1.Early prediction and warning of MODS following major trauma via identification of cytokine storm: A prospective cohort study.
Panpan CHANG ; Rui LI ; Jiahe WEN ; Guanjun LIU ; Feifei JIN ; Yongpei YU ; Yongzheng LI ; Guang ZHANG ; Tianbing WANG
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(6):391-398
PURPOSE:
Early mortality in major trauma has decreased, but MODS remains a leading cause of poor outcomes, driven by trauma-induced cytokine storms that exacerbate injuries and organ damage.
METHODS:
This prospective cohort study included 79 major trauma patients (ISS >15) treated in the National Center for Trauma Medicine, Peking University People's Hospital, from September 1, 2021, to July 31, 2023. Patients (1) with ISS >15 (according to AIS 2015), (2) aged 15-80 years, (3) admitted within 6 h of injury, (4) having no prior treatment before admission, were included. Exclusion criteria were (1) GCS score <9 or AIS score ≥3 for TBI, (2) confirmed infection, infectious disease, or high infection risk, (3) pregnancy, (4) severe primary diseases affecting survival, (5) recent use of immunosuppressive or cytotoxic drugs within the past 6 months, (6) psychiatric patients, (7) participation in other clinical trials within the past 30 days, (8) patients with incomplete data or missing blood samples. Admission serum inflammatory cytokines and pathophysiological data were analyzed to develop machine learning models predicting MODS within 7 days. LR, DR, RF, SVM, NB, and XGBoost were evaluated based on the area under the AUROC. The SHAP method was used to interpret results.
RESULTS:
This study enrolled 79 patients with major trauma, and the median (Q1, Q3) age was 51 (35, 59) years (52 males, 65.8%). The inflammatory cytokine data were collected for all participants. Among these patients, 35 (44.3%) developed MODS, and 44 (55.7%) did not. Additionally, 2 patients (2.5%) from the MODS group succumbed. The logistic regression model showed strong performance in predicting MODS. Ten key cytokines, IL-18, Eotaxin, MCP-4, IP-10, CXCL12, MIP-3α, MCP-1, IL-1RA, Cystatin C, and MRP8/14 were identified as critical to the trauma-induced cytokine storm and MODS development. Early elevation of these cytokines achieved high predictive accuracy, with an AUROC of 0.887 (95% CI 0.813-0.976).
CONCLUSION
Trauma-induced cytokine storms are strongly associated with MODS. Early identification of inflammatory cytokine changes enables better prediction and timely interventions to improve outcomes.
Humans
;
Prospective Studies
;
Middle Aged
;
Male
;
Female
;
Adult
;
Aged
;
Cytokine Release Syndrome/etiology*
;
Adolescent
;
Young Adult
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Wounds and Injuries/complications*
;
Cytokines/blood*
;
Multiple Organ Failure/diagnosis*
;
Machine Learning
2.Establishment of a nomogram for early risk prediction of severe trauma in primary medical institutions: A multi-center study.
Wang BO ; Ming-Rui ZHANG ; Gui-Yan MA ; Zhan-Fu YANG ; Rui-Ning LU ; Xu-Sheng ZHANG ; Shao-Guang LIU
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(6):418-426
PURPOSE:
To analyze risk factors for severe trauma and establish a nomogram for early risk prediction, to improve the early identification of severe trauma.
METHODS:
This study was conducted on the patients treated in 81 trauma treatment institutions in Gansu province from 2020 to 2022. Patients were grouped by year, with 5364 patients from 2020 to 2021 as the training set and 1094 newly admitted patients in 2020 as the external validation set. Based on the injury severity score (ISS), patients in the training set were classified into 2 subgroups of the severe trauma group (n = 478, ISS scores ≥25) and the non-severe trauma group (n = 4886, ISS scores <25). Univariate and binary logistic regression analyses were employed to identify independent risk factors for severe trauma. Subsequently, a predictive model was developed using the R software environment. Furthermore, the model was subjected to internal and external validation via the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.
