1.Development of a nomogram-based risk prediction model for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease incidence in community-dwelling population aged 40 years and above in Shanghai
Yixuan ZHANG ; Yiling WU ; Jinxin ZANG ; Xuyan SU ; Xin YIN ; Jing LI ; Wei LUO ; Minjun YU ; Wei WANG ; Qi ZHAO ; Qin WANG ; Genming ZHAO ; Yonggen JIANG ; Na WANG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(8):669-675
ObjectiveTo develop a nomogram-based risk prediction model for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) incidence among the community-dwelling population aged 40 years old and above, so as to provide targeted references for the screening and prevention of COPD. MethodsBased on a natural population cohort in suburban Shanghai, a total of 3 381 randomly selected participants aged ≥40 years underwent pulmonary function tests between July and October 2021. Cox stepwise regression analysis was used to develop overall and gender-specific risk prediction models, along with the construction of corresponding risk nomograms. Model predictive performance was evaluated using the C-indice, area under the curve (AUC) values, and Brier score. Stability was assessed through 10-fold cross-validation and sensitivity analysis. ResultsA total of 3 019 participants were included, with a median follow-up duration of 4.6 years. The COPD incidence density was 17.22 per 1 000 person-years, significantly higher in males (32.04/1 000 person-years) than that in females (7.38/1 000 person-years) (P<0.001). The overall risk prediction model included the variables such as gender, age, education level, BMI, smoking, passive smoking, and respiratory comorbidities. The male-specific model incorporated the variables such as age, BMI, respiratory comorbidities, and smoking, while the female-specific model included age, marital status, respiratory comorbidities, and pulmonary tuberculosis history. The C-indices for the overall, male-specific, and female-specific models were 0.829, 0.749, and 0.807, respectively. The 5-year AUC values were 0.785, 0.658, and 0.811, with Brier scores of 0.103, 0.176, and 0.059, respectively. Both 10-fold cross-validated C-indices and sensitivity analysis (excluding participants with a follow-up duration of <6 months) yielded C-indices were above 0.740. ConclusionThis study developed concise and practical overall and gender-specific COPD risk prediction models and corresponding nomograms. The models demonstrated robust performance in predicting COPD incidence, providing a valuable reference for identifying high-risk populations and formulating targeted screening and personalized management strategies.
2.Somatic CDKN2A copy number variations are associated with the prognosis of esophageal squamous cell dysplasia
Zhiyuan FAN ; Jing ZHOU ; Yuan TIAN ; Yu QIN ; Zhaojun LIU ; Liankun GU ; M. Sanford DAWSEY ; Wenqiang WEI ; Dajun DENG
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(8):980-989
Background::Somatic copy number variations (SCNVs) in the CDKN2A gene are among the most frequent events in the dysplasia-carcinoma sequence of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. However, whether CDKN2A SCNVs are useful biomarkers for the risk stratification and management of patients with esophageal squamous cell dysplasia (ESCdys) is unknown. This study aimed to investigate the characteristics and prognostic value of CDKN2A SCNVs in patients with mild or moderate (m/M) ESCdys. Methods::This study conducted a prospective multicenter study of 205 patients with a baseline diagnosis of m/M ESCdys in five high-risk regions of China (Ci County, Hebei Province; Yanting, Sichuan Province; Linzhou, Henan Province; Yangzhong, Jiangsu Province; and Feicheng, Shandong Province) from 2005 to 2019. Genomic DNA was extracted from paraffin biopsy samples and paired peripheral white blood cells from patients, and a quantitative polymerase chain reaction assay, P16-Light, was used to detect CDKN2A copy number. The cumulative regression and progression rates of ESCdys were evaluated using competing risk models. Results::A total of 205 patients with baseline m/M ESCdys were enrolled. The proportion of ESCdys regression was significantly lower in the CDKN2A deletion cohort than in the diploid and amplification cohorts (18.8% [13/69] vs. 35.0% [28/80] vs. 51.8% [29/56], P <0.001). In the univariable competing risk analysis, the cumulative regression rate was statistically significantly lower ( P = 0.008), while the cumulative progression rate was higher ( P = 0.017) in ESCdys patients with CDKN2A deletion than in those without CDKN2A deletion. CDKN2A deletion was also an independent predictor of prognosis in ESCdys ( P = 0.004) in the multivariable analysis. Conclusion::The results indicated that CDKN2A SCNVs are associated with the prognosis of ESCdys and may serve as potential biomarkers for risk stratification.
