1.Risk factors for 1-year death after surgery in elderly patients with hip fractures and accuracy of prediction model: based on LASSO-logistic regression
Hong WU ; Weicha CAI ; Qiqi JIN ; Yingfeng ZHOU ; Kaiming YUAN ; Ting LI ; Jun LI
Chinese Journal of Anesthesiology 2024;44(1):15-19
Objective:To identify the risk factors for 1-year death after surgery in elderly patients with hip fractures and evaluate the accuracy of the prediction model based on LASSO-logistic regression analysis.Methods:A case-control study was conducted on elderly patients (age ≥65 yr) who underwent surgical treatment for hip fractures in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University from January to December 2019. Patients were divided into death group and survival group according to their survival status at 1-year after surgery. General data and preoperative laboratory indicators were obtained. The variables were selected by utilizing LASSO regression and incorporated into multivariate logistic regression analysis to identify the risk factors for 1-year death after surgery in elderly patients with hip fractures. Then a prediction model was established based on the results and evaluated.Results:There were 63 patients in death group and 564 in survival group. The results of LASSO regression and multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age, preoperative cognitive dysfunction, Chalson comorbidity index ≥3 points and preoperative serum prealbumin level were the independent risk factors for 1-year death after surgery in elderly patients with hip fractures ( P<0.05). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the prediction model was 0.788 (95% confidence interval [0.731-0.846]), with the sensitivity and specificity of 76.2% and 68.6% respectively. The average absolute error of the calibration curve was 0.007. The results of Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed that there was no significant difference between the predicted value and actual observed value ( χ2=5.065, P=0.751). Decision curve analysis showed that patients had a high net benefit rate when the threshold probability range was 0-0.7. Conclusions:Age, preoperative cognitive dysfunction, Chalson comorbidity index ≥3 points and preoperative serum prealbumin level are the independent risk factors for 1-year death after surgery in elderly patients with hip fractures, and the prediction model developed based on LASSO-logistic regression has high accuracy.
2. MW-9, a chalcones derivative bearing heterocyclic moieties, ameliorates ulcerative colitis via regulating MAPK signaling pathway
Zhao WU ; Nan-Ting ZOU ; Chun-Fei ZHANG ; Hao-Hong ZHANG ; Qing-Yan MO ; Ze-Wei MAO ; Chun-Ping WAN ; Ming-Qian JU ; Chun-Ping WAN ; Xing-Cai XU
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2024;40(3):514-520
Aim To investigate the therapeutic effect of the MW-9 on ulcerative colitis(UC)and reveal the underlying mechanism, so as to provide a scientific guidance for the MW-9 treatment of UC. Methods The model of lipopolysaccharide(LPS)-stimulated RAW264.7 macrophage cells was established. The effect of MW-9 on RAW264.7 cells viability was detected by MTT assay. The levels of nitric oxide(NO)in RAW264.7 macrophages were measured by Griess assay. Cell supernatants and serum levels of inflammatory cytokines containing IL-6, TNF-α and IL-1β were determined by ELISA kits. Dextran sulfate sodium(DSS)-induced UC model in mice was established and body weight of mice in each group was measured. The histopathological damage degree of colonic tissue was assessed by HE staining. The protein expression of p-p38, p-ERK1/2 and p-JNK was detected by Western blot. Results MW-9 intervention significantly inhibited NO release in RAW264.7 macrophages with IC50 of 20.47 mg·L-1 and decreased the overproduction of inflammatory factors IL-6, IL-1β and TNF-α(P<0.05). MW-9 had no cytotoxicity at the concentrations below 6 mg·L-1. After MW-9 treatment, mouse body weight was gradually reduced, and the serum IL-6, IL-1β and TNF-α levels were significantly down-regulated. Compared with the model group, MW-9 significantly decreased the expression of p-p38 and p-ERK1/2 protein. Conclusions MW-9 has significant anti-inflammatory activities both in vitro and in vivo, and its underlying mechanism for the treatment of UC may be associated with the inhibition of MAPK signaling pathway.
