1.Effect of icariin-containing serum on lipopolysaccharide-induced inflammatory damage in human chondrocytes
Linzhen LI ; Hongzhuo JIAO ; Weinan CHEN ; Mingzhe ZHANG ; Jianlong WANG ; Juntao ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(6):1368-1374
BACKGROUND:Previous studies of the research group have found that icariin-containing serum can delay the progression of knee osteoarthritis,promote chondrocyte proliferation and stem cell cartilage differentiation in rats,but there is still a lack of sufficient basis for clinical application.OBJECTIVE:To investigate the repair effect of icariin-containing serum on lipopolysaccharide-induced inflammatory damage of human chondrocytes.METHODS:The effect of icariin-containing serum on chondrocyte viability was detected by cell counting kit-8 method,and the optimal volume fraction and time of icariin-containing serum were screened.The cells were then divided into blank group,lipopolysaccharide group,icariin-containing serum group and lipopolysaccharide+icariin-containing serum group.After grouping,immunofluorescence was used to detect the secretion of type Ⅱ collagen in chondrocytes in each group.Real-time PCR was used to detect the expression of related genes.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)Icariin-containing serum showed good biosafety characteristics for human chondrocytes,and the cell viability reached the highest level after 48 hours of intervention when the icariin-containing serum volume fraction was 15%,and the follow-up experiments were carried out according to the conditions.(2)Compared with the blank group,lipopolysaccharide significantly inhibited the expression of type Ⅱ collagen in chondrocytes,while icariin-containing serum showed a positive mobilization effect,which could effectively promote the secretion of type Ⅱ collagen in chondrocytes under normal and inflammatory conditions.(3)The mRNA expression of type Ⅱ collagen and Aggrecan in chondrocytes decreased significantly under lipopolysaccharide stimulation,and the mRNA expression levels of matrix metalloproteinase 13 and a disintegrin-like and metalloproteinase with thrombospondin motifs-5 increased significantly.Icariin-containing serum promoted the mRNA expression of type Ⅱ collagen in human chondrocytes under inflammatory conditions and reduced the mRNA expression of matrix metalloproteinase 13 and a disintegrin-like and metalloproteinase with thrombospondin motifs-5 in chondrocytes after lipopolysaccharide intervention.Therefore,these findings indicate that the icariin-containing serum has good safety for human chondrocytes and plays an important role in maintaining the normal physiological functions of chondrocytes,promoting the synthesis of extracellular matrix,and inhibiting the secretion of inflammatory factors.
2.Effect of icariin-containing serum on lipopolysaccharide-induced inflammatory damage in human chondrocytes
Linzhen LI ; Hongzhuo JIAO ; Weinan CHEN ; Mingzhe ZHANG ; Jianlong WANG ; Juntao ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(6):1368-1374
BACKGROUND:Previous studies of the research group have found that icariin-containing serum can delay the progression of knee osteoarthritis,promote chondrocyte proliferation and stem cell cartilage differentiation in rats,but there is still a lack of sufficient basis for clinical application.OBJECTIVE:To investigate the repair effect of icariin-containing serum on lipopolysaccharide-induced inflammatory damage of human chondrocytes.METHODS:The effect of icariin-containing serum on chondrocyte viability was detected by cell counting kit-8 method,and the optimal volume fraction and time of icariin-containing serum were screened.The cells were then divided into blank group,lipopolysaccharide group,icariin-containing serum group and lipopolysaccharide+icariin-containing serum group.After grouping,immunofluorescence was used to detect the secretion of type Ⅱ collagen in chondrocytes in each group.Real-time PCR was used to detect the expression of related genes.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)Icariin-containing serum showed good biosafety characteristics for human chondrocytes,and the cell viability reached the highest level after 48 hours of intervention when the icariin-containing serum volume fraction was 15%,and the follow-up experiments were carried out according to the conditions.(2)Compared with the blank group,lipopolysaccharide significantly inhibited the expression of type Ⅱ collagen in chondrocytes,while icariin-containing serum showed a positive mobilization effect,which could effectively promote the secretion of type Ⅱ collagen in chondrocytes under normal and inflammatory conditions.(3)The mRNA expression of type Ⅱ collagen and Aggrecan in chondrocytes decreased significantly under lipopolysaccharide stimulation,and the mRNA expression levels of matrix metalloproteinase 13 and a disintegrin-like and metalloproteinase with thrombospondin motifs-5 increased significantly.Icariin-containing serum promoted the mRNA expression of type Ⅱ collagen in human chondrocytes under inflammatory conditions and reduced the mRNA expression of matrix metalloproteinase 13 and a disintegrin-like and metalloproteinase with thrombospondin motifs-5 in chondrocytes after lipopolysaccharide intervention.Therefore,these findings indicate that the icariin-containing serum has good safety for human chondrocytes and plays an important role in maintaining the normal physiological functions of chondrocytes,promoting the synthesis of extracellular matrix,and inhibiting the secretion of inflammatory factors.
