Objectives:To develop a risk prediction model for sudden cardiac arrest(CA)in children with congenital heart disease(CHD)after surgery and validate its predictive efficacy,providing a reference for the prevention of CA and risk stratification.Methods:Medical records were retrospectively analyzed from 5 029 children who were hospitalized in Fuwai Hospital,Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences from January 1,2020 to May 31,2022 and underwent CHD surgery.The patients were divided into two groups:those who experienced CA after surgery(n=33)and those who did not(n=4 996).A random forest model for predicting the risk of postoperative CA was established on the training dataset using R software,and the predictive effect of the model was evaluated on the validation dataset using indicators of predictive accuracy,sensitivity,specificity,positive predictive value,negative predictive value.Results:The incidence of CA in this center was 0.66%,survival rate is 72.73%.Using the random forest algorithm,the importance of risk factors for sudden CA after CHD surgery was ranked by variable importance scoring,with the following top 6 important predictive variables:blood pressure,lactate levels,heart rate,cardiac rhythm,arterial oxygen partial pressure,and blood oxygen saturation on the first day after surgery.The model established by the random forest algorithm on the training set was validated on the test set,yielding a predictive accuracy of 99.8%,specificity of 87.5%,sensitivity of 99.9%,kappa coefficient of 0.8225,positive predictive value of 99.9%,and negative predictive value of 77.8%.Conclusions:The established prediction model of sudden CA in children with CHD after surgery had good performance.It might help medical staffon decision making of early intervention,preventing the occurrence of CA,and improving the outcomes of children with high risk of CA post surgery.

Objectives:To develop a risk prediction model for sudden cardiac arrest(CA)in children with congenital heart disease(CHD)after surgery and validate its predictive efficacy,providing a reference for the prevention of CA and risk stratification.Methods:Medical records were retrospectively analyzed from 5 029 children who were hospitalized in Fuwai Hospital,Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences from January 1,2020 to May 31,2022 and underwent CHD surgery.The patients were divided into two groups:those who experienced CA after surgery(n=33)and those who did not(n=4 996).A random forest model for predicting the risk of postoperative CA was established on the training dataset using R software,and the predictive effect of the model was evaluated on the validation dataset using indicators of predictive accuracy,sensitivity,specificity,positive predictive value,negative predictive value.Results:The incidence of CA in this center was 0.66%,survival rate is 72.73%.Using the random forest algorithm,the importance of risk factors for sudden CA after CHD surgery was ranked by variable importance scoring,with the following top 6 important predictive variables:blood pressure,lactate levels,heart rate,cardiac rhythm,arterial oxygen partial pressure,and blood oxygen saturation on the first day after surgery.The model established by the random forest algorithm on the training set was validated on the test set,yielding a predictive accuracy of 99.8%,specificity of 87.5%,sensitivity of 99.9%,kappa coefficient of 0.8225,positive predictive value of 99.9%,and negative predictive value of 77.8%.Conclusions:The established prediction model of sudden CA in children with CHD after surgery had good performance.It might help medical staffon decision making of early intervention,preventing the occurrence of CA,and improving the outcomes of children with high risk of CA post surgery.

Objective:To explore the psychological experience and demand of parents of children with delayed recovery after congenital heart disease surgery.Methods:This study adopted phenomenological research methods from qualitative research. Using the purposive sampling method, parents of postoperative delayed recovery children with congenital heart disease who met the inclusion criteria were selected as the research objects from October to November 2019 at Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with the parents of the children, and the data were analyzed by Colaizzi 7-step analysis method.Results:Finally, 13 parents of children with delayed recovery after congenital heart disease surgery were included. According to the interview results, four themes were extracted, which were negative psychological experience of parents of children with delayed recovery, positive psychological experience and expectation change of parents, heavy economic burden of parents and diversified needs of parents.Conclusions:During the delayed recovery period, psychological experience of parents is complex and their needs are diverse. The nursing staff should identify and pay attention to the causes of the negative psychological experience of the parents of the children, timely channel their negative emotions and strengthen the positive psychological experience in many aspects. They can assist parents to seek social help to reduce physical and mental pressure and meet the diverse needs of parents by providing high-quality nursing services and multi-channel information support.