Objective: To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of category C intestinal infectious diseases among children and adolescents in Shenzhen from 2012 to 2024 and the association with meteorological factors, so as to provide a scientific basis for the targeted prevention and control of infectious diseases for children and adolescents. Methods: Using data from the "Infectious Disease Reporting Information Management System" of the "China Disease Prevention and Control Information System" covering the period from January 1, 2012 to December 31, 2024, the study analyzed clinical and confirmed cases of hand, foot, and mouth disease, other infectious diarrhea, and acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis among individuals aged 6-19 years old to describe demographic and temporal characteristics. It used Joinpoint regression to calculate the average annual percent change (AAPC) and annual percent change (APC) to analyze incidence trends, and Spearman s correlation was combined to generalize linear models so as to assess the association between category C intestinal infectious diseases and meteorological factors. Results: From 2012 to 2024, a cumulative total of 61 019 cases of hand, foot, and mouth disease among children and adolescents, 58 498 cases of other infectious diarrhea, and 6 377 cases of acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis were reported. The AAPC in the incidence rates of these three diseases was 19.19%, 31.03% and 31.48 %, respectively(all P <0.05). Notably, the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease increased significantly after 2022 (APC= 133.66 %, P <0.01). The temporal distribution showed that hand,foot,and mouth disease was most prevalent in May,June and July (seasonal index of 2.39,3.64,1.97), other infectious diarrhea was most prevalent in February,March and December (seasonal index of 1.22,1.25,1.47), and acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis peaked in September and October (seasonal index of 4.22,2.16). Monthly average temperature could increase the risk of hand,foot,and mouth disease( β = 0.18 ,95% CI =0.11-0.25); as monthly average wind speed increased, the incidence of other infectious diarrhea ( β =-0.86, 95% CI = -1.50 to -0.22) and acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis ( β =-1.32, 95% CI =-2.60 to -0.05) both decreased (all P < 0.05 ). Conclusions Among children and adolescents in Shenzhen, category C intestinal infectious diseases remain prevalent throughout the year；the number of reported hand, foot, and mouth disease cases has shown an upward trend in recent years.Temperature and wind speed significantly affect the number of reported cases of three types with category C intestinal infectious diseases.

ObjectiveTo evaluate the effect of neuromuscular electrical stimulation (NMES) on pain, quadriceps strength and motor function of patients after total knee arthroplasty (TKA). MethodsThe databases of CNKI, Wanfang data, VIP, PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, Web of Science and Scopus were retrieved from inception to April, 2025. Randomized controlled trials (RCT) related to the intervention of NMES after TKA were collected. The quality of the included literature was evaluated using the Cochrane Risk of Bias Assessment Tool and the Physical Therapy Evidence Database (PEDro) scale. Meta-analysis was performed with RevMan 5.4. ResultsA total of twelve RCT were included, involving 772 subjects. The PEDro scale score ranged from four to seven. NMES improved postoperative quadriceps muscle strength (SMD = 0.61, 95%CI 0.34 to 0.88, P < 0.001) and knee flexion range of motion (SMD = 1.35, 95%CI 0.30 to 2.41, P = 0.010), and reduced the Timed Up and Go Test (TUGT) time (SMD = -0.86, 95%CI -1.45 to -0.26, P = 0.005). Compared with the control group, the intervention group achieved better outcomes in the 2-Minute Walk Test (2MWT) (SMD = 19.44, 95%CI 10.44 to 30.43, P < 0.001), 3-Minute Walk Test (SMD = 23.57, 95%CI 14.77 to 32.36, P < 0.001), 6-Minute Walk Test (SMD = 42.29, 95%CI 9.71 to 74.86, P = 0.010), Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) (SMD = -0.52, 95%CI -1.00 to -0.04, P = 0.040), as well as the Physical Component Summary (PCS) (SMD = 2.90, 95%CI 0.73 to 5.06, P = 0.009) and Mental Component Summary (MCS) (SMD = 2.84, 95%CI 1.40 to 4.28, P = 0.040) of the 36-Item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36). Subgroup analysis demonstrated that two to four weeks after surgery, NMES enhanced patients' quadriceps muscle strength (SMD = 0.90, 95%CI 0.58 to 1.21, P < 0.001), shortened TUGT time (SMD = -1.28, 95%CI -2.57 to -0.02, P < 0.05) and increased walking distance in 2MWT (SMD = 20.43, 95%CI 10.44 to 30.43, P < 0.001). For patients followed up for two to three months, NMES yielded improvements in WOMAC scores (SMD = -0.44, 95%CI -0.79 to -0.09, P = 0.010) and SF-36 MCS scores (SMD = 4.17, 95%CI 2.43 to 5.91, P < 0.001). ConclusionNMES can significantly improve the quadriceps strength and walking ability of the TKA patients two to four weeks after surgery, and enhance the quality of life of patients two to three months after surgery.

