1.Correlation Analysis of Huanglian Jiedu Wan on Syndrome Improvement and Clinical Biomarkers of "Excess Heat-Toxicity" Based on Machine Learning Model
Qi LI ; Keke LUO ; Baolin BIAN ; Hongyu YU ; Mengxiao WANG ; Mengyao TIAN ; Wen XIA ; Yuan MA ; Xinfang ZHANG ; Pengyue LI ; Nan SI ; Hongjie WANG ; Yanyan ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(8):162-173
ObjectiveThis paper aims to find the identified and validated clinical biomarker data building upon a clinical study of early-phase phase Ⅱ and investigate the correlation analysis of Huanglian Jiedu Wan on syndrome improvement and clinical biomarkers in the treatment of "excess heat-toxicity" based on a machine learning model. Additionally, the effective prediction of clinical biomarker values for the main symptoms of the "excess heat-toxicity" syndrome was assessed. MethodsA total of 229 patients meeting the inclusion criteria for "excess heat-toxicity" syndrome were randomly divided into the Huanglian Jiedu Wan group and the placebo group. Syndrome score transition matrices were constructed for the Huanglian Jiedu Wan group and the placebo group based on three main symptoms of "excess heat-toxicity" syndrome, such as oral ulcers, sore throat, and gum swelling and pain. Data from the patients with these three syndromes were also integrated for an overall analysis. The corresponding syndrome score transition matrices were further constructed to visualize symptom change trends of the patients in the two groups via heatmaps. Based on the identified and validated clinical biomarkers related to inflammation, oxidative stress, and energy metabolism in the early phase, Spearman correlation analysis was employed to analyze and evaluate the associations between clinical biomarkers and syndrome improvement. Key clinical biomarkers reflecting the effect of Huanglian Jiedu Wan were screened through the comparison of differences between groups. An extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm was used to develop a prediction model for main symptom classification, with classification performance evaluated through 10-fold cross-validation. Feature importance analysis was applied to identify variables with the greatest contribution to the prediction result. ResultsThe syndrome transition matrix results indicated that the Huanglian Jiedu Wan group showed a superior effect to the placebo group in improving oral ulcers, sore throat, and overall symptoms, with significant effects observed especially in sore throat and overall symptom analyses (P<0.01). Spearman correlation analysis revealed that several clinical biomarkers positively correlated with "excess heat-toxicity" syndrome and its main symptom improvement, were also called "heat-related biomarkers", including succinic acid, α-ketoglutaric acid, glycine, lactic acid, adenosine monophosphate (AMP), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interferon-γ (IFN-γ), interleukin-1β (IL-1β), interleukin-4 (IL-4), interleukin-6 (IL-6), interleukin-8 (IL-8), interleukin-10 (IL-10), and so on. Conversely, clinical biomarkers negatively correlated with symptom severity, were also called "heat-clearing related biomarkers" after administration of Huanglian Jiedu Wan, including malic acid, fumaric acid, cis-aconitic acid, adrenocorticotropic hormone (ACTH), IL-1β, IL-4, IL-8, succinic acid, and citric acid. The XGBoost classification model using all 52 biomarkers as variables achieved an average test accuracy of 0.754 and an average F1 score of 0.777. Feature importance analysis identified the scores of glutamic acid in saliva and IL-6 were the highest in all the variables, with importance scores of 0.081 and 0.080, respectively. After screening out 14 key variables and optimizing the parameters, model performance improved to an average accuracy of 0.758 and an F1 score of 0.798. Feature importance analysis further determined that the glutamic acid in saliva and IL-6 showed obvious changes after screening the variables, confirming the good syndrome prediction ability of the model constructed by these key clinical biomarkers. ConclusionThis study systematically elucidates the correlation between syndrome improvement and clinical biomarkers of Huanglian Jiedu Wan in the treatment of "excess heat-toxicity" syndrome. An XGBoost classification model based on key clinical biomarkers is successfully established, achieving effective prediction of the symptoms related to the "excess heat-toxicity" syndrome such as oral ulcers and sore throat and providing a new insight for objective identification of traditional Chinese medicine syndromes.