3.Dynamic changes of neuronal cells at different time points following cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury in rats
Xu-Huan ZOU ; Rui LAN ; Xue-Qin FU ; Wei-Wei WANG ; Man-Man WANG ; Chen TANG ; Shuang LIU ; Hong-Yu LI ; Xiao-Ming SHEN
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2024;40(6):1056-1066
Aim To investigate the dynamic changes of neuronal cells at different time points following acute cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury by establishing a model of brain ischemia-reperfusion injury.Methods Thirty male Sprague-Dawley(SD)rats were ran-domly divided into six groups:sham group and cere-bral ischemia-reperfusion injury(IR)groups at differ-ent time points.Focal cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury model was established using the middle cerebral artery occlusion(MCAO)technique.The Longa sco-ring method was used to assess neurobehavioral scores in rats.After successful model preparation,routine paraffin sections were made,and TUNEL staining and immunohistochemistry staining with NeuN antibody were performed to observe cell apoptosis and neuronal cell survival,respectively.Immunohistochemistry stai-ning was also performed to investigate the changes in glial fibrillary acidic protein(GFAP)as a marker for astrocytes,ionized calcium-binding adapter molecule 1(IBA-1)as a marker for microglia,and CD31 as a marker for endothelial cells at different time points.Results No significant changes were observed in neu-ronal cells of the sham group at different time points.In the cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury groups,cell apoptosis was activated at IR3h and increased in quan-tity with morphological damage as time progressed.Ne-uN+neurons showed signs of ischemic injury after IR3h,with abnormal cell morphology.From 12 h,Ne-uN+neurons decreased in a time-dependent manner and reached their peak severity at 24 h.GFAP+astro-cytes decreased significantly after IR3h,while poorly labeled GFAP+astrocytes increased at IR 6 h and al-most disappeared in the infarcted area at 24 h and 48 h.The number of IBA-1+microglia-positive cells de-creased at IR3h,and their volume increased at IR6h.Microglial cell death was observed in the infarcted area at IR12h.CD31+endothelial cells around the infarc-ted cortex and striatum increased significantly after IR3h and persisted until 48 h.Conclusions After cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury,the number of ap-optotic cells increases with the prolongation of time,and NeuN+neurons exhibit the most severe damage at 24 h.GFAP+astrocytes and microglial cells gradually die over time.The number of CD31+endothelial cells increases significantly around the infarcted cortex and striatum after 3 h of reperfusion and persists until 48 h.
4.The inhibitory effect of artesunate on hepatocellular carcinoma cells by regulating expression of GADD45A and NACC1
Guan-Tong SHEN ; Jin-Yao DONG ; Jing FENG ; Nan QIN ; Gen-Lai DU ; Fei ZHU ; Ke LIAN ; Xin-Yu LIU ; Qing-Liang LI ; Xun-Wei ZHANG ; Ru-Yi SHI
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2024;40(6):1089-1097
Aim To explore the effect and mechanism of the artesunate(ART)on hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC).Methods The cell lines MHCC-97H and HCC-LM3 were used to be detected.MTT and clone formation were used to determine the cell proliferation;Wound healing was used to detect the cell migration;Transwell was used to test the cell invasion.Flow-cy-tometry was used to detect cell apoptosis and cell cy-cle.RNA-seq and qRT-PCR was used to detect the genes expression.Results The proliferation,migra-tion and invasion of treated cells were obviously inhibi-ted(P<0.01).Moreover,the apoptosis rate in-creased significantly,so did the proportion of G2/M cells.Transcriptomic analysis identified GADD45A as a potential target of ART through RNA-sequencing da-ta,and suggested that ART might induce apoptosis and cell cycle arrest through regulating the expression of GADD45A.In addition,the results of mechanism studies and signaling analysis suggested that GADD45A had interaction with its upstream gene NACC1(nucle-us accumbens associated 1).Moreover,after ART treatment,the expressions of GADD45A and NACC1 were changed significantly.Conclusion ART may be a potential drug to resist HCC by affecting the expres-sion of GADD45A and its upstream gene NACC1,which provides a new drug,a new direction and a new method for the clinical treatment of HCC.
