1.Survey of post-discharge exercise behavior and analysis of factors influencing exercise intensity in patients undergoing lung surgery
Hongyu ZENG ; Xiang WANG ; Tian ZHANG ; Yaqin WANG ; Xing WEI ; Zhen DAI ; Liping ZHANG ; Xiaoqin LIU ; Qiang LI ; Qiuling SHI ; Wei DAI ; Jia LIAO
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2026;33(05):734-742
Objective To investigate the post-discharge exercise behavior and factors influencing moderate to vigorous intensity physical activity (MVPA) in patients undergoing lung surgery. Methods A total of 2874 patients from the large prospective, observational perioperative lung symptom study cohort (CN-PRO-Lung 3) in the Department of Thoracic Surgery at Sichuan Cancer Hospital between April 7, 2021, and January 31, 2024, were selected as the survey subjects. A survey was conducted using the Investigation of Exercise Behavior after Lung Surgery questionnaire and the International Physical Activity Questionnaire-Short Form (IPAQ-SF) among patients who underwent lung surgery. Binary logistic regression was used to analyze the factors influencing patients’ engagement in MVPA. Results A total of 702 patients were surveyed, including 252 males and 450 females, with an average age of (52.4±10.2) years. Patients with lung cancer accounted for 85.9%. Only 36.0% of the patients had regular exercise habits, while 42.3% did not engage in any physical activity. The three main barriers for postoperative exercise were physical discomfort (pain, coughing, shortness of breath, etc, 54.7%), lack of professional guidance (41.7%), and concerns about the surgical wound (28.9%). The proportions of patients engaging in vigorous, moderate, and low-intensity physical activity were 5.7%, 28.2%, and 66.1%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that patients with a personal annual income ≥50000 yuan (OR=1.52, 95%CI 1.01-2.29, P=0.044), high school education or above (OR=1.92, 95%CI 1.33-2.76, P<0.001), and lobectomy (OR=1.44, 95%CI 1.02-2.03, P=0.037) engaged in more MVPA. Conclusion Patients undergoing lung surgery have inadequate physical activity after discharge, particularly lacking in MVPA. Patients with higher income, higher educational levels, and lobectomy are more frequently engaged in MVPA. Measures such as symptom control, providing exercise guidance, and enhancing education on wound care may potentially improve the inadequate physical activity in lung surgery patients after discharge.
2.Association between insulin resistance and cardiovascular metabolic indicators in middle-aged adults
Rui TIAN ; Jie ZHANG ; Ting ZHENG ; Aixia ZHANG ; Xing LIU ; Hao KANG ; Qingfang DENG ; Sufang WANG
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2026;61(7):1305-1310
ObjectiveTo investigate the association between insulin resistance (IR) and cardiovascular metabolic indicators, including blood pressure, blood lipids, and serum uric acid, in a middle-aged population. MethodsBased on the baseline survey of the Hong Sifang cohort of China National Salt Industry Group, a total of 575 participants were included. According to the homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance, the participants were divided into an IR group (n=116) and a non-IR group (n=459). Differences between the two groups were compared using the t-test and chi-square test. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the associations between IR and abnormalities in metabolic indicators. ResultsA total of 575 participants were included, including 390 men and 185 women, with a mean age of (48.58 ± 5.14) years and a mean body mass index (BMI) of (24.16 ± 2.97) kg/m². Blood pressure, serum uric acid, and blood lipid levels were significantly higher in the IR group than in the non-IR group (P<0.001). After adjusting for potential confounders including age, sex, and BMI, IR was independently associated with hypertension, dyslipidemia, and hyperuricemia, with odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of 2.57 (1.61-4.09), 3.81 (2.36-6.17), and 2.68 (1.53-4.71), respectively (all P<0.001). ConclusionInsulin resistance is significantly associated with multiple cardiovascular metabolic risk factors in the middle-aged population. Monitoring IR may contribute to the early prevention and control of cardiovascular diseases.
