1.Application of optimized combination prediction model in the prediction of hand, foot and mouth disease
Weijie TIAN ; Qian GAO ; Kun YANG ; Zhirong ZHAO ; Jian CHEN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):58-62
Objective To explore scientific and accurate prediction methods for the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in the post-pandemic era, and to address modeling challenges caused by abnormal fluctuations in case numbers from 2020 to 2023. Methods The seasonal index was used to pre-process the data. The traditional seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-ARIMA model, ARIMA-Long short-term memory (LSTM) model, and SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model were used to fit the incidence from 2013 to 2023, and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in 2024 was predicted. The real data collected in 2024 were used as the test set to compare the prediction performance of the models. Results The fitting performance of the constructed models was as follows: the ARIMA model had MAE=107.50 and RMSE=144.53, the SSA-ARIMA model showed MAE=2.84 and RMSE=4.33, the ARIMA-LSTM model achieved MAE=99.46 and RMSE=131.59, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model had MAE=96.35 and RMSE=132.13. In terms of prediction performance, the ARIMA model resulted in MAE=151.64 and RMSE=146.70, the SSA-ARIMA model demonstrated MAE=41.22 and RMSE=57.01, the ARIMA-LSTM model yielded MAE=220.75 and RMSE=257.89, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model recorded MAE=58.83 and RMSE=72.06. Conclusion The SSA-ARIMA model has the best fitting degree and the highest prediction accuracy, and is suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease.
2.Advances in diffuse optical technology lenses for myopia control
Kun HE ; Bingxin PAN ; Suyun YANG ; Zhiyang HE ; Mengting ZHENG ; Meiling SHU ; Pengfei JIANG ; Shan XU ; Pengfei TIAN
International Eye Science 2025;25(9):1476-1483
Recent years have witnessed significant advancements in myopia control research through the application of diffuse optical technology(DOT)spectacle lenses. Myopia has emerged as a global public health challenge, affecting nearly half of the world's population, with childhood and adolescent myopia rates continuing to rise. DOT lenses represent an innovative myopia control intervention based on retinal contrast signal theory. These lenses incorporate micro-light scattering dots distributed across the lens surface to reduce retinal imaging contrast and modulate the influence of visual input on axial elongation, thereby slowing myopia progression. The core mechanism operates through refractive index differences between the lens substrate(1.53)and scattering dots(1.50), which generate optical scattering effects. This design maintains clear vision through a central 5 mm optical zone while effectively reducing contrast signal intensity in the peripheral retina. Large-scale randomized controlled trials, including the CYPRESS study, have demonstrated significant myopia control efficacy in children aged 6-10 years: 12-month follow-up data revealed a 74% reduction in myopia progression and a 50% reduction in axial elongation, with sustained safety and visual quality maintained over 4-year long-term follow-up. However, several aspects of DOT technology remain contentious and require further clinical validation, including its applicability across different age groups, optimal scattering dot density configurations, combined application effects with other myopia control methods, and long-term visual adaptation during extended use. This review systematically examines the theoretical foundations, design characteristics, clinical application progress, and future development directions of DOT technology, providing scientific evidence for clinical myopia prevention and control strategy formulation.
