1.Analysis of Bed Allocation and Utilization Efficiency of Hospitals in Shenzhen
Weilin ZHU ; Fang DU ; Liqun WU
Chinese Hospital Management 2024;44(4):66-69,73
Objective To analyze the allocation and utilization efficiency of hospital beds from 2017-2021,and to provide a reference for the optimal allocation of hospital bed resources in Shenzhen.Methods Descriptive statistics method,bed efficiency index and bed utilization model were used to evaluate the hospital bed allocation and utilization efficiency of Shenzhen hospitals for 5 years.Results The number of beds in Shenzhen increased every year,with the highest growth rate of 21.54%,and the number of beds per 1000 resident population increased from 3.04 in 2017 to 3.25 in 2021.From the bed efficiency index,all three types of hospitals(general hospitals,specialized hospitals,traditional Chinese medicine hospitals)in Shenzhen are operating at low efficiency.Government-run hospitals are operating at high efficiency except for 2020,while socially-run hospitals are operating at low efficiency for five years,with bed efficiency indexs below 0.4.From the bed utilization model,Shenzhen general hospitals are turnover hospitals,Chinese medicine hospitals are bed-pressure hospitals for the first two years and then turn into efficiency hospitals,and specialty hospitals are idle hospitals.The government-run hospitals were efficient hospitals for 5 years,while the socially-run hospitals were idle hospitals for 5 years.Conclusion It is necessary to reasonably allocate health resources to increase the number of beds,improve the ability of hospitals to admit and absorb patients,and improve the operational efficiency of beds;the improvement and upgrading of beds in various types of hospitals should be tailored to local conditions to promote the realization of the continuity of care by integrating the concept of health care.
2.Anatomical reconstruction of the deltoid ligament and medial migration calcaneal osteotomy for treatment of post-traumatic chronic medial ankle instability
Guodong SHEN ; Zhibin LAI ; Weilin LI ; Kangyong YANG ; Wenbo BAI ; Baoli ZOU ; Tiancheng DENG ; Yongzhan ZHU
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedic Trauma 2023;25(7):562-569
Objective:To evaluate the clinical effects of anatomical reconstruction of the deltoid ligament and medial migration calcaneal osteotomy in the treatment of chronic ankle instability after trauma.Methods:A retrospective study was conducted to analyze of the clinical data of 16 patients with chronic post-traumatic instability of the medial malleolus who had been treated at The Eighth Department of Orthopedics, Foshan Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine from December 2015 to February 2017. There were 14 males and 2 females with an age of (28.1±4.2) years. Seven left sides and 9 right sides were affected; the time from injury to operation was (8.9±2.4) months. Before operation, X-rays (anteroposterior, lateral and Saltzman views) and MRI of weight-bearing ankle were taken. All patients were treated by anatomical reconstruction of the deltoid ligament using the autologous semitendinosus and medial migration osteotomy of the calcaneus. The time for injury healing and occurrence of complications were recorded. The talus tilt angle, Meary angle, hindfoot valgus angle, visual analogue scale (VAS), and the American Orthopedic Foot & Ankle Society (AOFAS) ankle-hindfoot function score were compared between the preoperation and the last follow-up. The Sefton evaluation for efficacy in ankle ligament reconstruction was used to assess stability of the ankle joint.Results:Of this cohort, 14 patients were followed up for (16.4±4.9) months after operation and 2 patients lost to follow-up. The 14 patients all returned to normal physical activities 3 months after operation. All incisions healed at the first stage with no infection. One patient experienced pain at the site for harvest of the semitendinosus but the symptoms were relieved after rehabilitation treatment like massage and physical therapy. At the last follow-up, the talus tilt angle [1.0 (0.0, 2.0)°], Meary angle (1.4°±4.2°), hindfoot valgus angle (3.2°±2.4°), VAS score [0.5 (0.0, 1.0) points], and AOFAS ankle-hindfoot score [(89.2±6.1) points] were all significantly improved compared with the preoperative values [8.3°±1.8°, 0.8°±3.8°, 9.9°±3.4°, (5.7±2.5) points, and (49.6±9.8) points] (all P<0.05). According to the Sefton evaluation, the stability of the ankle joint was excellent in 9 cases, good in 4 cases, and fair in 1 case. Conclusion:In the treatment of chronic ankle instability after trauma, anatomical reconstruction of the deltoid ligament and medial migration calcaneal osteotomy is safe and effective, resulting in limited complications.