5.Interaction between neuron-glial cell gap junction and neural circuit
Hong-Bin WANG ; Jiao YAO ; Hui-Qin WANG ; Zhi-Feng TIAN ; Qi-Di AI ; Mei-Yu LIN ; Yan-Tao YANG ; Song-Wei YANG ; Nai-Hong CHEN
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2024;40(7):1210-1214
Gap junction(GJ),also known as gap junction,is widely found between neurons and glial cells,and can connect neighboring cells and mediate the transmission of electrical sig-nals between neighboring cells.The GJ channel,which exists between neurons and mediates intercellular electrical signaling,is also known as an electrical synapse.Connexins(Cxs)are the molecular basis of GJ,and are expressed to different degrees in different neurons and glial cells.The presence of GJ mediates different functions among neurons and glial cells,which further influences the establishment of various mature neural circuits,re-flecting the importance of GJ in the maintenance of neural cir-cuits.This review summarizes the relationship between GJ and neural circuits in relation to the effects of GJ and different Cxs on neurons and glial cells,providing new research ideas for the treatment of neuropsychiatric disorders.
6.Study on pathogenesis of PMDD liver-qi reversal syndrome mediated by GABAARsubunit in amygdala and hippocampus of rats based on tetrahydroprogesterone
Yu-Chen QI ; Dong-Mei GAO ; Ya SUN ; Tian-Tian GAO ; Qi SHEN ; Wei-Lin CUI ; Feng-Qin WEI ; Xiao-Li SONG ; Jie-Qiong WANG
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2024;40(11):2131-2140
Aim To observe the behavioral effects of exogenous allopregnanolone(ALLO)and its inhibitor finasteride on the receptive period(R)and non-recep-tive period(NR)of PMDD liver-qi inversion model rats and the expression of GABAARα4,GABAARδ mR-NA and protein effects to explore its pathogenesis.Methods The PMDD liver-qi reverse syndrome rat model was prepared.The rats were divided into the normal group R and NR(control-R,control-NR),model group R and NR(Model-R,Model-NR),nor-mal group R+ALLO and NR+ALLO(Control+A-R,Control+A-NR),and model group R+ALLO and NR+ALLO(Model+A-R,Model+A-NR),model group R+finasteride and NR+finasteride(Model+F-R,Model+F-NR).The elevated cross labyrinth ex-periment and social interaction experiment were used to detect the behaviors of rats;fluorescence quantitative PCR and immunofluorescence were used to detect the expression of GABAARα4 and 8 mRNA and protein in rat amygdala and hippocampus.Results In the be-havioral evaluation,in the NR period,in the elevated cross maze test and in the social interaction test,the rats in the model group had anxiety behavior and de-creased social communication ability(P<0.05),while the rats in the Model+A group could effectively relieve anxiety symptoms and improve their social com-munication ability(P<0.05),and the rats in the Model+F group had increased anxiety behavior and social disorder(P<0.05).In fluorescence quantita-tive PCR and immunofluorescence experiments,the ex-pression of GABAARα4 subunit in the model group was up-regulated in the hippocampus(P<0.01),and the expression of δ subunit was down-regulated(P<0.01);the expression of GABAARα4 subunit in the a-mygdala and hippocampus of the Model+A group de-creased(P<0.01),and the expression of δ subunit increased in the hippocampus(P<0.01).Conclu-sions The abnormal expression of GABAARα4 and 8 subunits mediated by ALLO improves the anxiety symptoms and social interaction ability of PMDD,which is the pathogenesis of PMDD liver-qi reverse syndrome,and provides basis and support for subse-quent exploration of the pathogenesis of PMDD liver-qi reverse syndrome.