Objective To explore the potential mechanism of Polygonum cuspidatum in alleviating silicosis using network pharmacology, molecular docking, and experimental validation. Methods i) The targets of active components of Polygonum cuspidatum and silicosis-related targets were retrieved from multiple databases. The overlapping targets were imported into Venny2.1.0 and STRING platforms. "Polygonum cuspidatum-active components-potential therapeutic targets for silicosis" network was constructed and core targets of Polygonum cuspidatum that can alleviate silicosis were identified using the Cytoscape3.10.2 software. Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) enrichment analyses were performed using the DAVID database, and molecular docking was conducted with AutoDock software. ii) Human embryonic lung fibroblast MRC-5 cells were divided into three groups. Cells in the control group were cultured in high-glucose Dulbecco's modified Eagle's medium containing 10.00% (V/V)fetal bovine serum. Cells in the silica group were treated with silica suspension at a final concentration of 150 μg·cm² (equivalent to 75 mg/L) for 48 hours. Cells in the silica + β-sitosterol group were first treated with silica suspension for 24 hours, then were cultured in medium containing β-sitosterol at a mass concentration of 50 μg/L for another 24 hours. Immunofluorescence assay and Western blotting were used to detect the effects of β-sitosterol, a core component of Polygonum cuspidatum, on the expression of phosphorylated protein kinase B (p-AKT), B-cell lymphoma-2 (BCL-2), and α-smooth muscle actin (α-SMA) in cells. Results i) A total of ten main active components of Polygonum cuspidatum, 840 targets of the active components, and 231 potential therapeutic targets for silicosis were screened through retrieval. A total of 10 core therapeutic targets were further screened, including tumor protein p53, serine/threonine protein kinase B1 (AKT1), heat shock protein 90-α, interleukin (IL)-6 , tumor necrosis factor, Src tyrosine kinase, estrogen receptor 1, epidermal growth factor receptor, BCL-2, and IL-1β. KEGG enrichment analysis yielded 178 related target pathways, among which, the phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase-protein kinase B (PI3K/AKT) signaling pathway was most relevant to silicosis. Molecular docking results showed that the top five compounds of Polygonum cuspidatum with high degree centrality, including quercetin, luteolin, physovenine, rhein, and β-sitosterol, had strong binding affinities with core targets. Among them, β-sitosterol, a key component of Polygonum cuspidatum, ranked high in binding affinity to all core targets. Molecular docking visualization indicated that β-sitosterol ranked high in binding affinitiy with the core target proteins AKT1 and BCL-2. ii) Both immunofluorescence and Western blotting results showed that, the relative expression of p-AKT, BCL-2, and α-SMA proteins increased in MRC-5 cells of the silica group compared with the control group (all P<0.05), except for p-AKT detected by Western blotting. Compared with the silica group, the relative expression levels of p-AKT, BCL-2, and α-SMA proteins in the silica+β-sitosterol group decreased (all P<0.05). Conclusion β-sitosterol, the core component of Polygonum cuspidatum, may alleviate silicosis fibrosis via the PI3K/AKT signaling pathway.

