OBJECTIVE:Postoperative recurrence is a common complication of percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy for lumbar disc herniation,which can significantly increase the risk of reoperation.A well-performing risk prediction model can help identify high-risk groups early and prevent postoperative recurrence.This study systematically evaluated the risk prediction model for postoperative recurrence after percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy to provide a reference for surgical decision-making.METHODS:The PubMed,Embase,Web of Science,CNKI,WanFang Data,VIP,and CBM were electronically searched to collect studies on the recurrence risk prediction models after percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy from inception to July 1,2024.Two reviewers independently screened the literature and extracted data.The models' risk of bias,applicability,and report quality were assessed using prediction model risk of bias assessment tool(PROBAST)and Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis(TRIPOD)tools,respectively.Meta-analysis of postoperative recurrence rate of percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy and related predictors was performed using Revman 5.4 software.RESULTS:(1)A total of 15 studies were included,all of which were retrospective studies,including 24 models for predicting the risk of recurrence after percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy.(2)The PROBAST evaluation results indicated that all 15 studies exhibited a high risk of bias.Regarding applicability,two studies demonstrated a low risk,while 13 presented a high risk.(3)Regarding the TRIPOD reporting quality,the overall quality across the 15 studies was low.The primary reasons for this low compliance included the failure to report blinding,a lack of explanation for the sample size calculation method,lack of detailed description of missing data processing methods,and lack of information such as introduction to the model used.(4)Furthermore,the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the model ranged from 0.684 to 0.972,with the number of potential predictor variables varying from 15 to 28.(5)The results of meta-analysis showed that the postoperative recurrence rate of lumbar disc herniation patients treated with percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy was 12％(95％CI=9.0％-15.0％),Modic changes(OR=6.72,95％CI=3.90-11.59),body mass index(OR=1.28,95％CI=1.10-1.49),work intensity(OR=3.22,95％CI=1.85-5.59),age(OR=2.28,95％CI=1.50-3.48),and smoking history(OR=2.65,95％CI=1.75-4.00)were independent influencing factors for postoperative recurrence of percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy(all P＜0.05).CONCLUSION:The overall predictive performance of the recurrence risk prediction models after percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy is satisfactory;however,the model exhibits a high overall risk of bias and applicability,coupled with low reporting quality.Additionally,there is a lack of prospective research and external validation.Future,risk prediction models should consider factors such as Modic changes,body mass index,work intensity,age,and smoking history as potential predictors.

OBJECTIVE:Postoperative recurrence is a common complication of percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy for lumbar disc herniation,which can significantly increase the risk of reoperation.A well-performing risk prediction model can help identify high-risk groups early and prevent postoperative recurrence.This study systematically evaluated the risk prediction model for postoperative recurrence after percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy to provide a reference for surgical decision-making.METHODS:The PubMed,Embase,Web of Science,CNKI,WanFang Data,VIP,and CBM were electronically searched to collect studies on the recurrence risk prediction models after percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy from inception to July 1,2024.Two reviewers independently screened the literature and extracted data.The models' risk of bias,applicability,and report quality were assessed using prediction model risk of bias assessment tool(PROBAST)and Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis(TRIPOD)tools,respectively.Meta-analysis of postoperative recurrence rate of percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy and related predictors was performed using Revman 5.4 software.RESULTS:(1)A total of 15 studies were included,all of which were retrospective studies,including 24 models for predicting the risk of recurrence after percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy.(2)The PROBAST evaluation results indicated that all 15 studies exhibited a high risk of bias.Regarding applicability,two studies demonstrated a low risk,while 13 presented a high risk.(3)Regarding the TRIPOD reporting quality,the overall quality across the 15 studies was low.The primary reasons for this low compliance included the failure to report blinding,a lack of explanation for the sample size calculation method,lack of detailed description of missing data processing methods,and lack of information such as introduction to the model used.(4)Furthermore,the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the model ranged from 0.684 to 0.972,with the number of potential predictor variables varying from 15 to 28.(5)The results of meta-analysis showed that the postoperative recurrence rate of lumbar disc herniation patients treated with percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy was 12％(95％CI=9.0％-15.0％),Modic changes(OR=6.72,95％CI=3.90-11.59),body mass index(OR=1.28,95％CI=1.10-1.49),work intensity(OR=3.22,95％CI=1.85-5.59),age(OR=2.28,95％CI=1.50-3.48),and smoking history(OR=2.65,95％CI=1.75-4.00)were independent influencing factors for postoperative recurrence of percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy(all P＜0.05).CONCLUSION:The overall predictive performance of the recurrence risk prediction models after percutaneous endoscopic lumbar discectomy is satisfactory;however,the model exhibits a high overall risk of bias and applicability,coupled with low reporting quality.Additionally,there is a lack of prospective research and external validation.Future,risk prediction models should consider factors such as Modic changes,body mass index,work intensity,age,and smoking history as potential predictors.

