1.Application of optimized combination prediction model in the prediction of hand, foot and mouth disease
Weijie TIAN ; Qian GAO ; Kun YANG ; Zhirong ZHAO ; Jian CHEN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):58-62
Objective To explore scientific and accurate prediction methods for the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in the post-pandemic era, and to address modeling challenges caused by abnormal fluctuations in case numbers from 2020 to 2023. Methods The seasonal index was used to pre-process the data. The traditional seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-ARIMA model, ARIMA-Long short-term memory (LSTM) model, and SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model were used to fit the incidence from 2013 to 2023, and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in 2024 was predicted. The real data collected in 2024 were used as the test set to compare the prediction performance of the models. Results The fitting performance of the constructed models was as follows: the ARIMA model had MAE=107.50 and RMSE=144.53, the SSA-ARIMA model showed MAE=2.84 and RMSE=4.33, the ARIMA-LSTM model achieved MAE=99.46 and RMSE=131.59, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model had MAE=96.35 and RMSE=132.13. In terms of prediction performance, the ARIMA model resulted in MAE=151.64 and RMSE=146.70, the SSA-ARIMA model demonstrated MAE=41.22 and RMSE=57.01, the ARIMA-LSTM model yielded MAE=220.75 and RMSE=257.89, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model recorded MAE=58.83 and RMSE=72.06. Conclusion The SSA-ARIMA model has the best fitting degree and the highest prediction accuracy, and is suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease.
2.The fluctuations of thyroid function in a childbearing-age-woman with Graves′ disease: One case report
Peiheng ZHANG ; Yu WANG ; Weijie SUN ; Yang ZHANG ; Huixia YANG ; Ying GAO
Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism 2025;41(3):237-241
In patients with Graves′ disease, repeated transition between hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism is uncommon. This report describes a female Graves′ disease patient with persistently high levels of thyroid-stimulating hormone receptor antibodies, who experienced multiple transitions between hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism over a 7-year follow-up period, including during pregnancy. The fluctuations may be linked to the interplay between thyroid-stimulating hormone receptor stimulating antibody(TSAb) and thyroid-stimulating hormone receptor blocking antibody(TBAb). Treatment with either antithyroid medications or levothyroxine sodium, based on the patient′s thyroid status, helped maintain normal thyroid function. Stable thyroid function may contribute to maintaining a consistent thyroid immune status and reducing thyroid function fluctuation.
3.A case report of neonatal hypothyroidism induced by high maternal thyroid stimulating hormone receptor antibody level during pregnancy
Tao BAI ; Weijie SUN ; Peiheng ZHANG ; Yang ZHANG ; Huixia YANG ; Ying GAO
Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism 2025;41(6):493-496
Maternal high titers of thyroid stimulating hormone receptor antibody(TRAb) during pregnancy can cause fetal and neonatal thyroid dysfunction, among which hypothyroidism is relatively rare. In this case, the woman was diagnosed with Hashimoto′s hypothyroidism prior to pregnancy and was treated with levothyroxine(LT 4) to maintain normal thyroid function throughout gestation. Despite normal maternal thyroid function, TRAb levels remained persistently elevated during pregnancy. The fetus showed a normal fetal thyroid circumference and heart rate, but no secondary ossification center was observed at 37 + 6 weeks of gestation. On the 9th day after birth, the neonate was diagnosed with congenital hypothyroidism and started on LT 4 replacement therapy. By 7 months of age, thyroid function had normalized, and LT 4 was discontinued. This case highlights the importance of close monitoring of fetal growth and neonatal thyroid function in pregnant women with high TRAb titers, to ensure timely detection and management of fetal and neonatal thyroid dysfunction.
4.Decoding the immune microenvironment of secondary chronic myelomonocytic leukemia due to diffuse large B-cell lymphoma with CD19 CAR-T failure by single-cell RNA-sequencing.
Xudong LI ; Hong HUANG ; Fang WANG ; Mengjia LI ; Binglei ZHANG ; Jianxiang SHI ; Yuke LIU ; Mengya GAO ; Mingxia SUN ; Haixia CAO ; Danfeng ZHANG ; Na SHEN ; Weijie CAO ; Zhilei BIAN ; Haizhou XING ; Wei LI ; Linping XU ; Shiyu ZUO ; Yongping SONG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(15):1866-1881
BACKGROUND:
Several studies have demonstrated the occurrence of secondary tumors as a rare but significant complication of chimeric antigen receptor T (CAR-T) cell therapy, underscoring the need for a detailed investigation. Given the limited variety of secondary tumor types reported to date, a comprehensive characterization of the various secondary tumors arising after CAR-T therapy is essential to understand the associated risks and to define the role of the immune microenvironment in malignant transformation. This study aims to characterize the immune microenvironment of a newly identified secondary tumor post-CAR-T therapy, to clarify its pathogenesis and potential therapeutic targets.