2.Correlation Analysis of Huanglian Jiedu Wan on Syndrome Improvement and Clinical Biomarkers of "Excess Heat-Toxicity" Based on Machine Learning Model
Qi LI ; Keke LUO ; Baolin BIAN ; Hongyu YU ; Mengxiao WANG ; Mengyao TIAN ; Wen XIA ; Yuan MA ; Xinfang ZHANG ; Pengyue LI ; Nan SI ; Hongjie WANG ; Yanyan ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(8):162-173
ObjectiveThis paper aims to find the identified and validated clinical biomarker data building upon a clinical study of early-phase phase Ⅱ and investigate the correlation analysis of Huanglian Jiedu Wan on syndrome improvement and clinical biomarkers in the treatment of "excess heat-toxicity" based on a machine learning model. Additionally, the effective prediction of clinical biomarker values for the main symptoms of the "excess heat-toxicity" syndrome was assessed. MethodsA total of 229 patients meeting the inclusion criteria for "excess heat-toxicity" syndrome were randomly divided into the Huanglian Jiedu Wan group and the placebo group. Syndrome score transition matrices were constructed for the Huanglian Jiedu Wan group and the placebo group based on three main symptoms of "excess heat-toxicity" syndrome, such as oral ulcers, sore throat, and gum swelling and pain. Data from the patients with these three syndromes were also integrated for an overall analysis. The corresponding syndrome score transition matrices were further constructed to visualize symptom change trends of the patients in the two groups via heatmaps. Based on the identified and validated clinical biomarkers related to inflammation, oxidative stress, and energy metabolism in the early phase, Spearman correlation analysis was employed to analyze and evaluate the associations between clinical biomarkers and syndrome improvement. Key clinical biomarkers reflecting the effect of Huanglian Jiedu Wan were screened through the comparison of differences between groups. An extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm was used to develop a prediction model for main symptom classification, with classification performance evaluated through 10-fold cross-validation. Feature importance analysis was applied to identify variables with the greatest contribution to the prediction result. ResultsThe syndrome transition matrix results indicated that the Huanglian Jiedu Wan group showed a superior effect to the placebo group in improving oral ulcers, sore throat, and overall symptoms, with significant effects observed especially in sore throat and overall symptom analyses (P<0.01). Spearman correlation analysis revealed that several clinical biomarkers positively correlated with "excess heat-toxicity" syndrome and its main symptom improvement, were also called "heat-related biomarkers", including succinic acid, α-ketoglutaric acid, glycine, lactic acid, adenosine monophosphate (AMP), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interferon-γ (IFN-γ), interleukin-1β (IL-1β), interleukin-4 (IL-4), interleukin-6 (IL-6), interleukin-8 (IL-8), interleukin-10 (IL-10), and so on. Conversely, clinical biomarkers negatively correlated with symptom severity, were also called "heat-clearing related biomarkers" after administration of Huanglian Jiedu Wan, including malic acid, fumaric acid, cis-aconitic acid, adrenocorticotropic hormone (ACTH), IL-1β, IL-4, IL-8, succinic acid, and citric acid. The XGBoost classification model using all 52 biomarkers as variables achieved an average test accuracy of 0.754 and an average F1 score of 0.777. Feature importance analysis identified the scores of glutamic acid in saliva and IL-6 were the highest in all the variables, with importance scores of 0.081 and 0.080, respectively. After screening out 14 key variables and optimizing the parameters, model performance improved to an average accuracy of 0.758 and an F1 score of 0.798. Feature importance analysis further determined that the glutamic acid in saliva and IL-6 showed obvious changes after screening the variables, confirming the good syndrome prediction ability of the model constructed by these key clinical biomarkers. ConclusionThis study systematically elucidates the correlation between syndrome improvement and clinical biomarkers of Huanglian Jiedu Wan in the treatment of "excess heat-toxicity" syndrome. An XGBoost classification model based on key clinical biomarkers is successfully established, achieving effective prediction of the symptoms related to the "excess heat-toxicity" syndrome such as oral ulcers and sore throat and providing a new insight for objective identification of traditional Chinese medicine syndromes.
