1.Development of a nomogram-based risk prediction model for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease incidence in community-dwelling population aged 40 years and above in Shanghai
Yixuan ZHANG ; Yiling WU ; Jinxin ZANG ; Xuyan SU ; Xin YIN ; Jing LI ; Wei LUO ; Minjun YU ; Wei WANG ; Qi ZHAO ; Qin WANG ; Genming ZHAO ; Yonggen JIANG ; Na WANG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(8):669-675
ObjectiveTo develop a nomogram-based risk prediction model for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) incidence among the community-dwelling population aged 40 years old and above, so as to provide targeted references for the screening and prevention of COPD. MethodsBased on a natural population cohort in suburban Shanghai, a total of 3 381 randomly selected participants aged ≥40 years underwent pulmonary function tests between July and October 2021. Cox stepwise regression analysis was used to develop overall and gender-specific risk prediction models, along with the construction of corresponding risk nomograms. Model predictive performance was evaluated using the C-indice, area under the curve (AUC) values, and Brier score. Stability was assessed through 10-fold cross-validation and sensitivity analysis. ResultsA total of 3 019 participants were included, with a median follow-up duration of 4.6 years. The COPD incidence density was 17.22 per 1 000 person-years, significantly higher in males (32.04/1 000 person-years) than that in females (7.38/1 000 person-years) (P<0.001). The overall risk prediction model included the variables such as gender, age, education level, BMI, smoking, passive smoking, and respiratory comorbidities. The male-specific model incorporated the variables such as age, BMI, respiratory comorbidities, and smoking, while the female-specific model included age, marital status, respiratory comorbidities, and pulmonary tuberculosis history. The C-indices for the overall, male-specific, and female-specific models were 0.829, 0.749, and 0.807, respectively. The 5-year AUC values were 0.785, 0.658, and 0.811, with Brier scores of 0.103, 0.176, and 0.059, respectively. Both 10-fold cross-validated C-indices and sensitivity analysis (excluding participants with a follow-up duration of <6 months) yielded C-indices were above 0.740. ConclusionThis study developed concise and practical overall and gender-specific COPD risk prediction models and corresponding nomograms. The models demonstrated robust performance in predicting COPD incidence, providing a valuable reference for identifying high-risk populations and formulating targeted screening and personalized management strategies.
2.Construction and validation of a risk prediction model for 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis-associated acute kidney injury
Jiang-Ming ZHANG ; Ze-Qian WANG ; Cun-Lian XU ; Pai DENG ; Yang WU ; Min-Jun QI ; Lu-Mei MA ; Wei-Qing YAO ; Dong LIU ; Dong-Mei LIU
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(8):935-942
Objective To explore the risk factors for 28-day mortality of sepsis-associated acute kidney injury(SA-AKI)patients and to develop a nomogram risk prediction model.Methods A retrospective cohort study was conducted,involving 184 patients with SA-AKI admitted to the intensive care unit(ICU)of the 940th Hospital of Joint Logistic Support Force of PLA between January 2017 and December 2022.Patients were categorized into survival(n=135)and non-survival(n=49)groups based on 28-day mortality.Clinical data were collected,and statistically significant risk factors were preliminarily screened.Multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors for 28-day mortality of SA-AKI patients.A nomogram predictive model was constructed using these factors,and internally validated with the Bootstrap method.The receiver operating characteristic curve(ROC curve)was drawn,and the area under the ROC curve(AUC)was calculated to verify the predictive value and accuracy of the model.Results The 28-day mortality rate among 184 SA-AKI patients was 26.6%(49/184).Multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis identified multiple organ dysfunction syndrome(MODS)(OR=16.393,95%CI 4.317-62.254,P<0.001),high acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ(APACHE Ⅱ)score(OR=1.097,95%CI 1.036-1.161,P=0.002),low oxygenation index(OR=0.992,95%CI 0.986-0.998,P=0.015),low neutrophil count(OR=0.912,95%CI 0.860-0.968,P=0.002)and low fibrinogen concentration(OR=0.733,95%CI 0.549-0.978,P=0.034)as independent risk factors.The prediction model equation was P=1/1+e-logit(P),logit(P)=-1.626+2.797×MODS+0.092×AP ACHE Ⅱ+(-0.311)×fibrinogen+(-0.092)×neutrophil count+(-0.008)×oxygenation index.Internal validation with 1000 Bootstrap resamples showed high consistency between predicted and actual values.ROC analysis showed an AUC of 0.911(95%CI 0.868-0.955,P<0.05)for the model,with 93.9%sensitivity and 78.5%specificity at a cut-off of 0.194.The Hosmer-Lemeshow test confirmed good calibration(P=0.62),and decision-making curve analysis demonstrated clinical utility within the high-risk threshold range(0.1-0.9).Conclusions MODS,high APACHE Ⅱ score,low oxygenation index,low neutrophil count,and low fibrinogen concentration are independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in SA-AKI patients.The developed nomogram risk prediction model may provide important guidance for predicting 28-day mortality in SA-AKI patients.
