1.Systematic review and Meta analysis of machine learning prediction models for adolescent non-suicidal self-injury
LUO Xin, XIE Qin, LIU Wanzhi, WANG Xia
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(5):666-670
Objective:
To systematically evaluate the performance of machine learning (ML) models in predicting non suicidal self injury (NSSI) behavior among adolescents, providing an evidence based foundation for the development of clinically applicable risk assessment tools.
Methods:
A comprehensive search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, CNKI, and Wanfang databases for relevant studies from their inception to July 21, 2025. The Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST) was used to evaluate the methodological quality of the included studies. Stata 18 software was used to calculate the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the models, and publication bias assessment, sensitivity analysis, and Egger s test were performed.
Results:
The total of 12 studies (42 prediction models) involving 58 070 adolescents were included. There were 15 machine learning algorithms in total, among which Random Forest, Logistic Regression, XGBoost, and Support Vector Machines were the most frequently utilized. The most common predictors were gender (female), family function, depression, emotion regulation, and age. All 12 included studies exhibited a high risk of bias. The pooled AUC was 0.80 (95% CI =0.78-0.82), although heterogeneity was substantial ( I 2=95.8%, P <0.01). Sensitivity analysis confirmed the robustness of these findings (no overlap in 95% CI ), while Egger s test indicated the presence of publication bias ( P <0.05).
Conclusions
Machine learning demonstrates potential in the risk prediction of adolescent NSSI, but existing models have a high risk of bias. Future research should focus on improving methodological quality and optimizing model reliability through rigorous external validation.
2.Combined effect of coronary artery calcification score progression and sleep structure on major adverse cardiovascular events
Jiali LIU ; Shuangxin LI ; Wenxuan YANG ; Jun SHU ; Xugang WANG ; Yuanqiang ZHU ; Minwen ZHENG
Journal of Practical Radiology 2025;41(2):221-225
Objective To investigate the combined effect of coronary artery calcification score(CACS)progression and sleep structure on major adverse cardiovascular events(MACE).Methods Data from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis(MESA)were used to analyze participants and assess the interaction impact of CACS progression and different sleep stages on predicting MACE.Polysomnography(PSG)record provide an objective measure of sleep structure.Results The results of this study confirmed the dose-response relationship between CACS progression and MACE.ΔCACS 10-99 hazard ratio(HR)was 6.913(P<0.001),ΔC ACS 100-199 HR was 22.098(P<0.001),ΔCACS>200 HR was 20.608(P<0.001),reinforcing the notion that the rate of CACS development significantly affects cardiovascular risk.In addition,the study found that participants who showed lower rapid eye movement(REM)sleep and progression of CACS had the greatest risk of developing MACE,while participants who showed higher REM sleep but no progression of CACS had the lowest risk of developing MACE(P<0.001).Conclusion Decreased REM sleep increases the risk of MACE in CACS patients,and maintaining adequate REM sleep may reduce this risk,emphasizing the protective effect of REM sleep on cardiovascular disease.
3.Spring and summer-autumn pollen grading and forecasting model based on daily visits of allergic rhinitis patients
Yuhui OUYANG ; Zhaoyin YIN ; Yun YAN ; Jingguo CHEN ; Wenxuan FEI ; Lili GONG ; Weiwei LIU ; Xiaojia LIU ; Daoliang SONG ; Zhendong XU ; Ying ZHANG ; Yuan ZHANG ; Luo ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery 2025;60(3):313-320
Objective:To establish graded forecast models of pollen concentration in spring and summer-autumn in northern China, based on long-term data of pollen and allergic rhinitis (AR) medical visits in 8 cities of northern China.Methods:Pollen concentration and the characteristics of AR patients from 8 cities of northern China, including Beijing, Baotou, Hohhot, Xi′an, Xining, Cangzhou, Liaocheng and Zibo, were analyzed. Spearman′s correlation was used to examine the relationship between pollen concentration and daily AR patient visits. A pollen concentration grading was establish, and a pollen forecast model was created using the eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm. The model incorporated meteorological factors and the 3-day moving average of pollen concentrations.Results:The spring pollen period started early and lasted long in Beijing and Xi ′an, while the summer-autumn pollen period started earlier and persisted longer in Xining, Baotou and Hohhot. During summer-autumn pollen period, and the spring period in most cities (except Baotou and Cangzhou), average daily patient visits were significantly higher than those in non-pollen periods. A strong correlation was observed between daily AR patient visits and the 3-day moving average of pollen concentrations in both the spring and summer-autumn periods across all cities. Based on the correlation, a pollen concentration grading standard of northern China was established. The accuracy evaluation of pollen concentration prediction model showed that the percentage of forecasts with either completely accurate or within one level difference exceeded 91% in spring and 95% in summer-autumn. The most important predictive variable in the model was the pollen level from previous day, followed by the temperature and humidity.Conclusion:The grading prediction model for pollen concentration provides guidance for AR patients in term of travel, early defense and treatment, as well as the determining medication schedules for clinical drug research and specific immunotherapy.