3.Development and Validation of a Clinically Actionable Prediction Model for Postoperative Pulmonary Complications in Cardiac Surgery: A Focus on Modifiable Risk Factors
Ruoxi LI ; Meice TIAN ; Chuangshi WANG ; Yujia HUANG ; Weinan CHEN ; Ya SONG ; Bomiao LIU ; Liu DU ; Xue FENG
Annals of Rehabilitation Medicine 2026;50(1):50-61
Objective:
To develop and validate a clinically actionable prediction model for postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) in cardiac surgery patients, focusing on modifiable preoperative risk factors amenable to targeted optimization.
Methods:
In this prospective observational cohort study, 492 adults undergoing open-chest cardiac surgery between August 15, 2023 and December 31, 2023 were analyzed. Prespecified predictors included gas exchange variables, pulmonary function, inspiratory muscle strength, and physical performance. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to develop the prediction model. Discrimination was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).
Results:
A total of 90 patients (14.1%) developed PPCs after surgery. Five independent predictors were identified: elevated arterial PaCO2 (odds ratio [OR] 1.12, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.00–1.26), oxygen desaturation (SpO2<93%) (OR 12.47, 95% CI 3.51–48.13), reduced gait speed (OR 0.17, 95% CI 0.04–0.71), lower FEV1/FVC ratio (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.92–1.00), and diminished inspiratory muscle strength (MIP % predicted) (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.92–0.99). The model demonstrated good discriminative ability with an AUC of 0.86 (95% CI 0.80–0.93) in the training cohort and 0.87 (95% CI 0.74–0.93) in the validation cohort.
Conclusion
This parsimonious model achieved high predictive accuracy using five modifiable physiological variables. By targeting abnormalities in gas exchange, pulmonary mechanics, muscle strength, and functional reserve, the model offers a practical tool to guide individualized prehabilitation strategies for reducing PPC risk in cardiac surgery patients.
4.A Mechanistic Framework of Exercise-induced Amelioration of Autism Spectrum Disorder via miR-132, miR-34a, and miR-146a
Xiao YANG ; Ya-Qi XUE ; Xin-Jian SHU ; Yan-Yan WANG ; Niu LIU
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2026;53(8):2210-2219
Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is a neurodevelopmental condition with a steadily rising global prevalence, yet effective pharmacological interventions remain notably limited, highlighting an urgent need for safe, accessible, and mechanism-based therapeutic strategies. Physical exercise has emerged as a promising non-pharmacological intervention that ameliorates both core symptoms—social communication deficits and restricted repetitive behaviors—and associated features including cognitive dysfunction and motor impairments, in children and adolescents with ASD. However, the molecular mechanisms mediating these beneficial effects remain incompletely defined, impeding the development of evidence-based exercise prescriptions and biomarker-driven rehabilitation protocols. MicroRNAs (miRNAs) are evolutionarily conserved small non-coding RNAs that post-transcriptionally regulate approximately 60% of protein-coding genes. Within the central nervous system, miRNAs orchestrate diverse neurobiological processes including neural progenitor proliferation, neuronal differentiation, dendritic spine morphogenesis, synaptic plasticity, and neuroinflammatory homeostasis. Notably, miRNAs are remarkably stable in biological fluids and can be packaged into extracellular vesicles, rendering them attractive candidates as both mechanistic mediators and non-invasive peripheral biomarkers. Among the hundreds of miRNAs expressed in the