1.Material Basis, Pharmacological Mechanisms, and Quality Control of Antitumor Effect of Cremastrae Pseudobulbus Pleiones Pseudobulbus: A Review
Yuanye GU ; Ruonan QIANG ; Zheyu XU ; Ruyun CAO ; Qiye PAN ; Zhenyu YANG ; Tian XIA ; Qingyuan CHI ; Haojing WANG ; Xian GU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(19):258-268
Cremastrae Pseudobulbus Pleiones Pseudobulbus is a Chinese medicinal material used for clearing heat, detoxicifying, resolving phlegm, and dissipating nodules. It is derived from Cremastra appendiculata, Pleione bulbocodioides, or Pleione yunnanensis, as recorded in the 2025 edition of the Pharmacopoeia of the People′s Republic of China, with the former known as Maocigu and the latter two known as Bingqiuzi. Current antitumor studies mainly focus on polysaccharides, water-extracted alcohol-precipitated fractions, and purified extracts of C. appendiculata. Structurally characterized glucomannans suppress breast and liver tumor xenografts and exhibit immunomodulatory effects. The water-extracted alcohol-precipitated fractions inhibit tumor angiogenesis in hepatoma-bearing mice. A purified C. appendiculata extract standardized to five phenanthrene and bibenzyl constituents induces mitochondrial apoptosis in hepatocellular carcinoma cells. Reported pharmacological effects involve cell-cycle regulation, apoptosis, epithelial-mesenchymal transition, angiogenesis, autophagy, and the tumor immune microenvironment, with phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase/protein kinase B/mammalian target of rapamycin (PI3K/Akt/mTOR), Wnt/β-catenin, and Janus kinase 2/signal transducer and activator of transcription 3 (JAK2/STAT3) signaling pathways being the major mechanism links. Quality evaluation of Cremastrae Pseudobulbus Pleiones Pseudobulbus has progressed from single-marker assays to an integrated approach involving botanical authentication, chromatographic fingerprinting, multicomponent analysis, and evaluation of associations between blood-absorbed constituents and antitumor effects. Militarine and dactylorhin A can be used for botanical identification and batch evaluation, and in vivo exposure data from related orchids are concentrated on militarine. Quantitative associations between these constituents and antitumor effects remain to be established. Clinical evidence mainly focuses on formula-based applications and expert experience. Comparative antitumor data in hepatoma models are available for the commercial specifications of Maocigu and Bingqiuzi, whereas parallel evaluations of pharmacological effects, safety windows, and drug interactions among the three official botanical origins remain insufficient. The major limitations are the incomplete standardization of botanical origins and preparations and the lack of quantitative links among quality markers, systemic exposure, antitumor effects, and toxicity endpoints, which constrain reproducible pharmacological evaluation and clinical translation of Cremastrae Pseudobulbus/Pleiones Pseudobulbus.
2.Establishment and application of RPA-LFD detection method for Pasteurella multocida from duck
Youci LONG ; Qinglin GU ; Simei XIAN ; Weihao ZHENG ; Qin WU ; Mengyi YU ; Jing LI ; Shuaibin WU
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2025;45(3):466-472
This study aims to establish a convenient,new and visual detection method for the field diagnosis of Pasteurella multocida(Pm).With reference to the Pm kmt1 gene conserved sequence published in GenBank,PCR amplification primers were designed,the amplified kmt1 gene was cloned into pMD19-T vector,and the recombinant plasmid standard pMD19-T-kmt 1 was estab-lished and identified by PCR and sequencing.Using pMD1 9-T-kmt 1 plasmid as template and kmt1 gene as target gene,basic primers were designed and synthesized.According to the requirements of LFD,a probe(Pm-P)was designed,and the RPA-LFD method for Pm detection was established by optimizing the reaction conditions.Specificity and sensitivity tests were carried out,and 64 clini-cal samples were tested by the method.The results showed that the established Pm RPA-LFD method could be amplified at 37 ℃ for 15 min.Escherichia coli(E.coli),Salmonella enteriditis(SE),Riemerella anatipestifer(RA),Staphylococcus,goose parvovirus(GPV),duck plague virus(DPV),Muscovy duck parvovirus(MDPV)DNA was extracted as the template,and plasmid standard pMD19-T-kmt 1 was used as the positive control.All the positive controls were negative,indicating that the method had good specificity.The plasmid standard pMD1 9-T-kmt 1 was diluted with a 10-fold ratio,and the plasmid standard with a concentration of 107-100 copies/μL was used as the template.The sensitivity was 1.50×101 copies/μ,,which was 100 times higher than that of PCR.A total of 64 clinical samples with suspected RA were subjected to testing using PCR,RPA and LAMP-LFD,with a 100%compliance rate for all three detection tests.The results show that the established RPA-LFD method has the characteristics of strong specificity,high sensitivity,fast speed and visualization,and can be applied to the field detection of Pm.