4.Treating Edema in Kidney Consumption Disorder Based on the Theory of"Blood Stasis Inducing Water"
Biying YANG ; Xiang LIU ; Ziwei DENG ; Wenxuan WEI ; Liang LIU ; Zeyun HE
Journal of Nanjing University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;41(9):1127-1133
Guided by Zhang Zhongjing's axiom that"blood stasis induces water",this study develops stage-specific treatment strategies for edema in Kidney Consumption Disorder by examining its four-stage pathogenic progression:Sluggish Flow → Stagnant Obstruction → Depressed Accumulation → Stasis Congelation.We propose an integrated approach that reinforces the root by warming the kidney and replenishing essence,while addressing the branch by activating blood circulation and promoting diuresis.Stage-specific interventions include:for the Sluggish Flow Phase,warming and tonifying kidney Yang combined with unblocking Yang to promote uri-nation;for the Stagnant Obstruction Phase,warming the kidney and replenishing essence supported by activating blood circulation and freeing the collateral channels;for the Depressed Accumulation Phase,quickening blood and resolving stasis,regulating Qi and trans-forming turbidity,along with warming the kidney and strengthening essence;and for the Stasis Congelation Phase,expelling stagnant accumulations while simultaneously regulating essence and blood.This framework advances novel pattern-determined strategies for Kid-ney Consumption edema management.
5.Yttrium-90 selective internal radiotherapy in conversion treatment of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma:research progress
Man ZHAO ; Qianwen NI ; Xianjie PIAO ; Xiaoqin WU ; Rui ZHOU ; Kaiting ZHANG ; Zhenguang WANG ; Minghao ZOU ; Wenxuan ZHOU ; Fuchen LIU ; Hui LIU
Academic Journal of Naval Medical University 2025;46(2):189-197
Yttrium-90(90Y)selective internal radiation therapy(SIRT)is an emerging modality for the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC),leveraging the nuclide 90Y to deliver targeted radiation therapy.90Y has a long half-life and can be used to selectively ablate tumor cells by high-energy beta rays.It has high biological effectiveness and robust local control capabilities.In recent years,with the continuous advancement of basic and clinical research,the application of 90Y-SIRT in the conversion treatment of unresectable HCC(uHCC)has made significant progress.However,challenges remain in the clinical application of 90Y-SIRT,including how to improve the efficacy of conversion therapy and how to optimize therapy regimens.This review aims to summarize the research progress of90Y-SIRT in the conversion therapy of uHCC.
6.Bioactivity-guided discovery of antiviral templichalasins A‒C from the endophytic fungus Aspergillus templicola.
Teng CAI ; Jingzu SUN ; Wenxuan CHEN ; Qiang HE ; Baosong CHEN ; Yulong HE ; Peng ZHANG ; Yanhong WEI ; Hongwei LIU ; Xiaofeng CAI
Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines (English Ed.) 2025;23(6):754-761
The bioactivity-guided isolation of potentially active natural products has been widely utilized in pharmaceutical discovery. In this study, by screening fungal extracts against coxsackievirus B3 (CVB3), three new aspochalasins, templichalasins A‒C (1‒3), along with six known aspochalasins (4‒9) were isolated from an active extract derived from the endophytic fungus Aspergillus templicola LHWf045. Compound 1 features a unique 5/6/5/7/5 pentacyclic ring system, while compounds 2 and 3 possess unusual 5/6/6/7 tetracyclic skeletons. Their structures were characterized through extensive spectroscopic analyses, electronic circular dichroism (ECD) calculations, and single-crystal X-ray diffraction analysis. Additionally, we demonstrated that compound 4 can be readily converted into compounds 1‒3 under mild acidic conditions and proposed a plausible mechanism for this conversion. Bioactivity evaluation of compounds 1‒9 against CVB3 revealed the inhibitory effects of all compounds against the virus. Notably, compound 9 exhibited superior antiviral activity, surpassing the commercial drug ribavirin in selectivity index (SI) value.