3. Analysis of cerebral gray matter structure in multiple sclerosis and neuromyelitis optica
Xiao-Li LIU ; Ai-Xue WU ; Ru-Hua LI ; An-Ting WU ; Cheng-Chun CHEN ; Lin XU ; Cai-Yun WEN ; Dai-Qian CHEN
Acta Anatomica Sinica 2024;55(1):17-24
Objective The volume and cortical thickness of gray matter in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) and neuromyelitis optica (NMO) were compared and analyzed by voxel⁃based morphometry (VBM) and surface⁃based morphometry (SBM), and the differences in the structural changes of gray matter in the two diseases were discussed. Methods A total of 21 MS patients, 16 NMO patients and 19 healthy controls were scanned by routine MRI sequence. The data were processed and analyzed by VBM and SBM method based on the statistical parameter tool SPM12 of Matlab2014a platform and the small tool CAT12 under SPM12. Results Compared with the normal control group (NC), after Gaussian random field (GRF) correction, the gray matter volume in MS group was significantly reduced in left superior occipital, left cuneus, left calcarine, left precuneus, left postcentral, left central paracentral lobule, right cuneus, left middle frontal, left superior frontal and left superior medial frontal (P<0. 05). After family wise error (FWE) correction, the thickness of left paracentral, left superiorfrontal and left precuneus cortex in MS group was significantly reduced (P<0. 05). Compared with the NC group, after GRF correction, the gray matter volume in the left postcentral, left precentral, left inferior parietal, right precentral and right middle frontal in NMO group was significantly increased (P<0. 05). In NMO group, the volume of gray matter in left middle occipital, left superior occipital, left inferior temporal, right middle occipital, left superior frontal orbital, right middle cingulum, left anterior cingulum, right angular and left precuneus were significantly decreased (P<0. 05). Brain regions showed no significant differences in cortical thickness between NMO groups after FWE correction. Compared with the NMO group, after GRF correction, the gray matter volume in the right fusiform and right middle frontal in MS group was increased significantly(P<0. 05). In MS group, the gray matter volume of left thalamus, left pallidum, left precentral, left middle frontal, left middle temporal, right pallidum, left inferior parietal and right superior parietal were significantly decreased (P<0. 05). After FWE correction, the thickness of left inferiorparietal, left superiorparietal, left supramarginal, left paracentral, left superiorfrontal and left precuneus cortex in MS group decreased significantly (P<0. 05). Conclusion The atrophy of brain gray matter structure in MS patients mainly involves the left parietal region, while NMO patients are not sensitive to the change of brain gray matter structure. The significant difference in brain gray matter volume between MS patients and NMO patients is mainly located in the deep cerebral nucleus mass.
4.Correlation between Combined Urinary Metal Exposure and Grip Strength under Three Statistical Models: A Cross-sectional Study in Rural Guangxi
Jian Yu LIANG ; Hui Jia RONG ; Xiu Xue WANG ; Sheng Jian CAI ; Dong Li QIN ; Mei Qiu LIU ; Xu TANG ; Ting Xiao MO ; Fei Yan WEI ; Xia Yin LIN ; Xiang Shen HUANG ; Yu Ting LUO ; Yu Ruo GOU ; Jing Jie CAO ; Wu Chu HUANG ; Fu Yu LU ; Jian QIN ; Yong Zhi ZHANG
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2024;37(1):3-18
Objective This study aimed to investigate the potential relationship between urinary metals copper (Cu), arsenic (As), strontium (Sr), barium (Ba), iron (Fe), lead (Pb) and manganese (Mn) and grip strength. Methods We used linear regression models, quantile g-computation and Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) to assess the relationship between metals and grip strength.Results In the multimetal linear regression, Cu (β=-2.119), As (β=-1.318), Sr (β=-2.480), Ba (β=0.781), Fe (β= 1.130) and Mn (β=-0.404) were significantly correlated with grip strength (P < 0.05). The results of the quantile g-computation showed that the risk of occurrence of grip strength reduction was -1.007 (95% confidence interval:-1.362, -0.652; P < 0.001) when each quartile of the mixture of the seven metals was increased. Bayesian kernel function regression model analysis showed that mixtures of the seven metals had a negative overall effect on grip strength, with Cu, As and Sr being negatively associated with grip strength levels. In the total population, potential interactions were observed between As and Mn and between Cu and Mn (Pinteractions of 0.003 and 0.018, respectively).Conclusion In summary, this study suggests that combined exposure to metal mixtures is negatively associated with grip strength. Cu, Sr and As were negatively correlated with grip strength levels, and there were potential interactions between As and Mn and between Cu and Mn.
