1.Comparison of clinical characteristics between primary bilateral macronodular adrenal hyperplasia and adrenal cortisol-producing adenoma
Bing LI ; Ming-Xiu YANG ; Huai-Jin XU ; Jing-Xuan WANG ; Qing-Zheng WU ; Ya-Jing WANG ; Yi-Jun LI ; Kang CHEN ; Yu CHENG ; Qi NI ; Ya-Qi YIN ; Li ZANG ; Qing-Hua GUO ; Jian-Ming BA ; Wei-Jun GU ; Jing-Tao DOU ; Zhao-Hui LYU ; Yi-Ming MU
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(7):779-785
Objective To comparatively analyze the clinical characteristics of primary bilateral macronodular adrenal hyperplasia(PBMAH)and adrenal cortisol-producing Adenoma(CPA),and enhance the understanding of two diseases.Methods The clinical data of 85 PBMAH patients(PBMAH group)and 195 CPA patients(CPA group)diagnosed at Department of Endocrinology,the First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital,from September 2014 to August 2024 were retrospectively analyzed.The demographic characteristics,comorbidities,biochemical indicators,adrenocorticotropic hormone-cortisol(ACTH-F)levels,and adrenal imaging features and treatment conditions were compared between the two groups.Results(1)General characteristics:Compared with CPA group,PBMAH group had older age at diagnosis and a higher proportion of male patients.(2)Clinical characteristics:Compared with CPA group,PBMAH group had a longer disease duration,a higher proportion of subclinical Cushing's syndrome(CS),and a higher proportion of hypertension,impaired glucose tolerance/diabetes,bone mass reduction or osteoporosis,with higher serum potassium levels,and the differences were statistically significant(P<0.01).(3)Hormone levels:Both PBMAH and CPA groups showed ACTH-F rhythm disorder,significantly increased cortisol levels and suppressed ACTH.Compared with PBMAH group,CPA group had stronger autonomous cortisol secretion ability,manifested by increased midnight serum cortisol(F0:00),16:00 serum cortisol(F16:00),24-hour urinary free cortisol(24 h UFC)levels and lower 8:00 serum ACTH(ACTH8:00)and 16:00 serum ACTH(ACTH16:00)(P<0.01).After low-dose dexamethasone suppression test(LDDST),CPA group showed lower suppression rates of ACTH and cortisol,and higher proportions of paradoxical elevation in serum cortisol and 24 h UFC compared with PBMAH(P<0.01).Conclusions PBMAH has a longer disease course and higher proportions of comorbid metabolic disorders than CPA,mostly manifested as subclinical Cushing's syndrome.CPA has stronger autonomous cortisol secretion ability,with cortisol less likely to be suppressed after LDDST and more obvious paradoxical elevation of cortisol and 24 h UFC.
2.Clinical and pathological characteristics of adrenal cortical carcinoma:a single-center retrospective study
Qing-Zheng WU ; Ming-Xiu YANG ; Bing LI ; Shu-Ying LI ; Zi-Xin GUO ; Yi-Jun LI ; Ya-Qi YIN ; Ya-Jing WANG ; Kang CHEN ; Li ZANG ; Wei-Jun GU ; Yi-Ming MU ; Zhao-Hui LYU
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(7):786-792
Objective To investigate the clinical and pathological characteristics of adrenal cortical carcinoma(ACC),compare differences between hypercortisolism and non-functional ACC,and assess the diagnostic value of indicators such as Ki-67 index.Methods The clinical data of 57 ACC patients admitted to the First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from January 2015 to March 2025 were retrospectively analyzed.According to the results of endocrine function assessment,47 of these patients were divided into hypercortisolism group(n=19)and non-functional group(n=28).The differences in clinical and pathological characteristics between the two groups were compared,and non-parametric tests and Spearman correlation analysis were used to explore the relationship between Ki-67 index and tumor stage as well as imaging features.Results Among the 57 patients,there were 20 males and 37 females,with a male-to-female ratio of 1:1.85.The age ranged from 16 to 76 years,and the age at diagnosis was(48.7±13.3)years.The tumor diameter was(10.53±4.14)cm.The tumors were located on the right side in 12 cases(21.1%),on the left side in 34 cases(59.6%),and bilaterally in 11 cases(19.3%).Among them,16 cases(28.1%)were complicated with glucose metabolism disorders,31 cases(54.3%)had hypertension,and 20 cases(35.1%)had hypokalemia.According to ENSAT staging,there were 0 cases in stage Ⅰ,15 cases(26.3%)in stage Ⅱ,24 cases(42.1%)in stage Ⅲ,and 18 cases(31.6%)in stage Ⅳ.Endocrine function assessment was completed in 47 of the 57 patients,including 