Objective To explore factors associated with early postoperative hormonal remission in patients with prolactinoma and to develop prediction models based on clinical and radiological features. Methods Data from 107 patients with prolactinoma who underwent transsphenoidal surgery at The First People’s Hospital of Huai’an, Nanjing Medical University between January 2020 and December 2024 was collected, included general clinical characteristics, preoperative laboratory indicators, and imaging features. Based on whether early postoperative prolactin (PRL) levels normalized, patients were divided into a remission group (n=76) and a non-remission group (n=31). Univariate logistic regression was used for preliminary evaluation of candidate variables, followed by LASSO regression for feature selection. Multiple machine learning models were constructed, including logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine, K-nearest neighbors, naive Bayes, decision tree, neural network, and gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT). All models were trained and evaluated using ten-fold cross-validation, with comprehensive assessment of model performance based on the area under the ROC curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, and F1 score. Results The maximum diameter of tumors in the non remission group was larger than that in the remission group (P=0.019), and the incidence of tumor stroke and preoperative PRL levels were significantly higher than those in the remission group (P＜0.001). Univariate analysis showed that sex, maximum tumor diameter, tumor stroke, and preoperative PRL levels were influencing factors for early postoperative hormone response in patients with prolactinoma (P＜0.05). The comparison results of machine learning models show that the neural network model performs the best (AUC=0.921) and has good clinical application value, followed by the GBDT model (AUC=0.893) and the support vector machine model (AUC=0.884). Other models also show certain predictive ability. Conclusions Sex, preoperative PRL levels, maximum tumor diameter, Hounsfield unit value, and tumor stroke are important factors affecting early hormone response after prolactinoma surgery. The machine learning model constructed based on the above variables has good predictive performance, and performs the best and has good clinical application value.

Objective:To study the functional characteristics of protective,barrier,and controlled release of film forming pharmaceutical excipients in formulations,establish a method for measuring the properties of film forming pharmaceutical excipients,and evaluate their performance.Methods:By preparing free films of different film forming pharmaceutical excipients and referring to national standards and literature research systems,a testing sys-tem covering key indicators such as tensile strength and elongation,water vapor permeability,flexibility,and solu-bility was constructed.Results:Through comparative testing of multiple brands of excipients,all detection methods showed good discriminability and reproducibility,indicating the applicability and stability of the methods.Conclusion:Evaluating the properties of film forming pharmaceutical excipients through a successfully constructed method not only reveals the structure-activity relationship between material structure and functional characteristics,but also provides technical support for the construction of functional index databases for pharmaceutical excipients.This research result can be used to guide the development of new film forming pharmaceutical excipients and pro-vide experimental basis for industry standard setting,meeting the needs of drug research and quality supervision.