5.A multi-center epidemiological study on pneumococcal meningitis in children from 2019 to 2020
Cai-Yun WANG ; Hong-Mei XU ; Gang LIU ; Jing LIU ; Hui YU ; Bi-Quan CHEN ; Guo ZHENG ; Min SHU ; Li-Jun DU ; Zhi-Wei XU ; Li-Su HUANG ; Hai-Bo LI ; Dong WANG ; Song-Ting BAI ; Qing-Wen SHAN ; Chun-Hui ZHU ; Jian-Mei TIAN ; Jian-Hua HAO ; Ai-Wei LIN ; Dao-Jiong LIN ; Jin-Zhun WU ; Xin-Hua ZHANG ; Qing CAO ; Zhong-Bin TAO ; Yuan CHEN ; Guo-Long ZHU ; Ping XUE ; Zheng-Zhen TANG ; Xue-Wen SU ; Zheng-Hai QU ; Shi-Yong ZHAO ; Lin PANG ; Hui-Ling DENG ; Sai-Nan SHU ; Ying-Hu CHEN
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2024;26(2):131-138
Objective To investigate the clinical characteristics and prognosis of pneumococcal meningitis(PM),and drug sensitivity of Streptococcus pneumoniae(SP)isolates in Chinese children.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical information,laboratory data,and microbiological data of 160 hospitalized children under 15 years old with PM from January 2019 to December 2020 in 33 tertiary hospitals across the country.Results Among the 160 children with PM,there were 103 males and 57 females.The age ranged from 15 days to 15 years,with 109 cases(68.1% )aged 3 months to under 3 years.SP strains were isolated from 95 cases(59.4% )in cerebrospinal fluid cultures and from 57 cases(35.6% )in blood cultures.The positive rates of SP detection by cerebrospinal fluid metagenomic next-generation sequencing and cerebrospinal fluid SP antigen testing were 40% (35/87)and 27% (21/78),respectively.Fifty-five cases(34.4% )had one or more risk factors for purulent meningitis,113 cases(70.6% )had one or more extra-cranial infectious foci,and 18 cases(11.3% )had underlying diseases.The most common clinical symptoms were fever(147 cases,91.9% ),followed by lethargy(98 cases,61.3% )and vomiting(61 cases,38.1% ).Sixty-nine cases(43.1% )experienced intracranial complications during hospitalization,with subdural effusion and/or empyema being the most common complication[43 cases(26.9% )],followed by hydrocephalus in 24 cases(15.0% ),brain abscess in 23 cases(14.4% ),and cerebral hemorrhage in 8 cases(5.0% ).Subdural effusion and/or empyema and hydrocephalus mainly occurred in children under 1 year old,with rates of 91% (39/43)and 83% (20/24),respectively.SP strains exhibited complete sensitivity to vancomycin(100% ,75/75),linezolid(100% ,56/56),and meropenem(100% ,6/6).High sensitivity rates were also observed for levofloxacin(81% ,22/27),moxifloxacin(82% ,14/17),rifampicin(96% ,25/26),and chloramphenicol(91% ,21/23).However,low sensitivity rates were found for penicillin(16% ,11/68)and clindamycin(6% ,1/17),and SP strains were completely resistant to erythromycin(100% ,31/31).The rates of discharge with cure and improvement were 22.5% (36/160)and 66.2% (106/160),respectively,while 18 cases(11.3% )had adverse outcomes.Conclusions Pediatric PM is more common in children aged 3 months to under 3 years.Intracranial complications are more frequently observed in children under 1 year old.Fever is the most common clinical manifestation of PM,and subdural effusion/emphysema and hydrocephalus are the most frequent complications.Non-culture detection methods for cerebrospinal fluid can improve pathogen detection rates.Adverse outcomes can be noted in more than 10% of PM cases.SP strains are high sensitivity to vancomycin,linezolid,meropenem,levofloxacin,moxifloxacin,rifampicin,and chloramphenicol.[Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics,2024,26(2):131-138]