3.Prediction of cumulative live birth rate in in vitro fertilization using multi-model machine learning algorithms
Peng XING ; Hui LIANG ; Ying CHEN ; Ting LIU ; Jiawei ZHAI ; Bo YUAN ; Yingjun TIAN
Chinese Journal of Reproduction and Contraception 2025;45(4):358-364
Objective:To develop and validate machine learning models for predicting the cumulative live birth rate (CLBR) following in vitro fertilization (IVF) and to analyze key predictive features using SHAP values. Methods:This retrospective study included data from patients who underwent IVF-embryo transfer at the Department of Reproductive Medicine, Baoding Maternal and Child Health Hospital, between January 2017 and December 2022. Patients were categorized into two groups based on live birth outcome: the live birth group ( n=1 036) and the non-live birth group ( n=756). The dataset was randomly divided into a training set and a validation set in a ratio of 7∶3. Five algorithms were utilized for model development: logistic regression, random forest, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine, and neural networks. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) curve, F1 score, and calibration curves. Clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) was employed to evaluate the clinical utility of the models. SHAP values were used to interpret feature importance in the XGBoost model and enhance its explainability. Results:The XGBoost model demonstrated the best performance in predicting CLBR,with accuracy of 72.44%, AUC of 0.775, and F1 score of 0.654, accuracy and F1 score outperforming logistic regression (accuracy was 70.02%, F1 score was 0.585), random forest (accuracy was 71.69%, F1 score was 0.606), support vector machine (accuracy was 70.20%, F1 score was 0.607), and neural network (accuracy was 68.72%, F1 score was 0.560). The calibration curve of XGBoost closely aligned with the diagonal line, indicating that the predicted probabilities were very close to the actual outcomes, demonstrating good calibration. DCA indicated that the XGBoost model provided higher net benefits across a wide range of clinical decision thresholds. SHAP value analysis identified number of previous IVF failures, antral follicle count, anti-Müllerian hormone level, percentage of normal sperm morphology, and sperm DNA fragmentation index as key predictors of CLBR.Conclusion:The XGBoost model exhibits excellent predictive performance and calibration for CLBR, with SHAP values providing important insights into feature importance. This model has the potential to support the development of personalized treatment strategies in clinical practice. However, its generalizability needs to be validated using external datasets to ensure its applicability to diverse populations.
4.Disease burden and clinical status of congenital heart disease combined with heart failure in China: a survey and analysis
Zixian SHENG ; Yuxing YUAN ; Fangjie WANG ; Zhi CHEN ; Ying GUO ; Xing SHEN ; Xuecun LIANG ; Lingjuan LIU ; Jiajin LI ; Xiaoli YAN ; Bo PAN ; Jie TIAN
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2025;63(2):148-156
Objective:To investigate the disease burden, clinical characteristics and independent risk factors affecting in-hospital outcomes of children with congenital heart disease (CHD) combined with heart failure (HF) in China.Methods:(1) Descriptive study: based on the global burden of disease study 2021, available data on children under 15 years of age with CHD and HF in China from 1990 to 2021 were collected. The prevalence and trends in different age subgroups (<1 year, 1-<2 years, 2-<5 years, 5-<10 years, 10-<15 years) were analyzed, and the annual percentage change (EAPC) was estimated using linear regression. (2) Retrospective cohort study: a total of 1 062 children with CHD and HF from a multicenter study on pediatric HF in China were included. The children were divided into two groups:<2 years group and 2-<18 years group. Data on demographics, clinical features, diagnosis, treatments, and in-hospital outcomes were analyzed. Mann-Whitney U test and chi-square test were used for group comparisons.Multivariable Logistic regression was applied to identify factors influencing outcomes (in-hospital mortality and adverse cardiovascular events). Results:(1) From 1990 to 2021, the number of children with CHD and HF in China increased from 333 000 (95% uncertainty interval ( UI) 271 000-405 000) to 368 000 (95% UI 296 000-459 000), a growth of 10.8% (95% UI 5.0%-16.6%). Concurrently the prevalence rate increased from 104.5 (95% UI 85.1-127.3) per 100 000 to 142.0 (95% UI 114.0-176.8) per 100 000, a growth of 35.9% (95% UI 28.7%-43.0%), with an EAPC of 