Objective:To investigate the risk factors of hypoparathyroidism (HPT) and hypocalcemia in patients undergoing total thyroidectomy (TT), and to explore the changes of parathyroid hormone and blood calcium after TT.Methods:The clinical data of 101 patients undergoing TT from November 2018 to September 2022 in the First Hospital of Hebei Medical University were retrospectively analyzed. The basic clinical data were recorded. The blood calcium and parathyroid hormone levels were measured before surgery and 1 d, 1 week after surgery. The occurrence of postoperative hypocalcemia was recorded. According to postoperative parathyroid hormone level, the patients were divided into control group (normal parathyroid function) and HPT group (reduced parathyroid hormone level). The patients with postoperative hypocalcemia symptoms were classified as the hypocalcemia symptoms group, and the patients without postoperative hypocalcemia symptoms were classified as the non-hypocalcemia symptoms group. Multivariate Logistic regression was used to analyze the independent risk factors of HPT and hypocalcemia in TT patients.Results:The postoperative parathyroid hormone level decreased in 41 cases (HPT group) and normal in 60 cases (control group). There were 24 patients with postoperative hypocalcemia symptoms (hypocalcemia symptoms group) and 77 patients without postoperative hypocalcemia symptoms (non-hypocalcemia symptoms group). The rate of using bipolar electric coagulation forceps in HPT group was significantly lower than that in control group: 31.71% (13/41) vs. 76.67% (46/60), while the rate of central lymph node dissection was significantly higher than that in control group: 82.93% (34/41) vs. 60.00% (36/60), and there were statistical differences ( P<0.01 and <0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis result showed that TT combined with unilateral or bilateral central lymph node dissection was an independent risk factor for HPT in TT patients ( OR = 1.706 and 1.501, 95% CI 1.019 to 2.856 and 1.052 to 2.140, P<0.05). The preoperative serum calcium, postoperative serum calcium and postoperative parathyroid hormone in hypocalcemia symptoms group were significantly lower than those in hypocalcemia symptoms group: (2.32 ± 0.11) mmol/L vs. (2.37 ± 0.11) mmol/L, (2.16 ± 0.21) mmol/L vs. (2.25 ± 0.18) mmol/L and 3.00 (1.00, 5.45) ng/L vs. 19.90 (8.50, 33.80) ng/L, and there were statistical differences ( P<0.05 or <0.01). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis result showed that postoperative parathyroid hormone was an independent risk factor of hypocalcemia symptoms in TT patients ( OR = 0.927, 95% CI 0.883 to 0.974, P<0.01). In patients with HPT, the blood calcium at 1 week after surgery was significantly lower than that at 1 d after surgery: (2.07 ± 0.19) mmol/L vs. (2.17 ± 0.25) mmol/L, and there was statistical difference ( t = 2.05, P<0.05); the parathyroid hormone at 1 week after surgery was significantly higher than that at 1 d after surgery: 8.30 (3.55, 19.55) ng/L vs. 3.60 (1.00, 6.85) ng/L, and there was statistical difference ( Z = - 3.78, P<0.01). Conclusions:When performing TT, standardizing the surgical techniques, reducing unnecessary central lymph node dissection, and using bipolar electric coagulation forceps as much as possible can help to reduce the occurrence of postoperative HPT. The levels of postoperative parathyroid hormone and blood calcium should be promptly detected, the change of both should be given attention, and do a good job in preventing and treating hypocalcemia.

Objective:To evaluate the efficacy of an etoposide (Vp16) -intensified conditioning regimen in allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) for the treatment of relapsed/refractory acute myeloid leukemia (AML).Method:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 27 recipients with relapsed/refractory AML who underwent allo-HSCT using a Vp16-intensified conditioning regimen at Aerospace Center Hospital from January 2019 to January 2022. Transplantation-related complications and treatment outcomes were observed. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to assess the overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) rates.Result:Among the 27 recipients, there were 14 males and 13 females, with a median age of 41 years (range: 12~55 years). Except for one recipient who experienced primary graft failure, the remaining 26 recipients achieved hematopoietic reconstitution. The median neutrophil and platelet engraftment times were 13 days (range: 9~20 days) and 13.5 days (range: 11~33 days), respectively. Regimen-related toxicity (RRT) was mainly gastrointestinal toxicity and oral mucositis, and no deaths were attributed to RRT. A total of 12 recipients (44.44%) developed acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD), of whom 3 cases (11.11%) had grade III~IV aGVHD. Chronic GVHD (cGVHD) occurred in 13 recipients (48.15%), including 8 cases (29.63%) of extensive cGVHD. The median follow-up time after transplantation was 17 months (range: 1~48 months). Fifteen recipients (55.56%) survived without disease, while 12 recipients (44.44%) died— 9 due to relapse and 3 due to transplant-related complications. The 1-year overall survival and DFS rates were 74.07% and 59.26%, respectively; the 2-year overall survival and DFS rates were 59.26% and 55.56%, respectively. The 2-year relapse rate and transplant-related mortality (TRM) were 33.33% and 11.11%, respectively.Conclusion:The Vp16-intensified conditioning regimen in allo-HSCT appears to be a viable treatment option for patients with relapsed/refractory AML, offering favorable efficacy and manageable safety.