RESULTS:
In total, 6458 trauma patients were included in this study. Initially, this study identified several independent risk factors for severe trauma, including multiple traumatic injuries (polytrauma), external hemorrhage, elevated shock index, elevated respiratory rate, decreased peripheral oxygen saturation, and decreased Glasgow coma scale score (all p < 0.05). For internal validation, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.914, with the sensitivity and specificity of 88.4% and 87.6%, respectively; while for external validation, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.936, with the sensitivity and specificity of 84.6% and 93.7%, respectively. In addition, a good model fitting was observed through the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration curve analysis (p > 0.05).
CONCLUSION
This study establishes a nomogram for early risk prediction of severe trauma, which is suitable for primary healthcare institutions in underdeveloped western China. It facilitates early triage and quantitative assessment of trauma severity by clinicians prior to clinical interventions.
Humans
;
Nomograms
;
Male
;
Female
;
Wounds and Injuries/diagnosis*
;
Risk Factors
;
Middle Aged
;
Adult
;
Injury Severity Score
;
Risk Assessment
;
ROC Curve
;
Aged
;
Logistic Models
;
China
;
Glasgow Coma Scale
3.Comparison of the predictive value of the Helsinki, Rotterdam, and Stockholm CT scores in predicting 6-month outcomes in patients with blunt traumatic brain injuries.
Nushin Moussavi BIUKI ; Hamid Reza TALARI ; Mohammad Hossein TABATABAEI ; Masoumeh ABEDZADEH-KALAHROUDI ; Hossein AKBARI ; Mahsa Masjedi ESFAHANI ; Reihaneh FAGHIHI
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2023;26(6):357-362
PURPOSE:
Despite advances in modern medicine, traumatic brain injuries (TBIs) are still a major medical problem. Early diagnosis of TBI is crucial for clinical decision-making and prognosis. This study aims to compare the predictive value of Helsinki, Rotterdam, and Stockholm CT scores in predicting the 6-month outcomes in blunt TBI patients.
METHODS:
This cohort study was conducted on blunt TBI patients of 15 years or older. All of them were admitted to the surgical emergency department of Shahid Beheshti Hospital in Kashan, Iran from 2020 to 2021 and had abnormal trauma-related findings on brain CT images. The patients' demographic data such as age, gender, history of comorbid conditions, mechanism of trauma, Glasgow coma scale, CT images, length of hospital stay, and surgical procedures were recorded. The Helsinki, Rotterdam, and Stockholm CT scores were simultaneously determined according to the existing guidelines. The included patients' 6-month outcome was determined using the Glasgow outcome scale extended. M Data were analyzed by SPSS software version 16.0. Sensitivity, specificity, negative/positive predictive value and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve were calculated for each test. The Kappa agreement coefficient and Kuder Richardson-20 were used to compare the scoring systems.
RESULTS:
Altogether 171 TBI patients met the inclusion and exclusion criteria, with the mean age of (44.9 ± 20.2) years. Most patients were male (80.7%), had traffic related injuries (83.1%) and mild TBIs (64.3%). Patients with lower Glasgow coma scale had higher Helsinki, Rotterdam, and Stockholm CT scores and lower Glasgow outcome scale extended scores. Among all the scoring systems, the Helsinki and Stockholm scores showed the highest agreement in predicting patients' outcomes (kappa = 0.657, p < 0.001). The Rotterdam scoring system had the highest sensitivity (90.1%) in predicting death of TBI patients, whereas the Helsinki scoring system had the highest sensitivity (89.8%) in predicting the 6-month outcome in TBI patients.
CONCLUSION
The Rotterdam scoring system was superior in predicting death in TBI patients, whereas the Helsinki scoring system was more sensitive in predicting the 6-month outcome.
Humans
;
Male
;
Young Adult
;
Adult
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Female
;
Cohort Studies
;
Tomography, X-Ray Computed/methods*
;
Brain Injuries, Traumatic/diagnosis*
;
Brain Injuries
;
Prognosis
;
Glasgow Coma Scale
;
Wounds, Nonpenetrating/diagnostic imaging*
;
Brain
4.Comparison of the diagnostic accuracy of CT scan with oral and intravenous contrast versus CT scan with intravenous contrast alone in the diagnosis of blunt abdominal trauma.