3.Study on the construction of a red blood cell rare blood type database and physical repository in the Guangzhou Region
Zhijian LIAO ; Shuangshuang JIA ; Yuan SHAO ; Boquan HUANG ; Chunyan MO ; Jizhi WEN ; Runqing ZHANG ; Xia RONG ; Hong LUO ; Huaqin LIANG ; Yanli JI
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(5):619-628
Objective: To conduct screening for rare blood types within important blood group systems for the Chinese population, such as Rh, Duffy, Kidd, P1Pk, Diego, and MNS, in the Guangzhou region, and to establish a corresponding rare blood type database and physical repository. Methods: The saline medium microplate method was used to screen blood donors with the ccDEE phenotype combined with either Jk(a-) or Jk(b-). The polybrene microplate method was employed to screen for donors with Fy(a-), s(-), Lu(b-), Di(b-), k(-), and p phenotypes. The urea lysis microplate method was applied to screen for the Jk(a-b-) phenotype. A high-resolution melting (HRM) curve method was established for screening some donors with the Di(b-) phenotype. Subsequently, expanded phenotyping of antigens in the Rh, Kidd, MNS, Duffy, P1Pk, Lewis, Kell, and Lutheran blood group systems was performed on identified rare blood type donors using monoclonal antibodies. The test results are entered into the Rare Blood Type Bank Management System of the Guangzhou Blood Center, enabling functions such as confirmation reminders and cryopreservation storage when the donor donates again. Red blood cells of rare blood types are processed into frozen red blood cells for long-term storage. Results: Among voluntary blood donors, 16 cases of the ccDEE combined with Jk(a-) phenotype were identified (0.221 7%, 16/7 216); 10 cases of the ccDEE combined with Jk(b-) phenotype (0.138 6%, 10/7 216); 78 cases of the Fy(a-) phenotype (0.169 5%, 78/46 012); 39 cases of the Lu(b-) phenotype (0.138 2%, 39/28 214); 31 cases of the s(-) phenotype (0.081 8%, 31/37 913); 22 cases of the Di(b-) phenotype (0.029 9%, 22/73 691); 30 cases of the Jk(a-b-) phenotype (0.010 1%, 30/298 250); and 1 case of the k(-) phenotype (0.001 3%, 1/77 382), which was further identified as KELnull phenotype (K0). No p phenotype donors were identified (0/88 528). A total of 228 units of frozen red blood cells were prepared. The screening results were compared and analyzed with rare blood type data from other regions. Conclusion: This study, through a combination of different screening methods, significantly improved the efficiency of rare blood type screening while remaining cost-effective. By conducting large-scale screening and performing data informatization processing, a database and physical repository of rare blood types in the Guangzhou region were successfully established. This provides a strong guarantee for the timely supply of blood to patients with difficult-to-match and rare blood types in the region, effectively enhances the level of transfusion safety in the region, and offers a practical paradigm for constructing a comprehensive blood transfusion support system.
