Haonan CHEN ; Lingkai CAI ; Hongyuan DING ; Hao JI ; Tianxiao HONG ; Hao YU ; Qikai WU ; Chaoran ZHAO ; Xiao YANG ; Qiang CAO ; Xiancheng ZHAO ; Pengchao LI ; Qiang LYU
Chinese Journal of Urology 2025;46(9):661-668
Objective:To construct a nomogram based on preoperative MRI imaging features for the prediction of muscle-invasive upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma(UTUC)and evaluate its performance.Methods:This retrospective cohort study analyzed the clinical data of 99 UTUC patients treated at the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from April 2018 to May 2024. Among them,69(69.7%)were male and 30(30.3%)were female,with a median age of 67.0 years. All patients underwent preoperative MRI and radical nephroureterectomy. According to postoperative pathology,tumors staged ≥ T 2 were assigned to the muscle-invasive group,and those staged ≤ T 1 were assigned to the non-muscle-invasive group. Baseline data,pathological information,and imaging characteristics were collected and compared between the two groups. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify risk factors for muscle-invasive UTUC,and a nomogram was constructed. The diagnostic performance of the model was assessed using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves,calibration curves,and decision curve analysis(DCA). Results:Among the 99 patients,70(70.7%)were diagnosed with muscle-invasive UTUC,and 29(29.3%)with non-muscle-invasive UTUC. The muscle-invasive group had significantly larger tumor size[4.5(2.8,7.0)cm vs. 3.0(2.3,4.5)cm, P = 0.029],a higher incidence of multifocal tumors[37.1%(26/70)vs. 3.5%(1/29), P < 0.001],patchy tumors[30.0%(21/70)vs. 6.9%(2/29), P = 0.019],spiculated tumor margins[52.9%(37/70)vs. 17.2%(5/29), P = 0.001],tumor compression on renal parenchyma or periureteral/peripelvic fat[68.6%(48/70)vs. 10.3%(3/29), P < 0.001],high-grade pathology[92.9%(65/70)vs. 75.9%(22/29), P = 0.043],lymph node metastasis[28.6%(20/70)vs. 0, P = 0.001],and lymphovascular invasion[42.9%(30/70)vs. 10.3%(3/29), P=0.002]. The apparent diffusion coefficient(ADC)values[0.9(0.8,1.1)× 10 -3 mm2/s vs. 1.1(1.0,1.4)× 10 -3 mm2/s, P < 0.001]and normalized ADC(NADC)values[0.8(0.7,1.0)vs. 0.9(0.8,1.1), P = 0.002]were significantly lower in the muscle-invasive group. Univariate logistic regression identified multifocality,patchy tumor patterns,spiculated tumor margins,tumor compression on renal parenchyma or periureteral/peripelvic fat,and low NADC values as risk factors for muscle-invasive UTUC(all P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed multifocality( OR = 17.903,95% CI 1.650 - 194.253, P = 0.018),tumor compression on renal parenchyma or perirenal / ureteral fat( OR = 14.690,95% CI 3.069 - 70.323, P < 0.001),and low NADC value( OR = 0.016,95% CI 0.001 - 0.471, P = 0.017)as independent risk factors. A nomogram was constructed based on these factors. The area under the ROC curve(AUC)of the model was 0.898(95% CI 0.838 - 0.957),with an optimal cutoff value of 0.639. The model showed an accuracy of 83.8%,sensitivity of 81.4%,and specificity of 89.7%. Calibration curves indicated good calibration,and DCA showed that the model provided substantial clinical net benefit. Conclusions:This study constructed a nomogram based on preoperative MRI features,including tumor multifocality,compression on renal parenchyma or periureteral/peripelvic fat and NADC value,which demonstrates good predictive performances for muscle-invasive UTUC.
3.Analysis of rapid detection of Treponema pallidum antibody before voluntary blood donation and strategy optimization
Xiancheng CAI ; Qing YE ; Fangfei LIU ; Zhilin HONG
International Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2017;38(13):1784-1785,1789
Objective To evaluate the performance of fast Treponema pallidum(TP) detection in voluntary blood donors and optimize the strategy for pre-donation screening.Methods Before blood donation,the gold standard TP test strip was used to make a fast detection.After blood donation,the TP-ELISA was used to test the blood.Then,analyze the donors′ anti-TP positive rate,times and intervals of donating,false positive and negative of TP fast detection.Results From 2014 to 2015,among 73 990 donors who were tested by using fast TP detection,0.71% of them(529 donors) were positive.Among the positive donors,89.2% of them(472 donors) were first-time blood donors.35 donors′ donating intervals were more than 3 years,who accounted for 61.4% of the donors who had donated for more than once.The numbers of the false positive obtained from fast TP detection were 5 and the false negative was 15.By applying the fast TP detection before blood donation,the rate of anti-TP positive had been declined from 0.71% to 0.17%.Conclusion The rejection rate of TP positive can be significantly reduced by using fast TP detection before blood donation.The fast TP detection can be used to optimize the pre-donation screening and promote blood donation service efficiency and level,while donating times and intervals of the blood donors were also considered.

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