3.Mechanism of temperature on dengue fever transmission and impact of future temperature change on its transmission risk
Jianguo ZHAO ; Guanhao HE ; Jianpeng XIAO ; Guanghu ZHU ; Tao LIU ; Jianxiong HU ; Weilin ZENG ; Xing LI ; Zhoupeng REN ; Wenjun MA
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2022;39(3):309-314
Background Dengue fever is a mosquito-borne disease transmitted by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. Under the background of climate change, there are great challenges in the prevention and control of dengue fever, posing a serious health risk to the population. Objective To analyze the mechanism of temperature on dengue fever transmission and estimate the risk of dengue fever under different climate change scenarios by establishing a coupled human-mosquito dynamics model using Guangzhou as a research site, and to provide reference for adaptation to climate change. Methods Reported dengue fever cases and meteorological data from January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2019 in Guangzhou were collected from Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention and China Meteorological Data Service Centre, respectively. The temperature data under three Representative Concentration Pahtyway (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5) scenarios in 2030s (2031–2040), 2060s (2061–2070), and 2090s (2091–2099) were calculated by five general circulation models (GCMs) provided by the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. A dengue fever transmission dynamics (ELPSEI-SEIR) model was constructed to analyze the mechanism of temperature affecting dengue fever transmission by fitting the dengue fever epidemic trend from 2015–2019, and then the daily mean temperature under selected RCP scenarios for 2030s, 2060s, and 2090s was incorporated into the established dynamics model to predict the risk of dengue fever under different climate change scenarios in the future. Results From January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2019, a total of 4 234 cases of dengue fever were reported in Guangzhou, including 3741 local cases and 493 imported cases. The regression results showed that the model well fitted the dengue fever cases in Guangzhou from 2015 to 2019, and the coefficient of determination R2 to evaluate goodness of fit and the root mean squared error were 0.82 and 1.96, respectively. A U-shaped or inverted U-shaped relationship between temperature and mosquito habits could directly affect the number of mosquitoes and the transmission of dengue fever. We also found that temperature increase in most future scenarios could promote the transmission of dengue fever, and the epidemic period was significantly wider than the baseline stage. The epidemic of dengue fever would peak in the 2060s under the scenarios of RCP2.6 and RCP4.5. The estimated incidence of dengue fever was predicated to be highest in the 2030s and then decrease in the following years under RCP8.5, and in the 2090s, the incidence would decrease significantly, but the incidence peak would be earlier in each year, mainly from May to July. Conclusion Temperature can directly affect mosquito population and dengue fever transmission by affecting mosquito habits. The cases of dengue fever will increase under most climate scenarios in the future. However, the epidemic risk of dengue fever may be suppressed, and the epidemic season may be advanced under RCP8.5.