The efficacy of Xiangmei Pills on rats with ulcerative colitis(UC) was investigated by characterizing the spectrum of the active chemical components of Xiangmei Pills. Rapid identification and classification of the main chemical components were performed,and the therapeutic effects of Xiangmei Pills on the proteins and intestinal flora of UC rats were analyzed to explore the mechanism of its action in treating UC. Fifty SD rats were acclimatized to feeding for 3 d and randomly divided into blank group, model group,mesalazine group(0. 4 g·kg~(-1)), low-dose group of Xiangmei Pills(1. 89 g·kg~(-1)), and high-dose group of Xiangmei Pills(5. 67 g·kg~(-1)), with 10 rats in each group. 5% dextrose sodium sulfate(DSS) was given by gavage to induce the male SD rat model with UC,and the corresponding medicinal solution was given by gavage after 10 days, respectively. The therapeutic effect of Xiangmei Pills on rats with UC was evaluated according to body mass, disease activity index(DAI), and hematoxylin-eosin(HE) staining, and the histopathological changes in the colon were observed. Ultra-high performance liquid chromatography-quadrupole/electrostatic field orbitrap high-resolution mass spectrometry(UHPLC-Q-Orbitrap HRMS) technique was used to rapidly and accurately identify the main chemical constituents of Xiangmei Pills. Immunohistochemistry was used to detect the expression of aryl hydrocarbon receptor(AhR),interferon-γ(IFN-γ), mucin-2(MUC-2), and cytochrome P450 1A1(CYP1A1) in colon tissue. Interleukin-22(IL-22) expression in colon tissue was detected by immunofluorescence. The 16S r DNA high-throughput sequencing technique was used to study the modulatory effects of Xiangmei Pills on the intestinal flora structure of rats with UC. Pharmacodynamic results showed that compared with that of the blank group, the colon tissue of the model group was congested, and ulcers were visible in the mucosa; compared with that in the model group, the histopathology of the colon of the rats with UC in the groups of Xiangmei Pills were improved, with scattered ulcers and reduced inflammatory cell infiltration. Chemical analysis showed that a total of 45 components were identified by mass spectrometry information, including 15 phenolic acids, 8 coumarins, 15 organic acids, 3 amino acids, 2 flavonoids, and 2 other components. Compared with those in the blank group, the levels of Ah R, CYP1A1, MUC-2, and IL-22 proteins in the colon tissue of rats in the model group were significantly decreased, and the level of IFN-γ protein was significantly increased; the intestinal flora of rats in the model group was disorganized, with a decrease in the abundance of the flora; the relative abundance of Bacteroidetes,unclassified genera of Ascomycetes, Prevotella of the Prevotella family, and Prevotella decreased significantly, and that of Firmicutes decreased, but the difference was not statistically significant. The relative abundance of Bacteroidetes, Bifidobacterium, and Lactobacillus increased significantly. Compared with those of the model group, the levels of Ah R, CYP1A1, MUC-2, and IL-22proteins in the colonic tissue of the groups of Xiangmei Pills were significantly higher, and the levels of IFN-γ proteins were significantly lower. The recovery of the intestinal flora was accelerated, and the diversity of the intestinal flora was significantly increased. The relative abundance of Bacteroidetes was significantly increased, and that of unclassified genera of Ascomycetes,Lactobacillus, Prevotella of the Prevotella family, and Prevotella was significantly increased. The relative abundance of Bacteroidetes and Bifidobacterium was significantly decreased. This study demonstrated that Xiangmei Pills can effectively treat UC, mainly through the phenolic acid and organic acid components to stimulate the intestinal barrier, regulate protein expression and the relative abundance and diversity of intestinal flora, and play a role in the treatment of UC.
