Background/Aims: This study evaluated the clinical utility of serum periostin measured at diagnosis in reflecting activity at diagnosis and predicting all-cause mortality during follow-up in patients with antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis (AAV). Methods: This study included 76 patients with AAV whose serum periostin was measured from sera collected and stored at diagnosis. The correlation of either serum periostin or the Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score (BVAS) with other variables was evaluated. Cumulative survival rates were compared using Kaplan–Meier survival analysis. The variables at diagnosis were compared between deceased and surviving patients. Hazard ratios were obtained by Cox proportional hazard analysis. Results: The median age of the 76 patients was 64.0 years and 60.5% were female. The median BVAS and serum periostin were 5.0 and 10.9 ng/mL, respectively. Five of the 76 patients (6.6%) died. Serum periostin was independently correlated with cross-sectional BVAS, the Vasculitis Damage Index (VDI), white blood cell count, and serum albumin. Patients with serum periostin ≥ 15.9 ng/mL at diagnosis had a significantly lower cumulative survival rate than those without. In addition to high VDI, dyslipidaemia frequency, and C-reactive protein, deceased patients showed higher serum periostin than surviving patients. In multivariable Cox analysis, however, only dyslipidaemia rather than serum periostin was identified as an independent predictor of all-cause mortality. Conclusions This study is the first to demonstrate that serum periostin at diagnosis could independently reflect cross-sectional BVAS and further partially contribute to all-cause mortality prediction in patients with AAV.

Background/Aims: This study evaluated the clinical utility of serum periostin measured at diagnosis in reflecting activity at diagnosis and predicting all-cause mortality during follow-up in patients with antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis (AAV). Methods: This study included 76 patients with AAV whose serum periostin was measured from sera collected and stored at diagnosis. The correlation of either serum periostin or the Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score (BVAS) with other variables was evaluated. Cumulative survival rates were compared using Kaplan–Meier survival analysis. The variables at diagnosis were compared between deceased and surviving patients. Hazard ratios were obtained by Cox proportional hazard analysis. Results: The median age of the 76 patients was 64.0 years and 60.5% were female. The median BVAS and serum periostin were 5.0 and 10.9 ng/mL, respectively. Five of the 76 patients (6.6%) died. Serum periostin was independently correlated with cross-sectional BVAS, the Vasculitis Damage Index (VDI), white blood cell count, and serum albumin. Patients with serum periostin ≥ 15.9 ng/mL at diagnosis had a significantly lower cumulative survival rate than those without. In addition to high VDI, dyslipidaemia frequency, and C-reactive protein, deceased patients showed higher serum periostin than surviving patients. In multivariable Cox analysis, however, only dyslipidaemia rather than serum periostin was identified as an independent predictor of all-cause mortality. Conclusions This study is the first to demonstrate that serum periostin at diagnosis could independently reflect cross-sectional BVAS and further partially contribute to all-cause mortality prediction in patients with AAV.

Background/Aims: This study evaluated the clinical utility of serum periostin measured at diagnosis in reflecting activity at diagnosis and predicting all-cause mortality during follow-up in patients with antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis (AAV). Methods: This study included 76 patients with AAV whose serum periostin was measured from sera collected and stored at diagnosis. The correlation of either serum periostin or the Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score (BVAS) with other variables was evaluated. Cumulative survival rates were compared using Kaplan–Meier survival analysis. The variables at diagnosis were compared between deceased and surviving patients. Hazard ratios were obtained by Cox proportional hazard analysis. Results: The median age of the 76 patients was 64.0 years and 60.5% were female. The median BVAS and serum periostin were 5.0 and 10.9 ng/mL, respectively. Five of the 76 patients (6.6%) died. Serum periostin was independently correlated with cross-sectional BVAS, the Vasculitis Damage Index (VDI), white blood cell count, and serum albumin. Patients with serum periostin ≥ 15.9 ng/mL at diagnosis had a significantly lower cumulative survival rate than those without. In addition to high VDI, dyslipidaemia frequency, and C-reactive protein, deceased patients showed higher serum periostin than surviving patients. In multivariable Cox analysis, however, only dyslipidaemia rather than serum periostin was identified as an independent predictor of all-cause mortality. Conclusions This study is the first to demonstrate that serum periostin at diagnosis could independently reflect cross-sectional BVAS and further partially contribute to all-cause mortality prediction in patients with AAV.

Background/Aims: This study evaluated the clinical utility of serum periostin measured at diagnosis in reflecting activity at diagnosis and predicting all-cause mortality during follow-up in patients with antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis (AAV). Methods: This study included 76 patients with AAV whose serum periostin was measured from sera collected and stored at diagnosis. The correlation of either serum periostin or the Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score (BVAS) with other variables was evaluated. Cumulative survival rates were compared using Kaplan–Meier survival analysis. The variables at diagnosis were compared between deceased and surviving patients. Hazard ratios were obtained by Cox proportional hazard analysis. Results: The median age of the 76 patients was 64.0 years and 60.5% were female. The median BVAS and serum periostin were 5.0 and 10.9 ng/mL, respectively. Five of the 76 patients (6.6%) died. Serum periostin was independently correlated with cross-sectional BVAS, the Vasculitis Damage Index (VDI), white blood cell count, and serum albumin. Patients with serum periostin ≥ 15.9 ng/mL at diagnosis had a significantly lower cumulative survival rate than those without. In addition to high VDI, dyslipidaemia frequency, and C-reactive protein, deceased patients showed higher serum periostin than surviving patients. In multivariable Cox analysis, however, only dyslipidaemia rather than serum periostin was identified as an independent predictor of all-cause mortality. Conclusions This study is the first to demonstrate that serum periostin at diagnosis could independently reflect cross-sectional BVAS and further partially contribute to all-cause mortality prediction in patients with AAV.