Antiviral Agents/isolation & purification*
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Aspergillus/chemistry*
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Molecular Structure
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Enterovirus B, Human/drug effects*
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Endophytes/chemistry*
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Cytochalasins/isolation & purification*
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Drug Discovery
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Humans
7.Evidence-based practice of perioperative patient-controlled analgesia management in patients with liver cancer receiving TACE treatment
Yongqi LIANG ; Yao LIU ; Jianbo ZHAO ; Wenxuan YU ; Fenfen LIN ; Qinqin ZHU ; Yunan LI
Journal of Interventional Radiology 2025;34(12):1376-1384
Objective To evaluate the application of evidence-based perioperative patient-controlled analgesia(PCA)management in patients with liver cancer receiving transcatheter arterial chemoembolization(TACE)treatment.Methods By using the application model of clinical evidence-based practice,the review indicators were formulated based on the best evidence.The baseline assessment was conducted,the barrier factors were analyzed,the best clinical decision was made,the implementation steps of PCA management,including training,monitoring,education,etc.were refined,and two rounds of clinical review were carried out.The knowledge-belief-practice level and the implementation of review indicators in 50 medical and nursing staff engaged in PCA management,as well as the changes in pain scores,the incidence of adverse reactions due to PCA management,and the patient's satisfaction in 159 patients after the application of evidence were compared with their corresponding values determined before the application of evidence.Results After implementing the evidence-based practice plan and applying the evidence,at multiple time points the pain scores and the incidences of adverse reactions were decreased significantly(P<0.05),the patient's satisfaction increased remarkably(P<0.01),the execution rate of medical and nursing staff for the review indicators were strikingly increased(P<0.01),and the knowledge-belief-practice level concerning PCA management was prominently improved(P<0.01).Conclusion The implementation of perioperative PCA management in patients with liver cancer receiving TACE treatment can help to reduce the perioperative pain level,improve the patient discomfort,increase the patient's satisfaction degree,and improve the ability of medical staff in performing PCA management and evidence-based practices.
8.Morphological characteristics of hepatocellular carcinoma tumor margin:a crucial factor in clinical treatment decision-making and prognostic assessment
Rui ZHOU ; Minghao ZOU ; Wenxuan ZHOU ; Fuchen LIU ; Kaiting ZHANG ; Xiaoqin WU ; Man ZHAO ; Jin QIAN ; Ningyang JIA ; Hui LIU
Journal of Clinical Medicine in Practice 2025;29(7):127-130,137
The morphological characteristics of hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)tumor margins are pivotal in influencing patient's prognosis and the selection of therapeutic strategies.This paper re-viewed the classification methods of HCC tumor margins,ranging from traditional macroscopic classifi-cations to refined classification systems based on multi-omics analysis,and analyzed the role of these classification methods in guiding the formulation of personalized treatment plans.Additionally,this paper emphasized the crucial role of three-dimensional imaging techniques in assessing tumor margin morphology and outlined future research directions,including validating the effectiveness of multi-omics classification systems and developing new imaging and molecular biomarkers to achieve more precise treatment plans and prolong patient survival.
9.Study on the improvement effects and mechanism of proanthocyanidins on steroid-induced osteonecrosis of the femoral head in rabbits
Chunli WU ; Liting LIU ; Xuting ZHAO ; Ruifen SUN ; Wenxuan WANG
China Pharmacy 2025;36(20):2519-2524
OBJECTIVE To study the improvement effects and mechanism of proanthocyanidins (PACs) on steroid-induced osteonecrosis of the femoral head (SONFH) in rabbits based on the receptor-interacting protein kinase 1 (RIPK1)/RIPK3/mixed lineage kinase domain-like protein (MLKL) signaling pathway. METHODS SONFH model in rabbits was induced by injecting Escherichia coli endotoxin+methylprednisolone. The successfully modeled rabbits were randomly divided into Model group (normal saline), low-dose PACs group (PACs-L group, 11 mg/kg), high-dose PACs group (PACs-H group, 22 mg/kg), high-dose PACs+ RIPK1 activator (rRIPK1) group (PACs-H+rRIPK1 group, 22 mg/kg PACs+4 μg/kg rRIPK1), along with a control group (normal saline), with 6 rabbits in each group. Each administration group was given relevant medicine once a day intragastrically/via injection, for 4 consecutive weeks. After the last administration, the levels of tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) and interleukin-6 (IL-6) in rabbit serum were measured. The changes in the microstructure of rabbit femurs, including bone mineral density (BMD), trabecular thickness (Tb.Th), trabecular number (Tb.N), and trabecular separation (Tb. Sp) were examined. The histopathological features of rabbit femoral tissues were observed, and the apoptotic status of cells within the rabbit femoral tissues was detected. The mRNA expressions of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and bone morphogenetic protein 2 (BMP2) in rabbit femoral tissues were determined. The expressions of RIPK1/RIPK3/MLKL signaling pathway-related proteins in femoral tissues were detected. RESULTS Compared with the Control group, serum contents of TNF-α and IL-6, Tb.Sp, empty bone cavity rate, cell apoptosis rate, phosphorylation levels of RIPK1, RIPK3 and MLKL in femoral tissue were significantly increased in the Model group (P<0.05). BMD, Tb.Th, Tb.N, as well as the mRNA expression of VEGF and BMP2, along with protein expression of caspase-8, in the femoral tissues were all decreased (P<0.05). The bone cells in the femoral tissue were unevenly distributed, and the trabeculae were arranged sparsely. Compared with the Model group, the aforementioned quantitative indicators (P<0.05) and pathological changes in all dosage groups of PACs showed significant improvements. Compared with the PACs-H group, the aforementioned quantitative indicators (P<0.05) and pathological changes in the PACs-H+rRIPK1 group showed significant reversal. CONCLUSIONS PACs can ameliorate SONFH in rabbits, and its mechanism of action may be related to the inhibition of the activation of the RIPK1/RIPK3/MLKL signaling pathway, suppression of apoptosis in femoral tissue cells, and promotion of angiogenesis.
10.Stomach cancer epidemic in Chinese mainland: Current trends and future predictions.
Wenxuan ZHU ; Wanyue DONG ; Yunning LIU ; Ruhai BAI
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(2):205-212
BACKGROUND:
China is one of the countries with the highest burdens of stomach cancer. The objective of this study was to analyze long-term trends in the incidence and mortality of stomach cancer in Chinese mainland from 1990 to 2019 and to make projections until 2030.
METHODS:
Data on stomach cancer were extracted from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019. Population data were extracted from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019 and World Population Prospects 2019. An age-period-cohort framework and decomposition analysis were used in this study.
RESULTS:
The net drift for the incidence of stomach cancer was 0.2% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0, 0.4%) per year for men and -1.8% (95% CI: -2.0%, -1.6%) for women. The net drift for mortality was -1.6% (95% CI: -1.8%, -1.3%) per year for men and -3.3% (95% CI: -3.5%, -3.1%) for women. In the last 10-15 years, the risk of stomach cancer occurrence and death has continued to decline for both sexes. Regarding birth cohorts, although the risk of stomach cancer death decreased in general among women and men born after 1920, the risk of occurrence increased in recent birth cohorts (men born after 1970 and women born after 1985). It is expected that the age-standardized incidence will increase among men and decrease among women, and age-standardized mortality will decrease for both sexes. The largest contributor to the projected increase in incident cases and deaths is population aging, and elderly individuals are projected to have an increased proportion of occurrence and death.
CONCLUSIONS
In the past three decades, the incidence of stomach cancer among men has increased in Chinese mainland, and this trend is projected to continue. Aging will be the main contributor to future increased stomach cancer occurrence and deaths. To reduce the health impact of stomach cancer, more efforts are needed.
Adult
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Aged
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Aged, 80 and over
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Female
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Humans
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Male
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Middle Aged
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China/epidemiology*
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Incidence
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Stomach Neoplasms/mortality*


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