4.Fluoroscopically-guided percutaneous gastrostomy for enteral nutrition access in the treatment of esophageal fistulas after radiotherapy of cervical esophageal cancer: a retrospective study
Hongtao HU ; Hailiang LI ; Chenyang GUO ; Quanjun YAO ; Xiang GENG ; Hang YUAN ; Weili XIA ; Ke ZHAO ; Wen LUO
Chinese Journal of Clinical Nutrition 2025;33(4):299-303
Objective:To investigate the efficacy and safety of fluoroscopically-guided percutaneous gastrostomy (FGPG) for establishing enteral nutrition access in the treatment of esophageal fistula after radiotherapy for cervical esophageal cancer (CEC).Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 54 patients who underwent FGPG due to esophageal fistula after radiotherapy for CEC at our department from November 2009 to August 2019. All patients received endoscopy before radiotherapy, and CEC was pathologically confirmed. Enteral nutrition support was offered through a gastrostomy tube postoperatively. The success rate of FGPG, complications, and healing of perforation were recorded and analyzed.Results:FGPG was successfully performed in all 54 patients (100%). During the 12-month follow-up, 50 patients (92.6) survived while four (7.4%) died. Among 36 patients with esophagomediastinal fistula, 32 (88.9%) healed in a median of 12 weeks; of 18 patients with esophagotracheal fistula, 8 (44.4%) healed in a median of 18 weeks. Thus, patients with esophagomediastinal fistula had a significantly higher healing rate ( P<0.01) and shorter healing time ( P=0.017). Gastrostomy tube-related complications were minimal, and no serious complication was noted. Conclusions:FGPG is effective for the treatment of esophageal fistula after CEC radiotherapy and may be an alternative treatment for esophageal fistula.
5.Analysis of factors influencing right atrial strain in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension
Jin-xin XU ; Jie-xuan ZHENG ; Tao-ran HUANG ; Dong-ling LUO ; Yuan ZHU ; Cao-jin ZHANG ; Hong-wen FEI
Chinese Journal of Interventional Cardiology 2025;33(5):249-259
Objective To analyze the correlation between right atrial strain at various stages and various influencing factors in patients with pulmonary hypertension,and to explore the role of right atrial strain in the assessment of pulmonary hypertension.Methods A total of 239 cases diagnosed with pulmonary hypertension who underwent echocardiography and complete right heart catheterization at hospital from October 2021 to December 2023 were included.Conventional ultrasound parameters such as right heart strain,right atrial area(RA area),inferior vena cava diameter(IVC diameter),and collapse rate of the inferior vena cava(IVC diameter changes)were measured.The heart rate(HR)corresponding to the ultrasound images were recorded.General information such as age and gender,as well as catheter data including mean right atrial pressure(mRAP),mean pulmonary artery pressure(mPAP),and pulmonary vascular resistance(PVR),were collected.The relationship between right atrial strain and its influencing factors was analyzed,and further analysis was conducted by dividing into shunt group and non-shunt group based on the presence or absence of left-to-right shunt disease.Results The correlation with RA reservoir strain(RASr)from high to low is RV global strain(RV4CSL),RV free wall strain(RVFWSL),RA area,IVC diameter,mRAP,age,HR,and PVR;the correlation with RAconduit strain(RAScd)from high to low is RV4CSL,RVFWSL,RA area,IVC diameter,mRAP,age,PVR,and HR;the correlation with RA contraction strain(RASct)from high to low is RA area,RV4CSL,RVFWSL,mRAP,IVC diameter,and HR.The collapse rate of the inferior vena cava is correlated with strain at various stages of the right atrium;gender is correlated with RASr and RASct.Conclusions Right atrial strain can reflect changes in right atrial function,with the highest correlation to right ventricular strain and right atrial area.Right atrial strain can indicate the severity of right ventricular function and right atrial remodeling,serving as an evaluative index for the condition and treatment outcomes of pulmonary arterial hypertension.