28 cases(59.6%)of non-functional ACC and 19 cases(40.4%)of hypercortisolism(including 1 case of hypercortisolism combined with increased sex hormone secretion).Compared with non-functional group,hypercortisolism group had a significantly higher prevalence of hypertension(P=0.014),later ENSAT stage(P=0.010),and a higher proportion of hypervascularization(P=0.048).The median Ki-67 index was 20%(10%-40%),showing no significant correlation with either the maximum tumor diameter or SUVmax value,but it was related to ENSAT staging,with Ki-67 index in stageⅣ patients being significantly higher than that in stage Ⅱ(P=0.032).Immunohistochemistry results showed that the positive rate of Inhibin-α was 84.8%,and the positive rate of Melan-A was 40.9%.Conclusions ACC is a rare malignant endocrine tumor.ACC patients with hypercortisolism are more likely to be complicated with hypertension,have later staging,and more common hypervascular manifestations.Clinically,their endocrine function should be prioritized for assessment,and more active treatment strategies should be adopted.Diagnosis should be combined with imaging characteristics(such as hypervascularization)and immunohistochemical indicators(Ki-67,Inhibin-α,Melan-A).The significant increase in Ki-67 is in the advanced stage can serve as an important prognostic indicator to guide individualized treatment.
3.Characteristics analysis of multimodal metabolic disorders in subclinical Cushing's syndrome patients with different cortisol levels
Ya-Jing WANG ; Bing LI ; Huai-Jin XU ; Qi NI ; Ya-Qi YIN ; Yi-Jun LI ; Li ZANG ; Yu CHENG ; Kang CHEN ; Qing-Hua GUO ; Jian-Ming BA ; Wei-Jun GU ; Jing-Tao DOU ; Zhao-Hui LYU ; Yi-Ming MU
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(7):793-799
Objective To characterize multimodal metabolic disorders in subclinical Cushing's syndrome(SCS)patients with different cortisol levels,providing a reference for clinical diagnosis and treatment.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 165 SCS patients diagnosed at the First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital due to adrenal masses from January 2014 to October 2024.Using the serum cortisol levels after the midnight 1 mg dexamethasone suppression test(1 mg DST)as the cut-off point,SCS patients were divided into high-level group(1 mg DST-F>138 nmol/L,n=96)and low-level group(50 nmol/L<1 mg DST-F≤138 nmol/L,n=69).The differences in age,gender,body mass index(BMI),blood pressure,glucolipid metabolism indices,electrolytes,hormone levels,and imaging features of adrenal adenoma(such as CT values)were compared between the two groups.Multivariate linear regression was used to analyze the correlation between CT values and metabolic indices.Results Compared with low-level group,patients in high-level group were younger(54.0±11.3 vs.57.7±10.3,P=0.034),while there were no statistically significant differences in gender ratio or BMI between the two groups(P>0.05).Both groups exhibited decreased adrenocorticotropic hormone(ACTH)levels and disrupted circadian rhythm.Compared with low-level group,high-level group showed significantly higher F0:00 levels[250.00(170.07,422.53)nmol/L vs.110.00(82.74,133.90)nmol/L]and 24-hour urinary free cortisol(24 h UFC)[568.40(377.80,875.45)nmol/24 h vs.369.40(265.40,494.69)nmol/24 h](P<0.001),with no significant differences in serum F8:00,or 1 mg DST ACTH0:00 levels(P>0.05).Except for the fasting C-peptide level in the high-level group being higher than that in low-level group[(2.88±1.01)ng/ml vs.(2.46±0.78)ng/ml,P=0.024],there were no significant differences in blood pressure,blood lipids,glycated hemoglobin(HbA1c),fasting blood glucose,fasting insulin,serum electrolytes,uric acid,and other indices between the two groups(P>0.05).The CT value of adrenal adenoma during contrast-enhanced scanning was higher in high-level group[80.00(17.80,93.00)Hu vs.52.00(35.50,75.00)Hu,P=0.006]compared with low-level group.Multivariate linear regression analysis revealed that diastolic blood pressure was positively correlated with CT values of adrenal adenomas in both plain scanning(β=0.49,95%CI 0.09-0.90)and contrast-enhanced scanning(β=2.08,95%CI 0.76-3.39),while triglyceride levels were negatively correlated with plain scanning CT values(β=-5.77,95%CI-10.88--0.66).Conclusion Patients with SCS at different cortisol levels differ in age,fasting C-peptide levels,and CT values.CT values may serve as potential imaging markers to assess metabolic risk in SCS patients.