3.Clinical Experience from Professor Xu in Treating Advanced Colorectal Cancer
Xiaowei HUANG ; Xian GU ; Zherui WANG ; Limin ZHU ; Zhenye XU
World Science and Technology-Modernization of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;27(4):1131-1135
This article mainly introduces Professor Xu Zhenye's experience in treating advanced colorectal cancer.According to Professor Xu,the pathogenesis of advanced colorectal cancer is mainly based on deficiency,supplemented by evils and realities,and most of the patients are suffering from deficiency of essence and Qi.The treatment should focus on replenishing the deficiency,followed by removing the evils and poisons.Professor Xu innovatively put forward the theory of"spleen deficiency and essence deficiency,supporting the positive to fight against cancer",treating intestinal cancer by strengthening the spleen,tonifying the kidney and nourishing the essence,supplemented by clearing heat and removing toxins to fight against tumour.
4.Clinical Study on the Treatment of Post-operative Cancer-related Fatigue in Stage ⅡB-Ⅲ Colorectal Cancer with Kangyan Jingfang
Qiyue XU ; Lingyu ZHU ; Xian GU ; Limin ZHU
World Science and Technology-Modernization of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;27(11):3328-3337
Objective To observe the clinical efficacy and safety of Kangyan Jingfang in the treatment of post-operative cancer-related fatigue in Stage ⅡB-Ⅲ colorectal cancer.Methods A total of 66 patients with stage ⅡB-Ⅲ colorectal cancer who were diagnosed as cancer-related fatigue(CRF)based on TCM syndrome differentiation as spleen vacuity and essence depletion were divided into treatment group and control group randomly,with 33 cases in each group.The treatment group was treated with conventional symptomatic treatment combined with Kangyan Jingfang,and the control group was treated with conventional symptomatic treatment,the course of treatment was 60 days.The scores of cancer-related Fatigue(CFS),TCM syndrome accumulation scale,the revised Piper fatigue scale,Karnofsky performance status,hospital anxiety and depression scale(HAD),tumor markers(CEA,CA19-9,CA72-4,CA12-5,CA15-3,CA242,CA50,Septin9 gene methylation,etc.),immune function(CD3+T lymphocyte level,CD4+T lymphocyte level,CD8+T lymphocyte level and CD4+/CD8+ratio)and safety indexes(blood routine,liver and kidney function)were compared between the two groups in order to evaluate the clinical efficacy of Kangyan Jingfang on CRF.Results 60 cases were included in the observation finally,including 30 cases in each group.After treatment,the scores CFS,TCM syndrome accumulation scale,the revised Piper fatigue scale and HAD of two groups were decreased,but the treatment group before treatment showed a significant decrease in all indicators compared to the control group(P<0.05).The KPS score in the treatment group improved after treatment compared to the control group significantly(P<0.05).CEA,CA19-9 and the methylation of Septin9 gene were significantly decreased in the treatment group after treatment(P<0.05).CD3 and CD4 in treatment groups were higher than control group after treatment significantly(P<0.05).There were no significant abnormal changes in safety indexes before and after treatment(P>0.05).Conclusion Kangyan Jingfang can effectively improve the clinical symptoms of cancer-related fatigue in patients with stage ⅡB-Ⅲ colorectal cancer after surgery,reduce the physical and emotional suffering of patients,improve the quality of life,and enhance the immune function of the body.The efficacy is safe and reliable,and it has certain clinical application value.