1.5% (95% CI 1.2%-1.8%). Although the number of cases in the<1 year and 1-<2 years groups decreased by 41.0% and 25.6%, respectively, the prevalence in all age groups showed an upward trend:<1 year EAPC 0.6% (95% CI 0.5%-0.7%); 1-<2 years EAPC 0.9% (95% CI 0.8%-1.0%); 2-<5 years EAPC 1.2% (95% CI 1.0%-1.4%); 5-<10 years EAPC 1.5% (95% CI 1.2%-1.8%); 10-<15 years EAPC 2.1% (95% CI 1.9%-2.3%). (2) The multicenter study revealed that among 1 062 hospitalized children, 528 (49.7%) were male and 534 (50.3%) were female, with the age at admission of 5.4 (2.2,18.2) months. The majority of the children (77.9%, 827/1 062) were under 2 years of age, whereas 22.1% (235/1 062) were aged between 2-<18 years. Children with complex congenital heart defects accounted for the highest proportion (48.6%, 516/1 062), while those with isolated CHD made up 31.5% (335/1 062). Statistically significant differences were observed in several variables in demographics, clinical features, diagnosis, treatments, and outcomes between the two age groups (all P<0.05). The use of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors (41.1%, 436/1 062) and beta-blockers (8.7%, 92/1 062) was lower in hospitalized children with CHD and HF. Logistic regression identified complex CHD ( OR=7.73, 95% CI 2.24-26.63; OR=3.17, 95% CI 1.92-5.23), pulmonary hyperperfusion ( OR=2.15, 95% CI 1.01-4.18; OR=2.00, 95% CI 1.35-2.97), left ventricular ejection fraction<55% ( OR=2.13, 95% CI 1.08-4.21; OR=2.80, 95% CI 1.45-5.56), arterial oxygen partial pressure ( OR=0.99, 95% CI 0.98-0.99; OR=0.99, 95% CI 0.98-0.99), and serum calcium levels ( OR=0.31, 95% CI 0.17-0.58; OR=0.42, 95% CI 0.28-0.62) as independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality and cardiovascular events. Conclusions:The disease burden of CHD combined with HF in China has shown a continuous upward trend from 1990 to 2021, with higher growth rates in older age groups. Complex CHD, pulmonary hyperperfusion, left ventricular ejection fraction <55%, arterial oxygen partial pressure, and serum calcium concentration are independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality and cardiovascular events.
5.Effect of Qishen Yixin Granules on microcirculatory endothelial dysfunction induced by Ang Ⅱ and high-fat diet in mice and its mechanism
Wen-fang JIN ; Zhen-ni ZHANG ; Tian-tian ZHU ; Hu-gang JIANG ; Xin-qiang WANG ; Chun-zhen REN ; Xi-ping XING ; Kai LIU ; Ying-dong LI ; Xin-ke ZHAO
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2025;41(10):1982-1990
Aim To clarify the mechanism by which Qishen Yixin Granules improved microcirculation vas-cular endothelial dysfunction(VED)in mice,through activating the Nrf2/HO-1 signaling pathway to regulate oxidative stress.Methods C57 mice were randomly divided into six groups:blank group,model group,pos-itive drug group,and low-,medium-,and high-dose groups of Qishen Yixin Granules.The VED model was established by long-term infusion of Ang Ⅱ combined with a high-fat diet.Each treatment group received the corresponding drug intervention.After four weeks of drug intervention,cardiac function was assessed by echocardiography.Carstairs staining was used to ob-serve the formation of microthrombi in myocardial tis-sue.The micro vascular ischemia was evaluated by Hei-denhain staining.The ultrastructure of endothelial cells was observed by electron microscopy.The levels of EMPs,ROS,NO,ET-1,TF,TM,VWF,and TXA2 in serum were measured by ELISA.The expression levels of MDA,SOD,and GSH-Px in mouse heart tissue were determined by chemical methods.Cardiac microvascu-lar density and the expression of Nrf2,Keap1,and HO-1 proteins were detected by Immunohistochemical stai-ning.The protein expressions of Keap1,cytoplasmic Nrf2,nuclear Nrf2,and HO-1 in myocardial tissue were detected by Western blot.Results Qishen Yixin Granules could effectively improve the cardiac function of mice,alleviate the damage of endothelial cells and endothelial function.They could up-regulate serum NO levels and the activities of antioxidant enzymes SOD and GSH-Px,while down-regulating the expression of ROS and vascular inflammatory injury factors such as ET-1,VWF,TXA2,TF,TM,and EMPs.Qishen Yixin Granules also increased the positive counts of CD34,Nrf2,and HO-1,as well as microvessel density.Fur-thermore,they inhibited the expression of MDA,Keap1,and cytoplasmic Nrf2 protein in myocardial tis-sue,while increasing the expression of nuclear proteins HO-1 and Nrf2.Conclusions Qishen Yixin Granules may inhibit oxidative stress and inflammatory response by regulating the Nrf2/HO-1 signaling pathway,thereby improving vascular endothelial damage and cardiac function in VED mice.