6.A multicenter retrospective cohort study on factors associated with the occurrence of gastroesophageal reflux disease after sleeve gastrectomy
Jiahao LI ; Xiang GAO ; Pengzhou LI ; Zhi SONG ; Weizheng LI ; Lei ZHAO ; Youwu WEN ; Henggui LUO ; Tongli YUAN ; Zhen LI ; Liyong ZHU
Chinese Journal of General Surgery 2025;34(10):2159-2167
Background and Aims:Sleeve gastrectomy(SG)has become the most widely performed bariatric procedure worldwide,but postoperative gastroesophageal reflux disease(GERD)remains a major concern.This multicenter study aimed to identify independent risk factors associated with GERD after SG to guide preoperative assessment and intraoperative management.Methods:Clinical data of 672 patients who underwent SG between January 2020 and December 2022 in six bariatric centers and completed a 12-month follow-up were retrospectively analyzed.Demographic characteristics,esophagogastric junction(EGJ)integrity graded by the AFS system,operative parameters,and postoperative outcomes were compared between patients with and without GERD.Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify predictors of postoperative GERD.Results:The overall incidence of GERD after SG was 24.7%(166/672).Multivariate analysis revealed that a preoperative BMI>35 kg/m2(OR=1.68,P=0.033),EGJ integrity AFS grade>2(OR=2.90,P=0.006),and preoperative reflux symptoms(OR=2.44,P=0.030)were independent risk factors for GERD.A staple line more than 1 cm from the angle of His(OR=0.45,P<0.001)and a bougie size>36 Fr(OR=0.08,P=0.001)were protective factors.Conclusion:High BMI,impaired EGJ integrity,and preoperative reflux symptoms significantly increase the risk of GERD after SG,whereas adequate preservation of the His angle and appropriate bougie calibration may reduce it.Comprehensive preoperative EGJ assessment and standardized surgical techniques are essential for minimizing postoperative reflux.
7.Study on the distribution of FMR1 CGG repeat numbers among 16 610 women of childbearing age in China
Yahui SHEN ; Wei HOU ; Xiaolin FU ; Manli ZHANG ; Xiaoxiao XIE ; Chunyan ZHANG ; Jiaxin BIAN ; Xiao MAO ; Juan WEN ; Chunyu LUO ; Hua JIN ; Qian ZHU ; Qingwei QI ; Yeqing QIAN ; Jing YUAN ; Yanyan ZHAO ; Ailan YIN ; Shutie LI ; Yulin JIANG ; Rui XIAO ; Yanping LU
Chinese Journal of Reproduction and Contraception 2025;45(4):398-402
Objective:To investigate the distribution of CGG repeat numbers in the FMR1 gene among reproductive-age women in China, providing data reference for carrier screening and genetic counseling of Fragile X syndrome. Methods:This cross-sectional study recruited 16 610 reproductive-age women from 12 medical institutions between July 2022 and October 2023. Peripheral venous blood samples (3 mL) were collected, and genomic DNA was extracted. The number of CGG repeats in the FMR1 gene was determined using the triplet-primed polymerase chain reaction (TP-PCR) combined with capillary electrophoresis technology. Statistical analyses were performed to assess the prevalence and distribution of CGG repeat expansions. Results:Among 16 610 women of childbearing age, 5 684 (34.220%) women had the same number of CGG repeats in the two alleles of FMR1 gene, and 10 926 (65.780%) women had different numbers of repeats in the two alleles. Among the 33 220 FMR1 alleles in 16 610 women of reproductive age, the most common CGG repeat numbers were 29 [48.645% (16 160/33 220)] and 30 [26.276% (8 729/33 220)], while the most frequent CGG genotype was CGG 29/29 [24.726% (4 107/16 610)]. The CGG repeat numbers of FMR1 gene were normal in 16 498 women (99.326%). Among the 112 women (0.674%) with CGG repeat abnormities, 96 (0.578%) women were classified as intermediate carriers, 15 (0.090%) as premutation carriers, and 1 (0.006%) as a full mutation carrier, whose CGG genotype was (36, >200). Conclusion:In the general reproductive-age female population in China, the normal CGG repeat numbers of the FMR1 gene account for 99.326%, while the intermediate carrier rate is 0.578%, and the combined carrier rate of the premutation and full mutation types is 0.096%.