Animals ; Colitis, Ulcerative/metabolism* ; Drugs, Chinese Herbal/chemistry* ; Rats, Sprague-Dawley ; Male ; Rats ; Gastrointestinal Microbiome/genetics* ; Chromatography, High Pressure Liquid ; Humans ; Mass Spectrometry ; RNA, Ribosomal, 16S/genetics* ; Bacteria/drug effects*

Suhuang Zhike Capsules are widely used in clinical practice for the treatment of respiratory diseases and have been included in Medicine Catalogue for National Basic Medical Insurance, Work Injury Insurance, and Maternity Insurance and National Essential Medicines List. However, problems remain, such as unclear definitions of treatment courses and unidentified contraindications for certain populations. Therefore, this consensus was developed collaboratively by clinical experts in traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) related to pulmonary diseases, respiratory, and critical care medicine, as well as methodology and pharmacy experts, adhering strictly to the consensus development procedures established by the China Association of Chinese Medicine for clinical application of Chinese patent medicines, with the aim to guide the correct clinical use of Suhuang Zhike Capsules for the treatment of cough variant asthma, post-infectious cough, and other respiratory diseases. This consensus employed questionnaire surveys and expert interviews to identify clinical concerns based on the PICOS principle and conduct evidence evaluation and GRADE grading. Utilizing nominal group techniques and GRADE networking methods, it resulted in 17 recommendations and consensus suggestions. The consensus further clarifies the indications, TCM syndromes, usage, and clinical safety of Suhuang Zhike Capsules in the treatment of cough variant asthma and post-infectious cough, aiming to promote standardized medication use and facilitate the rational clinical application of Suhuang Zhike Capsules.
Humans ; Drugs, Chinese Herbal/administration & dosage* ; Consensus ; Capsules ; Respiratory Tract Diseases/drug therapy* ; Medicine, Chinese Traditional

Cervi Cornu Pantotrichum is a precious animal-derived Chinese medicinal material, while there are often adulterants derived from animals not specified in the Chinese Pharmacopeia in the market, which disturbs the safety of medication. This study was conducted with the aim of strengthening the quality control of Cervi Cornu Pantotrichum and standardizing the medication. To achieve digital identification of Cervi Cornu Pantotrichum from different sources, a digital identification model was constructed based on ultra-high performance liquid chromatography tandem quadrupole time-of-flight mass spectrometry(UHPLC-QTOF-MS~E) combined with an adaptive boosting algorithm(Adaboost). The young furred antlers of sika deer, red deer, elk, and reindeer were processed and then subjected to polypeptide analysis by UHPLC-QTOF-MS~E. Then, the mass spectral data reflecting the polypeptide information were obtained by digital quantification. Next, the key data were obtained by feature screening based on Gini index, and the digital identification model was constructed by Adaboost. The model was evaluated based on the recall rate, F_1 composite score, and accuracy. Finally, the results of identification based on the constructed digital identification model were validated. The results showed that when the Gini index was used to screen the data of top 100 characteristic polypeptides, the digital identification model based on Adaboost had the best performance, with the recall rate, F_1 composite score, and accuracy not less than 0.953. The validation analysis showed that the accuracy of the identification of the 10 batches of samples was as high as 100.0%. Therefore, based on UHPLC-QTOF-MS~E and Adaboost algorithm, the digital identification of Cervi Cornu Pantotrichum can be realized efficiently and accurately, which can provide reference for the quality control and original animal identification of Cervi Cornu Pantotrichum.