3.Application of the EYESI binocular indirect ophthalmoscope simulation system for fundus examination skill training of general practitioner
Lei ZHENG ; Li YU ; Ruyin TIAN ; Qingshan CHEN ; Hao LUO ; Ya'nan LU ; Tianhui ZHU ; Kun LIU ; Guoming ZHANG
International Eye Science 2025;25(12):2032-2035
AIM:To evaluate the effectiveness of EYESI binocular indirect ophthalmoscope simulation system as a training platform for fundus examination skills of general practitioner.METHODS:Prospective randomized study. A total of 40 general practitioners who received clinical ophthalmology training at Shenzhen Eye Hospital from January 2021 to December 2024 were selected and randomly divided into two groups by random number table method, with 20 cases in the study group and 20 cases in the control group. The study group was trained by EYESI binocular indirect ophthalmoscope simulation system and the control group was trained by conventional teaching. Training effects of the two groups were analyzed.RESULTS: The general information of the two groups was comparable. Through training with the EYESI binocular indirect ophthalmoscope simulator, the study group showed significant improvements in total examination and drawing scores compared to pre-training results(all P<0.001). Additionally, examination duration, retinal light exposure time, and drawing time were all significantly shorter than those before training(all P<0.001).The study group achieved significantly higher total examination and drawing scores than the control group during the EYESI binocular indirect ophthalmoscope simulator assessment(all P<0.001). Furthermore, examination duration, retinal light exposure time, and drawing time were all significantly shorter in the study group compared to the control group(all P<0.001). Moreover, ratings for the novelty of the training method and overall satisfaction with the training were significantly higher in the study group than in the control group(all P<0.001); while the perceived psychological stress during training was significantly lower in the study group(P<0.001).CONCLUSION:The EYESI binocular indirect ophthalmoscope simulaton system effectively enhances both the proficiency in fundus examination skills and overall training satisfaction among general practitioners.
4.Effects of Hedysarum polybotrys polysacchcaide on FXR-FGF19 signal pathway in diabetes rats
Lei ZHANG ; Sheng-fang WAN ; Ya-ling LI ; Qian-kun LIANG ; Yi-hong TIAN ; Xin-xin MA ; Qian GUO
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2025;41(1):76-80
Objective To study the effects of Hedysarum polysaccharides polysaccharide(HPS)on the farnesoid X receptor(FXR)-fibroblast growth factor-19(FGF19)signaling pathway of diabetes rats.Methods Twelve Wistar male rats were randomly selected as the normal group,and the other rats were fed with a single intraperitoneal injection of streptozotocin(50 mg·kg-1 STZ)and a high sugar and high-fat diet to replicate the diabetes rat model.Model rats were randomly divided into model group,positive control group(given 400 mg·kg-1·d-1 suspension of Bifidobacterium quadruplex live bacterial tablets by gavage),experimental-H,-M,-L groups(given 200,100,and 50 mg·kg-1·d-1 doses of HPS suspension by gavage);normal group,and model group were given equal volume of purified water by gavage once a day for 8 consecutive weeks.Glucose(Glu)was detected by a blood glucose meter;and serum total glyceride(TG)and total cholesterol(TC)were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay reagent kit;the expressions of FXR、fibroblast growth factor receptors 4(FGFR4)relative mRNA expression level and protein were detected by real-time fluorescence quantitative polymerase chain reaction method and Western blot.Results The Glu concentrations in the normal group,model group,positive control group,and experimental-H groups were(7.66±0.61),(29.25±1.64),(23.31±3.02)and(19.31±5.13)mmol·L-1,respectively;the TG content were(957.00±113.73),(1 345.00±246.44),(958.00±96.53)and(964.00±130.22)μmol·L-1,respectively;the TC content were(161.65±4.53),(302.19±5.35),(236.09±5.14)and(165.58±2.58)μmol·L-1,respectively;the expression of FXR relative mRNA expression level were 1.00±0.06,0.48±0.02,0.67±0.04 and 0.92±0.04,respectively;the expression of FGFR4 relative mRNA expression level were 1.00±0.04,0.17±0.01,0.48±0.04 and 0.41±0.03;respectively.The above indexes of the model group were compared with the control group,and the above indexes of the control group and the experimental-H group were compared with the model group,and the differences were statistically significant(all P<0.01).Conclusion HPS improves blood sugar,lowers blood lipids,and protects liver and intestinal tissues,possibly by regulating the FXR-FGF19 signaling pathway in intestinal tissue,and regulating bile acid synthesis.
5.Research status on the therapeutic potential of paeoniflorin in renal fibrosis based on the PI3K/Akt/mTOR signaling pathway
Lin-zhen JIA ; Tian-tian HAN ; Li-bo WEN ; Kun ZHAO ; Ren-jun GAO ; Ying LÜ ; Xue LI
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2025;41(1):132-136
The phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase/protein kinase B/mammalian target of rapamycin(PI3K/Akt/mTOR)signaling pathway plays a crucial role in the regulation of renal fibrosis by participating in inflammatory response,oxidative stress and autophagy.Paeoniflorin exhibits remarkable efficacy in treating myocardial and liver fibrosis.This article provides a comprehensive review on the research progress of paeoniflora in preventing and treating renal fibrosis through modulation of the PI3K/Akt/mTOR signaling pathway,offering novel insights for traditional Chinese medicine-based approaches to prevent and treat renal fibrosis.