4.Clinical analysis of 10 cases with primary pigmented nodular adrenocortical disease and literature review
Yi-Jun LI ; Bing LI ; Qi NI ; Ya-Qi YIN ; Hui-Xin ZHOU ; Ya-Jing WANG ; Kang CHEN ; Wei-Jun GU ; Zhao-Hui LYU
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(7):808-816
Objective To summarize the clinical characteristics of primary pigmented nodular adrenocortical disease(PPNAD)and provide a reference for its clinical diagnosis and treatment.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical characteristics,laboratory tests,imaging examinations,treatment plans,and follow-up data of 10 PPNAD patients diagnosed and treated at the First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from January 2008 to October 2024.Databases including CNKI,Wanfang Data Knowledge Service Platform,and PubMed were searched,and the clinical characteristics of 120 PPNAD patients reported in the literature were summarized in combination with literature reviews.Results The age at diagnosis of the 10 PPNAD patients ranged from 15 to 55 years,with a median age of onset of 21.5 years.Seven patients had the protein kinase A regulatory subunit 1 alpha(PRKAR1A)gene mutations,meeting the diagnosis criteria for Carney syndrome.One patient presented with hypertension only,while the remaining 9 patients showed typical Cushing's syndrome manifestations such as thin skin and moon face,among whom 5 experienced stagnation of height growth.In 7 patients,the adrenocorticotropic hormone(ACTH)levels were<2.2 pmol/L,with the disrupted circadian rhythm of cortisol,and the cortisol levels at midnight ranged from 243.24 to 679.83 pmol/L.None of the patients showed suppression in the low-dose dexamethasone suppression test,and 8 patients had an increase in urinary free cortisol(UFC)after dexamethasone suppression.Adrenal CT showed that 9 patients presented with unilateral adrenal nodules accompanied by contralateral thickening or bilateral adrenal nodular thickening.All 10 patients underwent initial unilateral adrenalectomy,and during follow-up,4 patients experienced symptom recurrence and underwent contralateral adrenalectomy.Most of the 120 patients reported domestically and internationally showed typical Cushing's syndrome manifestations.Surgical resection of the adrenal gland was the main treatment modality.Gene mutations were predominantly in PRKAR1A,with a few in PDE11A and PRKACA.Conclusions PPNAD is more likely to occur in adolescents.Patients with typical Cushing's syndrome manifestations should undergo screening.Imaging manifestations are atypical,and a definitive diagnosis depends on pathological and genetic diagnoses.Bilateral adrenalectomy combined with long-term postoperative hormone replacement therapy is the standard treatment protocol.Patients who undergo early unilateral adrenalectomy require long-term follow-up,with contralateral adrenalectomy performed when necessary.
5.STUDY ON EFFICACY OF COCKROACH CONTROL AND PATHOGENIC BACTERIA INFECTION ON AIRCRAFT
Jin-Hui FAN ; Zhi SHI ; Yan-Min QI ; Jian WU ; Xiao-Long ZHANG ; Wei-Nian PENG ; Hai-Feng WANG ; Yin-Juan DUAN ; Li-Li LI ; Jun-Jie HU
Acta Parasitologica et Medica Entomologica Sinica 2025;32(1):22-26
Objective This study aimed to provide an effective scientific basis for prevention and control of cockroaches on aircrafts by identifying cockroach-carried pathogens,and assess the insecticidal efficacy of gel bait mediated cockroach control on aircrafts,to provide technical guidance for aircraft disinsection.Methods Cassette-trapping was used to trap cockroaches,and the carried pathogens were detected using bacterial cultivation techniques.The gel bait mediated killing rate was calculated after 1,7,and 30 d by field application of gel bait.Results A total of 411 cockroaches were captured,and all were identified as Blattella germanica.26 strains of pathogenic bacteria were isolated from the trapped cockroaches.The killing rates of cockroaches were 58.8%-96.3%with 1-30 day application of gel bait.Statistically significant differences were observed in cockroach killing rates on different days(χ2=58.95,P<0.01).Conclusions B.germanica carry a large variety of pathogenic bacteria and opportunistic pathogens and are thus important infectious disease carriers.Gel bait agents have proven to be very effective against cockroaches on aircrafts.
