1.The predictive analysis of dementia incidence, prevalence, and mortality in China from 2020 to 2040
Shihong WANG ; Yanfang HUANG ; Rudai CAO ; Weikai ZHANG ; Wenlong HUANG ; Danli KONG ; Yuanlin DING ; Haibing YU
Chinese Journal of Psychiatry 2024;57(10):653-660
Objective:To predict the incidence, prevalence, and mortality of dementia in China from 2020 to 2040.Methods:The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), incidence number, age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), prevalence number, age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), and death number of dementia in China from 1990 to 2019 were collected from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) database. We used the overall change rate and estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) to describe the epidemic situation of dementia and compared the trend of dementia between genders. A T-test was used to determine whether EAPC was statistically significant. Every five years, we divided the age into 17 groups to analyze the incidence, prevalence, and mortality of dementia. The prophet model predicted ASIR, ASPR, ASMR, incidence, prevalence, and death from dementia in China from 2020 to 2040.Results:The ASIR, ASPR, and ASMR of dementia showed an increasing trend from 1990 to 2019, with an average annual increase of 0.33%, 0.66%, and 0.15% ( t=10.13, 14.49 and 3.62, all P<0.05). The ASIR, ASPR, and ASMR in males increased faster annually than in females. In 2019, the number of incidence, prevalence, and death from dementia in groups aged≥80 years was the highest among all age groups (685 057 cases, 5 772 861 cases, and 217 827 cases). Prediction results of the prophet model showed that the ASIR, ASPR, and ASMR of dementia were further increased in China from 2020 to 2040, with an average annual increase of 0.55%, 0.78%, and 0.06% ( t=177.63, 161.21, and 7.91, all P<0.05). In 2040, the ASIR, ASPR, and ASMR will reach 117.72/10 5, 940.98/10 5, and 23.64/10 5, respectively. In addition, the number of incidence, prevalence, and death from dementia will show an upward trend from 2020 to 2040. In 2040, the incidence, prevalence, and death will reach 3 334 770 cases, 25 303 146 cases, and 590 138 cases, respectively. Conclusion:From 2020 to 2040, the ASIR, ASPR, ASMR, number of incident cases, number of prevalent cases, and number of deaths due to dementia in China will continue to grow.
2.Mechanism of glioma stem cells with high expression of PTPRZ1 inducing TAMs polarization to M2 immunosuppressive phenotype
Lele AN ; Ying YANG ; Qing LIU ; Feiyue DOU ; Lujing WANG ; Yue CHENG ; Chao WANG ; Qianying RUAN ; Lei ZHOU ; Haitao GUO ; Weikai KONG ; Xuegang LI ; Chuan LAN ; Fei LI ; Yu SHI
Journal of Army Medical University 2024;46(8):796-803
Objective To explore the effect of glioma stem cells with high expression of protein tyrosin phosphatase receptor type Z1 (PTPRZ1 )on the phenotypic polarization and phagocytosis of tumor-associated macrophages and its regulatory mechanism.Methods GSCs and non-stem tumor cells (NSTCs) were screened out from human glioblastoma (GBM) specimens using flow cytometry,and the PTPRZ1 expression in paired GSCs and NSTCs were detected.Human peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC)-derived CD14+monocytes were exposed to the conditioned medium from glioma cells or recombinant chemokine C-C motif ligand 20 (CCL20)for TAM polarization.Stable PTPRZ1 knockout GSCs (PTPRZ1-KO GSCs) were constructed using CRISPR/Cas9. TAM phagocytosis to GSCs,NSTCs,PTPRZ1-Control GSCs (PTPRZ1-Ctrl GSCs)and PTPRZ1-KO GSCs and the expression of immunosuppressive phenotype (M2) polarization marker CD163 were examined using flow cytometry.Differentially expressed genes (DEGs ) between paired GSCs and NSTCs were determined using a bulk RNA-sequencing dataset (GSE54791 )from Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO).A gene set informing worse outcome of patients with GBM was generated using The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA)-GBM cohort.By intersecting the aforementioned gene set with the gene set that encodes for human membrance proteins,the PTPRZ1 gene is obtained.Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA)was used for pathway enrichment analysis to compare the differentially regulated pathways between GBMs with high or low PTPRZ1 expression.Bulk RNA sequencing,qRT-PCR and Western blotting were used to identify the DEGs between PTPRZ1-KO GSCs and PTPRZ1-Ctrl GSCs.Results GSCs were more capable of escaping from TAM phagocytosis than NSTCs (P<0.05 )and had specifically up-regulated PTPRZ1 expression.PTPRZ1-KO significantly suppressed GSCs escaping from TAM phagocytosis (P<0.01 ). GBMs with high PTPRZ1 expression showed significant inhibition of pathways mediating phagocytosis (P<0.05).The expression of CCL20 as a M2 TAM polarization chemokine was significantly down-regulated in PTPRZ1-KO GSCs (P<0.05 ).Treatment with recombinant CCL20 up-regulated the expression of CD163 as a M2 TAM marker in TAM.Conclusion PTPRZ1+GSCs mediate M2 TAM polarization and inhibit TAM phagocytosis,which may be related to the up-regulation of CCL20 in PTPRZ1+GSCs.
3.The predictive analysis of dementia incidence, prevalence, and mortality in China from 2020 to 2040
Shihong WANG ; Yanfang HUANG ; Rudai CAO ; Weikai ZHANG ; Wenlong HUANG ; Danli KONG ; Yuanlin DING ; Haibing YU
Chinese Journal of Psychiatry 2024;57(10):653-660
Objective:To predict the incidence, prevalence, and mortality of dementia in China from 2020 to 2040.Methods:The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), incidence number, age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), prevalence number, age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), and death number of dementia in China from 1990 to 2019 were collected from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) database. We used the overall change rate and estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) to describe the epidemic situation of dementia and compared the trend of dementia between genders. A T-test was used to determine whether EAPC was statistically significant. Every five years, we divided the age into 17 groups to analyze the incidence, prevalence, and mortality of dementia. The prophet model predicted ASIR, ASPR, ASMR, incidence, prevalence, and death from dementia in China from 2020 to 2040.Results:The ASIR, ASPR, and ASMR of dementia showed an increasing trend from 1990 to 2019, with an average annual increase of 0.33%, 0.66%, and 0.15% ( t=10.13, 14.49 and 3.62, all P<0.05). The ASIR, ASPR, and ASMR in males increased faster annually than in females. In 2019, the number of incidence, prevalence, and death from dementia in groups aged≥80 years was the highest among all age groups (685 057 cases, 5 772 861 cases, and 217 827 cases). Prediction results of the prophet model showed that the ASIR, ASPR, and ASMR of dementia were further increased in China from 2020 to 2040, with an average annual increase of 0.55%, 0.78%, and 0.06% ( t=177.63, 161.21, and 7.91, all P<0.05). In 2040, the ASIR, ASPR, and ASMR will reach 117.72/10 5, 940.98/10 5, and 23.64/10 5, respectively. In addition, the number of incidence, prevalence, and death from dementia will show an upward trend from 2020 to 2040. In 2040, the incidence, prevalence, and death will reach 3 334 770 cases, 25 303 146 cases, and 590 138 cases, respectively. Conclusion:From 2020 to 2040, the ASIR, ASPR, ASMR, number of incident cases, number of prevalent cases, and number of deaths due to dementia in China will continue to grow.

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