8.Fluoroscopically-guided percutaneous gastrostomy for enteral nutrition access in the treatment of esophageal fistulas after radiotherapy of cervical esophageal cancer: a retrospective study
Hongtao HU ; Hailiang LI ; Chenyang GUO ; Quanjun YAO ; Xiang GENG ; Hang YUAN ; Weili XIA ; Ke ZHAO ; Wen LUO
Chinese Journal of Clinical Nutrition 2025;33(4):299-303
Objective:To investigate the efficacy and safety of fluoroscopically-guided percutaneous gastrostomy (FGPG) for establishing enteral nutrition access in the treatment of esophageal fistula after radiotherapy for cervical esophageal cancer (CEC).Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 54 patients who underwent FGPG due to esophageal fistula after radiotherapy for CEC at our department from November 2009 to August 2019. All patients received endoscopy before radiotherapy, and CEC was pathologically confirmed. Enteral nutrition support was offered through a gastrostomy tube postoperatively. The success rate of FGPG, complications, and healing of perforation were recorded and analyzed.Results:FGPG was successfully performed in all 54 patients (100%). During the 12-month follow-up, 50 patients (92.6) survived while four (7.4%) died. Among 36 patients with esophagomediastinal fistula, 32 (88.9%) healed in a median of 12 weeks; of 18 patients with esophagotracheal fistula, 8 (44.4%) healed in a median of 18 weeks. Thus, patients with esophagomediastinal fistula had a significantly higher healing rate ( P<0.01) and shorter healing time ( P=0.017). Gastrostomy tube-related complications were minimal, and no serious complication was noted. Conclusions:FGPG is effective for the treatment of esophageal fistula after CEC radiotherapy and may be an alternative treatment for esophageal fistula.
9.Systematic review of machine learning models for predicting functional recovery and prognosis in stroke
Jiaru WANG ; Ying ZHANG ; Yong YANG ; Wen QI ; Huaye XIAO ; Qiuping MA ; Lianzhao YANG ; Ziwei LUO ; Yaqing HE ; Jiangyin ZHANG ; Jiawen WEI ; Yuan MENG ; Silian TAN
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2025;29(29):6317-6325
OBJECTIVE:Nowadays,machine learning algorithms are gradually being applied to predict stroke and cardiovascular disease.Compared with traditional regression models,machine learning can learn from data to achieve high prediction accuracy by exploring the flexible relationship between a large number of predictive features and outcome variables,providing a new method for the formulation of individualized treatment and rehabilitation programs.This study aims to systematically evaluate stroke functional recovery and prognosis prediction models based on machine learning,comprehensively assessing their predictive performance and clinical application potential to provide references for the development,application,and promotion of related predictive models.METHODS:This review was conducted following the PRISMA(Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses)guidelines.Relevant literature on stroke prognosis prediction using machine learning methods was selected by searching PubMed,EMbase,Web of Science Core Collection,CNKI,WanFang,and the China Biomedical Literature Database,with the search period from January 1,2014,to July 1,2024.Two researchers independently screened the literature and extracted data based on inclusion and exclusion criteria,using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool(PROBAST)to assess model quality.RESULTS:(1)A total of 3 126 articles were obtained in the preliminary search.After screening and exclusion,18 articles were finally included.150 prediction models were constructed using 13 machine learning methods.The three most frequently used methods are Logistic Regression,Random Forest,and Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost).Only one study was externally validated.Eight studies reported how the missing data were handled.(2)In terms of outcome indicators,8 studies used the combination of clinical data and imaging data to build models,9 studies only used clinical data to build models,and 1 study only used imaging data to build models.(3)Each of the 18 studies gave the most important characteristics of the study,with the most mentioned being the National Institute of Health Stroke Scale and age.All studies reported area under curve values ranging from 0.74 to 0.96,with the highest area under curve being 0.96.The overall risk of bias in all models was high.The high risk of bias in the field of model analysis was the main reason for the high risk of overall bias in all models.(4)The results of meta-analysis showed that age and National Institute of Health Stroke Scale score had significant influence on stroke prognosis,with age[MD=8.49,95%CI(6.24,10.75),P<0.01]and National Institute of Health Stroke Scale score[MD=4.78,95%CI(2.56,7.00),P<0.01].CONCLUSION:This study systematically evaluated the predictive model of functional recovery and prognosis of stroke based on machine learning,and all the models have good predictive potential.However,future studies should increase the sample size of the included model,adopt prospective studies,and add external validation of the model to improve the stability and prediction accuracy of the model,control the risk of bias,and contribute to the validation and promotion of the model in practical clinical applications.At the same time,the interpolation of missing values is more transparent and accurate.Although existing machine learning models show good predictive performance,it is also important to focus on the functionality and usability of the model,and the inclusion of features will reduce ease of use.We should develop easy to use model interfaces and user-friendly clinical tools to enable medical staff to better apply the model for clinical decision.