6.Diagnostic value of fetal cardiac ultrasound screening views in the first trimester for congenital heart disease
Chengcheng WU ; Chunya JI ; Liqun FENG ; Wei SHAO ; Naimin SUN ; Jun ZHANG ; Zhong YANG ; Chen LING ; Lingling SUN ; Qi PAN ; Xuedong DENG ; Linliang YIN
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2025;34(9):799-804
Objective:To investigate the diagnostic value of fetal cardiac ultrasound view visualization in the first trimester for congenital heart disease(CHD).Methods:A retrospective analysis was performed on 13 323 singleton fetuses who underwent first-trimester(11-13 +6 weeks)ultrasound screening at the Ultrasound Medicine Center,the Affiliated Suzhou Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from January 2018 to June 2024. Cardiac views including the four-chamber view(4CV),left ventricular outflow tract view(LVOT),and Results:The study group showed significantly higher rates of "poorly visualized" 4CV,LVOT,and 3VT than the control group(2.70% vs. 0.14%, P=0.005;36.49% vs. 4.76%, P<0.001;36.49% vs.2.46%, P<0.001). The efficacies of combination 1(any view abnormal)and combination 2(any view "poorly visualized" or "abnormal")were comparable,with AUCs of 0.86 and 0.85( P=0.424). The AUCs of combination 3(3VT "poorly visualized" or any view "abnormal")and combination 4(4CV "poorly visualized" or any view "abnormal")were 0.88 and 0.86( P=0.424),all significantly higher than combination 5(LVOT "poorly visualized" or any view "abnormal",AUC=0.84,all P<0.05). Conclusions:"Poorly visualized" cardiac views in the first trimester demonstrate good diagnostic efficacy for CHD,particularly when 3VT or 4CV are affected,warranting heightened clinical vigilance for fetal cardiac anomalies.
7.Simultaneous Determination of Ten Kinds of Neonicotinoid Residues in Water for Aquaculture by Ultra-Performance Liquid Chromatography-Tandem Mass Spectrometry
Li-Sha MA ; Yi YIN ; Lin-Ting WEI ; Qi SHAN ; Xiao-Xin DAI ; Shu-Gui LIU
Chinese Journal of Analytical Chemistry 2025;53(8):1352-1361,中插96-中插99
A solid-phase extraction-ultra-performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry(SPE-UPLC-MS/MS)method was established for simultaneous determination of 10 kinds of neonicotinoid pesticide residues in aquaculture water.Based on the chemical properties of neonicotinoid pesticides and the matrix characteristics of aquaculture water,suitable temporary storage methods for water samples and appropriate solid-phase extraction columns were selected,and the extraction conditions(including elution solvents and sample loading volumes)were optimized.The method employed acetonitrile and 5 mmol/L ammonium acetate solution(containing 0.1%formic acid)as the mobile phase and an Oasis HLB solid-phase extraction column combined with PSA as a dispersive sorbent for sample purification.The method exhibited good linearity in detection of neonicotinoid in concentration range of 0.2-50 ng/mL(R2>0.99797),with a detection limit of 0.5 ng/L and a quantification limit of 1 ng/L,which were significantly lower than the maximum acceptable method detection limits(9-500 ng/L)for neonicotinoid insecticides in water published by the European Commission.In pond water,rice-fish water,and seawater,the average recoveries of the 10 target analytes were 74.6%-114.1%,with relative standard deviations ranging from 0.3%to 9.6%.Using this method,actual sample tests were conducted on the Pearl River water,Zhaoqing pond water,and Qingyuan rice-fish aquaculture water.The total concentration of five neonicotinoid pesticides in the Pearl River water ranged from 154.8 to 246.6 ng/L,the total concentration of four neonicotinoid pesticides in the Zhaoqing pond water was 95.0-176.1 ng/L,and the total concentration of three neonicotinoid pesticides in the Qingyuan rice-fish aquaculture water was 2.3-11.7 ng/L.This method was simple in operation,highly sensitive,and had strong resistance to interference.It was suitable for detection of trace neonicotinoid pesticides in aquaculture water and could provide technical support for construction of a green aquaculture environment and resolution of international trade disputes.
8.Evidence-based guidelines for rehabilitation treatment after internal fixation of thoracolumbar spine fracture in adults (version 2025)
Zhengwei XU ; Liming CHENG ; Qixin CHEN ; Jian DONG ; Shunwu FAN ; Zhong FANG ; Shiqing FENG ; Haoyu FENG ; Haishan GUAN ; Weimin JIANG ; Dianming JIANG ; Yong HAI ; Lijun HE ; Yuan HE ; Bo LI ; Jianjun LI ; Feng LI ; Li LI ; Weishi LI ; Chunde LI ; Qi LIAO ; Baoge LIU ; Xiaoguang LIU ; Yong LIU ; Xuhua LU ; Shibao LU ; Bin LIN ; Wei MEI ; Chao MA ; Renfu QUAN ; Limin RONG ; Jiacan SU ; Honghui SUN ; Yuemin SONG ; Hongxun SANG ; Jun SHU ; Tiansheng SUN ; Jiwei TIAN ; Qiang WANG ; Xinwei WANG ; Zhe WANG ; Zheng WANG ; Liang YAN ; Guoyong YIN ; Jie ZHAO ; Yue ZHU ; Xiaobo ZHANG ; Xuesong ZHANG ; Zhongmin ZHANG ; Rongqiang ZHANG ; Dingjun HAO ; Yanzheng GAO ; Baorong HE
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2025;41(1):19-32
Thoracolumbar spine fracture often leads to severe pain, functional impairments, and neurological deficits, for which open reduction and internal fixation can effectively restore the spinal structural stability. Open decompression and reduction with internal fixation can help relieve spinal cord compression and improve spinal function in cases of concomitant cord injury. Although spinal stability can be restored through surgery, patients often face chronic pain and functional impairments postoperatively. A postoperative rehabilitation program is critical in optimizing therapeutic outcomes, reducing complications, and minimizing the risk of secondary injuries. However, current rehabilitation methods, such as physical therapy, functional training, and pain management, are confronted with problems in clinical practice, including significant variation in efficacy, poor patient adherence, and prolonged rehabilitation period. There is an urgent need for a unified rehabilitation strategy to address these problems. To this end, the Spinal Trauma Group of the Orthopedic Physicians Branch of the Chinese Medical Association and the Spine Health Professional Committee of the Chinese Human Health Technology Promotion Association organized experts from relevant fields to formulate Evidence-based guidelines for rehabilitation treatment after internal fixation of thoracolumbar spine fracture in adults ( version 2025) by integrating evidences from clinical researches and advanced rehabilitation concepts at home and abroad. A total number of 14 recommendations concerning the rehabilitation treatment with multimodal analgesia, psychological intervention, deep vein thrombosis prevention, core muscle and extremity exercise, appropriate use of braces, early weight-bearing, device-aided rehabilitation exercise, neuroregulatory therapy, rehabilitation team were put forward, aiming to standardize the post-operative rehabilitation process following internal fixation, promote the functional recovery, and enhance patients′ quality of life.
9.Clinical guideline for vertebral augmentation of acute symptomatic osteoporotic thoracolumbar compression fractures (version 2025)
Bolong ZHENG ; Wei MEI ; Yanzheng GAO ; Liming CHENG ; Jian CHEN ; Qixin CHEN ; Liang CHEN ; Xigao CHENG ; Jian DONG ; Jin FAN ; Shunwu FAN ; Xiangqian FANG ; Zhong FANG ; Shiqing FENG ; Haoyu FENG ; Haishan GUAN ; Yong HAI ; Baorong HE ; Lijun HE ; Yuan HE ; Hua HUI ; Weimin JIANG ; Junjie JIANG ; Dianming JIANG ; Xuewen KANG ; Hua GUO ; Jianjun LI ; Feng LI ; Li LI ; Weishi LI ; Chunde LI ; Qi LIAO ; Baoge LIU ; Xiaoguang LIU ; Xuhua LU ; Shibao LU ; Bin LIN ; Chao MA ; Xuexiao MA ; Renfu QUAN ; Limin RONG ; Honghui SUN ; Tiansheng SUN ; Yueming SONG ; Hongxun SANG ; Jun SHU ; Jiacan SU ; Jiwei TIAN ; Xinwei WANG ; Zhe WANG ; Zheng WANG ; Zhengwei XU ; Huilin YANG ; Jiancheng YANG ; Liang YAN ; Feng YAN ; Guoyong YIN ; Xuesong ZHANG ; Zhongmin ZHANG ; Jie ZHAO ; Yuhong ZENG ; Yue ZHU ; Rongqiang ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2025;41(9):805-818
Acute symptomatic osteoporotic thoracolumbar compression fracture (ASOTLF) can lead to chronic low back pain, kyphosis deformity, pulmonary dysfunction, loss of mobility, and even life-threatening complications. Vertebral augmentation is currently the mainstream treatment method for this condition. In 2019, the Editorial Board of Chinese Journal of Trauma and the Spinal Trauma Group of Orthopedic Surgeons Branch of Chinese Medical Doctor Association collaboratively led the development of Clinical guideline for vertebral augmentation for acute symptomatic osteoporotic thoracolumbar compression fractures. Six years later, with advances in clinical diagnosis and treatment techniques as well as accumulating evidence in related fields, the 2019 guideline requires updating. To this end, the Spinal Trauma Group of Orthopedic Surgeons Branch of Chinese Medical Doctor Association, the Spinal Health Professional Committee of China Human Health Science and Technology Promotion Association, and the Minimally Invasive Orthopedics Professional Committee of Shaanxi Medical Doctor Association have organized experts in the field to develop the Clinical guideline for vertebral augmentation of acute symptomatic osteoporotic thoracolumbar compression fractures ( version 2025) , based on the latest evidence-based medical researches. This guideline incorporates 3 recommendations retained from the 2019 version with updated strength of evidence, along with 12 new recommendations. It provides recommendations from six aspects of diagnosis, pain management, treatment option selection, prevention of postoperative complications, anti-osteoporosis therapy, and postoperative rehabilitation, aiming to provide a reference for standard treatment of vertebral augmentation for ASOTLF in hospitals at all levels.
10.Machine learning-based prediction of accelerated corneal collagen cross-linking surgery outcomes
Qi WAN ; Li CHEN ; Ran WEI ; Hongbo YIN ; Jing TANG ; Yingping DENG ; Ke MA
Chinese Journal of Experimental Ophthalmology 2025;43(4):323-334
Objective:To use machine learning to predict the efficacy of accelerated corneal collagen cross-linking (A-CXL) surgery, identify prognostic factors, and construct models to predict postoperative disease progression.Methods:A single-center retrospective study was conducted.A total of 82 keratoconus patients (112 eyes) who underwent A-CXL surgery at the West China Hospital of Sichuan University between March and December 2021 were enrolled.Preoperative and follow-up examinations included anterior segment evaluation by slit-lamp microscopy, corneal topography using Pentacam, and corneal biomechanical indices using Corvis ST.Disease progression was defined as an increase in maximum keratometry (Kmax) of ≥1 D from the preoperative level at the last follow-up.Various machine learning algorithms were employed to analyze corneal topography, biomechanical parameters and corneal densitometry values to identify prognostic factors and construct models for predicting postoperative disease progression.This study adhered to the Declaration of Helsinki.The study protocol was approved by the Ethics Committee of West China Hospital, Sichuan University (No.2023496).Written informed consent was obtained from each subject.Results:During follow-up, 15.1% (17/112) of the eyes showed progression after A-CXL.The preoperative astigmatism and stress-strain index (SSI) in the progression group were (-5.41±2.72)D and 1.41±0.78, respectively, which were significantly higher than (-3.30±2.54)D and 0.95±0.98 in the non-progression group ( t=2.80, 2.03; both P<0.05).Cox regression analysis identified preoperative astigmatism (hazard ratio [HR]=1.20), SSI (HR=1.10), and anterior corneal densitometry of 2-6 mm (CDA6) (HR=2.10) as significant risk factors for post-A-CXL progression.Among various machine learning models developed and validated, the area under the curve (AUC) values for logistic regression, multilayer perceptron (MLP) model, and random forest (RF) exceeded 0.700.For F1-score, the AUC values for logistic regression, MLP, and RF were 0.870, 0.880, and 0.880, respectively.The network structure of the visualized MLP was a single-layer, 24-neurons neural network with 80% accuracy in predicting whether progression occurred after A-CXL.The clinical nomogram developed in conjunction with astigmatism, SSI, and CDA6 predicted the cumulative probability of progression at 0.5, 1, and 2 years postoperatively based on the sum of the specified values for each variable, and based on the optimal cutoff value, keratoconus corneas could be classified into high-, intermediate-, and low-risk groups, respectively.The time-dependent subject operating characteristic curves of the nomogram showed AUCs of 0.734, 0.685, and 0.935 at 0.5, 1, and 2 years postoperatively, respectively, all of which performed well in predicting progression. Conclusions:Preoperative astigmatism, SSI, and CDA6 are significant risk factors for post-A-CXL progression in keratoconus.The MLP model can accurately predict postoperative disease progression, and the clinical nomogram combining preoperative astigmatism, SSI, and CDA6 can effectively differentiate between low-, medium-, and high-risk postoperative progression outcomes.

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