1.Construction of a predictive model for extracapsular extension after radical prostatectomy in clinically localized prostate cancer based on SEER database
Zhiheng HUANG ; Changbao XU ; Han XU ; Tianhe ZHANG ; Haiyang WEI ; Junfeng GAO ; Changhui FAN
Chinese Journal of Urology 2025;46(3):180-187
Objective:To explore the independent factors influencing extraprostatic extension (EPE) after radical prostatectomy(RP) in patients with clinically localized prostate cancer by utilizing the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. A nomogram model was developed and externally validated.Methods:Clinical and pathological data of 20 916 clinically localized prostate cancer patients (T 1-2N 0M 0) who underwent RP between 2010 and 2021 were extracted from the SEER database. The mean age was (61.71±7.09) years old, and a total of 17 835 patients (85.3%) were married.There were 2 243 patients (10.7%) with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) <4 ng/ml, 14 831 patients (70.9%) with ≥4 and <10 ng/ml, and 2 965 patients (14.2%) with ≥10 and <20 ng/ml. There were 14 870 patients (71.1%) with clinical staging of stage T 1, and 6 046 patients (28.9%) with T 2. There were 48 patients (0.2%) with pathological staging of stage T 1, 15 794 (75.5%) with T 2, 5 001(23.9%) with T 3, and 73 (0.3%) with T 4 stage after radical surgery.The patients of SEER database were divided into training and internal validation groups in a 7∶3 ratio by using stratified sampling. Additionally, data were collected for 75 clinically localized prostate cancer patients who underwent RP at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from September 2019 to September 2024, serving as the external validation group.The mean age was(65.39±7.45) years old. Among them, 73 (97.3%) were married. There were 2 patients (2.7%) with PSA <4 ng/ml, 17 patients (22.7%) with ≥4 and <10 ng/ml, and 34 patients (45.3%) with ≥10 and <20 ng/ml. There were 47 patients (62.7%) with clinical staging of stage T 1, and 28 patients (37.3%) with T 2. There were 7 patients (9.3%) with pathological staging of stage T 1, 48 patients (64.0%)with T 2, 18 patients (24.0%) with T 3, and 2 patients (2.7%) with T 4 stage after radical surgery. All patients were categorized into organ-confined (OC) and EPE groups based on post-surgical pathology. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, with a stepwise backward selection, were performed on the training group to identify independent risk factors of EPE, which were used to construct a nomogram model. Model performance was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve area under the curve (AUC), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA) for the training group, internal validation group, and external validation group. Results:EPE was observed in 3 585 cases (24.5%), 1 489 cases (23.8%), and 20 cases (26.7%) in the training, internal validation, and external validation groups, respectively. Logistic regression analyses identified preoperative age ( OR=1.026, P<0.001), PSA levels (≥10 and <20 ng/ml: OR=1.790, P<0.001; ≥20 ng/ml: OR=2.683, P<0.001), tumor maximum diameter (10-20 mm: OR=2.051, P<0.001; >20 mm: OR=3.937, P<0.001), biopsy Gleason score (score 7: OR=1.911, P<0.001; score 8: OR=2.906, P<0.001; score 9: OR = 5.278, P<0.001; score 10: OR=4.421, P=0.003), number of positive biopsy cores (≥4 cores: OR=1.260, P<0.001), and their proportion of total cores ( OR=1.012, P<0.001) as independent predictors of EPE. The nomogram model demonstrated good predictive performance, with AUC of 0.741, 0.748, and 0.724 in the training, internal validation, and external validation groups, respectively. Calibration and DCA curves confirmed the model’s excellent stability and generalizability. Conclusions:Age, PSA levels, maximum tumor diameter, biopsy Gleason score, number of positive biopsy cores, and their proportion of total cores are independent predictors of EPE after RP in clinically localized prostate cancer. The constructed model effectively predicts the risk of EPE occurrence.