10.Systematic review of machine learning models for predicting functional recovery and prognosis in stroke
Jiaru WANG ; Ying ZHANG ; Yong YANG ; Wen QI ; Huaye XIAO ; Qiuping MA ; Lianzhao YANG ; Ziwei LUO ; Yaqing HE ; Jiangyin ZHANG ; Jiawen WEI ; Yuan MENG ; Silian TAN
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2025;29(29):6317-6325
OBJECTIVE:Nowadays,machine learning algorithms are gradually being applied to predict stroke and cardiovascular disease.Compared with traditional regression models,machine learning can learn from data to achieve high prediction accuracy by exploring the flexible relationship between a large number of predictive features and outcome variables,providing a new method for the formulation of individualized treatment and rehabilitation programs.This study aims to systematically evaluate stroke functional recovery and prognosis prediction models based on machine learning,comprehensively assessing their predictive performance and clinical application potential to provide references for the development,application,and promotion of related predictive models.METHODS:This review was conducted following the PRISMA(Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses)guidelines.Relevant literature on stroke prognosis prediction using machine learning methods was selected by searching PubMed,EMbase,Web of Science Core Collection,CNKI,WanFang,and the China Biomedical Literature Database,with the search period from January 1,2014,to July 1,2024.Two researchers independently screened the literature and extracted data based on inclusion and exclusion criteria,using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool(PROBAST)to assess model quality.RESULTS:(1)A total of 3 126 articles were obtained in the preliminary search.After screening and exclusion,18 articles were finally included.150 prediction models were constructed using 13 machine learning methods.The three most frequently used methods are Logistic Regression,Random Forest,and Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost).Only one study was externally validated.Eight studies reported how the missing data were handled.(2)In terms of outcome indicators,8 studies used the combination of clinical data and imaging data to build models,9 studies only used clinical data to build models,and 1 study only used imaging data to build models.(3)Each of the 18 studies gave the most important characteristics of the study,with the most mentioned being the National Institute of Health Stroke Scale and age.All studies reported area under curve values ranging from 0.74 to 0.96,with the highest area under curve being 0.96.The overall risk of bias in all models was high.The high risk of bias in the field of model analysis was the main reason for the high risk of overall bias in all models.(4)The results of meta-analysis showed that age and National Institute of Health Stroke Scale score had significant influence on stroke prognosis,with age[MD=8.49,95%CI(6.24,10.75),P<0.01]and National Institute of Health Stroke Scale score[MD=4.78,95%CI(2.56,7.00),P<0.01].CONCLUSION:This study systematically evaluated the predictive model of functional recovery and prognosis of stroke based on machine learning,and all the models have good predictive potential.However,future studies should increase the sample size of the included model,adopt prospective studies,and add external validation of the model to improve the stability and prediction accuracy of the model,control the risk of bias,and contribute to the validation and promotion of the model in practical clinical applications.At the same time,the interpolation of missing values is more transparent and accurate.Although existing machine learning models show good predictive performance,it is also important to focus on the functionality and usability of the model,and the inclusion of features will reduce ease of use.We should develop easy to use model interfaces and user-friendly clinical tools to enable medical staff to better apply the model for clinical decision.

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