1.Explainable Machine Learning Model for Predicting Prognosis in Patients with Malignant Tumors Complicated by Acute Respiratory Failure: Based on the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States
Zihan NAN ; Linan HAN ; Suwei LI ; Ziyi ZHU ; Qinqin ZHU ; Yan DUAN ; Xiaoting WANG ; Lixia LIU
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2026;17(1):98-108
To develop and validate a model for predicting intensive care unit (ICU) mortality risk in patients with malignant tumors complicated by acute respiratory failure (ARF) based on an explainable machine learning framework. Clinical data of patients with malignant tumors and ARF were extracted from the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States, including demographic characteristics, comorbidities, vital signs, laboratory test indicators, and major interventions within the first 24 hours after ICU admission.The study outcome was ICU death.Enrolled patients were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7:3.Predictor variables were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression.Five machine learning algorithms-extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine (SVM), Logistic regression, multilayer perceptron (MLP), and C5.0 Decision Tree-were employed to construct predictive models.Model performance was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and other metrics.The optimal model was further interpreted using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) algorithm. A total of 3196 patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF were included.The training set comprised 2, 261 patients and the validation set 935 patients; 683 patients died during ICU stay, while 2513 survived.LASSO regression ultimately selected 12 variables closely associated with patient ICU outcomes, including sepsis comorbidity, use of vasoactive drugs, and within the first 24 hours after ICU admission: minimum mean arterial pressure, maximum heart rate, maximum respiratory rate, minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum blood urea nitrogen, maximum white blood cell count, maximum mean corpuscular volume, maximum serum potassium, and maximum blood glucose.After model evaluation, the XGBoost model demonstrated the best performance.The AUCs for predicting ICU mortality risk in the training and validation sets were 0.940 and 0.763, respectively; accuracy was 88.3% and 81.2%;sensitivity was 98.5% and 95.9%.Its predictive performance also remained optimal in sensitivity analyses.SHAP analysis indicated that the top five variables contributing to the model's predictions were minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum mean arterial pressure, use of vasoactive drugs, and maximum white blood cell count. This study successfully developed a mortality risk prediction model for ICU patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF based on a large-scale dataset and performed explainability analysis.The model aids clinicians in early identification of high-risk patients and implementing individualized interventions.
2.High expression of apolipoprotein C1 promotes proliferation and inhibits apoptosis of papillary thyroid carcinoma cells by activating the JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway.
Yu BIN ; Ziwen LI ; Suwei ZUO ; Sinuo SUN ; Min LI ; Jiayin SONG ; Xu LIN ; Gang XUE ; Jingfang WU
Journal of Southern Medical University 2025;45(2):359-370
OBJECTIVES:
To investigate the expression of apolipoprotein C1 (APOC1) in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) and its effects on proliferation and apoptosis of PTC cells.
METHODS:
The expression level of APOC1 in PTC and its impact on prognosis were analyzed using GEPIA 2 and Kaplan-Meier databases. Immunohistochemistry (IHC) and Western blotting were used to detect the expression of APOC1 in PTC and adjacent tissues and in 3 PTC cell lines and normal thyroid Nthyori 3-1 cells. In TPC-1 and BCPAP cells, the effect of Lipofectamine 2000-mediated transfection with APOC1 siRNA or an APOC1-overexpressing plasmid on cell growth and colony formation ability were examined by observing the growth curves and using colony-forming assay. The changes in cell cycle and apoptosis of the transfected cells were analyzed with flow cytometry. RT-qPCR and Western blotting were used to detect the changes in expressions of P21, P27, CDK4, cyclin D1, Bcl-2, Bax, caspase-3 and caspase-9 and the key proteins in the JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway.
RESULTS:
APOC1 expression was significantly higher in PTC tissues and the 3 PTC cell lines than in the adjacent tissues and Nthyori 3-1 cells, respectively. In TPC-1 and BCPAP cells, APOC1 knockdown obviously reduced cell proliferative activity, increased the percentage of G0/G1 phase cells, lowered the percentages of S and G2 phase cells, promoted cell apoptosis, and downregulated mRNA and protein expression levels of CDK4, cyclin D1 and Bcl-2 and the protein levels of p-JAK2 and p-STAT3. APOC1 overexpression in the cells produced the opposite effects on cell proliferation, apoptosis, cell cycle and the mRNA and protein expressions. The application of AG490, a JAK2 inhibitor, strongly attenuated APOC1 overexpression-induced activation of the JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway in BCPAP cells.