2.Preoperative prediction of factors associated with impacted ureteral stones and construction of a nomogram model
Xinyu SHI ; Haiyang WEI ; Changbao XU ; Wuxue LI ; Xiaofu WANG ; Tianhe ZHANG ; Zhiheng HUANG ; Xinghua ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Urology 2025;46(9):669-675
Objective:To explore the predictive factors for ureteral stone impaction preoperatively and to construct a nomogram prediction model for impacted ureteral stones.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 209 patients with ureteral stones treated at The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from July 2023 to June 2024. There were 164 males(78.5%)and 45 females(21.5%). The age was 49(47,57)years,and the body mass index(BMI)was 25.10(23.55,27.24)kg/m2. Of the patients,85(40.7%)had comorbid hypertension and 85(40.7%)had comorbid diabetes. Stones were located on the left side in 124 patients(59.3%)and on the right side in 85 patients(40.7%). Hydronephrosis was present in 169 patients(80.9%),and urine culture was positive in 29 patients(13.9%). Patients were divided into impacted and non-impacted groups based on the presence or absence of ureteral stone impaction. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to determine independent predictive factors for impacted ureteral stones. A nomogram model was constructed based on these results. The performance of the predictive model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves,calibration plots,and decision curve analysis(DCA).Results:Among the 209 patients in this study,85(40.7%)experienced ureteral stone impaction. The impacted group had a significantly higher neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio(NLR)than the non-impacted group(3.91 ± 2.05 vs. 3.25 ± 2.10, P = 0.024),a higher rate of hydronephrosis[81.2%(69/85)vs. 80.6%(100/124), P = 0.002],larger stone surface area[(64.96 ± 39.96)mm2 vs.(51.86 ± 39.80)mm2, P = 0.021],greater ureteral wall thickness(UWT)[(3.96 ± 1.37)mm vs.(3.06 ± 1.33)mm, P < 0.001],and a higher ratio of the upper ureter diameter(D1)to the lower ureter diameter(D2)(DDR)(2.87 ± 1.58 vs. 2.00 ± 0.99, P < 0.001). Univariate analysis showed that NLR,hydronephrosis,stone length,stone surface area,UWT,D1,D2,and DDR were statistically significant( P < 0.05). After multivariate logistic regression analysis,the following items were identified as independent predictors of impacted ureteral stones:NLR( OR = 1.205,95% CI 1.026 - 1.415, P = 0.023),hydronephrosis( OR = 1.840,95% CI 1.236 - 2.740, P = 0.003),stone length( OR = 1.587,95% CI 1.142 - 2.206, P = 0.006),ureteral wall thickness(UWT)( OR = 1.643,95% CI 1.263 - 2.136, P < 0.001),and DDR( OR = 2.907,95% CI 1.040 - 8.130, P = 0.042).Based on these independent predictive factors,a nomogram prediction model for impacted ureteral stones was constructed. The area under the ROC curve was 0.797(95% CI 0.737 - 0.858),and the calibration curve showed good consistency. The decision curve suggested that the model had good clinical net benefit. Conclusions:NLR,hydronephrosis,stone length,UWT,and DDR are all independent predictors for impacted ureteral stones. The nomogram model constructed based on these factors has good predictive performance.
3.Construction of a predictive model for extracapsular extension after radical prostatectomy in clinically localized prostate cancer based on SEER database
Zhiheng HUANG ; Changbao XU ; Han XU ; Tianhe ZHANG ; Haiyang WEI ; Junfeng GAO ; Changhui FAN
Chinese Journal of Urology 2025;46(3):180-187
Objective:To explore the independent factors influencing extraprostatic extension (EPE) after radical prostatectomy(RP) in patients with clinically localized prostate cancer by utilizing the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. A nomogram model was developed and externally validated.Methods:Clinical and pathological data of 20 916 clinically localized prostate cancer patients (T 1-2N 0M 0) who underwent RP between 2010 and 2021 were extracted from the SEER database. The mean age was (61.71±7.09) years old, and a total of 17 835 patients (85.3%) were married.There were 2 243 patients (10.7%) with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) <4 ng/ml, 14 831 patients (70.9%) with ≥4 and <10 ng/ml, and 2 965 patients (14.2%) with ≥10 and <20 ng/ml. There were 14 870 patients (71.1%) with clinical staging of stage T 1, and 6 046 patients (28.9%) with T 2. There were 48 patients (0.2%) with pathological staging of stage T 1, 15 794 (75.5%) with T 2, 5 001(23.9%) with T 3, and 73 (0.3%) with T 4 stage after radical surgery.The patients of SEER database were divided into training and internal validation groups in a 7∶3 ratio by using stratified sampling. Additionally, data were collected for 75 clinically localized prostate cancer patients who underwent RP at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from September 2019 to September 2024, serving as the external validation group.The mean age was(65.39±7.45) years old. Among them, 73 (97.3%) were married. There were 2 patients (2.7%) with PSA <4 ng/ml, 17 patients (22.7%) with ≥4 and <10 ng/ml, and 34 patients (45.3%) with ≥10 and <20 ng/ml. There were 47 patients (62.7%) with clinical staging of stage T 1, and 28 patients (37.3%) with T 2. There were 7 patients (9.3%) with pathological staging of stage T 1, 48 patients (64.0%)with T 2, 18 patients (24.0%) with T 3, and 2 patients (2.7%) with T 4 stage after radical surgery. All patients were categorized into organ-confined (OC) and EPE groups based on post-surgical pathology. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, with a stepwise backward selection, were performed on the training group to identify independent risk factors of EPE, which were used to construct a nomogram model. Model performance was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve area under the curve (AUC), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA) for the training group, internal validation group, and external validation group. Results:EPE was observed in 3 585 cases (24.5%), 1 489 cases (23.8%), and 20 cases (26.7%) in the training, internal validation, and external validation groups, respectively. Logistic regression analyses identified preoperative age ( OR=1.026, P<0.001), PSA levels (≥10 and <20 ng/ml: OR=1.790, P<0.001; ≥20 ng/ml: OR=2.683, P<0.001), tumor maximum diameter (10-20 mm: OR=2.051, P<0.001; >20 mm: OR=3.937, P<0.001), biopsy Gleason score (score 7: OR=1.911, P<0.001; score 8: OR=2.906, P<0.001; score 9: OR = 5.278, P<0.001; score 10: OR=4.421, P=0.003), number of positive biopsy cores (≥4 cores: OR=1.260, P<0.001), and their proportion of total cores ( OR=1.012, P<0.001) as independent predictors of EPE. The nomogram model demonstrated good predictive performance, with AUC of 0.741, 0.748, and 0.724 in the training, internal validation, and external validation groups, respectively. Calibration and DCA curves confirmed the model’s excellent stability and generalizability. Conclusions:Age, PSA levels, maximum tumor diameter, biopsy Gleason score, number of positive biopsy cores, and their proportion of total cores are independent predictors of EPE after RP in clinically localized prostate cancer. The constructed model effectively predicts the risk of EPE occurrence.
4.Preoperative prediction of factors associated with impacted ureteral stones and construction of a nomogram model
Xinyu SHI ; Haiyang WEI ; Changbao XU ; Wuxue LI ; Xiaofu WANG ; Tianhe ZHANG ; Zhiheng HUANG ; Xinghua ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Urology 2025;46(9):669-675
Objective:To explore the predictive factors for ureteral stone impaction preoperatively and to construct a nomogram prediction model for impacted ureteral stones.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 209 patients with ureteral stones treated at The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from July 2023 to June 2024. There were 164 males(78.5%)and 45 females(21.5%). The age was 49(47,57)years,and the body mass index(BMI)was 25.10(23.55,27.24)kg/m2. Of the patients,85(40.7%)had comorbid hypertension and 85(40.7%)had comorbid diabetes. Stones were located on the left side in 124 patients(59.3%)and on the right side in 85 patients(40.7%). Hydronephrosis was present in 169 patients(80.9%),and urine culture was positive in 29 patients(13.9%). Patients were divided into impacted and non-impacted groups based on the presence or absence of ureteral stone impaction. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to determine independent predictive factors for impacted ureteral stones. A nomogram model was constructed based on these results. The performance of the predictive model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves,calibration plots,and decision curve analysis(DCA).Results:Among the 209 patients in this study,85(40.7%)experienced ureteral stone impaction. The impacted group had a significantly higher neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio(NLR)than the non-impacted group(3.91 ± 2.05 vs. 3.25 ± 2.10, P = 0.024),a higher rate of hydronephrosis[81.2%(69/85)vs. 80.6%(100/124), P = 0.002],larger stone surface area[(64.96 ± 39.96)mm2 vs.(51.86 ± 39.80)mm2, P = 0.021],greater ureteral wall thickness(UWT)[(3.96 ± 1.37)mm vs.(3.06 ± 1.33)mm, P < 0.001],and a higher ratio of the upper ureter diameter(D1)to the lower ureter diameter(D2)(DDR)(2.87 ± 1.58 vs. 2.00 ± 0.99, P < 0.001). Univariate analysis showed that NLR,hydronephrosis,stone length,stone surface area,UWT,D1,D2,and DDR were statistically significant( P < 0.05). After multivariate logistic regression analysis,the following items were identified as independent predictors of impacted ureteral stones:NLR( OR = 1.205,95% CI 1.026 - 1.415, P = 0.023),hydronephrosis( OR = 1.840,95% CI 1.236 - 2.740, P = 0.003),stone length( OR = 1.587,95% CI 1.142 - 2.206, P = 0.006),ureteral wall thickness(UWT)( OR = 1.643,95% CI 1.263 - 2.136, P < 0.001),and DDR( OR = 2.907,95% CI 1.040 - 8.130, P = 0.042).Based on these independent predictive factors,a nomogram prediction model for impacted ureteral stones was constructed. The area under the ROC curve was 0.797(95% CI 0.737 - 0.858),and the calibration curve showed good consistency. The decision curve suggested that the model had good clinical net benefit. Conclusions:NLR,hydronephrosis,stone length,UWT,and DDR are all independent predictors for impacted ureteral stones. The nomogram model constructed based on these factors has good predictive performance.