METHODS:
In this study, the bone marrow (BM) samples were collected by aspiration from the primary and secondary tumors before and after CD19 CAR-T treatment. The CD45 + BM cells were enriched with human CD45 microbeads. The CD45 + cells were then sent for 10× genomics single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) to identify cell populations. The Cell Ranger pipeline and CellChat were used for detailed analysis.
RESULTS:
In this study, a rare type of secondary chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) were reported in a patient with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) who had previously received CD19 CAR-T therapy. The scRNA-seq analysis revealed increased inflammatory cytokines, chemokines, and an immunosuppressive state of monocytes/macrophages, which may impair cytotoxic activity in both T and natural killer (NK) cells in secondary CMML before treatment. In contrast, their cytotoxicity was restored in secondary CMML after treatment.
CONCLUSIONS
This finding delineates a previously unrecognized type of secondary tumor, CMML, after CAR-T therapy and provide a framework for defining the immune microenvironment of secondary tumor occurrence after CAR-T therapy. In addition, the results provide a rationale for targeting macrophages to improve treatment strategies for CMML treatment.
Humans
;
Lymphoma, Large B-Cell, Diffuse/therapy*
;
Tumor Microenvironment/genetics*
;
Antigens, CD19/metabolism*
;
Leukemia, Myelomonocytic, Chronic/genetics*
;
Immunotherapy, Adoptive/adverse effects*
;
Male
;
Single-Cell Analysis/methods*
;
Female
;
Sequence Analysis, RNA/methods*
;
Receptors, Chimeric Antigen
;
Middle Aged
5.Correlation analysis of macular microvascular structure and intraocular fluidin patients with diabetic macular edema
Jie GAO ; Zhihui ZHAO ; Huiwen PANG ; Feng ZHANG ; Lei SUN ; Fanmin SUN ; Weijie ZHANG ; Tao WANG
Chinese Journal of Ocular Fundus Diseases 2025;41(5):343-348
Objective:To observe and analyze the correlation between the changes of macular microvascular structure and the level of intracocular fluid cytokines in patients with diabetic macular edema (DME).Methods:A prospective clinical study. From December 2022 to June 2024, 20 patients with 25 eyes of DME diagnosed by Department of Ophthalmology of Linyi People's Hospital were included in the study. Among them, 14 males had 17 eyes and 6 females had 8 eyes. Age was (55.08±10.34) years. Optical coherence tomography (OCT) and OCT angiography (OCTA) were used to scan the macular region at a range of 6 mm×6 mm. Central retinal thickness (CRT), blood flow density of superficial retinal capillary plexus (SCP) and area of fovea avascular zone (FAZ) were measured. The anterior aqueous humor was extracted before the first intravitreal injection of anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), the concentrations of interleukin (IL-6), IL-8, VEGF, vascular cell adhesion molecule (VCAM), placental growth factor (PLGF) and monocyte chemotactic protein-1 (MCP-1) were detected. The correlation between macular microvascular structure and aqueous humor cytokines was analyzed by Spearman correlation analysis.Results:The CRT of the affected eyes was (617.40±167.64) μm, the SCP flow density was (39.56±1.55)%, and the FAZ area was (0.46±0.13) mm 2. The concentrations of IL-6, IL-8, VEGF, VCAM, PLGF and MCP-1 in aqueous humor were (301.36±690.52), (29.15±20.56), (71.37±29.32) and (5 621.22±7 241.06), (72.40±13.43), (464.07±163.26) pg/ml, respectively. Correlation analysis showed that there was a significant positive correlation between CRT and the concentrations of aqueous cytokines VEGF and PLGF ( r=0.460, 0.462, P<0.05). FAZ area was positively correlated with VEGF and MCP-1 concentrations ( r=0.414, 0.465; P<0.05). There was a significant negative correlation between SCP blood flow density and IL-6 ( r=0.401, P<0.05). Conclusion:There was a significant correlation between the morphological structure of macular area and the damage degree of microvessels around macular area in DME patients and the concentration of aqueous cytokines.