brain, three—miR-132, miR-34a, and miR-146a—have emerged as particularly relevant to ASD pathophysiology. This review focuses on these three miRNAs for the following reasons: miR-132 is a master regulator of activity-dependent synaptic plasticity through its modulation of BDNF/MeCP2/PTEN signaling and has been consistently downregulated in ASD prefrontal cortex; miR-34a functions as a pro-apoptotic factor that suppresses Bcl-2-mediated neuronal survival pathways and is upregulated in ASD cerebellum; and miR-146a serves as a key brake on neuroinflammation via TLR7/IRAK1 signaling and shows region-specific dysregulation in ASD temporal lobe. We first summarize evidence from human post-mortem brain tissues and ASD animal models demonstrating the consistent dysregulation of these three miRNAs. Notably, the pathological consequences of these miRNA alterations—impaired synaptic plasticity, excessive neuronal apoptosis, and sustained neuroinflammation—are interconnected and collectively contribute to the heterogeneous symptomatology of ASD. We then present a synthesis of emerging evidence demonstrating that various exercise modalities, including swimming, treadmill running, and voluntary wheel running, can concurrently reverse these ASD-like behavioral phenotypes and normalize the expression of the three key miRNAs. These data provide the first direct experimental evidence linking exercise-induced miRNA modulation to ASD symptom improvement. On the basis of these findings, we propose an integrative “exercise-miRNA-ASD” framework wherein exercise functions as a multi-targeted modulator—simultaneously enhancing synaptic plasticity, promoting neuronal survival, and attenuating neuroinflammation—through coordinated regulation of the three miRNAs. Importantly, this framework is not merely descriptive but offers testable predictions: exercise-induced miRNA changes should be dose-dependent, show temporal correlation with behavioral improvements, and be blunted by miRNA-specific antagonists or CRISPR/Cas9-mediated knockout. Beyond its specific application to ASD, this framework has broader implications. The miR-132/BDNF, miR-34a/Bcl-2, and miR-146a/TLR7 pathways are not ASD-specific but represent fundamental neural stress and repair mechanisms that are dysregulated across Alzheimer’s disease (AD), traumatic brain injury, Parkinson’s disease (PD), and major depressive disorder. Exercise has been shown to modulate these same miRNAs in several of these conditions, suggesting that the “exercise-miRNA-neural function” axis may represent a conserved neuroprotective mechanism that transcends diagnostic boundaries. Thus, we propose that ASD serves as an ideal model disease for elucidating this universal mechanism, with findings potentially generalizable to other neurological disorders. We also critically evaluate current translational barriers: the near-absence of human clinical trials with serial miRNA profiling; the undefined dose-response relationships between exercise parameters and miRNA expression; the unresolved causality issue (current evidence demonstrates association, not causation); and the uncertain correlation between peripheral exosomal miRNA levels and brain miRNA dynamics. We argue that future research must prioritize CRISPR/Cas9-based miRNA manipulation in animal models combined with longitudinal exercise interventions to establish causality, and that cross-disease validation studies are essential to determine whether exercise-induced miRNA changes represent a shared neuroprotective signature or disease-specific responses. Ultimately, we envision a paradigm where a simple blood test measuring exosomal miR-132, miR-34a, and miR-146a levels could guide personalized exercise prescriptions, enabling precision rehabilitation for individuals with ASD and potentially other neurological conditions.