5.Analysis of the eye lens dose and annual effective dose to some interventional radiation workers in Xinxiang city
Yuxuan MAO ; Bingjie ZHANG ; Yulong LIU ; Xuan WANG ; Tongzhen LIU ; Tianhe JIA ; Fengling ZHAO ; Quanfu SUN ; Dianhui WANG
Chinese Journal of Radiological Medicine and Protection 2024;44(3):216-222
Objective:To analyze the eye lens dose and annual effective dose to interventional radiation workers in some hospitals of Xinxiang city from 2020 to 2022, and to ascertain the dose to interventional radiation workers.Methods:By using TLDs, the eye lens dose Hp(3) and annual effective dose Hp(10) were monitored for three consecutive years in six hospitals in Xinxiang city. The lens doses and annual effective doses to intervention radiation workers in different years in different-level hospitals and departments were analyzed. Results:From 2020 to 2022, a total of 117 people were monitored. The left eye lens dose range was 0.12-164.24 mSv, and the right eye lens dose range was 0.07-51.64 mSv. The average annual dose was 8.56 mSv for left eye lens and 4.49 mSv for right eye lens The average annual dose distribution in the MDL-5 mSv range for the left and right eye lens was 60.68% and 73.50%, respectively. 9.41% (11 people) of the left eye lens doses exceeded 20 mSv. The annual effective doses range was 0.11-31.27 mSv, with average annual dose of 2.56 mSv. The proportion of average annual effective doses mainly distributed in the range of MDL to 1.25 mSv was 52.14%, with 2.56% annual effective dose exceeding 20 mSv. There was no significant difference in left and right eye lens dose and annual effective dose between the tertiary hospitals and the secondary hospitals in three years ( P>0.05). Compared with different departments, the cumulative per capita dose in three years was statistically significant (left eye H=11.42, right eye H=13.72, annual effective dose H=25.94, P<0.05). The lens dose and annual effective dose in neurology department were lower than those in cardiology department and comprehensive intervention department ( Zcardiology department=-3.33, -3.78, -4.83, P<0.05; Zcomprehensive intervention department=-2.71, -2.63, -4.39, P<0.05). Conclusions:Most of the annual equivalent dose and annual effective dose to eye lens of the interventional radiation workers in Xinxiang city meet the national limits, but some of them have higher doses and exceed the national limits. It is suggested that the routine and continuous monitoring of eye lens doses to interventional radiologists should be strengthened while routine monitoring of annual effective dose, and attention should be paid to the eye lens and annual effective dose to interventional radiologists in secondary hospitals to improve the awareness of protection.