Background/Aims: This study evaluated the clinical utility of serum periostin measured at diagnosis in reflecting activity at diagnosis and predicting all-cause mortality during follow-up in patients with antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis (AAV). Methods: This study included 76 patients with AAV whose serum periostin was measured from sera collected and stored at diagnosis. The correlation of either serum periostin or the Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score (BVAS) with other variables was evaluated. Cumulative survival rates were compared using Kaplan–Meier survival analysis. The variables at diagnosis were compared between deceased and surviving patients. Hazard ratios were obtained by Cox proportional hazard analysis. Results: The median age of the 76 patients was 64.0 years and 60.5% were female. The median BVAS and serum periostin were 5.0 and 10.9 ng/mL, respectively. Five of the 76 patients (6.6%) died. Serum periostin was independently correlated with cross-sectional BVAS, the Vasculitis Damage Index (VDI), white blood cell count, and serum albumin. Patients with serum periostin ≥ 15.9 ng/mL at diagnosis had a significantly lower cumulative survival rate than those without. In addition to high VDI, dyslipidaemia frequency, and C-reactive protein, deceased patients showed higher serum periostin than surviving patients. In multivariable Cox analysis, however, only dyslipidaemia rather than serum periostin was identified as an independent predictor of all-cause mortality. Conclusions This study is the first to demonstrate that serum periostin at diagnosis could independently reflect cross-sectional BVAS and further partially contribute to all-cause mortality prediction in patients with AAV.

Purpose: This study aimed to investigate whether the serum extracellular newly identified receptor for advanced glycation end products binding protein (EN-RAGE) and the soluble form of RAGE (sRAGE) measured at diagnosis are associated with all-cause mortality in patients with microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) and granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA). Materials and Methods: Serum EN-RAGE and sRAGE were measured in 75 immunosuppressive drug-naïve MPA and GPA patients using an immunoassay, with their clinical and laboratory data reviewed. The optimal cut-off point of EN-RAGE and sRAGE was calculated by finding the threshold with the maximum sum of sensitivity and specificity. In addition, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was adopted to select variables included in the multivariable Cox proportional hazards (PH) regression model. Results: The median age of the patients was 67.0 years, and 34% were male. Neither serum EN-RAGE nor sRAGE at diagnosis was correlated with the Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score. Furthermore, no correlation was observed between serum EN-RAGE and sRAGE. Deceased patients had significantly lower serum EN-RAGE and higher serum sRAGE at diagnosis compared to surviving patients. Patients with serum EN-RAGE at diagnosis ≤84.37 ng/mL and serum sRAGE at diagnosis ≥1.82 ng/mL showed significantly lower survival probabilities compared to those without. In multivariable Cox PH regression model, only serum sRAGE at diagnosis ≥1.82 ng/mL, rather than serum EN-RAGE at diagnosis ≤84.37 ng/mL, was independently associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 7.094). Conclusion This study is the first to demonstrate that serum sRAGE at diagnosis may independently predict all-cause mortality during follow-up in patients with MPA and GPA.

Purpose: This study aimed to investigate whether the serum extracellular newly identified receptor for advanced glycation end products binding protein (EN-RAGE) and the soluble form of RAGE (sRAGE) measured at diagnosis are associated with all-cause mortality in patients with microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) and granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA). Materials and Methods: Serum EN-RAGE and sRAGE were measured in 75 immunosuppressive drug-naïve MPA and GPA patients using an immunoassay, with their clinical and laboratory data reviewed. The optimal cut-off point of EN-RAGE and sRAGE was calculated by finding the threshold with the maximum sum of sensitivity and specificity. In addition, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was adopted to select variables included in the multivariable Cox proportional hazards (PH) regression model. Results: The median age of the patients was 67.0 years, and 34% were male. Neither serum EN-RAGE nor sRAGE at diagnosis was correlated with the Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score. Furthermore, no correlation was observed between serum EN-RAGE and sRAGE. Deceased patients had significantly lower serum EN-RAGE and higher serum sRAGE at diagnosis compared to surviving patients. Patients with serum EN-RAGE at diagnosis ≤84.37 ng/mL and serum sRAGE at diagnosis ≥1.82 ng/mL showed significantly lower survival probabilities compared to those without. In multivariable Cox PH regression model, only serum sRAGE at diagnosis ≥1.82 ng/mL, rather than serum EN-RAGE at diagnosis ≤84.37 ng/mL, was independently associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 7.094). Conclusion This study is the first to demonstrate that serum sRAGE at diagnosis may independently predict all-cause mortality during follow-up in patients with MPA and GPA.