6.Evaluation of right atrial function and prediction of pulmonary hypertension in patients with atrial septal defect by four-dimensional ultrasound automatic quantitative technology
Xing FANG ; Yinqi SONG ; Min LIU ; Yulei MA ; Zhe CHEN ; Huiying LIU ; Xinqiao TIAN
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2025;34(8):693-700
Objective:To evaluate the changes of right atrial volume and function in patients with atrial septal defect(ASD)by four-dimensional ultrasound automatic quantitative technology,and to explore the predictive value and clinical significance for ASD with pulmonary arterial hypertension(PAH).Methods:Sixty-one patients with ASD and 32 healthy volunteers(control group)who attended Central China Fuwai Hospital of Zhengzhou University,Fuwai Central China Cardiovascular Hospital from March 2023 to April 2024 were prospectively collected,and classified ASD patients into ASD without PAH group(non-PAH group, n=30)and ASD with PAH group(PAH group, n=31)according to whether or not they had PAH,and obtained right atrial reserve,ductal,systolic longitudinal and circumferential strains(RASr,RAScd,RASct,RASr-c,RAScd-c,RASct-c),right atrial minimal,maximal,and presystolic volumes(RAVmin,RAVmax,and RAVpreA),and calculated right atrial total,passive,and active ejection fraction(RAEF,RAPEF,RAAEF). The ultrasound parameters and clinical data were compared between groups. Pearson's linear correlation was applied to analyse the correlation between the parameters(RASr,RAA,PASP,NT-proBNP)and mean pulmonary artery pressure(mPAP). ROC curves were plotted and the area under the curve(AUC)was calculated to analyse the value of the four-dimensional strain parameters of the right atrium in independently and jointly predicting the combination of ASD with PAH. Results:①Compared with the control group,RAVmin,RAVmax,and RAVpreA were elevated in the non-PAH and PAH groups,and the absolute values of RAPEF and RAScd were decreased,whereas the absolute values of RAEF,RAAEF,RASr,RASct,RASr-c,and RASct-c were elevated in the non-PAH group,and decreased in the PAH group(all P<0.05);compared with the non-PAH group,only RAVmin,RAVmax,and RAVpreA were elevated in the PAH group,and the rest of the above parameters were reduced,with statistically significant differences(all P<0.05). ②The right atrial four-dimensional strain parameter RASr had the highest predictive value for ASD combined with PAH,with an AUC of 0.876,a specificity of 83.3%,and a sensitivity of 77.4%,respectively. ③RASr was negatively correlated with mPAP( r=-0.591, P<0.001)and RAA,PASP and NT-proBNP were positively correlated with mPAP( r=0.539,0.697,0.616;all P<0.001). ④The predictive value of RASr combined with RAA,PASP,and NT-proBNP was superior for ASD combined with PAH(AUC=0.933). Conclusions:Four-dimensional ultrasound automatic quantitative technology can effectively evaluate the changes of right atrial volume and function in patients with ASD. ASD patients without PAH have increased right atrial reserve and pump function,and decreased right atrial pipeline function. The right atrial function of ASD patients with PAH is significantly reduced,and the impairment is more severe. Among the right atrial four-dimensional strain parameters,RASr has the highest efficacy in predicting ASD combined with PAH. Moreover,the combination of RASr with RAA,PASP,and NT-proBNP has the best predictive efficacy for ASD combined with PAH,which holds significant clinical value.
7.Effects of total flavonoids of Dracocephalum moldavica on apoptosis of H9c2 cells induced by OGD/R injury and endoplasmic reticulum stress.
