1.Construction and validation of a risk prediction model for acute myocardial infarction complicated by malignant ventricular arrhythmias
Dongli SONG ; Shengnan LIU ; Shuo WU ; Jie GAO ; Xiao ZHANG ; Weikai CUI ; Yifan WANG ; Jiali WANG ; Yuguo CHEN
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2025;34(7):923-931
Objective:To analyze the risk factors for in-hospital malignant ventricular arrhythmia (MVA) in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and to construct and validate a risk prediction model.Methods:This study was a retrospective cohort study. Patients aged≥18 years who were admitted to Qilu Hospital of Shandong University with a diagnosis of AMI and underwent coronary angiography (CAG) from May 2016 to March 2023 were selected, and the patients' clinical routine test indicators and CAG results were collected. Univariate and bidirectional stepwise logistic regression were used to screen out the risk factors for constructing the best prediction model. The prediction model was constructed by combining the results of multivariate logistic regression. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test and ROC curve, calibration curve, and decision curve were drawn to evaluate the model. The nomogram was drawn to visualize the model, and the Bootstrap self-sampling method was used for internal validation. The ROC curve was drawn to evaluate the predictive performance of each risk factor and prediction model. Finally, a multicollinearity test was performed.Results:Among the 4 205 patients finally included in the study, 115 patients (2.735%) developed MVA during hospitalization. The predictive factors screened out included age (X1), diastolic blood pressure (X2), respiratory rate (X3), blood glucose (X4), serum potassium (X5), logarithmic NT-proBNP (X6), myocardial infarction type (NSTEMI=X7, unclassified=X8), J wave (X9), Killip grade (Ⅱ=X10, Ⅲ=X11, Ⅳ=X12), and the regression equation was ln(p/1-p)=-4.699+0.029×X1-0.012×X2+0.059×X3+0.148×X4-1.175×X5+0.866×X6-1.427×X7-0.475×X8+0.758×X9+0.294×X10+0.902×X11+1.815×X12. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the model was 0.855 (95% CI: 0.816-0.894), and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test ( χ2=14.178, P=0.077) and the calibration curve showed that the predicted probability was consistent with the actual probability. The probability threshold of 0% to 65% had a better clinical net benefit. The area under the internal validation ROC curve (AUC) was 0.855, 95% CI: 0.813-0.891. The prediction performance of the nine variables was stronger than that of any single variable. There was no multicollinearity between the variables. Conclusions:Age, diastolic blood pressure, respiratory rate, blood glucose, serum potassium, NT-proBNP, type of AMI, J wave, and Killip class are forecasting indicator for in-hospital MVA in AMI. The risk prediction model based on the above factors has good predictive performance.
2.Clinical application of Fastpass Scorpion suture passer for arthroscopic Bankart repair.
Wuyuan ZHENG ; Jiapeng ZHENG ; Dasheng LIN ; Yibo XIE ; Weikai XU ; Qingquan WU ; Qi XIAO ; Huiyun DENG ; Huixiang JIANG ; Guodong FENG
Chinese Journal of Reparative and Reconstructive Surgery 2023;37(5):538-544
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the effectiveness and advantages of using Fastpass Scorpion suture passer to stitch the inferior capsulolabral complex in arthroscopic Bankart repair compared with traditional arthroscopic suture shuttle.
METHODS:
The clinical data of 41 patients with Bankart lesion, who met the selection criteria and were admitted between August 2019 and October 2021, was retrospectively analyzed. Under arthroscopy, the inferior capsulolabral complex was stitched with Fastpass Scorpion suture passer in 27 patients (FS group) and with arthroscopic suture shuttle in 14 patients (ASS group). There was no significant difference between the two groups ( P>0.05) in gender, age, injured side, frequency of shoulder dislocation, time from first dislocation to operation, and preoperative Rowe score of shoulder. Taking successful suture and pull-tightening as the criteria for completion of repair, the number of patients that were repaired at 5∶00 to 6∶00 (<6:00) and 6∶00 to 7∶00 positions of the glenoid in the two groups was compared. The operation time, and the difference of Rowe shoulder score betwee pre- and post-operation, the occurrence of shoulder joint dislocation, the results of apprehension test, and the constituent ratio of recovery to the pre-injury movement level between the two groups at 1 year after operation.