6.Establishment and evaluation of non-obese polycystic ovary syndrome rat model
Shiqing QIAO ; Ting WANG ; Yonghuang YAN ; Jiusi YANG ; Yuling YU ; Yanmin WANG ; Yateng SUN ; Yujie WU ; Peixuan ZHU ; Min LI ; Cong CHEN ; Zeqi SU ; Cai ZHANG
Acta Laboratorium Animalis Scientia Sinica 2024;32(8):965-975
Objective To establish a stable rat model of non-obese polycystic ovary syndrome(PCOS)with clinical characteristics.Methods Dehydroepiandrosterone(DHEA)was used to establish a PCOS rat model by subcutaneous injection.Three-week-old female SD rats were divided into a normal group,6 mg/kg DHEA model group,and 60 mg/kg DHEA model group.The model groups were subcutaneously injected with the corresponding dose of DHEA daily,while the normal group was subcutaneously injected with glycerol daily for 21 consecutive days.The model was evaluated with ovarian histopathology as the gold standard to determine the optimal dosage of DHEA to induce a PCOS rat model.On this basis,the optimal DHEA modeling dose was selected,and stop and continue modeling groups were set up to observe the model for 28 days and evaluate its maintenance.The stop modeling group was no longer given DHEA,and the continued modeling group was subcutaneously injected with 60 mg/kg DHEA every 48 h.The evaluation indicators included body mass,estrous cycle,fasting blood glucose,serum insulin,histopathologic morphology of the ovaries,and serum sex hormone levels.Results(1)Compared with the normal group,the 6 mg/kg and 60 mg/kg DHEA model groups showed no significant difference in body mass,and their estrous cycles were irregular.There were more cystically dilated large follicles in the ovaries;fewer mature follicles;reduced layers of granulosa cells,which were arranged in a sparse and disorganized manner;and fewer lutea in the 6 mg/kg and 60 mg/kg DHEA model groups than the normal group.Furthermore,serum T and E2 levels were significantly higher in the 60 mg/kg DHEA model group(P<0.05)than the normal group.(2)The stop modeling group(A2 group)resumed regular estrous cycles after 2 weeks,various growth follicles and corpora lutea were observed in the ovarian tissues,the number of cystic follicles was reduced,the number of granulosa cell layers increased,mature follicles were visible,oocyte morphology was locally intact,and the levels of E2 and AMH were reduced compared with the normal group(A1 group)(P<0.05).(3)The continue model group(B2 group)was in the late stage of estrous cycle for a long period,and there were more large follicles with cystic dilatation,fewer mature follicles,fewer layers of granulosa cells with a sparse and disordered arrangement,and significantly fewer corpus lutea in the ovaries compared with the normal group(B1 group).The levels of serum LH,LH/FSH,and T were elevated(P<0.05).Conclusions Subcutaneous injection of 60 mg/kg DHEA for 21 consecutive days can be used to successfully construct a non-obese PCOS rat model that possesses clinical characteristics.Subcutaneous injection of 60 mg/kg DHEA every 48 hours maintains the stability of the model.