5.Inhibitory effect of ferroptosis inhibitor toxicity induced by cobalt nanoparticles through reactive oxygen species
Chen WANG ; Weinan ZHANG ; Jining SHEN ; Fan LIU ; Jishan YUAN ; Yake LIU
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2025;29(34):7310-7317
BACKGROUND:Soft tissue damage induced by cobalt nanoparticles is currently the most noticeable complication in patients with artificial joint prostheses.Therefore,an effective therapeutic strategy is needed to limit the toxicity of cobalt nanoparticles.OBJECTIVE:To investigate the protective effect of a ferroptosis inhibitor on cobalt nanoparticles-induced cytotoxicity.METHODS:To evaluate the detoxification effect of ferroptosis inhibitor on mouse fibroblasts(Balb/3T3),Balb/3T3 cells were treated with cobalt nanoparticles and ferroptosis inhibitor for 24 hours.The cell viabilities were measured by cell viability assay.Based on the results of the cell viability assay,the concentrations of cobalt nanoparticles and deferiprone were determined.The experiment was divided into four groups:the cobalt nanoparticles group(400 μmol/L cobalt nanoparticles),the cobalt nanoparticles+deferiprone group(400 μmol/L cobalt nanoparticles and 25 μmol/L deferiprone),the deferiprone group(25 μmol/L deferiprone),and the control group.The expressions of glutathione peroxidase 4 and solute carrier family 7 member 11 protein were examined by western blot assay.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)The cell viability assay results showed that as the exposure time or the drug concentration increased,cell viability decreased further,indicating that the cytotoxic effect of cobalt nanoparticles was time-and dose-dependent.Additionally,after 24 hours of exposure,cobalt nanoparticles significantly reduced cell viability and glutathione levels compared with the control group(P<0.05).At the same time,compared with the control group,there was an increase in reactive oxygen species production,intracellular iron levels,and the expression of inflammatory cytokines such as tumor necrosis factor α,interleukin-1β,and interleukin-6.After the addition of deferiprone,compared with the cobalt nanoparticles group,cell viability significantly improved,and reactive oxygen species production,intracellular iron levels,and the expression of inflammatory cytokines(tumor necrosis factor α,interleukin-1β,and interleukin-6)significantly decreased(P<0.05).This demonstrated that deferiprone had a protective effect on cells exposed to cobalt nanoparticles.(2)Western blot assay results showed that cobalt nanoparticles reduced the expression of glutathione peroxidase 4 and solute carrier family 7 member 11 protein(P<0.05),while deferiprone inhibited this effect(P<0.05).(3)The above findings verify that cobalt nanoparticles are highly cytotoxic and ferroptosis inhibitor deferiprone has a detoxification effect on cytotoxicity induced by cobalt nanoparticles.Ferroptosis plays an important role in the process by which cobalt nanoparticles induce cytotoxicity.The inhibitory effect of ferroptosis inhibitors on the toxicity of cobalt nanoparticles may provide valuable insights for further research into the mechanisms of cobalt nanoparticle toxicity and potential detoxification strategies.
6.Clinical efficacy of autologous adipose-derived stem cell gel grafting in the treatment of depressed acne scars
Weinan GUO ; Junxia WANG ; Hui CHEN ; Junfeng HAO ; Bing LI ; Jingyi WEI ; Tao ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Dermatology 2025;58(2):167-169
Objective:To investigate the clinical efficacy of autologous adipose-derived stem cell gel (SVF-gel) grafting in the treatment of depressed acne scars.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on data collected from 28 patients who underwent SVF-gel grafting treatment for depressed acne scars in the Department of Dermatology, Xijing Hospital, Air Force Medical University from October 2018 to May 2021. There were 17 males and 11 females, aged 17 - 38 (26 ± 4.86) years. As for clinical types, 8 patients were diagnosed with boxcar acne scars, 14 with rolling acne scars, and 6 with acne scars with characteristics of the two types. The clinical acne scar weighted scale (ECCA scale) was used to evaluate the appearance improvement after the treatment, and patients′ subjective satisfaction scores and incidence of adverse reactions were recorded.Results:After the SVF-gel grafting, the facial appearance of patients with depressed acne scars significantly improved, and the ECCA scores significantly decreased 6 months after surgery (before surgery: 52.5 ± 15.8 points; 6 months after surgery: 23.8 ± 10.2 points; t = 11.68, P < 0.001). The subjective satisfaction rate of patients was 82.14% (23/28), the incidence rate of adverse reactions was 17.86% (5/28), and 5 patients experienced mild inflammatory reactions after surgery, including 2 with subcutaneous nodules. The secondary grafting rate was 67.86% (19/28) . Conclusion:The SVF-gel grafting was markedly effective for the treatment of depressed acne scars, which is worthy of clinical promotion and application.