5.Comparison of the Phoenix scoring system and commonly used pediatric sepsis scores in predicting mortality risk in pediatric patients with severe sepsis under traditional standards
Haonan WANG ; Yinglang HE ; Rui TAN ; Han LI ; Xian LI ; Nan HOU ; Chen JI ; Zhe LI ; Yue WANG ; Shuangshuang PENG ; Le JING ; Liye GU ; Junjie ZHAO ; Hongjun MIAO
Chinese Journal of Burns 2025;41(3):222-231
Objective:To explore the differences between the Phoenix sepsis scoring system including Phoenix sepsis score (PSS) and Phoenix-8 organ dysfunction score (hereinafter referred to as Phoenix-8) and the commonly used pediatric sepsis scores in evaluating clinical characteristics and prognostic analysis of pediatric patients with severe sepsis diagnosed under traditional standards, namely the diagnostic criteria from the 2005 International Pediatric Sepsis Consensus Conference.Methods:This study was a retrospective observational study. From December 2020 to March 2023, 202 pediatric patients with severe sepsis meeting the inclusion criteria were admitted to the Children's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University. Based on the sepsis diagnostic criteria outlined in the International Consensus Criteria for Pediatric Sepsis and Septic Shock (2024), the pediatric patients were categorized into a sepsis group and a non-sepsis group. Sepsis group was further subdivided into a death subgroup and a survival subgroup based on the outcomes. The age, hospitalization costs, disease outcome indicators (e.g., mortality rate and incidence of septic shock), major organ (e.g., heart, liver, lungs, and kidneys) damage and their correlations, as well as PSS, Phoenix-8 and commonly used pediatric sepsis scores (e.g., pediatric sequential organ failure assessment (pSOFA), pediatric risk of mortality score Ⅲ (PRISM Ⅲ), pediatric logistic organ dysfunction-2 score (PELOD-2), pediatric multiple organ dysfunction score (P-MODS), pediatric critical illness score (PCIS), and pediatric early warning score (PEWS)) were collected and compared. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and precision-recall curve were plotted to evaluate the predictive ability of PSS, Phoenix-8, and commonly used pediatric sepsis scores for mortality risk in pediatric patients with severe sepsis under traditional standards. Predictive performance was quantified using the area under the ROC curve (AUROC). Univariate logistic regression analysis was employed to quantify the odds ratios of PSS and Phoenix-8 for predicting mortality risk. Patients with severe sepsis under traditional standards were further stratified into subgroups based on complications and comorbidities, including central nervous system (CNS) diseases, multiple infections, cardiovascular system diseases, shock, and malignancies. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test was used to assess calibration of PSS and Phoenix-8, and the DeLong test was used to compare whether there were statistically significant differences in the AUROC of PSS and Phoenix-8 for predicting mortality risk among different subgroups of pediatric patients. Results:Compared with those in non-sepsis group, pediatric patients in sepsis group were significantly older ( Z=-2.92, P<0.05) with higher incidences of septic shock and mortality, hospitalization costs, PRISM Ⅲ, PEWS, pSOFA, PELOD-2, PSS, and Phoenix-8 (with χ2 values of 21.28 and 13.64, respectively, Z values of -1.99, -5.33, -5.10, -8.55, -6.91, -10.98, and -9.93, respectively, P<0.05), and lower PCIS ( Z=-3.34, P<0.05). Compared with those in survival subgroup, hospitalization costs, PSS, Phoenix-8, PRISM Ⅲ, PEWS, pSOFA, PELOD-2, and P-MODS of pediatric patients in death subgroup was significantly higher (with Z values of -2.50, -3.50, -2.47, -5.11, -3.84, -2.94, -3.61, and -3.04, respectively, P<0.05). Compared with those in survival subgroup, the incidences of lung damage and liver damage of pediatric patients in death subgroup were also significantly higher (with χ2 values of 6.20 and 10.94, respectively, P<0.05), and 64.7% (97/150) of