3.Extraction process optimization,component analysis and biological activity evaluation for total polyphenols from Conioselinum vaginatu
Jun-long WANG ; Hui-jie YAN ; Yong-gang LIN ; Zi-wei LI ; Wen-pan SHI ; Sheng-qi JIANG ; Bin WU ; Qin-ze GU
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2025;47(5):1449-1455
AIM To optimize the extraction process for total polyphenols from Conioselinum vaginatu(Spreng.)Thell.,make component analysis,and evaluate their anti-oxidant,hypoglycemic activities.METHODS The effects of ultrasound,enzymatic hydrolysis,acid hydrolysis,alcohol extraction and hydrolysis processes on the extraction quantity of total polyphenols were investigated,respectively.With extraction temperature,extraction time,ethanol concetration and liquid-solid ratio as influencing factors,extraction quantity of total polyphenols as an evaluation index,the extraction process was optimized by response surface method.HPLC was adopted in the identification of polyphenolic composition and determination of their contents.Subsequently,total polyphenols' scavenging capacities on DPPH,ABTS,OH free radicals,total reducing power and inhibitory capacity on α-glucosidase were determined.RESULTS The highest extraction quantity of total polyphenols was observable when extraction process was employed.The optimal conditions were determined to be 62 ℃ for extraction temperature,54 min for extraction time,69%for ethanol concentration,and 50∶1 for liquid-solid ratio,the extraction quantity of total polyphenols was(9.51±0.2)mg GAE/g.Seven constituents existed in C.vaginatu,among which ferulic acid demonstrated the highest content,followed by that of myricetin,while D-tryptophan content was the lowest.At the concentration of 7.61 mg/L,total polyphenols displayed the scavenging rates on DPPH,ABTS,OH free radicals of 80.70%,85.97%,28.60%,total reducing power of 0.22,and inhibition rate on α-glucosidase of 77.23%,respectively.CONCLUSION This stable and reliable method can be used for the extraction of total polyphenols from C.vaginatum with strong anti-oxidant,hypoglycemic activities.
4.Coral calcium hydride promotes peripheral mitochondrial division and reduces AT-Ⅱ cells damage in ARDS via activation of the Trx2/Myo19/Drp1 pathway
Qian LI ; Yang ANG ; Qing-Qing ZHOU ; Min SHI ; Wei CHEN ; Yujie WANG ; Pan YU ; Bing WAN ; Wanyou YU ; Liping JIANG ; Yadan SHI ; Zhao LIN ; Shaozheng SONG ; Manlin DUAN ; Yun LONG ; Qi WANG ; Wentao LIU ; Hongguang BAO
Journal of Pharmaceutical Analysis 2025;15(3):610-624
Acute respiratory distress syndrome(ARDS)is a common respiratory emergency,but current clinical treatment remains at the level of symptomatic support and there is a lack of effective targeted treatment measures.Our previous study confirmed that inhalation of hydrogen gas can reduce the acute lung injury of ARDS,but the application of hydrogen has flammable and explosive safety concerns.Drinking hydrogen-rich liquid or inhaling hydrogen gas has been shown to play an important role in scavenging reactive oxygen species and maintaining mitochondrial quality control balance,thus improving ARDS in patients and animal models.Coral calcium hydrogenation(CCH)is a new solid molecular hydrogen carrier prepared from coral calcium(CC).Whether and how CCH affects acute lung injury in ARDS re-mains unstudied.In this study,we observed the therapeutic effect of CCH on lipopolysaccharide(LPS)induced acute lung injury in ARDS mice.The survival rate of mice treated with CCH and hydrogen inhalation was found to be comparable,demonstrating a significant improvement compared to the untreated ARDS model group.CCH treatment significantly reduced pulmonary hemorrhage and edema,and improved pulmonary function and local microcirculation in ARDS mice.CCH promoted mitochon-drial peripheral division in the early course of ARDS by activating mitochondrial thioredoxin 2(Trx2),improved lung mitochondrial dysfunction induced by LPS,and reduced oxidative stress damage.The results indicate that CCH is a highly efficient hydrogen-rich agent that can attenuate acute lung injury of ARDS by improving the mitochondrial function through Trx2 activation.