Tian WANG ; Di-Wei LIU ; Tong-Ye WANG ; Xing-Yu ZHANG ; Jian-Guo XING ; Rui-Fang ZHENG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(5):1321-1330
This study investigated the effects of total flavonoids of Dracocephalum moldavica(TFDM) on apoptosis in rat H9c2 cells induced by endoplasmic reticulum stress(ERS) established by oxygen-glucose deprivation and reoxygenation(OGD/R) injury and tunicamycin(TM), and explored the potential mechanisms. After successful modeling, the following groups were set in this experiment: control group, model(OGD/R or TM) group, and TFDM low-, medium-, and high-dose groups(12.5, 25, and 50 μg·mL~(-1)). The OGD/R injury model was constructed in vitro. Cell proliferation was assessed using the cell counting kit-8(CCK-8) method. The levels of lactate dehydrogenase(LDH) and creatine kinase MB isoenzyme(CKMB) in the cell supernatant were detected. Western blot was used to assess the expression of ERS-related proteins, including glucose regulatory protein 78(GRP78), C/EBP homologous protein(CHOP), activating transcription factor 6(ATF6), and apoptotic proteins B-cell lymphoma 2(Bcl-2) and Bcl-2-associated X protein(Bax). Apoptosis was detected using the terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase-mediated dUTP nick-end labeling(TUNEL) method. In the TM-induced ERS model, Western blot was used to measure the expression of ERS pathway-related proteins GRP78, CHOP, inositol-requiring enzyme 1(IRE1), X-box binding protein 1(XBP1), protein kinase RNA-like endoplasmic reticulum kinase(PERK), eukaryotic initiation factor 2α(eIF2α), ATF6, p-ATF6, and apoptotic proteins Bcl-2, Bax, cysteinyl aspartate specific proteinase-12(caspase-12), and cleaved caspase-12. Gene expression of GRP78, CHOP, PERK, and ATF6 was detected by real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR(RT-qPCR). Apoptosis was again detected using the TUNEL method. The results showed that in the OGD/R model, compared with the control group, the levels of LDH and CKMB in the cell supernatant were significantly increased in the OGD/R group. Compared with the OGD/R group, the levels of LDH and CKMB in the TFDM group were significantly reduced. Western blot results revealed that compared with the control group, the expression of ERS-related proteins and Bax in the OGD/R group was significantly increased, while the expression of Bcl-2 was significantly decreased. Compared with the OGD/R group, the expression of ERS-related proteins and Bax in the TFDM groups was significantly reduced, and the expression of Bcl-2 was significantly increased. TUNEL assay showed that apoptosis was significantly decreased after TFDM treatment. In the TM-induced ERS experiment, compared with the control group, the expression of ERS-related genes, ERS-related proteins, and apoptotic proteins in the TM group was significantly increased, while the expression of Bcl-2 was significantly decreased. Compared with the TM group, the expression of ERS-related genes, ERS-related proteins, and apoptotic proteins in the TFDM group was significantly reduced, and the expression of Bcl-2 was significantly increased. These results suggest that ERS exists in the OGD/R-injured H9c2 cell model, and TFDM can effectively inhibit ERS-induced apoptosis. The mechanism may be related to the downregulation of ERS pathway-related proteins and apoptotic proteins.
Animals
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Endoplasmic Reticulum Stress/drug effects*
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Apoptosis/drug effects*
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Rats
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Flavonoids/pharmacology*
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Glucose/metabolism*
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Cell Line
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Lamiaceae/chemistry*
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal/pharmacology*
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Oxygen/metabolism*
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Reperfusion Injury/physiopathology*
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Myocytes, Cardiac/cytology*
8.Processing technology of calcined Magnetitum based on concept of QbD and its XRD characteristic spectra.