6.Efficacy observation of pelvic floor autologous fascia integrated repair based on membrane anatomy for complete rectal prolapse
Zhibiao MEI ; Yongli CAO ; Bingbing LV ; Siyuan WANG ; Kun TIAN ; Qingli LIU ; Linzi MA ; Yunshuai WANG ; Dong WEI
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2025;28(12):1441-1447
Objective:To compare the clinical efficacy of laparoscopic pelvic floor autologous fascia integral repair based on membrane anatomy versus transperineal proctosigmoidectomy (Altemeier procedure) in the treatment of patients with complete rectal prolapse (CRP).Methods:This study employed a retrospective observational cohort design. Clinical data were collected from a total of 55 CRP patients who underwent surgical treatment between January 2018 and July 2023, including 25 patients from Luoyang Central Hospital, affiliated with Zhengzhou University, and 30 patients from the 989th Hospital of the Joint Logistics Support Force & Military Anorectal Surgery Research Institute. All patients undergoing surgery met the following criteria: aged ≥ 18 years, rectal prolapse protruding outside the anus, prolapse length > 5 cm with inability to self-reduce, conforming to the diagnostic criteria for CRP, and being first-time treated patients. Twenty-seven patients who underwent the Altemeier procedure between January 2018 and March 2021 were assigned to the Altemeier group; 28 patients who underwent laparoscopic pelvic floor autologous fascia integral repair based on membrane anatomy between April 2021 and July 2023 were assigned to the integral repair group. The therapeutic efficacy differences between the two groups were analyzed and compared, including the CRP length (DCRP), Wexner Constipation Score, Wexner Fecal Incontinence Score, and Gastrointestinal Quality of Life Index (GIQLI) before surgery and at 6, 12, and 24 months after surgery, as well as postoperative complications and recurrence at 24 months after surgery.Results:There were no statistically significant differences between the two groups in terms of gender distribution, age, preoperative body mass index (BMI), defecation frequency, DCRP, Wexner Constipation Score, Wexner Fecal Incontinence Score, and GIQLI (all P>0.05). All patients completed the surgery. The length of hospital stay and intraoperative blood loss in the integral repair group were significantly less than those in the Altemeier group (both P<0.01). At 6, 12, and 24 months after surgery, the DCRP, Wexner Constipation Score, Wexner Fecal Incontinence Score, and GIQLI in both groups significantly improved compared with the preoperative values (all P<0.001). At 6, 12, and 24 months after surgery, the CRP treatment effect, Wexner Constipation Score, Wexner Fecal Incontinence Score, and GIQLI in the integral repair group were significantly better than those in the Altemeier group (χ2=15.821, P<0.001; χ2=18.238, P<0.001; χ2 = 12.558, P=0.001; and χ2 =22.413, P<0.001, respectively). In the integral repair group, 4 patients (14.3%) developed grade I-III postoperative complications, including 2 cases of urinary retention, 1 case of anastomotic bleeding, and 1 case of anastomotic stenosis. In the Altemeier group, 11 patients (40.7%) developed grade I-III postoperative complications, including 4 cases of urinary retention, 3 cases of anastomotic bleeding, 1 case of anastomotic stenosis, 2 cases of intestinal fistula, and 1 case of fecal incontinence. The difference between the two groups was statistically significant (χ2=4.850, P=0.028). There was no recurrence of CRP in the integral repair group at 24 months after surgery, while 7 cases of CRP recurrence were observed in the Altemeier group at 24 months after surgery. The difference between the two groups was statistically significant (χ2=6.148, P=0.013). Conclusion:The autologous fascia repair technique based on membrane anatomy and the pelvic floor integral theory is superior to the transperineal Altemeier procedure in the treatment of CRP. Furthermore, it is an effective surgical method for CRP.
