Objective To construct and evaluate the prediction model of maternal mortality in Yunnan Province,and predict the maternal mortality rate in Yunnan Province from 2024 to 2030.Methods Based on the maternal mortality rates in Yunnan Province from 1994 to 2023,a grey prediction model and a autoregressive integrated moving average model were constructed,The models were compared using mean absolute error,mean square error and root mean square error to assess their fitting performance,and the optimal model was used to predict the maternal mortality rate in Yunnan Province from 2024 to 2030.Resuls The maternal mortality rate in Yunnan Province showed a continuous decline from 1994 to 2023(χ2=50 170.0,P<0.05).The mean absolute error,mean-square error and root mean-square error for the grey prediction model were 2.424,12.389,3.519,respectively,while for the differential autoregressive moving average model,they were 3.966,27.651,5.258,respectively.The prediction effect of the grey prediction model is superior to that of the autoregressive integrated moving average model,with a posterior difference ratio C=0.079 and a low probability error P=1,indicating a prediction accuracy of level 1.Using the grey prediction model,the maternal mortality rates for Yunnan Province from 2024 to 2030 are 10.05/100 000,9.16/100 000,8.34/100 000,7.59/100 000,691/100 000,6.30/100 000 and 5.73/100 000,respectively.Conclusion The grey prediction model has a good prediction effect on maternal mortality in Yunnan Province.It is predicted that the maternal mortality rate in Yunnan Province in 2030 can meet the control targets outlined in the"Healthy China 2030 Plan",the"Outline of Chinese Women's Development(2021-2030)"and the"Yunnan Women's Development Plan(2021-2030)".

Emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants have made COVID-19 convalescents susceptible to re-infection and have raised concern about the efficacy of inactivated vaccination in neutralization against emerging variants and antigen-specific B cell response. To this end, a study on a long-term cohort of 208 participants who have recovered from COVID-19 was conducted, and the participants were followed up at 3.3 (Visit 1), 9.2 (Visit 2), and 18.5 (Visit 3) months after SARS-CoV-2 infection. They were classified into three groups (no-vaccination (n = 54), one-dose (n = 62), and two-dose (n = 92) groups) on the basis of the administration of inactivated vaccination. The neutralizing antibody (NAb) titers against the wild-type virus continued to decrease in the no-vaccination group, but they rose significantly in the one-dose and two-dose groups, with the highest NAb titers being observed in the two-dose group at Visit 3. The NAb titers against the Delta variant for the no-vaccination, one-dose, and two-dose groups decreased by 3.3, 1.9, and 2.3 folds relative to the wild-type virus, respectively, and those against the Omicron variant decreased by 7.0, 4.0, and 3.8 folds, respectively. Similarly, the responses of SARS-CoV-2 RBD-specific B cells and memory B cells were boosted by the second vaccine dose. Results showed that the convalescents benefited from the administration of the inactivated vaccine (one or two doses), which enhanced neutralization against highly mutated SARS-CoV-2 variants and memory B cell responses. Two doses of inactivated vaccine among COVID-19 convalescents are therefore recommended for the prevention of the COVID-19 pandemic, and vaccination guidelines and policies need to be updated.

BACKGROUND: Evidence on the relations of the American Heart Association's ideal cardiovascular health (ICH) with mortality in Asians is sparse, and the interaction between behavioral and medical metrics remained unclear. We aimed to fill the gaps. METHODS: A total of 198,164 participants without cancer and cardiovascular disease (CVD) were included from the China Kadoorie Biobank study (2004-2018), Dongfeng-Tongji cohort (2008-2018), and Kailuan study (2006-2019). Four behaviors (i.e., smoking, physical activity, diet, body mass index) and three medical factors (i.e., blood pressure, blood glucose, and blood lipid) were classified into poor, intermediate, and ideal levels (0, 1, and 2 points), which constituted 8-point behavioral, 6-point medical, and 14-point ICH scores. Results of Cox regression from three cohorts were pooled using random-effects models of meta-analysis. RESULTS: During about 2 million person-years, 20,176 deaths were recorded. After controlling for demographic characteristics and alcohol drinking, hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) comparing ICH scores of 10-14 vs. 0-6 were 0.52 (0.41-0.67), 0.44 (0.37-0.53), 0.54 (0.45-0.66), and 0.86 (0.64-1.14) for all-cause, CVD, respiratory, and cancer mortality. A higher behavioral or medical score was independently associated with lower all-cause and CVD mortality among the total population and populations with different levels of behavioral or medical health equally, and no interaction was observed. CONCLUSIONS ICH was associated with lower all-cause, CVD, and respiratory mortality among Chinese adults. Both behavioral and medical health should be improved to prevent premature deaths.
Adult ; Humans ; Cardiovascular Diseases/prevention & control* ; East Asian People ; Prospective Studies ; Risk Factors ; Smoking

Humans ; COVID-19 Vaccines ; COVID-19/prevention & control* ; SARS-CoV-2

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Self-rated health (SRH) is a consistent and strong predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in various populations. However, the associations between SRH measures and risk of first-ever or recurrent stroke were rarely explored. We thus aim to prospectively investigate the associations between SRH measures and risk of total and subtypes of stroke in Chinese population. METHODS: A total of 494,113 participants from the China Kadoorie Biobank without prior heart diseases or cancer (486,541 without stroke and 7,572 with stroke) were followed from baseline (2004 to 2008) until December 31, 2013. General and age-comparative SRH were obtained from baseline questionnaires. First-ever stroke or recurrent events were ascertained through linkage to disease registry system and health insurance data. RESULTS: We identified 27,662 first-ever stroke and 2,909 recurrent events during an average of 7.0 years of follow-up. Compared with excellent general SRH, the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for first-ever stroke associated with good, fair, and poor general SRH were 1.04 (1.00 to 1.08), 1.19 (1.15 to 1.23), and 1.49 (1.42 to 1.56) in the multivariate model, respectively. Compared with better age-comparative SRH, the HRs (95% CIs) of same and worse age-comparative SRH were 1.13 (1.10 to 1.17) and 1.51 (1.45 to 1.58), respectively. The relations of SRH measures with ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, and recurrent stroke were similar to that with total first-ever stroke. However, the magnitude of associations was much stronger for fatal stroke than for non-fatal stroke. CONCLUSIONS: This large-scale prospective cohort suggests that self-perceived health status is associated with incident stroke, regardless of stroke subtype.
Adult* ; Asian Continental Ancestry Group* ; China* ; Cohort Studies ; Follow-Up Studies ; Heart Diseases ; Humans ; Insurance, Health ; Mortality ; Prospective Studies ; Stroke*

Objective To investigate the association and interaction of heat shock proteins B1 (HSPB1) gene rs2868371 and tumor-suppressor protein p53 (TP53) gene rs1042522 polymorphisms with chromosome damage levels among coke oven workers. Methods We recruited 1 333 male workers from a state-run coke oven plant in Wuhan in September-October 2010. Among them, 949 who had worked in coke oven workplaces, including auxiliary facilities and bottom, side, and top ovens, were nominated as coke oven workers (i.e., exposed), and 384 administrative or medical staff whose workplaces were offices were used as controls. General characteristics and 5 ml of venous blood were collected from each participant. The plasma concentrations of benzo [a] pyrene-diolepoxide (BPDE)-albumin adducts and the lymphocytic micronucleus (MN) frequencies for each individual were detected by ELISA and cytokinesis-block micronucleus assay, respectively. Gene polymorphisms were genotyped using TaqMan assays via quantitative PCR (ABI Prism 7900HT), and the corresponding frequency ratios (FR) with 95%confidence intervals (CI) were computed for all assays. Results In the exposed group, the MN frequencies were higher in HSPB1 rs2868371 GC, CC, and GC+CC genotype carriers ((3.88 ± 2.88)‰, (4.00 ± 2.66)‰, and (3.91 ± 2.83)‰, respectively) than in rs2868371 GG genotype carriers ((3.52±2.67)‰;FR=1.10, 1.13, and 1.11;95%CI:1.02-1.19, 1.02-1.25, and 1.03-1.19, respectively), and the HSPB1 rs2868371C allele was associated with increased MN frequency (Ptrend=0.006). Further, in the exposed group, the MN frequencies were lower in TP53 rs1042522 CG and CG+GG genotype carriers ((3.63±2.61)‰and (3.66±2.61)‰, respectively) than in TP53 rs1042522 CC genotype carriers (3.95 ± 3.06)‰(FR=0.87 and 0.90;95%CI:0.83-0.96 and 0.84-0.97, respectively). The effect of gene-gene interaction between HSPB1, rs2868371, and TP53 rs1042522 on MN frequency was significant among coke oven workers (P=0.001). Further stratified analyses showed that the effects of the HSPB1 rs2868371C allele in increasing MN frequencies were robust in subjects aged>40 years (FR=1.07, 95% CI: 1.01-1.12), those working >20 years (FR=1.08, 95% CI: 1.02-1.14), those with BMI ≤24 kg/m2 (FR=1.07, 95% CI: 1.01-1.13), drinkers (FR=1.09, 95% CI: 1.02-1.16), and workers with higher BPDE-albumin adduct levels (FR=1.07, 95% CI: 1.01-1.13) (Ptrend=0.023, 0.013, 0.029, and 0.020, respectively). The decreasing effect of the TP53 rs1042522 G allele on MN frequencies was robust in subjects aged >40 years (FR=0.94, 95% CI: 0.89-0.99), those with BMI ≤24 kg/m2 (FR=0.94, 95% CI:0.88-0.99), and drinkers (FR=0.94, 95% CI: 0.88-1.00) (Ptrend=0.031, 0.023, and 0.038, respectively). In addition, there were interactions between HSPB1 rs2868371 and age and between HSPB1 rs2868371 and working years in terms of MN frequency (P=0.030 and 0.013, respectively). Conclusion In coke oven workers, the HSPB1 rs2868371 C and TP53 rs1042522 G alleles were associated with increased and decreased chromosome damage levels, respectively, and their interaction effect on chromosome damage levels was significant.

Objective To investigate the association and interaction of heat shock proteins B1 (HSPB1) gene rs2868371 and tumor-suppressor protein p53 (TP53) gene rs1042522 polymorphisms with chromosome damage levels among coke oven workers. Methods We recruited 1 333 male workers from a state-run coke oven plant in Wuhan in September-October 2010. Among them, 949 who had worked in coke oven workplaces, including auxiliary facilities and bottom, side, and top ovens, were nominated as coke oven workers (i.e., exposed), and 384 administrative or medical staff whose workplaces were offices were used as controls. General characteristics and 5 ml of venous blood were collected from each participant. The plasma concentrations of benzo [a] pyrene-diolepoxide (BPDE)-albumin adducts and the lymphocytic micronucleus (MN) frequencies for each individual were detected by ELISA and cytokinesis-block micronucleus assay, respectively. Gene polymorphisms were genotyped using TaqMan assays via quantitative PCR (ABI Prism 7900HT), and the corresponding frequency ratios (FR) with 95%confidence intervals (CI) were computed for all assays. Results In the exposed group, the MN frequencies were higher in HSPB1 rs2868371 GC, CC, and GC+CC genotype carriers ((3.88 ± 2.88)‰, (4.00 ± 2.66)‰, and (3.91 ± 2.83)‰, respectively) than in rs2868371 GG genotype carriers ((3.52±2.67)‰;FR=1.10, 1.13, and 1.11;95%CI:1.02-1.19, 1.02-1.25, and 1.03-1.19, respectively), and the HSPB1 rs2868371C allele was associated with increased MN frequency (Ptrend=0.006). Further, in the exposed group, the MN frequencies were lower in TP53 rs1042522 CG and CG+GG genotype carriers ((3.63±2.61)‰and (3.66±2.61)‰, respectively) than in TP53 rs1042522 CC genotype carriers (3.95 ± 3.06)‰(FR=0.87 and 0.90;95%CI:0.83-0.96 and 0.84-0.97, respectively). The effect of gene-gene interaction between HSPB1, rs2868371, and TP53 rs1042522 on MN frequency was significant among coke oven workers (P=0.001). Further stratified analyses showed that the effects of the HSPB1 rs2868371C allele in increasing MN frequencies were robust in subjects aged>40 years (FR=1.07, 95% CI: 1.01-1.12), those working >20 years (FR=1.08, 95% CI: 1.02-1.14), those with BMI ≤24 kg/m2 (FR=1.07, 95% CI: 1.01-1.13), drinkers (FR=1.09, 95% CI: 1.02-1.16), and workers with higher BPDE-albumin adduct levels (FR=1.07, 95% CI: 1.01-1.13) (Ptrend=0.023, 0.013, 0.029, and 0.020, respectively). The decreasing effect of the TP53 rs1042522 G allele on MN frequencies was robust in subjects aged >40 years (FR=0.94, 95% CI: 0.89-0.99), those with BMI ≤24 kg/m2 (FR=0.94, 95% CI:0.88-0.99), and drinkers (FR=0.94, 95% CI: 0.88-1.00) (Ptrend=0.031, 0.023, and 0.038, respectively). In addition, there were interactions between HSPB1 rs2868371 and age and between HSPB1 rs2868371 and working years in terms of MN frequency (P=0.030 and 0.013, respectively). Conclusion In coke oven workers, the HSPB1 rs2868371 C and TP53 rs1042522 G alleles were associated with increased and decreased chromosome damage levels, respectively, and their interaction effect on chromosome damage levels was significant.

OBJECTIVETo investigate the effects of rs10916581, a common single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) located in the promoter region of pre-miR-320b-2, on coronary heart disease (CHD) risk and circulating microRNA-320b (miR-320b) level. To explore potential factors influencing circulating miR-320b level.

METHODSRs10916581 was genotyped in a case-control study with 1 507 CHD cases and 1 379 age- and sex-frequency-matched controls. The cases were consecutively recruited from 3 hospitals (Tongji Hospital, Union Hospital, and Wugang Hospital) in Wuhan city (Hubei, China) between May 2004 and October 2009 and all the controls resided in Wuhan communities. A subgroup of 174 CHD cases and 181 non-diabetes controls without acute infection were randomly selected and their circulating miR-320b levels were detected using quantitative reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction assays. The association of rs10916581 with CHD susceptibility was analyzed with multivariable logistic regression model. Generalized linear regression model was used to explore the associations of rs10916581 and some other factors with circulating miR-320b level.

RESULTSIn single-factor logistic regression analysis, no association was found between rs10916581 and CHD risk. After adjustment for age, sex, BMI, smoking status, hypertension, diabetes, total triglyceride, total cholesterol/high density lipoprotein (TC/HDL-C), the result did not materially alter(compared with CC genotype, the OR (95%CI) of CHR in the subjects carried CT, TT, CT+TT genotypes were 0.94 (0.76-1.15), 0.99 (0.74-1.33) and 0.95 (0.78-1.16) ). No significant interactions were observed between the conventional risk factors of CHD (age, gender, smoking status, BMI, hypertension, diabetes, CHD family history) and rs10916581 on CHD risk (P > 0.05). Rs10916581 showed no significant association with circulating miR-320b level in cases, controls or total population (β(95%CI) was -0.028 (-0.495-0.440), 0.250 (-0.226-0.727) and 0.134 (-0.218-0.486) respectively, P > 0.05). However, circulating miR-320b level was negatively associated with BMI (β (95%CI) was -0.140 (-0.261--0.020), P = 0.022) while positively associated with TC/HDL(β (95%CI) was 0.620 (0.261-0.979), P = 0.001) in cases, and in total population, its circulating level tended to be lower in diabetes or hypertension patients (β(95%CI) was -1.025 (-1.696--0.354) and -0.594 (-1.138--0.049) respectively, P = 0.003, 0.033 respectively) and was positively associated with TC/HDL-C (β(95%CI) was 0.108 (0.027-0.190), P = 0.009).

CONCLUSIONThe common SNP (rs10916581) in the promoter region of pre-miR-320b-2 might have little contribution to the CHD predisposition in Chinese Han population, and it might not affect circulating miR-320b level. Conventional CHD risk factors (BMI, TC/HDL-C, hypertension and diabetes) might have effects on its circulating level.

Aged ; Case-Control Studies ; China ; ethnology ; Coronary Disease ; genetics ; Diabetes Mellitus ; Genotype ; Humans ; Hypertension ; Logistic Models ; MicroRNAs ; adverse effects ; blood ; genetics ; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide ; genetics ; Promoter Regions, Genetic ; Risk Factors ; Triglycerides

OBJECTIVETo analyze the relationship between metabolites of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) and serum uric acid levels in coke oven workers and to provide new clues to the pathogenic mechanism of PAHs.

METHODSA total of 1302 coke oven workers were divided into four groups, namely control group and low-, intermediate-, and high-dose exposure groups. The concentrations of ambient PAHs at each workplace were determined by high-performance liquid chromatography. The detailed information on the occupational history and health of workers was collected by questionnaire survey and physical examination, and so were their blood and urine samples. Serum uric acid and creatinine levels were measured using a Hitachi 7020 automatic biochemical analyzer. Ten urinary PAH metabolites were detected by gas chromatography-mass spectrometry.

RESULTSSerum uric acid levels were the highest in the high-dose exposure group, followed by the intermediate- and low-dose exposure groups, and were the lowest in the control group. There were significant correlations between serum uric acid levels and the quartiles of 1-hydroxynaphthalene and 1-hydroxyphenanthrene (P < 0.05). After adjustment for PAH metabolite-related relationship, only urinary 1-hydroxyphenanthrene was significantly correlated with serum uric acid levels (P = 0.001). After adjustment for confounding factors and using the 1st quartile of 1-hydroxyphenanthrene as a reference, the odds ratio for hyperuricemia in subjects with the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th quartiles of 1-hydroxyphenanthrene were 1.55, 1.57, and 2.35, respectively.

CONCLUSIONUrinary 1-hydroxyphenanthrene is associated with a dose-response increase in serum uric acid levels in coke oven workers, and exposure to phenanthrene in PAHs may be a risk factor for hyperuricemia.

Adult ; Coke ; Humans ; Male ; Occupational Exposure ; Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons ; urine ; Uric Acid ; blood

Objective To investigate the rs501120 and rs17465637 gene polymorphisms,and their relationship with the risk of coronary heart disease(CHD)in Chinese Han population.Methods 775 CHD without treatment and 775 age and gender matched controls were selected for this study,the genotypes of two single nucleotide polymorphisms(SNP)rs501120 and rs17465637 were tested with TaqMan-MGB probes.Results There was no significant difference in the frequency of genotypes of the 2 SNPs between CHD group and control group(P ＞0.05).Stratified analysis showed that SNP rs501120 had significant protection with CHD in people younger than 60 years old(OR 0.4,95% CI 0.2-0.9,P ＜ 0.05)or people with diabetes(OR0.3,95%CI0.1-0.7,P ＜0.05).Conclusions The results suggested that rs501120 was tightly associated with CHD in people younger than 60 years or had diabetes.