CONCLUSIONS
APOC1 overexpression promotes proliferation and inhibits apoptosis of PTC cells possibly by activating the JAK2/STAT3 signaling pathway and accelerating cell cycle progression.
Humans
;
Apoptosis
;
Cell Proliferation
;
STAT3 Transcription Factor/metabolism*
;
Signal Transduction
;
Janus Kinase 2/metabolism*
;
Thyroid Neoplasms/pathology*
;
Thyroid Cancer, Papillary
;
Cell Line, Tumor
;
Carcinoma, Papillary
3.Expert consensus on visualized tele-round and quality control management based on the improvement of clinical practice ability
Wanhong YIN ; Xiaoting WANG ; Ran ZHOU ; Dawei LIU ; Yan KANG ; Yaoqing TANG ; Xiaochun MA ; Jianguo LI ; Zhenjie HU ; Haitao ZHANG ; Wei HE ; Lixia LIU ; Wenjin CHEN ; Ran ZHU ; Jun WU ; Hongmin ZHANG ; Lina ZHANG ; Wenzhao CHAI ; Shihong ZHU ; Wangbin XU ; Rongqing SUN ; Xiangyou YU ; Tianjiao SONG ; Ying ZHU ; Hong REN ; Ai SHANMU ; Qing ZHANG ; Wei FANG ; Xiuling SHANG ; Liwen LYU ; Shuhan CAI ; Xin DING ; Heng ZHANG ; Guang FENG ; Lipeng ZHANG ; Bo HU ; Dong ZHANG ; Weidong WU ; Feng SHEN ; Xiaojun YANG ; Zhenguo ZENG ; Qibing HUANG ; Xueying ZENG ; Tongjuan ZOU ; Milin PENG ; Yulong YAO ; Mingming CHEN ; Hui LIAN ; Jingmei WANG ; Yong LI ; Feng QU ; Gang YE ; Rongli YANG ; Xiukai CHEN ; Suwei LI ; Juxiang WANG ; Yangong CHAO
Chinese Journal of Internal Medicine 2025;64(2):101-109
Turning to critical illness is a common stage of various diseases and injuries before death. Patients usually have complex health conditions, while the treatment process involves a wide range of content, along with high requirements for doctor′s professionalism and multi-specialty teamwork, as well as a great demand for time-sensitive treatments. However, this is not matched with critical care professionals and the current state of medical care in China. Telemedicine, which shortens the distance of medical professionals and the gap of disease diagnosis and treatments in various regions through electronic information, can effectively solve the current problem. Therefore, there is an urgent need to develop a standardized, high-quality visualization telemedicine round system .Therefore, experts have been organized to search domestic and foreign literature on telemedicine round for critically ill patients and to form this consensus based on clinical experiences so as to further improve the level of critical care treatments in regions.
4.Clinical effect of aortic root replacement in adolescent patients with aortic root aneurysm
Chenhan ZHANG ; Xiaoyang ZHANG ; Suwei CHEN ; Zhiyu QIAO ; Haiou HU ; Yipeng GE ; Chengnan LI ; Junming ZHU
Journal of Chinese Physician 2025;27(8):1125-1129
Objective:To evaluate the clinical effect of different types of aortic root replacement in adolescent patients with aortic root aneurysm by analyzing the perioperative and follow-up conditions of surgical treatment for adolescent aortic root aneurysm.Methods:The clinical data of patients aged ≤18 years who were admitted to the Beijing Anzhen Hospital from November 2012 to February 2025, diagnosed with aortic root aneurysm by ultrasound or aortic computed tomography angiography (CTA) and requiring surgical intervention, were collected retrospectively. They were divided into the valve-sparing aortic root replacement group (David operation group) and the aortic root replacement group (Bentall operation group) according to the surgical method. The perioperative results and long-term follow-up results of the two groups were analyzed. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were drawn to compare the reoperation intervention rate between the two groups.Results:A total of 25 patients were included in this study, including 17 in the Bentall group and 8 in the David group. There were no statistically significant differences in gender, age, blood routine, liver and kidney function, coagulation function, and electrolyte internal environment between the two groups (all P>0.05). There were no statistically significant differences in operation time and intensive care unit stay between the two groups (all P>0.05). Compared with the Bentall operation group, the intraoperative blood loss in the David operation group was more ( P<0.05). During the follow-up, no reoperation occurred in the Bentall operation group, while 3 patients in the David operation group had long-term re-intervention. The long-term reoperation intervention rate in the David operation group was higher than that in the Bentall group ( P=0.042), but there was no statistically significant difference in the aortic valve-related surgical intervention rate between the two groups ( P=0.15). Conclusions:For adolescent patients with aortic root aneurysm, although David operation may face long-term reoperation intervention, this intervention may not be due to the difference in surgical methods. Both Bentall operation and David operation are safe and reliable, with good perioperative results and stable medium and long-term prognosis.