Iraj GOLIKHATIR ; Mohammad SAZGAR ; Fatemeh JAHANIAN ; Seyed Jalal MOUSAVI AMIRI ; Hamed AMINIAHIDASHTI
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2023;26(3):174-177
PURPOSE:
Abdominal CT scan using oral and intravenous (IV) contrast is helpful in the diagnosis of intra-abdominal injuries. However, the use of oral and IV contrast delays the process of diagnosis and increases the risk of aspiration. It has also been shown that CT scan with IV contrast alone is as helpful as CT scan with oral and IV contrast and rectal CT scan in detecting abdominal injuries. Therefore, the present study aims to prospectively compare the diagnostic value of CT scan with oral and IV contrast versus CT scan with IV contrast alone in the diagnosis of blunt abdominal trauma (BAT).
METHODS:
Altogether 123 BAT patients, 60 (48.8%) women and 63 (51.2%) men with the mean age of (40.4 ± 18.7) years who referred to the emergency department of Imam Khomeini Educational and Medical Center in Sari, Iran (a tertiary trauma center in north of Iran) from November 2014 to March 2017 and underwent abdominal CT scans + laparotomy were investigated. Those with penetrating trauma or hemodynamically unstable patients were excluded. The participants were randomly allocated to two groups: abdominal CT scan with oral and IV contrast (n = 63) and CT scan with IV contrast alone (n = 60). No statistically significant difference was found between two groups regarding the hemodynamic parameters, age, gender, injury mechanisms (all p > 0.05). The results of CT scan were compared with that of laparotomy results. The collected data were recorded in SPSS version 22.0 for Windows. Quantitative data were presented as mean and SD.
RESULTS:
The sensitivity and specificity of CT scan using oral and IV contrast in the diagnosis of BAT were estimated at 96.48 (95% CI: 90.73 - 99.92) and 92.67 (95% CI: 89.65 - 94.88), respectively; while CT scan with IV contrast alone achieved a comparable sensitivity and specificity of 96.6 (95% CI: 87.45 - 99,42 and 92.84 (95% CI: 89.88 - 95.00), respectively.
CONCLUSION
CT scan with IV contrast alone can be used to assess visceral injuries in BAT patients with normal hemodynamics to avoid diagnostic delay.
Male
;
Humans
;
Female
;
Young Adult
;
Adult
;
Middle Aged
;
Delayed Diagnosis
;
Tomography, X-Ray Computed
;
Wounds, Nonpenetrating/diagnostic imaging*
;
Abdominal Injuries/diagnostic imaging*
;
Sensitivity and Specificity
;
Retrospective Studies
5.Emergency repair of blunt traumatic bronchus injury presenting with massive air leak.
Jun Sen CHUAH ; Zhun Ming RAYMOND LIM ; Ee Peng LEE ; Jih Huei TAN ; Yuzaidi MOHAMAD ; Rizal Imran ALWI
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2022;25(6):392-394
Blunt traumatic tracheobronchial injury is rare, but can be potentially life-threatening. It accounts for only 0.5%-2% of all trauma cases. Patients may present with non-specific signs and symptoms, requiring a high index of suspicion with accurate diagnosis and prompt treatment. A 26-year-old female was brought into the emergency department after sustained a blunt trauma to the chest from a high impact motor vehicle accident. She presented with signs of respiratory distress and extensive subcutaneous emphysema from the chest up to the neck. Her airway was secured and chest drain was inserted for right sided pneumothorax. CT of the neck and thorax revealed a collapsed right middle lung lobe with a massive pneumothorax, raising the suspicion of a right middle lobe bronchus injury. Diagnosis was confirmed by bronchoscopy. In view of the difficulty in maintaining her ventilation and persistent pneumothorax with a massive air leak, immediate right thoracotomy via posterolateral approach was performed. The right middle lobar bronchus tear was repaired. There were no intra- or post-operative complications. She made an uneventful recovery. She was asymptomatic at her first month follow-up. A repeated chest X-ray showed expanded lungs. Details of the case including clinical presentation, imaging and management were discussed with an emphasis on the early uses of bronchoscopy in case of suspected blunt traumatic tracheobronchial injury. A review of the current literature of tracheobronchial injury management was presented.
Humans
;
Female
;
Adult
;
Pneumothorax/surgery*
;
Bronchi/injuries*
;
Wounds, Nonpenetrating/diagnosis*
;
Bronchoscopy
;
Trachea/injuries*
6.Trauma and orthopaedics in the COVID-19 pandemic: breaking every wave.