Objective:To investigate the impact of plasmapheresis therapy on the clinical efficacy in predicted severe hypertriglyceridemia-associated acute pancreatitis (HTG-AP) patients.Methods:The clinical data of 500 HTG-AP patients admitted to 36 medical centers across China in the Chinese Acute Pancreatitis Clinical Trials Group-PERFORM database from November 2020 to June 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. Besides the inclusion and exclusion criteria from PERFORM study, patients who had acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHEⅡ) score ≥8 or CRP>150 mg/L on admission were included in the final analyses ( n=189). Patients were categorized into the plasmapheresis group ( n=51) and the routine treatment group ( n=138) according to the triglyceride-lowering therapies they received. General data, laboratory findings, AP severity, and clinical outcomes were recorded. Results:Patients undergoing plasmapheresis had higher initial triglyceride levels, APACHEⅡ score, SOFA score, and more organ failure than those receiving routine medical treatment. Results of multivariable logistic regression models showed that the plasmapheresis group, as compared to the routine treatment group, was neither associated with decreased risk of persistent organ failure within 14 days [54.9% (28/51) vs 37.7% (52/138), OR=0.89, 95% CI 0.36-2.21, P=0.810], nor with reduced incidence of organ failure on day 7 [17.7% (9/51) vs 15.9% (22/138), OR=0.60, 95% CI 0.19-1.88, P=0.378]. There was no significant difference on the dynamic changes of serum triglyceride within the first three days of admission ( P=0.108). Conclusions:Early plasmapheresis is not associated with reduced incidence of persistent organ failure in predicted severe HTG-AP patients.

Objective:To investigate the impact of plasmapheresis therapy on the clinical efficacy in predicted severe hypertriglyceridemia-associated acute pancreatitis (HTG-AP) patients.Methods:The clinical data of 500 HTG-AP patients admitted to 36 medical centers across China in the Chinese Acute Pancreatitis Clinical Trials Group-PERFORM database from November 2020 to June 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. Besides the inclusion and exclusion criteria from PERFORM study, patients who had acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHEⅡ) score ≥8 or CRP>150 mg/L on admission were included in the final analyses ( n=189). Patients were categorized into the plasmapheresis group ( n=51) and the routine treatment group ( n=138) according to the triglyceride-lowering therapies they received. General data, laboratory findings, AP severity, and clinical outcomes were recorded. Results:Patients undergoing plasmapheresis had higher initial triglyceride levels, APACHEⅡ score, SOFA score, and more organ failure than those receiving routine medical treatment. Results of multivariable logistic regression models showed that the plasmapheresis group, as compared to the routine treatment group, was neither associated with decreased risk of persistent organ failure within 14 days [54.9% (28/51) vs 37.7% (52/138), OR=0.89, 95% CI 0.36-2.21, P=0.810], nor with reduced incidence of organ failure on day 7 [17.7% (9/51) vs 15.9% (22/138), OR=0.60, 95% CI 0.19-1.88, P=0.378]. There was no significant difference on the dynamic changes of serum triglyceride within the first three days of admission ( P=0.108). Conclusions:Early plasmapheresis is not associated with reduced incidence of persistent organ failure in predicted severe HTG-AP patients.

Objective:To study the functional characteristics of protective,barrier,and controlled release of film forming pharmaceutical excipients in formulations,establish a method for measuring the properties of film forming pharmaceutical excipients,and evaluate their performance.Methods:By preparing free films of different film forming pharmaceutical excipients and referring to national standards and literature research systems,a testing sys-tem covering key indicators such as tensile strength and elongation,water vapor permeability,flexibility,and solu-bility was constructed.Results:Through comparative testing of multiple brands of excipients,all detection methods showed good discriminability and reproducibility,indicating the applicability and stability of the methods.Conclusion:Evaluating the properties of film forming pharmaceutical excipients through a successfully constructed method not only reveals the structure-activity relationship between material structure and functional characteristics,but also provides technical support for the construction of functional index databases for pharmaceutical excipients.This research result can be used to guide the development of new film forming pharmaceutical excipients and pro-vide experimental basis for industry standard setting,meeting the needs of drug research and quality supervision.

Ischemic stroke (IS) is a globally life-threatening disease. Presently, few therapeutic medicines are available for treating IS, and rt-PA is the only drug approved by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in the US. In fact, many agents showing excellent neuroprotection but no blood flow-improving activity in animals have not achieved ideal clinical efficacy, while thrombolytic drugs only improving blood flow without neuroprotection have limited their wider application. To address these challenges and meet the huge unmet clinical need, we have designed and identified a novel compound AAPB with dual effects of neuroprotection and cerebral blood flow improvement. AAPB significantly reduced cerebral infarction and neural function deficit in tMCAO rats, pMCAO rats, and IS rhesus monkeys, as well as displayed exceptional safety profiles and excellent pharmacokinetic properties in rats and dogs. AAPB has now entered phase I of clinical trials fighting IS in China.