De-Wen ZENG ; Jing-Wei ZHOU ; Tian-Xing HE ; Yu-Mei CHEN ; Huan-Huan XU ; Jian FENG ; Yue YANG ; Xin CHEN ; Jia-Liang ZOU ; Lin CHEN ; Hong-Ping CHEN ; Shi-Lin CHEN ; Yuan HU ; You-Ping LIU
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(9):2391-2403
Guided by the concept of quality by design(QbD), this study optimizes the calcination and quenching process of calcined Magnetitum and establishes the XRD characteristic spectra of calcined Magnetitum, providing a scientific basis for the formulation of quality standards. Based on the processing methods and quality requirements of Magnetitum in the Chinese Pharmacopoeia, the critical process parameters(CPPs) identified were calcination temperature, calcination time, particle size, laying thickness, and the number of vinegar quenching cycles. The critical quality attributes(CQAs) included Fe mass fraction, Fe~(2+) dissolution, and surface color. The weight coefficients were determined by combining Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) and the criteria importance though intercrieria correlation(CRITIC) method, and the calcination process was optimized using orthogonal experimentation. Surface color was selected as a CQA, and based on the principle of color value, the surface color of calcined Magnetitum was objectively quantified. The vinegar quenching process was then optimized to determine the best processing conditions. X-ray diffraction(XRD) was used to establish the characteristic spectra of calcined Magnetitum, and methods such as similarity evaluation, cluster analysis, and orthogonal partial least squares-discriminant analysis(OPLS-DA) were used to evaluate the quality of the spectra. The optimized calcined Magnetitum preparation process was found to be calcination at 750 ℃ for 1 h, with a laying thickness of 4 cm, a particle size of 0.4-0.8 cm, and one vinegar quenching cycle(Magnetitum-vinegar ratio 10∶3), which was stable and feasible. The XRD characteristic spectra analysis method, featuring 9 common peaks as fingerprint information, was established. The average correlation coefficient ranged from 0.839 5-0.988 1, and the average angle cosine ranged from 0.914 4 to 0.995 6, indicating good similarity. Cluster analysis results showed that Magnetitum and calcined Magnetitum could be grouped together, with similar compositions. OPLS-DA discriminant analysis identified three key characteristic peaks, with Fe_2O_3 being the distinguishing component between the two. The final optimized processing method is stable and feasible, and the XRD characteristic spectra of calcined Magnetitum was initially established, providing a reference for subsequent quality control and the formulation of quality standards for calcined Magnetitum.
X-Ray Diffraction/methods*
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal/chemistry*
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Quality Control
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Particle Size
9.The neurophysiological mechanisms of exercise-induced improvements in cognitive function.
Jian-Xiu LIU ; Bai-Le WU ; Di-Zhi WANG ; Xing-Tian LI ; Yan-Wei YOU ; Lei-Zi MIN ; Xin-Dong MA
Acta Physiologica Sinica 2025;77(3):504-522
The neurophysiological mechanisms by which exercise improves cognitive function have not been fully elucidated. A comprehensive and systematic review of current domestic and international neurophysiological evidence on exercise improving cognitive function was conducted from multiple perspectives. At the molecular level, exercise promotes nerve cell regeneration and synaptogenesis and maintains cellular development and homeostasis through the modulation of a variety of neurotrophic factors, receptor activity, neuropeptides, and monoamine neurotransmitters, and by decreasing the levels of inflammatory factors and other modulators of neuroplasticity. At the cellular level, exercise enhances neural activation and control and improves brain structure through nerve regeneration, synaptogenesis, improved glial cell function and angiogenesis. At the structural level of the brain, exercise promotes cognitive function by affecting white and gray matter volumes, neural activation and brain region connectivity, as well as increasing cerebral blood flow. This review elucidates how exercise improves the internal environment at the molecular level, promotes cell regeneration and functional differentiation, and enhances the brain structure and neural efficiency. It provides a comprehensive, multi-dimensional explanation of the neurophysiological mechanisms through which exercise promotes cognitive function.
Animals
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Humans
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Brain/physiology*
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Cognition/physiology*
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Exercise/physiology*
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Nerve Regeneration/physiology*
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Neuronal Plasticity/physiology*
10.Comparison of Logistic Regression and Machine Learning Approaches in Predicting Depressive Symptoms: A National-Based Study
Xing-Xuan DONG ; Jian-Hua LIU ; Tian-Yang ZHANG ; Chen-Wei PAN ; Chun-Hua ZHAO ; Yi-Bo WU ; Dan-Dan CHEN
Psychiatry Investigation 2025;22(3):267-278
Objective:
Machine learning (ML) has been reported to have better predictive capability than traditional statistical techniques. The aim of this study was to assess the efficacy of ML algorithms and logistic regression (LR) for predicting depressive symptoms during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Methods:
Analyses were carried out in a national cross-sectional study involving 21,916 participants. The ML algorithms in this study included random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), neural network (NN), and gradient boosting machine (GBM) methods. The performance indices were sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, precision, F1-score, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).
Results:
LR and NN had the best performance in terms of AUCs. The risk of overfitting was found to be negligible for most ML models except for RF, and GBM obtained the highest sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, precision, and F1-score. Therefore, LR, NN, and GBM models ranked among the best models.
Conclusion
Compared with ML models, LR model performed comparably to ML models in predicting depressive symptoms and identifying potential risk factors while also exhibiting a lower risk of overfitting.

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