7.Nomogram model based on multimodal ultrasound for predicting sentinel lymph node metastasis in patients with breast cancer
Xiao ZU ; Weilu DONG ; Ting CAI ; Qin ZHANG ; Chun ZHAO ; Ye QIANG ; Yiyun WU
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2024;33(10):862-870
Objective:To analyze the multimodal ultrasound characteristics of primary breast cancer and sentinel lymph node (SLN) and to establish a nomogram model for predicting SLN metastasis in invasive breast cancer, thereby providing reference for precise clinical diagnosis and treatment.Methods:A total of 329 patients diagnosed with invasive breast cancer and admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine from June 2018 to October 2023 were retrospectively enrolled. They were randomly divided into a training cohort ( n=230) and a validation cohort ( n=99) in a ratio of 7 to 3. In the training cohort, ultrasound findings and clinical parameters were analyzed, univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent predictive factors for SLN metastasis, and a nomogram model was constructed based on these factors. The ROC curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were plotted between the training and validation cohorts to assess the discrimination, calibration, and clinical applicability of the nomogram model. Results:Regression analysis identified 3 independent risk factors for establishing the nomogram prediction model: ratio of the long diameter to the short diameter of SLN ( P=0.020), lymphatic contrast-enhanced ultrasound (LCEUS) enhancement pattern ( P<0.001) and intravenous contrast-enhanced ultrasound (ICEUS) enhancement mode ( P=0.002). The area under the curve (AUC) of the training cohort was 0.888, the accuracy was 0.865; the AUC of the validation cohort was 0.870, the accuracy was 0.859, demonstrating good predictive performance of the model in both cohorts. The calibration curve demonstrated that the nomogram has a strong concordance between predicted and actual probability. DCA demonstrated that the nomogram could increase net benefit within a certain probability threshold range. Conclusions:The nomogram based on ratio of the long diameter to the short diameter of SLN, LCEUS enhancement pattern and ICEUS enhancement mode can effectively predict SLN status in patients with invasive breast cancer, facilitating precise diagnosis and treatment.
8.Research on Syndrome and Treatment Rules of Famous Doctors in Treating Ulcerative Colitis Based on Data Mining
Yujie WU ; Ting WANG ; Peixuan ZHU ; Yonghuang YAN ; Han YANG ; Wenting ZHANG ; Fang YAN ; Shiqing QIAO ; Cai ZHANG ; Zeqi SU
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2023;64(21):2241-2247
ObjectiveTo systematically review the clinical experience of four sessions of Masters of Traditional Chinese Medicine and two sessions of National Famous Chinese Medicine Practitioners in treating ulcerative colitis (UC). Data mining and analysis were conducted to clarify the diagnosis and treatment ideas and characteristics of prescription used by these famous doctors in treating UC. MethodsRelevant literature on the treatment of UC by renowned doctors was retrieved from the establishment of the database until March 31, 2023. The literature was collected from databases such as China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), Wanfang Data Knowledge Service Platform, Chinese Science and Technology Periodicals Database, and China Biomedical Literature Database. The data mining techniques including frequency analysis, association rules, and cluster analysis were conducted using the Ancient and Modern Medical Case Cloud Platform V2.3.5. ResultsA total of 157 literatures were included in this study, including 115 clinical case data. The study found that UC can be categorized into 14 types of syndrome patterns for treatment, including large intestine dampness-heat syndrome (75,65.22%), syndrome of dampness stagnancy due to spleen deficiency (23, 20.00%), spleen-kidney yang deficiency syndrome (21, 18.26%). The main affected organs were the spleen (85, 73.91%) and large intestine (75, 65.22%), and they were closely related to liver (24, 20.87%) and the kidney (21, 18.26%). The predominant pathogenic factors were dampness (83, 72.17%) , heat (80, 69.57%) and qi deficiency (65, 56.52%). The treatment involved 30 kinds of treatment methods, including heat-clearing and dampness-draining method (75, 65.22%), pleen-tonifying and qi-boosting method (25,21.74%) and spleen-invigorating and dampness-transforming method (23, 20.00%). The medication involved 187 ingredients, with the most commonly used being heat-clearing herbs (37, 19.79%) and tonifying herbs (27, 14.44%). The tastes of the herbs were mostly sweet (85, 45.45%) , bitter (80, 42.78%) , and pungent (71, 37.97%). The association rules revealed 16 high-frequency combinations mainly composed of Huanglian (黄连), Baishao (白芍) and Gancao (甘草) along with Baizhu (白术), Fuling (茯苓), Muxiang (木香) and Danggui (当归). ConclusionFamous doctors are skilled in diagnosing and treating UC based on the differentiation of the zang-fu organs and qi-blood. The key pathological mechanism is “spleen deficiency as the root, and large intestine damp-heat as the manifestation”. The core treatment approach is “heat-clearing, spleen-tonifying, and dampness-draining”, with the inclusion of “regulating qi and blood, and balancing cold and heat”.