7.A novel nomogram-based model to predict the postoperative overall survival in patients with gastric and colorectal cancer
Siwen WANG ; Kangjing XU ; Xuejin GAO ; Tingting GAO ; Guangming SUN ; Yaqin XIAO ; Haoyang WANG ; Chenghao ZENG ; Deshuai SONG ; Yupeng ZHANG ; Lingli HUANG ; Bo LIAN ; Jianjiao CHEN ; Dong GUO ; Zhenyi JIA ; Yong WANG ; Fangyou GONG ; Junde ZHOU ; Zhigang XUE ; Zhida CHEN ; Gang LI ; Mengbin LI ; Wei ZHAO ; Yanbing ZHOU ; Huanlong QIN ; Xiaoting WU ; Kunhua WANG ; Qiang CHI ; Jianchun YU ; Yun TANG ; Guoli LI ; Li ZHANG ; Xinying WANG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Nutrition 2024;32(3):138-149
Objective:We aimed to develop a novel visualized model based on nomogram to predict postoperative overall survival.Methods:This was a multicenter, retrospective, observational cohort study, including participants with histologically confirmed gastric and colorectal cancer who underwent radical surgery from 11 medical centers in China from August 1, 2015 to June 30, 2018. Baseline characteristics, histopathological data and nutritional status, as assessed using Nutrition Risk Screening 2002 (NRS 2002) score and the scored Patient-Generated Subjective Global Assessment, were collected. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and Cox regression were used to identify variables to be included in the predictive model. Internal and external validations were performed.Results:There were 681 and 127 patients in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. A total of 188 deaths were observed over a median follow-up period of 59 (range: 58 to 60) months. Two independent predictors of NRS 2002 and Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) stage were identified and incorporated into the prediction nomogram model together with the factor of age. The model's concordance index for 1-, 3- and 5-year overall survival was 0.696, 0.724, and 0.738 in the training cohort and 0.801, 0.812, and 0.793 in the validation cohort, respectively.Conclusions:In this study, a new nomogram prediction model based on NRS 2002 score was developed and validated for predicting the overall postoperative survival of patients with gastric colorectal cancer. This model has good differentiation, calibration and clinical practicability in predicting the long-term survival rate of patients with gastrointestinal cancer after radical surgery.
8.Effects of Pre-Transplant CONUT and Post-Transplant MRD on Prognosis of Patients with Multiple Myeloma after Auto-HSCT
Yi-Ying XIONG ; Qin ZHOU ; Lin CHEN ; Wei YU ; Hong-Bin ZHANG ; Jian-Bin CHEN
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2024;32(1):146-154
Objective:To explore the effects of pre-transplant controlling nutritional status(CONUT)and post-transplant minimal residual disease(MRD)on prognosis of patients with multiple myeloma(MM)after autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation(auto-HSCT).Methods:The clinical data of 79 patients who received auto-HSCT from 2011 to 2020 in The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University were retrospectively analyzed.The patients were divided into Low-CONUT group(n=62)and High-CONUT group(n=17)according to whether the CONUT score was less than 5.The differences in clinical features,hematopoietic reconstruction,adverse reactions,efficacy and survival between the two groups were compared.In addition,the prognostic risk factors were analyzed and verified by time-dependent ROC curve.Results:The proportions of male patients and bone marrow plasma cells>30%at initial diagnosis in High-CONUT group were both higher than those in Low-CONUT group(both P<0.05).While,there were no significant differences in hematopoietic reconstruction and adverse reactions(>grade 2)between the two groups.The complete response(CR)rate and CR+very good partial response(VGPR)rate before transplantation in Low-CONUT group were both significantly higher than those in High-CONUT group(both P<0.05).After 3 months of transplantation,the CR+VGPR rate still remained an advantage in Low-CONUT group compared with High-CONUT group(P<0.01),but CR rate did not(P>0.05).The overall survival(OS)and progression-free survival(PFS)in Low-CONUT group were both superior to those in High-CONUT group(both P<0.05).Low CONUT score(0-4)before transplantation and negative MRD at 6 months after transplantation were favorable factors affecting OS and PFS(both P<0.05),while the International Myeloma Working Group(IMWG)high-risk at initial diagnosis and lactate dehydrogenase(LDH)level>250 U/L before transplantation were only risk factors for PFS(both P<0.05).Time-dependent ROC curve analysis showed that pre-transplant CONUT score and MRD status at 6 months after transplantation could independently or jointly predict 1-and 2-year OS and PFS,and the combined prediction was more effective.Conclusion:The combination of pre-transplant CONUT and post-transplant MRD can better predict the prognosis of MM patients.