7.Acupuncture inhibites hippocampal inflammation in rats with cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury by regulating PPARβ/δ
Jia YUAN ; Yao WANG ; Xiaoyue LIU ; Litong CHEN ; Kun AI ; Haomei TIAN ; Canming XIE ; Chutao CHEN
Chinese Journal of Neuroanatomy 2025;41(4):486-492
Objective:To explore the role of the expression of peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor β/δ(PPARβ/δ)in the anti-inflammatory mechanism of acupuncture(AC)against cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury(CIRI)in rat hippocampal tissue.Methods:A total of 60 SD rats were randomly divided into Sham group,CIRI group,CIRI+AC group and CIRI+AC+PPARβ/δsiRNA group.The CIRI rat model was prepared by the method of middle cerebral artery occlusion,and acupuncture treatment was used for intervention.The neurological function of rats was assessed by the modified neurological severity score(mNSS)method after 72 hours of intervention.The brain in-farction volume ratio was observed by 2,3,5-triphenyltetrazolium chloride(TTC)staining method.The pathological morphological changes of brain tissue were observed by hematoxylin-eosin(HE)staining.The expression levels of PPARβ/δ,IL-1β,and IL-10 mRNA in the hippocampal region were detected by RT-qPCR.Results:Compared with the Sham group,the mNSS scores and the brain infarction volume ratio in all modeling groups were significantly in-creased.Compared with the CIRI group,the mNSS scores and the brain infarction volume ratio in the CIRI+AC group were significantly reduced.The expression levels of PPARβ/δ and IL-10 in the hippocampus were significantly upregu-lated,while the expression level of IL-1β was significantly downregulated(P<0.01),with scattered inflammatory cell infiltration observed.Compared with the CIRI+AC group,there was no significant difference in the mNSS scores and the brain infarction volume ratio in the CIRI+AC+PPARβ/δsiRNA group.The expression level of PPARβ/δ in the hippocampus was significantly downregulated(P<0.01),while no significant difference was found in the expression level of IL-10 and IL-1β mRNA,with a small amount of inflammatory cell infiltration observed.Conclusion:Acupunc-ture ameliorates the recovery of neurological function and the ratio of cerebral infarction volume in rats with CIRI,and its mechanism may be associated with the upregulation of PPARβ/δ expression,thereby reducing inflammatory respon-ses and exerting neuroprotective effects.
8.The effects of acupuncture on the expression of circRNA_017109 and miR-138-5p in rat hippocampus post ischemia-reperfusion injury
Litong CHEN ; Canming XIE ; Yao WANG ; Jia YUAN ; Xiaoyue LIU ; Haomei TIAN ; Chutao CHEN ; Kun AI
Chinese Journal of Neuroanatomy 2025;41(4):445-451
Objective:To investigate the effects of acupuncture intervention on the expression of circRNA_017109 and miR-138-5p in the hippocampal region of rats with cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury(CIRI),and to explore the potential mechanism of acupuncture in treating CIRI.Methods:Forty-five Sprague-Dawley(SD)rats were divided into sham group,middle cerebral artery occlusion/reperfusion(MCAO/R)group,and acupuncture(MCAO/R+AC)group.The MCAO/R and MCAO/R+AC groups were subjected to the modified Longa suture method to establish the MCAO/R model.The MCAO/R+AC group received acupuncture at the"Dazhui","Renzhong",and"Baihui"acu-points.Neurological impairment was assessed via the modified neurological severity score(mNSS).while cerebral infarct volume was assessed through TTC staining.Histological alterations in brain tissue were examined via HE stai-ning,and the expression of circRNA_017109 and miR-138-5p in the hippocampal area were determined using RT-qPCR.Results:The mNSS scores and cerebral infarct volume ratios in the model groups were markedly higher than those in the sham group(P<0.01),but these were significantly reduced in MCAO/R+AC group compared to the MCAO/R group(P<0.01).HE staining showed severe necrosis and inflammation in the MCAO/R group's hippocam-pus,while the MCAO/R+AC group had minimal necrosis and scattered inflammation.RT-qPCR results indicated that the expression of circRNA_017109 and miR-138-5p was downregulated in the MCAO/R group,while MCAO/R+AC group upregulated the expression of circRNA_017109 and miR-138-5p(P<0.05,P<0.01).Conclusion:Acupunc-ture can improve neurological deficits,reduce cerebral infarction volume,and alleviate inflammatory cell infiltration in CIRI rats by upregulating the expression of circRNA_017109 and miR-138-5p,thereby exerting neuroprotective effects.