6.Correlation analysis of macular microvascular structure and intraocular fluidin patients with diabetic macular edema
Jie GAO ; Zhihui ZHAO ; Huiwen PANG ; Feng ZHANG ; Lei SUN ; Fanmin SUN ; Weijie ZHANG ; Tao WANG
Chinese Journal of Ocular Fundus Diseases 2025;41(5):343-348
Objective:To observe and analyze the correlation between the changes of macular microvascular structure and the level of intracocular fluid cytokines in patients with diabetic macular edema (DME).Methods:A prospective clinical study. From December 2022 to June 2024, 20 patients with 25 eyes of DME diagnosed by Department of Ophthalmology of Linyi People's Hospital were included in the study. Among them, 14 males had 17 eyes and 6 females had 8 eyes. Age was (55.08±10.34) years. Optical coherence tomography (OCT) and OCT angiography (OCTA) were used to scan the macular region at a range of 6 mm×6 mm. Central retinal thickness (CRT), blood flow density of superficial retinal capillary plexus (SCP) and area of fovea avascular zone (FAZ) were measured. The anterior aqueous humor was extracted before the first intravitreal injection of anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), the concentrations of interleukin (IL-6), IL-8, VEGF, vascular cell adhesion molecule (VCAM), placental growth factor (PLGF) and monocyte chemotactic protein-1 (MCP-1) were detected. The correlation between macular microvascular structure and aqueous humor cytokines was analyzed by Spearman correlation analysis.Results:The CRT of the affected eyes was (617.40±167.64) μm, the SCP flow density was (39.56±1.55)%, and the FAZ area was (0.46±0.13) mm 2. The concentrations of IL-6, IL-8, VEGF, VCAM, PLGF and MCP-1 in aqueous humor were (301.36±690.52), (29.15±20.56), (71.37±29.32) and (5 621.22±7 241.06), (72.40±13.43), (464.07±163.26) pg/ml, respectively. Correlation analysis showed that there was a significant positive correlation between CRT and the concentrations of aqueous cytokines VEGF and PLGF ( r=0.460, 0.462, P<0.05). FAZ area was positively correlated with VEGF and MCP-1 concentrations ( r=0.414, 0.465; P<0.05). There was a significant negative correlation between SCP blood flow density and IL-6 ( r=0.401, P<0.05). Conclusion:There was a significant correlation between the morphological structure of macular area and the damage degree of microvessels around macular area in DME patients and the concentration of aqueous cytokines.
7.The fluctuations of thyroid function in a childbearing-age-woman with Graves′ disease: One case report
Peiheng ZHANG ; Yu WANG ; Weijie SUN ; Yang ZHANG ; Huixia YANG ; Ying GAO
Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism 2025;41(3):237-241
In patients with Graves′ disease, repeated transition between hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism is uncommon. This report describes a female Graves′ disease patient with persistently high levels of thyroid-stimulating hormone receptor antibodies, who experienced multiple transitions between hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism over a 7-year follow-up period, including during pregnancy. The fluctuations may be linked to the interplay between thyroid-stimulating hormone receptor stimulating antibody(TSAb) and thyroid-stimulating hormone receptor blocking antibody(TBAb). Treatment with either antithyroid medications or levothyroxine sodium, based on the patient′s thyroid status, helped maintain normal thyroid function. Stable thyroid function may contribute to maintaining a consistent thyroid immune status and reducing thyroid function fluctuation.
8.A case report of neonatal hypothyroidism induced by high maternal thyroid stimulating hormone receptor antibody level during pregnancy
Tao BAI ; Weijie SUN ; Peiheng ZHANG ; Yang ZHANG ; Huixia YANG ; Ying GAO
Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism 2025;41(6):493-496
Maternal high titers of thyroid stimulating hormone receptor antibody(TRAb) during pregnancy can cause fetal and neonatal thyroid dysfunction, among which hypothyroidism is relatively rare. In this case, the woman was diagnosed with Hashimoto′s hypothyroidism prior to pregnancy and was treated with levothyroxine(LT 4) to maintain normal thyroid function throughout gestation. Despite normal maternal thyroid function, TRAb levels remained persistently elevated during pregnancy. The fetus showed a normal fetal thyroid circumference and heart rate, but no secondary ossification center was observed at 37 + 6 weeks of gestation. On the 9th day after birth, the neonate was diagnosed with congenital hypothyroidism and started on LT 4 replacement therapy. By 7 months of age, thyroid function had normalized, and LT 4 was discontinued. This case highlights the importance of close monitoring of fetal growth and neonatal thyroid function in pregnant women with high TRAb titers, to ensure timely detection and management of fetal and neonatal thyroid dysfunction.
