BACKGROUND: The American Heart Association (AHA) introduced the concept of cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) health and stage, reflecting the interaction among metabolism, chronic kidney disease (CKD), and the cardiovascular system. However, the association between CKM stage and the long-term risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) has not been validated. This study aimed to evaluate the long-term CVD risk associated with CKM health metrics and CKM stage using data from a population-based cohort study. METHODS: In total, 5293 CVD-free participants were followed up to around 13 years in the Chinese Multi-provincial Cohort Study (CMCS). Considering the pathophysiologic progression of CKM health metrics abnormalities (comprising obesity, central adiposity, prediabetes, diabetes, hypertriglyceridemia, CKD, and metabolic syndrome), participants were divided into CKM stages 0, 1, and 2. The time-dependent Cox regression models were used to estimate the cardiovascular risk associated with CKM health metrics and stage. Additionally, broader CVD outcomes were examined, with a specific assessment of the impact of stage 3 in 2581 participants from the CMCS-Beijing subcohort. RESULTS: Among participants, 91.2% (4825/5293) had at least one abnormal CKM health metric, 8.8% (468/5293), 13.3% (704/5293), and 77.9% (4121/5293) were in CKM stages 0, 1, and 2, respectively; and 710 incident CVD cases occurred during a median follow-up time of 13.3 years (interquartile range: 12.1 to 13.6 years). Participants with each poor CKM health metric exhibited significantly higher CVD risk. Compared with stage 0, the hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval [CI]) for CVD incidence was 1.31 (0.84-2.04) in stage 1 and 2.27 (1.57-3.28) in stage 2. Significant interactive impacts existed between CKM stage and age or sex, with higher CVD risk related to increased CKM stages in participants aged <60 years or females. CONCLUSION These findings highlight the contribution of CKM health metrics and CKM stage to the long-term risk of CVD, suggesting the importance of multi-component recognition and management of poor CKM health in CVD prevention.
Humans ; Female ; Male ; Cardiovascular Diseases/etiology* ; Middle Aged ; Adult ; Cohort Studies ; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/metabolism* ; Aged ; Risk Factors ; Metabolic Syndrome/metabolism* ; China ; East Asian People

Exercise intervention is an important non-pharmacological intervention for various diseases, and establishing precise exercise load assessment techniques can improve the quality of exercise intervention and the efficiency of disease prevention and control. Based on data collection from wearable devices, this study conducts nonlinear optimization and empirical verification of the original "Fitness-Fatigue Model". By constructing a time-varying attenuation function and specific coefficients, this study develops an optimized mathematical model that reflects the nonlinear characteristics of training responses. Thirteen participants underwent 12 weeks of moderate-intensity continuous cycling, three times per week. For each training session, external load (actual work done) and internal load (heart rate variability index) data were collected for each individual to conduct a performance comparison between the optimized model and the original model. The results show that the optimized model demonstrates a significantly improved overall goodness of fit and superior predictive ability. In summary, the findings of this study can support dynamic adjustments to participants' training programs and aid in the prevention and control of chronic diseases.
Humans ; Wearable Electronic Devices ; Exercise/physiology* ; Models, Theoretical ; Heart Rate/physiology* ; Exercise Therapy