RESULTS:
Both groups completed the repair at 5∶00 to 6∶00 (<6∶00), and the constituent ratio of patients completed at 6∶00 to 7∶00 was significantly greater in the FS group than in the ASS group ( P<0.05). The operation time was significantly shorter in the FS group than in the ASS group ( P<0.05). All incisions in the two groups healed by first intention. All patients were followed up 12-36 months (mean, 19.1 months). No anchor displacement or neurovascular injury occurred during follow-up. Rowe score of shoulder in the two groups significantly improved at 1 year after operation than preoperative scores ( P<0.05), and there was no significant difference in the difference of Rowe shoulder score between pre- and post-operation between the two groups ( P>0.05). At 1 year after operation, no re-dislocation occurred, and there was no significant difference in the apprehension test and the constituent ratio of recovery to the pre-injury movement level between the two groups ( P>0.05).
CONCLUSION
Compared with the arthroscopic suture shuttle, using Fastpass Scorpion suture passer to stitch the inferior capsulolabral complex in arthroscopic Bankart repair is more convenient, saves operation time, and has good effectiveness.
Humans
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Animals
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Arthroscopy/methods*
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Scorpions
;
Retrospective Studies
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Treatment Outcome
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Shoulder Dislocation/surgery*
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Sutures
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Equidae
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Shoulder Joint/surgery*
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Joint Instability/surgery*
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Suture Anchors
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Recurrence
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Range of Motion, Articular
3.Comparison of the predictive value of Padua and the IMPEDE assessment scores for venous thromboembolism in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma: A single institution experience.
Li Juan FANG ; Xiao Dong YAO ; Min Qiu LU ; Bin CHU ; Lei SHI ; Shao GAO ; Qiu Qing XIANG ; Yu Tong WANG ; Xi LIU ; Yue Hua DING ; Yuan CHEN ; Mengzhen WANG ; Xin ZHAO ; Weikai HU ; Kai SUN ; Li BAO
Chinese Journal of Hematology 2023;44(5):395-400
Objective: To compare the predictive efficacy of the two thrombosis risk assessment scores (Padua and IMPEDE scores) in venous thromboembolism (VTE) within 6 months in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) in China. Methods: This study reviewed the clinical data of 421 patients with NDMM hospitalized in Beijing Jishuitan Hospital from April 2014 to February 2022. The sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and Youden index of the two scores were calculated to quantify the thrombus risk assessment of VTE by the Padua and IMPEDE scores. The receiver operating characteristics curves of the two evaluation scores were drawn. Results: The incidence of VTE was 14.73%. The sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and Youden index of the Padua score were 100%, 0%, 14.7%, and 0% and that of the IMPEDE score was 79%, 44%, 49.2%, and 23%, respectively. The areas under the curve of Padua and IMPEDE risk assessment scores were 0.591 and 0.722, respectively. Conclusion: IMPEDE score is suitable for predicting VTE within 6 months in patients with NDMM.
Humans
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Venous Thromboembolism/etiology*
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Multiple Myeloma/diagnosis*
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Risk Assessment
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Risk Factors
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ROC Curve
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Retrospective Studies
4.Analysis of risk factors for reoperation after pancretoduodenectomy
Dong CHEN ; Weikai XIAO ; Liang DENG ; Jiaming LAI ; Baogang PENG ; Lijian LIANG
Chinese Journal of Hepatic Surgery(Electronic Edition) 2014;(1):29-32
Objective To investigate the risk factors for reoperation after pancreaticoduodenectomy (Whipple). Methods Clinical data of 339 patients who underwent Whipple in the First Afifliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University from January 2000 to December 2009 were analyzed retrospectively. The informed consents of all patients or relatives were obtained and the ethical committee approval was received. There were 206 males and 133 females with age ranging from 1 to 86 years old and the median age of 55 years old. According to whether the patients received reoperation after operation, they were divided into reoperation group (n=24) and non-reoperation group (n=315). The reoperation of patients and its risk factors were analyzed. The relations between reoperation and clinical parameters were analyzed using Chi-square test and the risk factors for reoperation were analyzed using Logistic regression analysis. Results The reoperation rate of patients was 7.1%(24/339). The main causes of reoperation included abdominal bleeding (n=8, 5 cases were complicated with pancreatic fistula), upper gastrointestinal bleeding (n=7, 2 cases were complicated with pancreatic ifstula), pancreatic ifstula complicated with abdominal infection (n=2), biliary leakage (n=1) and wound rupture (n=6). In 24 patients receiving reoperation, 9 cases were related with pancreatic ifstula. Four out of 5 death cases were with pancreatic ifstula. The reoperation was related to preoperative diabetes, intraoperative blood loss (χ2=5.588, 4.565;P<0.05). Preoperative diabetes, intraoperative blood loss>400 ml were independent risk factors for reoperation after Whipple (OR=5.80, 2.74; P<0.05). Conclusions The main causes of reoperation after Whipple are pancreatic ifstula and wound rupture. Preoperative diabetes, intraoperative blood loss>400 ml are independent risk factors for reoperation after Whipple.

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