9.Effects of Hedysarum polybotrys polysacchcaide on FXR-FGF19 signal pathway in diabetes rats
Lei ZHANG ; Sheng-fang WAN ; Ya-ling LI ; Qian-kun LIANG ; Yi-hong TIAN ; Xin-xin MA ; Qian GUO
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2025;41(1):76-80
Objective To study the effects of Hedysarum polysaccharides polysaccharide(HPS)on the farnesoid X receptor(FXR)-fibroblast growth factor-19(FGF19)signaling pathway of diabetes rats.Methods Twelve Wistar male rats were randomly selected as the normal group,and the other rats were fed with a single intraperitoneal injection of streptozotocin(50 mg·kg-1 STZ)and a high sugar and high-fat diet to replicate the diabetes rat model.Model rats were randomly divided into model group,positive control group(given 400 mg·kg-1·d-1 suspension of Bifidobacterium quadruplex live bacterial tablets by gavage),experimental-H,-M,-L groups(given 200,100,and 50 mg·kg-1·d-1 doses of HPS suspension by gavage);normal group,and model group were given equal volume of purified water by gavage once a day for 8 consecutive weeks.Glucose(Glu)was detected by a blood glucose meter;and serum total glyceride(TG)and total cholesterol(TC)were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay reagent kit;the expressions of FXR、fibroblast growth factor receptors 4(FGFR4)relative mRNA expression level and protein were detected by real-time fluorescence quantitative polymerase chain reaction method and Western blot.Results The Glu concentrations in the normal group,model group,positive control group,and experimental-H groups were(7.66±0.61),(29.25±1.64),(23.31±3.02)and(19.31±5.13)mmol·L-1,respectively;the TG content were(957.00±113.73),(1 345.00±246.44),(958.00±96.53)and(964.00±130.22)μmol·L-1,respectively;the TC content were(161.65±4.53),(302.19±5.35),(236.09±5.14)and(165.58±2.58)μmol·L-1,respectively;the expression of FXR relative mRNA expression level were 1.00±0.06,0.48±0.02,0.67±0.04 and 0.92±0.04,respectively;the expression of FGFR4 relative mRNA expression level were 1.00±0.04,0.17±0.01,0.48±0.04 and 0.41±0.03;respectively.The above indexes of the model group were compared with the control group,and the above indexes of the control group and the experimental-H group were compared with the model group,and the differences were statistically significant(all P<0.01).Conclusion HPS improves blood sugar,lowers blood lipids,and protects liver and intestinal tissues,possibly by regulating the FXR-FGF19 signaling pathway in intestinal tissue,and regulating bile acid synthesis.
10.Research status on the therapeutic potential of paeoniflorin in renal fibrosis based on the PI3K/Akt/mTOR signaling pathway
Lin-zhen JIA ; Tian-tian HAN ; Li-bo WEN ; Kun ZHAO ; Ren-jun GAO ; Ying LÜ ; Xue LI
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2025;41(1):132-136
The phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase/protein kinase B/mammalian target of rapamycin(PI3K/Akt/mTOR)signaling pathway plays a crucial role in the regulation of renal fibrosis by participating in inflammatory response,oxidative stress and autophagy.Paeoniflorin exhibits remarkable efficacy in treating myocardial and liver fibrosis.This article provides a comprehensive review on the research progress of paeoniflora in preventing and treating renal fibrosis through modulation of the PI3K/Akt/mTOR signaling pathway,offering novel insights for traditional Chinese medicine-based approaches to prevent and treat renal fibrosis.


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