4.Expression of programmed death receptor ligand 2 protein in hepatocellular carcinoma and its relationship with clinicopathological features and prognosis of patients
Feng XIAO ; Renfei ZHU ; Weilin ZHOU ; Jingwen XIAO ; Chunyan GU
Cancer Research and Clinic 2022;34(4):255-259
Objective:To explore the expression of programmed death receptor ligand 2 (PD-L2) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and its relationship with clinicopathological features and prognosis of patients.Methods:The data of 344 patients with HCC who underwent surgery in the Third People's Hospital of Nantong from January 2008 to December 2016 were retrospectively analyzed. Taking HCC tissue samples to make the tissue microarray, and the expression of PD-L2 protein was detected by immunohistochemical method. The relationship between PD-L2 protein expression and clinicopathological features was analyzed. Kaplan-Meier method was used to analyze the overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) of patients, and the prognostic factors were analyzed by univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards model.Results:The positive expression rate of PD-L2 protein in 344 patients with HCC was 54.4% (187/344). The positive expression of PD-L2 protein was correlated with maximum tumor diameter >3 cm ( χ2 = 8.20, P < 0.01) and high histological grade ( χ2 = 9.46, P < 0.05); OS and DFS in PD-L2 positive expression group were worse than those in PD-L2 negative expression group (OS: P = 0.001; DFS: P = 0.015). PD-L2 positive expression was not an independent adverse influencing factor for OS and DFS (OS: HR = 1.321, 95% CI 0.955-1.829, P = 0.093; DFS: HR = 1.209, 95% CI 0.990-1.624, P = 0.209). Conclusions:PD-L2 is highly expressed in HCC tissues, which may be related to the degree of malignancy. PD-L2 is not an independent risk factor for the prognosis of HCC.
5.Influencing factors of anxiety and depression in patients with coronary heart disease after PCI
Weilin HE ; Ying ZHU ; Wei XIONG ; Yuqiong CHAI
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2022;28(35):4958-4962
Objective:To explore the influencing factors of anxiety and depression in patients with coronary heart disease after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), so as to provide theoretical basis for psychological intervention.Methods:This study was a cross-sectional study. From November 2021 to March 2022, 150 patients with coronary heart disease after PCI were selected from the Department of Cardiovascular, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University by convenience sampling. The patients were investigated with the General Information Questionnaire, Self-Rating Anxiety Scale (SAS), Self-Rating Depression Scale (SDS) and Social Support Rating Scale (SSRS). Pearson correlation was used to explore the relationship among anxiety, depression and social support in patients with coronary heart disease after PCI.Results:Among 150 patients with coronary heart disease after PCI, the total score of social support was 31.0 (28.0, 36.0), including 33 cases of anxiety (33/150, 22.0%), 47 cases of depression (47/150, 31.3%), and 27 cases of anxiety and depression (27/150, 18%). Pearson correlation analysis showed that the total score and each dimension score of SSRS of patients with coronary heart disease after PCI were negatively correlated with SAS and SDS scores ( P<0.05) . Conclusions:Patients with coronary heart disease after PCI are prone to anxiety and depression. While paying attention to patients' physical diseases, medical and nursing staff should pay attention to patients' psychological conditions, find negative emotions as early as possible and give targeted intervention and treatment.
6.The Predictive Values of Pretreatment Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) Score in Estimating Shortand Long-term Outcomes for Patients with Gastric Cancer Treated with Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy and Curative Gastrectomy
Hailong JIN ; Kankai ZHU ; Weilin WANG
Journal of Gastric Cancer 2021;21(2):155-168
Purpose:
Previous studies have demonstrated the usefulness of the controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score in nutritional assessment and survival prediction of patients with various malignancies. However, its value in advanced gastric cancer (GC) treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy and curative gastrectomy remains unclear.
Materials and Methods:
The CONUT score at different time points (pretreatment, preoperative, and postoperative) of 272 patients with advanced GC were retrospectively calculated from August 2004 to October 2015. The χ2 test or Mann-Whitney U test was used to estimate the relationships between the CONUT score and clinical characteristics as well as short-term outcomes, while the Cox proportional hazard model was used to estimate long-term outcomes. Survival curves were estimated by using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test.
Results:
The proportion of moderate or severe malnutrition among all patients was not significantly changed from pretreatment (13.5%) to pre-operation (11.7%) but increased dramatically postoperatively (47.5%). The pretreatment CONUT-high score (≥4) was significantly associated with older age (P=0.010), deeper tumor invasion (P=0.025), and lower pathological complete response rate (CONUT-high vs. CONUT-low: 1.2% vs. 6.6%, P=0.107). Pretreatment CONUT-high score patients had worse progression-free survival (P=0.032) and overall survival (OS) (P=0.026). Adjusted for pathologic node status, the pretreatment CONUT-high score was strongly associated with worse OS in pathologic nodepositive patients (P=0.039).