6.High resolution allele frequency analysis of HLA-A, HLA-B, HLA-DRB1, HLA-C, HLA-DQB1 and HLA-DPB1 in Guangdong Cord Blood Bank
Derong RUI ; Hairong ZOU ; Haoxin FENG ; Jing ZHANG ; Jiewen LUO ; Zhaoxin GAO
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2024;37(11):1288-1292
[Objective] To analyze the characteristics of HLA-A, HLA-B, HLA-DRB1, HLA-C, HLA-DQB1 and HLA-DPB1 allele polymorphisms among cord blood donors in Guangdong population. [Methods] According to HLA high resolution genotyping data of 32 717 samples of cord blood donors from Guangdong Cord Blood Bank from January 2009 to December 2023, the allele frequencies were calculated by direct counting and the haplotype frequencies were calculated by using Arlequin software 3.5.2.2. [Results] A total of 102 HLA-A alleles, 160 HLA-B alleles and 96 HLA-DRB1 alleles were detected in 32 717 samples. Among them, 46 HLA-DPB1 alleles were detected in 5 377 samples, and 66 HLA-C alleles and 35 HLA-DQB1 alleles were detected in 13 310 samples. The most common alleles were HLA-A*11∶01 (28.96%), HLA-B*40∶01 (15.23%), HLA-DRB1*09∶01 (15.72%), HLA-C*01∶02 (19.40%), HLA-DQB1*03∶01 (20.85%) and HLA-DPB1*05∶01 (40.79%). The most common 3 loci haplotype and 6 loci haplotype were HLA-A*02∶07-B*46∶01-DRB1*09∶01 (1.55%), HLA-C*07∶02-DQB1*03∶01-DPB1*05∶01 (1.77%), HLA-DRB1*09∶01-DQB1*03∶03-DPB1*05∶01 (3.31%) and HLA-A*02∶07-B*46∶01-C*01∶02-DRB1*09∶01-DQB1*03∶03-DPB1*05∶01 (0.30%). [Conclusion] In this study, the allele and haplotype frequencies of HLA-A, HLA-B, HLA-DRB1, HLA-C, HLA-DQB1 and HLA-DPB1 were obtained in the cord blood donors in Guangdong, which can provide important reference data for HLA gene related research and the selection of donors for clinical application.
7.The value of PI-RADS score combined with SII in predicting pathological upgrading in patients with localized prostate cancer post-radical prostatectomy
Changhui FAN ; Zhiheng HUANG ; Changbao XU ; Han XU ; Haiyang WEI ; Tianhe ZHANG ; Junfeng GAO
Chinese Journal of Urology 2024;45(12):905-911
Objective:To investigate the application value of combining Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS v2.1) score and Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index (SII) in predicting pathological upgrading in patients with localized prostate cancer after radical prostatectomy(RP).Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical data from 76 patients with localized prostate cancer who underwent prostate biopsy and radical prostatectomy at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University between September 2019 and May 2024. The median age was 68 (65, 71) years. Total prostate-specific antigen (tPSA) was 17.4 (8.4, 30.9) ng/ml, and prostate volume was 43.1 (29.9, 58.9) ml. PI-RADS scores were ≤3 in 22 cases (28.9%) and >3 in 54 cases (71.1%). According to the International Society of Urological Pathology (ISUP) grading of biopsy specimens, 31 patients (40.8%) were classified as Group <3 and 45 patients (59.2%) as Group ≥3. Postoperatively, 25 patients (32.9%) were classified as ISUP Group <3, and 51 patients (67.1%) as Group ≥3. Pathological upgrading was defined as either: ①a higher ISUP grade in postoperative specimens compared to biopsy specimens or; ②benign prostate tissue identified in biopsy specimens but confirmed as prostate cancer postoperatively. Clinical data were compared between the pathological upgrade and non-upgrade groups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent risk factors for pathological upgrading and to construct a nomogram model. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the predictive performance of individual indicators (PI-RADS, SII, %PSA, and the proportion of tumor tissue in biopsy specimens) and the combined nomogram model. Internal validation was conducted using cross-validation, and calibration and decision curves were generated to assess the nomogram′s accuracy and clinical net benefit.Results:Among the 76 patients included, 10 (13.2%) experienced pathological downgrading, 36 (47.4%) had consistent grading, and 30 (39.5%) experienced pathological upgrading. The platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) [118.2(93.5, 139.1) vs. 95.2(79.3, 116.4), P=0.021], SII [394.8(331.0, 513.6) vs. 338.8(217.2, 407.8), P=0.002], and the number of cases with a PI-RADS score >3 [26 cases(86.7%) vs. 28 cases(60.9%), P=0.015] were significantly higher in the pathological upgrade group than in the non-upgrade group. Conversely, the percentage of positive biopsy cores [35.9%(12.6%, 51.8%) vs. 43.8%(21.0%, 92.1%), P=0.045], the proportion of tumor tissue in biopsy specimens [6.9%(1.3%, 20.1%) vs. 19.3%(9.1%, 58.4%), P<0.01], and the number of cases in ISUP biopsy Group ≥3 [12 cases (40.0%) vs. 33 cases (71.7%), P=0.006] were significantly lower in the upgrade group (all P < 0.05). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that PI-RADS score( OR=17.111, 95% CI 2.388-122.592, P<0.01), SII( OR=1.009, 95% CI 1.001-1.016, P=0.028), %PSA ( OR=0.003, 95% CI 0.002-0.004, P<0.01), and the proportion of tumor tissue in biopsy specimens ( OR=0.899, 95% CI 0.837-0.966, P<0.01) were independent predictors of pathological upgrading. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for PI-RADS, SII, %PSA, and the proportion of tumor tissue in biopsy specimens were 0.607, 0.711, 0.618, and 0.778, respectively. The combined AUC for %PSA and the proportion of tumor tissue was 0.791, while the combined AUC of the four-indicator nomogram model was 0.914. The DeLong test indicated a statistically significant difference in diagnostic performance between the two models ( P<0.01). Calibration and decision curves demonstrated good accuracy and clinical net benefit for the nomogram model. Conclusions:The PI-RADS v2.1 score and SII have significant predictive value for pathological upgrading after radical prostatectomy in prostate cancer. A nomogram model combining PI-RADS, SII, %PSA, and the proportion of tumor tissue in biopsy specimens shows excellent predictive performance.