5.Clinical effect of aortic root replacement in adolescent patients with aortic root aneurysm
Chenhan ZHANG ; Xiaoyang ZHANG ; Suwei CHEN ; Zhiyu QIAO ; Haiou HU ; Yipeng GE ; Chengnan LI ; Junming ZHU
Journal of Chinese Physician 2025;27(8):1125-1129
Objective:To evaluate the clinical effect of different types of aortic root replacement in adolescent patients with aortic root aneurysm by analyzing the perioperative and follow-up conditions of surgical treatment for adolescent aortic root aneurysm.Methods:The clinical data of patients aged ≤18 years who were admitted to the Beijing Anzhen Hospital from November 2012 to February 2025, diagnosed with aortic root aneurysm by ultrasound or aortic computed tomography angiography (CTA) and requiring surgical intervention, were collected retrospectively. They were divided into the valve-sparing aortic root replacement group (David operation group) and the aortic root replacement group (Bentall operation group) according to the surgical method. The perioperative results and long-term follow-up results of the two groups were analyzed. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were drawn to compare the reoperation intervention rate between the two groups.Results:A total of 25 patients were included in this study, including 17 in the Bentall group and 8 in the David group. There were no statistically significant differences in gender, age, blood routine, liver and kidney function, coagulation function, and electrolyte internal environment between the two groups (all P>0.05). There were no statistically significant differences in operation time and intensive care unit stay between the two groups (all P>0.05). Compared with the Bentall operation group, the intraoperative blood loss in the David operation group was more ( P<0.05). During the follow-up, no reoperation occurred in the Bentall operation group, while 3 patients in the David operation group had long-term re-intervention. The long-term reoperation intervention rate in the David operation group was higher than that in the Bentall group ( P=0.042), but there was no statistically significant difference in the aortic valve-related surgical intervention rate between the two groups ( P=0.15). Conclusions:For adolescent patients with aortic root aneurysm, although David operation may face long-term reoperation intervention, this intervention may not be due to the difference in surgical methods. Both Bentall operation and David operation are safe and reliable, with good perioperative results and stable medium and long-term prognosis.
6.Expert consensus on visualized tele-round and quality control management based on the improvement of clinical practice ability
Wanhong YIN ; Xiaoting WANG ; Ran ZHOU ; Dawei LIU ; Yan KANG ; Yaoqing TANG ; Xiaochun MA ; Jianguo LI ; Zhenjie HU ; Haitao ZHANG ; Wei HE ; Lixia LIU ; Wenjin CHEN ; Ran ZHU ; Jun WU ; Hongmin ZHANG ; Lina ZHANG ; Wenzhao CHAI ; Shihong ZHU ; Wangbin XU ; Rongqing SUN ; Xiangyou YU ; Tianjiao SONG ; Ying ZHU ; Hong REN ; Ai SHANMU ; Qing ZHANG ; Wei FANG ; Xiuling SHANG ; Liwen LYU ; Shuhan CAI ; Xin DING ; Heng ZHANG ; Guang FENG ; Lipeng ZHANG ; Bo HU ; Dong ZHANG ; Weidong WU ; Feng SHEN ; Xiaojun YANG ; Zhenguo ZENG ; Qibing HUANG ; Xueying ZENG ; Tongjuan ZOU ; Milin PENG ; Yulong YAO ; Mingming CHEN ; Hui LIAN ; Jingmei WANG ; Yong LI ; Feng QU ; Gang YE ; Rongli YANG ; Xiukai CHEN ; Suwei LI ; Juxiang WANG ; Yangong CHAO
Chinese Journal of Internal Medicine 2025;64(2):101-109
Turning to critical illness is a common stage of various diseases and injuries before death. Patients usually have complex health conditions, while the treatment process involves a wide range of content, along with high requirements for doctor′s professionalism and multi-specialty teamwork, as well as a great demand for time-sensitive treatments. However, this is not matched with critical care professionals and the current state of medical care in China. Telemedicine, which shortens the distance of medical professionals and the gap of disease diagnosis and treatments in various regions through electronic information, can effectively solve the current problem. Therefore, there is an urgent need to develop a standardized, high-quality visualization telemedicine round system .Therefore, experts have been organized to search domestic and foreign literature on telemedicine round for critically ill patients and to form this consensus based on clinical experiences so as to further improve the level of critical care treatments in regions.