patients exhibited two or more concurrent organ damage. For predicting mortality risk in pediatric patients with severe sepsis under traditional standards, the AUROC values for PRISM Ⅲ, PCIS, PEWS, pSOFA, PELOD-2, P-MODS, PSS, and Phoenix-8 were approximately 0.70, with optimal cutoff values of 17.5, 91.0, 5.5, 4.5, 2.5, 4.5, 3.5, and 4.5, respectively; PELOD-2 demonstrated the highest sensitivity (0.83); while PRISM Ⅲ, PSS, and Phoenix-8 showed high specificity (>0.80). Univariate logistic regression analysis showed that for every 1-point increase in the PSS within 24 hours of pediatric intensive care unit admission, the relative risk of mortality increased by 63.7% (with odds ratio of 1.64, 95% confidence interval of 1.34-1.99, P<0.05). Similarly, for every 1-point increase in the Phoenix-8, the relative risk of mortality increased by 37.5% (with odds ratio of 1.38, 95% confidence interval of 1.18-1.60, P<0.05). The AUROC values (around 0.80) of PSS and Phoenix-8 for predicting mortality risk in pediatric patients with severe sepsis combined with CNS diseases, multiple infections, and cardiovascular system diseases were relatively high. In contrast, the AUROC values (0.60-0.80) for predicting mortality risk in pediatric patients with severe sepsis combined with shock or malignant tumors were moderate. All models passed the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test ( P>0.05). The DeLong test indicated no statistically significant differences in predictive ability between PSS and Phoenix-8 across subgroups of pediatric patients ( P>0.05). Conclusions:PSS and Phoenix-8 exhibited higher specificity than most of the commonly used pediatric sepsis scores in predicting mortality risk under traditional standards. Both scores performed much better in predicting the mortality risk in pediatric patients with severe sepsis combined with CNS diseases, multiple infections, and cardiovascular system diseases.
6.Role of GLUT1-dependent glycolysis in attenuation of oxygen-glucose deprivation-reoxygenation injury by dexmedetomidine in HK-2 cells
Wei DING ; Wen-hui TAO ; Yu-le WU ; Jian-xiao WU ; Jing-yi GUO ; Li-fang XIE ; Bing-qian FAN ; Xue-song GU ; Yang LI ; Xian-wen HU
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2025;41(3):444-450
Aim To evaluate the role of the glucose transporter protein 1(GLUT1)-dependent glycolytic in the attenuation of oxygen-glucose deprivation-reoxygen-ation(OGD/R)injury in HK-2 cells by dexmedetomi-dine(Dex).Methods C57/BL6 mice were random-ly divided into three groups(n=6),namely,sham operation group(Sham group),renal ischemia reper-fusion group(I/R group)and Dex group(I/R+Dex group).Serum creatinine(Cr)and urea nitrogen(BUN)were measured,while the levels of key glyco-lytic enzymes HK2,PFKFB3 and GLUT1 were meas-ured.HK-2 cells were cultured and randomised into seven groups(n=6),which was treated with OGD/R,overexpression or interference with GLUT1,Dex and glycolysis inhibitor 2-DG.CCK-8 and LDH activi-ty were used to detect cellular damage.Glycolysis lev-els were detected by lactate and ECAR.The inflamma-tory level was reflected by qRT-PCR for IL-6 and TNF-α.qRT-PCR and Western blot were performed to de-tect the levels of GLUT1,HK2,and PFKFB3.Results Dex significantly ameliorated kidney injury and HK-2 cell injury(P<0.05).Dex inhibited the OGD/R-induced rise in lactate and extracellular acidification rate(ECAR),as evidenced by suppression of the ex-pression of GLUT1,HK2 and PFKFB3(P<0.05).In vitro experiments showed that GLUT1 knockdown sig-nificantly improved OGD/R-induced cellular damage.Lactate,ECAR,glycolysis-related mRNAs and pro-teins were inhibited by GLUT1 knockdown(P<0.05).Significantly,there were no significant differ-ences in above indexes after Dex treatment based on GLUT1 knockdown.Overexpression of GLUT1 abroga-ted the protective effects of Dex,while reversing the inhibitory effects of Dex on the expression of GLUT1,HK2,and PFKFB3(P<0.05).Conclusions Dexmedetomidine attenuates OGD/R induced injury in HK-2 cells by inhibiting GLUT1-dependent glycolysis.