10.Influence of effective liver drainage volume on overall survival in patients with malignant hilar biliary obstruction: a multicenter study
Mingxing XIA ; Yanglin PAN ; Xiaobo CAI ; Xianrong HU ; Jun WU ; Daojian GAO ; Tiantian WANG ; Cui CHEN ; Rui LU ; Ting ZHANG ; Bing HU
Chinese Journal of Digestive Endoscopy 2023;40(5):391-396
Objective:To investigate the influence of liver drainage volume on overall survival time in patients with unresectable malignant hilar bile duct obstruction.Methods:Data of 633 patients with unresectable malignant hilar bile duct obstruction (BismuthⅡ-Ⅳ) who underwent endoscopic stent drainage in 3 endoscopy centers from January 2002 to May 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. Main observation indicators included clinical success rate, stent patency, overall survival, the effective liver drainage volume, and complication incidence.Results:The clinical success rates of patients with liver drainage volume <30%, 30%-50%, and >50% were 56.8% (25/44), 77.3% (201/260) and 84.2% (277/329) respectively. The incidences of early cholangitis were 31.8% (14/44), 18.8% (49/260) and 16.1% (53/329). The median stent patency time was 4.5 (95% CI: 1.8-7.2) months, 5.6 (95% CI: 5.0-6.2) months and 6.6 (95% CI: 5.2-8.0) months. The overall survival time was 2.4 (95% CI: 1.8-3.0) months, 4.0 (95% CI: 3.4-4.6) months and 4.9 (95% CI:4.4-5.4) months, respectively. The clinical success rate ( χ 2=8.28, P=0.012), median stent patency period ( χ 2=18.87, P=0.015) and overall survival time ( χ 2=6.93, P=0.024) of 30%-50% liver drainage volume group were significantly higher than those of <30% group. Further multivariate cox regression analysis showed that the disease type (hepatocellular carcinoma VS hilar cholangiocarcinoma: HR=1.50, 95% CI:1.18-1.91, P=0.001; gallbladder carcinoma VS hilar cholangiocarcinoma: HR=1.45, 95% CI:1.14-1.85, P=0.002; metastatic cholangiocarcinoma VS hilar cholangiocarcinoma: HR=1.48, 95% CI:1.08-2.04, P=0.015), bilirubin level >200 μmol/L ( HR=1.35, 95% CI:1.14-1.60, P<0.001),metal stents ( HR=0.67, 95% CI:0.56-0.79, P<0.001), liver drainage volume (volume 30%-50% VS <30%: HR=0.64, 95% CI: 0.45-0.90, P=0.010; volume>50% VS <30%: HR=0.58, 95% CI:0.41-0.81, P=0.002) and anti-tumor therapy ( HR=0.51, 95% CI:0.42-0.61, P<0.001) were independent predictors for overall survival time of patients with unresectable malignant hilar bile duct obstruction. Conclusion:When endoscopic stent drainage is performed for patients with unresectable malignant hilar bile duct obstruction, at least 30% liver volume is required for better overall survival. In addition, the use of metal stent drainage and anti-tumor therapy may increase survival benefits.

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail