1.Establishment and validation of a nomogram for postoperative disease progression in patients with primary liver cancer
Tianchen XU ; Ru JIA ; Ruiqi ZHANG ; Yuling WANG ; Xuelian CHEN
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2025;31(4):247-252
Objective:To establish and validate a nomogram for postoperative disease progression (including recurrence, metastasis, and death) in patients with primary liver cancer (PLC) based on quantitative CT measurements of relevant indicators.Methods:Clinical data of 290 patients with PLC admitted to Zhongshan Hospital Affiliated to Fudan University and Kunshan Hospital Affiliated to Jiangsu University from January 2016 to December 2021 were retrospectively collected, including 177 males and 113 females, aged (60.3±11.9) years. Two hundred and three patients admitted to Zhongshan Hospital Affiliated to Fudan University were used as the training set, and 87 patients admitted to Kunshan Hospital Affiliated to Jiangsu University were used as the validation set. The patient's condition of ascites , tumor length, number of lesions, tumor differentiation degree, relevant indicators of quantitative CT detection (including decreased muscle mass and increased intra-abdominal fat area), prognosis and other clinical data were recorded. The influencing factors of postoperative disease progression was analyzed through multiple logistic regression in the training set, and the nomogram model was constructed based on the results of multiple factor analysis. The predictive performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration curves. The clinical applicability of predictive models was evaluated using the decision curve analysis.Results:The results of multiple logistic regression analysis showed that the increase in maximum tumor diameter ( OR=1.519, 95% CI: 1.251-1.843), multiple lesions ( OR=3.193, 95% CI: 1.493-6.830), low tumor differentiation ( OR=5.604, 95% CI: 2.442-12.863), ascites ( OR=3.321, 95% CI: 1.166-9.463), portal vein tumor thrombus ( OR=3.990, 95% CI: 1.681-9.474), decreased muscle mass ( OR=2.173, 95% CI: 1.051-4.492) and increased intra-abdominal fat area ( OR=2.634, 95% CI: 1.276-5.438) were independent risk factors for postoperative disease progression in patients with PLC (all P<0.05). A nomogram was constructed based on the above variables, and the area under the ROC curve for predicting postoperative disease progression in patients with PLC in the training set and validation set was 0.862 (95% CI: 0.810-0.914) and 0.879 (95% CI: 0.806-0.953), respectively. The calibration curve and ideal curve fit well, indicating that the predicted situation was basically consistent with the actual situation. Decision curve analysis showed that the column chart model had a high clinical net benefit and good clinical prediction effectiveness. Conclusion:The nomogram constructed based on the maximum diameter of the tumor, the number of lesions, the degree of tumor differentiation, ascites, portal vein tumor thrombus, decreased muscle mass, and increased intra-abdominal fat area has good predictive power for postoperative disease progression in patients with PLC.
2.Establishment and validation of a nomogram for postoperative disease progression in patients with primary liver cancer
Tianchen XU ; Ru JIA ; Ruiqi ZHANG ; Yuling WANG ; Xuelian CHEN
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2025;31(4):247-252
Objective:To establish and validate a nomogram for postoperative disease progression (including recurrence, metastasis, and death) in patients with primary liver cancer (PLC) based on quantitative CT measurements of relevant indicators.Methods:Clinical data of 290 patients with PLC admitted to Zhongshan Hospital Affiliated to Fudan University and Kunshan Hospital Affiliated to Jiangsu University from January 2016 to December 2021 were retrospectively collected, including 177 males and 113 females, aged (60.3±11.9) years. Two hundred and three patients admitted to Zhongshan Hospital Affiliated to Fudan University were used as the training set, and 87 patients admitted to Kunshan Hospital Affiliated to Jiangsu University were used as the validation set. The patient's condition of ascites , tumor length, number of lesions, tumor differentiation degree, relevant indicators of quantitative CT detection (including decreased muscle mass and increased intra-abdominal fat area), prognosis and other clinical data were recorded. The influencing factors of postoperative disease progression was analyzed through multiple logistic regression in the training set, and the nomogram model was constructed based on the results of multiple factor analysis. The predictive performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration curves. The clinical applicability of predictive models was evaluated using the decision curve analysis.Results:The results of multiple logistic regression analysis showed that the increase in maximum tumor diameter ( OR=1.519, 95% CI: 1.251-1.843), multiple lesions ( OR=3.193, 95% CI: 1.493-6.830), low tumor differentiation ( OR=5.604, 95% CI: 2.442-12.863), ascites ( OR=3.321, 95% CI: 1.166-9.463), portal vein tumor thrombus ( OR=3.990, 95% CI: 1.681-9.474), decreased muscle mass ( OR=2.173, 95% CI: 1.051-4.492) and increased intra-abdominal fat area ( OR=2.634, 95% CI: 1.276-5.438) were independent risk factors for postoperative disease progression in patients with PLC (all P<0.05). A nomogram was constructed based on the above variables, and the area under the ROC curve for predicting postoperative disease progression in patients with PLC in the training set and validation set was 0.862 (95% CI: 0.810-0.914) and 0.879 (95% CI: 0.806-0.953), respectively. The calibration curve and ideal curve fit well, indicating that the predicted situation was basically consistent with the actual situation. Decision curve analysis showed that the column chart model had a high clinical net benefit and good clinical prediction effectiveness. Conclusion:The nomogram constructed based on the maximum diameter of the tumor, the number of lesions, the degree of tumor differentiation, ascites, portal vein tumor thrombus, decreased muscle mass, and increased intra-abdominal fat area has good predictive power for postoperative disease progression in patients with PLC.
3.Evaluating clinical significance of ductular reaction in liver transplantation
Xinhao HU ; Tianchen LAN ; Jian CHEN ; Zhetuo QI ; Fengqiang GAO ; Hao CHEN ; Libin DONG ; Xinyu YANG ; Shusen ZHENG ; Xiao XU
Chinese Journal of Organ Transplantation 2024;45(8):550-557
Objective:To explore the role of ductular reaction in assessing the efficacy of liver transplantation.Method:From January 2015 to December 2020, he relevant clinical data were retrospectively reviewed for 100 recipients and their corresponding donors at Shulan (Hangzhou) Hospital. They were assigned into two groups of hepatic steatosis (HS group, 65 cases) and non-hepatic steatosis (non-HS group, 35 cases) according to whether or not receiving steatosis donated liver. Furthermore, based upon the occurrence of early allograft dysfunction (EAD), the participants were categorized into two groups of EAD (33 cases) and non-EAD (67 cases). The degree of bile duct reaction ductular reaction was defined by the percentage of staining area occupied by cytokeratin 19 (CK19) -positive bile duct cells in immunohistochemical-stained specimens. Donor of ductular reaction were compared between HS/non-HS and EAD/non-EAD groups. The risk factors for EAD were identified by univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analysis. Subgroup analysis was conducted based upon the level of ductular reaction (DR number) in donors (DR=0.4 as a threshold) and whether or not donors exhibited steatosis. The impact of DR was examined on the incidence of EAD and survival post-liver transplantation in steatosis donors.Result:The level of DR was higher in steatosis donor than that in non-steatosis donor [ (0.59%±0.385%) vs. (0.32%±0.194%), P<0.01]. And it was higher in EAD group than that in non-EAD group [ (0.72%±0.449%) vs. (0.38%±0.226%), P<0.01]. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that a high level of ductular reaction was an independent risk factor for EAD post-liver transplantation in donor. Subgroup analysis revealed that receiving a steatosis donor with low ductular reaction (DR<0.4%) had comparable levels of EAD occurrence and overall survival rate to receiving a non-steatosis donor. Conclusion:Steatosis with low ductular reaction donor may be safely applied for liver transplantation. And assessing donor injury based upon ductular reaction can effectively expand the clinical application of steatosis donors.
4.Theoretical basis of bone-touching acupuncture method for brain diseases based on the "bone-brain axis".
Tianchen YU ; Jia WANG ; Yuqing WANG ; Jiaying LU ; Yuxin SU ; Dongsheng XU ; Yihan LIU ; Jingjing CUI
Chinese Acupuncture & Moxibustion 2024;44(12):1445-1448
The bone-touching acupuncture method, as one of the five-body acupuncture techniques, is widely used and highly effective in the treatment of brain diseases, though its theoretical foundation has been lacking. This paper explores the close connection between bones and the brain in both physiological and pathological states, as described in traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) classics, and explains the "bone-brain axis" concept within the framework of TCM. It summarizes the effects and characteristics of the five-body acupuncture techniques, traces the origins and modern applications of the bone-touching acupuncture method, and discusses its theoretical basis for treating brain diseases. The aim is to provide a reference for future clinical and mechanistic research on bone-touching acupuncture in brain disease treatment and to offer new perspectives and approaches for acupuncture treatment of brain diseases.
Humans
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Acupuncture Therapy/methods*
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Brain/physiopathology*
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Brain Diseases/physiopathology*
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Bone and Bones/physiopathology*
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Medicine, Chinese Traditional/methods*
6.Comparison of efficacy and safety between new oral anticoagulants and traditional anticoagulants in patients with liver cirrhosis requiring anticoagulant therapy
Tianchen LIU ; Hua XU ; Yu LEI ; Shan ZHONG ; Zhi ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2022;30(6):598-605
Objective:To compare the advantages and disadvantages of new oral anticoagulants (NOACs) with traditional anticoagulants, in an attempt to evaluate their efficacy and safety in patients with liver cirrhosis requiring anticoagulant therapy.Methods:Relevant literatures were searched from PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, HowNet, Wanfang, VIP and other databases by computer retrieval. The literatures quality was evaluated by NOS. The extracted data were meta-analyzed by RevMan5.3 software.Results:A total of seven studies were included, including one randomized controlled trial and six retrospective cohort studies with a total of 3042 cases. Among them, 1677 and 1365 cases used NOACs and traditional anticoagulants. Meta-analysis results showed that compared with the traditional anticoagulant group, the NOACs group had a lower incidence of massive hemorrhage [ OR=0.56, 95% CI (0.37-0.85), P<0.01] and a higher thrombotic recanalization rate [ OR=7.77, 95% CI (3.48~17.34), P<0.01], and the difference was statistically significant, while there were no statistically significant differences between the two groups in comparison to all-cause bleeding rates [ OR=0.72, 95% CI (0.13-3.91), P=0.07], all-cause mortality [ OR=0.72, 95% CI (0.25-2.07), P=0.54], recurrent embolism and stroke rates [ OR=0.90, 95% CI (0.59-1.39), and P=0.64]. Conclusion:Compared with traditional anticoagulants, NOACs have higher safety and better efficacy in the treatment of patients with liver cirrhosis, but it has not been widely used in China. Therefore, large-scale randomized controlled trials and prospective studies are further needed to confirm it in the future.

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