7.Clinical Study on the Treatment of Post-operative Cancer-related Fatigue in Stage ⅡB-Ⅲ Colorectal Cancer with Kangyan Jingfang
Qiyue XU ; Lingyu ZHU ; Xian GU ; Limin ZHU
World Science and Technology-Modernization of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;27(11):3328-3337
Objective To observe the clinical efficacy and safety of Kangyan Jingfang in the treatment of post-operative cancer-related fatigue in Stage ⅡB-Ⅲ colorectal cancer.Methods A total of 66 patients with stage ⅡB-Ⅲ colorectal cancer who were diagnosed as cancer-related fatigue(CRF)based on TCM syndrome differentiation as spleen vacuity and essence depletion were divided into treatment group and control group randomly,with 33 cases in each group.The treatment group was treated with conventional symptomatic treatment combined with Kangyan Jingfang,and the control group was treated with conventional symptomatic treatment,the course of treatment was 60 days.The scores of cancer-related Fatigue(CFS),TCM syndrome accumulation scale,the revised Piper fatigue scale,Karnofsky performance status,hospital anxiety and depression scale(HAD),tumor markers(CEA,CA19-9,CA72-4,CA12-5,CA15-3,CA242,CA50,Septin9 gene methylation,etc.),immune function(CD3+T lymphocyte level,CD4+T lymphocyte level,CD8+T lymphocyte level and CD4+/CD8+ratio)and safety indexes(blood routine,liver and kidney function)were compared between the two groups in order to evaluate the clinical efficacy of Kangyan Jingfang on CRF.Results 60 cases were included in the observation finally,including 30 cases in each group.After treatment,the scores CFS,TCM syndrome accumulation scale,the revised Piper fatigue scale and HAD of two groups were decreased,but the treatment group before treatment showed a significant decrease in all indicators compared to the control group(P<0.05).The KPS score in the treatment group improved after treatment compared to the control group significantly(P<0.05).CEA,CA19-9 and the methylation of Septin9 gene were significantly decreased in the treatment group after treatment(P<0.05).CD3 and CD4 in treatment groups were higher than control group after treatment significantly(P<0.05).There were no significant abnormal changes in safety indexes before and after treatment(P>0.05).Conclusion Kangyan Jingfang can effectively improve the clinical symptoms of cancer-related fatigue in patients with stage ⅡB-Ⅲ colorectal cancer after surgery,reduce the physical and emotional suffering of patients,improve the quality of life,and enhance the immune function of the body.The efficacy is safe and reliable,and it has certain clinical application value.
8.Clinical Experience from Professor Xu in Treating Advanced Colorectal Cancer
Xiaowei HUANG ; Xian GU ; Zherui WANG ; Limin ZHU ; Zhenye XU
World Science and Technology-Modernization of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;27(4):1131-1135
This article mainly introduces Professor Xu Zhenye's experience in treating advanced colorectal cancer.According to Professor Xu,the pathogenesis of advanced colorectal cancer is mainly based on deficiency,supplemented by evils and realities,and most of the patients are suffering from deficiency of essence and Qi.The treatment should focus on replenishing the deficiency,followed by removing the evils and poisons.Professor Xu innovatively put forward the theory of"spleen deficiency and essence deficiency,supporting the positive to fight against cancer",treating intestinal cancer by strengthening the spleen,tonifying the kidney and nourishing the essence,supplemented by clearing heat and removing toxins to fight against tumour.