Animals ; Algorithms ; Antlers/chemistry* ; Boosting Machine Learning Algorithms ; Chromatography, High Pressure Liquid/methods* ; Deer ; Drugs, Chinese Herbal/chemistry* ; Mass Spectrometry/methods* ; Quality Control ; Reindeer ; Tandem Mass Spectrometry/methods* ; Tissue Extracts/analysis*

ObjectiveTo investigate the influence of histone deacetylase 3 (HDAC3) on the occurrence, development of psoriasis-like inflammation in mice, and the relative immune mechanisms. MethodsHealthy C57BL/6 mice aged 6-8 weeks were selected and randomly divided into 3 groups: control group (Control), psoriasis model group (IMQ), and HDAC3 inhibitor RGFP966-treated psoriasis model group (IMQ+RGFP966). One day prior to the experiment, the back hair of the mice was shaved. After a one-day stabilization period, the mice in Control group was treated with an equal amount of vaseline, while the mice in IMQ group was treated with imiquimod (62.5 mg/d) applied topically on the back to establish a psoriasis-like inflammation model. The mice in IMQ+RGFP966 group received intervention with a high dose of the HDAC3-selective inhibitor RGFP966 (30 mg/kg) based on the psoriasis-like model. All groups were treated continuously for 5 d, during which psoriasis-like inflammation symptoms (scaling, erythema, skin thickness), body weight, and mental status were observed and recorded, with photographs taken for documentation. After euthanasia, hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining was used to assess the effect of RGFP966 on the skin tissue structure of the mice, and skin thickness was measured. The mRNA and protein expression levels of HDAC3 in skin tissues were detected using reverse transcription real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) and Western blot (WB), respectively. Flow cytometry was employed to analyze neutrophils in peripheral blood and lymph nodes, CD4⁺ T lymphocytes, CD8⁺ T lymphocytes in peripheral blood, and IL-17A secretion by peripheral blood CD4⁺ T lymphocytes. Additionally, spleen CD4⁺ T lymphocyte expression of HDAC3, CCR6, CCR8, and IL-17A secretion levels were analyzed. Immunohistochemistry was used to detect the localization and expression levels of HDAC3, IL-17A, and IL-10 in skin tissues. ResultsCompared with the Control group, the IMQ group exhibited significant psoriasis-like inflammation, characterized by erythema, scaling, and skin wrinkling. Compared with the IMQ group, RGFP966 exacerbated psoriasis-like inflammatory symptoms, leading to increased hyperkeratosis. The psoriasis area and severity index (PASI) skin symptom scores were higher in the IMQ group than those in the Control group, and the scores were further elevated in the IMQ+RGFP966 group compared to the IMQ group. Skin thickness measurements showed a trend of IMQ+RGFP966>IMQ>Control. The numbers of neutrophils in the blood and lymph nodes increased sequentially in the Control, IMQ, and IMQ+RGFP966 groups, with a similar trend observed for CD4⁺ and CD8⁺ T lymphocytes in the blood. In skin tissues, compared with the Control group, the mRNA and protein levels of HDAC3 decreased in the IMQ group, but RGFP966 did not further reduce these expressions. HDAC3 was primarily located in the nucleus. Compared with the Control group, the nuclear HDAC3 content decreased in the skin tissues of the IMQ group, and RGFP966 further reduced nuclear HDAC3. Compared with the Control and IMQ groups, RGFP966 treatment decreased HDAC3 expression in splenic CD4⁺ and CD8⁺ T cells. RGFP966 treatment increased the expression of CCR6 and CCR8 in splenic CD4⁺ T cells and enhanced IL-17A secretion by peripheral blood and splenic CD4⁺ T lymphocytes. Additionally, compared with the IMQ group, RGFP966 reduced IL-10 protein levels and upregulated IL-17A expression in skin tissues. ConclusionRGFP966 exacerbates psoriatic-like inflammatory responses by inhibiting HDAC3, increasing the secretion of the cytokine IL-17A, and upregulating the expression of chemokines CCR8 and CCR6.