7.Efficacy of stented elephant trunk procedure for right-sided aortic arch with Kommerell's diverticulum
Yongliang ZHONG ; Bing TANG ; Suwei CHEN ; Yipeng GE ; Hai' ; ou HU ; Zhiyu QIAO ; Chengnan LI ; Yongmin LIU ; Junming ZHU
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2024;31(07):1020-1026
Objective To summarize our experience and the early and midterm outcomes of stented elephant trunk procedure for right-sided aortic arch (RAA) with Kommerell's diverticulum (KD). Methods From April 2013 to July 2020, patients with RAA and KD who underwent stented elephant trunk procedure at our center were collected. Surgery was performed under moderate hypothermic circulatory arrest combined with selective antegrade cerebral perfusion via median sternotomy. Results A total of 8 patients were included, including 7 males and 1 female with a mean age of 51.88±9.61 years. All patients had an aneurysmal KD and aberrant left subclavian artery. Preoperative comorbidities included acute Stanford type B aortic dissection in 1 patient, aortic arch pseudoaneurysm in 1 patient, acute type B intramural hematoma in 2 patients, and coronary artery disease in 1 patient. Concomitant procedures included reconstruction of the left subclavian artery in all patients and coronary artery bypass grafting in 1 patient. The mean time of operation, cardiopulmonary bypass, aortic cross-clamping, and selective cerebral perfusion was 6.25±1.16 h, 157.75±40.07 min, 77.75±33.10 min, and 28.50±5.55 min, respectively. No intraoperative death occurred. There was 1 in-hospital death. Follow-up was completed in all patients with a mean period of 3.58±2.08 years. No late death occurred. A persistent anastomotic leak of the proximal arch was detected in 1 patient, but reintervention was not performed because neither aortic dilatation nor symptoms of tracheal and esophageal compression were observed during the follow-up. The remaining 6 patients showed positive aortic remodeling with complete thrombosis of the aneurysmal KD, and neither aortic event nor tracheal and esophageal compression occurred. Conclusion Stented elephant trunk procedure is a safe and feasible technique for selected patients with RAA and KD, which can achieve favorable early and midterm outcomes.
8.Chromosomal microarray analysis of embryos during early spontaneous abortion in a hospital in Yangzhou
Min ZHANG ; Suwei HU ; Anping SUN ; Ming TONG ; Qian LI
China Modern Doctor 2024;62(18):78-82
Objective To explore the value of chromosomal microarray analysis(CMA)for the diagnosis of early spontaneous abortion,and to investigate the relationship between chromosomal abnormalities and early spontaneous abortion.Methods A total of 432 cases embryos were collected from June 2017 to December 2022 which occur early spontaneous abortion in Yangzhou Maternal and Child Health Hospital.We retrospectively analyze the results of chromosomal microarray analysis,and analyze the correlation between different gestational weeks and numerical chromosomal abnormalities and copy number variations.Results A total of 428 specimens were successfully analyzed by the CMA.Chromosomal abnormalities were identified in 270 specimens,including 212 cases of numerical chromosomal abnormalities,53 cases of copy number variations,and 5 cases of uniparental disomy.Most chromosomal abnormalities are trisomies,with 16-trisomy was the most common.Among the copy number variations,31 cases of pathogenic and likely pathogenic were detected,and 22 cases of clinically unknown copy number abnormalities were detected.There was no statistically significant difference in numerical chromosomal abnormalities among different gestational weeks(P>0.05),while the positive rate of copy number variations was highest at 10-11+6 weeks of pregnancy.Conclusion CMA can clarify the etiological diagnosis of early spontaneous abortion.It can not only detect chromosomal abnormalities,but also can detect copy number variations and even chromosome microdeletion syndrome,chromosome microduplication syndrome.In the study,numerical chromosomal abnormalities are the main cause of spontaneous abortion.