9.Clinical characteristics of clinical and subclinical Cushing's syndrome caused by primary bilateral macronodular adrenal hyperplasia
Huai-Jin XU ; Bing LI ; Kang CHEN ; Hui-Xin ZHOU ; Ya-Jing WANG ; Li ZANG ; Xian-Ling WANG ; Yu CHENG ; Jin DU ; Qing-Hua GUO ; Wei-Jun GU ; Zhao-Hui LYU ; Jian-Ming BA ; Jing-Tao DOU ; Yi-Ming MU
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(7):800-807
Objective To investigate the clinical characteristics of patients with clinical and subclinical Cushing's syndrome caused by primary bilateral macronodular adrenal hyperplasia(PBMAH).Methods A retrospective analysis was performed on the clinical data of 198 patients with Cushing's syndrome caused by PBMAH diagnosed in the First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from January 2004 to October 2024.According to clinical manifestations,the patients were classified into clinical type Cushing's syndrome(n=61)and subclinical type Cushing's syndrome(n=137),and the clinical characteristics of the two types were compared.Results The mean age at diagnosis of patients with PBMAH-induced Cushing's syndrome was(53.5±10.4)years,including 118 males and 80 females,with a male-to-female ratio of 1.475:1.Compared with the subclinical type,the clinical type had a higher proportion of females,higher levels of serum cortisol,24-hour urine free cortisol(24 h UFC),and inhibited serum cortisol after low-dose dexamethasone suppression.Additionally,the clinical type had lower plasma ACTH,larger adrenal nodules and a higher risk of surgery(P<0.05)compared with those in subclinical type.The incidences of hypertension,dyslipidemia,obesity,diabetes mellitus,hypokalemia,vitamin D deficiency,osteoporosis,coronary heart disease,and cerebrovascular disease in patients with Cushing's syndrome caused by PBMAH were 87.9%,50.5%,37.1%,36.9%,27.8%,25.9%,18.7%,18.7%and 12.1%,respectively.Among them,compared with subclinical type patients,clinical type patients had higher incidence of hypokalaemia,vitamin D deficiency and osteoporosis(P<0.05),while there were no statistically significant differences in the incidences of other comorbidities between the two types(P>0.05).The results of postoperative follow-up for PBMAH patients showed that the short-term biochemical remission rate of unilateral total adrenalectomy was 41.5%(22/53)and the long-term biochemical remission rate was 32.0%(8/25).The short-term biochemical remission rate of unilateral partial(or nodular)adrenalectomy was 52.9%(9/17),and the long-term biochemical remission rate was 14.3%(1/7).All patients who underwent unilateral total adrenalectomy plus contralateral partial resection developed adrenal insufficiency(3/3),and 1 patient(1/3)relapsed 3.4 years after surgery.Conclusion Clinical and subclinical types of Cushing's syndrome caused by PBMAH have their distinct clinical characteristics.Surgery is an effective treatment for PBMAH,but a certain proportion of patients fail to achieve biochemical remission after non-bilateral total adrenalectomy.
10.Prediction analysis of the number of pre-hospital emergency ambulance trips in Handan based on the LPro Ensemble Model
Feng TIAN ; Chengcheng BI ; Penghui LI ; Haifang ZHANG ; Tingting ZHAO ; Zhenjie YANG ; Xian WANG ; Jiaxuan GU ; Shitao ZHOU ; Zengjun JIN ; Zhen WANG ; Feifei ZHAO ; Xianhui SU ; Longqiang ZHANG ; Saicong LU
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2025;34(11):1530-1537
Objective:To investigate the application of time series models in forecasting pre-hospital emergency ambulance trips in Handan City and develop the LPro ensemble model for improved prediction accuracy to support emergency resource allocation.Methods:Pre-hospital emergency data from Handan Emergency Medical Command Center (2019-2023) were retrospectively analyzed. From 324 799 original records, 289 949 valid records were included after cleaning. The training set (2019-2022: 215 918 records) included 35 527 records in 2019, 52 015 in 2020, 61 836 in 2021, and 66 540 in 2022. The validation set (2023) contained 74 031 records. ARIMA, linear trend seasonal, exponential smoothing, and Prophet models were fitted to the training set. The LPro ensemble model was constructed using MAPE-based weighting (linear trend seasonal model: 0.38, Prophet: 0.62). Performance metrics included MAPE, RMSE, MAE, and R 2. Results:Data showed annual growth (compound annual growth rate 23.27%) and seasonal patterns (October peaks, February troughs). Ambulance dispatches increased annually with monthly cyclical patterns. For 2023 validation predictions: ARIMA (MAPE 8.76%, RMSE 619, MAE 491, R 2 0.4563), linear trend seasonal (MAPE 9.83%, RMSE 671, MAE 545, R 2 0.3608), Prophet (MAPE 8.43%, RMSE 562, MAE 503, R 2 0.5513), exponential smoothing (MAPE 8.08%, RMSE 643, MAE 410, R 2 0.4124). LPro model showed superior performance (MAPE 7.05%, RMSE 491, MAE 393, R 2 0.6570), with 16.37% lower MAPE, 12.63% lower RMSE, 21.87% lower MAE, and 19.17% higher R 2 versus Prophet. Conclusion:The LPro ensemble model substantially enhances prediction accuracy and reliability, offering scientific support for emergency resource optimization and dispatch scheduling in Handan City.

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