Purpose: This study aimed to investigate whether the serum extracellular newly identified receptor for advanced glycation end products binding protein (EN-RAGE) and the soluble form of RAGE (sRAGE) measured at diagnosis are associated with all-cause mortality in patients with microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) and granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA). Materials and Methods: Serum EN-RAGE and sRAGE were measured in 75 immunosuppressive drug-naïve MPA and GPA patients using an immunoassay, with their clinical and laboratory data reviewed. The optimal cut-off point of EN-RAGE and sRAGE was calculated by finding the threshold with the maximum sum of sensitivity and specificity. In addition, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was adopted to select variables included in the multivariable Cox proportional hazards (PH) regression model. Results: The median age of the patients was 67.0 years, and 34% were male. Neither serum EN-RAGE nor sRAGE at diagnosis was correlated with the Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score. Furthermore, no correlation was observed between serum EN-RAGE and sRAGE. Deceased patients had significantly lower serum EN-RAGE and higher serum sRAGE at diagnosis compared to surviving patients. Patients with serum EN-RAGE at diagnosis ≤84.37 ng/mL and serum sRAGE at diagnosis ≥1.82 ng/mL showed significantly lower survival probabilities compared to those without. In multivariable Cox PH regression model, only serum sRAGE at diagnosis ≥1.82 ng/mL, rather than serum EN-RAGE at diagnosis ≤84.37 ng/mL, was independently associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 7.094). Conclusion This study is the first to demonstrate that serum sRAGE at diagnosis may independently predict all-cause mortality during follow-up in patients with MPA and GPA.

Background: Worldwide, sepsis is the leading cause of death in hospitals. If mortality rates in patients with sepsis can be predicted early, medical resources can be allocated efficiently. We constructed machine learning (ML) models to predict the mortality of patients with sepsis in a hospital emergency department. Methods: This study prospectively collected nationwide data from an ongoing multicenter cohort of patients with sepsis identified in the emergency department. Patients were enrolled from 19 hospitals between September 2019 and December 2020. For acquired data from 3,657 survivors and 1,455 deaths, six ML models (logistic regression, support vector machine, random forest, extreme gradient boosting [XGBoost], light gradient boosting machine, and categorical boosting [CatBoost]) were constructed using fivefold cross-validation to predict mortality. Through these models, 44 clinical variables measured on the day of admission were compared with six sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) components (PaO 2 /FIO 2 [PF], platelets (PLT), bilirubin, cardiovascular, Glasgow Coma Scale score, and creatinine).The confidence interval (CI) was obtained by performing 10,000 repeated measurements via random sampling of the test dataset. All results were explained and interpreted using Shapley’s additive explanations (SHAP). Results: Of the 5,112 participants, CatBoost exhibited the highest area under the curve (AUC) of 0.800 (95% CI, 0.756–0.840) using clinical variables. Using the SOFA components for the same patient, XGBoost exhibited the highest AUC of 0.678 (95% CI, 0.626–0.730). As interpreted by SHAP, albumin, lactate, blood urea nitrogen, and international normalization ratio were determined to significantly affect the results. Additionally, PF and PLTs in the SOFA component significantly influenced the prediction results. Conclusion Newly established ML-based models achieved good prediction of mortality in patients with sepsis. Using several clinical variables acquired at the baseline can provide more accurate results for early predictions than using SOFA components. Additionally, the impact of each variable was identified.

Purpose: This study aimed to investigate whether the serum extracellular newly identified receptor for advanced glycation end products binding protein (EN-RAGE) and the soluble form of RAGE (sRAGE) measured at diagnosis are associated with all-cause mortality in patients with microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) and granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA). Materials and Methods: Serum EN-RAGE and sRAGE were measured in 75 immunosuppressive drug-naïve MPA and GPA patients using an immunoassay, with their clinical and laboratory data reviewed. The optimal cut-off point of EN-RAGE and sRAGE was calculated by finding the threshold with the maximum sum of sensitivity and specificity. In addition, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was adopted to select variables included in the multivariable Cox proportional hazards (PH) regression model. Results: The median age of the patients was 67.0 years, and 34% were male. Neither serum EN-RAGE nor sRAGE at diagnosis was correlated with the Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score. Furthermore, no correlation was observed between serum EN-RAGE and sRAGE. Deceased patients had significantly lower serum EN-RAGE and higher serum sRAGE at diagnosis compared to surviving patients. Patients with serum EN-RAGE at diagnosis ≤84.37 ng/mL and serum sRAGE at diagnosis ≥1.82 ng/mL showed significantly lower survival probabilities compared to those without. In multivariable Cox PH regression model, only serum sRAGE at diagnosis ≥1.82 ng/mL, rather than serum EN-RAGE at diagnosis ≤84.37 ng/mL, was independently associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 7.094). Conclusion This study is the first to demonstrate that serum sRAGE at diagnosis may independently predict all-cause mortality during follow-up in patients with MPA and GPA.