8.The value of PI-RADS score combined with SII in predicting pathological upgrading in patients with localized prostate cancer post-radical prostatectomy
Changhui FAN ; Zhiheng HUANG ; Changbao XU ; Han XU ; Haiyang WEI ; Tianhe ZHANG ; Junfeng GAO
Chinese Journal of Urology 2024;45(12):905-911
Objective:To investigate the application value of combining Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS v2.1) score and Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index (SII) in predicting pathological upgrading in patients with localized prostate cancer after radical prostatectomy(RP).Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical data from 76 patients with localized prostate cancer who underwent prostate biopsy and radical prostatectomy at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University between September 2019 and May 2024. The median age was 68 (65, 71) years. Total prostate-specific antigen (tPSA) was 17.4 (8.4, 30.9) ng/ml, and prostate volume was 43.1 (29.9, 58.9) ml. PI-RADS scores were ≤3 in 22 cases (28.9%) and >3 in 54 cases (71.1%). According to the International Society of Urological Pathology (ISUP) grading of biopsy specimens, 31 patients (40.8%) were classified as Group <3 and 45 patients (59.2%) as Group ≥3. Postoperatively, 25 patients (32.9%) were classified as ISUP Group <3, and 51 patients (67.1%) as Group ≥3. Pathological upgrading was defined as either: ①a higher ISUP grade in postoperative specimens compared to biopsy specimens or; ②benign prostate tissue identified in biopsy specimens but confirmed as prostate cancer postoperatively. Clinical data were compared between the pathological upgrade and non-upgrade groups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent risk factors for pathological upgrading and to construct a nomogram model. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the predictive performance of individual indicators (PI-RADS, SII, %PSA, and the proportion of tumor tissue in biopsy specimens) and the combined nomogram model. Internal validation was conducted using cross-validation, and calibration and decision curves were generated to assess the nomogram′s accuracy and clinical net benefit.Results:Among the 76 patients included, 10 (13.2%) experienced pathological downgrading, 36 (47.4%) had consistent grading, and 30 (39.5%) experienced pathological upgrading. The platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) [118.2(93.5, 139.1) vs. 95.2(79.3, 116.4), P=0.021], SII [394.8(331.0, 513.6) vs. 338.8(217.2, 407.8), P=0.002], and the number of cases with a PI-RADS score >3 [26 cases(86.7%) vs. 28 cases(60.9%), P=0.015] were significantly higher in the pathological upgrade group than in the non-upgrade group. Conversely, the percentage of positive biopsy cores [35.9%(12.6%, 51.8%) vs. 43.8%(21.0%, 92.1%), P=0.045], the proportion of tumor tissue in biopsy specimens [6.9%(1.3%, 20.1%) vs. 19.3%(9.1%, 58.4%), P<0.01], and the number of cases in ISUP biopsy Group ≥3 [12 cases (40.0%) vs. 33 cases (71.7%), P=0.006] were significantly lower in the upgrade group (all P < 0.05). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that PI-RADS score( OR=17.111, 95% CI 2.388-122.592, P<0.01), SII( OR=1.009, 95% CI 1.001-1.016, P=0.028), %PSA ( OR=0.003, 95% CI 0.002-0.004, P<0.01), and the proportion of tumor tissue in biopsy specimens ( OR=0.899, 95% CI 0.837-0.966, P<0.01) were independent predictors of pathological upgrading. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for PI-RADS, SII, %PSA, and the proportion of tumor tissue in biopsy specimens were 0.607, 0.711, 0.618, and 0.778, respectively. The combined AUC for %PSA and the proportion of tumor tissue was 0.791, while the combined AUC of the four-indicator nomogram model was 0.914. The DeLong test indicated a statistically significant difference in diagnostic performance between the two models ( P<0.01). Calibration and decision curves demonstrated good accuracy and clinical net benefit for the nomogram model. Conclusions:The PI-RADS v2.1 score and SII have significant predictive value for pathological upgrading after radical prostatectomy in prostate cancer. A nomogram model combining PI-RADS, SII, %PSA, and the proportion of tumor tissue in biopsy specimens shows excellent predictive performance.