5.Effects of shaving or segmental bowel resection on intestinal function in patients with bowel endometriosis:a 10-year follow-up study
Qi TIAN ; Yun CHEN ; Xin-xiang LI ; Wei-qi LU ; Jiang-feng YE ; Ke-qin HUA ; Xiao-fang YI
Fudan University Journal of Medical Sciences 2025;52(3):349-357
Objective To investigate the clinical characteristics of preoperative intestinal symptoms in patients with bowel endometriosis and to compare the effects of shaving versus segmental bowel resection on postoperative intestinal function.Methods A total of 105 patients diagnosed with bowel endometriosis and treated by the same surgical team at the Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital,Fudan University between Aug 1,2013 and Dec 30,2017 were prospectively enrolled in this study.Clinical data were collected via outpatient visits and telephone follow-ups at four time points:preoperative(T0)and postoperative(T1:Nov 2018;T2:Nov 2020;T3:Apr 2024).The primary outcome was bowel symptoms and gastrointestinal function scores;secondary outcome was pain scores.A generalized estimating equation(GEE)model was used to analyze the interaction effect of surgical approach and follow-up time on outcomes.Results Ultimately,a total of 89 patients were included(15.24%loss to follow-up),among whom 79 patients(88.76%)underwent shaving excision.Preoperatively,46 patients(51.68%)presented with bowel symptoms,primarily anus bulge(21 cases,46.65%)and diarrhea(15 cases,32.61%)during menstruation.Postoperatively,there was a significant increase in constipation rates(T1:71.43%;T2:50.00%;T3:72.00%).Both surgical groups exhibited significant improvements in dysmenorrhea,gastrointestinal discomfort scores as well as gastrointestinal quality of life index(P<0.000 5).However,the segmental resection group had significantly higher scores for low anterior resection syndrome,constipation compared with the shaving excision group(P=0.02 and P=0.05).Conclusion Approximately half of the patients with bowel endometriosis exhibit typical bowel symptoms preoperatively,such as anus bulge and diarrhea.Both shaving excision and segmental resection effectively alleviate pain;however,shaving excision demonstrates an advantage regarding preservation of bowel function,whereas segmental resection may elevate risks associated with postoperative constipation or altered defecation patterns due to structural changes.The selection of surgical approach should carefully balance lesion removal and functional preservation,moreover,be sure that potential risks are thoroughly informed to patients prior to surgery.
6.ACOT11 Gene Knockout Aggravates Kidney Tissue Fibrosis in UUO Mice
Bo-liang KE ; Chu-jiang HE ; Qi-lin TANG ; Wei-ming MOU ; Yan ZHUANG ; Yi SHAO
Progress in Modern Biomedicine 2025;25(9):1441-1451
Objective:To explore the role and possible mechanism of ACOT11 in renal fibrosis model mice.Methods:A mouse model of renal fibrosis was established by unilateral ureteral obstruction(UUO)(Sham group and UUO7 group),and the expression of ACOT11 in the kidneys of UUO induced fibrosis mouse models was detected by protein immunoblotting and real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR(qRT-PCR).Subsequently,immunohistochemistry,Masson staining,H&E staining,PAS staining,and other experimental methods were used to detect the expression levels of fibrosis biomarkers fibronectin,α-SMA,and COL-1 in the kidneys of control and experimental group mice.In addition,by constructing ACOT11 gene knockout model mice and using the gene knockout model mice to construct a renal fibrosis model,the expression levels of fibrosis biomarkers such as fibronectin,α-SMA,COL-1,as well as fibrosis mechanism pathway related indicators TGF-β and Smad2 in the kidneys of each group of mice were further detected.Results:The results of WB and qRT-PCR experiments showed that the expression of ACOT11 in the kidney tissue of UUO model mice was significantly reduced compared to the Sham group.After knocking out the ACOT11 gene,H&E staining,PAS staining,and Masson staining showed that pathological inflammatory reactions such as abnormal glomerular and tubular structures,inflammatory cell infiltration and interstitial fibrous tissue proliferation in mice were significantly aggravated compared to the control group,and the expression of fibrosis markers Fibronectin,α-SMA,and COL-1 was significantly higher than that of the control group.Conclusion:ACOT11 plays a protective role in mice with unilateral ureteral obstruction model.After ACOT11 gene knockout,the fibrosis biomarkers of the mouse kidney increases and the degree of fibrosis worsens.
7.Effect of removing microglia from spinal cord on nerve repair after spinal cord injury in mice.
Qi JIANG ; Chao QI ; Yuerong SUN ; Shiyuan XUE ; Xinyi WEI ; Haitao FU
Chinese Journal of Reparative and Reconstructive Surgery 2025;39(6):754-761
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the effects of removing microglia from spinal cord on nerve repair and functional recovery after spinal cord injury (SCI) in mice.
METHODS:
Thirty-nine 6-week-old female C57BL/6 mice were randomly divided into control group ( n=12), SCI group ( n=12), and PLX3397+SCI group ( n=15). The PLX3397+SCI group received continuous feeding of PLX3397, a colony-stimulating factor 1 receptor inhibitor, while the other two groups were fed a standard diet. After 14 days, both the SCI group and the PLX3397+SCI group were tested for ionized calcium binding adapter molecule 1 (Iba1) to confirm that the PLX3397+SCI group had completely depleted the spinal cord microglia. The SCI model was then prepared by clamping the spinal cord in both the SCI group and the PLX3397+SCI group, while the control group underwent laminectomy. Preoperatively and at 1, 3, 7, 14, 21, and 28 days postoperatively, the Basso Mouse Scale (BMS) was used to assess the hind limb function of mice in each group. At 28 days, a footprint test was conducted to observe the gait of the mice. After SCI, spinal cord tissue from the injury site was taken, and Iba1 immunofluorescence staining was performed at 7 days to observe the aggregation and proliferation of microglia in the spinal cord. HE staining was used to observe the formation of glial scars at the injury site at 28 days; glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) immunofluorescence staining was applied to astrocytes to assess the extent of the injured area; neuronal nuclei antigen (NeuN) immunofluorescence staining was used to evaluate neuronal survival. And 5-hydroxytryptamine (5-HT) immunofluorescence staining was performed to assess axonal survival at 60 days.
RESULTS:
All mice survived until the end of the experiment. Immunofluorescence staining revealed that the microglia in the spinal cord of the PLX3397+SCI group decreased by more than 95% compared to the control group after 14 days of continuous feeding with PLX3397 ( P<0.05). Compared to the control group, the BMS scores in the PLX3397+SCI group and the SCI group significantly decreased at different time points after SCI ( P<0.05). Moreover, the PLX3397+SCI group showed a further decrease in BMS scores compared to the SCI group, and exhibited a dragging gait. The differences between the two groups were significant at 14, 21, and 28 days ( P<0.05). HE staining at 28 days revealed that the SCI group had formed a well-defined and dense gliotic scar, while the PLX3397+SCI group also developed a gliotic scar, but with a more blurred and loose boundary. Immunofluorescence staining revealed that the number of microglia near the injury center at 7 days increased in the SCI group than in the control group, but the difference between groups was not significant ( P>0.05). In contrast, the PLX3397+SCI group showed a significant reduction in microglia compared to both the control and SCI groups ( P<0.05). At 28 days after SCI, the area of spinal cord injury in the PLX3397+SCI group was significantly larger than that in SCI group ( P<0.05); the surviving neurons significantly reduced compared with the control group and SCI group ( P<0.05). The axonal necrosis and retraction at 60 days after SCI were more obvious.
CONCLUSION
The removal of microglia in the spinal cord aggravate the tissue damage after SCI and affecte the recovery of motor function in mice, suggesting that microglia played a neuroprotective role in SCI.
Animals
;
Spinal Cord Injuries/surgery*
;
Microglia/pathology*
;
Female
;
Mice
;
Mice, Inbred C57BL
;
Nerve Regeneration/drug effects*
;
Spinal Cord/pathology*
;
Pyrroles/administration & dosage*
;
Aminopyridines/administration & dosage*
;
Recovery of Function
;
Disease Models, Animal
;
Calcium-Binding Proteins/metabolism*
;
Receptors, Granulocyte-Macrophage Colony-Stimulating Factor/antagonists & inhibitors*
;
Microfilament Proteins/metabolism*
;
Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein/metabolism*
8.Treatment of inferior pole patellar fractures with suture anchors and headless compression screws.
Junsong WANG ; Wei ZHANG ; Zhuang TIAN ; Yu JIANG ; Qi YAO
Chinese Journal of Reparative and Reconstructive Surgery 2025;39(12):1521-1525
OBJECTIVE:
To evaluate the effectiveness of suture anchors combined with headless compression screw fixation in treating inferior pole patellar fractures.
METHODS:
A retrospective analysis was conducted on 36 patients with inferior pole patellar fractures, who were admitted between January 2018 and October 2024 and met the selective criteria. There were 15 males and 21 females with a mean age of 52.3 years (range, 23-81 years). The fracture were reduced and fixed using suture anchors combined with headless compression screws. The operation time, intraoperative blood loss, and the length of hospital stay were recorded. Functional recovery was assessed using knee range of motion (ROM), Hospital for Special Surgery (HSS) knee score, and Böstman patellar fracture efficacy score.
RESULTS:
The operation time ranged from 10 to 100 minutes, with an average of 57.6 minutes. The intraoperative blood loss was 10 to 120 mL, with an average of 73.3 mL. The length of hospital stay was 5 to 10 days, with an average of 6.3 days. All incisions healed by first intention. All 36 patients were followed up 18-24 months (mean, 20.6 months). Postoperative X-ray films indicated that the fractures had healed; no screw breakage, anchor loosening, or implant foreign body rejection reactions occurred during follow-up. At last follow-up, the ROM of the affected knee joint was (136.0±2.3)°, and there was no significant difference when compared with the healthy side (136.6±2.3)° ( t=-1.944, P=0.060). The HSS score of the affected knee joint was 96-100 (mean, 99.1), and all cases were rated as excellent. The Böstman patellar fracture efficacy score was 27-30 (mean, 29.1), and 35 cases were rated as excellent and 1 as good.
CONCLUSION
The suture anchors combined with headless compression screws technique provides reliable fixation for inferior pole patellar fractures. This method combines surgical simplicity with excellent functional outcomes.
Humans
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Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Bone Screws
;
Aged
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Patella/surgery*
;
Fracture Fixation, Internal/instrumentation*
;
Adult
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Suture Anchors
;
Fractures, Bone/surgery*
;
Range of Motion, Articular
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Young Adult
;
Operative Time
;
Length of Stay
9.Clinical characteristics of Behçet syndrome in 45 children.
Chen-Xi WEI ; Shu-Feng ZHI ; Li-Jun JIANG ; Xue ZHAO ; Qing-Xiao SU ; Xing-Jie QI ; Zan-Hua RONG
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2025;27(10):1253-1258
OBJECTIVES:
To study the clinical characteristics of pediatric Behçet syndrome (BS).