9.Effect of ultrasound-guided adductor canal block with bupivacaine liposome on analgesia in elderly patients undergoing total knee arthroplasty
Chao FAN ; Junhui ZHOU ; Quanpeng SUN ; Yongjie ZHANG ; Lixin QUAN ; Wei MEI ; Junwei GAO ; Weijie BAI ; Wenjie BO ; Ludan XU
Chinese Journal of Anesthesiology 2024;44(7):816-820
Objective:To evaluate the effect of ultrasound-guided adductor canal block with bupivacaine liposome on analgesia in elderly patients undergoing total knee arthroplasty.Methods:This was a prospective study. Sixty American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status classification Ⅱ or Ⅲ patients, regardless of gender, aged 65-83 yr, weighing 50-80 kg, scheduled for elective unilateral total knee arthroplasty under subarachnoid anesthesia from April 2023 to January 2024 in Zhengzhou Orthopaedic Hospital, were divided into 2 groups ( n=30 each) using a random number table method: bupivacaine liposome group (LB group) and ropivacaine group (R group). Ultrasound-guided adductor canal block was performed at 30 min before subarachnoid anesthesia, bupivacaine liposome diluent 20 ml (133 mg) was injected in LB group, and 0.5% ropivacaine 20 ml was injected in R group. Patient-controlled intravenous analgesia was performed after operation, and tramadol was used for rescue analgesia when the visual analogue scale (VAS) score ≥3. VAS scores at rest and during activity were recorded at 8, 12, 24, 48 and 72 h after surgery. The time to the first pressing analgesia pump and rescue analgesia were recorded within 72 h after surgery. The quadriceps muscle strength was measured at 1 day before surgery and 12, 24, 48 and 72 h after surgery. The knee joint range of motion was assessed at 1 day before surgery and 24, 48 and 72 h after surgery. Patient′s satisfaction with analgesia was recorded at 72 h after surgery. The adverse reactions within 72 h after surgery were also recorded. Results:Compared with R group, VAS scores at rest and during activity were significantly decreased at 12, 24, 48 and 72 h after surgery, the time to the first pressing analgesia pump was prolonged, the rate of rescue analgesia after surgery was decreased, the score for the patient′s satisfaction with analgesia was increased, the knee joint range of motion was increased ( P<0.05), and no significant change was found in the quadriceps muscle strength and incidence of adverse reactions in LB group ( P>0.05). Conclusions:Ultrasound-guided adductor canal block with bupivacaine liposome provides better analgesia than ropivacaine in elderly patients undergoing total knee arthroplasty.
10.The establishment of a random forest predictive model and analysis of influencing factors for psychological crisis among adolescent
Shan TENG ; Weijie WANG ; Huan GAO ; Jiubo ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Behavioral Medicine and Brain Science 2024;33(7):630-636
Objective:To establish a predictive model of psychological crisis based on the machine learning random forest algorithm, and to analyze the influencing factors of psychological crisis among adole scent.Methods:A total of 1 417 middle school students were surveyed using cluster sampling in two phases, in November 2020 and June 2021.Demographic data, symptom factors, protective factors were collected in the first investigation, and depression and suicide risk were measured in the second investigation. The criteria for psychological crisis were moderate to severe depression(depression score≥15) and high suicide risk(suicide risk score≥7) in the second measurement. SPSS 24.0 software was used for statistical analysis of variables, and the random forest machine learning predictive model for psychological crisis was established by using R version 4.1.1 software, and the high-estimating factors of adolescent psychological crisis were analyzed.Results:(1) The detection rate of moderate to severe depression was 10.02%(142/1 417), the detection rate of high suicide risk was 30.77%(436/1 417), and detection rate of the psychological crisis was 8.19%(116/1 417).(2) The sensitivity and specificity of psychological crisis prediction model were 0.79, 0.82, positive predictive value was 0.82, negative predictive value was 0.79, accuracy was 0.80 and area under curve was 0.88. (3) The top 10 characteristic variables of influencing factors of adolescent psychological crisis were depression, anxiety, suicidal ideation, self-harming behavior, cognitive flexibility-controllability, cognitive flexibility-selectivity, grit-persistence effort, grit-interest consistency, mother's mood and father's mood(model prediction accuracy was 0.023-0.163).Conclusions:The occurrence of adolescent psychological crisis is closely related to symptom factors, protective factors and parental emotions, and has the significance of predicting across time.The machine learning random forest algorithm can effectively identify psychological crisis individuals and identify sensitive crisis individual characteristics.


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