Objective: To reveal the therapeutic effects of moxibustion in collagen-induced arthritis (CIA) rat models using the combined analysis of plasma and synovial membrane lipidomic profiling and to enhance the understanding of how moxibustion affects lipid metabolism in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Methods: A total of 32 male Sprague-Dawley (SD) rats were randomly assigned to four groups: control, moxibustion control (MC), model, and moxibustion model (MM) groups, with 8 rats in each group. CIA was induced in SD rats by two immunizations. The paw volume was measured before the induction of CIA. Following induction, after assessing paw volume and arthritis index (AI) scores, the MC and MM groups received treatment at bilateral Shenshu (BL23) and Zusanli (ST36) acupoints for 10 min per acupoint. The intervention included three treatment courses, each spanning 6 d and followed by a 1-d interval. Paw volume and AI scores were assessed after each treatment course. After the completion of the three treatment courses, serum, plasma, synovial tissue, and ankle joint samples were collected. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) was employed to quantify the levels of interleukin (IL)-6 and tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α in serum. Hematoxylin and eosin (HE) staining was performed for histopathological examination of the ankle joint tissues. Meanwhile, ultra-high-performance liquid chromatography coupled with Q-Exactive Orbitrap mass spectrometry (UHPLC-Q-Exactive Orbitrap MS) was utilized to analyze the plasma and synovial tissue samples. In addition, multivariate statistical analysis was performed to identify differential lipid metabolites, and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway enrichment analysis was applied to explore metabolic pathways modulated by moxibustion therapy. Results: No significant difference in hind paw volume and AI scores was observed among the groups (P > 0.05). After CIA induction, model group showed increased hind paw volume and AI scores compared with control group (P < 0.05), which were significantly reduced after moxibustion treatment in MM group compared with model group (P < 0.05). The levels of IL-6 and TNF-α were significantly higher in model and MM groups compared with control group (P < 0.05), but were lower in MM group than those in model group (P < 0.05). Histopathological analysis showed improved cartilage and reduced inflammation in MM group. A total of 33 differential lipid metabolites in the plasma and 24 in the synovial membranes of CIA rat models were identified when compared with control group. Among these lipid metabolites, 31 in the plasma and all 24 in the synovial membranes were regulated by moxibustion treatment. Pathological analysis revealed upregulation of diacylglycerol (DG) and fatty acid (FA) levels, alongside downregulation of lysophosphatidylcholine (LPC), phosphatidylcholine (PC), and phosphatidylethanolamine (PE). Under physiological conditions, the treatment specifically reduced LPC and PC levels. Pathway enrichment analysis revealed that moxibustion predominantly affected α-linolenic acid, glycerophospholipid, and sphingolipid metabolism under pathological conditions. Under physiological conditions, the regulation was centered around α-linolenic acid and glycerophospholipid metabolism. Conclusion The RA rat models exhibited significant lipid metabolic disturbances. Moxibustion alleviated paw swelling, reduced AI scores, modulated inflammatory cytokine levels, and partially corrected the altered levels of multiple lipid metabolites. The potential metabolic pathways implicated in the regulation of lipid metabolism under both physiological and pathological conditions include α-linolenic acid, glycerophospholipid, and sphingolipid metabolism.