7.Similarity Between Young Fruits of Citrus aurantium'Changshan-huyou'and Aurantii Fructus Immaturus Based on HPLC Fingerprint and Chemometrics
Xiaoxiao WANG ; Weinan HU ; Jian WANG ; Jianli ZHENG ; Xiaofeng SHAO ; Fei LUO
Herald of Medicine 2025;44(2):273-280
Objective To explore the similarity between young fruits of Citrus aurantium'Changshan-huyou'and Pharmacopoeia origin Aurantii Fructus Immaturus.Methods The fingerprints of young fruits of Citrus aurantium'Changshan-huyou'and the Pharmacopoeia origin Aurantii Fructus Immaturus were established by high performance liquid chromatography(HPLC).The similarity analysis was carried out by using the software of Traditional Chinese medicine chromatographic fingerprint similarity evaluation system.The whole components of young fruit of Citrus aurantium'Changshan-huyou'and the Pharmacopoeia origin Aurantii Fructus Immaturus were compared by using chemometrics,and the 14 compounds were analyzed quantitatively.Results ①The results of similarity and cluster analysis were affected by the origin and producing area,for example,the similarity between citrus sinensis(L.)Osbeck and other origin was only 0.2,the similarity of citrus aurantium L.from different producing areas ranged from 0.802 to 0.986,with relative large dispersion;②young fruit of Citrus aurantium'Changshan-huyou',some citrus aurantium L.,citrus aurantium L.cv.Daidai,stink orange and citrus aurantium L.cv.Zhulan all belong to the same category,and the similarity was above 0.9;③VIP method screened out 21 common peaks that had important effects on quality,mainly including neohesperidin,naringin,umbellitin,tangeretin,hesperidin hydrate and hesperidin.The quantitative analysis results showed that Naringin and neohesperidin were abundant in young fruits of Citrus aurantium'Changshan-huyou'and Aurantii Fructus Immaturus,followed by hesperidin and naringin,there were significant differences in the content of principal components among Aurantii Fructus Immaturus from different origins,especially in citrus sinensis(L.)Osbeck,the young fruits of Citrus aurantium'Changshan-huyou'was relatively stable.Conclusion The young fruits of Citrus aurantium'Changshan-huyou'had good similarity with most origin of Aurantii Fructus Immaturus,so it is feasible to be used as Aurantii Fructus Immaturus.
8.Inhibitory effect of ferroptosis inhibitor toxicity induced by cobalt nanoparticles through reactive oxygen species
Chen WANG ; Weinan ZHANG ; Jining SHEN ; Fan LIU ; Jishan YUAN ; Yake LIU
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2025;29(34):7310-7317
BACKGROUND:Soft tissue damage induced by cobalt nanoparticles is currently the most noticeable complication in patients with artificial joint prostheses.Therefore,an effective therapeutic strategy is needed to limit the toxicity of cobalt nanoparticles.OBJECTIVE:To investigate the protective effect of a ferroptosis inhibitor on cobalt nanoparticles-induced cytotoxicity.METHODS:To evaluate the detoxification effect of ferroptosis inhibitor on mouse fibroblasts(Balb/3T3),Balb/3T3 cells were treated with cobalt nanoparticles and ferroptosis inhibitor for 24 hours.The cell viabilities were measured by cell viability assay.Based on the results of the cell viability assay,the concentrations of cobalt nanoparticles and deferiprone were determined.The experiment was divided into four groups:the cobalt nanoparticles group(400 μmol/L cobalt nanoparticles),the cobalt nanoparticles+deferiprone group(400 μmol/L cobalt nanoparticles and 25 μmol/L deferiprone),the deferiprone group(25 μmol/L deferiprone),and the control group.The expressions of glutathione peroxidase 4 and solute carrier family 7 member 11 protein were examined by western blot assay.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)The cell viability assay results showed that as the exposure time or the drug concentration increased,cell viability decreased further,indicating that the cytotoxic effect of cobalt nanoparticles was time-and dose-dependent.Additionally,after 24 hours of exposure,cobalt nanoparticles significantly reduced cell viability and glutathione levels compared with the control group(P<0.05).At the same time,compared with the control group,there was an increase in reactive oxygen species production,intracellular iron levels,and the expression of inflammatory cytokines such as tumor necrosis factor α,interleukin-1β,and interleukin-6.After the addition of deferiprone,compared with the cobalt nanoparticles group,cell viability significantly improved,and reactive oxygen species production,intracellular iron levels,and the expression of inflammatory cytokines(tumor necrosis factor α,interleukin-1β,and interleukin-6)significantly decreased(P<0.05).This demonstrated that deferiprone had a protective effect on cells exposed to cobalt nanoparticles.(2)Western blot assay results showed that cobalt nanoparticles reduced the expression of glutathione peroxidase 4 and solute carrier family 7 member 11 protein(P<0.05),while deferiprone inhibited this effect(P<0.05).(3)The above findings verify that cobalt nanoparticles are highly cytotoxic and ferroptosis inhibitor deferiprone has a detoxification effect on cytotoxicity induced by cobalt nanoparticles.Ferroptosis plays an important role in the process by which cobalt nanoparticles induce cytotoxicity.The inhibitory effect of ferroptosis inhibitors on the toxicity of cobalt nanoparticles may provide valuable insights for further research into the mechanisms of cobalt nanoparticle toxicity and potential detoxification strategies.