9.Gender-related differences of clinical features and perioperative treatment outcomes in patients with type A aortic dissection
Zhiyu QIAO ; Suwei CHEN ; Chenhan ZHANG ; Yipeng GE ; Haiou HU ; Ruidong QI ; Chengnan LI ; Yongmin LIU ; Junming ZHU
Chinese Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2023;39(6):336-340
Objective:To retrospectively analyze the gender differences in the clinical characteristics and perioperative outcomes of patients with type A aortic dissection in our institution.Methods:From January 2019 to January 2020, total 405 patients underwent surgical treatment for type A aortic dissection at Beijing Anzhen Hospital, including extensive aortic repair (total aortic arch replacement combined with stenting elephant trunk implantation) and limited aortic repair. In the entire cohort, male 295 cases, female 110 cases. All measures in this study were expressed as ± s or median(quartiles) and analyzed by Student t test for variables or non- parametric tests; count data were expressed as frequencies and percentages and analyzed by χ2 test and Fisher exact probability test. Independent risk factors were analyzed by logistic multivariate regression. Results:Females were older than males[(53.3 ± 12.4)years old vs. (47.1 ± 11.0)years old, P<0.001] and had significantly higher proportion of diabetes(9.1% vs. 4.1%, P=0.047) and previous cerebrovascular disease (11.8% vs. 5.8%, P=0.038). Females had a lower proportion of total aortic arch replacement combined with elephant trunk implantation (64.5% vs. 82.7%, P<0.001), while aortic cross-clamp time[168.0(144.8, 201.5) minutes vs. 190.0 (163.0, 217.0) minutes, P<0.001] and CPB time[99.0 (79.8, 118.0) min vs. 107.0 (91.0, 126.0) min, P=0.006] were significantly shorter than males. Females had significantly higher rates of pulmonary infection (14.5% vs. 5.8%, P=0.004) and stroke than males (15.5% vs. 8.1%, P=0.030). The difference in the proportion of postoperative deaths between female and male TAAD patients was not statistically significant (3.6% vs. 7.8%). Logistics multivariable regression analysis found that female was an independent risk factor for postoperative stroke ( OR=2.574, 95% CI: 1.198-5.531, P=0.015) and pulmonary infection ( OR=2.610, 95% CI: 1.180-5.772, P=0.018). Conclusion:Gender did not affect mortality after TAAD repair significantly, but females increased the risk of stroke and pulmonary infection after TAAD surgery.
10.Identification of 15 bird remains using the 16S rRNA gene sequence
Hong ZHU ; Jianshen CAO ; Suwei SHANG ; Liu YANG ; Hepeng LI
Chinese Journal of Forensic Medicine 2023;38(6):702-704
Objective The mitochondrial 16S rRNA gene PCR sequencing method was applied to identify the bird species involved in the case of bird remains.Methods Using frozen muscle tissue samples from 15 unknown bird remains,the PCR amplification of the 16S rRNA DNA barcode fragment was performed.Results Through sequence alignment and phylogenetic analysis,it was determined that the 15 samples were associated with six bird species,including four Streptopelia chinensis,one Turdus eunomus,five Passer montanus,two Chloris sinica,two Fringilla montifringilla,and one Phoenicurus auroreus.These species belong to 2 orders,6 families,and 6 genera,all of which are protected as listed species under the wildlife conservation regulations.Conclusion The 16S rRNA gene segment can be regarded as a reliable approach for accurately identifying bird species from remains,providing a dependable basis for qualitative and sentencing determinations in judicial cases.

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