Conclusions
The pretreatment CONUT score might be a straightforward index for immunenutritional status assessment, while being a reliable prognostic indicator in patients with advanced GC receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy and curative gastrectomy. Moreover, lower pretreatment CONUT scores might indicate better chemotherapy responses.
7. Risk assessment and early warning of imported COVID-19 in 21 cities, Guangdong province
Jianxiong HU ; Tao LIU ; Jianpeng XIAO ; Guanhao HE ; Zuhua RONG ; Lihua YIN ; Donghua WAN ; Weilin ZENG ; Dexin GONG ; Lingchuan GUO ; Zhihua ZHU ; Lilian ZENG ; Min KANG ; Tie SONG ; Haojie ZHONG ; Jianfeng HE ; Limei SUN ; Yan LI ; Wenjun MA
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2020;41(5):658-662
Objective To assess the imported risk of COVID-19 in Guangdong province and its cities, and conduct early warning. Methods Data of reported COVID-19 cases and Baidu Migration Index of 21 cities in Guangdong province and other provinces of China as of February 25, 2020 were collected. The imported risk index of each city in Guangdong province were calculated, and then correlation analysis was performed between reported cases and the imported risk index to identify lag time. Finally, we classified the early warming levels of epidemic by imported risk index. Results A total of 1 347 confirmed cases were reported in Guangdong province, and 90.0% of the cases were clustered in the Pearl River Delta region. The average daily imported risk index of Guangdong was 44.03. Among the imported risk sources of each city, the highest risk of almost all cities came from Hubei province, except for Zhanjiang from Hainan province. In addition, the neighboring provinces of Guangdong province also had a greater impact. The correlation between the imported risk index with a lag of 4 days and the daily reported cases was the strongest (correlation coefficient: 0.73). The early warning base on cumulative 4-day risk of each city showed that Dongguan, Shenzhen, Zhongshan, Guangzhou, Foshan and Huizhou have high imported risks in the next 4 days, with imported risk indexes of 38.85, 21.59, 11.67, 11.25, 6.19 and 5.92, and the highest risk still comes from Hubei province. Conclusions Cities with a large number of migrants in Guangdong province have a higher risk of import. Hubei province and neighboring provinces in Guangdong province are the main source of the imported risk. Each city must strengthen the health management of migrants in high-risk provinces and reduce the imported risk of Guangdong province.
8. Comparison of two epidemic patterns of COVID-19 and evaluation of prevention and control effectiveness: an analysis based on Guangzhou and Wenzhou
Guanhao HE ; Zuhua RONG ; Jianxiong HU ; Tao LIU ; Jianpeng XIAO ; Lingchuan GUO ; Weilin ZENG ; Zhihua ZHU ; Dexin GONG ; Lihua YIN ; Donghua WAN ; Junle WU ; Min KANG ; Tie SONG ; Jianfeng HE ; Wenjun MA
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2020;41(0):E035-E035
Objective To compare the epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 in Guangzhou and Wenzhou, and evaluate the effectiveness of their prevention and control measures. Methods Data of COVID-19 cases reported in Guangzhou and Wenzhou as of 29 February, 2020 were collected. The incidence curves of COVID-19 in two cities were constructed. The real time reproduction number ( R t ) of COVID-19 in two cities was calculated respectively. Results A total of 346 and 465 confirmed COVID-19 cases were analysed in Guangzhou and Wenzhou, respectively. In two cities, most cases were aged 30-59 years (Guangzhou: 54.9%; Wenzhou: 70.3%). The incidence curve peaked on 27 January, 2020 in Guangzhou and on 26 January, 2020 in Wenzhou, then began to decline in both cities. The peaks of imported COVID-19 cases from Hubei occurred earlier than the peak of COVID-19 incidences in two cities, and the peak of imported cases from Hubei occurred earlier in Wenzhou than in Guangzhou. In early epidemic phase, imported cases were predominant in both cities, then the number of local cases increased and gradually took the dominance in Wenzhou. In Guangzhou, the imported cases was still predominant. Despite the different epidemic pattern, the R t and the number of COVID-19 cases declined after strict prevention and control measures were taken in Guangzhou and in Wenzhou. Conclusion The time and scale specific differences of imported COVID-19 resulted in different epidemic patterns in two cities, but the spread of the disease were effectively controlled after taking strict prevention and control measures.