9.Advances in the clinical treatment of osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures
Changjun CHEN ; Qingwei MA ; Lei ZHANG ; Qiuru WANG ; Dayong PENG ; Meng CHEN ; Yun YANG ; Kaining ZHANG ; Weinan ZENG ; Tingbin YAN
Journal of Chongqing Medical University 2025;50(4):488-495
Osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures(OVCFs)are common orthopedic conditions that can lead to spinal pain and deformity,which greatly affects the quality of life of patients.Currently,there are various treatment methods for OVCFs,but there is still a lack of standards for optimal treatment modalities.Therefore,this article introduces the current treatment methods and character-istics of epidemiology for OVCFs,in order to improve the awareness of this disease among clinicians and provide a reference for select-ing more appropriate treatment regimens.Conservative treatment measures,such as bracing and analgesia,are the basic treatment mea-sures for OVCFs,and anti-osteoporosis drugs play a crucial role in management.Minimally invasive procedures,including percutane-ous vertebroplasty and percutaneous balloon kyphoplasty,remain the primary surgical interventions,and traditional open surgeries are also an important part of treatment,such as anterior spinal fusion,combined anterior and posterior spinal fusion,posterior spinal fusion with three-column osteotomy,and posterior spinal fusion with vertebroplasty.Furthermore,surgeons should focus on the accumulation of related surgical techniques and skills during surgery to effectively address the challenges and complications associated with surgical interventions.Finally,scientific and appropriate treatment methods should be selected for patients,in order to improve long-term treat-ment outcomes and increase the degree of satisfaction among pa-tients.
10.Construction and effectiveness assessment of a Harvard cancer index-based predictive model for perioperative venous thromboembolism in elderly patients with femoral neck fracture
Yifeng GUO ; Bingdu TONG ; Xin GUO ; Tingting GUO ; Yuchen MA ; Na GAO ; Xuan WANG ; Weinan LIU ; Xiaopeng HUO ; Yaping CHEN
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2025;41(5):501-509
Objective:To construct a Harvard cancer index-based risk predictive model for perioperative venous thromboembolism (VTE) in elderly patients with femoral neck fracture and assess its predictive effectiveness.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 610 elderly patients with femoral neck fracture admitted to Peking Union Medical College Hospital between January 2013 and December 2022, including 193 males and 417 females, aged 60-99 years [(77.3±9.0)years]. The patients were divided into VTE group ( n=125) and non-VTE group ( n=485) according to occurrence of VTE during the perioperative period. The two groups were compared in terms of gender, age, body mass index, smoking status, alcohol consumption, time from fracture to admission, surgical waiting time, comorbidities, perioperative electrolyte disorders, past or present history of malignancy, past history of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) or pulmonary embolism (PE), and preoperative use of oral anticoagulants. Univariate analysis and multivariable stepwise Logistic regression analysis were conducted to evaluate and identify independent risk factors for perioperative VTE in elderly patients with femoral neck fracture. A perioperative VTE risk predictive model for elderly patients with femoral neck fracture was constructed using the Harvard cancer index: (1) assigning a risk score to each variable according to the corresponding conversion criteria of the Harvard cancer index and risk score, based on the magnitude of their ORs; (2) determining the exposure rate of each risk factor based on the population distribution observed in this study; (3) calculating the average population risk score; (4) computing the individual VTE risk score; (5) deriving the ratio (X) of