METHODS:
A retrospective review was conducted on the medical records of children hospitalized in the Department of Pediatrics at the Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University between December 2014 and December 2024 who met diagnostic criteria for BS.
RESULTS:
Among 45 children with BS, 26 (58%) were male. Oral aphthous ulcers were the most common manifestation (43/45, 96%), followed by genital ulcers (23/45, 51%) and gastrointestinal involvement (18/45, 40%). Genital ulcers were more frequent in girls, whereas ocular involvement was more common in boys (P<0.05). The pathergy test was positive in 10 (22%), and HLA-B51 was positive in 13 (29%). Fecal calprotectin (FC) was elevated in 16 (36%); gastrointestinal involvement was more frequent in children with elevated FC than in those with normal FC (P<0.05). According to the respective criteria, 17 (38%) patients met the International Study Group criteria (1990), 33 (73%) met the International Criteria for Behçet Disease (2014), and 13 (29%) met the Pediatric Behçet Disease criteria (2015).
CONCLUSIONS
Pediatric BS shows marked clinical heterogeneity. HLA-B51 is associated with disease susceptibility.
Humans
;
Behcet Syndrome/genetics*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Child
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Adolescent
;
Child, Preschool
;
Leukocyte L1 Antigen Complex/analysis*
;
HLA-B51 Antigen
10.Study on Differential DNA Methylation Profiles of Patients with High-Altitude Polycythemia.
Jun-Hua JI ; Min YANG ; Yan JIANG ; Ting-Xian YANG ; Xiao-Jing MA ; Qi-Chao YIN ; Hong-Wei YIN ; Lin-Hua JI
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2025;33(2):580-586
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the whole-genome differential methylation profile of patients with high-altitude polycythemia (HAPC).
METHODS:
In this study, a total of 20 adult male patients with HAPC were included, including 10 Tibetan and 10 Han patients. The control group consisted of 20 healthy adult males, including 10 Tibetan and 10 Han patients. Peripheral blood was collected from each group for DNA extraction and quality inspection, and DNA libraries were constructed. The differential methylation regions (DMRs) between groups were detected using reduced representation bisulfite sequencing, with enriched regions compared to those of the control group. The differential enrichment regions were selected, and the intersection of the enriched regions was associated with genes. The methylation enrichment regions that differed significantly between groups were filtered based on the number of enriched samples in the enriched regions between the groups. GO, KEGG functional, and pathway analysis were performed on the differentially associated gene sets to reveal significant differences between the patients and control groups at the functional and pathway levels.
RESULTS:
In comparison with the control group, 17 152 sites with more than 25% difference and 15 558 sites with less than -25% difference were identified in Tibetan patients. The top 5 genes with the largest methylation differences between the two groups were MCCC2, RP3-399L15.3, ZNF621, RP11-394A14.2 and SLC39A10. The top significantly different pathways annotated in the differentially expressed genes pathway was serotonergic synapse. In comparison with the control group, 2 687 CpG sites with a greater than 25% difference and 2 602 CpG sites with a less than -25% difference were identified in Han patients. The top 5 genes with the largest methylation differences between the two groups were NAA25, CORO2B, PDC, ZNF853, and MLLT10. The top significantly different pathways annotated in the differentially expressed genes pathway were glutamatergic synapse, retrograde endocannabinoid signaling, Rap1 signaling pathway and cholinergic synapse. In comparison with the control group, 3 895 CpG sites with a greater than 25% difference and 3 969 CpG sites with a less than -25% difference were identified in HAPC patients. The maximum methylation difference between the two groups could reach 78.1%, while the minimum was -42.6%. The top 5 genes with the largest methylation differences between the two groups were MCCC2, ARSJ, CTNNA3, SLC39A10, and SWAP70. The top significantly different pathways annotated in the differentially expressed genes pathway was signaling pathways regulating pluripotency of stem cells.
CONCLUSION
The occurrence of HAPC may be related to abnormal changes in DNA methylation, and methylation sites may be helpful for the early diagnosis of HAPC.
Humans
;
DNA Methylation
;
Altitude
;
Polycythemia/genetics*
;
Male
;
Adult
;
CpG Islands

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