PURPOSE: Intertrochanteric fracture (ITF) classification is crucial for surgical decision-making. However, orthopedic trauma surgeons have shown lower accuracy in ITF classification than expected. The objective of this study was to utilize an artificial intelligence (AI) method to improve the accuracy of ITF classification. METHODS: We trained a network called YOLOX-SwinT, which is based on the You Only Look Once X (YOLOX) object detection network with Swin Transformer (SwinT) as the backbone architecture, using 762 radiographic ITF examinations as the training set. Subsequently, we recruited 5 senior orthopedic trauma surgeons (SOTS) and 5 junior orthopedic trauma surgeons (JOTS) to classify the 85 original images in the test set, as well as the images with the prediction results of the network model in sequence. Statistical analysis was performed using the SPSS 20.0 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA) to compare the differences among the SOTS, JOTS, SOTS + AI, JOTS + AI, SOTS + JOTS, and SOTS + JOTS + AI groups. All images were classified according to the AO/OTA 2018 classification system by 2 experienced trauma surgeons and verified by another expert in this field. Based on the actual clinical needs, after discussion, we integrated 8 subgroups into 5 new subgroups, and the dataset was divided into training, validation, and test sets by the ratio of 8:1:1. RESULTS: The mean average precision at the intersection over union (IoU) of 0.5 (mAP50) for subgroup detection reached 90.29%. The classification accuracy values of SOTS, JOTS, SOTS + AI, and JOTS + AI groups were 56.24% ± 4.02%, 35.29% ± 18.07%, 79.53% ± 7.14%, and 71.53% ± 5.22%, respectively. The paired t-test results showed that the difference between the SOTS and SOTS + AI groups was statistically significant, as well as the difference between the JOTS and JOTS + AI groups, and the SOTS + JOTS and SOTS + JOTS + AI groups. Moreover, the difference between the SOTS + JOTS and SOTS + JOTS + AI groups in each subgroup was statistically significant, with all p < 0.05. The independent samples t-test results showed that the difference between the SOTS and JOTS groups was statistically significant, while the difference between the SOTS + AI and JOTS + AI groups was not statistically significant. With the assistance of AI, the subgroup classification accuracy of both SOTS and JOTS was significantly improved, and JOTS achieved the same level as SOTS. CONCLUSION In conclusion, the YOLOX-SwinT network algorithm enhances the accuracy of AO/OTA subgroups classification of ITF by orthopedic trauma surgeons.
Humans ; Hip Fractures/diagnostic imaging* ; Orthopedic Surgeons ; Algorithms ; Artificial Intelligence

PURPOSE: Early mortality in major trauma has decreased, but MODS remains a leading cause of poor outcomes, driven by trauma-induced cytokine storms that exacerbate injuries and organ damage. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included 79 major trauma patients (ISS >15) treated in the National Center for Trauma Medicine, Peking University People's Hospital, from September 1, 2021, to July 31, 2023. Patients (1) with ISS >15 (according to AIS 2015), (2) aged 15-80 years, (3) admitted within 6 h of injury, (4) having no prior treatment before admission, were included. Exclusion criteria were (1) GCS score <9 or AIS score ≥3 for TBI, (2) confirmed infection, infectious disease, or high infection risk, (3) pregnancy, (4) severe primary diseases affecting survival, (5) recent use of immunosuppressive or cytotoxic drugs within the past 6 months, (6) psychiatric patients, (7) participation in other clinical trials within the past 30 days, (8) patients with incomplete data or missing blood samples. Admission serum inflammatory cytokines and pathophysiological data were analyzed to develop machine learning models predicting MODS within 7 days. LR, DR, RF, SVM, NB, and XGBoost were evaluated based on the area under the AUROC. The SHAP method was used to interpret results. RESULTS: This study enrolled 79 patients with major trauma, and the median (Q₁, Q₃) age was 51 (35, 59) years (52 males, 65.8%). The inflammatory cytokine data were collected for all participants. Among these patients, 35 (44.3%) developed MODS, and 44 (55.7%) did not. Additionally, 2 patients (2.5%) from the MODS group succumbed. The logistic regression model showed strong performance in predicting MODS. Ten key cytokines, IL-18, Eotaxin, MCP-4, IP-10, CXCL12, MIP-3α, MCP-1, IL-1RA, Cystatin C, and MRP8/14 were identified as critical to the trauma-induced cytokine storm and MODS development. Early elevation of these cytokines achieved high predictive accuracy, with an AUROC of 0.887 (95% CI 0.813-0.976). CONCLUSION Trauma-induced cytokine storms are strongly associated with MODS. Early identification of inflammatory cytokine changes enables better prediction and timely interventions to improve outcomes.
Humans ; Prospective Studies ; Middle Aged ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; Aged ; Cytokine Release Syndrome/etiology* ; Adolescent ; Young Adult ; Aged, 80 and over ; Wounds and Injuries/complications* ; Cytokines/blood* ; Multiple Organ Failure/diagnosis* ; Machine Learning