Keng Jin Darren TAY ; Yee Han Dave LEE
Singapore medical journal 2020;61(8):396-398
Coronavirus Infections
;
epidemiology
;
prevention & control
;
Elective Surgical Procedures
;
statistics & numerical data
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Infection Control
;
methods
;
Infectious Disease Transmission, Patient-to-Professional
;
prevention & control
;
Male
;
Occupational Health
;
statistics & numerical data
;
Orthopedic Procedures
;
methods
;
statistics & numerical data
;
Outcome Assessment, Health Care
;
Pandemics
;
prevention & control
;
statistics & numerical data
;
Patient Safety
;
statistics & numerical data
;
Pneumonia, Viral
;
epidemiology
;
prevention & control
;
Risk Assessment
;
Safety Management
;
Singapore
;
Wounds and Injuries
;
diagnosis
;
epidemiology
;
surgery
7.Efficacy of new scoring system for diagnosis of abdominal injury after blunt abdominal trauma in patients referred to emergency department.
Majid SHOJAEE ; Anita SABZGHABAEI ; Ali HEIDARI
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2020;23(3):145-148
PURPOSE:
The blunt abdominal trauma (BAT) is a common emergency and is significantly associated with morbidity and mortality. Our study was conducted to achieve the goal that a new scoring system could be used for the BAT patients.
METHODS:
The statistical population of this study was 1000 patients with BAT referred to emergency department of Imam Hossein Hospital, Tehran, Iran. Sampling was carried out in a convenience non-random manner and continued to reach the required sample size. All the patients with BAT due to road traffic accidents, falls, and other direct blunt traumas such as punctures and kickbacks were included in the study. Exclusion criteria were after 3 months of pregnancy, under the age of 18, warfarin taking, no reliable medical history providing and penetrating trauma. The study questionnaire was based on BAT scoring system. The data were analyzed by SPSS V20 software. The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to analyze the effectiveness of the new scoring system in predicting the BAT patients' outcome.
RESULTS:
The mean age of the patients (n = 1000) was (35.79 ± 13.09) years. The mean score of patients was (6.29 ± 5.80). Based on this scoring system, the patients were divided into three categories. The first group was patients at low risk with score of less than 8, the second group was patients at moderate risk with score of 8-12 and the third group was patients at high risk with score of 12-24. The score of 661 (66.1%) patients were low, 109 (10.9%) were moderate and 230 (23%) had a high score. The association between hip fracture and abdominal tenderness with abdominal injury was significant (p < 0.001). Cronbach's alpha was 0.76 showing the reliability of this questionnaire to predict the future of patients.
CONCLUSIONS
The study tool has a sensitivity to predict the BAT patients' outcome, and has a proper specificity that can be used to reduce the use of harmful modalities such as computed tomography scan.
Abdominal Injuries
;
diagnosis
;
Adult
;
Diagnosis
;
Diagnostic Techniques and Procedures
;
Emergency Service, Hospital
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Iran
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Predictive Value of Tests
;
Prognosis
;
ROC Curve
;
Risk
;
Sensitivity and Specificity
;
Surveys and Questionnaires
;
Trauma Severity Indices
;
Wounds, Nonpenetrating
;
diagnosis
;
Young Adult
8.Calcaneal Osteomyelitis Presenting as a Paradoxical Reaction during Treatment of Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis
Yong Hyun HAN ; Chang Hwa LEE ; Min Joon BAE ; Kihun HWANG
Clinical Pain 2019;18(2):102-106
Tuberculosis in the foot progresses gradually; thus, diagnosis is usually delayed, and early treatment is rarely provided. If osteomyelitis occurs due to delayed diagnosis and treatment, surgical treatment should be considered. We report the case of a 46-year-old man with osteomyelitis of the calcaneus who was diagnosed with multidrug-resistant pulmonary tuberculosis and he was treated with anti-tuberculosis drugs. Bilateral adrenal masses, abscess of both testes and a small wound in the left plantar heel were observed. Both adrenal masses and abscess were regarded as paradoxical reaction of anti-tuberculosis treatment. After 1 month, he developed a pain in the left plantar heel that was compatible with calcaneal osteomyelitis in radiological features. He underwent right orchiectomy for right scrotal abscess aggravation and surgical treatment for left calcaneal osteomyelitis. Mycobacterium tuberculosis was confirmed by polymerase chain reaction. The patient was immobilized by cast for 8 weeks and the heel pain gradually improved.