each individual ′s VTE risk score to the population average. Based on the Harvard cancer index classification criteria for disease risk levels, individual VTE risk categories were determined. The predictive performance of the risk stratification was evaluated by comparing the incidence of VTE across different risk levels. The predictive performance of the model was evaluated based on sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). The calibration of the model was assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) test and internal validation was performed using the bootstrap resampling method with 1000 iterations. Results:Univariate analysis showed that gender, age, time from fracture to admission, surgical waiting time, previous cerebral infarction, stroke within the past month, Alzheimer′s disease, primary Parkinson′s syndrome, hysterectomy with bilateral adnexectomy, perioperative electrolyte disorders, history of DVT or PE, and preoperative use of oral anticoagulant drug were moderately associated with the occurrence of VTE in elderly patients with femoral neck fracture ( P<0.10). Multivariable stepwise logistic regression analysis demonstrated that female gender ( OR=2.26, 95% CI 1.34, 3.80, P<0.01), time from fracture to admission>1 day ( OR=3.70, 95% CI 2.24, 6.12, P<0.01), surgical waiting time>70 hours ( OR=2.06, 95% CI 1.29, 3.30, P<0.01), previous cerebral infarction ( OR=3.78, 95% CI 1.04, 13.76, P<0.05), stroke within the past month ( OR=11.57, 95% CI 1.21, 110.44, P<0.05), Alzheimer′s disease ( OR=3.26, 95% CI 1.12, 9.49, P<0.05), primary Parkinson ′s syndrome ( OR=3.47, 95% CI 1.22, 9.85, P<0.05), previous hysterectomy with bilateral adnexectomy ( OR=4.75, 95% CI 2.09, 10.80, P<0.01), perioperative electrolyte disorders ( OR=2.73, 95% CI 1.39, 5.35, P<0.01), and preoperative oral anticoagulant use ( OR=3.86, 95% CI 1.18, 12.67, P<0.05) were significantly associated with the occurrence of perioperative VTE in elderly patients with femoral neck fracture. Based on the above 10 risk factors, a perioperative VTE risk predictive model for elderly patients with femoral neck fracture was constructed with the Harvard cancer index. The formula was as follows: X=[10×(female gender)+25×(time from fracture to admission>1 day)+10×(surgical waiting time>70 hours)+25×(previous cerebral infarction)+50×(stroke within the past month)+25×(Alzheimer′s disease)+25×(primary Parkinson′s disease)+25×(previous hysterectomy with bilateral adnexectomy)+10×(perioperative electrolyte disorders)+25×(preoperative use of oral anticoagulant drug)]/33. Individualized VTE risk was classified into five levels: very low, low, moderate, high, and very high, with corresponding VTE rates of 4.8%, 11.8%, 14.9%, 32.3%, and 73.5%, respectively ( χ2=87.71, P<0.01). The VTE risk predictive model demonstrated an AUC of 0.74 (95% CI 0.69, 0.79, P<0.01), with a sensitivity of 63.2% and specificity of 74.8%. The H-L goodness-of-fit test indicated satisfactory model calibration ( P>0.05). The internal validation with the bootstrap method confirmed that the AUC remained 0.74. Conclusions:Female gender, time from fracture to admission>1 day, surgical waiting time>70 hours, previous cerebral infarction, stroke within the past month, Alzheimer′s disease, primary Parkinson′s syndrome, hysterectomy with bilateral adnexectomy, perioperative electrolyte disorders, and preoperative use of oral anticoagulant drug are independent risk factors for perioperative VTE in elderly patients with femoral neck fracture. Based on these factors, the perioperative VTE risk predictive model constructed using the Harvard cancer index demonstrates good clinical predictive value. Individualized VTE risk stratification can effectively identify high-, intermediate-, and low-risk populations, providing a valuable reference for tailoring anticoagulant prophylaxis strategies and enhancing postoperative surveillance.

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