Objective To explore scientific and accurate prediction methods for the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in the post-pandemic era, and to address modeling challenges caused by abnormal fluctuations in case numbers from 2020 to 2023. Methods The seasonal index was used to pre-process the data. The traditional seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-ARIMA model, ARIMA-Long short-term memory (LSTM) model, and SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model were used to fit the incidence from 2013 to 2023, and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in 2024 was predicted. The real data collected in 2024 were used as the test set to compare the prediction performance of the models. Results The fitting performance of the constructed models was as follows: the ARIMA model had MAE=107.50 and RMSE=144.53, the SSA-ARIMA model showed MAE=2.84 and RMSE=4.33, the ARIMA-LSTM model achieved MAE=99.46 and RMSE=131.59, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model had MAE=96.35 and RMSE=132.13. In terms of prediction performance, the ARIMA model resulted in MAE=151.64 and RMSE=146.70, the SSA-ARIMA model demonstrated MAE=41.22 and RMSE=57.01, the ARIMA-LSTM model yielded MAE=220.75 and RMSE=257.89, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model recorded MAE=58.83 and RMSE=72.06. Conclusion The SSA-ARIMA model has the best fitting degree and the highest prediction accuracy, and is suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease.

ObjectiveTo explore the correlation between the occurrence of cardiovascular events in rheumatoid arthritis（RA） and traditional Chinese medicine（TCM） syndrome. MethodsThe cross-sectional study selected 6713 RA patients from 122 centres nationwide， in which general information such as name， gender， age， height， body weight， and course of disease were collected by completing a questionnaire； patients were classified into eight types of syndrome according to the information of their four examinations，i.e. wind-dampness obstruction syndrome， cold-dampness obstruction syndrome， dampness-heat obstruction syndrome， phlegm-stasis obstruction syndrome， stasis-blood obstructing collateral syndrome， qi-blood deficiency syndrome， liver-kidney insufficiency syndrome， and qi-yin deficiency syndrome. According to the occurrence of cardiovascular events， they were divided into the occurrence group and the non-occurrence group， and the condition assessment data and laboratory examination indexes were recorded. The test of difference between groups was used to analyse the possible risk factors for the occurrence of RA cardiovascular events， and binary logistic regression was used to analyse the correlation between TCM syndromes and RA cardiovascular events. ResultsA total of 6713 RA patients were included， including 256 cases in occurrence group and 6457 in non-occurrence group. There was no statistically significant difference between groups in terms of height， gender， insomnia， appetite， white blood cell（WBC）， hemoglobin（HGB）， platelets（PLT）， rheumatoid factor（RF）， anti-cyclic peptide containing citrulline（CCP）， alanine aminotransferase（ALT）， aspartate aminotransferase（AST）， γ-glutamyl transpeptidase（GGT）， urea creatinine（CREA）， and glucose（GLU）（P＞0.05）. The TCM syndromes between groups showed significant statistic differences（P＜0.05）. Patients in occurrence group had longer disease duration， heavier body weight， and older age； more severe conditions such as disease activity（DAS-28）， number of painful joints（TJC）， number of swollen joints（SJC）， health questionnaire scores（HAQ）， visual analog scores（VAS）， restlessness， and fatigue； higher blood sedimentation rate（ESR）， low-density lipoprotein（LDL-C）， triglyceride（TG）， total cholesterol（TC）， D-Dimer， and lower high-density lipoprotein（HDL-C）（P＜0.05）. The distribution of syndrome types showed that dampness-heat obstruction syndrome accounted for the largest proportion of patients in both groups and was higher in RA cardiovascular events. Logistic regression analysis showed that the occurrence of RA cardiovascular events was strongly associated with dampness-heat obstruction syndrome［OR=5.937， 95%CI （4.434， 7.949）， P＜0.001］. ConclusionThe occurrence of RA cardiovascular events were associated with TCM syndromes， and the probability of cardiovascular events in the RA patients with dampness-heat obstruction syndrome was 5.937 times higher than patients with other TCM syndromes.

Aim To investigate the effect of tetrameth-ylpyrazine(TMP)on neuroinflammation after cerebral ischemia and hypoxia via mannose-binding lectin(MBL).Methods Patients diagnosed with ischaemic stroke at Shanxi Provincial People's Hospital were in-cluded in the study,and their clinicopathological data,as well as blood and urine samples,were collected with the consent of the patients and their families.Using these biological samples,differential proteins and tar-gets were identified by proteomic analysis and subse-quently verified with animal experiments.The mice were divided into the sham,dMCAO,and TMP(10,20,40 mg·kg-1)treatment groups.After seven days of drug administration,the modified neurological sever-ity score(mNSS)was used to assess the neurological function.TTC staining was used to detect the volume of cerebral infarction.Motor function was evaluated be-haviourally,and ELISA was used to detect MASP1,sC5b-9,TNF-α,IL-6,and IL-1β.Western blot was used to determine the expression of relevant proteins,such as MBL2,MASP2,and C3.Results Compared with the sham group,the dMCAO group exhibited in-creased neurological impairment,which was signifi-cantly ameliorated by TMP treatment.The expression levels of MBL2,C3 and MASP2 were elevated in the dMCAO group and were reduced following TMP treat-ment.Additionally,the dMCAO group showed elevat-ed expression of inflammatory factors IL-1 β,IL-6 and TNF-α,which were then suppressed by TMP treat-ment.Conclusion TMP inhibits the inflammatory re-sponse after ischemia and hypoxia by regulating MBL,thus attenuating brain injury.

Objective To investigate the clinical efficacy and safety of facilitated percutaneous coronary intervention(PCI)with half-dose recombinant staphylokinase(r-SAK)in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction(STEMI)who are expected to undergo PCI within 120 minutes.Methods From October 2021 to August 2022,a total of 200 STEMI patients in eight centers were included and randomly assigned in a 1﹕1 ratio to either r-SAK group or control group.Patients received loading doses of aspirin and ticagrelor and intravenous heparin and were randomized to receive an intravenous bolus of either 5 mg r-SAK or normal saline prior to PCI.The outcomes were set as ST-segment resolution(STR)at 60-90 minutes after PCI,the proportion and transition of pathological Q waves on the 5th day after PCI,and the proportion of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T(hs-cTnT)peaking within 12 hours of onset.The safety outcome was major bleeding events defined as Bleeding Academic Research Consortium(BARC)≥type 3 bleeding during hospitalization.Results Compared with the control group,the r-SAK group had a higher proportion of STR≥70%within 60-90 minutes after PCI(58.3%vs.40.3%,P=0.009);a lower proportion of pathological Q waves(59.1%vs.74.1%,P=0.040);a lower rate of Q wave progression(14.8%vs.43.2%,P＜0.001);a higher rate of Q wave disappearance(12.5%vs.3.7%,P=0.027);and a higher proportion of hs-cTnT peaking within 12 hours of symptom onset[31/40(77.5%)vs.17/33(51.5%),P=0.027].Regarding the safety outcome,no significant difference in BARC≥type 3 bleeding was found between the two groups during hospitalization(P＞0.05).Conclusions For STEMI patients who were expected to undergo primary PCI within 120 minutes of symptom onset,the facilitated PCI with half-dose r-SAK significantly increased the proportion of STR≥70%at 60-90 minutes after PCI,reduced the formation of pathological Q waves,and shortened the time to peak hs-cTnT,without increasing the risk of bleeding,which should be an alternative reperfusion strategy worthy of further study.

Objective To validate the diagnostic performance and risk stratification ability of an AI-based recognition system(PE-AI)for pulmonary embolism(PE)using computed tomography pulmonary angiography(CTPA)so as to analyze its diagnostic value in clinical practice.Methods A total of 416 patients with suspected PE who underwent CTPA from January 1,2023 to December 10,2023 at our hospital were included in this study.Two junior radiologists and PE-AI separately detected and diagnosed emboli in the collected cases by double-blind method,and recorded the diagnosis time respectively.Three senior radiologists reviewing with clinical follow-up results were used as the gold standard in this study.Diagnostic performance was evaluated by using the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis and Delong-t test.For positive cases,the pulmonary artery obstruction index(PAOI)calculated by AI and manually were collected respectively and consistency analysis was performed.Results The area under the curve(AUC)of PE-AI,manual and combined diagnosis was 85.6％,90.8％and 95.1％,respectively,which differed significantly(P＜0.05).The reading time of PE-AI[(0.16±0.07)min]was significantly lower than the time of manual[(4.42±1.85)min,P＜0.001]and combined diagnosis[(4.58±1.84)min,P＜0.001].The PAOI measured by PE-AI and manually had high consistency(intraclass correlation efficient,ICC=0.80)in the subgroup analysis of confirmed cases.Conclusion AI can quickly identify pulmonary artery emboli in a short time and assist radiologists to improve diagnostic efficiency.At the same time,through the intelligent detection of PAOI,it is helpful for the risk stratification of patients with PE and optimizing the diagnosis and treatment pathway for pulmonary embolism.

Objective:To investigate the relationship between nerve growth factor (NGF) concentration in follicular fluid and abnormal menstrual cycle in infertile patients with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS).Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 100 infertile patients with PCOS who underwent in vitro fertilization and embryo transfer (IVF-ET) at Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Peking University Third Hospital from March 2017 to June 2019. For comparison, the 100 patients with PCOS were divided into low NGF group ( n=50) and high NGF group ( n=50) based on the median NGF concentration (1 644.03 ng/L) in follicular fluid. Baseline characteristics, menstrual status and clinical outcomes of assisted reproductive technology were compared. We performed multiple linear regression analysis to examine the effect of NGF in follicular fluid on menstrual cycle length for multivariate analysis. Results:1) PCOS patients in the low NGF group had significantly higher body mass index [(27.24±5.17) kg/m 2] and white blood cell count [7.31(5.99, 8.43)×10 9/L ] than those in the high NGF group [(25.03±4.46) kg/m 2, P=0.024; 5.95(5.08,7.01)×10 9/L, P=0.001], while high-density lipoprotein cholesterol [1.15 (0.98, 1.36) mmol/L] and basic follicle-stimulating hormone level [6.51 (5.10,7.95) U/L] in the low NGF group were significantly lower than those in the high NGF group [1.36 (1.09,1.52) mmol/L, P=0.039;6.51 (5.10,7.95)U/L, P=0.040]. 2) PCOS patients in the low NGF group had significantly higher menstrual cycle length [60.00 (35.00, 180.00) d] than the high NGF group [32.50 (27.00,67.50) d, P=0.001]. 3) Multiple linear regression analysis revealed that after adjustment for body mass index, age, infertility duration, infertility type, and glucose and lipid metabolic parameters, the NGF concentration in the follicular fluid independently and negatively correlated with menstrual cycle length ( P<0.05). 4) The NGF concentration in follicular fluid was not correlated with assisted reproductive outcomes. Conclusion:NGF concentration in follicular fluid is closely related to the degree of menstrual cycle abnormalities in patients with PCOS.

Objective:To investigate the clinical value of dynamic AI ultrasonic intelligent assisted diagnosis system for preoperative evaluation of thyroid nodules with diameter ≤1.0 cm.Methods:From Apr. 1, 2023, to Dec. 30, 2023, 742 thyroid nodules with diameter ≤1.0 cm were removed from 532 patients with thyroid nodule disease who received surgical treatment in the Department of Thyroid (hernia) of the First Medical Center of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army General Hospital. Among them, 423 were d≤0.5 cm. 319 cases (235 males and 507 females) with 0.5

Objective Investigate the clinical efficacy and application value of gasless trans-subclavian approach endoscopic surgery(GTAES)for the treatment of primary hyperparathyroidism(PHPT).Methods 55 PHPT patients who underwent unilateral parathyroid adenoma resection from January 2023 to October 2024 were absorbed.Based on surgical approaches,31 patients were divided into the traditional low-collar arc incision open surgery group(open group)and 24 patients were divided into gasless trans-subclavian approach endoscopic surgery group(endoscopic group).The perioperative data,anterior neck function recovery,and incision healing were compared between two groups.Results There were no significant differences in operation time,intraoperative blood loss,postoperative drainage volume and postoperative hospital stay between the two groups(P＞0.05).The preoperative blood calcium levels of the endoscopic group and the open group were(2.68±0.10)mmol/L and(2.63±0.16)mmol/L,respectively.The blood calcium levels on the first day after surgery were(2.39±0.12)mmol/L and(2.36±0.16)mmol/L,respectively.Preoperative parathyroid hormone(PTH)was 27.55(110.05,155.75)pg/ml in endoscopic group and 137.00(107.00,210.30)pg/ml in open group,respectively.PTH on the first day after surgery was 18.98(12.64,23.53)pg/ml and 13.85(7.36,23.23)pg/ml,respectively.Blood calcium and PTH in each group 1 day after surgery decreased compared with that before surgery,and the difference was statistically significant(P＜0.05).There were no postoperative complications such as hoarseness,bleeding and incision infection in both groups.Postoperative hand and foot numbness:5 cases(20.8％)in endoscopic group and 8 patients(25.8％)in the open group,there was no significant difference between the two groups(P=0.667).There was no significant difference in the score of neck pain 3 days after surgery between the two groups(P＞0.05).The score of swallowing tension[(1.92±1.06)points compared with(2.77±1.38)points,P=0.015]and the score of anterior neck discomfort[(1.63±0.88)points compared with(2.35±1.33)points,P=0.018]in the endoscopic group one month after surgery were better than those in the open group.There was no significant difference in the score of neck scar scale between the two groups 3 months after surgery(P＞0.05).VAS score of incision satisfaction was(9.08±0.88)in endoscopic group and(8.19±1.30)in open group,and the endoscopic group was better than the open group,the difference was statistically significant(P=0.004).Conclusion For PHPT patients caused by unilateral parathyroid adenoma confirmed through preoperative localization examination,GTAES is a safe and effective surgical approach,which offers unique advantages in intraoperative lesion identification,cosmetic outcomes of the incision,and preservation of anterior neck function,providing a new surgical option for PHPT patients.

Objective To establish a method for chiral analysis of dextromethorphan and levomethorphan in hair and urine by high performance liquid chromatography-triple quadrupole mass spectrometry.Methods Hair samples were extracted by grinding ultrasound,and urine samples were extracted by acetonitrile.The supernatant were separated using a Astec CHIROBIOTIC? V2 column(25 cm × 4.6 mm,5 μm)with 0.5 ‰ formic acid and 10 mmol/L ammonium acetate-methanol as mobile phases,then analyzed in scheduled-multiple reaction monitoring mode.Results The limits of detection and lower limits of quantitation of dextromethorphan and levomethorphan were 0.001 ng/mg and 0.005 ng/mg in hair samples,while they were 0.050 ng/mL and 0.200 ng/mL in urine samples.In the corresponding concentration range,there were good linearity for chiral isomers with correlation coefficients over 0.999.Besides,the recovery rates,accuracy and precision met analytical requirements,and no significant matrix effect were exhibited.In the actual case samples,dextromethorphan were detected in hair of 12 cases and in the corresponding urine of 3 cases.Conclusion This method is rapid,sensitive and reliable for chiral analysis of dextromethorphan and levomethorphan in hair and urine.

Objective Investigate the clinical efficacy and application value of gasless trans-subclavian approach endoscopic surgery(GTAES)for the treatment of primary hyperparathyroidism(PHPT).Methods 55 PHPT patients who underwent unilateral parathyroid adenoma resection from January 2023 to October 2024 were absorbed.Based on surgical approaches,31 patients were divided into the traditional low-collar arc incision open surgery group(open group)and 24 patients were divided into gasless trans-subclavian approach endoscopic surgery group(endoscopic group).The perioperative data,anterior neck function recovery,and incision healing were compared between two groups.Results There were no significant differences in operation time,intraoperative blood loss,postoperative drainage volume and postoperative hospital stay between the two groups(P＞0.05).The preoperative blood calcium levels of the endoscopic group and the open group were(2.68±0.10)mmol/L and(2.63±0.16)mmol/L,respectively.The blood calcium levels on the first day after surgery were(2.39±0.12)mmol/L and(2.36±0.16)mmol/L,respectively.Preoperative parathyroid hormone(PTH)was 27.55(110.05,155.75)pg/ml in endoscopic group and 137.00(107.00,210.30)pg/ml in open group,respectively.PTH on the first day after surgery was 18.98(12.64,23.53)pg/ml and 13.85(7.36,23.23)pg/ml,respectively.Blood calcium and PTH in each group 1 day after surgery decreased compared with that before surgery,and the difference was statistically significant(P＜0.05).There were no postoperative complications such as hoarseness,bleeding and incision infection in both groups.Postoperative hand and foot numbness:5 cases(20.8％)in endoscopic group and 8 patients(25.8％)in the open group,there was no significant difference between the two groups(P=0.667).There was no significant difference in the score of neck pain 3 days after surgery between the two groups(P＞0.05).The score of swallowing tension[(1.92±1.06)points compared with(2.77±1.38)points,P=0.015]and the score of anterior neck discomfort[(1.63±0.88)points compared with(2.35±1.33)points,P=0.018]in the endoscopic group one month after surgery were better than those in the open group.There was no significant difference in the score of neck scar scale between the two groups 3 months after surgery(P＞0.05).VAS score of incision satisfaction was(9.08±0.88)in endoscopic group and(8.19±1.30)in open group,and the endoscopic group was better than the open group,the difference was statistically significant(P=0.004).Conclusion For PHPT patients caused by unilateral parathyroid adenoma confirmed through preoperative localization examination,GTAES is a safe and effective surgical approach,which offers unique advantages in intraoperative lesion identification,cosmetic outcomes of the incision,and preservation of anterior neck function,providing a new surgical option for PHPT patients.