Abscess
;
Calcaneus
;
Delayed Diagnosis
;
Diagnosis
;
Foot
;
Heel
;
Humans
;
Middle Aged
;
Mycobacterium tuberculosis
;
Orchiectomy
;
Osteomyelitis
;
Polymerase Chain Reaction
;
Testis
;
Tuberculosis
;
Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant
;
Tuberculosis, Pulmonary
;
Wounds and Injuries
9.An increase in heart rate variability can be an index for end point of resuscitation in trauma patients.
Ali FOROUTAN ; Shahram PAYDAR ; Seyyed Taghi HEYDARI ; Leila MOHAMMADI ; Farnaz RAHBAR
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2019;22(3):134-137
PURPOSE:
The measurement of heart rate variability (HRV) is a non-invasive method to analyze the balance of the autonomic nervous system. The aim of this study was to compare the changes of HRV and base deficit (BD) during the treatment of trauma patients.
METHODS:
Forty-three trauma patients with a low injury severity scores (ISS < 24) and negative base excess on admission were included in this study. Based on the BD changes, patients were divided into three groups: 'end pointed' group (n = 13), patients' BDs instantly cleared after primary hydration; 'needs further resuscitation' group (n = 21), patients' BDs did not reach the end point and thus required further hydration or packed red blood cells transfusion; and 'hydration minimal change' group (n = 9), patients' BDs lower than 2.5 mmol/L at the onset of admission and thereafter had minimal change (near normal range). The changes in HRV during fluid resuscitation were detected and compared to BD changes in their arterial blood gases. All data were analysed using the SPSS software Version 15.0. Repeated measures ANOVA was used to determine the changes in HRV, heart rate, blood pressure, and BD among groups.
RESULTS:
A significant reverse correlation was found between the BD ratio and the HRV ratio (r = -0.562; p = 0.01). The HRV of patients with aggravated BDs after fluid resuscitation was decreased. There was an increase in HRV at the time of BD clearance. A decrease in HRV after primary crystalloid hydration bore a significant connection with the need for an ICU (p = 0.021) and transfusion of packed red blood cells (p < 0.001).
CONCLUSION
Increase in HRV may be a new non-invasive index for the end point of resuscitation in trauma patients.
Adolescent
;
Adult
;
Aged
;
Autonomic Nervous System
;
physiopathology
;
Crystalloid Solutions
;
administration & dosage
;
Fluid Therapy
;
Heart Rate
;
Humans
;
Injury Severity Score
;
Middle Aged
;
Resuscitation
;
methods
;
Wounds and Injuries
;
diagnosis
;
physiopathology
;
Young Adult
10.Unilateral loss of thoracic motion after blunt trauma: a sign of acute Brown-Séquard syndrome
Mizuki SATO ; Akira KURIYAMA ; Ryo OHTOMO
Clinical and Experimental Emergency Medicine 2019;6(3):268-271
Late-onset Brown-Séquard syndrome (BSS) is a rare condition resulting from a spinal cord injury that develops weeks to years after a blunt trauma. Acute-onset BSS after a blunt injury has been rarely reported. Here, we report on a case of BSS, in a 58-year-old man, that developed immediately after a motor vehicle accident. Upon admission, loss of right thoracic motion, complete right paresis, and loss of pain and temperature sensations below the C3 level on the left side were observed. Magnetic resonance imaging showed hyperintensities within the cervical spinal cord at the C2–C3 level, confirming the diagnosis of BSS. Thoracic motion rapidly recovered, but other neurological sequelae persisted. BSS related to cervical cord injury should be suspected when patients develop hemiparesis and contralateral sensory loss immediately after a blunt trauma. Likewise, clinicians should be aware that unilateral loss of thoracic motion could be an important sign of BSS.
Brown-Sequard Syndrome
;
Cervical Cord
;
Diagnosis
;
Humans
;
Magnetic Resonance Imaging
;
Middle Aged
;
Motor Vehicles
;
Paresis
;
Sensation
;
Spinal Cord Injuries
;
Wounds, Nonpenetrating

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