9. Risk assessment of exported risk of novel coronavirus pneumonia from Hubei Province
Jianxiong HU ; Guanhao HE ; Tao LIU ; Jianpeng XIAO ; Zuhua RONG ; Lingchuan GUO ; Weilin ZENG ; Zhihua ZHU ; Dexin GONG ; Lihua YIN ; Donghua WAN ; Lilian ZENG ; Wenjun MA
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2020;54(0):E017-E017
Objective:
To evaluate the exported risk of novel coronavirus pneumonia (NCP) from Hubei Province and the imported risk in various provinces across China.
Methods:
Data of reported NCP cases and Baidu Migration Indexin all provinces of the country as of February 14, 2020 were collected. The correlation analysis between cumulative number of reported cases and the migration index from Hubei was performed, and the imported risks from Hubei to different provinces across China were further evaluated.
Results:
A total of 49 970 confirmed cases were reported nationwide, of which 37 884 were in Hubei Province. The average daily migration index from Hubei to other provinces was 312.09, Wuhan and other cities in Hubei were 117.95 and 194.16, respectively. The cumulative NCP cases of provinces was positively correlated with the migration index derived from Hubei province, also in Wuhan and other cities in Hubei, with correlation coefficients of 0.84, 0.84, and 0.81. In linear model, population migration from Hubei Province, Wuhan and other cities in Hubei account for 71.2%, 70.1%, and 66.3% of the variation, respectively. The period of high exported risk from Hubei occurred before January 27, of which the risks before January 23 mainly came from Wuhan, and then mainly from other cities in Hubei. Hunan Province, Henan Province and Guangdong Province ranked the top three in terms of cumulative imported risk (the cumulative risk indices were 58.61, 54.75 and 49.62 respectively).
Conclusion
The epidemic in each province was mainly caused by the importation of Hubei Province. Taking measures such as restricting the migration of population in Hubei Province and strengthening quarantine measures for immigrants from Hubei Province may greatly reduce the risk of continued spread of the epidemic.
10.Current situation analysis of publications on hierarchical diagnosis in China
Daopi LI ; Maoshan CHEN ; Xuefeng TANG ; Weilin ZHAO ; Xiaofeng ZHU
Chinese Journal of Medical Science Research Management 2018;31(1):49-53
Objective To explore the overall situation and development trend of the hierarchical diagnosis,to provide reference for further research direction.Methods Following databases,such as CBM,CNKI,Wanfang Database and VIP,were used to search for publications on this topic from the establishment of database to September 30th,2016.Bibliometric method was used to analyze these literatures,for instance periodical distribution,years,authors and regions;key words were taken into consideration.Results 243 literatures in total were included,the a number of publication is keep increasing every year.These papers were published in 91 kinds of journals,43.2 % of which were statis tical source journals.There were 221 first authors from 149 institutions distributed in 26 provinces and municipalities.There were only 18 core authors.The active regions of research were Beijing,Hubei,Sichuan and Shanghai.The research content mainly focused on two-way referral,utilization of medical service and medical insurance.Conclusions The quality of papers is low,research authors are widely distributed,the research strength is not strong enough.The research should be strengthened in extent and depth to transform the research outcomes to guide the actual practice.

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