Objective To explore scientific and accurate prediction methods for the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in the post-pandemic era, and to address modeling challenges caused by abnormal fluctuations in case numbers from 2020 to 2023. Methods The seasonal index was used to pre-process the data. The traditional seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-ARIMA model, ARIMA-Long short-term memory (LSTM) model, and SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model were used to fit the incidence from 2013 to 2023, and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in 2024 was predicted. The real data collected in 2024 were used as the test set to compare the prediction performance of the models. Results The fitting performance of the constructed models was as follows: the ARIMA model had MAE=107.50 and RMSE=144.53, the SSA-ARIMA model showed MAE=2.84 and RMSE=4.33, the ARIMA-LSTM model achieved MAE=99.46 and RMSE=131.59, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model had MAE=96.35 and RMSE=132.13. In terms of prediction performance, the ARIMA model resulted in MAE=151.64 and RMSE=146.70, the SSA-ARIMA model demonstrated MAE=41.22 and RMSE=57.01, the ARIMA-LSTM model yielded MAE=220.75 and RMSE=257.89, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model recorded MAE=58.83 and RMSE=72.06. Conclusion The SSA-ARIMA model has the best fitting degree and the highest prediction accuracy, and is suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease.

Purpose: Lung cancer is frequently observed as a second primary malignancy following gastric cancer, yet the genetic causality between them remains uncertain. This study aims to evaluate the causal relationship between gastric and lung cancers using Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. Materials and Methods: Single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with gastric and lung cancers were selected from genome-wide association study in East Asian and European populations as instrumental variables. The causal effects between gastric and lung cancers were evaluated using univariable and multivariable MR analysis, with the inverse variance weighted (IVW) method serving as the primary criterion. Heterogeneity and sensitivity analyses were performed to ensure the robustness of the findings. Results: Univariable MR analysis demonstrated that genetic susceptibility to gastric cancer in the European population was significantly associated with an increased risk of lung cancer (IVW: odds ratio [OR], 1.285; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.072 to 1.541; p=6.83E-03), which was consistently validated in the East Asian population (IVW: OR, 1.356; 95% CI, 1.114 to 1.651; p=2.40E-03). Multivariable MR analysis further indicated that the significant positive causal relationship between gastric cancer and lung cancer persisted in both populations after adjusting for confounding factors (all p < 0.05). Conversely, no significant causal relationship was observed for the risk of developing gastric cancer following the diagnosis of lung cancer in either population (p > 0.05). Conclusion This study confirms that genetic susceptibility to gastric cancer increases the risk of lung cancer. This finding provides a theoretical basis for exploring the underlying biological mechanisms and suggests that enhancing lung cancer screening in patients with gastric cancer may be necessary to improve patient prognosis.

Objective To prepare a variety of quality control(QC)materials for SARS-CoV-2 variants as an addition to the conven-tional SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid QC products for the laboratory detection of mutant strains by optimizing the preparation and purification process of MS2 phage virus-like particle(VLP)technique,and evaluate their performances.Methods The typical mutation sequence fragments or full length S genes were designed and synthesized according to the genomic information of SARS-CoV-2 variants.Then,they were inserted into the downstream of maturase gene,coat protein and the pac-site of MS2 phage to construct a series of recombi-nant expression vectors.After induced by the prokaryotic expression system,the VLP products were purified through the polyethylenei-mine precipitation,ultrafiltration,nuclease digestion,and gel filtration chromatography.The obtained VLP were validated by the nucle-ic acid electrophoresis,protein electrophoresis,protein concentration determination,and fluorescence PCR,and their performances such as nucleic acid residue and stability were also evaluated.Results A total of 10 kinds of VLP containing the targeted sequences of the gene to be tested were prepared.The length of the foreign sequence wrapped in them ranged from 297 bp to 3 822 bp,which could be combined into a variety of QC materials for the mutation detection of different SARS-CoV-2 variants.The prepared VLP QC materials could not be effectively amplified without nucleic acid extraction or reverse transcription steps during the routine nucleic acid detection.The simulated QC samples remained stable after repeated freeze-thaw cycles.They could be stored stably for 2 months at 25 ℃ and 4 weeks at 37 ℃.Conclusion The established preparation and combined purification process of VLP QC materials can encapsulate vari-ous exogenous nucleic acid sequences with different lengths into the viral coat protein to form VLP,with high production efficiency.The VLP QC products prepared by the above process have stable performance and almost no residual exogenous nucleic acid,which can ef-fectively meet clinical requirements and ensure the quality of laboratory testing.

Objective:To construct a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model for life support equipment of hospital,so as to improve quality of management for equipment.Methods:Based on the operating status of life support equipment in Jiangmen Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital of Guangdong Province,a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model was constructed,and the indicators of different levels were set.The index weights were calculated according to the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP),and the equipment management strategy was formulated based on the evaluated results.A total of 98 life support equipment in clinical use in our hospital from January 2023 to July 2024 were selected.In them,49 equipment were managed under the conventional management mode,and the other 49 equipment were managed under the assessment system management mode of the kind of life support equipment based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model(model management mode)according to the random number table method.The timeliness,management effect and management efficiency of the two management modes for equipment were compared.A self-made satisfaction questionnaire was used to investigate the satisfaction scores of equipment engineers,clinicians and managers of relevant departments in usage management for equipment in the equipment usage of the two management modes.Results:The timeliness of equipment early warning,the timeliness of maintenance personnel's arrival,and the timeliness of proposing maintenance opinions were respectively(0.78±0.14)min,(5.14±2.11)min,and(10.69±3.11)min in the model management mode,all which were shorter than those in the conventional management mode,and the differences were statistically significant(t=16.697,11.857,16.117,P<0.05).The regular maintenance rate of equipment adopting the model management mode was higher than that adopting the conventional management mode,and the failure rate was lower than that adopting the conventional management mode,and the differences were statistically significant(x2=12.274,12.261,P<0.05),respectively.The maintenance time of the model management mode was shorter than that of the conventional management mode,and the operation and maintenance cost of the model management mode was lower than that of the conventional management mode,and the differences were statistically significant(t=17.451,12.707,P<0.05).The scores of management efficiencies of resource allocation,technical support,environmental guarantee and information infrastructure of the model management mode were all higher than those of the conventional management mode,and the differences were statistically significant(t=12.268,14.908,16.128,13.920,P<0.05).In usage management for equipment,the satisfaction scores of equipment engineers,clinicians and managers of relevant departments for equipment management adopting the model management mode were higher than those adopting the conventional management mode,and the differences were statistically significant(t=13.118,16.209,12.557,P<0.05).Conclusion:The assessment system of hospital for life support equipment based on the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model can enhance the quality of management and operation for equipment,and improve the service level of equipment,and increase the operational efficiency of equipment.

Objective Based on the finite element simulation analysis of the patient's torso-spine model and combined with theoretical calculation data,an individualized scoliosis orthosis was designed,and the effectiveness of the orthosis was verified through three-dimensional(3D)printing.Methods A patient with idiopathic scoliosis was chosen as the research object.Reverse engineering technology and computer-aided technology were used to establish the torso-spine model of the patient.The finite element method was used to analyze the model,and the optimal position and magnitude of the corrective force were determined by combining literature theory calculation.Based on this,an orthosis was designed.To verify the orthopedic effect,the patient's X-rays before and after wearing the orthosis were compared and evaluated,and the patient was followed up 6 months later.Results The optimal position and magnitude of the initial corrective force were determined through theoretical calculations and finite element simulations.Specifically,a 62.95 N corrective force applied to the L3 vertebral body and the left posterior region corresponding to the upper and lower intervertebral discs in the patient's lateral curvature segment of the spine to achieve the optimal orthopedic effect.On this basis,the orthosis was designed,followed by relevant experimental tests before and after wearing the designed orthosis.By comparing X-ray images of the patient before and after wearing the orthosis and combining them with follow-up data six months later,the optimized design of the orthosis met the expected clinical requirements for orthopedic effects.Conclusions The design of orthosis needs to be personalized according to the specific situation of patients with scoliosis.This study takes a patient with idiopathic scoliosis as the research object,providing new ideas and methods for the design of orthosis for patients with idiopathic scoliosis.

Objective To prepare a variety of quality control(QC)materials for SARS-CoV-2 variants as an addition to the conven-tional SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid QC products for the laboratory detection of mutant strains by optimizing the preparation and purification process of MS2 phage virus-like particle(VLP)technique,and evaluate their performances.Methods The typical mutation sequence fragments or full length S genes were designed and synthesized according to the genomic information of SARS-CoV-2 variants.Then,they were inserted into the downstream of maturase gene,coat protein and the pac-site of MS2 phage to construct a series of recombi-nant expression vectors.After induced by the prokaryotic expression system,the VLP products were purified through the polyethylenei-mine precipitation,ultrafiltration,nuclease digestion,and gel filtration chromatography.The obtained VLP were validated by the nucle-ic acid electrophoresis,protein electrophoresis,protein concentration determination,and fluorescence PCR,and their performances such as nucleic acid residue and stability were also evaluated.Results A total of 10 kinds of VLP containing the targeted sequences of the gene to be tested were prepared.The length of the foreign sequence wrapped in them ranged from 297 bp to 3 822 bp,which could be combined into a variety of QC materials for the mutation detection of different SARS-CoV-2 variants.The prepared VLP QC materials could not be effectively amplified without nucleic acid extraction or reverse transcription steps during the routine nucleic acid detection.The simulated QC samples remained stable after repeated freeze-thaw cycles.They could be stored stably for 2 months at 25 ℃ and 4 weeks at 37 ℃.Conclusion The established preparation and combined purification process of VLP QC materials can encapsulate vari-ous exogenous nucleic acid sequences with different lengths into the viral coat protein to form VLP,with high production efficiency.The VLP QC products prepared by the above process have stable performance and almost no residual exogenous nucleic acid,which can ef-fectively meet clinical requirements and ensure the quality of laboratory testing.

Objective:To evaluate the clinical features and risk factors of anastomotic leakage (AL) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) followed by laparoscopic radical resection and proctocol ostomy.Method:Clinicla data of LARC patients receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by laparoscopic radical resection and proctocol ostomy admitted to Peking Union Medical College Hospital between Jan 2019 and Oct 2023 was enrolled. According to the occurrence of AL, patients were divided into AL group and non-AL group.Results:After propersity matching score(PSM), there were 40 patients (33.4%) and 80 patients (66.6%) in the AL and non-AL group, respectively. The first-onset symptoms of AL were abnormal character and color of the drainage (23 cases, 57.5%) and fever (14 cases, 35.0%). About 82.5% of the AL were graded as B,and all 36 patients (90.0%) were managed consveratively by fully drainage anti-infection therapy. Logistic regression analysis indicated that tumor circumferential range more than 1/2 cycle ( OR=5.95, 95% CI:2.12-1.67, P=0.004), male ( OR=4.28, 95% CI:1.22-15.00, P=0.023) and high-ligation of Inferior mesenteric artery ( OR=8.08, 95% CI:1.86-37.78, P=0.006) were independent risk factors of AL. Conclusions:In this series, grade-B AL ranks the top of the incidence, and all were cured by conservative therapy. Special attention should be paid to those patients with the characteristics of male, tumor circumferential range more than 1/2 cycle, and high-ligation of inferior mesenteric artery.

Objective Based on the finite element simulation analysis of the patient's torso-spine model and combined with theoretical calculation data,an individualized scoliosis orthosis was designed,and the effectiveness of the orthosis was verified through three-dimensional(3D)printing.Methods A patient with idiopathic scoliosis was chosen as the research object.Reverse engineering technology and computer-aided technology were used to establish the torso-spine model of the patient.The finite element method was used to analyze the model,and the optimal position and magnitude of the corrective force were determined by combining literature theory calculation.Based on this,an orthosis was designed.To verify the orthopedic effect,the patient's X-rays before and after wearing the orthosis were compared and evaluated,and the patient was followed up 6 months later.Results The optimal position and magnitude of the initial corrective force were determined through theoretical calculations and finite element simulations.Specifically,a 62.95 N corrective force applied to the L3 vertebral body and the left posterior region corresponding to the upper and lower intervertebral discs in the patient's lateral curvature segment of the spine to achieve the optimal orthopedic effect.On this basis,the orthosis was designed,followed by relevant experimental tests before and after wearing the designed orthosis.By comparing X-ray images of the patient before and after wearing the orthosis and combining them with follow-up data six months later,the optimized design of the orthosis met the expected clinical requirements for orthopedic effects.Conclusions The design of orthosis needs to be personalized according to the specific situation of patients with scoliosis.This study takes a patient with idiopathic scoliosis as the research object,providing new ideas and methods for the design of orthosis for patients with idiopathic scoliosis.

Objective:To evaluate the clinical efficacy and safety of sulodexide soft capsules in treating proteinuria after renal transplantation, as well as its impact on graft function.Methods:The clinical data from 80 recipients who developed proteinuria after renal transplantation and were treated with sulodexide soft capsules during regular follow-up at the outpatient department of Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology from March 1, 2019, to March 1, 2023, were retrospectively analyzed. Proteinuria levels, graft function, safety-related indicators (coagulation function), and adverse events were compared before treatment and at 1, 2, 3, 6, and 12 months after treatment. Based on efficacy, recipients were divided into a satisfactory efficacy group (67 cases) and a general efficacy group (13 cases). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to stratify baseline data and explore factors influencing efficacy.Results:Among the 80 recipients, 63 (78.75%) had mild proteinuria and 17 (21.25%) had moderate proteinuria. The overall treatment response rate was 91.25% (73/80). Drug-related adverse events occurred in 12 patients (15.0%). Median urinary protein excretion at 1, 2, 3, 6, and 12 months post-treatment was 0.35 (0.20, 0.55) g/24 h, 0.30 (0.17, 0.44) g/24 h, 0.23 (0.15, 0.39) g/24 h, 0.21 (0.13, 0.32) g/24 h, and 0.15 (0.10, 0.23) g/24 h, respectively, all significantly lower than the pre-treatment level of 0.52 (0.43, 0.90) g/24 h (all P<0.001). The median urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratios at the corresponding time points were 99.15 (45.33, 201.13) μg/mg, 77.20 (43.30, 176.20) μg/mg, 57.50 (31.35, 173.75) μg/mg, 53.55 (25.90, 142.00) μg/mg, and 39.05 (20.53, 103.60) μg/mg, also significantly reduced compared to the pre-treatment value of 152.05 (71.90, 271.23) μg/mg ( P=0.012, P=0.003, P<0.001, P<0.001, P<0.001, respectively). At 12 months post-treatment, the serum creatinine level (132.86±36.86 μmol/L) showed a statistically significant improvement compared to the pre-treatment level (146.60±48.42 μmol/L) ( P=0.045). Univariate analysis indicated that satisfactory efficacy was associated with the time of proteinuria onset post-transplantation, the interval between proteinuria onset and treatment initiation, and recipient age ( HR= 1.001, 95% CI: 1.001-1.020, P=0.043; HR = 1.034, 95% CI: 1.009-1.058, P=0.006; HR=1.058, 95% CI: 1.003-1.116, P=0.040). Stratified univariate analysis revealed that proteinuria onset within 2 years post-transplantation, treatment initiation within 2 years of proteinuria onset, and age younger than 45 years were significantly associated with satisfactory efficacy ( HR=5.524, 95% CI: 1.510-20.207, P=0.010; HR= 7.800, 95% CI: 2.104-28.920, P=0.002; HR=5.972, 95% CI: 1.497-23.822, P=0.011). Multivariate analysis identified the interval between proteinuria onset and treatment initiation as an independent factor influencing satisfactory efficacy ( HR=1.025, 95% CI: 1.010-1.093, P=0.015). Conclusions:Sulodexide effectively reduces proteinuria after renal transplantation, particularly in mild-to-moderate or early-onset cases, while maintaining stable allograft function without significant adverse effects

Objective: To explore the relationship between school sports environment and physical activity levels of middle school students, so as to provide theoretical and empirical support for optimizing school sports environment and enhance adolescent physical activity. Methods: Using multi-stage random cluster sampling, from September to December 2023, 1 329 junior and senior high school students from Xuancheng City of Anhui Province, Lianyungang City of Jiangsu Province, Wuhan City of Hubei Province, Qiqihar City and Suihua City of Heilongjiang Province, and Shenzhen City of Guangdong Province were selected. The International Physical Activity Questionnaire-Short Form (IPAQ-SF) assessed students physical activity levels, and the questionnaire on the characteristics of school sports environment was developed to evaluate the factors of school sports environment. Multivariate ordered Logistic regression was performed to analyze the correlation between school sports environment factors and physical activity levels, and the analytic hierarchy process determined the weight of key influencing factors. Results: The results showed that weekly vigorous physical activity time was [60 (25, 90)] minutes, moderate physical activity time was [60 (30, 90)] minutes, light physical activity time was [105 (40, 200)] minutes, and sedentary behavior time was [ 3 300 (2 100, 4 500)] minutes, only 10.53% of the students met World Health Organization physical activity recommendations, and 89.69% of the students averaged >8 h daily sedentary time. Multivariate ordered Logistic regression showed that adequate sports equipment significantly promoted physical activity across all intensities and reduced sedentary time ( OR = 4.97, 11.54, 4.03, 0.11); diverse sports activities improved vigorous and moderate physical activity while reducing sedentary time ( OR =4.20, 14.06, 0.17); and peer encouragement was associated with increased low-intensity physical activities and decreased sedentary time ( OR =10.40, 0.15)( P <0.05). The analytic hierarchy process weighting analysis identified the top three influential factors related to physical activity among middle school students: sufficient sports equipment, varied physical education activities, frequent peer encouragement, the influence weight accounts for 23.55% , 14.18% and 11.77% of the total, respectively. Conclusion Key school sports environmental factors for adolescent physical activity level include ensuring adequate sports equipment and class availability, diversifying activity content, fostering peer support, and cultivating an active sports culture and a comprehensive approach encourage students participation in extracurricular physical activities.