9.Construction and internal validation of a nomogram for predicting the risk of positive prostate biopsy in MRI-negative patients
Xinyu SHI ; Shuo WANG ; Haiyang WEI ; Tianhe ZHANG ; Changwei LIU ; Xiaofu WANG ; Xinghua ZHAO ; Changbao XU
Journal of Modern Urology 2023;28(9):805-809
【Objective】 To establish a nomogram model for predicting the risk of positive prostate biopsy in MRI-negative patients, and to perform the internal validation. 【Methods】 We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 197 MRI-negative patients who underwent prostate biopsy at our hospital, analyzed the independent predictors of positive prostate biopsy with univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis, constructed the nomogram model and conducted internal validation. 【Results】 Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed age (P=0.003), digital rectal examination (DRE)(P=0.005), total prostate-specific antigen (tPSA) (P=0.001) and prostate volume (PV)(P<0.001) were independent risk factors of MRI-negative but prostate biopsy-positive results. The nomogram model based on all variables was established. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) was 0.862, which was greater than that of tPSA (AUC=0.739), PV(AUC=0.711) and DRE(AUC=0.666) (all P<0.05). The average absolute error of the model was 1.1% after 500 internal resampling, indicating that the prediction of positive prostate biopsy was consistent with the actual situation. 【Conclusion】 The age, DRE, tPSA and PV were independent predictors of positive prostate biopsy in MRI-negative patients. The nomogram model has a good prediction performance.
10.Screening the effective components in treating dampness stagnancy due to spleen deficiency syndrome and elucidating the potential mechanism of Poria water extract.
Huijun LI ; Dandan ZHANG ; Tianhe WANG ; Xinyao LUO ; Heyuan XIA ; Xiang PAN ; Sijie HAN ; Pengtao YOU ; Qiong WEI ; Dan LIU ; Zhongmei ZOU ; Xiaochuan YE
Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines (English Ed.) 2023;21(2):83-98
Poria is an important medicine for inducing diuresis to drain dampness from the middle energizer. However, the specific effective components and the potential mechanism of Poria remain largely unknown. To identify the effective components and the mechanism of Poria water extract (PWE) to treat dampness stagnancy due to spleen deficiency syndrome (DSSD), a rat model of DSSD was established through weight-loaded forced swimming, intragastric ice-water stimulation, humid living environment, and alternate-day fasting for 21 days. After 14 days of treatment with PWE, the results indicated that PWE increased fecal moisture percentage, urine output, D-xylose level and weight; amylase, albumin, and total protein levels; and the swimming time of rats with DSSD to different extents. Eleven highly related components were screened out using the spectrum-effect relationship and LC-MS. Mechanistic studies revealed that PWE significantly increased the expression of serum motilin (MTL), gastrin (GAS), ADCY5/6, p-PKAα/β/γ cat, and phosphorylated cAMP-response element binding protein in the stomach, and AQP3 expression in the colon. Moreover, it decreased the levels of serum ADH, the expression of AQP3 and AQP4 in the stomach, AQP1 and AQP3 in the duodenum, and AQP4 in the colon. PWE induced diuresis to drain dampness in rats with DSSD. Eleven main effective components were identified in PWE. They exerted therapeutic effect by regulating the AC-cAMP-AQP signaling pathway in the stomach, MTL and GAS levels in the serum, AQP1 and AQP3 expression in the duodenum, and AQP3 and AQP4 expression in the colon.
Animals
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Rats
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Poria
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Spleen
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Albumins
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Chromatography, Liquid
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Cyclic AMP Response Element-Binding Protein

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