9.Analysis of Frequencies and Subsets of Peripheral Helper T Cells in Patients with Immune Thrombocytopenia
Wei-Ping LI ; Zi-Ran BAI ; Yu-Qin TIAN ; Chun-Lai YIN ; Xia LI
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2024;32(5):1518-1519,1521-1523
Objective:To investigate the frequencies and subset distribution of peripheral helper(Tph)T cells in patients with immune thrombocytopenia(ITP),and explore the pathogenesis of ITP.Methods:A total of 25 newly diagnosed ITP patients treated in The Second Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University from January to December 2022 were selected,and 25 healthy volunteers(age-and sex-matched)were recruited as the control group.Flow cytometry was used to detect the subsets of CD4+T cells and Tph cells.Results:The frequency of effector memory(CCR7-CD45RO+CD4+)T cells in ITP patients was significantly higher than that in healthy controls(P<0.05).The frequency of Tph cells in ITP patients was also significantly higher than that in healthy controls(P<0.001),and most of the Tph cells in ITP patients were effector memory T cells.Furthermore,the expressions of T-cell costimulatory molecules in Tph cells,including ICOS and CD84,were similar to those in follicular helper T(Tfh)cells.CXCR3-CCR6-Tph(Tph2)subgroup was dominant in Tph cells,but the frequency of CXCR3+CCR6-Tph(Tph1)cells in ITP patients was much higher than that in healthy controls(P<0.05).Conclusion:Tph cells,especially Tph1 cells,were abnormally expanded in ITP patients,which may be a potential etiology of ITP.
10.Efficacy of SedLine Brain Function Monitor-guided total intravenous anesthesia for children undergoing hypospadias surgery
Rui MA ; Yu MAO ; Pei QIN ; Xin LIU ; Chan LI ; Juanning WANG ; Wei DING ; Lifang YANG
Chinese Journal of Anesthesiology 2024;44(11):1361-1365
Objective:To evaluate the efficacy of SedLine Brain Function Monitor-guided total intravenous anesthesia for children undergoing hypospadias surgery.Methods:This was a randomized controlled trial. A total of 161 children, aged 1-10 yr, with American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status classification ⅠorⅡ, scheduled for elective hypospadias surgery, were divided into SedLine group (S group, n=83) and control group (C group, n=78) using a random number table method. In group S, 95% spectral edge frequency (SEF 95) was maintained at 14-18 Hz, and the patient state index (PSI) was maintained at 25-50 during surgery. In group C, mean arterial pressure was maintained at 60-80 mmHg, and heart rate was maintained at 80-110 beats/min during surgery. PSI and SEF 95 were recorded before induction (T 1), at 0, 5 and 10 min after intubation (T 2-4), at the beginning of surgery (T 5), at 30 min and 1 h after surgery (T 6, 7), and at the end of surgery (T 8). The anesthetic duration, operation time, time from withdrawal to extubation, postanesthesia care unit duration, consumption of propofol and remifentanil, intraoperative adverse events, 5-point Likert scale scores, and emergence delirium scores were recorded. Results:Compared to C group, the total anesthesia time, time from withdrawal to extubation and postanesthesia care unit duration were significantly shortened, the consumption of propofol for both induction and maintenance was reduced, the PSI at T 5-8, SEFL 95 at T 2-6, and SEFR 95 at T 2-8 were increased, and the incidence of intraoperative body movement and incidence of emergence agitation were decreased in S group ( P<0.05). Conclusions:SedLine Brain Function Monitor-guided total intravenous anesthesia provides better efficacy when used for the children undergoing hypospadias surgery.

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail